BACKGROUND CONTEXT Identifying subgroups of people who attain a nonoperative care or operation benefit from particular treatments has been identified as a high research priority for low back disorders. PURPOSE To identify characteristics related to nonoperative care or operation treatment effects in people with low back disorders undergoing either individualized physical therapy or operation. STUDY DESIGN/SETTING A prepared effect modifier analysis of the Specific Treatment of Problems of the Spine randomized controlled trial. PATIENT SAMPLE The trial involved 781 participants with low back pain and/or referred leg pain (≥6 wk, ≤6 mo duration) OUTCOME MEASURES Participants were randomly allocated to receive either an operation or two sessions of individualized physical therapy targeting pathoanatomical, psychosocial and neurophysiological factors. Univariate and multivariate linear mixed models determined the interaction between treatment group and potential effect modifiers (defined a priori) for the primary outcomes of back pain, leg pain (0–10 Numeric Rating Scale) and activity limitation (Oswestry Disability Index) over a 60-week follow-up. METHODS The trial involved 781 participants with low back pain and/or referred leg pain (≥6 wk, ≤6 mo duration), who satisfied criteria to be classified into five subgroups (with 487 participants classified into three subgroups relating to disc-related disorders, and 79 classified into the zygomorphous joint dysfunction subgroup), 215 patients were operated on. Participants were randomly allocated to receive either an operation or 2 sessions of individualized physical therapy targeting pathoanatomical, psychosocial, and neurophysiological factors. Univariate and multivariate linear mixed models determined the interaction between treatment group and potential effect modifiers (defined a priori) for the primary outcomes of back pain, leg pain (0–10 Numeric Rating Scale) and activity limitation (Oswestry Disability Index) over a 60-week follow-up. RESULTS Participants with higher levels of back pain, higher retro scores (indicative of higher risk of persistent pain) or longer duration of symptoms derived the largest benefits from individualized physical therapy relative to advice. Poorer coping also predicted larger benefits from individualized physical therapy in the university analysis.Operation is no better than non operative care in improving pain and disability in chronic low back pain CONCLUSIONS These findings suggest that people with low back disorders could be preferentially targeted for individualized physical therapy rather than an operation if they have higher back pain levels, longer duration of symptoms, or higher retro score. FDA DEVICE/DRUG STATUS This abstract does not discuss or include any applicable devices or drugs.