The most common predictions for rare K and B decay branching ratios in the Standard Model in the literature are based on the CKM elements |V_{cb}| and |V_{ub}| resulting from global fits, that are in the ballpark of their inclusive and exclusive determinations, respectively. In the present paper we follow another route, which to our knowledge has not been explored for Delta M_{s,d} and rare K and B decays by anybody to date. We assume, in contrast to the prevailing inclusive expectations for |V_{cb}|, that the future true values of |V_{cb}| and |V_{ub}| will be both from exclusive determinations; in practice we use the most recent averages from FLAG. With the precisely known |V_{us}| the resulting rare decay branching ratios, varepsilon _K, Delta M_d, Delta M_s and S_{psi K_S} depend then only on the angles beta and gamma in the unitarity triangle that moreover are correlated through the CKM unitarity. An unusual pattern of SM predictions results from this study with some existing tensions being dwarfed and new tensions being born. In particular using HPQCD B^0_{s,d}-{{bar{B}}}^0_{s,d} hadronic matrix elements a 3.1sigma tension in Delta M_s independently of gamma is found. For 60^circ le gamma le 75^circ the tension in Delta M_d between 4.0sigma and 1.1sigma is found and in the case of varepsilon _K between 5.2sigma and 2.1sigma . Moreover, the room for new physics in K^+rightarrow pi ^+nu {bar{nu }}, K_Lrightarrow pi ^0nu {bar{nu }} and Brightarrow K(K^*)nu {bar{nu }} decays is significantly increased. We compare the results in this EXCLUSIVE scenario with the HYBRID one in which |V_{cb}| in the former scenario is replaced by the most recent inclusive |V_{cb}| and present the dependence of all observables considered by us in both scenarios as functions of gamma . As a byproduct we compare the determination of |V_{cb}| from Delta M_s, Delta M_d, varepsilon _K and S_{psi K_S} using B^0_{s,d}-{{bar{B}}}^0_{s,d} hadronic matrix elements from LQCD with 2+1+1 flavours, 2+1 flavours and their average. Only for the 2+1+1 case values for beta and gamma exist for which the same value of |V_{cb}| is found: |V_{cb}|=42.6(4)times 10^{-3}, gamma =64.6(16)^circ and beta =22.2(7)^circ . This in turn implies a 2.7sigma anomaly in B_srightarrow mu ^+mu ^-.
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