Climate Change Vulnerability Research Articles

Climate change vulnerability, adaptation and ecosystem services in different fisheries and aquaculture in Asia: a review

This review aimed to discuss the vulnerability and climate change impacts on tropical fisheries in Asia using a systematic literature review. The study applied the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) to evaluate literature from 1990-2020. The results showed clustering of texts, keywords, and titles based on search terms like climate change, fisheries, and adaptation. High-scoring links revealed clusters: 1) climate change and food security, 2) biodiversity and environment protection, 3) conservation of resource, 4) climate change impacts in Asia, 5) fisheries. Abstracts and titles produced clusters on: 1) livelihood and food security, 2) fisheries catch, 3) stakeholder approaches, 4) Ecosystem services. While climate change dominated vulnerability and adaptation studies, it is only one of many stressors affecting fisheries and aquaculture. Adaptation is suggested as a solution for reducing vulnerability and increasing resilience in fishing communities. However, our findings indicate that the social and economic factors contributing to climate-induced vulnerability are still relatively neglected. Enhancing biodiversity and environmental protection can lead to a more productive and food-secure environment for farmers and fishers. It is crucial that interventions focus on adaptation and establishing science-based ‘adaptive fisheries co-management’ to engage fishing communities and address their broader vulnerabilities and aspirations.

Environmental planning and the evolution of inter-basin water transfers in the United States

The uneven spatial distribution of water resources and demands across the US have motivated a wide range of inter-basin water transfers. By redistributing water resources, Inter-basin water transfer projects can lead to specific environmental changes such as altered river flows, changes in water quality, and loss of ecologically important habitats, impacts which depend on project scale and management. Early water transfer projects were undertaken prior to legislation Since the primary focus is not on the environmental impacts of these projects, they are often not documented historically. We provided a comprehensive inventory of inter-basin water transfer projects (built, incomplete, proposed) in the US, identified patterns of these projects’ characteristics, analyzed the growing role of environmental planning in these projects, and drew lessons to inform future proposals. We categorized historical US water transfer projects into three periods: 1900–1930, 1930–1970, and 1970–2020, analyzing projects over 40 km long and 50 MCM/year using diverse sources, to assess their development from an environmental planning perspective. Results of this study show that the early projects, mostly gravity-driven and smaller-in-scale, grow in scale and require more pumping stations (energy-intensive) to lift the water over high elevations. California and Colorado are the most active, using these transfers for the first time. Federal agencies have reduced funding for most transfers due to a growing recognition of the environmental impacts, which were not adequately addressed in planning of early projects. Environmental impacts are crucial for the planning and operation of inter-basin water transfer projects. We recommend that assessments of climate change vulnerability should also be considered essential for future project proposals.

Exploring Climate Change Adaptations for Cultural Heritage: The ADAPT Framework

Abstract There is an urgent need for climate change–informed decision-making and adaptation actions for cultural heritage. Challenges arise in incorporating and balancing multiple considerations, including robust understandings of climate change vulnerability, the objectives of current management paradigms, the need for meaningful engagement, the risk of maladaptation, and constrained resources to implement. We offer a conceptual framework and guide to integrate climate science and cultural heritage management to produce a range of adaptation actions for cultural heritage, categorized as Acclimate, Dislocate, Abandon, Protect, and Tell the Story (ADAPT) approaches. The ADAPT framework is intended to aid archaeologists and other cultural heritage managers in developing and evaluating possible adaptation actions that directly respond to findings from climate change vulnerability assessments, critically integrating management postures and constraints, and coproducing climate change adaptations with Indigenous rightsholders and community stakeholders.

Assessing climate change vulnerability in coastal communities: a composite vulnerability index approach in Kuala Gula, Malaysia

Assessing climate change vulnerability in coastal communities: a composite vulnerability index approach in Kuala Gula, Malaysia

Climate change and external debt vulnerability: the case of Sub-Saharan Africa

This study examined the influence of climate change vulnerability on the external debt vulnerability of Sub-Saharan Africa, with a focus on the Vulnerable Twenties (V20s), utilizing panel data spanning from 2015 to 2020. The climate readiness, climate vulnerability, and external debt vulnerability indices were derived via principal component analysis (PCA). The results from the system GMM analysis indicate that climate readiness exhibits a negative and significant impact across short- and long-term periods for the overall sample. However, for the V20s, the negative effect of climate readiness shifts to a positive and significant one over both short and long terms, with the long-term effect being more notable. These findings highlight a vicious cycle between debt and climate crises within the V20s. Thus, prioritizing debt relief over climate finance loans, decarbonizing greenhouse gas emissions, redirecting funds for climate goals, improving debt practices, and investing in public services would break nations’ vicious cycle of debt and climate vulnerability.

A Quick-Scan Methodology Incorporating Local Knowledge for Climate Risk and Vulnerability Assessments Applied in Kampala

AbstractA surge in publications on climate change vulnerability and risk assessments in recent years reflects the escalating impacts of climate change. These assessments are crucial for improving climate change adaptation planning. City-level integrated climate risk and vulnerability assessments (CRVAs) are increasingly relevant, particularly for African cities facing heightened vulnerability from local climate impacts and urbanization. There are several practical challenges in the context of Sub-Saharan African cities: 1) research capacity limitations; 2) the heterogeneity of settlements and their infrastructure; 3) data availability and accessibility; and 4) inclusion of local knowledge in the data collection process. This study aims to address these challenges through an integrated quick-scan CRVA approach. The methodology was developed during the COVID-19 pandemic to be conducted on distance with local partners, and tested through an instrumental case study in Kampala, Uganda. The case of Kampala shows the execution and resulting scan, with mapped districts where climate threats are urgent, summarized in so-called ‘neighbourhood profiles’. The method description and its implementation demonstrate that this form of CRVA methodology holds the potential to: (a) expedite city-wide climate assessments; (b) provide a filter procedure and a classification of diverse needs across districts; (c) bring together ‘insider knowledge’ and ‘outsider expertise’ and (d) establish knowledge collaborations across distances and scales. In just a few months’ time, the project team navigated in both informal community systems and formal institutional frameworks. Preferable to the alternative of complete absence of vulnerability assessments, the described ‘quick-scan method’ may be worthwhile for other African cities.

Climate change vulnerability assessment for adaptation planning in Uttarakhand, Indian Himalaya

Climate change vulnerability estimation at all spatial scales is imperative for the development of effective adaptation strategies in the biogeographically fragile Himalayan region. This study aims to estimate district-wise climate change vulnerability in the state of Uttarakhand for the year 2022 by integrating climatic, environmental, and socio-economic factors. Employing an integrated approach, nine components (climate change, natural disaster, ecosystem services, agriculture, socio-economic status, human resource capacity, infrastructure, basic facilities, and social/natural capital) incorporating a total of 63 indicators, are used to estimate exposure (E), sensitivity (S), adaptive capacity (AC) and the vulnerability of the study area. Principal component analysis (PCA) is used to assess the suitability and weights of all the indicators. The findings show that middle (1400–2400 m a.s.l.) and higher (>2400 m a.s.l.) districts of the state are more vulnerable (−0.68 to −1.50) than lower (1–1400 m a.s.l.) districts (0.16 to −0.26). Based on the vulnerability index (−0.68 to −1.50), five districts-Uttarkashi, Rudraprayag, Chamoli, Champawat, Pithoragarh, and Bageshwar are identified as priority districts for adaptation planning. The high vulnerability is primarily attributed to increased exposure to excessive precipitation, cold waves, cloudbursts, and flood events, coupled with high ecosystem sensitivity and low adaptive capacity. In contrast, the lower districts of the state benefit from better infrastructure, social and natural capital, and connectivity, which contribute to low vulnerability. The suggested strategies in the present study would help policymakers to allocate resources efficiently, fostering long-term resilience to climate change and sustainable development.

Climate change and health vulnerability assessments to increase regional climate resilience

Abstract Background The impacts of climate change on health and healthcare systems exhibit complex interrelationships, varying across time and space. Population groups already disadvantaged due to their demographics, health, socioeconomic status, or geographical location tend to be particularly vulnerable to climate-related health risks. Our work aims to develop a method for a systematic quantitative vulnerability assessment to make regional vulnerabilities comparatively measurable. Methods Building on the WHO framework on Climate Change and Health Vulnerability and Adaptation Assessment (2021) a data mapping process was carried out to identify and validate vulnerability factors and quantitative indicators on a small-scale spatial resolution for the five dimensions: demographic, socioeconomic, biological/health, sociopolitical, and geographic/climate. Regional vulnerability scores for each indicator were calculated and visualized as geographic maps and circular barplots to allow for easily understandable interpretation. Results A set of 25 quantitative vulnerability indicators from a multitude of data sources - combining register data, survey data, and geospatial data - was compiled. Main challenges were the identification of sociopolitical vulnerability factors suitable for Austria and data availability on a small-scale level. The indicator set was used to identify regions that are particularly vulnerable due to their population composition, disease burden, and geographical location (e.g. regions in Eastern Austria with high shares of persons < 65 years of age, unemployment, and heat days). Conclusions Systematically assessing vulnerabilities in key dimensions is central to identifying regionally specific pressure points, allowing for a quantitative baseline to derive adequate and tailored climate change adaptation measures to sustain future health. Systematic assessment provides essential insights for policymakers, public health officials, and disaster management agencies.

Climate change adaptation measures in the context of health promotion using participatory foresight

Abstract Issue/problem Climate change is regarded as a big threat to human health (WHO 2023), requiring action to prepare our health systems. Using participatory foresight approach has the potential to increase capacities of communities and to sustain future health. The process is easily transferable to other regions or countries across Europe. The work is part of the Austrian “Climate-Resilience-Check Health for regions and municipalities”. Description of the problem We present an innovative qualitative method to contribute to a climate change and health vulnerability and adaptation assessment following WHO’s guidelines. Questions answered by the project were: • What measures can be taken to shape the regions’ potential for a health-promoting lifestyle and to increase climate resilience? • Does participatory foresight represent a well-suited method to develop climate adaptation measures which address local needs? Taking place between 10/23 to 12/23, the participatory foresight process consisted of (1) a foresight-workshop facilitating development of adaptation measures through the creation of personas and (2) intervention boards, which gave the broader population the opportunity to vote for measures developed in the workshop. The aim of the approach was to identify measures that receive approval within the population. Results The participatory foresight process highlighted the local populations’ wish of revitalizing village centers to strengthen social cohesion. Particular emphasis was placed on the establishment of a community center and the expansion of daycare services. Lessons The process will be conducted in further regions as part of the Climate-Resilience-Check Health for Austrian regions and provides lessons of good practice for roll-out across European countries aiming to bridge efforts for climate adaptation and health promotion at regional levels.

8.C. Scientific session: Health system resilience: A Planetary Health perspective

Abstract Planetary Health is a collective and unifying approach to balance the interlinkages between human health, political, economic and social systems as well as the natural systems of our planet, the importance of which is growing in the context of climate change in European countries and beyond. Yet, there is a dearth of of research linking Planetary Health to health systems’ resilience, particularly from a public health lens. With the number of studies growing regarding impacts of climate change on health, the question remains how health systems need to be prepared, focusing for example on the emergence of infectious diseases as well as the triple crises of biodiversity loss, pollution and climate change. In addition, tools to assess climate-related risks developed at international level, such as the vulnerability, adaptation and capacity assessment developed by the World Health Organization (WHO) have rarely been piloted in European countries. In this workshop, firstly evidence is presented on the status quo of how climate change impacts health and emerging infections in Europe and at global level. Secondly, the workshop provides insights into how tools to assess vulnerability and resilience of health systems in the context of climate change may be used in the European context. Thirdly, resilience is assessed against evidence emerging from the triple environmental crises of biodiversity loss, pollution and climate change. Key messages • In a planetary health lens, using mixed methods to consider climate change vulnerability of different population groups and adaptation potentials are key to address current complex health challenges. • Synergistic solutions and joint working across climate and health offer opportunities for greater health system resilience and population health impact.

Analysis of contemporary climate adaptation policies in Ireland and their application to the coastal zone

Global climate change presents a range of impacts on Ireland's economy and society with particular challenges facing coastal areas. The need to adapt to these risks is considered both urgent and essential and the policy framework has evolved to meet these challenges with the adoption of climate action legislation and a National Adaptation Framework (NAF) to facilitate the transition to a climate-resilient economy and society by 2050. This paper briefly reviews the European and Irish government policy context for sectoral climate adaptation before reviewing and classifying the sectoral policy measures introduced to reduce vulnerabilities to climate change impacts. While the analysis reveals that progress has been made by adopting climate action legislation and by developing a suite of climate action focussed plans, it also demonstrates that the policy measures included in the Sectoral Adaptation Plans to reduce climate change vulnerabilities are limited in number and lacking in effectiveness. Furthermore, their application to cross-cutting themes, exemplified by the coast, is inadequate to deal with the practical climate change issues. These findings indicate that Ireland is at a preliminary stage when assessed according to the EU adaptation preparedness scorecard.

Urban Livability Assessment in South Korea: Incorporating Climate Change Vulnerability

This study aims to develop an urban livability assessment index that incorporates climate change vulnerability and to apply this index to urban areas in South Korea, thereby analyzing the impact of climate change on living environments and quality of life. Existing frameworks for livability indices often fail to adequately reflect the long-term risks associated with climate change. Consequently, this research proposes a new livability index that includes climate change vulnerability, establishing a policy foundation aimed at protecting and enhancing the quality of life for urban residents. The methodology integrates existing livability indicators with climate change vulnerability indicators across 219 cities and districts in South Korea. Utilizing panel regression analysis and Local Indicators of Spatial Association (LISA) analysis, the study evaluates the spatial clustering characteristics and potential risks in each area. The results indicate that urban infrastructure significantly influences livability, with climate change vulnerability indicators forming high clusters primarily in southern regions. Furthermore, the study confirms economic disparities within the metropolitan area, as well as the exacerbation of social inequalities in regions vulnerable to disaster safety and social services. This research underscores the necessity of integrating climate change vulnerability into livability indices, suggesting that such indices can serve as critical criteria for urban policy formulation and the evaluation of regeneration projects.

Research progress in the climate change vulnerability of urban forests

Abstract In recent years, the escalating threats of climate change, characterized by a surge in both the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, along with ongoing global warming, have presented unprecedented challenges to urban forests worldwide. To bolster climate adaptation and the eco-functional sustainability of urban forests, there is an urgent need for more scholarly attention toward the climate change vulnerability (CCV) of urban forests. This paper provides a comprehensive review of global research progress regarding the CCV of urban forests, aiming to raise global awareness in this field and offer theoretical foundation and insights for subsequent studies. The synthesis of pertinent literature indicates that prior research works were mainly centered in North America, Australia, and China, focusing on the CCV assessment of urban tree species (including the evaluation of potential impacts, adaptive capacity, and participatory assessment), ecosystem vulnerability assessment of urban forests, and exploring the influence of urban environment on the CCV of urban trees. Despite the increasing scientific interest in this field since 2006, some limitations and research gaps remain, warranting further investigation. These gaps include insufficient field-data support and validation in the CCV assessment of tree species, inadequate exploration on the vulnerability of functions and ecological processes in ecosystem-level research, lack of incorporation of trees’ below-ground processes in vulnerability assessments, and unclear multifaceted impact mechanism of urban habitats on the CCV of urban trees, which suggest promising avenues for future research. Addressing these gaps is imperative to advance our comprehension of this research domain.

(Re) framing the politics of climate change: resilience, reparative critique and affective life in situations of extreme heat

ABSTRACT One of the ways we know climate change is through the emergencies that make it present. But how does the connection between singular events (emergencies) and a meta-stable condition (climate change) become perceivable to us? Through what knowledges? And with what political implications? In this paper I apply these questions to deepen critical understanding of government-orchestrated efforts to enhance climate resilience. Pursuing an alternative pathway to critiques that reduce resilience to neoliberalism, I bring resilience into dialogue with Lauren Berlant’s concept of situations. The importance of situations rests in its ability to diversify our understanding of the emergencies to which resilience responds. Initially, situations prompt us to explore emergencies fundamentally as ruptures in people’s ongoing affective encounter with the world. They also capture how our experience of emergencies is colored by the broader historical significance they hold as critical events that change collective life. And, as with all events read through affect, situations are also an object of mediation. Thinking with situations, I demonstrate how, through resilience, government actors mediate our sense of the relationship between emergencies, on one hand, and climate change as an epochal condition, on the other. By distributing responsibility, resilience allows a wide catalogue of voices to influence common perceptions of this relationship and, consequently, evidences potential to integrate what Eve Kosofsky-Sedgwick calls reparative critique into climate consciousness by highlighting the ramifications climate-related emergencies have on specific communities because of environmental harms visited upon them over time and orienting future action towards attending to these harms. I make this argument through research into the US’ Environmental Protection Agency’s attempts to raise situational awareness of extreme heat risk. While seeking to mobilize people’s embodied knowledges in sensing imminent danger, these practices push concurrently for understanding, and acting upon, climate change vulnerability by its entanglement with violent processes that underpinned the modernization projects fundamental to American life now.

Drought, Revolution, and the Cold War Politics of Aid: Responding to Climate Change and Mass Vulnerability in the African Sahel

Drought, Revolution, and the Cold War Politics of Aid: Responding to Climate Change and Mass Vulnerability in the African Sahel

A flexible data‐driven approach to co‐producing drought vulnerability assessments

AbstractIntensifying weather events are key characteristics of climate change that are fundamentally changing ecological disturbance regimes. Intensifying drought is a particular threat to species, ecosystems, and ecosystem services worldwide. Proactive drought adaptation measures are acutely needed, but without a better understanding of drought vulnerability at the appropriate scale and geography, such measures may not be effective, or even anticipated as potential options. A recent conceptual framework for ecological drought aligns a holistic suite of potential drivers with the key components of climate change vulnerability (exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity). We leverage the ecological drought framework and components of vulnerability to introduce a six‐step process for developing a drought vulnerability assessment (DVA) that (1) is place‐based and avoids mismatches between assessment geography and management action, (2) uses existing empirical datasets and leverages machine learning techniques and remotely sensed data from a recent drought, (3) emphasizes the inclusion of stakeholders and the importance of data visualization and science communication, and (4) is flexible and adaptable to a wide range of planning contexts. We illustrate the DVA process with a case study for forested watersheds in the Missouri Headwaters (MH), Montana, USA, that is focused on the impact of an early 2000s drought event on forest health. We show how the DVA provides insights on drought vulnerability that are helpful starting points for co‐developing region‐specific management actions to prepare for the next drought, including strategies to enhance ecologically available water, reduce competition for water, promote ecosystem persistence under drought conditions, and prioritize sites for forest restoration, transition, or protection. The work described here provides a model for developing a DVA in other places that, when used in a participatory adaptation planning process, supports the implementation of effective adaptation strategies.

Assessing climate change vulnerability and livelihood strategies in Burkina Faso including insecurity paradigm: a focus on rain-fed agriculture households

Assessing climate change vulnerability and livelihood strategies in Burkina Faso including insecurity paradigm: a focus on rain-fed agriculture households

Assessment of the Climate Change Vulnerability of the Cities in Turkey

Climate-related vulnerability indices are increasingly being utilized to enhance the creation of better disaster management strategies and to better understand and anticipate the effects of disasters related to climate change. This study evaluates the climate change vulnerability of the cities in Türkiye through focusing on their exposure, susceptibilities and adaptive capacities to climate change. Data from social, economic and environmental sub-indicators were assessed and most relevant indicators were aggregated with the goal of constructing a composite Climate Change Vulnerability Index (CCVI). The CCVI includes six forms of capital leading to socio-economic and environmental sustainability i.e. social, public utility and transport, economics, land cover, meteorology and atmospheric conditions, and natural disaster capitals, and will be assessed combining each of these forms of capitals and its three dimensions (exposure, susceptibility and adaptive capacity). Stakeholder-driven structured methodology that discovers and ranks context-relevant indicators and sets weights for aggregating indicator scores by using the Best-Worst method (BWM) and stepwise weight assessment ratio analysis (SWARA) method are utilised. The indicators are aggregated through application of the BWM and SWARA weights using a linear aggregation method. From BWM and SWARA, the highest weights were obtained for meteorological conditions and land cover which are more than 0.36 and 0.22, respectively. The lowest weights were assigned to social characteristics and economy both of which were smaller than 0.10. The findings indicated that the cities on the northern, western and southern coasts as well as the cities in south-east region are the most vulnerable to climate change. The construction of CCVI can be used as part of decision-making process to minimize hazards and exposure to risk of climate change for the cities of Türkiye.

Conceptualising climate change vulnerability across the agrarian transition: The example of Egypt

In this study, we explore the relationship between Egypt's agrarian transition and farmers’ perceptions of environmental risks and opportunities for climate change adaptation. Drawing from agrarian studies and rural development pathways in Egypt, we highlight structural challenges in addressing vulnerabilities of households in agrarian communities to environmental change. Our evidence comes from 350 landholders and agricultural labourers in rural Damietta, a governorate in the northeast of the Egyptian Nile Delta Region. We categorize households into three groups based on their reliance on agriculture for income, corresponding to different agrarian transition models. We find that vulnerabilities and capacities for climate change adaptation vary among these groups, with those heavily dependent on agriculture being the most vulnerable, despite having greater awareness of agricultural risks. They exhibit limited capacity to respond effectively – both in and ex situ, indicating a need for targeted support as environmental pressures increase due to climate change.

Abundance of Natural Resources: Influence on Economic Growth in ASEAN Countries

ASEAN's GDP growth reached 3 trillion USD, with intra-ASEAN trade reaching 590.4 billion USD. ASEAN is projected to become the world's fourth-largest economy by 2050, and over the past few years has shown rapid economic growth. This study aims to analyze the waste of resources that affect the economic growth of ASEAN countries sourced from the export value of natural resources of fuel, natural resources of ore and minerals, natural resources of agriculture, and natural resources of food. Using a quantitative descriptive research approach, using secondary data in the form of panel data for the period 2001-2020 obtained from 10 countries in ASEAN. Data analysis technique using panel data regression, selected model random effect model using Eviews 12 software. The results of this study show that the abundance of natural resources of ores and minerals has a significant effect on economic growth in ASEAN countries with a positive relationship direction, while agricultural natural resource variables have a significant influence on economic growth with a negative relationship direction. This is due to dependence on agricultural natural resources, market instability, technological and infrastructure limitations, climate change vulnerability, and political instability, thus causing loss of added value, dependence on export markets and development on the agricultural industry, which causes obstacles to economic growth which ultimately hinders economic growth to develop optimally.