Cold Injury Research Articles

We are all exposed, but some are more exposed than others

ABSTRACT This paper defines functional cold exposure zones that illustrate whether a person is at risk of developing physical performance loss or cold weather injuries. Individual variation in body characteristics, activity level, clothing and protective equipment all contribute to variation in the effective exposure. Nevertheless, with the right education, training, and cold-adapted behaviours the exposure differences might not necessarily lead to increased risk for cold injury. To support the preparation process for cold weather operations, this paper presents a biophysical analysis explaining how much cold exposure risk can vary between individuals in the same environment. The results suggest that smaller persons are prone to be underdressed for moderate activity levels and larger persons are prone to be overdressed. The consequences of these discrepancies place people at different risks for performance loss or cold weather injuries. Nonetheless, even if all are well-dressed at the whole-body level, variation in hand morphology is also expected to influence hand skin temperatures that can be maintained; with smaller hands being more prone to reach skin temperatures associated with dexterity loss or cold weather injuries. In conclusion, this work focusses on bringing cold science to the Arctic warrior, establishing that combating cold stress is not a one size fits all approach.

World’s first en bloc heart-lung transplantation using the paragonix lungguard donor preservation system

We present the first en bloc heart-lung donor transplant procurement using the Paragonix LUNGguard™ donor preservation system. This system offers reliable static hypothermic conditions designed to prevent major complications such as cold ischemic injury, uneven cooling and physical damage. While this represents a single case, the encouraging results warrant further investigation.

Effects of Chronic Cold Exposure on Proteomics of Lung Tissue in Mice

Background: Cold exposure can induce inflammation-related injury in lung tissue, but the exact mechanism is still unclear. Objective: The study aimed to clarify the proteomic characteristics of lung tissue under cold exposure. Methods: Forty mice were randomly equally divided into a control group and a model group. The model group was exposed to - 20°C for two weeks (4 hours per day), while the control group was maintained at 22 ± 2°C. H&E staining and ELISA were used to verify the injury of lung tissue. Furthermore, a quantitative analysis of the overall proteome in the lung of mice exposed to cold stress was conducted by using LC-MS/MS. 15 differentially expressed proteins were selected for PRM validation. Results: According to our results, cold exposure induced lung injury, and the expressions of 151 proteins were upregulated and those of 95 proteins were downregulated. Bioinformatics analysis showed that differentially expressed proteins were associated with tricarboxylic acid cycle, fat metabolism, glycolysis, and oxidative phosphorylation. The expression of gabra2, Klkb1, and complement- related proteins was significantly upregulated. The results of PRM validation were consistent with those of proteomics. Conclusion: We found changes in glycolysis, gabra2, Klkb1, and the complement system in the lung tissue of cold-stressed mice, which may play an important role in cold stress-induced lung injury.

Characteristics and management of thrombotic microangiopathy in kidney transplantation.

Thrombotic microangiopathy is not a rare complication of kidney transplantation and is characterized by microangiopathic hemolytic anemia, thrombocytopenia, and acute kidney injury with extensive thrombosis of the arterioles and capillaries. Various factors can cause thrombotic microangiopathy after kidney transplantation, including surgery, warm and cold ischemia-reperfusion injury, exposure to immunosuppressants, infection, and rejection. Many recent studies on atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome have described genetic abnormalities related to excessive activation of the alternative complement pathway. The affected patients' genetic backgrounds revealed significant genetic heterogeneity in several genes involved in complement regulation, including the complement factor H, complement factor H-related proteins, complement factor I, complement factor B, complement component 3, and CD46 genes in the alternative complement pathway. Although clinical studies have provided a better understanding of the pathogenesis of diseases, the diverse triggers present in the transplant environment can lead to thrombotic microangiopathy, along with various genetic predispositions, and it is difficult to identify the genetic background in various clinical conditions. Given the poor prognosis of posttransplant thrombotic microangiopathy, further research is necessary to improve the diagnosis and treatment protocols based on risk factors or genetic predisposition, and to develop new therapeutic agents.

Training videos to prevent cold weather injuries

ABSTRACT Cold weather injuries (CWIs) are a challenge during military training, exercises and operations in Arctic conditions. Soldier performance in these challenging conditions depends on protective equipment, knowledge, personal experience, routines, and leadership. Despite the Norwegian Armed Forces’ goal of zero freezing cold injuries (FCIs), there has been a persistently high incidence of FCIs among the younger soldiers with an average of 120–150 new FCIs recorded each year. Therefore, an expert working group with representatives from medical, defence and research background was established in 2020. Their task was to develop a communication package to help prevent CWIs among military personnel. Training videos and an updated and improved official website were created with a focus on practical recommendations and advice to prevent CWIs and especially FCIs. Risks, prevention and symptoms of FCIs were emphasised. The main goal of the training videos was to supplement current teaching on guidance for CWI prevention in CWOs to prevent FCIs, but following the advice may prevent non-freezing cold injuries (NFCIs) and hypothermia. This informative paper describes the background, working methods and possible implications of the training videos, which may be a potential way forward to improve cold weather training and operations.

Use case for predictive physiological models: tactical insights about frozen Russian soldiers in Ukraine

ABSTRACT Biomathematical models quantitatively describe human physiological responses to environmental and operational stressors and have been used for planning and real-time prevention of cold injury. These same models can be applied from a military tactical perspective to gain valuable insights into the health status of opponent soldiers. This paper describes a use case for predicting physiological status of Russian soldiers invading Ukraine using open-source information. In March 2022, media outlets reported Russian soldiers in a stalled convoy invading Ukraine were at serious risk of hypothermia and predicted these soldiers would be “freezing to death” within days because of declining temperatures (down to −20°C). Using existing Army models, clothing data and open-source intelligence, modelling and analyses were conducted within hours to quantitatively assess the conditions and provide science-based predictions. These predictions projected a significant increase in risks of frostbite for exposed skin and toes and feet, with a very low (negligible) risk of hypothermia. Several days later, media outlets confirmed these predictions, reporting a steep rise in evacuations for foot frostbite injuries in these Russian forces. This demonstrated what can be done today with the existing mathematical physiology and how models traditionally focused on health risk can be used for tactical intelligence.

Extremity cooling during an arctic diving training exercise

ABSTRACT A field study was conducted to examine the vulnerability of military divers to non-freezing cold injury (NFCI) during Arctic ice-diving operations. Participants were instrumented with temperature sensors on the back of their hands and on the bottom of their big toe for each dive to measure cooling of their extremities. While NFCI was not diagnosed in any of the participants during this field study, the data indicate that the feet were particularly vulnerable during the dives given that they were mostly in a temperature zone that could cause pain and performance decrements. The data also show that for short term dives, the dry and wet suits with wet gloves in both configurations were thermally more comfortable for the hands than the dry suit with dry glove configuration; however, the latter would be more protective against potential NFCI during longer dives. Features such as hydrostatic pressure and repetitive diving that are unique to diving but not previously considered as risk factors for NFCI are examined herein and warrant deeper investigation given that symptoms of NFCI might be mistaken as decompression sickness.

Development of interactive guidance for cold exposure using a thermoregulatory model

ABSTRACT For decades, the Wind Chill Temperature Index (WCT) and its various iterations have been used to assess the risk of frostbite on unclothed body parts. This paper presents an innovative knowledge-based Cold Weather Ensemble Decision Aid (CoWEDA) that can be used to guide the selection of the most appropriate cold weather ensemble(s) relative to anticipated mission physical activities and environmental conditions. CoWEDA consists of a validated six-cylinder thermoregulatory model, a database of clothing properties, algorithms for calculating the whole ensemble properties from individual garments and a graphical user interface. The user-friendly CoWEDA allows users to select from an inventory of clothing items to build an ensemble suitable for their needs. CoWEDA predicts the risks of both frostbite and hypothermia and ensures that a selected clothing ensemble will provide adequate protection to prevent cold injury. CoWEDA predictions provide not only estimates of frostbite risk similar to WCT tables but also hypothermia times and clothing required to prevent cold injuries. In addition, a CoWEDA model variant can predict survivability and clothing requirements during cold water immersion. Thus, CoWEDA represents a significant enhancement of the WCT-based guidance for cold weather safety and survival by providing greater individual fidelity in cold injury predictions.

Botulinum Toxin A in the treatment of frostbite sequelae – results from a blinded, early-phase, comparative trial

ABSTRACT Introduction: Freezing Cold Injuries (FCI) have been associated with long-term sequelae including vasospasm. The aims of the pilot study are to explore the research methodology and investigate the tolerability and safety of treatment with Botulinum Toxin-A (BTX-A) in FCI Sequelae. Methodology: This pilot study tests the logistics, the treatment setting and the follow-up procedure in an early-phase, double-blinded, randomized, controlled trial study-design. The variables in the study were subjective symptoms, peripheral micro-vascularization/rewarming, somatosensory responsiveness, and generic measure of health status. Results: No major challenges or difficulties were noticed according to the protocol or the study methodology. The monitoring of tolerability and safety of treatment with BTX-A did not reveal any major unwanted and/or adverse reactions among the patients in the pilot study and no challenges occurred during data collection of endpoints. The study revealed an inaccuracy of the 2nd degree FCI diagnosis and uncover a need for relevant and sufficient clinical information for FCI classification. Conclusions: This pilot study showed the study methodology with minor adjustments is feasible in a future full-scale clinical trial. The recruitment process needs to be more refined to ensure that the eligible study participants are a homogenous group of FCI patients.

Effects of preharvest sprays of iodine, selenium and calcium on apple biofortification and their quality and storability.

The low dietary intake of iodine (I) and selenium (Se) by humans leads to serious health and socioeconomic problems. Therefore, enrichment of plants with I and Se using fertilisers containing these micronutrients is commonly recommended. In this study, we examined the impacts of combined spraying of I as iodide or iodate, Se as selenite or selenate, and calcium (Ca) as Ca-chloride on the enrichment of 'Red Jonaprince' (Malus domestica Borth.) apples, as well as fruit quality and their storability. Sprays were applied 2 weeks before harvest at rates of 0.5 kg I, 0.25 kg Se and 7 kg Ca per ha. Trees not sprayed with these nutrients served as controls. The tested sprays caused leaf burn, but they did not affect the cold injury of buds and shoots. Those sprays had no effect on yield, fruit size and russeting or skin colouring. At harvest, sprayed apples contained about 50 times more I and Se and 30% more Ca than the control fruit. After storage, compared to the control fruit, sprayed apples were firmer, had more organic acids and were less susceptible to disorders, such as bitter pit, internal breakdown and decay caused by Neofabraea spp. The results indicate that preharvest spraying with I, Se and Ca at high rates can be recommended to effectively enrich apples with I and Se and to simultaneously improve their storability.

CaSPDS, a Spermidine Synthase Gene from Pepper (Capsicum annuum L.), Plays an Important Role in Response to Cold Stress.

Spermidine synthase (SPDS) is a key enzyme in the polyamine anabolic pathway. SPDS genes help regulate plant response to environmental stresses, but their roles in pepper remain unclear. In this study, we identified and cloned a SPDS gene from pepper (Capsicum annuum L.), named CaSPDS (LOC107847831). Bioinformatics analysis indicated that CaSPDS contains two highly conserved domains: an SPDS tetramerisation domain and a spermine/SPDS domain. Quantitative reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction results showed that CaSPDS was highly expressed in the stems, flowers, and mature fruits of pepper and was rapidly induced by cold stress. The function of CaSPDS in cold stress response was studied by silencing and overexpressing it in pepper and Arabidopsis, respectively. Cold injury was more serious and reactive oxygen species levels were greater in the CaSPDS-silenced seedlings than in the wild-type (WT) seedlings after cold treatment. Compared with the WT plants, the CaSPDS-overexpression Arabidopsis plants were more tolerant to cold stress and showed higher antioxidant enzyme activities, spermidine content, and cold-responsive gene (AtCOR15A, AtRD29A, AtCOR47, and AtKIN1) expression. These results indicate that CaSPDS plays important roles in cold stress response and is valuable in molecular breeding to enhance the cold tolerance of pepper.

Peripheral sensory function in non-freezing cold injury patients and matched controls.

What is the central question of this study? Is peripheral sensory function impaired in the chronic phase of non-freezing cold injury (NFCI)? What is the main finding and its importance? Warm and mechanical detection thresholds are elevated and intraepidermal nerve fibre density is reduced in individuals with NFCI in their feet when compared to matched controls. This indicates impaired sensory function in individuals with NFCI. Interindividual variation was observed in all groups, and therefore a diagnostic cut-off for NFCI has yet to be established. Longitudinal studies are required to follow NFCI progression from formation to resolution ABSTRACT: The aim of this study was to compare peripheral sensory neural function of individuals with non-freezing cold injury (NFCI) with matched controls (without NFCI) with either similar (COLD) or minimal previous cold exposure (CON). Thirteen individuals with chronic NFCI in their feet were matched with the control groups for sex, age, race, fitness, body mass index and foot volume. All undertook quantitative sensory testing (QST) on the foot. Intraepidermal nerve fibre density (IENFD) was assessed 10cm above the lateral malleolus in nine NFCI and 12 COLD participants. Warm detection threshold was higher at the great toe in NFCI than COLD (NFCI 45.93 (4.71)°C vs. COLD 43.44 (2.72)°C, P=0.046), but was non-significantly different from CON (CON 43.92 (5.01)°C, P=0.295). Mechanical detection threshold on the dorsum of the foot was higher in NFCI (23.61 (33.59) mN) than in CON (3.83 (3.69) mN, P=0.003), but was non-significantly different from COLD (10.49 (5.76) mN, P>0.999). Remaining QST measures did not differ significantly between groups. IENFD was lower in NFCI than COLD (NFCI 8.47 (2.36) fibre/mm2 vs. COLD 11.93 (4.04) fibre/mm2 , P=0.020). Elevated warm and mechanical detection thresholds may indicate hyposensitivity to sensory stimuli in the injured foot for individuals with NFCI and may be due to reduced innervation given the reduction in IENFD. Longitudinal studies are required to identify the progression of sensory neuropathy from the formation of injury to its resolution, with appropriate control groups employed.

Plasma biomarkers of endothelial function, inflammation and oxidative stress in individuals with non-freezing cold injury.

What is the central question of this study? Are biomarkers of endothelial function, oxidative stress and inflammation altered by non-freezing cold injury (NFCI)? What is the main finding and its importance? Baseline plasma [interleukin-10] and [syndecan-1] were elevated in individuals with NFCI and cold-exposed control participants. Increased [endothelin-1] following thermal challenges might explain, in part, the increased pain/discomfort experienced with NFCI. Mild to moderate chronic NFCI does not appear to be associated with either oxidative stress or a pro-inflammatory state. Baseline [interleukin-10] and [syndecan-1] and post-heating [endothelin-1] are the most promising candidates for diagnosis of NFCI. Plasma biomarkers of inflammation, oxidative stress, endothelial function and damage were examined in 16 individuals with chronic NFCI (NFCI) and matched control participants with (COLD, n=17) or without (CON, n=14) previous cold exposure. Venous blood samples were collected at baseline to assess plasma biomarkers of endothelial function (nitrate, nitrite and endothelin-1), inflammation [interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-10 (IL-10), tumour necrosis factor alpha and E-selectin], oxidative stress [protein carbonyl, 4-hydroxy-2-nonenal (4-HNE), superoxide dismutase and nitrotyrosine) and endothelial damage [von Willebrand factor, syndecan-1 and tissue type plasminogen activator (TTPA)]. Immediately after whole-body heating and separately, foot cooling, blood samples were taken for measurement of plasma [nitrate], [nitrite], [endothelin-1], [IL-6], [4-HNE] and [TTPA]. At baseline, [IL-10] and [syndecan-1] were increased in NFCI (P<0.001 and P=0.015, respectively) and COLD (P=0.033 and P=0.030, respectively) compared with CON participants. The [4-HNE] was elevated in CON compared with both NFCI (P=0.002) and COLD (P<0.001). [Endothelin-1] was elevated in NFCI compared with COLD (P<0.001) post-heating. The [4-HNE] was lower in NFCI compared with CON post-heating (P=0.032) and lower than both COLD (P=0.02) and CON (P=0.015) post-cooling. No between-group differences were seen for the other biomarkers. Mild to moderate chronic NFCI does not appear to be associated with a pro-inflammatory state or oxidative stress. Baseline [IL-10] and [syndecan-1] and post-heating [endothelin-1] are the most promising candidates for diagnosing NFCI, but it is likely that a combination of tests will be required.

Investigating genotype-phenotype relationship of extreme neuropathic pain disorders in a UK national cohort.

The aims of our study were to use whole genome sequencing in a cross-sectional cohort of patients to identify new variants in genes implicated in neuropathic pain, to determine the prevalence of known pathogenic variants and to understand the relationship between pathogenic variants and clinical presentation. Patients with extreme neuropathic pain phenotypes (both sensory loss and gain) were recruited from secondary care clinics in the UK and underwent whole genome sequencing as part of the National Institute for Health and Care Research Bioresource Rare Diseases project. A multidisciplinary team assessed the pathogenicity of rare variants in genes previously known to cause neuropathic pain disorders and exploratory analysis of research candidate genes was completed. Association testing for genes carrying rare variants was completed using the gene-wise approach of the combined burden and variance-component test SKAT-O. Patch clamp analysis was performed on transfected HEK293T cells for research candidate variants of genes encoding ion channels. The results include the following: (i) Medically actionable variants were found in 12% of study participants (205 recruited), including known pathogenic variants: SCN9A(ENST00000409672.1): c.2544T>C, p.Ile848Thr that causes inherited erythromelalgia, and SPTLC1(ENST00000262554.2):c.340T>G, p.Cys133Tr variant that causes hereditary sensory neuropathy type-1. (ii) Clinically relevant variants were most common in voltage-gated sodium channels (Nav). (iii) SCN9A(ENST00000409672.1):c.554G>A, pArg185His variant was more common in non-freezing cold injury participants than controls and causes a gain of function of NaV1.7 after cooling (the environmental trigger for non-freezing cold injury). (iv) Rare variant association testing showed a significant difference in distribution for genes NGF, KIF1A, SCN8A, TRPM8, KIF1A, TRPA1 and the regulatory regions of genes SCN11A, FLVCR1, KIF1A and SCN9A between European participants with neuropathic pain and controls. (v) The TRPA1(ENST00000262209.4):c.515C>T, p.Ala172Val variant identified in participants with episodic somatic pain disorder demonstrated gain-of-channel function to agonist stimulation. Whole genome sequencing identified clinically relevant variants in over 10% of participants with extreme neuropathic pain phenotypes. The majority of these variants were found in ion channels. Combining genetic analysis with functional validation can lead to a better understanding as to how rare variants in ion channels lead to sensory neuron hyper-excitability, and how cold, as an environmental trigger, interacts with the gain-of-function NaV1.7 p.Arg185His variant. Our findings highlight the role of ion channel variants in the pathogenesis of extreme neuropathic pain disorders, likely mediated through changes in sensory neuron excitability and interaction with environmental triggers.

The peripheral vascular responses in non-freezing cold injury and matched controls.

What is the central question of this study? Does non-freezing cold injury (NFCI) alter normal peripheral vascular function? What is the main finding and its importance? Individuals with NFCI were more cold sensitive (rewarmed more slowly and felt more discomfort) than controls. Vascular tests indicated that extremity endothelial function was preserved with NFCI and that sympathetic vasoconstrictor response might be reduced. The pathophysiology underpinning the cold sensitivity associated with NFCI thus remains to be identified. The impact of non-freezing cold injury (NFCI) on peripheral vascular function was investigated. Individuals with NFCI (NFCI group) and closely matched controls with either similar (COLD group) or limited (CON group) previous cold exposure were compared (n=16). Peripheral cutaneous vascular responses to deep inspiration (DI), occlusion (PORH), local cutaneous heating (LH) and iontophoresis of acetylcholine and sodium nitroprusside were investigated. The responses to a cold sensitivity test (CST) involving immersion of a foot in 15°C water for 2min followed by spontaneous rewarming, and a foot cooling protocol (footplate cooled from 34°C to 15°C), were also examined. The vasoconstrictor response to DI was lower in NFCI compared to CON (toe: 73 (28)% vs. 91 (17)%; P=0.003). The responses to PORH, LH and iontophoresis were not reduced compared to either COLD or CON. During the CST, toe skin temperature rewarmed more slowly in NFCI than COLD or CON (10min: 27.4 (2.3)°C vs. 30.7 (3.7)°C and 31.7 (3.9)°C, P<0.05, respectively); however, no differences were observed during the footplate cooling. NFCI were more cold-intolerant (P<0.0001) and reported colder and more uncomfortable feet during the CST and footplate cooling than COLD and CON (P<0.05). NFCI showed a decreased sensitivity to sympathetic vasoconstrictor activation than CON and greater cold sensitivity (CST) compared to COLD and CON. None of the other vascular function tests indicated endothelial dysfunction. However, NFCI perceived their extremities to be colder and more uncomfortable/painful than the controls.

Frostbite: a systematic review on freezing cold injuries in a military environment

BackgroundMilitary practice or deployment in extreme conditions includes risks, dangers and rare disorders. One of the challenges is frostbite; however, current literature does not provide an overview of this condition...

QTL Mapping and a Transcriptome Integrative Analysis Uncover the Candidate Genes That Control the Cold Tolerance of Maize Introgression Lines at the Seedling Stage.

Chilling injury owing to low temperatures severely affects the growth and development of maize (Zea mays.L) seedlings during the early and late spring seasons. The existing maize germplasm is deficient in the resources required to improve maize's ability to tolerate cold injury. Therefore, it is crucial to introduce and identify excellent gene/QTLs that confer cold tolerance to maize for sustainable crop production. Wild relatives of maize, such as Z. perennis and Tripsacum dactyloides, are strongly tolerant to cold and can be used to improve the cold tolerance of maize. In a previous study, a genetic bridge among maize that utilized Z. perennis and T. dactyloides was created and used to obtain a highly cold-tolerant maize introgression line (MIL)-IB030 by backcross breeding. In this study, two candidate genes that control relative electrical conductivity were located on MIL-IB030 by forward genetics combined with a weighted gene co-expression network analysis. The results of the phenotypic, genotypic, gene expression, and functional verification suggest that two candidate genes positively regulate cold tolerance in MIL-IB030 and could be used to improve the cold tolerance of cultivated maize. This study provides a workable route to introduce and mine excellent genes/QTLs to improve the cold tolerance of maize and also lays a theoretical and practical foundation to improve cultivated maize against low-temperature stress.

Molecular Mechanisms of Winter Survival

Winter provides many challenges for insects, including direct injury to tissues and energy drain due to low food availability. As a result, the geographic distribution of many species is tightly coupled to their ability to survive winter. In this review, we summarize molecular processes associated with winter survival, with a particular focus on coping with cold injury and energetic challenges. Anticipatory processes such as cold acclimation and diapause cause wholesale transcriptional reorganization that increases cold resistance and promotes cryoprotectant production and energy storage. Molecular responses to low temperature are also dynamic and include signaling events during and after a cold stressor to prevent and repair cold injury. In addition, we highlight mechanisms that are subject to selection as insects evolve to variable winter conditions. Based on current knowledge, despite common threads, molecular mechanisms of winter survival vary considerably across species, and taxonomic biases must be addressed to fully appreciate the mechanistic basis of winter survival across the insect phylogeny.

Extracellular histone release by renal cells after warm and cold ischemic kidney injury: Studies in an ex-vivo porcine kidney perfusion model.

Extracellular histones are cytotoxic molecules involved in experimental acute kidney injury. In patients receiving a renal transplant from donors after circulatory death, who suffer from additional warm ischemia, worse graft outcome is associated with higher machine perfusate extracellular histone H3 concentrations. We now investigated temperature-dependent extracellular histone release in an ex vivo porcine renal perfusion model, and subsequently studied histone release in the absence and presence of non-anticoagulant heparin. Seven pairs of ischemically damaged porcine kidneys were machine perfused at 4°C (cold ischemia) or 28°C (warm ischemia). Perfusate histone H3 concentration was higher after warm as compared to cold ischemia (median (IQR) = 0.48 (0.20-0.83) μg/mL vs. 0.02 (0.00-0.06) μg/mL; p = .045, respectively). Employing immune-electron microscopy (EM), histone containing cytoplasmic protrusions of tubular and endothelial cells were found after warm ischemic injury. Furthermore, abundant histone localization was detected in debris surrounding severely damaged glomerular cells, in a "buck shot" pattern. In vitro, histones were cytotoxic to endothelial and kidney epithelial cells in a temperature-dependent manner. In a separate ex vivo experiment, addition of heparin did not change the total histone H3 levels observed in the perfusate but revealed a continuous increase in the level of a lower molecular weight histone H3 variant. Our findings show that ischemically damaged kidneys release more extracellular histones in warm ischemia, which by EM was due to histone release by renal cells. Blocking of histone-mediated damage during transplantation may be beneficial in prevention of renal injury.

Development of a new cold hardiness prediction model for grapevine using phased integration of acclimation and deacclimation responses

Cold injury limits distribution of perennial agricultural crops, though replacement of plants and other management practices may allow for some damage tolerance. However, winter damage to crops such as grapevines (Vitis spp.) can result in losses in yield the following year if buds are damaged, but over many years when vines must be replaced and reach maturity before fruiting. Despite risks, grapevines are cultivated at the edge of permissible climate and rely on cold hardiness monitoring programs to determine when cold damage mitigation and management practices are required. These monitoring programs represent a critical, but laborious process for tracking cold hardiness. To reduce the need for continuous monitoring, a model (WAUS.2) using cold hardiness data collected over many years from Washington state, USA, growers was published in 2014. Although the WAUS.2 model works well regionally, it underperforms in other regions. Therefore, the objective of this work was to develop a new model (NYUS.1) that incorporates recent knowledge of cold hardiness dynamics for better prediction outcomes. Cold hardiness data from V. labruscana ‘Concord’, and V. vinifera ‘Cabernet Sauvignon’ and ‘Riesling’ from Geneva, NY, USA were used. Data were separated in calibration (∼2/3) and validation (∼1/3) datasets. The proposed model uses three functions to describe acclimation, and two functions to describe deacclimation, with a total of nine optimized parameters. A shared chill response between acclimation and deacclimation provides a phased integration where acclimation responses decrease over the course of winter and are overcome by deacclimation. The NYUS.1 model outperforms the WAUS.2 model, reducing RMSE by up to 37% depending on cultivar. The NYUS.1 model also tends to be more conservative in its prediction, slightly underpredicting cold hardiness, as opposed to the overprediction from the WAUS.2 model. Some optimized parameters were shared between cultivars, suggesting conserved physiology was captured by the new model.