Cohort Consortium Research Articles

The Legacy of Redlining: Increasing Childhood Asthma Disparities through Neighborhood Poverty.

Rationale: Identifying the root causes of racial disparities in childhood asthma is critical for health equity. Objectives: To determine whether the racist policy of redlining in the 1930s led to present-day disparities in childhood asthma by increasing community-level poverty and decreasing neighborhood socioeconomic position (SEP). Methods: We categorized census tracts at the birth address of participants from the Children's Respiratory and Environmental Workgroup birth cohort consortium into categories A, B, C, and D as defined by the Home Owners Loan Corporation, with D being the highest perceived risk. Surrogates of present-day neighborhood-level SEP were determined for each tract, including the percentage of low-income households, the CDC's Social Vulnerability Index, and other tract-level variables. We performed causal mediation analysis, which, under the assumption of no unmeasured confounding, estimates the direct and mediated pathways by which redlining may cause asthma disparities through tract-level mediators adjusting for individual-level covariates. Measurements and Main Results: Of 4,849 children, the cumulative incidence of asthma through age 11 was 26.6%, and 13.2% resided in census tracts with a Home Owners Loan Corporation grade of D. In mediation analyses, residing in Grade-D tracts (adjusted odds ratio = 1.03 [95% confidence interval = 1.01, 1.05]) was significantly associated with childhood asthma, with 79% of this increased risk mediated by percentage of low-income households; results were similar for the Social Vulnerability Index and other tract-level variables. Conclusions: The historical structural racist policy of redlining led to present-day asthma disparities in part through decreased neighborhood SEP. Policies aimed at reversing the effects of structural racism should be considered to create more just, equitable, and healthy communities.

The association of overweight, obesity, and long-term obesity with SARS-CoV-2 infection: a meta-analysis of 9 population-based cohorts from the Netherlands Cohorts Consortium.

Obesity may affect an individual's immune response and subsequent risk of infection, such as a SARS-CoV-2 infection. It is less clear whether overweight and long-term obesity also constitute risk factors. We investigated the association between the degree and duration of overweight and obesity and SARS-CoV-2 infection. We analyzed data from nine prospective population-based cohorts of the Netherlands Cohorts Consortium, with a total of 99,570 participants, following a standardized procedure. Body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) were assessed two times before the pandemic, with approximately 5 years between measurements. SARS-CoV-2 infection was defined by self-report as a positive PCR or rapid-antigen test or as COVID-19 ascertained by a physician between March 2020 and January 2023. For three cohorts, information on SARS-CoV-2 infection by serology was available. Results were pooled using random-effects meta-analyses and adjusted for age, sex, educational level, and number of SARS-CoV-2 infection measurements. Individuals with overweight (25 ≤ BMI < 30 kg/m2) (odds ratio (OR) = 1.08, 95%-confidence interval (CI) 1.04-1.13) or obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) (OR = 1.43, 95%-CI 1.18-1.75) were more likely to report SARS-CoV-2 infection than individuals with a healthy body weight. We observed comparable ORs for abdominal overweight (men: 94 cm≤WC < 102 cm, women: 80 cm≤WC < 88 cm) (OR = 1.09, 95%-CI 1.04-1.14, I2 = 0%) and abdominal obesity (men: WC ≥ 102 cm, women: WC ≥ 88 cm) (OR = 1.24, 95%-CI 0.999-1.55, I2 = 57%). Individuals with obesity long before the pandemic, but with a healthy body weight or overweight just before the pandemic, were not at increased risk. Overweight and obesity were associated with increased risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection with stronger associations for obesity. Individuals with a healthier weight prior to the pandemic but previous obesity did not have an increased risk of SARS-CoV-2, suggesting that weight loss in those with obesity reduces infection risk. These results underline the importance of obesity prevention and weight management for public health.

Genetically predicted gut bacteria, circulating bacteria-associated metabolites and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: a Mendelian randomisation study

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has high mortality and rising incidence rates. Recent data indicate that the gut microbiome and associated metabolites may play a role in the development of PDAC. To complement and inform observational studies, we investigated associations of genetically predicted abundances of individual gut bacteria and genetically predicted circulating concentrations of microbiome-associated metabolites with PDAC using Mendelian randomisation (MR). Gut microbiome-associated metabolites were identified through a comprehensive search of Pubmed, Exposome Explorer and Human Metabolome Database. Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms (SNPs) associated by Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS) with circulating levels of 109 of these metabolites were collated from Pubmed and the GWAS catalogue. SNPs for 119 taxonomically defined gut genera were selected from a meta-analysis performed by the MiBioGen consortium. Two-sample MR was conducted using GWAS summary statistics from the Pancreatic Cancer Cohort Consortium (PanScan) and the Pancreatic Cancer Case-Control Consortium (PanC4), including a total of 8,769 cases and 7,055 controls. Inverse variance-weighted MR analyses were performed along with sensitivity analyses to assess potential violations of MR assumptions. Nominally significant associations were noted for genetically predicted circulating concentrations of mannitol (odds ratio per standard deviation [ORSD] = 0.97; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.95–0.99, p = 0.006), methionine (ORSD= 0.97; 95%CI: 0.94-1.00, p = 0.031), stearic acid (ORSD= 0.93; 95%CI: 0.87–0.99, p = 0.027), carnitine = (ORSD=1.01; 95% CI: 1.00-1.03, p = 0.027), hippuric acid (ORSD= 1.02; 95%CI: 1.00-1.04, p = 0.038) and 3-methylhistidine (ORSD= 1.05; 95%CI: 1.01–1.10, p = 0.02). Two gut microbiome genera were associated with reduced PDAC risk; Clostridium sensu stricto 1 (OR: 0.88; 95%CI: 0.78–0.99, p = 0.027) and Romboutsia (OR: 0.87; 95%CI: 0.80–0.96, p = 0.004). These results, though based only on genetically predicted gut microbiome characteristics and circulating bacteria-related metabolite concentrations, provide evidence for causal associations with pancreatic carcinogenesis.

Age at menarche by birth cohort: A pooled analysis of half a million women in Asia

ObjectivesTo evaluate changes in the age at menarche in Asian populations. Study designRetrospective cohort study. MethodsWe included 548,830 women from six countries in Asia. The data were sourced from 20 cohorts participating in the Asia Cohort Consortium (ACC) and two additional cohort studies: Japan Multi-institutional Collaborative Cohorts (J-MICC), and Japan Nurse Health Study (JNHS) with data on age at menarche. Joinpoint regression was used to evaluate changes in age at menarche by birth year and by country. ResultsThe study includes data from cohorts in six Asian countries namely, China, Iran, Japan, Korea, Malaysia and Singapore. Birth cohorts ranged from 1873 to 1995. The mean age of menarche was 14.0 years with a standard deviation (SD) of 1.4 years, ranged from 12.6 to 15.5 years. Over 100 years age at menarche showed an overall decrease in all six countries. China showed a mixed pattern of decrease, increase, and subsequent decrease from 1926 to 1960. Iran and Malaysia experienced a sharp decline between about 1985 and 1990, with APC values of −4.48 and −1.24, respectively, while Japan, South Korea, and Singapore exhibited a nearly linear decline since the 1980s, notably with an APC of −3.41 in Singapore from 1993 to 1995. ConclusionsOverall, we observed a declining age at menarche, while the pace of the change differed by country. Additional long-term observation is needed to examine the contributing factors of differences in trend across Asian countries. The study could serve as a tool to strengthen global health campaigns.

Association between family history with lung cancer incidence and mortality risk in the Asia Cohort Consortium.

Family history of lung cancer (FHLC) has been widely studied but most prospective cohort studies have primarily been conducted in non-Asian countries. We assessed the association between FHLC with risk of lung cancer (LC) incidence and mortality in a population of East Asian individuals. A total of 478,354 participants from 11 population-based cohorts in the Asia Cohort Consortium were included. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). A total of 7,785 LC incident cases were identified. FHLC (any LC subtype) was associated with an increased risk of LC incidence (HR = 1.45, 95% CI = 1.30-1.63). The positive association was observed in men and women (HR = 1.44, 95% CI = 1.26-1.66 in men; HR = 1.47, 95% CI = 1.22-1.79 in women), and in both never-smokers and ever-smokers (HR = 1.43, 95% CI = 1.18-1.73 in never-smokers; HR = 1.46, 95% CI =1.27-1.67 in ever-smokers). FHLC was associated with an increased risk of lung adenocarcinoma (HR = 1.63, 95% CI: 1.36-1. 94),squamous cell carcinoma (HR = 1.88, 95% CI: 1.46-2.44), and other non-small cell LC (HR = 1.94, 95% CI: 1.02-3.68). However, we found no evidence of significant effect modification by sex, smoking status, and ethnic groups. In conclusion, FHLC was associated with increased risk of LC incidence and mortality, and the associations remained consistent regardless of sex, smoking status and ethnic groups among the East Asian population.

Abstract A041: Assessing the impact of neighborhood structural racism on survival for African American men with prostate cancer; a population-based cancer registry study across eight US states

Abstract Background: African American (AA) men are more than twice as likely to die of prostate cancer (PC) compared to non-Hispanic White men in the US. Among AA men, we examined survival after PC diagnosis by neighborhood-level structural racism and whether its effects are mediated by neighborhood socioeconomic status (nSES). Methods: We pooled data for 133,241 AA men diagnosed with PC from 2000-2013 from ten population-based cancer registries across eight states (CA, Detroit, FL, GA, LA, NJ, NY, TX) of the RESPOND Study (Research on Prostate Cancer among African American Men). Residential addresses at PC diagnosis were geocoded and appended to census block-group measures of structural racism (contemporary redlining, racial/ethnic segregation typology, and racial bias in mortgage lending) and nSES, an index comprising measures of income, education, occupation, employment, and housing. We used Cox models and the %mediation SAS macro for causal mediation to assess overall and PC- specific survival according to structural racism and to quantify the extent to which survival differences were mediated by nSES. Models were adjusted for diagnosis year and age, state of residence, and marital status. Results: There were 46,830 deaths overall with 12,272 PC-specific deaths among the study population. Greater mortality risk was observed among AA men residing in neighborhoods in the highest compared to lowest quartile of redlining (total effect) for both overall survival (Hazards ratio [HR]=1.26; 95% CI=1.22, 1.31) and PC-specific survival (HR=1.30; 95% CI=1.21-1.39). Neighborhood SES mediated 59% and 47% of the effect of redlining, resulting in natural direct effects of HR=1.11 (95% CI=1.05, 1.17) and HR=1.16 (95% CI=1.04, 1.29) for overall and PC-specific survival, respectively. Compared to predominantly White neighborhoods, AA men residing in neighborhoods with all other racial/ethnic typologies had greater overall and PC-specific mortality risk, with largest risk for neighborhoods with predominantly AA or mixed with Hispanic and AA residents. Neighborhood SES completely mediated the effect of racial/ethnic typology on survival for all typologies except that of mixed Hispanic and Black residents (37% and 25% mediation by nSES for overall and PC-specific survival, respectively). There was no association between racial bias in mortgage lending and survival. Results from models additionally adjusted for prognosis (Prostate Cancer Cohort Consortium [PC3] classification of aggressive disease) and treatment (receipt of surgery, radiation, chemotherapy, or hormone therapy) were similar. Conclusions: Neighborhood SES explains substantial portions of the impact of redlining and racial/ethnic typology on overall and PC-specific survival among AA men across eight states in the US. Remaining survival differences for the most redlined neighborhoods and neighborhoods with a mix of Hispanic and Black residents independent of nSES suggest alternative pathways for the impact of neighborhood structural racism on mortality risk for AA men with PC. Citation Format: Mindy C. DeRouen, Meera Sangaramoorthy, Katherine Lin, Annie Vu, Dan Meltzer, Pushkar Inamdar, Yuhong Zhou, Kevin Ward, Xiao-Cheng Wu, Antoinette Stroup, Jennifer Beebe-Dimmer, Anshu Shrestha, Aaron P. Thrift, Margaret Gates-Kuliszewski, Peter Kanetsky, Tamara Lotan, Anthony Colombo, David Conti, Christopher Haiman, Ann Hamilton, Kirsten Beyer, Joseph Gibbons, Iona Cheng, Salma Shariff-Marco, Scarlett Gomez. Assessing the impact of neighborhood structural racism on survival for African American men with prostate cancer; a population-based cancer registry study across eight US states [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 17th AACR Conference on the Science of Cancer Health Disparities in Racial/Ethnic Minorities and the Medically Underserved; 2024 Sep 21-24; Los Angeles, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2024;33(9 Suppl):Abstract nr A041.

Greater exposure to PM2.5 and PM10 was associated with lower corneal nerve measures: the Maastricht study - a cross-sectional study

BackgroundEpidemiological and toxicological studies indicate that increased exposure to air pollutants can lead to neurodegenerative diseases. To further confirm this relationship, we evaluated the association between exposure to ambient air pollutants and corneal nerve measures as a surrogate for neurodegeneration, using corneal confocal microscopy.MethodsWe used population-based observational cross-sectional data from The Maastricht Study including N = 3635 participants (mean age 59.3 years, 51.6% were women, and 19.9% had type 2 diabetes) living in the Maastricht area. Using the Geoscience and hEalth Cohort COnsortium (GECCO) data we linked the yearly average exposure levels of ambient air pollutants at home address-level [particulate matter with diameters of ≤ 2.5 µm (PM2.5), and ≤ 10.0 µm (PM10), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and elemental carbon (EC)]. We used linear regression analysis to study the associations between Z-score for ambient air pollutants concentrations (PM2.5, PM10, NO2, and EC) and Z-score for individual corneal nerve measures (corneal nerve bifurcation density, corneal nerve density, corneal nerve length, and fractal dimension).ResultsAfter adjustment for potential confounders (age, sex, level of education, glucose metabolism status, corneal confocal microscopy lag time, inclusion year of participants, smoking status, and alcohol consumption), higher Z-scores for PM2.5 and PM10 were associated with lower Z-scores for corneal nerve bifurcation density, nerve density, nerve length, and nerve fractal dimension [stβ (95% CI): PM2.5 -0.10 (-0.14; -0.05), -0.04 (-0.09; 0.01), -0.11 (-0.16; -0.06), -0.20 (-0.24; -0.15); and PM10 -0.08 (-0.13; -0.03), -0.04 (-0.09; 0.01), -0.08 (-0.13; -0.04), -0.17 (-0.21; -0.12)], respectively. No associations were found between NO2 and EC and corneal nerve measures.ConclusionsOur population-based study demonstrated that exposure to higher levels of PM2.5 and PM10 are associated with higher levels of corneal neurodegeneration, estimated from lower corneal nerve measures. Our results suggest that air pollution may be a determinant for neurodegeneration assessed in the cornea and may impact the ocular surface health as well.

Evaluation of risk prediction models to select lung cancer screening participants in Europe: a prospective cohort consortium analysis

Lung cancer risk prediction models might efficiently identify individuals who should be offered lung cancer screening. However, their performance has not been comprehensively evaluated in Europe. We aimed to externally validate and evaluate the performance of several risk prediction models that predict lung cancer incidence or mortality in prospective European cohorts. We analysed 240 137 participants aged 45-80 years with a current or former smoking history from nine European countries in four prospective cohorts from the pooled database of the Lung Cancer Cohort Consortium: the Alpha-Tocopherol, Beta-Carotene Cancer Prevention Study (Finland), the Nord-Trøndelag Health Study (Norway), CONSTANCES (France), and the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (Denmark, Germany, Italy, Spain, Sweden, the Netherlands, and Norway). We evaluated ten lung cancer risk models, which comprised the Bach, the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial 2012 model (PLCOm2012), the Lung Cancer Risk Assessment Tool (LCRAT), the Lung Cancer Death Risk Assessment Tool (LCDRAT), the Nord-Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT), the Optimized Early Warning Model for Lung Cancer Risk (OWL), the University College London-Death (UCLD), the University College London-Incidence (UCLI), the Liverpool Lung Project version 2 (LLP version 2), and the Liverpool Lung Project version 3 (LLP version 3) models. We quantified model calibration as the ratio of expected to observed cases or deaths and discrimination using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). For each model, we also identified risk thresholds that would screen the same number of individuals as each of the US Preventive Services Task Force 2021 (USPSTF-2021), the US Preventive Services Task Force 2013 (USPSTF-2013), and the Nederlands-Leuvens Longkanker Screenings Onderzoek (NELSON) criteria. Among the participants, 1734 lung cancer cases and 1072 lung cancer deaths occurred within five years of enrolment. Most models had reasonable calibration in most countries, although the LLP version 2 overpredicted risk by more than 50% in eight countries (expected to observed ≥1·50). The PLCOm2012, LCDRAT, LCRAT, Bach, HUNT, OWL, UCLD, and UCLI models showed similar discrimination in most countries, with AUCs ranging from 0·68 (95% CI 0·59-0·77) to 0·83 (0·78-0·89), whereas the LLP version 2 and LLP version 3 showed lower discrimination, with AUCs ranging from 0·64 (95% CI 0·57-0·72) to 0·78 (0·74-0·83). When pooling data from all countries (but excluding the HUNT cohort), 33·9% (73 313 of 216 387) of individuals were eligible by USPSTF-2021 criteria, which included 74·8% (1185) of lung cancers and 76·3% (730) of lung cancer deaths occurring over 5 years. Fewer individuals were selected by USPSTF-2013 and NELSON criteria. After applying thresholds to select a population of equal size to USPSTF-2021, the PLCOm2012, LCDRAT, LCRAT, Bach, HUNT, OWL, UCLD, and UCLI, models identified 77·6%-79·1% of future cases, although they selected slightly older individuals compared with USPSTF-2021 criteria. Results were similar for USPSTF-2013 and NELSON. Several lung cancer risk prediction models showed good performance in European countries and might improve the efficiency of lung cancer screening if used in place of categorical eligibility criteria. US National Cancer Institute, l'Institut National du Cancer, Cancer Research UK.

Integrase strand transfer inhibitor (INSTI) related changes in BMI and risk of diabetes: a prospective study from the RESPOND cohort consortium.

With integrase strand transfer inhibitor (INSTI) use associated with increased body mass index (BMI) and BMI increases associated with higher diabetes mellitus (DM) risk, this study explored the relationship between INSTI/non-INSTI regimens, BMI changes, and DM risk. RESPOND participants were included if they had CD4, HIV RNA, and ≥ 2 BMI measurements during follow up. Those with prior DM were excluded. DM was defined as a random blood glucose ≥ 11·1 mmol/L, HbA1c ≥ 6·5%/48 mmol/mol, use of antidiabetic medication, or site reported clinical diagnosis. Poisson regression assessed the association between natural log (ln) of time-updated BMI, current INSTI/non-INSTI, and their interactions, on DM risk. Among 20,865 people with HIV included, most were male (74%) and White (73%). Baseline median age was 45 years (IQR 37-52), with a median BMI of 24 kg/m2 (IQR 22-26). There were 785 DM diagnoses with a crude rate of 0·73 (95%CI 0·68-0·78)/100 PYFU. Ln(BMI) was strongly associated with DM (adjusted incidence rate ratio (aIRR) 16·54 per log increase, 95%CI 11·33-24·13; p<0·001). Current INSTI use associated with increased DM risk (IRR 1·58, 95%CI 1·37-1·82; p<0·001) in univariate analyses, only partially attenuated when adjusted for variables including ln(BMI) (aIRR 1·48, 95%CI 1·29-1·71; p<0·001). There was no interaction between ln(BMI), INSTI and non-INSTI use, and DM (p=0·130). In RESPOND, compared with non-INSTIs, current use of INSTIs was associated with an increased DM risk, which partially attenuated when adjusted for BMI changes and other variables.

Identification and Validation of a Novel Tertiary Lymphoid Structures-Related Prognostic Gene Signature in Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignant tumors originating from the digestive system. Tertiary lymphoid structures (TLS), non-lymphoid tissues outside of the lymphoid organs, are closely connected to chronic inflammation and tumorigenesis. However, the detailed relationship between TLS and HCC prognosis remained unclear. In this study, we aimed to construct a TLS-related gene signature for predicting the prognosis of HCC patients. The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) clinical data from 369 HCC tissues and 50 normal liver tissues were utilized to examine the differential expression of TLS-related genes. Based on least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression analysis, the prognostic model was constructed using the TCGA cohort and validated in the GSE14520 cohort and International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) cohort. The Kaplan-Meier (KM) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were employed to validate the predictive ability of the prognostic model. Furthermore, Cox regression analysis was applied to identify whether the TLS score could be employed as an independent prognosis factor. A nomogram was developed to predict the survival probability of HCC patients. Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathways were performed for TLS-related genes. Genetic mutation analysis, the CIBERSORT algorithm, and single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA) were used to assess the tumor mutation landscape and immune infiltration. Finally, the role of the TLS score in HCC therapy was investigated. Six genes were included in the construction of our prognostic model (CETP, DNASE1L3, PLAC8, SKAP1, C7, and VNN2), and we validated its accuracy. Survival analysis showed that patients in the high-TLS score group had a significantly better overall survival than those in the low-TLS score group. Univariate, multivariate Cox regression analysis and the establishment of a nomogram indicated that the TLS score could independently function as a potential prognostic marker. A significant association between TLS score and immunity was revealed by an analysis of gene alterations and immune cell infiltration. In addition, two subtypes of the TLS score could accurately predict the effectiveness of sorafenib, transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE), and immunotherapy in HCC patients. In this research, we conducted and validated a prognostic model associated with TLS that may be helpful for predicting clinical outcomes and treatment responsiveness for HCC patients.

Body Mass Index and Risk of Colorectal Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Asia

The global burden of obesity is increasing, as are colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and mortality. To assess the association between body mass index (BMI) and risks of incident CRC and CRC-related death in the Asian population. This cohort study includes data pooled from 17 prospective cohort studies included in The Asia Cohort Consortium. Cohort enrollment was conducted from January 1, 1984, to December 31, 2002. Median follow-up time was 15.2 years (IQR, 12.1-19.2 years). Data were analyzed from January 15, 2023, through January 15, 2024. Body mass index, calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared. The primary outcomes were CRC incidence and CRC-related mortality. The risk of events is reported as adjusted hazard ratios (AHRs) and 95% CIs for incident CRC and death from CRC using the Cox proportional hazards regression model. To assess the risk of incident CRC, 619 981 participants (mean [SD] age, 53.8 [10.1] years; 52.0% female; 11 900 diagnosed incident CRC cases) were included in the study, and to assess CRC-related mortality, 650 195 participants (mean [SD] age, 53.5 [10.2] years; 51.9% female; 4550 identified CRC deaths) were included in the study. A positive association between BMI and risk of CRC was observed among participants with a BMI greater than 25.0 to 27.5 (AHR, 1.09 [95% CI, 1.03-1.16]), greater than 27.5 to 30.0 (AHR, 1.19 [95% CI, 1.11-1.29]), and greater than 30.0 (AHR, 1.32 [95% CI, 1.19-1.46]) compared with those with a BMI greater than 23.0 to 25.0 (P < .001 for trend), and BMI was associated with a greater increase in risk for colon cancer than for rectal cancer. A similar association between BMI and CRC-related death risk was observed among participants with a BMI greater than 27.5 (BMI >27.5-30.0: AHR, 1.18 [95% CI, 1.04-1.34]; BMI >30.0: AHR, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.18-1.62]; P < .001 for trend) and was present among men with a BMI greater than 30.0 (AHR, 1.87 [95% CI, 1.49-2.34]; P < .001 for trend) but not among women (P = .15 for trend) (P = .02 for heterogeneity). In this cohort study that included a pooled analysis of 17 cohort studies comprising participants across Asia, a positive association between BMI and CRC incidence and related mortality was found. The risk was greater among men and participants with colon cancer. These findings may have implications to better understand the burden of obesity on CRC incidence and related deaths in the Asian population.

Association of maternal fish consumption and ω-3 supplement use during pregnancy with child autism-related outcomes: results from a cohort consortium analysis

BackgroundPrenatal fish intake is a key source of omega-3 (ω-3) polyunsaturated fatty acids needed for brain development, yet intake is generally low, and studies addressing associations with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) and related traits are lacking. ObjectiveThis study aimed to examine associations of prenatal fish intake and ω-3 supplement use with both autism diagnosis and broader autism-related traits. MethodsParticipants were drawn from 32 cohorts in the Environmental influences on Child Health Outcomes Cohort Consortium. Children were born between 1999 and 2019 and part of ongoing follow-up with data available for analysis by August 2022. Exposures included self-reported maternal fish intake and ω-3/fish oil supplement use during pregnancy. Outcome measures included parent report of clinician-diagnosed ASD and parent-reported autism-related traits measured by the Social Responsiveness Scale (SRS)-second edition (n = 3939 and v3609 for fish intake analyses, respectively; n = 4537 and n = 3925 for supplement intake analyses, respectively). ResultsIn adjusted regression models, relative to no fish intake, fish intake during pregnancy was associated with reduced odds of autism diagnosis (odds ratio: 0.84; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.77, 0.92), and a modest reduction in raw total SRS scores (β: −1.69; 95% CI: −3.3, −0.08). Estimates were similar across categories of fish consumption from “any” or “less than once per week” to “more than twice per week.” For ω-3 supplement use, relative to no use, no significant associations with autism diagnosis were identified, whereas a modest relation with SRS score was suggested (β: 1.98; 95% CI: 0.33, 3.64). ConclusionsThese results extend previous work by suggesting that prenatal fish intake, but not ω-3 supplement use, may be associated with lower likelihood of both autism diagnosis and related traits. Given the low-fish intake in the United States general population and the rising autism prevalence, these findings suggest the need for better public health messaging regarding guidelines on fish intake for pregnant individuals.

Associations of neighborhood social cohesion and changes in BMI-The Maastricht Study.

The role of the social environment can facilitate positive health outcomes through active community engagement, normalization of healthy behaviors, and stress buffering. We aim to examine the associations of neighborhood social cohesion with changes in BMI over time. A total of 7641 participants from The Maastricht Study between the ages of 40 and 75 years were analyzed. Weight and height were measured at baseline, and weight was self-reported annually up to 10 years of follow-up (median = 4.7 years). Perceived social cohesion was obtained by questionnaire. Home addresses for each participant were linked to geographic information system data from the Geoscience and Health Cohort Consortium to create neighborhood exposure variables including area level social cohesion, neighborhood walkability, and food environment within a 1000 m Euclidian buffer. Linear regression analyses were performed with BMI adjusted for socioeconomic variables. A mixed model analysis was carried out to examine changes in BMI. Living in the highest quartile area of individually perceived social cohesion was associated with lower BMI (Q4 B: -.53; 95% CI = -.79, -.28) compared to the lowest quartile. Similar findings were discovered using the area level measure (Q4 B: -.97; 95% CI = -1.29, -.65). There was no longitudinal association between social cohesion and BMI. Neighborhood social cohesion was associated with lower BMI classifying it as an obesogenic area characteristic that influences weight, independent of conventional built environment features.

Prediction of motor and non-motor Parkinson’s disease symptoms using serum lipidomics and machine learning: a 2-year study

Identifying biological factors which contribute to the clinical progression of heterogeneous motor and non-motor phenotypes in Parkinson’s disease may help to better understand the disease process. Several lipid-related genetic risk factors for Parkinson’s disease have been identified, and the serum lipid signature of Parkinson’s disease patients is significantly distinguishable from controls. However, the extent to which lipid profiles are associated with clinical outcomes remains unclear. Untargeted high-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry identified >900 serum lipids in Parkinson’s disease subjects at baseline (n = 122), and the potential for machine learning models using these lipids to predict motor and non-motor clinical scores after 2 years (n = 67) was assessed. Machine learning models performed best when baseline serum lipids were used to predict the 2-year future Unified Parkinson’s disease rating scale part three (UPDRS III) and Geriatric Depression Scale scores (both normalised root mean square error = 0.7). Feature analysis of machine learning models indicated that species of lysophosphatidylethanolamine, phosphatidylcholine, platelet-activating factor, sphingomyelin, diacylglycerol and triacylglycerol were top predictors of both motor and non-motor scores. Serum lipids were overall more important predictors of clinical outcomes than subject sex, age and mutation status of the Parkinson’s disease risk gene LRRK2. Furthermore, lipids were found to better predict clinical scales than a panel of 27 serum cytokines previously measured in this cohort (The Michael J. Fox Foundation LRRK2 Clinical Cohort Consortium). These results suggest that lipid changes may be associated with clinical phenotypes in Parkinson’s disease.

Long-term exposure to particulate matter and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in an analysis of multiple Asian cohorts

BackgroundExposure to ambient air pollution is associated with a significant number of deaths. Much of the evidence associating air pollution with adverse effects is from North American and Europe, partially due to incomplete data in other regions limiting location specific examinations. The aim of the current paper is to leverage satellite derived air quality data to examine the relationship between ambient particulate matter and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in Asia. MethodsSix cohorts from the Asia Cohort Consortium provided residential information for participants, recruited between 1991 and 2008, across six countries (Bangladesh, India, Iran, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan). Ambient particulate material (PM2·5) levels for the year of enrolment (or 1998 if enrolled earlier) were assigned utilizing satellite and sensor-based maps. Cox proportional models were used to examine the association between ambient air pollution and all-cause and cause-specific mortality (all cancer, lung cancer, cardiovascular and lung disease). Models were additionally adjusted for urbanicity (representing urban and built characteristics) and stratified by smoking status in secondary analyses. Country-specific findings were pooled via random-effects meta-analysis. FindingsMore than 300,000 participants across six cohorts were included, representing more than 4-million-person years. A positive relationship was observed between a 5 µg/m (Dockery et al., 1993) increase in PM2·5 and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1·06, 95 % CI: 0.99, 1·13). The additional adjustment for urbanicity resulted in increased associations between PM2.5 and mortality outcomes, including all-cause mortality (1·04, 95 % CI: 0·97, 1·11). Results were generally similar regardless of whether one was a current, never, or ex-smoker. InterpretationUsing satellite and remote sensing technology we showed that associations between PM2.5 and all-cause and cause-specific Hazard Ratios estimated are similar to those reported for U.S. and European cohorts. FundingThis project was supported by the Health Effects Institute. Grant number #4963-RFA/18–5. Specific funding support for individual cohorts is described in the Acknowledgements.

Exposome-Wide Association Study of Body Mass Index Using a Novel Meta-Analytical Approach for Random Forest Models.

Overweight and obesity impose a considerable individual and social burden, and the urban environments might encompass factors that contribute to obesity. Nevertheless, there is a scarcity of research that takes into account the simultaneous interaction of multiple environmental factors. Our objective was to perform an exposome-wide association study of body mass index (BMI) in a multicohort setting of 15 studies. Studies were affiliated with the Dutch Geoscience and Health Cohort Consortium (GECCO), had different population sizes (688-141,825), and covered the entire Netherlands. Ten studies contained general population samples, others focused on specific populations including people with diabetes or impaired hearing. BMI was calculated from self-reported or measured height and weight. Associations with 69 residential neighborhood environmental factors (air pollution, noise, temperature, neighborhood socioeconomic and demographic factors, food environment, drivability, and walkability) were explored. Random forest (RF) regression addressed potential nonlinear and nonadditive associations. In the absence of formal methods for multimodel inference for RF, a rank aggregation-based meta-analytic strategy was used to summarize the results across the studies. Six exposures were associated with BMI: five indicating neighborhood economic or social environments (average home values, percentage of high-income residents, average income, livability score, share of single residents) and one indicating the physical activity environment (walkability in buffer area). Living in high-income neighborhoods and neighborhoods with higher livability scores was associated with lower BMI. Nonlinear associations were observed with neighborhood home values in all studies. Lower neighborhood home values were associated with higher BMI scores but only for values up to . The directions of associations were less consistent for walkability and share of single residents. Rank aggregation made it possible to flexibly combine the results from various studies, although between-study heterogeneity could not be estimated quantitatively based on RF models. Neighborhood social, economic, and physical environments had the strongest associations with BMI. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP13393.

Host factors are associated with vaginal microbiome structure in pregnancy in the ECHO Cohort Consortium

Using pooled vaginal microbiota data from pregnancy cohorts (N = 683 participants) in the Environmental influences on Child Health Outcomes (ECHO) Program, we analyzed 16S rRNA gene amplicon sequences to identify clinical and demographic host factors that associate with vaginal microbiota structure in pregnancy both within and across diverse cohorts. Using PERMANOVA models, we assessed factors associated with vaginal community structure in pregnancy, examined whether host factors were conserved across populations, and tested the independent and combined effects of host factors on vaginal community state types (CSTs) using multinomial logistic regression models. Demographic and social factors explained a larger amount of variation in the vaginal microbiome in pregnancy than clinical factors. After adjustment, lower education, rather than self-identified race, remained a robust predictor of L. iners dominant (CST III) and diverse (CST IV) (OR = 8.44, 95% CI = 4.06–17.6 and OR = 4.18, 95% CI = 1.88–9.26, respectively). In random forest models, we identified specific taxonomic features of host factors, particularly urogenital pathogens associated with pregnancy complications (Aerococcus christensenii and Gardnerella spp.) among other facultative anaerobes and key markers of community instability (L. iners). Sociodemographic factors were robustly associated with vaginal microbiota structure in pregnancy and should be considered as sources of variation in human microbiome studies.

Diabetes and gastric cancer incidence and mortality in the Asia Cohort Consortium: A pooled analysis of more than a half million participants.

Evidence suggests a possible link between diabetes and gastric cancer risk, but the findings remain inconclusive, with limited studies in the Asian population. We aimed to assess the impact of diabetes and diabetes duration on the development of gastric cancer overall, by anatomical and histological subtypes. A pooled analysis was conducted using 12 prospective studies included in the Asia Cohort Consortium. Among 558 981 participants (median age 52), after a median follow-up of 14.9 years and 10.5 years, 8556 incident primary gastric cancers and 8058 gastric cancer deaths occurred, respectively. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to estimate study-specific hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and pooled using random-effects meta-analyses. Diabetes was associated with an increased incidence of overall gastric cancer (HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.06-1.25). The risk association did not differ significantly by sex (women vs men: HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.07-1.60 vs 1.12, 1.01-1.23), anatomical subsites (noncardia vs cardia: 1.14, 1.02-1.28 vs 1.17, 0.77-1.78) and histological subtypes (intestinal vs diffuse: 1.22, 1.02-1.46 vs 1.00, 0.62-1.61). Gastric cancer risk increased significantly during the first decade following diabetes diagnosis (HR 4.70, 95% CI 3.77-5.86), and decreased with time (nonlinear p < .01). Positive associations between diabetes and gastric cancer mortality were observed (HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.03-1.28) but attenuated after a 2-year time lag. Diabetes was associated with an increased gastric cancer incidence regardless of sex, anatomical subsite, or subtypes of gastric cancer. The risk of gastric cancer was particularly high during the first decade following diabetes diagnosis.

Association of common maternal infections with birth outcomes: a multinational cohort study.

It is unclear whether common maternal infections during pregnancy are risk factors for adverse birth outcomes. We assessed the association between self-reported infections during pregnancy with preterm birth and small-for-gestational-age (SGA) in an international cohort consortium. Data on 120,507 pregnant women were obtained from six population-based birth cohorts in Australia, Denmark, Israel, Norway, the UK and the USA. Self-reported common infections during pregnancy included influenza-like illness, common cold, any respiratory tract infection, vaginal thrush, vaginal infections, cystitis, urinary tract infection, and the symptoms fever and diarrhoea. Birth outcomes included preterm birth, low birth weight and SGA. Associations between maternal infections and birth outcomes were first assessed using Poisson regression in each cohort and then pooled using random-effect meta-analysis. Risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated, adjusted for potential confounders. Vaginal infections (pooled RR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.02-1.20) and urinary tract infections (pooled RR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.09-1.26) during pregnancy were associated with higher risk of preterm birth. Similar associations with low birth weight were also observed for these two infections. Fever during pregnancy was associated with higher risk of SGA (pooled RR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.02-1.12). No other significant associations were observed between maternal infections/symptoms and birth outcomes. Vaginal infections and urinary infections during pregnancy were associated with a small increased risk of preterm birth and low birth weight, whereas fever was associated with SGA. These findings require confirmation in future studies with laboratory-confirmed infection diagnosis.

Diabetes is associated with increased liver cancer incidence and mortality in adults: A report from Asia Cohort Consortium.

There has been growing evidence suggesting that diabetes may be associated with increased liver cancer risk. However, studies conducted in Asian countries are limited. This project considered data of 968,738 adults pooled from 20 cohort studies of Asia Cohort Consortium to examine the association between baseline diabetes and liver cancer incidence and mortality. Cox proportional hazard model and competing risk approach was used for pooled data. Two-stage meta-analysis across studies was also done. There were 839,194 subjects with valid data regarding liver cancer incidence (5654 liver cancer cases [48.29/100,000 person-years]), follow-up time and baseline diabetes (44,781 with diabetes [5.3%]). There were 747,198 subjects with valid data regarding liver cancer mortality (5020 liver cancer deaths [44.03/100,000 person-years]), follow-up time and baseline diabetes (43,243 with diabetes [5.8%]). Hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval [95%CI]) of liver cancer diagnosis in those with vs. without baseline diabetes was 1.97 (1.79, 2.16) (p < .0001) after adjusting for baseline age, gender, body mass index, tobacco smoking, alcohol use, and heterogeneity across studies (n = 586,072; events = 4620). Baseline diabetes was associated with increased cumulative incidence of death due to liver cancer (adjusted HR (95%CI) = 1.97 (1.79, 2.18); p < .0001) (n = 595,193; events = 4110). A two-stage meta-analytic approach showed similar results. This paper adds important population-based evidence to current literature regarding the increased incidence and mortality of liver cancer in adults with diabetes. The analysis of data pooled from 20 studies of different Asian countries and the meta-analysis across studies with large number of subjects makes the results robust.