The formation, evolution and regeneration of water resources follow the general laws of nature. However, in recent years, with the increasing social and economic activities of human beings, the hydrological cycle of nature has undergone significant changes, which has led to a prominent contradiction in the water supply-demand. It has also led to a series of serious environmental and ecological problems, which have caused certain areas, such as the Tarim River Basin (TRB) to face severe conditions of water shortage, downstream river channel cutoff, vegetation degradation and ecological environment deterioration. The lack of water is the main problem to solve these problems, and the water resource reproducible ability, now and in the future, is the key to solving the core problem of water shortage. Through collecting data of precipitation, runoff and temperature of representative hydrographic stations of the Tarim River, as well as the data of geographical location and human activities, this paper studies the factors affecting the water resource reproducible ability in the TRB. The paper draws the following conclusions: (1) The water resource reproducible ability in the source flow area of TRB is increasingwhen the temperature and precipitation is increasing. (2) The water resource reproducible ability in the west of TRB is greater than that in the east. (3) With the elevation of the topography, the water resource reproducible ability in the TRB is stronger. (4) Human activities weaken the water resource reproducible ability.
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