The floor failure depth of the ultra-wide opposite pulling working face (OPWF) mining on the confined aquifer is larger, and the risk of water inrush is higher. Based on the engineering background of Binhu Coal Mine (BHCM) in North China Coalfield, this paper analyzes the distribution rule of floor support pressure in OPWF mining, carries out numerical simulation before and after roof cutting, and microseismic-electrical joint dynamic monitoring. The results show that the failure depth, vertical stress, maximum principal stress, maximum shear stress, and pore water pressure of floor after roof cutting are decreased by 28.6 %, 15.5 %, 12.1 %, 30.9 %, and 41.7 %, respectively, the stress concentration coefficient is also decreased by 19.5 %. Roof cutting blocks the propagation path of mining stress, reduces the mine pressure concentration and controls the floor failure depth. Using the optimal univariate function between the floor failure depth and mining width, mining depth, mining height, roof cutting height, working face stagger distance, a multi-factor prediction model for the floor failure depth of the OPWF mining is established, and the accuracy of the model is more than 90 %. Combined with the methods of exploration, treatment, and monitoring, the water disaster prevention technical guarantee system in the ultra-wide OPWF mining on the confined aquifer is constructed, which provides a new method for the prevention and control of floor water disasters during mining.