Coastal Resources Research Articles

Arrested development and increased incidence of sandprawn embryonic aberrations along an intertidal human recreation gradient.

Anthropogenic pressures are increasing in coastal ecosystems globally, yet identifying robust indicators of change and managing coastal resources can be complicated by phenotypic plasticity and differential life-history responses of key organisms. We illustrate this using biogeochemical and sandprawn (Kraussillichirus kraussi) response metrics along a human recreation gradient (trampling, sandprawn harvesting) in a South African lagoonal ecosystem. Benthic compaction, oxygen depletion and high porewater ammonia concentrations were associated with greatest recreation intensity. Sandprawn abundance was similar across the recreation gradient and body condition was counter-intuitively greater in areas with maximum recreation, but with higher frequencies of embryonic aberrations and arrested development. These findings suggest different vulnerabilities of life-history stages of sandprawns to recreation, with embryonic stages being highly susceptible. We suggest that embryonic aberrations and developmental changes in endobenthic crustaceans may be sensitive bioindicators of recreation-induced changes in sedimentary systems.

High-accuracy bathymetric method fusing ICESAT-2 datasets and the two-media photogrammetry model

Improving the accuracy of nearshore bathymetric measurements is essential for understanding coastal environments, resource management, and navigation. The Ice, Cloud, and Land Elevation Satellite-2 (ICESat-2) is the first laser satellite that uses the photon-counting technique. The ICESat-2 is equipped with the Advanced Topographic Laser Altimeter System (ATLAS), which enables higher-accuracy measurements of water, ice, and land elevation on Earth. Two-media photogrammetric bathymetry is a type of nearshore bathymetric technology that uses the geometrical characteristics of light rays. With this technique, the accuracy and reliability mainly depend on eliminating systematic errors and ensuring accurate spatial photogrammetric positioning relative to the object being measured. To improve the bathymetric accuracy of two-media photogrammetry, we integrated high-accuracy elevation data from photon datasets as constraining and control parameters. The improved method effectively eliminated systematic errors in two-media photogrammetry during the established joint-block adjustment model. To improve its accuracy and reliability, we employed multispectral WorldView-2 stereo images in our experiments. Furthermore, the bathymetric results were validated and assessed using in situ and photon data. The experimental results show that the highest accuracy achieved with the bathymetric measurements in our study area was a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.96 m and a mean absolute error of 0.57 m. Using the proposed fusion method, the bathymetric accuracy (as measured using the RMSE) was 1 m higher than that of two-media photogrammetry without the photon datasets.

Blue Accounting Literacy Perspective on the Tourism Sector in Indonesia

This research aims to analyze the challenges, role of government, and understanding of stakeholders in managing marine and coastal resources in Indonesia through the Blue Accounting approach. This research uses qualitative methodology with literature analysis of twenty-five relevant articles. The data was analyzed to identify the main challenges, government role, and stakeholder understanding in implementing Blue Accounting. Management of marine and coastal resources in Indonesia faces various challenges, including inadequate infrastructure and low public awareness. The government's role is critical in developing regulations, coordinating conservation efforts, and involving stakeholders. Stakeholder understanding of Blue Accounting and multi-stakeholder collaboration have proven effective in overcoming these challenges and improving resource welfare. This research provides insight into the importance of strong regulation, public education, and collaboration between governments, communities, and the private sector in the management of marine and coastal resources. The practical implications are the need to develop a blue accounting model that is more integrated with information and communication technology to improve the effectiveness of environmental monitoring and management. The study emphasizes the importance of data-based Blue Accounting approaches and multi-stakeholder collaboration in marine and coastal resource management, which has not been much applied in previous research.

A global analysis of nearshore and submarine springs: spatial distribution, controlling factors, and probability of presence

Coastal springs act as bi-directionally preferential flow paths between coastal aquifers and oceans. While these springs can supply coastal ecosystems with nutrients, they also present vulnerabilities such as contamination and seawater intrusion. Despite their significance, substantial knowledge gaps exist regarding coastal springs due to their complex hydrogeological nature. This study provides a comprehensive global assessment of coastal springs, focusing on their distribution, controlling factors, and likelihood of occurrence. A global dataset of known coastal springs was compiled and analyzed, revealing 66 % of identified springs in the Mediterranean region, mainly linked to karst systems. In contrast, fewer springs were noted in Africa, South America, and South Asia. Key factors influencing spring occurrence were examined using geostatistical methods and integrated into a multi-criteria decision-making framework to develop a Coastal Spring Probability Index (CSPI) along coastline. High-potential areas for coastal springs were identified in regions characterized by significant carbonate and volcanic rock formations, wetter climates, and active tectonic margins, such as southern Europe, the Caribbean, tropical islands, and eastern Asia. Conversely, regions with dry climates and high water demand, such as North Africa and South America, exhibited a lower likelihood of spring presence. These findings will serve as a baseline for local-scale studies and aimed at improving coastal spring inventories and establishing monitoring networks. It will contribute to vulnerability assessment studies, thereby enhancing the management of coastal groundwater resources. The study emphasizes the importance of multidisciplinary approaches to understand coastal spring dynamics and advocates for a strategic planning in groundwater management and conservation. Ongoing efforts to inventory and monitor coastal springs, coupled with targeted conservation measures, are essential for ensuring the long-term sustainability of coastal water resources and ecosystems.

Outdoor recreation contributes to ecological changes along coastlines: Temperate United States cases highlight key impacts and ways forward

Coastal natural areas including sandy and rocky beaches comprise some of the United States’ most critical recreational and ecological resources. Through collaboration, governmental conservation agencies and non-profits forecast that over 2 billion coastline visits occur each year. Under contemporary conditions, coastal resource overuse endangers the integrity of both social and ecological systems. Existing and mounting concerns call for different coastal zone management strategies, including research into poorly understood and emerging disturbances. This work explains how recreational disturbances influence coastal environments through wildlife behavior changes, plant dynamics, and the quality of abiotic ecosystem elements. Atlantic and Pacific cases indicate that some outdoor recreation systems strongly affect habitat quality, sensitive species, and interacting communities. New insight into outdoor recreation’s contributions to ecosystem change will inform how coastal zone management agencies can implement stronger co-existence strategies for people and nature.

Seasonal Distribution of Key Small-Sized Fish in the South Inshore of Zhejiang, China

Small-sized fish are a vital food source for large predatory commercial fish and play a key role in marine food webs, bridging lower and higher trophic levels. They are indispensable in maintaining the energy flow and material cycling within aquatic ecosystems. This study utilized bottom-trawl survey data from 2017 to 2020 along the south inshore of Zhejiang, China, complemented by concurrent environmental data, to examine the influence of environmental factors on the resource density and seasonal distribution patterns of four dominant small-sized fish species. The research findings indicated that SSH (sea surface height) and Chl (chlorophyll-a concentration) emerged as the key environmental factors influencing resource densities, with all four species exhibiting similar preferences toward these variables. However, significant disparities were observed in their preferences for SST (sea surface temperature), SSS (sea surface salinity), and DO (dissolved oxygen). The various species’ resource density and distribution patterns underwent significant seasonal variations. Additionally, the seasons and regions with the highest resource densities consistently aligned, occurring predominantly in autumn within the northern waters of the study area. This research further elucidated the environmental predilections and seasonal spatial distribution traits of small-sized fish in the south inshore of Zhejiang, an important feeding ground for economic fish species in the East China Sea. This provides scientific backing for forecasting alterations in coastal fishery resources under environmental and climate change scenarios and supports ecosystem-based fisheries management strategies.

Intelligent Hazard Assessment of Mangrove Degradation

Mangrove ecosystems face multiple threats from human activities and natural disasters, posing a threat to their existence. The results of the automated system-cognitive analysis implemented in the intellectual system Eidos and allowing to assess the danger of degradation of mangrove forests are presented. Factors that have a negative and positive impact on the well-being of mangrove ecosystems are taken into account, and the strength and direction of the influence of each threat are determined. The results of the study can be used by coastal protection funds in many countries of the world due to the fact that the Eidos system is available free of charge on the Internet, and it is possible to change the user interface language to another most common language in the world. The application of the new research methodology will provide valuable information on the risk of degradation of mangrove forests in the current conditions of their growth in order to take timely measures for their conservation. By understanding the threats that the mangrove ecosystem faces, effective management practices can be applied that contribute to the conservation and sustainable development of this vital coastal resource

Supervision of Panglima Laot Lhok in Preventing Illegal Fishing

The Laot Customary Law Institution, led by a Panglima Laot, is a traditional institution that regulates the use and management of coastal and marine resources. This institution is responsible for implementing and supervising customary rules in the maritime sector which have been established and decided through customary deliberations of the sea handlers living in the area. The Aceh Sea area has many natural marine resources, both biological and non-natural, which makes it prone to illegal fishing. In addition, the Panglima Laot regulations state that fishermen are prohibited from bombing, poisoning, anesthetizing, electrifying, harvesting coral reefs, and other actions that could damage habitats and other biota. This research aims to analyze and study in depth the supervision of Panglima Laot Lhok in preventing illegal fishing. Primary and secondary data are the data sources used in the descriptive qualitative method. The research uses data obtained through interviews, observation, and documentation. Based on the results of research and findings in the field, the conclusion is that Panglima Laot Lhok always carries out supervision in preventing illegal fishing, either directly by Panglima Laot Lhok or by coordinating with fishermen who are at sea, however, the very large sea factor means that supervision does not occur properly and thoroughly, and sometimes illegal fishing occurs. Keywords: supervision, panglima laot lhok, illegal fishing

Innovative Data Collection Methods for Advancing Coastal Management in Liberia

Effective coastal management is crucial for the sustainability of ecosystems and the livelihoods of communities that depend on coastal resources. In Liberia, current challenges such as outdated data collection methods, limited technological resources, and inadequate community engagement significantly hinder effective decision-making and coastal management efforts. This research explores innovative data collection methods, including remote sensing, crowdsourced data collection, swarm drones, and bioacoustic monitoring as potential solutions to these challenges. By integrating these technologies, Liberia can enhance data accuracy and cost-effectiveness while empowering local communities to actively participate in sustainable practices. The adoption of these methods will not only improve the management of coastal resources but also foster resilience against climate change and environmental degradation, paving the way for a sustainable future for Liberia’s coastal regions

Chlorophyll-a and suspended matter variability in a data-scarce coastal-estuarine ecosystem

Analyzing the variability of chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) and total suspended matter (TSM) in estuarine and coastal environments is crucial for understanding ecosystem health, guiding environmental management decisions, and evaluating climate change impacts. Satellite remote sensing offers a powerful tool for this analysis due to its extensive spatial and temporal coverage. Although several algorithms exist for complex coastal and estuarine waters, long-term datasets such as GlobColor's Ocean Color (OC5) and neural network (NN) algorithms are frequently used for robust variability analysis. This study uses the GlobColor NN algorithm to investigate the seasonal and inter-annual variability of Chl-a and TSM in a data-scare region, namely the Meghna estuary in Bangladesh and its adjacent coastal fringe. The other algorithm (i.e. OC5), while offers the longest time series, cannot be used in this region due to the high number of invalid pixels. Therefore, this study examines different environmental factors (i.e. sea surface temperature (SST), photosynthetically active radiation (PAR), rainfall, zonal (ZWC) and meridional (MWC) wind components, and ocean currents) and climatic indices (i.e., El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)) to understand their influence on the seasonal and inter-annual variability of Chl-a and TSM derived from the GlobColor NN algorithm. Empirical orthogonal function analysis identifies the seasonal signal as dominant in the study region. The seasonal cycle of Chl-a is influenced by factors including MWC, TSM, SST, and rainfall. In contrast, TSM seasonal variations are primarily driven by rainfall and MWC. Post-monsoon Chl-a inter-annual fluctuations are mainly linked to TSM inter-annual variability, with secondary influences from monsoon rainfall and the winter ENSO index. Inter-annual changes in TSM are primarily associated with the winter ENSO index and monsoon rainfall. This research elucidates the primary mechanisms influencing Chl-a and TSM variability in the Meghna estuary and its adjacent coast, thus advancing the understanding of the dynamics in the study region. The information obtained through this study is valuable for scientists, policymakers, and stakeholders involved in the sustainable management of the Meghna estuary and its coastal resources, particularly in the context of climate change.

Discerning sediment provenance in the Outer Banks (USA) through detrital zircon geochronology

Detrital zircon data from modern barrier island and estuarine environments in the Outer Banks (Atlantic Coast, USA) were statistically compared to sands from nearby rivers to assist in determining source-to-sink pathways. Fluvial samples, collected from near the Fall Line contact between the Appalachian Orogen and sediments of the coastal plain, all have age unique distributions, making them ideal for tracing provenance. Three samples from the Atlantic foreshore showed high similarities to one another, as well as to three samples from the estuarine (back-barrier) Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds. Mixture modeling with multiple data reduction methods and three different statistical tests for similarity consistently indicated that the nearby Potomac River was the primary source for all Atlantic foreshore and estuarine zircons, followed by minor contributions from the James River in some models. The models indicate little or no sediment contribution from the Susquehanna, Roanoke, Tar, Neuse, Cape Fear, and Peedee Rivers. Both Atlantic foreshore and estuarine sands are therefore interpreted to have initially originated from Appalachian bedrock to the north of their present-day location, and subsequently to have been transported southward through the Chesapeake Bay watershed before deposition in Virginia and North Carolina. Prior to barrier island formation in the last several thousand years, differing geomorphology of the Chesapeake Bay facilitated southward movement of sediments from its constituent rivers via longshore drift, where they were deposited in coastal settings on the mainland. The modern barrier islands, formed during the most recent post-glacial transgression, may be reworked from these deposits, but may also include a contribution from sediments that were derived more recently from relict deposits on the shelf. Oceanographic and sedimentological evidence suggests that movement of sand-sized grains from southern rivers across the back-barrier sounds is unlikely. These findings can assist with coastal resilience planning and resource management in a region under severe threat from climate change and rising sea levels.

Intermittent freshwater extraction and cold-water recharge for mitigating seawater intrusion in coastal aquifers

Decreasing groundwater temperature by freshwater extraction and cold-water recharge can mitigate seawater intrusion in coastal aquifers. However, the impact of frequently employed and easily executed intermittent well operations on this has been overlooked. This study numerically examines temperature and salinity distributions in coastal aquifers subject to intermittent freshwater extraction and cold-water recharge (IER) at an equal rate. Results show that IER maintains an equivalent effect on inhibiting seawater intrusion as the continuous method, while IER during cold seasons reduces operational time and cooling heat consumption. For instance, numerical test on a realistic aquifer shows that 90 d of IER could lead to a 75% decrease in operational time and a 29% reduction in cooling energy usage compared to the continuous method. The mitigation effectiveness depends on the averaged seaward hydraulic gradient, which is affected by heat storage reduction above the saltwater wedge. The cold-water plume from IER is convergently transported and discharged, creating a pronounced fluctuation of heat storage reduction and thereby resulting in a delayed periodic variation of the hydraulic gradient. As salt efflux is an integrated result of periodically changing hydraulic gradients, total salt mass exhibits a delayed and prolonged response to the variation of heat storage reduction. Sensitivity analyses show that a far recharge distance and reduced aquifer permeability increase the delay between heat storage reduction and total salt mass, and low recharge temperature facilitates seawater intrusion mitigation. This study demonstrates the importance of the intermittent method in inhibiting seawater intrusion and has implications for sustainable management of coastal groundwater resources.

Mussel reefs promote taxonomic biodiversity and host a unique assemblage of mobile marine fauna in a coastal area of poor ecological status

Coastal ecosystems worldwide face increasing anthropogenic pressures, with implications for the local ecological status and biodiversity. Using a temperate coastal ecosystem in poor ecological condition, this study revealed the importance of blue mussel (Mytilus spp.) reefs in supporting mobile marine fauna (e.g., fish). Using baited remote underwater video systems (BRUVS), we compared mobile marine fauna associated with A) high coverage mussel reefs in shallow and deeper parts of the area and B) corresponding low coverage soft-bottom sites. Our BRUVS findings demonstrate that blue mussel reefs harbor a higher taxonomic diversity of mobile fauna compared to the corresponding soft-bottom sites. Furthermore, the species community associated with mussel reefs exhibits distinct composition from the soft-bottom sites. Despite efforts to mitigate harmful eutrophication, the poor ecological status of the coastal ecosystem highlights ongoing challenges in coastal management. Our results have important implications for management of coastal resources and conservation of marine biodiversity. Despite its environmental challenges, the examined ecosystem serves as a representative case for many temperate waterbodies emphasizing the need for improved management outcomes. Incorporating mussel reef conservation and restoration into temperate water body management actions could enhance ecosystem resilience and local biodiversity in many coastal ecosystems subjected to anthropogenic pressures.

A stringent failure: Regulators do not use available tools to protect aquatic ecosystems from clearcut forestry impacts in New Zealand

Effective regulation of land-use activities in steepland areas is crucial to protect downstream ecologies and human life as intense rainfall disturbances become more frequent globally. In Aotearoa New Zealand extensive synchronous clear-cutting of Pinus radiata monocultures on steep convergent landforms, and associated earthworks, causes ongoing accelerated erosion, excessive sedimentation, and debris-laden landslides after adverse weather events. This study examines the implementation of national forestry regulations established in 2018, which also enable regional councils to create more stringent rules to protect aquatic ecosystems. All sixteen councils were surveyed in 2021 and 2022 for stringency in planning provisions; and four regions seriously affected by Cyclone Gabrielle in 2023 were resurveyed in 2024. The cyclone caused loss of human life and calamitous damage to housing, infrastructure, and productive land uses from floods exacerbated by clearcut logging debris. All councils had administratively adopted the national regulations into their existing freshwater and coastal resource management plans. Twelve councils retained existing rules that conflicted with the regulations, but these rules do not protect all regionally significant aquatic ecosystems nor minimise landslide risks. No council, except Gisborne, had instigated the expensive and lengthy statutory resource management plan change process, nor taken a ‘strategic and principled’ approach to develop more stringent regulations, such as tougher restrictions on clear-cutting, earthworks, and replanting on steep erosion-prone convergent landforms to protect aquatic ecosystems and vulnerable communities. The government did tighten the management of logging debris after the cyclone, but the national regulations remain ineffective in addressing clear-cut practices maladaptive to intense rainfall and continue to permit replanting on convergent landforms. The regulations need urgent amendment to require councils to develop and implement a strategic and principled approach to stringency to better protect aquatic ecosystems, human life, economic livelihoods, and public infrastructure. Water quality monitoring is also currently inadequate, as no council systematically monitors the effects of forestry activities on sedimentation rates, which inhibits the ability to compare across and between regions. Foresters are not required to monitor water quality, which also stymies assessments of compliance and policy effectiveness. Councils regularly monitor rivers, lakes, and estuaries, but rarely the effects of individual land uses. This means that sediment or other contaminants cannot be parsed to different land use activities, undermining attempts to set catchment limits. It can also take decades at current monitoring levels to defensibly show any water quality improvements after changes to land use regulations. The current environmental limits approach of setting individual water quality attribute targets is highly unlikely to drive changes to maladaptive and ecologically degrading land uses. A new environmental management approach is needed that prohibits or effectively constrains hazardous and adverse activities.

История забытой экспедиции

This article delves into a little-studied aspect of the history of the Russian exploration of the North – one of the first Arctic expeditions of the Russians in the early XIX century. The appeal to the historical experience of the discovery and study of the New Siberian Islands archipelago is determined by the growing interest in it on the part of world powers in connection with the development of coastal shelf resources and the resumption of the Northern Sea Route. In the Russian historiography the name of M.M. Gedenstrom remained a figure of silence for a long time in comparison with such explorers as F.P. Wrangel, P.F. Anju, G.A. Sarychev, E.V. Toll, who were engaged in the study of this region of the Arctic. However, the expedition of M.M. Gedenstrom is marked not only by the connection with specific tasks of Russian foreign policy and attempts to solve scientific problems relevant for that time, but also with the interests of business development on the islands, the subsoil of which is still rich in valuable fossil raw materials. M.M. Gedenstrom was the first to create a general map of the Novosi-birsk Islands, described them and the coast between the mouths of the Yana and Kolyma rivers, and corrected inaccuracies on previously compiled maps.

Charting sustainable waters: Governance challenges and opportunities for fisheries and coastal beach resources in a West African country

Marine fisheries and beaches (i.e., backshore, foreshore and shoreface) are essential for providing ecosystem services globally, with coastal states being at the forefront of this benefit. Consequently, several policies, legislations, and governance processes must be formulated to ensure their sustainable use due to the impact of anthropogenic and natural pressures. This study aims to analyse the legal and institutional frameworks for the management of marine fisheries and beach resources (such as flora (coconut), fauna (ghost crabs), dunes, and rocky components) under key international laws and conventions, using Ghana as a case study. The study identifies the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT) within resource management, as well as their impact on the country’s progress in the attainment of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and Africa Union Agenda 2063. Data was collected through interviews with fishers, coastal residents, and other relevant stakeholders, as well as a review of secondary data. The results unveil a distinctive contrast in the regulatory landscape between fisheries and beach resources. While numerous policies have been formulated to ensure the sustainable management of fisheries, the same level of attention and commitment has not been extended to beach resources. The SWOT analysis revealed that some of the strengths in the governance of marine fisheries and beach resources rest on the availability of institutions and laws. The weakness lies in inadequate enforcement and data gathering and analyses to inform decision making. This study provides as an illuminating exploration into the legal and institutional underpinnings of marine fisheries and beach resource management in Ghana, shedding light on the critical junctures where improvements are needed.

Spatio-temporal dynamics of net primary productivity and the economic value of Spartina alterniflora in the coastal regions of China

This study employs an improved Carnegie–Ames–Stanford Approach (CASA) model to calculate the Net Primary Productivity (NPP) of Spartina alterniflora (SA) and various other land use/land cover types (LULC) across coastal China over multiple years. The research aims to provide significant theoretical and practical insights into carbon sink research in coastal zones, sustainable development, and resource management. Key findings include identifying the first εmax value of 2.219 g C/MJ for SA, addressing a critical data gap in CASA modeling research on invasive plants. SA's NPP exhibited higher values in Shanghai and Zhejiang due to factors such as genetic diversity, invasion duration, and tidal dynamics. In contrast, other LULC exhibited higher NPP values in southern and inland regions, characterized by greater vegetation cover and favorable growing conditions. In 2020, SA and other LULC sequestered 16.352 kt C and 0.821*106 kt C, respectively. From 2000 to 2020, the average annual NPP and total carbon storage of SA and other LULC increased significantly, primarily driven by Shanghai and deciduous needleleaf forests, respectively. Seasonal NPP trends followed summer> spring> autumn> winter, influenced by climate conditions and plant life activities. Economic assessments in 2020 estimated SA's carbon storage value at RMB0.409 billion (Market Value method) or RMB5.562 billion (Carbon Tax method), with RMB2.054 billion attributed to oxygen release values, underscoring its economic and ecological potential. Among other LULC, evergreen broadleaf forests showed the highest carbon storage value (RMB183.463 billion). The study emphasizes the critical role of all LULC in carbon storage and oxygen release, advocating for targeted conservation and land management strategies. It suggests that managing SA should balance stringent control in high-risk areas, lenient measures in low-risk areas, eradication of scattered populations, and maximizing ecological benefits in retention areas, with continuous monitoring and adaptive management strategies to balance conservation and development efforts.

Cumulative effects of natural and anthropogenic processes on groundwater chemistry of a small karst island—case study of Vis (Croatia)

Many coastal and island communities depend on groundwater as the only source of freshwater, making it an invaluable resource. In the Mediterranean region, groundwater resources are highly vulnerable to natural and anthropogenic pressures, such as overexploitation, climate change, seasonal variations in precipitation, and seawater intrusion. Hence, an understanding of hydrogeological processes and groundwater chemistry is a basis for the sustainable management of coastal and island groundwater resources. Vis, a small and remote karst island in the Adriatic Sea, exhibits peculiar geological and hydrogeological settings, resulting in the island’s autonomous water supply. The current pumping capacity (maximum of 42 l/s) meets most of the demand, but intensive summer tourism and climate change exert high stress on groundwater resources during the dry season. Consequently, in the last decade, occasional reductions for consumers occurred. Monitoring of in situ physicochemical parameters and groundwater sampling for chemical and isotopic analyses were conducted from 2020 to 2023 at deep borewells, shallow dug wells, and springs. Hydrochemical interpretation indicated that groundwater chemistry was affected primarily by carbonate and sulfate rock dissolution, mixing with seawater, reverse ion exchange, and dedolomitization. The majority of groundwater samples exhibit Ca–HCO3 hydrochemical facies, followed by Na–Cl and mixed facies. The low percentage of seawater in the mixture indicated that seawater intrusion is not too extensive even during prolonged dry periods, implying a favorable hydrostatic regime with relatively small but sufficient groundwater reserves of the island’s aquifers, although the investigated period was characterized by significantly lower precipitation with respect to the 30-year average.

Geo-environmental monitoring of coastal and land resources for Coatzacoalcos coastal region

Coatzacoalcos is one of the notable Mexico coastal areas regarding location, activities, and resources. The purpose of the current study is to use geographic techniques to assess the spatial and temporal changes in Land Use/Cover (LULC), Land Surface Temperature (LST), and Shoreline as a result of anthropogenic and natural factors. Four calibrated multi-temporal Landsat images, dated 1993, 2003, 2013, and 2023, were combined and processed to accomplish this goal. The six primary LULC classes forest, built-up land, mining, water bodies, and agriculture were mapped using RF Machine learning algorithms. The last period (2003–2023) shows the highest rate of built-up land expansion, while the years 1993–2013 show the lowest rate of agricultural land reduction. Forest cover in the southeast decreased steadily from 339.25, 308.49, 287.43, and 211.83 km2 in 1993, 2003, 2013, and 2023. There is a slight difference in mean LST between built-up areas that recorded 26, 29, 32, and 33 °C in 1993, 2003, 2013, and 2023, respectively. The following is an order of LULC from lowest to highest LST during 2023 water body 12 °C, Forest 19 °C, Agriculture Land 22 °C, Mining 26 °C, Barren Land 34 °C and Built-up Land 33 °C. In Zone B near Coatzacoalcos showed particularly high accretion as a result of building artificial structures. Maximum rates of accretion and erosion were recorded at 2.0 m/year and −9.63 m/year, respectively. Fortunately, Zone C has minimal urban development and is home to forests and agricultural areas, so the potential negative effects are reduced. This study aids in understanding spatial and temporal LULC changes, LST variations, and shoreline dynamics, crucial for the sustainable management of Coatzacoalcos coastal resources in Mexico.

A Predicted Pause in the Rapid Warming of the Northwest Atlantic Shelf in the Coming Decade

AbstractThe capability to anticipate the exceptionally rapid warming of the Northwest Atlantic Shelf and its evolution over the next decade could enable effective mitigation for coastal communities and marine resources. However, global climate models have struggled to accurately predict this warming due to limited resolution; and past regional downscaling efforts focused on multi‐decadal projections, neglecting predictive skill associated with internal variability. We address these gaps with a high resolution (1/12°) ensemble of dynamically downscaled decadal predictions. The downscaled simulations accurately predicted past oceanic variability at scales relevant to marine resource management, with skill typically exceeding global coarse‐resolution predictions. Over the long term, warming of the Shelf is projected to continue; however, we forecast a temporary warming pause in the next decade. This predicted pause is attributed to internal variability associated with a transient, moderate strengthening of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and a southward shift of the Gulf Stream.