Regime Change Research Articles

A magyarországi kisüzemi sörgyártás és -fogyasztás területi vizsgálata = Spatial Analysis of Small-scale Beer Production and Consumption in Hungary

The Hungarian beer production transformed significantly after the change of regime. According to the international trends, production has changed and new types of beer have emerged, which have influenced the attitudes of Hungarian consumers towards beer. However, the number of geographic studies on beer production and consumption in Hungary is not sufficient to provide a comprehensive understanding of the phenomenon, so the aim of our study is to describe the sector through the operations of six selected small-scale breweries and large-scale breweries, comparing the two types of production. An important element is to explore the difficulties caused by the Covid-19 epidemic, its impact on the beer industry and the consumption habits of consumers.

Capacity mapping of comprehensive sexuality education in Gabon: A qualitative analysis

Abstract Background Access to comprehensive sexuality education (CSE) is crucial for adolescent health and well-being. Following UNESCO’s recommendations, Gabon revised its sex education policy in 2017 to better address adolescents’ sexual health needs. This study aims to map the capacities of the public health and education sector to implement Gabon’s CSE policy. Methods Semi-structured interviews were held with 15 professionals from ministries, NGOs, and development partners. Thematic analysis guided by Aluttis et al’s public health capacity model allowed to assess the existing capacities and gaps in leadership, organizational structures, partnerships, resources, and knowledge development for CSE. Results The implementation of CSE in Gabon is hindered by sociocultural and political factors, including the taboo on adolescent sexuality influencing perceptions of CSE content, natalist policies, and socio-economic disparities. Governmental involvement in CSE is limited to key ministries. Organizational structures for CSE lack cohesion due to changes in governance regimes and a lack of support for civil society organizations. Human resources are unevenly distributed, and financial constraints impede government initiatives, causing a strong reliance on external funding. An important role in supporting CSE is played by development partners and partnerships between stakeholders. While knowledge development for CSE is underway, monitoring and evaluation procedures are insufficient, and evidence mobilization by key professionals is insufficient. Conclusions Enhancing stakeholder collaboration, addressing structural constraints, and mobilizing human and financial resources are critical for effective CSE implementation in Gabon. Addressing these barriers requires coordinated efforts among stakeholders and addressing systemic challenges. This study provides insights for policymakers and practitioners to strengthen CSE programs and promote adolescent sexual health in Gabon. Key messages • CSE implementation is hindered by taboos on adolescent sexuality, natalist policies, and socio-economic gaps. • Evaluation and evidence mobilization deficits limit effectiveness.

Development of the Arabian-Nubian Shield along the Marsa Alam-Idfu transect, Central-Eastern Desert, Egypt: geochemical implementation of zircon U-Pb geochronology

The magmatic complex along the Marsa Alam-Idfu transect, Central-Eastern Desert of Egypt, represents the northern segment of the Arabian–Nubian Shield (ANS), which developed within the framework of the East African Orogen. The basement rocks of the Arabian-Nubian Shield have been developed through three distinct phases of magmatic activity: the island-arc, the syn-orogenic, and the post-orogenic phases. Transitioning of the magmatic phases from the syn-orogenic to the post-orogenic, identifies changing the tectonic regime from a compressional to an extensional setting. The scarcity of comprehensive regional geochronological data that rely on precise isochron methods, such as the zircon U-Pb technique, could limit the comprehensive understanding of this region’s geological and tectonic history. That would raise a number of uncertainties ranging from the timing of the different magmatic activities and timing of changes in the tectonic regime to the existence of the pre-Pan-African crust in the CED. Our study provides new insights into the aforementioned uncertainties through zircon U-Pb dating of different rock units along the Marsa Alam-Idfu transect, CED, Egypt. The resulting ages ranged from 729 ± 3 Ma to 570 ± 2 Ma, constraining the temporal evolution of the ANS in the studied region into (1) the island-arc phase, represented by a metamorphic sample with an age of 729 ± 3 Ma. (2) the syn-orogenic phase, represented by calc-alkaline and alkaline granitic samples with ages ranging from 699 ± 4 Ma to 646 ± 2 Ma. These two phases indicate initiation of the compressional subduction regime in the CED since 729 ± 3 Ma and being dominated till 646 ± 2 Ma. (3) the post-orogenic phase, represented by metavolcanics, volcanic rocks, and alkaline plutonic samples with ages ranging from 623 ± 3 Ma to 570 ± 2 Ma. This phase suggests dominance of the compressional-to-extensional tectonic transition setting from 623 ± 3 Ma to 600 ± 1 Ma along with the Dokhan volcanism and activation of post-collision tensional regime activated at 582 ± 3 Ma. Our findings discourage the proposed dominance of the island-arc and syn-orogenic phases in the CED and the classical restriction of older magmatic activity to calc-alkaline granitic rocks and younger magmatic activity to alkaline granitic rocks. Additionally, we identified evidence of local magmatic sources by dating five grains with Mesoproterozoic (pre-Arabian–Nubian Shield) xenocrysts with ages ranging from 1549 ± 4 to 1095 ± 25 Ma.

EVALUATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON SUGARCANE AND CITRUS CROPS IN BRAZIL

Agricultural production is directly related to the environmental conditions. Favorable conditions can lead to higher productivity and product quality. However, climate change may pose a threat to agricultural production across the globe, as a rise in temperature may cause a decrease in the extent of suitable areas for growing certain crops. Using spatial analysis and data from future climate change scenarios developed by the IPCC, this research aims to evaluate the impact of climate change on the sugarcane and citrus plantations in the state of Sao Paulo from agroclimatic zoning mapping. The results of this research demonstrate that both crops can suffer great reduction of areas suitable for cultivation if there are severe changes in the climate regime, and these results can be used by managers and researchers to mitigate these potential impacts, as well as to clarify how climate change affects life on the planet, with the possible reduction of food and bioenergy production.

Rules of consultation. Parliamentary procedure in the Netherlands since 1795

ABSTRACT The Dutch Parliament claims to be one of the oldest, if not the oldest parliament still in function today, with roots tracing back to the ‘States-General’ of 17 provinces in the Low Countries that assembled for the first time in 1464. Historiography also tends to stress the remarkable continuity and stability of the Dutch Parliament, with rules, practices and traditions handed over from one generation to another – seemingly irrespective of regime changes. Continuity indeed is a significant aspect of Dutch parliamentary culture. This article will show that this is a result of an ongoing historical process of adaptation and re-negotiation, and by no means has it been self-evident. Confronted with internal and external challenges of the established (working) order, the Dutch Parliament throughout the nineteenth and twentieth centuries sought to reconciliate ‘the old’ with ‘new’ ideas on how to put parliamentarism, representation, and deliberative democracy into daily practice. In fact, this has been at the heart of every discussion on parliamentary procedure.

The Ukraine invasion: Hierarchy, discipline and counterbalance

This article examines Russia’s 2022 military intervention in Ukraine through an eclectic theoretical framework that synthesises hierarchy theory, foreign-imposed regime change, and negative balancing strategy. We argue that Russia justified the attack as a means to protect its hierarchical objectives in the post-Soviet region against three perceived imminent threats: Ukraine’s independent trajectory, the growing alignment of certain post-Soviet states with the US-led hierarchy, and the expansion of the US-led Western hierarchy into the post-Soviet space. In response, Russia employed the hard face of its negative balancing strategy by launching an overt foreign-imposed regime change operation to replace Zelensky’s government with a pro-Moscow regime. From the outset, this operation has been tasked with two key aims: discipline and balance. The disciplinary objective has focused on ensuring Ukraine’s loyalty to Moscow and deterring other Western-leaning post-Soviet states from emulating Ukraine by sending a clear disciplinary message. The balance objective has sought to counter the negative and outbidding strategies of the US-led hierarchy, which Russia perceives as a neo-containment agenda aimed at undermining its regional influence.

Kutatások a szimbolikus térhasználat témakörében: áttekintés és szintézis

The study analyzes the symbolical space using practice in the period from the social-political turnaround of Romania in 1989 to the present in Szeklerland. The aim is to present the trended changes in the symbolical space using practice in the public space since the regime change. The study is based on results of research programs conducted at WAC – Centre for Regional and Anthropological Research. Analyzing the results of the research programs, we determined three intervals from 1990 to the present. In the first interval, symbolical space using practice was dominated by rehabilitation processes. In the second interval, creating new symbolic spaces and events was more typical. In the last interval, new processes have emerged, such as integration and individualization. In addition to analyzing the changes, we also aim at presenting the social function of symbolical space using practice in different time intervals.

An Experimental Study of Flow and Turbulence Properties near the Rising Sector Gate Mouth Considering the Gate Opening with a PIV Measuring System

Hydraulic structures, such as movable weir gates, are widely installed in rivers and streams for various purposes. Among these is the rising sector gate, which is the focus of this study. This research investigated how different gate openings affect flow velocity and turbulence distributions at the gate mouth. A hydraulic analysis of flow and turbulence characteristics near the mouth of a rising sector gate model was conducted through laboratory experiments with various flow conditions and gate openings utilizing a Particle Image Velocimetry (PIV) system. Experimental tests were carried out with two gate-opening angles (30 and 45 degrees). The PIV measurements revealed significant variations in flow velocity and turbulence properties in response to the gate openings and flow conditions. Notably, in the vicinity of the gate mouth, where the flow regime changes rapidly between the upstream and downstream regions, the turbulence properties in the upstream part of the gate mouth were more than twice those in the downstream part. Additionally, the streamwise distribution of depth-averaged relative turbulence intensity was analyzed. The results showed that the depth-averaged relative turbulence intensity decreased by nearly half as the gate opening increased from 30 to 45 degrees, with the lowest values observed at the gate mouth, followed by an increase downstream. A functional relationship between the maximum flow velocity at the gate mouth during underflow operation and the Froude number was established to guide practical gate operation in the field.

Linking curve number with environmental flows: a novel approach.

Change in flow regime is one of the major reasons which influence the services offered by rivers and integrity of their aquatic ecosystems requiring certain amount of flow in the river known as environmental flow. In this study, the environmental flows described by Tennant's method are correlated with a very versatile index defined in terms of Curve Number (CN) that incorporates hydrometeorological and geomorphological characteristics of catchment. Parameter CN is commonly known to be closely related with catchment characteristics (viz., land use, soil type, etc.). The rainfall-runoff data of 17 catchments from five major Indian river basins (i.e., Brahmani-Baitarani, Godavari, Mahanadi, Mahi, and Narmada) of low flow season (October-June) are used to derive the relationship between percentage of average annual flow (%AAF) and CN. The %AAF is seen to increase linearly with increasing CN, and vice versa, for all catchments and the correlation (R) is found to be greater than 0.7 for 16 (out of 17) catchments. The correlation between %AAF and CN is maximum for Dhariawad (R2 = 0.899) and Baronda (R2 = 0.814) catchments, indicating excellent relationship between %AAF and CN, which can be useful for the environmental flow prediction based on catchment characteristics. The existence of such a relationship is further strengthened by the relation established between the standard normal deviate of CN and the Standard Flow Index (SQI), a variation of %AAF, using the same field data.

ОБҐРУНТУВАННЯ РОЗШИРЕНОГО СКЛАДУ СПОСТЕРЕЖЕНЬ НА ВОДНО-БАЛАНСОВИХ СТАНЦІЯХ ТА ДОСЛІДНИЦЬКИХ ГІДРОГЕОФІЗИЧНИХ ПОЛІГОНАХ

The current level of understanding of the subordination and multifactorial dependence of the determining processes in the atmosphere, lithosphere and hydrosphere of the Earth requires a corresponding reorganization of the basic system of environmental monitoring, improvement and expansion of research on water these stations, which can become the supporting 'nodes' of the balance of this system. The appearance of fundamentally new theoretical developments, modern devices and equipment, a large number of software tools, etc., prompts a significant reorganization and strengthening of the environmental monitoring system. The article substantiates an additional set of studies, which should be included in the regulation of observations at already existing water balance stations, with their mandatory modernization. Spheres are subject to control - the atmosphere, surface and underground (subsurface) hydrospheres, which change over time at different rates and pedosphere. A certain inertia of hydrogeological processes implies the possibility of using meteorological indicators, which can be used to predict changes in the moisture regime in the aeration zone and shallow groundwater in the near future; based on the reliably predictable changes of the latter - to forecast changes in interlayer groundwater resources, etc. It is proposed to include in the monitoring regulations the following indicators of the state of the environment, which will allow to identify and analyze the causes of changes in the water situation, balance and resources, to determine the mechanisms of moisture transfer and accumulation, as well as to build models and perform predictive assessments. The results of comprehensive research at the «Lutiz» landfill demonstrate significant variability of hydrogeophysical indicators and changes in the intensity of natural signals depending on the landscape timing, the latest tectonics, the geological basis and the composition of the overlying sediments. Original devices are presented, which are used to determine indicators of electric and thermal fields, the ratio of positive and negative air ions, etc.

Adalékok az abortusz büntetőjogi megítélésének történetéhez

Aim: To examine how the social and, at the same time, legal perception of induced abortion has changed since the Middle Ages. Examining the criminal law norms seems to be a good indicator of this because these norms are meant to play the role of a capstone for the protection of social values. Methodology: Processing and analysis of legal norms and literature data from a historical perspective. A value-oriented analysis of the mentioned sources accompanies this. Findings: The normative system of the middle ages was permeated by the Christian religion and the morality based on it. Thus, at this age, there was no doubt that taking away the life of the fetus was a sin and a crime as well. This rule prevailed in later times until 1945. The abortion ban that remained after the communist takeover was based on entirely different moral foundations. It was based on the fact that workers are needed for social development, and taking away fetal life deprives socialist society of this resource. State socialism later relaxed the rules. This change was followed by the criminal law with a significant lag until finally, in 1962, only illegal abortion was punishable. The changes after the regime change consolidated the legislative attitude according to which the fetus is not a human being. The criminal law norms are also in line with this. Value: Historical outline of the protection of fetal life, with particular regard to its protection under criminal law. Changes in European culture led to the development of different images of people. An imprint of these is the protection of fetal life.

Heritage Making in Former Socialist Towns in Hungary

AbstractCentral and Eastern European countries generally view their socialist heritage as an unwanted, unpleasant burden. The new identity-building processes after the regime change were initially dominated by efforts to rewrite, suppress, or erase the socialist past, while for Western tourists the consumption of key attractions and sites of the built heritage represents a particular form of heritage tourism through which they can experience a slice of an “exotic” past beyond the Iron Curtain. At the national and local levels, there is a vast dissonance between the material heritage of socialism and the identity and aspirations of post-socialist communities, which is even more evident in the case of newly-built, former socialist towns. Through the example of Tiszaújváros and Dunaújváros, my study primarily examines the institutional strategies chosen by these towns to address their socialist heritage. What principles prevailed in the compilation of the local collection of values? What kind of representation of the past do local museums offer, what role does the ethnographic heritage of the annexed villages play in museum presentation and collection, and how are local/regional traditions integrated into the town's image? Finally, through a specific community of memory, a Facebook page, I examine how the recent past appears in individual and collective – often nostalgic – memory, what values the community associates with the town, and how all these relate to the heritagization practices of the local elite.

Soil reclamation of cranberry plantations on reclaimed lands in Arkhangelsk region

In the production conditions of the "Arkhangelsk cranberry" in the Arkhangelsk region, the land use analysis was carried out as a part of land use monitoring in this agricultural production. In 2015, the first cranberry plantations were planted, and in April 2023 about 40 hectares of peatlands were already in land use of the factory including 8 fields (checks) with an average area of 1 hectare. An assessment of the dynamics of change on the area of the created plantation was carried out for all indicators such as the length of roads, developed area and some separately designed structures (except of drained bogs). It was found that the soil indicators of peatlands are normal for this type of lands, and provide favorable conditions for growing cranberries. The analysis of the dynamics of land use in the period from 2015 to 2023 revealed the following dynamic indicators: an increase in the area of active land use by 418.97%, an increase in the area of drained swamps by 310.68%, 5.5 hectares were withdrawn from the forest fund, 42.31 hectares are under development (complex works), the total number of checks for planting increased by 23 parcels, an increase in the length of roads, including dirt roads, by 8.6 km, an increase in the number of fire ponds by 3 pieces, an increase in the number of sludge ponds by 3 pieces, and, finally, 1 recreational site was commissioned. The research has also shown that drainage does not lead to a significant change in the chemical composition of the organic part of peat and its agrochemical properties, so using drainage is not rational. In this case, a slight change in the water-air regime was observed together with the changes in the soil-forming process, and some activities of microorganisms, which was a prerequisite for an increase in the level of mineralization of the organic part of peat. Despite the gradual commissioning of peatlands, environmental sustainability has a trend towards an increase, which should be taken into account in the further development of the enterprise.

Vertical Profile Analysis of Cloud Feedbacks

AbstractCloud feedback is the largest source of uncertainty in climate sensitivity. This feedback is generally discussed in terms of radiative flux at the top of the atmosphere, but the vertical distribution of the contribution of cloud changes to the top‐of‐atmosphere cloud feedback should be discussed to understand the feedback in greater detail. We have developed a simple analysis method called “vertical profile analysis of cloud feedback,” which simply uses radiative flux data from each level of the model. The analysis is applied for typical cloud regimes and the results are discussed together with cloud fraction change profiles. The advantages and disadvantages of the vertical profile analysis, compared with the commonly used International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) histogram kernel method, are discussed. Our analysis has the advantage of resolving the detailed vertical profiles of the contribution to the top‐of‐atmosphere cloud feedback from the changes in cloud regimes associated with warming, such as reduced cloud cover and upward shifts of the cloud layer in subtropical low‐cloud regions as well as the increased height of the melting layer in tropical deep convection. The main disadvantage is that the vertical profile analysis cannot represent the feedback components sorted by cloud optical thickness as in the ISCCP histogram kernel method.

Crustal stress near the Yakutat microplate collision from probabilistic earthquake focal mechanisms

Earthquake source characteristics provide a valuable constraint on crustal stress and regional plate tectonics. Earthquake source studies in Yukon and northern British Columbia have been limited by sparse seismic network coverage. In this work, we leverage recent seismic network improvements to estimate focal mechanisms for small and moderate-magnitude (M>2.0) earthquakes from P-wave first-motion polarity data. We invert these data within a probabilistic framework to rigorously quantify mechanism uncertainties. Subsequently, probabilistic earthquake focal mechanisms are used as input for inversions for the orientation of principal stress axes, and stress shape ratio, for spatial windows throughout the region. We implement a novel, data-driven approach to propagate focal mechanism uncertainty in stress inversion. Our results improve the spatial coverage of existing earthquake focal mechanisms and enable an orogenic-scale study of crustal stress near the Yakutat-North America collision. Overall, the region is characterized by a transpressive stress regime. Maximum horizontal compressive stress orientations exhibit a pattern orthogonal to the Yakutat collision syntaxis. Stress inversion results also reveal an abrupt change in orientation east-to-west, which we interpret as a change in stress regime across the Fairweather-Connector-Totschunda fault system that is likely related to coupling between the subducting Yakutat slab and North America. This work improves our understanding of potential earthquake hazards in southwestern Yukon and the surrounding region.

Migratory strategies across an ecological barrier: is the answer blowing in the wind?

BackgroundEcological barriers can shape the movement strategies of migratory animals that navigate around or across them, creating migratory divides. Wind plays a large role in facilitating aerial migrations and can temporally or spatially change the challenge posed by an ecological barrier, with beneficial winds potentially converting a barrier into a corridor. Here, we explore the role wind plays in shaping initial southbound migration strategy among individuals breeding at two sites along an ecological barrier.MethodsUsing GPS satellite transmitters, we tracked the southbound migrations of Short-billed Dowitchers (Limnodromus griseus caurinus) from two breeding sites in Alaska to nonbreeding sites in coastal Mexico. The breeding sites were positioned in distinct regions along an ecological barrier – the Gulf of Alaska. We investigated potential differences in migratory timing, wind availability, and tailwind support en route across the Gulf of Alaska between individuals breeding at the two sites.ResultsRoute choice and arrival timing to wintering sites differed markedly between the two breeding sites: individuals departing from the more westerly site left at the same time as those from further east but crossed the Gulf of Alaska farther west and arrived along the Pacific coast of Mexico an average of 19 days earlier than their counterparts. Dowitchers from both sites departed with slight tailwinds, but once aloft over the Gulf of Alaska, birds from the more westerly site had up to twelve times more tailwind assistance than birds from the more easterly one.ConclusionsThe distinct migration strategies and degree of wind assistance experienced by birds at these two breeding sites demonstrates how differences in wind availability along migratory routes can form the basis for intraspecific variation in migration strategies with potential carryover effects. Future changes in wind regimes may therefore interact with changes in habitat availability to influence migration patterns and migratory bird conservation.

On Lubrication Regime Changes during Forward Extrusion, Forging, and Drawing

The tribological phenomena concerning the lubrication regime change (LRC) during bulk metal forming are comprehensively studied. A multi-step cold forward extrusion process shows the evolution of LRC and reveals the shortcomings of the traditional Coulomb friction law. The previous works of the specific author’s research group on friction are reviewed, focusing on the LRC during bulk metal forming. Various LRC phenomena from various examples are revealed. It has been found that the drawing and forward extrusion processes are vulnerable to LRC because of significant sliding motion at the material–die interface, and that when the strain hardening of the material is slight, the influence of friction increases, and as a result, the influence of LRC increases excessively. The new findings also include the impact of LRC on the macroscopic phenomena of the process and the reason for the sharp increase in friction coefficient via LRC, which is validated by the work of Wilson. This paper aims to make engineers and researchers think much of the tribology with lubricant in bulk metal forming with a focus on the dependence of tribological phenomena on the state of the lubricants and the irrationality of traditional friction law, especially in the forging of materials with a low strain hardening capability.

‘Were Not Our Hearts Burning Within Us?’ (Luke 24:32): Dysregulated Passions, Righteous Fervour and an Emotional Regime Change in the Roman Empire

‘Were Not Our Hearts Burning Within Us?’ (Luke 24:32): Dysregulated Passions, Righteous Fervour and an Emotional Regime Change in the Roman Empire

Влияние колебаний стока реки Лены на площадь льда в море Лаптевых

The ice regime of the Laptev Sea has significant changes during the last twenty years. After the changes in the ice regime of the Laptev Sea, the influence of river runoff on the processes of seasonal formation and destruction of sea ice have increased. During the period from 2004 to 2022, the average annual ice area in the Laptev Sea has a positive correlation with a fluctuations of Lena runoff. The high-water content years of Lena has stimulated to the speedup of the ice cover formation process in autumn and the shift of the beginning of ice melting in spring to a later date.

Impact of macroeconomic indicators and regime change on debt stress in Zambia.

This paper quantifies the economic impact of regime changes and macroeconomic indicators on debt stress in Zambia using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bounds test. A 1% short run increase in gross domestic products (GDP) increases debt stress by 3.16% and in the subsequent year lowers it by 7.21%; in the long-run the 1% GDP increases lowers debt stress by 22%. In the long-run, a 1% rise in inflation and the lending rate negatively and positively impacted debt stress levels by -1.52% and 3.90%, respectively. Short-run shocks culminated regime change had short-run adverse impact on debt stress by 3.45% in one year and in the subsequent year by -10.35%, with the variables adjusting to long-run equilibrium at a speed of 71.5%. This is the first paper to quantify the empirical effect of macroeconomic indicators and change in Presidents on debt stress, especially in Africa were the problem of the debt trap is perpetuated. The results from the study implies that to deescalate the impact of debt stress on the economy, the electorate should vote in governments that will not fall short on growth driven macroeconomic policies, making it possible for economic sustainability to prevail; and paper seeks to promote good governance and good economic policies as a premise for sustained macroeconomic stability and development.