Little is known about the impact of dose, duration, and timing of prenatal prescription opioid exposure on the risk of neonatal opioid withdrawal syndrome (NOWS). Using a cohort of 18,869 prepregnancy chronic opioid users nested within the 2000-2014 Medicaid Analytic eXtract, we assessed average opioid dosage within biweekly gestational age intervals, created group-based trajectory models, and evaluated the association between trajectory groups and NOWS risk. Women were grouped into 6 distinct opioid use trajectories which, based on observed patterns, were categorized as 1) continuous very low-dose use, 2) continuous low-dose use, 3) initial moderate-dose use with a gradual decrease to very low-dose/no use, 4) initial high-dose use with a gradual decrease to very low-dose use, 5) continuous moderate-dose use, and 6) continuous high-dose use. Absolute risk of NOWS per 1,000 infants was 7.7 for group 1 (reference group), 28.8 for group 2 (relative risk (RR)=3.7, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.8, 5.0), 16.5 for group 3 (RR=2.1, 95% CI: 1.5, 3.1), 64.9 for group 4 (RR=8.4, 95% CI: 5.6, 12.6), 77.3 for group 5 (RR=10.0, 95% CI: 7.5, 13.5), and 172.4 for group 6 (RR=22.4, 95% CI: 16.1, 31.2). Trajectory models-which capture information on dose, duration, and timing of exposure-are useful for gaining insight into clinically relevant groupings to evaluate the risk of prenatal opioid exposure.
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