Reduced Cloud Cover Research Articles

Symmetry in Mesoscale Circulations Explains Weak Impact of Trade Cumulus Self‐Organization on the Radiation Budget in Large‐Eddy Simulations

AbstractWe investigate if mesoscale self‐organisation of trade cumuli in 150 km‐domain large‐eddy simulations modifies the top‐of‐atmosphere radiation budget relative to 10 km‐domain simulations, across 77 characteristic, idealized environments. In large domains, self‐generated mesoscale circulations produce fewer, larger and deeper clouds, raising the cloud albedo. Yet they also precipitate more than small‐domain cumuli, drying and warming the cloud layer, and reducing cloud cover. Consequently, large domains cool slightly less through the shortwave cloud‐radiative effect, and slightly more through clear‐sky outgoing longwave radiation, for a net cooling (−0.5 W ). This cooling is generally smaller than the large‐domain radiation's sensitivity to large‐scale meteorological variability, which is similar in small‐domain simulations and observations. Hence, mesoscale self‐organisation would not alter weak trade‐cumulus feedback estimates previously derived from small‐domain simulations. We explain this with a symmetry hypothesis: ascending and descending branches of mesoscale circulations symmetrically increase and reduce cloudiness, weakly modifying the mean radiation budget.

Increase Asymmetric Warming Rates Between Daytime and Nighttime Temperatures Over Global Land During Recent Decades

AbstractDiurnal asymmetric warming, a critical feature of climate change, significantly impacts water‐carbon exchange in terrestrial ecosystems. This study analyzes the spatiotemporal characteristics and long‐term trends of the global diurnal temperature range (DTR) from 1961 to 2022 using ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD). Our results reveal a trend reversal in global averaged DTR around 1988, shifting from a decrease to an increase, affecting 47% of global land areas. Subsequent to the reversal, the most pronounced increases were observed in temperate regions. Seasonal analysis shows earlier reversals in spring and summer, with accelerated change rates following the reversal. Additionally, increased surface solar radiation from reduced cloud cover caused daily maximum (Tmax) temperatures to warm faster than the minimum (Tmin), leading to a reversal and intensified DTR. These complex patterns underscore the need for targeted climate policies and adaptation strategies to tackle global warming.

Glaciation of liquid clouds, snowfall, and reduced cloud cover at industrial aerosol hot spots.

The ability of anthropogenic aerosols to freeze supercooled cloud droplets remains debated. In this work, we present observational evidence for the glaciation of supercooled liquid-water clouds at industrial aerosol hot spots at temperatures between -10° and -24°C. Compared with the nearby liquid-water clouds, shortwave reflectance was reduced by 14% and longwave radiance was increased by 4% in the glaciation-affected regions. There was an 8% reduction in cloud cover and an 18% reduction in cloud optical thickness. Additionally, daily glaciation-induced snowfall accumulations reached 15 millimeters. Glaciation events downwind of industrial aerosol hot spots indicate that anthropogenic aerosols likely serve as ice-nucleating particles. However, rare glaciation events downwind of nuclear power plants indicate that factors other than aerosol emissions may also play a role in the observed glaciation events.

Intensified Western Pacific Convection Increases the Probability of Hot Extremes in the Middle East During the Boreal Spring

AbstractUnder global warming, the convective heating over the western Pacific (WP) has exhibited a significantly intensifying trend during the boreal spring, while the surface air temperatures in the Middle East (ME) have increased more rapidly than those in other tropical regions. Are these climate phenomena of the two regions physically connected? If yes, what are the responsible dynamical mechanisms involved? Utilizing the ERA5 reanalysis data and model simulations, this study reveals a significant seesaw variation in the convection and temperature trends between WP and ME. When convective heating intensifies over the WP, the ME tends to be drier and hotter during the spring, and vice versa. A further investigation indicates that the enhanced WP convective heating can induce anticyclonic circulation anomalies in the upper and middle troposphere over the Iranian and Tibetan plateaus. These anomalous high pressures extend westward, exhibiting a barotropic structure, which leads to stronger sinking motions, reduced cloud cover, and increased surface solar radiation over the ME. Consequently, these conditions result in drier and hotter soils and an increase in heatwave days in the ME. This study provides useful information for enhancing our understanding of the role of tropical WP climate change in influencing the upstream climate conditions with a focus on the ME.

Vertical Profile Analysis of Cloud Feedbacks

AbstractCloud feedback is the largest source of uncertainty in climate sensitivity. This feedback is generally discussed in terms of radiative flux at the top of the atmosphere, but the vertical distribution of the contribution of cloud changes to the top‐of‐atmosphere cloud feedback should be discussed to understand the feedback in greater detail. We have developed a simple analysis method called “vertical profile analysis of cloud feedback,” which simply uses radiative flux data from each level of the model. The analysis is applied for typical cloud regimes and the results are discussed together with cloud fraction change profiles. The advantages and disadvantages of the vertical profile analysis, compared with the commonly used International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) histogram kernel method, are discussed. Our analysis has the advantage of resolving the detailed vertical profiles of the contribution to the top‐of‐atmosphere cloud feedback from the changes in cloud regimes associated with warming, such as reduced cloud cover and upward shifts of the cloud layer in subtropical low‐cloud regions as well as the increased height of the melting layer in tropical deep convection. The main disadvantage is that the vertical profile analysis cannot represent the feedback components sorted by cloud optical thickness as in the ISCCP histogram kernel method.

Variations of summer extreme high temperatures over the Indochina Peninsula: Roles of oceanic systems

Utilizing the reanalysis data and model simulations, we explore the interannual variations of extreme high temperatures over the Indochina Peninsula during 1960–2022, as well as their responses to critical oceanic systems and corresponding mechanisms. Given the intricate interactions among oceanic regions, this study employs the Generalized Equilibrium Feedback Analysis method to extract the atmospheric responses to key ocean systems, including the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO), El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and tropical Atlantic. Results highlight the significant contributions of TIO and ENSO. It is suggested that the anomalous anticyclonic circulation located over the Indochina Peninsula, as a response to the warm TIO and ENSO, favors the local anomalous downward motions, resulting in reduced cloud cover, diminished precipitation, increased net radiative energy to the surface and increased sensible and latent heat flux from the surface to the atmosphere, and finally inducing an increase in extreme high temperatures. These observed patterns are also well simulated by the Community Earth System Model tropical Indian Ocean and tropical Pacific Ocean pacemaker experiments, indicating that the warmer tropical Indian Ocean and ENSO could induce anomalous anticyclonic (cyclonic) patterns at the lower (upper) troposphere over the South China Sea, thereby promoting the subsidence and occurrence of extreme high temperatures over the Indochina Peninsula.

Dominant modes of interannual variability in spring compound dry and hot events over Northern Asia and the possible mechanisms

In this study, spatial and temporal variations of spring compound dry and hot events (CDHEs) over northern Asia (NA) during 1950–2020 and the related possible mechanisms are investigated on the interannual timescale. The standardized compound event indicator (SCEI) is used to represent compound dry and hot conditions over NA, which is validated by the observed summer case of CDHEs over western Russia in 2010. The first empirical orthogonal function (EOF1) mode of the SCEI over NA presents a monopole pattern, while the EOF2 mode shows an east-west dipole pattern. Possible mechanism analysis indicates that the CDHEs tend to be modulated by local high-pressure anomalies, accompanied by reduced cloud cover and more solar radiation. The high-pressure anomalies can lead to warm temperature and water vapor divergence, which synergistically contributes to the occurrence of CDHEs. Further analysis shows that the EOF1 mode is jointly affected by the Scandinavian (SCAND) pattern and the Arctic Oscillation (AO); while the EOF2 mode is influenced by the Atlantic-Eurasian (AEA) teleconnection. Moreover, the North Atlantic tripolar pattern of sea surface temperature (SST) can influence the EOF1 mode through changing the AO. And the diagonal tripolar SST pattern over the North Atlantic affects the EOF2 mode via altering the AEA pattern. The influence of the SST patterns is further confirmed by numerical experiments using the Community Atmospheric Model version CAM-5.3.

Decreased cloud cover partially offsets the cooling effects of surface albedo change due to deforestation

Biophysical processes of forests affect climate through the regulation of surface water and heat fluxes, which leads to further effects through the adjustment of clouds and water cycles. These indirect biophysical effects of forests on clouds and their radiative forcing are poorly understood but highly relevant in the context of large-scale deforestation or afforestation, respectively. Here, we provide evidence for local decreases in global low-level clouds and tropical high-level clouds from deforestation through both idealized deforestation simulations with climate models and from observations-driven reanalysis using space-for-time substitution. The decreased cloud cover can be explained by alterations in surface turbulent heat flux, which diminishes uplift and moisture to varying extents. Deforestation-induced reduction in cloud cover warms the climate, partially counteracting the cooling effects of increased surface albedo. The findings from idealized deforestation experiments and space-for-time substitution exhibit disparities, with global average offsets of, respectively, approximately 44% and 26%, suggesting the necessity for further constraints.

Changes in Compound Hot Extremes over the Mid–High Latitudes of Asia and the Underlying Mechanisms

Abstract This study investigates the spatiotemporal variations of the summer frequency of daytime–nighttime compound extreme high-temperature events (FCEHEs) in the mid–high latitudes of Asia (MHA) from 1979 to 2014. Results show that FCEHE has shown an upward trend with fluctuations, especially in Mongolia–Baikal. The descending anomaly caused by the anomalous high pressure over Mongolia–Baikal results in reduced cloud cover, which increases solar radiation reaching the ground, favoring the higher FCEHE. This process is consistent during the daytime and nighttime periods, with relatively limited nighttime solar radiation, potentially compensated by the increased downward longwave radiation to sustain the extreme high temperatures. This benefit process is closely connected with two main factors: the increased sea ice in the Barents Sea during spring and the anomalously warm sea surface temperature (SST) in the Northwest Pacific during summer. The increased sea ice can affect the Eurasia (EU) teleconnection, while the warm SST affects the Pacific-Japan/East Asia–Pacific pattern (PJ/EAP). Subsequently, these factors further modulate the circulation anomalies and then FCEHE. Significance Statement This study provides valuable insights into the spatiotemporal variations and the possible underlying mechanisms for change in the frequency of daytime–nighttime compound extreme high-temperature events (FCEHEs) in the mid–high latitudes of Asia. The spring sea ice anomalies over the Barents Sea and summer sea surface temperature anomalies in the Northwest Pacific affect the local anticyclonic circulation in Mongolia–Baikal through Eurasia (EU) and Pacific-Japan/East Asia–Pacific (PJ/EAP) patterns, respectively. The resulting descending anomaly and reduced cloud cover contribute to interannual variations of FCEHE, which is highly similar during the daytime and nighttime periods. During the nighttime, when the solar radiation is relatively limited, the increased downward longwave radiation may compensate to sustain extreme high temperatures.

Dominant mechanism underlying the explosive growth of summer surface O3 concentrations in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region, China

Despite the implementation of stringent emission reduction measures in China since 2013, ozone (O3) pollution remains a serious concern. Many O3 pollution processes are accompanied by the explosive growth of O3 concentration, meanwhile this explosive growth will trigger O3 pollution with a high probability. This study investigates the chemical and physical mechanisms behind the explosive growth of O3 in the summer within the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region based on the atmospheric circulation clustering and WRF-CMAQ simulation. Ninety-four instances of O3 explosions from the summer of 2014–2021 were selected based on their day-to-day variation in O3 concentration, and the corresponding meteorological conditions were classified into four clusters using K-means analysis. Cluster 1 revealed that large-scale regional transmission of O3 and its precursors from the southern BTH region led to a renewed burst of O3 growth based on mild pollution. Nighttime reduction in NO2 concentration decreases titration consumption, causing a nocturnal rise in O3 concentration, detectable through observed data and progress analysis. In Cluster 2 and Cluster 3, the BTH region is located in the northeast wind area ahead of the ridge and northly wind area of post-trough situation, respectively. The vertical downward motion with the markable increase in surface solar radiation (SSR), 2-m temperature (T2M), and decrease in relative humidity (RH) contribute to photochemical O3 generation. Additionally, enhancements in boundary layer stability and reductions in dry deposition and vertical diffusion are favorable for the O3 accumulation. Cluster 4 showed the explosive growth after rainfall event, with the largest increment. The post-rain increase in SSR and T2M, coupled with decreased RH, promotes photochemical O3 formation. Moreover, progress analysis reveals the reduced cloud cover slows down O3 removal, contributing to O3 accumulation. The dominant mechanism behind the explosive growth of O3 will provide certain guidance for the prediction of O3.

Exceptional atmospheric conditions in June 2023 generated a northwest European marine heatwave which contributed to breaking land temperature records

The Northwest European shelf experienced unprecedented surface temperature anomalies in June 2023 (anomalies up to 5 °C locally, north of Ireland). Here, we show the shelf average underwent its longest recorded category II marine heatwave (16 days). With state-of-the-art observation and modelling capabilities, we show the marine heatwave developed quickly due to strong atmospheric forcing (high level of sunshine, weak winds, tropical air) and weak wave activity under anticyclonic weather regimes. Once formed, this shallow marine heatwave fed back on the weather: over the sea it reduced cloud cover and over land it contributed to breaking June mean temperature records and to enhanced convective rainfall through stronger, warmer and moister sea breezes. This marine heatwave was intensified by the last 20-year warming trend in sea surface temperatures. Such sea surface temperatures are projected to become commonplace by the middle of the century under a high greenhouse gas emission scenario.

Comparing the simulated influence of biomass burning plumes on low-level clouds over the southeastern Atlantic under varying smoke conditions

Abstract. Biomass burning plumes are frequently transported over the southeast Atlantic (SEA) stratocumulus deck during the southern African fire season (June–October). The plumes bring large amounts of absorbing aerosols and enhanced moisture, which can trigger a rich set of aerosol–cloud–radiation interactions with climatic consequences that are still poorly understood. We use large-eddy simulation (LES) to explore and disentangle the individual impacts of aerosols and moisture on the underlying stratocumulus clouds, the marine boundary layer (MBL) evolution, and the stratocumulus-to-cumulus transition (SCT) for three different meteorological situations over the southeast Atlantic during August 2017. For all three cases, our LES shows that the SCT is driven by increased sea surface temperatures and cloud-top entrainment as the air is advected towards the Equator. In the LES model, aerosol indirect effects, including impacts on drizzle production, have a small influence on the modeled cloud evolution and SCT, even when aerosol concentrations are lowered to background concentrations. In contrast, local semi-direct effects, i.e., aerosol absorption of solar radiation in the MBL, cause a reduction in cloud cover that can lead to a speed-up of the SCT, in particular during the daytime and during broken cloud conditions, especially in highly polluted situations. The largest impact on the radiative budget comes from aerosol impacts on cloud albedo: the plume with absorbing aerosols produces a total average 3 d of simulations. We find that the moisture accompanying the aerosol plume produces an additional cooling effect that is about as large as the total aerosol radiative effect. Overall, there is still a large uncertainty associated with the radiative and cloud evolution effects of biomass burning aerosols. A comparison between different models in a common framework, combined with constraints from in situ observations, could help to reduce the uncertainty.

Quantifying uncertainty in simulations of the West African monsoon with the use of surrogate models

Abstract. Simulating the West African monsoon (WAM) system using numerical weather and climate models suffers from large uncertainties, which are difficult to assess due to nonlinear interactions between different components of the WAM. Here we present a fundamentally new approach to the problem by approximating the behavior of a numerical model – here the Icosahedral Nonhydrostatic (ICON) model – through a statistical surrogate model based on universal kriging, a general form of Gaussian process regression, which allows for a comprehensive global sensitivity analysis. The main steps of our analysis are as follows: (i) identify the most important uncertain model parameters and their probability density functions, for which we employ a new strategy dealing with non-uniformity in the kriging process. (ii) Define quantities of interest (QoIs) that represent general meteorological fields, such as temperature, pressure, cloud cover and precipitation, as well as the prominent WAM features, namely the tropical easterly jet, African easterly jet, Saharan heat low (SHL) and intertropical discontinuity. (iii) Apply a sampling strategy with regard to the kriging method to identify model parameter combinations which are used for numerical modeling experiments. (iv) Conduct ICON model runs for identified model parameter combinations over a nested limited-area domain from 28° W to 34° E and from 10° S to 34° N. The simulations are run for August in 4 different years (2016 to 2019) to capture the peak northward penetration of rainfall into West Africa, and QoIs are computed based on the mean response over the whole month in all years. (v) Quantify sensitivity of QoIs to uncertain model parameters in an integrated and a local analysis. The results show that simple isolated relationships between single model parameters and WAM QoIs rarely exist. Changing individual parameters affects multiple QoIs simultaneously, reflecting the physical links between them and the complexity of the WAM system. The entrainment rate in the convection scheme and the terminal fall velocity of ice particles show the greatest effects on the QoIs. Larger values of these two parameters reduce cloud cover and precipitation and intensify the SHL. The entrainment rate primarily affects 2 m temperature and 2 m dew point temperature and causes latitudinal shifts, whereas the terminal fall velocity of ice mostly affects cloud cover. Furthermore, the parameter that controls the evaporative soil surface has a major effect on 2 m temperature, 2 m dew point temperature and cloud cover. The results highlight the usefulness of surrogate models for the analysis of model uncertainty and open up new opportunities to better constrain model parameters through a comparison of the model output with selected observations.

Unraveling the Indian monsoon’s role in fueling the unprecedented 2022 Marine Heatwave in the Western North Pacific

An unprecedented marine heatwave (MHW) event occurred in the middle-high latitudes of the western North Pacific during the summer of 2022. We demonstrate that excessive precipitation thousands of kilometers away fuels this extreme MHW event in July 2022. In the upper atmosphere, a persistent atmospheric blocking system, forming over the MHW region, reduces cloud cover and increases shortwave radiation at the ocean surface, leading to high sea surface temperatures. Atmospheric perturbations induced by latent heat release from the extreme precipitation in the Indian summer monsoon region enhance this atmospheric blocking through the propagation of quasi-stationary Rossby waves. Our hypothesis is verified by using a numerical model that is forced with the observed atmospheric anomalous diabatic heating. This study sheds light on how a subtropical extreme event can fuel another extreme event at middle-high latitudes through an atmospheric teleconnection.

Thermodynamic characteristics of extreme heat waves over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Basin

In August 2022, an exceptionally long-lasting heat wave (HW) affected the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin. This study uses the JRA55 daily reanalysis datasets to elucidate the thermodynamic characteristics of the daily evolution of historical extreme HWs in this region via the heat budget equation. HWs are generally characterized by the occurrence of anticyclonic circulation anomaly throughout the troposphere and positive air temperature anomaly with the maximum amplitude in the boundary layer. The anticyclonic anomaly can induce compression heating in the entire troposphere and warm zonal advection in the boundary layer. Meanwhile, due to the reduced cloud cover, more shortwave radiation reaches the ground surface, and the sensible heat flux becomes an important source of diabatic heating before the onset of HWs. The accumulated excessive heat in the HWs is primarily damped through the emission of longwave radiation and meridional thermal advection. For the HW in August 2022, its extreme persistence is mainly caused by prolonged adiabatic heating, enhanced diabatic heating during the developing stage and weakened diabatic cooling during the decay stage. The upper-level portion of the anticyclonic circulation anomalies is linked to the strengthened South Asia High. After applying the state-of-the-art dynamic metric, i.e., local finite wave activity, we reveal that the formation of the anomalous South Asia High in August 2022 is associated with the Stokes drift flux rather than the dispersion of Rossby wave energy. This characteristic sets it apart from other extreme HWs.

Comparative analysis of peak-summer heatwaves in the Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin of China in 2022 and 2013: Thermal effects of the Tibetan Plateau

In the peak-summer of 2022, the Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin (YHRB) in China experienced its most extreme heatwaves since 1961. Notably, a rare heatwave also occurred in the YHRB in 2013. However, the Tibetan Plateau (TP) exhibited different thermal conditions during those two years. Observational analysis indicates that the 2013 and 2022 heatwaves were closely related to the local anomalous high pressure. The synergistic effects of the East Asian subtropical jet (EASJ), South Asian high (SAH), western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH), and divergence of moisture, supported the formation and maintenance of the high pressure. Compared to 2013, under the synergistic control of these intensified circulation systems in 2022, which led a broader descending motion and stronger heatwaves prevailed over the YHRB. Also, the surface air temperature of TP reached its highest value in 2022, whereas it was not distinctly anomalous in 2013. Corresponding to the TP thermal anomaly, an abnormal high pressure appeared throughout the troposphere over the northern YHRB. The TP heating contributed to the northward strengthening of the SAH and EASJ, which enhanced the anomalous westerly winds to the north of the anticyclone. Moreover, the WPSH extends westward during strong TP heating years. With the cooperation of high pressure and moisture, there was an anomalous meridional circulation pattern with ascending motion in North China and descending motion in the YHRB, accompanied by reduced cloud cover and increased insolation in the YHRB, leading to further intensification of local heatwaves in 2022. This study demonstrates the significant role of TP thermal anomaly in YHRB heatwaves.

Reversed asymmetric warming of sub-diurnal temperature over land during recent decades

In the latter half of the twentieth century, a significant climate phenomenon “diurnal asymmetric warming” emerged, wherein global land surface temperatures increased more rapidly during the night than during the day. However, recent episodes of global brightening and regional droughts and heatwaves have brought notable alterations to this asymmetric warming trend. Here, we re-evaluate sub-diurnal temperature patterns, revealing a substantial increase in the warming rates of daily maximum temperatures (Tmax), while daily minimum temperatures have remained relatively stable. This shift has resulted in a reversal of the diurnal warming trend, expanding the diurnal temperature range over recent decades. The intensified Tmax warming is attributed to a widespread reduction in cloud cover, which has led to increased solar irradiance at the surface. Our findings underscore the urgent need for enhanced scrutiny of recent temperature trends and their implications for the wider earth system.

Extreme heat event over Northwest China driven by Silk Road Pattern teleconnection and its possible mechanism

Under the background of global warming, heat wave events have become significantly frequent and have received increasing attention. Northwest China is located in the drylands of central Eurasia, where the climate and ecological environment are more vulnerable to global warming than in other parts of the world. Over the past few decades, the frequency of heat waves in Northwest China has increased significantly, and its causes remain unclear. We found that the heat events in Northwest China were closely related to the Silk Road Pattern teleconnection (SRP), and the strongly positive phase of SRP frequently corresponded to the occurrence of heat waves. Furthermore, the wave source of SRP was determined by the Linear baroclinic model to be located in the North Atlantic Ocean. We then selected an extreme heat event over Northwest China in 2021 as a typical case to discuss the possible mechanism. The regressed circulation fields to daily SRP were highly consistent with the anomalies that occurred during July 9–22, 2021, indicating that the diurnal propagation of SRP modulated the circulation anomaly related to the heat wave event and that diabatic heating influenced by SRP was the primary factor to the thermal low over Northwest China. Diabatic heating was strengthened in the lower troposphere due to the enhancement of downward shortwave radiation and surface sensible heat flux accompanied by strong descending motions and cloud cover reduction by an SRP-guided anticyclone over Northwest China. This study enhances the understanding and certainty regarding large-scale circulation effects on local temperature anomalies in middle latitudes.

Strengthened Connections Between Arctic Sea Ice and Thermal Conditions Over the Tibetan Plateau in May After the 2000s

AbstractThe thermal conditions of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) during spring are significantly related to climate changes on regional and hemispheric scales. The surface skin temperature over the TP in May exhibits an increasing trend over the northern and central‐western regions since the 2000s. This heterogeneous distribution has a strengthened relationship with changes in Arctic sea‐ice concentration (SIC) over the Barents‐Kara Seas after 2001, showing a significant negative correlation. Along with the dramatic SIC variations after 2001, there is a mid‐latitude wave train akin to the Circumglobal Teleconnection (CGT), accompanied by an anomalous anticyclone around the TP. On the one hand, the high‐latitude energy associated with the SIC changes spreads through the Barents‐Kara Seas toward the southeast, causing intensified westerly winds over the West Siberian Plain. The anomalies imply a poleward subtropical jet, which affects the anticyclonic anomaly over the TP, situated south of the jet axis, through dynamic processes. On the other hand, the cyclonic anomalies at high latitudes, linked with reduced SIC, inhibit snow melting and bring lower soil moisture content. Consequently, increased meridional temperature gradients and background baroclinicity cover the West Siberian Plain and regions encompassing the Black Sea and the Mediterranean, demonstrating the impacts of SIC variations on mid‐latitude Rossby waves. Responses to the anomalous anticyclone over the TP, heightened downward motions favor enhanced adiabatic heating and result in reduced cloud cover, further causing decreased snow depth. Influenced by snow‐albedo and cloud‐radiation feedback, the net downward short‐wave radiation increases and leads to the TP warming after 2001.

Quasi-Biweekly Oscillation of Surface Sensible Heating over the Central-Eastern Tibetan Plateau and Its Relationship with Spring Rainfall in China

Abstract This study examines the characteristics and phase evolution of the quasi-biweekly oscillation of surface sensible heating (SH) over the central-eastern Tibetan Plateau (CETP) during spring. The mechanism connecting CETP SH to spring rainfall in China on the quasi-biweekly time scale is further investigated. Results show that the dominant mode of quasi-biweekly CETP SH presents a monopole pattern, in which the peak leads the maximum of the quasi-biweekly rainfall in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River (MLYR) and South China by approximately 5 and 7 days, respectively. As an upper-level Rossby wave train propagates eastward, an anomalous center of convergence moves to the CETP, which leads to a strong downdraft and reduced cloud cover. The resultant elevated shortwave radiation input and drier soil conditions are favorable for the CETP SH quasi-biweekly oscillation to enter a positive phase. When reaching its peak, the CETP SH efficiently heats the lower atmosphere, resulting in a local updraft. Due to the “SH-driven air pump” effect, abundant water vapor is transported from the oceans to China. A lower-layer southerly anomaly on the east side of the TP develops into an anomalous cyclonic circulation via the effect of topographic friction, which leads to the expansion of the positive potential vorticity anomaly and the maximum of the quasi-biweekly rainfall in the MLYR. Further southeastward propagation of the wave train leads to a shift in the rainfall anomaly center to South China. These findings suggest that the CETP monopole SH warming could be a good indicator for predicting intraseasonal variations in spring rainfall over China.