Background. Treatment free remission (TFR) is one of the most important aims of CML treatment but, so far, the best treatment strategy to obtain a durable deep molecular response (DMR) and the overall rate of patients able to achieve a successful TKI discontinuation based on intention-to-treat principle from CML diagnosis are still debated. In November 2016 we launched an international, prospective, randomized, two arms study to evaluate both the depth of the molecular response and the rate of TFR in newly diagnosed CP-CML patients treated with a second generation TKI (Nilotinib, NIL) or with imatinib (IM) followed by switching to NIL in absence of optimal response (Clinical Trial number 02602314). Patients were randomized 1:1 between NIL and IM, stratifying on the Sokal score. All the patients achieving a MR4.0 or better by three years and maintaining this level of response up to the end of the fourth year of therapy were qualified for the discontinuation phase. We recently reported that patients enrolled in the NIL arm had a rate of MR4.5 at two years (primary co-endpoint of the study), significantly higher than those in the IM arm (32 vs 22%, p = 0.023 Pane F. et al, EHA 2022). The aim of the present analysis is to assess, in both arms of the trial, the percentage of patients achieving the eligibility to treatment discontinuation, defined as a MR4 maintained in 4 consecutive MRD analysis within the fourth year of therapy. Methods. In this pilot analysis, we first examined the rate of patients eligible to discontinuation and their baseline features (i.e. age, gender, ELTS and Sokal risk, BCR::ABL1 isoform) compared to patients without sustained MR4, using Fisher's exact test or Wilcoxon according to variable type. In patients discontinuing TKIs at 48 months, the successful TFR probability at 12 months after TKI withdrawal was computed with the Kaplan Meier method. Molecular relapse, defined as the loss of MMR or confirmed loss of MR3.0, progression, or death were considering as event in the event-free survival curve. Results. Of the 448 randomized patients, 289 had at least 48-month observation at the time of the present analysis and were evaluated for TFR eligibility, 141 in the IM arm and 148 in the NIL arm, respectively. Ninety-three patients (32%) showed a sustained MR4 in the fourth year and were deemed eligible for treatment discontinuation, 45 in the IM arm (32%) and 48 in the NIL arm (32%). Of the remaining 196 patients, 59 did not have the criteria to discontinue treatment and 137 previously went off study for failure, progression, toxicity, death, or other causes (66 in the IM arm and 71 in the NIL arm, respectively). We found that sustained MR4 achievement was significantly associated with low disease risk, according to both ELTS (81.7% vs 47.2% p<0.0001) and Sokal scores (50.5% vs 34.2%, p=0.008). There is a weak correlation to the age, being those eligible younger (median 52.5 vs 55 years, p=0.037), while no differences in gender and BCR::ABL1 isoform distributions were observed. Within the IM arm, patients who switched to NIL were 60/141 (43%), 44 within the first 12 months and 16 after the first year; those patients had a lower probability of starting the TFR phase compared to patients continuing IM (22% vs 40%, p=0.025). The median follow-up of the 93 patients who attempted treatment discontinuation at 48 months is 9.9 months (IQR: 5.3-12.1). The percentages of those patients in TFR were 82.9% (95% CI:74.8-91.8) at 6 months and 74.3% (95% CI:63.9-86.4) at 12 months. The analysis per random was considered premature given the short follow-up and the proportion of patients not yet evaluable for the discontinuation. Conclusions Although the results are still preliminary to draw definitive conclusions on the rate of sustained DMR and stable TFR , our data indicates that despite higher 24-month rates of MR4.5 in the NIL arm, the probability of reaching criteria for TFR attempt may be not different in the two study arms: one third of patients attempted discontinuation and the majority of them appear to be free of relapse after a median of 10 months from the therapy discontinuation. Among patients of the IM arm, patients switching to NIL due to absence of optimal response had a lower probability to attempt discontinuation. Noteworthy, as for the MR4.5 rate at 24 mo. of therapy, patients at low ELTS risk score are those with the highest probability to achieve sustained MR4 and being eligible for the treatment discontinuation.
Read full abstract