China Policy Research Articles

Creating cities and food security challenge: Evidence from the city–county merger policy in China

The prevailing literature posits a linear relationship between urbanization and food security. Using a policy in China that promotes government-led urbanization through creating cities, specifically city–county merger, we show the existence of a non-linear relationship. Based on the time-dynamic results obtained using national county-level panel data from 2000 to 2020, a potential non-linear characteristic of both decreasing and increasing trends before eventually dissipating has been identified. Mechanism analysis demonstrates that the city–county merger negatively impacts food security by causing labor mobility and cultivated land factor loss. However, the policy's integration of regional markets fosters quality and efficiency improvement in agriculture. The effects of amplified resource pressure and efficiency gains have opposing impacts that vary over time, ultimately resulting in a non-linear relationship. These insights into the debate on urbanization and food security have important policy implications for regions worldwide that are experiencing rapid urbanization, particularly for developing countries.

The Unintended Consequences of Home-Buying Restriction in China

Abstract We investigate the fake divorce activities associated with the home-buying restriction policy in China. We find that the policy increased divorce rate (marriage restoration rate) in the treated cities by 0.436 (0.195) permillage point relative to the control cities. This explains a 19.9% increase in the overall national divorce rate, of which at least 45% can be interpreted as fake divorces. Moreover, we find that the main responders to this policy are people who are older, childless, less-educated, and wealthier. Finally, we show that the fraudulent behavior has significant implications for market efficiency, intra- and inter-household wealth inequality, and other consequences.

China’s digital and green (twin) transition: insights from national and regional innovation policies

ABSTRACT This paper examines the role of policy in China’s digital and green (twin) transition, building on a qualitative study of a large corpus of policy documents in green and digital domains. We analyse the multi-level governance of these transitions for three regional case studies: Shanghai, Wuhan and Hangzhou. We find that regions both adopt and adjust green and digital aims and means differently from national policy. A twin transition is not comprehensively addressed at the national level, but is partially implemented in the three regions. Based on our findings, we develop a regional typology sketching top-down policy implementation strategies.

Data Industry Green Development Promoted by Public Policy and Law in China

It is difficult to fully match the current green development initiatives in the context of public policy and industrial economy to the new infrastructure process driven by massive data. Its connotation and extension and the level of the rule of law need to be deepened to ensure that data production, processing, circulation, elimination, and other activities can achieve high-quality and sustainable development within the collaborative construction of hard facilities and the soft environment in the new era. Based on the practical needs of data industry green development in key areas, we can resolve the legal risk of data industry green development from three aspects: improving the legal level of green public policy, clarifying the green legal benchmark of data industry development, and improving the green legal system of digital society. Then, this paper considers the design of an environmental protection system based on hardware facilities and the structural and readable clean data system innovation of the soft data industry development framework mode so as to clarify the legalization scheme of data industry green development under the new infrastructure. Overall, achieving the green development of the data industry requires not only active attempts by China but also joint efforts by China and other countries.

The effect of different climate and air quality policies in China on in situ ozone production in Beijing

Abstract. In recent years, clean air policies have led to reductions in air pollution across China. Alongside this, emerging carbon neutrality (CN) policies that aim to address the impacts of climate change may also deliver air quality (AQ) co-benefits or climate penalties. Different CN policies will lead to different changes in volatile organic compound (VOC), NOx and particulate matter (PM) emissions, which will in turn impact the photochemical production of secondary pollutants such as ozone (O3). It is currently unclear how different combinations of AQ and CN policies may impact in situ O3 production across China in the future. A detailed chemical box model incorporating the Master Chemical Mechanism was developed to investigate the impact of combined AQ and CN policies on O3 formation in Beijing. The Multi-resolution Emission Inventory model for Climate and air pollution research (MEIC) and the Dynamic Projection model for Emissions in China (DPEC) were used to estimate future pollutant mixing ratios, relative to ambient observations of 35 VOCs, NOx, CO and aerosol surface area (ASA) during the APHH-Beijing 2017 summer campaign. The most ambitious policy scenario, “Ambitious Pollution 1.5D Goals”, led to the largest reduction in O3 production by 2060 but was not the most impactful scenario for reducing O3 production between 2030–2045. Larger reductions were observed under the “Ambitious Pollution Neutral Goals” policy, which focuses on achieving net zero by 2060. O3 production was found to be most sensitive to changes in the OLE2 group of VOCs (alkenes where kOH>7×104 ppm−1 min−1; a 5 % increase in OLE2 increased simulated O3 production by 1.12 %). However, reducing less reactive but higher concentration species in Beijing (such as short-chain alkanes) led to larger reductions in O3 production under all scenarios. O3 production was not sensitive to changes in ASA, with a 69 % decrease in ASA leading to a change of <1 % in O3. However, doubling biogenic VOCs in the model further increased O3 production in 2060 under all future scenarios by up to 18 %, indicating that the influence of future climate-induced changes in biogenic emissions may have a significant impact on in situ O3 formation in Beijing. This study highlights that the emission trajectories of certain specific VOCs are highly influential in determining possible future O3 air quality effects that may arise from increasing ambient temperatures and decarbonisation in Beijing.

How does information and communication technology promote tourism development? Evidence from the e-commerce pilot city policy in China

Information and communication technology (ICT) drives tourism development. Utilising the e-commerce pilot city policy (CNEP) as a quasi-natural experiment, this study explores the effect of ICT on tourism development and the transmission mechanism. A multi-period difference-in-differences model is used to analyse panel data from 280 Chinese prefecture-level cities from 2003 to 2019. The results show that the CNEP promotes tourism development. The transmission mechanism indicates that the CNEP promotes tourism development by reducing tourism environmental costs and increasing tourism network attention. Additionally, the heterogeneity analysis reveals that the CNEP has a more significant effect on promoting tourism development in large and big-internet-scale cities. These findings provide crucial empirical evidence for the tourism-driven impact of ICT and meaningful policy implications for the tourism industry’s digital transformation.

Selection preference and effectiveness quantification of provincial energy security policies in China

Selection preference and effectiveness quantification of provincial energy security policies in China

Multi-dimensional epidemiology and informatics data on COVID-19 wave at the end of zero COVID policy in China.

China exited strict Zero-COVID policy with a surge in Omicron variant infections in December 2022. Given China's pandemic policy and population immunity, employing Baidu Index (BDI) to analyze the evolving disease landscape and estimate the nationwide pneumonia hospitalizations in the post Zero COVID period, validated by hospital data, holds informative potential for future outbreaks. Retrospective observational analyses were conducted at the conclusion of the Zero-COVID policy, integrating internet search data alongside offline records. Methodologies employed were multidimensional, encompassing lagged Spearman correlation analysis, growth rate assessments, independent sample T-tests, Granger causality examinations, and Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) models for comprehensive data scrutiny. Various diseases exhibited a notable upsurge in the BDI after the policy change, consistent with the broader trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic. Robust connections emerged between COVID-19 and diverse health conditions, predominantly impacting the respiratory, circulatory, ophthalmological, and neurological domains. Notably, 34 diseases displayed a relatively high correlation (r > 0.5) with COVID-19. Among these, 12 exhibited a growth rate exceeding 50% post-policy transition, with myocarditis escalating by 1,708% and pneumonia by 1,332%. In these 34 diseases, causal relationships have been confirmed for 23 of them, while 28 garnered validation from hospital-based evidence. Notably, 19 diseases obtained concurrent validation from both Granger causality and hospital-based data. Finally, the BSTS models approximated approximately 4,332,655 inpatients diagnosed with pneumonia nationwide during the 2 months subsequent to the policy relaxation. This investigation elucidated substantial associations between COVID-19 and respiratory, circulatory, ophthalmological, and neurological disorders. The outcomes from comprehensive multi-dimensional cross-over studies notably augmented the robustness of our comprehension of COVID-19's disease spectrum, advocating for the prospective utility of internet-derived data. Our research highlights the potential of Internet behavior in predicting pandemic-related syndromes, emphasizing its importance for public health strategies, resource allocation, and preparedness for future outbreaks.

Market‐incentivized environmental regulation policy and company green transformation: An analytical perspective based on the cost transfer capability of companies

AbstractBased on the carbon emissions trading pilot policy in China, this paper takes Chinese A‐share listed companies from 2012 to 2020 as a sample, and analyzes the role of company's cost transfer capability (ECTC) in the mechanism of market‐incentivized environmental regulation policy (MERP) influencing company green transformation. This paper finds the following four primary results. First, ECTC significantly strengthens the green transformation driving effect of MERP in general. However, results based on the division of ECTC by percentiles show that MERP‐induced green transformation is more pronounced in the top 25% of companies, which distinguishes them from companies in the top 25%–50%, whose cost transfer capacity hampers MERP's contribution to the green transformation. Second, the level of regional economic development, emission regulation, and business reputation have heterogeneous influences on the moderating effect of ECTC. Third, the results based on the moderated mediation model show that ECTC can influence the green transition driving effect of MERP by moderating the two paths of risk‐taking ability and financing constraints of companies. Finally, there is a diffusion effect on the green transformation driven by MERP through cost transfer among companies in non‐pilot industries and non‐pilot regions.

Influence of extreme 2022 heatwave on megacities' anthropogenic CO2 emissions in lower-middle reaches of the Yangtze River

An unprecedented heatwave hit the Yangtze River Basin (YRB) in August 2022. We analyzed changes of anthropogenic CO2 emissions in 8 megacities over lower-middle reaches of the YRB, using a near-real-time gridded daily CO2 emissions dataset. We suggest that the predominant sources of CO2 emissions in these 8 megacities are from the power and industrial sectors. In comparison to the average emissions for August in 2020 and 2021, the heatwave event led to a total increase in power sector emissions of approximately 2.70 Mt CO2, potentially due to the increase in urban cooling demand. Suzhou experienced the largest increase, with a rise of 1.12 Mt CO2 (12.88 %). Importantly, we observed that changes in daily power emissions exhibited strong linear relationships with temperatures during the heatwave, albeit varying sensitivities across different megacities (with an average of 0.0076 ± 0.0075 Mt d−1 °C−1). Conversely, we find that industrial emissions decreased by a total of 8.45 Mt CO2, with Shanghai seeing the largest decrease of 4.71 Mt CO2, while Hangzhou experienced the largest relative decrease (−21.22 %). It is noteworthy that the majority of megacities rebounded in industrial emissions following the conclusion of the heatwave. We convincingly suggest a tight linkage between the reductions in industrial emissions and China's policy to ensure household power supply. Overall, the reduction in industrial emissions offset the increase in power sector emissions, resulting in weaker emissions for majority of megacities during the heatwave. Despite remaining uncertainties in the emissions data, our study may offer valuable insights into the complexities of anthropogenic CO2 emissions in megacities amidst frequent summer heatwaves intensified by greenhouse warming.

China's Policy in the Field of Artificial Intelligence

Today, China has achieved tremendous success in the field of information technology and is actively promoting the modernization of the country and increasing its competitiveness in the world through progressive digitalization and informatization of all sectors of life and production. With more than a billion registered users of the global information network, actively using the scientific and educational potential of the country, China keeps information policy in the zone of close attention, as evidenced, in particular, by the fact that it was created in 2014. Since its creation, the Central Commission of the CPC Central Committee on Internet Security and Informatization has been personally headed by Xi Jinping. China is aware of the serious risks associated with the development of AI, but also understands the importance of this area for further development and improving the country's competitiveness. In this regard, the political leadership is taking systematic steps and measures for the healthy and safe development of this area in the country and in the world. The information sphere is no less important for Russia, especially in the context of attempts to isolate it and displace it to the global periphery, therefore, in the current conditions, the topic of cooperation with China in the field of information technology is of particular priority for Russia. This is evidenced by its inclusion in the final joint Russian-Chinese statement of May 16, 2024 following the meeting of the heads of state in Beijing. The article examines the general situation of the formation of AI regulatory tools in the world and, above all, in the PRC. A number of documents adopted by the country's top political leadership, as well as expert assessments and opinions, were reviewed.

COVID-19 vaccination and concerns regarding vaccine hesitancy after the termination of the zero-COVID policy in China: A nationwide cross-sectional study

ABSTRACT COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy remains prevalent globally. However, national data on this issue in the general population after the termination of the zero-COVID policy in China are limited. In March 2023, we conducted a nationwide cross-sectional survey among Chinese adults using a self-administered questionnaire. Descriptive statistics and multivariate logistic regressions were employed. Among 4,966 participants, 43.8% reported COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy following the end of the zero-COVID policy in China. Higher rates of vaccine hesitancy were associated with being married (married: OR 1.36, 95%CI 1.17–1.57; other marital status: OR 1.86, 95%CI 1.36–2.55), working in healthcare (OR 1.64, 95%CI 1.38–1.96), having both minors and older adults in the household (OR 1.45, 95%CI 1.20–1.75), having no minors and older adults in the household (OR 1.44, 95%CI 1.17–1.77), having chronic diseases (OR 1.42, 95%CI 1.23–1.64), experiencing adverse events post-vaccination (OR 1.39, 95%CI 1.19–1.61), and uncertainty about previous COVID-19 infection (OR 1.45, 95%CI 1.13–1.86). Conversely, participants who had received the influenza vaccine in the past three years (OR 0.62, 95%CI 0.54–0.72), had previously taken the COVID-19 vaccine (OR 0.44, 95%CI 0.32–0.59), and had higher confidence in vaccines (OR 0.63, 95%CI 0.60–0.67) were less likely to exhibit hesitancy. Our findings indicate a significant level of vaccine hesitancy, underscoring the urgent need for tailored public health strategies to address vaccine hesitancy and improve uptake post-zero-COVID policy in China. A comprehensive understanding of public concerns and related factors is essential for developing effective vaccine communication strategies.

Public Order, Human Dignity, and the Child’s Best Interests: The Legal Dilemma of Surrogacy in Mo Yan’s Frog

This study examines the legal dilemma of surrogacy in the novel Frog by the Nobel prize winner Mo Yan, which was written in the context of China’s past one-child policy. This study offers a tri-tier exploration of how surrogacy led to conflicts and tensions in Frog: first, it traces how the intended parents’ demand for surrogacy developed under the one-child policy in China while clarifying the application of “the principle of public order”; second, it explores the predicament of the surrogate mother Chen Mei regarding the violation of her rights and dignity, and delves into the interpretation of “the principle of human dignity”; third, it focuses on the custody dispute between the surrogate mother and the intended parents to explore the controversies over the concept of parentage in surrogacy and consider the principle of “best interest of the child.” This study concludes that despite all the legal and ethical controversies, the spirit of law demands a response to the growing practice of surrogacy and an extension of our exploration of legal principles.

The impact of energy supply side on the diffusion of low-carbon transformation on energy demand side under low-carbon policies in China

In order to promote the synergistic green and low-carbon development of energy supply-demand sides, this paper uses the complex network evolutionary game to explore the impact of supply side decision-making on the diffusion of low-carbon transformation on demand-side under low-carbon policies. The result shows that: (1) It is feasible for the government to use carbon trading as a policy tool to promote synergistic low-carbon transformation on supply-demand sides, but it is constrained by the carbon price trend. (2) Relying only on the direct supply of clean energy from the energy supply to demand side is not enough to promote synergistic development, and the government needs to guide the both sides to cooperate in the construction of renewable energy power plants. (3) When carbon price is on an upward trend, the government needs to push forward the low-carbon transformation process on supply side, and form the low-carbon transformation of demand side driven by supply side. (4) When carbon price is on a downward trend, the government needs to guide the supply side to bear part of the transformation cost pressure on the demand side, and at the same time give more transformation subsidies.

Factors affecting the essential medicine prescribing behavior among general practitioners in Beijing, China: a cross-sectional study with structural equation model

BackgroundThe aim of this study is to explore the influence of GPs’information, motivation and behavior skills on EM prescribing behavior in urban and suburban districts.MethodA cross-sectional study was conducted from June to November 2022 cross 3 urban districts and 4 suburban districts in Beijing. The structural equation model was used to analyze the factors influencing the essential medicine prescription behavior among general practitioners in urban and suburban districts.ResultsA total of 511 valid questionnaires were collected. There was a statistically significant difference in mean scores for personal motivation and behavioral skills between urban GPs and suburban GPs. For urban GPs, the path analysis revealed that the social motivation had a direct effect on the essential medicine prescribing behavior (β = 0.225, p < 0.05). In contrast, for suburban GPs, both social motivation and personal motivation had a direct effect on the essential medicine prescribing behavior, respectively (β = 0.175, p < 0.05; β = 0.193, p < 0.01).ConclusionSocial motivation of urban GPs were positively and significantly associated with essential medicine prescribing behavior. Social motivation and personal motivation of suburban GPs were positively and significantly associated with essential medicine prescribing behavior. Therefore, various corresponding policies and measures should be developed to promote the National Essential Medicines Policy in China.

Smart-City Policy in China: Opportunities for Innovation and Challenges to Sustainable Development

Urban development relies on the promotion of innovation, while sustainable development is an inevitable requirement for green urban development. As the primary carrier of innovation and sustainable development, cities have seen the construction of smart cities become a hotspot topic of public concern against the backdrop of rapid advancements in information technology. Based on the Chinese smart-city pilot policies, this paper selects data from 278 prefecture-level cities between 2007 and 2020, employing difference-in-difference (DID), epsilon-based measures and global Malmquist–Luenberger index (EBM-GLM), and the Spatial Durbin Model (SDM) to analyze the direct impact, spatial effects, and regional differences of smart-city construction on urban innovation capacity and sustainable development. The research results indicate the following: (1) the implementation of smart-city policies significantly enhances the urban innovation capacity (UCI), but its impact on green total-factor productivity (GTFP) is unstable and even insignificant; (2) the UCI and GTFP of smart cities have spillover effects, and the implementation of policies may inhibit the improvement of UCI and GTFP in neighboring cities; (3) the impact of smart-city construction varies across different regions, with a more significant promotion effect on the innovation capacity of economically developed cities.

Impact of the National Ecological Civilization Construction Demonstration Zone on corporate ESG: Evidence from China

This study examines the effect of implementation of the National Ecological Civilization Construction Demonstration Zone (NECCDZ) policy in China as a quasi-natural experiment on Chinese listed firms’ ESG performance. By utilizing a multi-period differences-in-differences model, the empirical results reveal that the NECCDZ policy boosted the ESG performance of China’s A-share listed companies in the pilot region by an average of 38%. However, the NECCDZ policy has differential effects on the three subdimensions of ESG. More specifically, the NECCDZ policy significantly improves the social responsibility performance and governance performance of the company, and has a lagged positive effect on the environmental performance. The mechanism analysis shows that the NECCDZ policy enhances corporate ESG practices by promoting enterprise green technology innovation, while media attention positively moderates the impact of the NECCDZ policy on corporate ESG practices. Further analysis shows that the NECCDZ policy also improves the enterprises’ financing environment through government subsidies and public investment. Overall, the empirical findings show the effectiveness of NECCDZ policy in enhancing ESG practices at the enterprise level and offer a new approach to improving corporate ESG finance in emerging markets such as China.

Competition policy and labor income share: Evidence from the antitrust policy in China

This study examines the impact of increased market competition on labor income share. We use the enactment of China's Anti-Monopoly Law as a quasi-natural experiment. The results reveal that the Anti-Monopoly Law has a significant positive effect on the labor income share of firms with higher market power. This is because the rising market competition, effected by the Anti-Monopoly Law, inhibits market power and increases average labor wages. Our findings are relevant for firms in provinces with higher administrative monopolies, with less competition, and under industries with less competition.

Analysis of the spatial association network structure of China’s green innovation efficiency

Improving the green innovation efficiency (GIE) is the main approach to high-quality development in China. Identifying the spatial distribution and influencing factors of GIE is conducive to sustainable and balanced regional development. In this research, the slack based measure-data envelopment analysis model (SBM-DEA) is used to measure the GIE of 30 provinces in China from 2013 to 2023. The gravity model and social network analysis methods are used to explore the spatial correlation of GIE in the provinces. The influencing factors of GIE are analyzed by the Tobit model. The results show that: (1) During the study period, the GIE of China’s provinces presented a high level, the spatial accumulation characteristics were obvious and the spatial correlation showed a complex network structure; (2) The association network is still in the primary stage, and the network strength and network association degree are low; (3) Provinces with strong innovation ability do not affect the green innovation of other provinces. In addition, these regions have obtained higher innovation linkage benefits from other provinces; (4) The amount of patent, education and government support have a significant positive impact on GIE, while total energy consumption and the secondary industry’s share of the gross domestic product have a significant negative impact on GIE. This study will reveal the characteristics of green innovation behavior of China from a new perspective, and provide a scientific basis for the formulation of green innovation behavior and related policies of China.

Study on decarbonization trajectories and policy implications for China: A comparative analysis of carbon peak nations.

Amidst escalating global concerns over climate change and the pressing need for sustainable development, this study conducts a comparative analysis across 24 nations that have successfully achieved carbon peaking, evaluating their socioeconomic characteristics and carbon reduction strategies. Simultaneously, it examines China's policy evolution and strategic responses within the context of its economic and urban development. The analysis reveals that countries with successful carbon peak outcomes typically exhibit high GDP per capita and advanced urbanization rates. Critical to their success are comprehensive adjustments in energy consumption structures and industrial transformation, which are supported by robust environmental policies and technological innovation. The study categorizes global carbon reduction policies into three primary categories and seven sub-categories, reflecting the dynamic evolution of policy approaches driven by global climate agendas and varying stages of national development. Strategies including legal frameworks, carbon pricing mechanisms, international cooperation, and technological innovation are critically assessed for their potential to refine China's carbon policies. Significant challenges in policy implementation are identified, particularly in aligning ambitious environmental strategies with economic objectives and managing transition costs in critical sectors such as energy and transportation. The study emphasizes the necessity of a phased policy implementation approach, which begins with enhancing public and corporate environmental awareness, advances through the promotion of low-carbon technologies, and concludes with the establishment of stringent legal and regulatory frameworks.