Water Environmental Change Research Articles

Environmental Effects of Natural Processes and Human Activities on the Water Environment in Watershed

The Special Issue focused on the water environment changes within watersheds due to its critical role in sustaining ecosystems, supporting biodiversity, and providing essential resources for human life [...]

Building Resilience through Territorial Planning: Water Management Infrastructure and Settlement Design in the Coastal Wetlands of Northern Apulia (Salpia vetus-Salapia) from the Hellenistic Period to Late Antiquity

This Gulf of Manfredonia has, for millennia, been the primary water feature of the coastal wetland of Northern Apulia, Italy, although modern reclamation works make writing its long-term history challenging. Our recent paleoenvironmental research has reconstructed the evolution of the southern half of this lagoon since the Neolithic period. Here, we write a history of water management and environmental change in this landscape from the perspective of two key urban sites: pre-Roman Salpia vetus and Roman Salapia. The Roman architectural historian Vitruvius recounts the abandonment of Salpia vetus and the refoundation of Salapia. We employ his narrative as a frame for a more complex environmental history, starting from a historiography of this landscape’s study and a summary of our interdisciplinary research agenda, which unifies environmental, topographical, remote sensing, and archaeological approaches. Resilience in this changeable wetland environment was only possible through an integrated and intentional management of water among rivers, the lagoon, and the Adriatic Sea. While Salpia vetus exploited this wetland and thrived for centuries, the settlement eventually collapsed due to human and environmentally impelled factors. Roman Salapia subsequently emerged with a different approach, new infrastructure, and a new location. This blueprint would sustain urban life in this wetland for six centuries and lay the groundwork for the Medieval town.

Water temperature disturbance alters the conjugate transfer of antibiotic resistance genes via affecting ROS content and intercellular aggregation

Spread of antibiotic resistance genes (ARGs) in aquatic ecosystems poses a significant global challenge to public health. The potential effects of water temperature perturbation induced by specific water environment changes on ARGs transmission are still unclear. The conjugate transfer of plasmid-mediated ARGs under water temperature perturbation was investigated in this study. The conjugate transfer frequency (CTF) was only 7.16 × 10−7 at a constant water temperature of 5 °C, and it reached 2.18 × 10−5 at 30 °C. Interestingly, compared to the constant 5 °C, the water temperature perturbations (cooling and warming models between 5–30 °C) significantly promoted the CTF. Intracellular reactive oxygen species was a dominant factor, which not only directly affected the CTF of ARGs, but also functioned indirectly via influencing the cell membrane permeability and cell adhesion. Compared to the constant 5 °C, water temperature perturbations significantly elevated the gene expression associated with intercellular contact, cell membrane permeability, oxidative stress responses, and energy driven force for CTF. Furthermore, based on the mathematical model predictions, the stabilization times of acquiring plasmid maintenance were shortened to 184 h and 190 h under cooling and warming model, respectively, thus the water temperature perturbations promoted the ARGs transmission in natural conditions compared with the constant low temperature conditions.

Effects of calcined oyster shell powder composited with iron salt on the simultaneous removal of phosphorus and arsenic during algal bloom control process

Calcined oyster shell powder (COS) has the potential to serve as an efficient coagulant aid in water treatment for iron salt (IS) due to its potentially high aid capacity in alkalinity recovery and the simultaneous removal effects on algae, arsenic, phosphorus, and organic substances. However, little information is available on the specific effects and environmental impacts of COS composited with IS in coagulation for algal bloom removal. Hence, the COS was used as a coagulant aid to investigate the simultaneous removal effects on phosphorus and arsenic as well as the water environment changes during the bloom control of Microcystis aeruginosa using ferric chloride as a coagulant impacted by different hydraulic disturbances. Results showed that compared to the single IS coagulation with a pH value of about 3.1, the pH value significantly increased and stabilized at 7.5 from the 3rd day with the COS as the coagulant aid condition. Meanwhile, the removal rates of arsenic and phosphorus also improved by 14.4 % and 50.6 %, respectively, within 12 h, achieving near complete removal with little re-release risk, demonstrating excellent alkalinity adjustment and persistently simultaneous removal effects on phosphorus and arsenic. Furthermore, the coagulation aid of COS effectively inhibited the release of fulvic acid-like substances from algal cells on the 7th day. Meanwhile, it promoted the secretion of humic acid-like substances and microcystins production, as well as the release of fluorescent substances under hydraulic disturbance conditions. From the structural information presented by X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS), the precipitates mainly consisted of proteins and lipids derived from algal cells, calcium carbonate, ferric hydroxide, and trace amounts of arsenite, further confirming their precipitated mechanism of algal cell combined through COS and IS. The results provide scientific support for the practical application of COS in algal blooms and its subsequent environmental risk control.

Spatial characteristics of surface-deposited diatoms in Weishan Lake and their relationship with the water environment (Shandong Province, China)

The Weishan Lake serves as a crucial reservoir and regulating lake in the Eastern Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project and the ecological health of its lake ecosystem directly impacts the water quality for water diversion. Diatoms are particularly sensitive to changes in water environments, and the composition of diatom communities serves as a significant indicator of the health of aquatic ecosystems. To understand the composition of diatom communities in Weishan Lake and their relationship with environmental factors, thereby providing scientific grounds for the protection of the lake’s ecological environment, surface sediment diatoms, water samples, and sediments were collected and analyzed. The study revealed that there are 64 species from 19 genera of diatoms in Weishan Lake, predominantly comprising epiphytic and planktonic species. Dominant species include Fragilaria brevistriata, Achnanthes minutissima, and Stephanodiscus parvus, indicating an overall meso-eutrophic status. According to the diatom composition and biodiversity index, the diatom community was divided into three combination zones. Redundancy analysis (RDA) results indicated that the water environmental factors influencing the composition and distribution of diatom communities in Weishan Lake are TP, TOC, DO, NO2 −–N, and Ca2+, collectively explaining 35.60% of the variation in diatom community composition. Due to the influence of agricultural and industrial wastewater runoff, domestic sewage discharge, and cage aquaculture, Weishan Lake is in a mesotrophic eutrophication state. Therefore, it is recommended that strict control over inappropriate human activities in the lake area be implemented in the future to ensure the safety of water quality for water diversion.

Twin Satellites HY-1C/D Reveal the Local Details of Astronomical Tide Flooding into the Qiantang River, China

This article extracts the Qiantang River tidal bore, analyzing the water environment characteristics in front of the tidal line of the Qiantang River tidal bore and behind it. The Qiantang River tidal bore Index (QRI) was established using HY-1C, HY-1D, and Gao Fen-1 wide field-of-view (GF-1 WFV) satellite data to precisely determine the location and details of the Qiantang River tidal bore. Comparative analyses of the changes on the two sides of the Qiantang River tidal bore were conducted. The results indicate the following: (1) QRI enhances the visibility of tidal bore lines, accentuating their contrast with the surrounding river water, resulting in a more vivid character. QRI proves to be an effective extraction method, with potential applicability to similar tidal lines in different regions. (2) Observable roughness changes occur at the tidal bore location, with smoother surface textures observed in front of the tidal line compared to those behind it. There is a discernible increase in suspended sediment concentration (SSC) as the tidal bore passes through. (3) This study reveals the mechanism of water environment change induced by the Qiantang River tidal bore, emphasizing its significance in promoting vertical water body exchange as well as scouring the bottom sediments. This effect increases SSC and surface roughness.

First evidence of anthropogenic TiO2 nanoparticles occurrence in Chilean rivers

This study marks the first recorded case of TiO2 nanoparticle pollution in Chilean rivers, indicating significant progress in understanding the distribution of nanowaste and its effects on a global scale. By investigating four different locations, including the outlet of a wastewater treatment plant during summer, winter and spring, the research revealed varied concentrations of TiO2 nanoparticles, with a notable range between 17.6 µg L−1 during the summer and 22.9 µg L−1 in spring in downstream river sections. The study used transmission electron microscopy to characterize nanoparticles, observing sizes between 10 and 206 nm, and an EDS detector confirmed titanium proportions of 4.84 % to 20.35 % by dry weight. These TiO2 nanoparticles, predominantly in Rutile and Anatase forms, denote a significant environmental presence, especially considering the low population densities of the sampling areas. The findings highlight the urgent need for international awareness and routine monitoring of nanowaste, advocating for preventive actions in the production of nanomaterials and adaptive management strategies in tune with the dynamic nature of water systems and environmental changes, both for places densely and sparsely populated.

2000–2020年丹江口水库（河南部分）水体面积数据集

Danjiangkou Reservoir serves as the water source of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project. The long-term monitoring of changes of surface water for the reservoir using the remote sensing images is of great significance in ensuring the water transfer volume of the South-to-North Water Diversion. In this study, we used multi-temporal Landsat remote sensing images to obtain a long-time series of spatial surface water datasets for Danjiangkou Reservoir (Henan ) based on Google Earth engine cloud platform through the relationship among modified Normalized Difference Water Index (mNDWI), Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). This dataset includes the surface water of Danjiangkou Reservoir from 2000 to 2020. It can provide a basis for exploring the spatiotemporal changes of the surface water and ecological environment changes in Danjiangkou Reservoir.

Using a two-step downscaling method to assess the impact of climate change on total nitrogen load in a small basin

Climate data with high spatial and temporal resolution were an important basis for predicting regional climate and water environment changes. The current downscaling targets for GCM data were mainly medium-resolution (MR) reanalysis data, which were still coarse for small basins. We designed a two-step downscaling method in this study, aiming to perform 100 × resolution enhancements of GCM monthly temperature and precipitation data (i.e., target spatial resolution of 1 km × 1 km). We obtained a predictable set of MR climate data by adding a first-step downscaling process, which was then combined with high-resolution (HR) topographic data as auxiliary data in the second-step downscaling process to supplement the spatial and temporal details. The results showed that the performances of two-step downscaling method were better than the one-step downscaling method using only HR topographic data as auxiliary data. Then the two-step downscaling method was applied to downscale the future climate data of four scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5) during 2015–2099 for the target small basin. We fed the HR climate prediction data into a Bayesian water quality model, which had been successfully applied in this basin, to simulate the responses of hydrology and water quality to climate change. The results demonstrated that the downscaled climate data with high spatial resolution could be successfully used in the water quality model for spatially differentiated simulations of climate change, streamflow change and total nitrogen load change in a small basin.

A 1D-2D dynamic bidirectional coupling model for high-resolution simulation of urban water environments based on GPU acceleration techniques

Urban water pollution is an important issue of global concern. An integrated model that can be employed to efficiently and accurately simulate the whole system of urban surfaces, underground drainage systems and river and lake water environments is an important tool for comprehensively treating urban water pollution. Therefore, we developed a 1D-2D dynamic bidirectional coupling model for high-resolution simulation of the entire urban water environment (GAST-GCSE) comprising the graphics processing unit (GPU)-accelerated surface water flow and transport (GAST) model and the storm water management model (SWMM). The SWMM and GAST model were used for coupled simulation of hydrological and hydrodynamic quantities and water quality in 1D and 2D regions, respectively. The time steps of the two models are the same. Compute Unified Device Architecture (CUDA) parallel architecture programming and advanced model algorithms were adopted to improve the simulation accuracy and efficiency of the GAST model. The two models were dynamically coupled by calling the dynamic link library (DLL) in the SWMM and adding external functions. Two test cases were considered to verify the performance of the proposed model. The results showed that the proposed model provides high simulation accuracy. Compared with the results obtained by commercial software and theoretical values, the relative errors of the water quantity and water quality simulation results were less than 3%. The whole water environment of the main urban area of Changzhi city in North China was evaluated by the GAST-GCSE model, and the simulation results were compared with monitoring data and pure SWMM simulation results. The simulation errors at three waterlogging points were less than 14%, and the Nash efficiency coefficients (NSE) of the NH4+-N concentration in the three river sections were 0.77, 0.56 and 0.64, respectively. Notably, the model needed only 4.39 h to simulate rainfall production and confluence on a 2D surface, a river flood in complex terrain and its accompanying pollutant evolution process involving 3,849,428 cells over 4 h. This study provides new insights, ideas and tools for urban water environment simulation and change mechanism study.

Effects of Reservoir Water Depth on Different Plankton Communities and Keystone Species of Network Interaction

In order to understand the impacts of the reservoir construction on the diversity and ecological network of different microbial communities, seven sampling sites were set up in the Hengshan Reservoir in 2021. Water samples were collected from the surface and bottom of the reservoir. After filtering and extracting total DNA samples, high-throughput sequencing was carried out based on 16S and 18S rDNA to investigate the response of community structure, molecular ecological network, and keystone species of different microbial groups to water environment changes. The results showed that the Richness, Simpson, Shannon, and Pielou's Evenness indices of bacterial community in the surface and bottom layers were higher than those in the eukaryote community. The dominant community of bacteria included Proteobacteria, Actinobacteria, and Bacteroidetes, and the eukaryote community included Arthropoda, Ciliophora, Ochrophyta, etc. Moreover, the density and average clustering coefficient of the microbial networks in the surface waters of different phytoplankton communities were higher than those in the bottom waters. It was also observed that the microbial ecological networks in the surface waters were more closely related, and the number of nodes and edges, as well as the number of keystone species, of bacterial communities in the surface and bottom layers were significantly higher than those in the eukaryote microbial communities, indicating that the bacterial community network was larger, and the cooperative relationship and network connectivity between species were stronger. The interaction between bacterial community and eukaryote community in different water depths was dominated by positive correlation, and the negative correlation of the two groups in the bottom layer was slightly greater than that in the surface, indicating that the competition between bottom-layer species was greater than that between surface-layer species. In addition, the environmental impact factors of all species and keystone species of the community in surface water were basically the same, but they differed greatly in deep water, indicating that the influence mechanism of water depth change on keystone species was not the same as that of all species. The results further revealed the effects of reservoir construction on the stability and interspecific interactions of different microbial communities and provided a theoretical basis for predicting variations in microbial community and material cycling in reservoirs.

Neglected methane production and toxicity risk in low-frequency ultrasound for controlling harmful algal blooms

Algal blooms are regarded as a significant source of CH4 emissions. Ultrasound has been gradually employed as a fast and efficient algae removal technology in recent years. However, the changes in water environment and potential ecological effects caused by ultrasonic algae removal are not fully clear. Here, a 40-day microcosm study was performed to simulate the collapse of Microcystis aeruginosa blooms after ultrasonic treatment. The results showed that low-frequency ultrasound at 29.4 kHz for 15 min removed 33.49% of M. aeruginosa and contributed to the destruction of cell structure, but it intensified the leakage of intracellular algal organic matter and microcystins. The accelerated collapse of M. aeruginosa blooms after ultrasonication promoted the rapid formation of anaerobic and reductive methanogenesis conditions, and elevated dissolved organic carbon content. Moreover, the release of labile organics, including tyrosine, tryptophan, protein-like compositions, and aromatic proteins, was facilitated by the collapse of M. aeruginosa blooms after ultrasonic treatment, and they supported the growth of anaerobic fermentation bacteria and hydrogenotrophic Methanobacteriales. This was also demonstrated by the increase in methyl-coenzyme M reductase (mcrA) genes in sonicated algae added treatments at the end of incubation. Finally, the CH4 production in sonicated algae added treatments was 1.43-fold higher than that in non-sonicated algae added treatments. These observations suggested that ultrasound for algal bloom control potentially increased the toxicity of treated water and its greenhouse gas emissions. This study can provide new insights and guidance to evaluate environmental effects of ultrasonic algae removal.

Segmentary Damage Constitutive Model and Evolution Law of Rock under Water-Force Coupling Action of Pumped Storage in Deep Mine

The deformation and failure of surrounding rock mass under different water environments is a basic mechanical problem encountered in the safe operation of ground pumped storage power station and abandoned mine pumped storage power station. According to the influence of different water environments on the failure characteristics of deep surrounding rock mass, it is necessary to summarize the damage evolution law of deep rock mass under different water environments and construct the constitutive model. In this paper, the loading mechanical test is carried out after the natural immersion of the rock in different water environments. The influence of the change of the geological water environment on the damage evolution characteristics of the rock is analyzed from the perspective of the deterioration of the mechanical parameters. On this basis, the damage statistical constitutive model is constructed, and the damage evolution analysis is carried out. The results show that the degradation degree of mechanical parameters such as compressive strength and elastic modulus of sandstone is in the order of distilled water immersion, simulated groundwater immersion and natural state. The damage evolution of sandstone under water–rock interaction is divided into four stages: no damage, rapid damage, deceleration damage and failure. The theoretical curve of the model is in good agreement with the uniaxial test curve of rock under different water environments. The segmented damage constitutive model based on the long compaction stage of sandstone under water–rock interaction reasonably reflects the change of stress–strain relationship of damage failure, and the physical meaning of parameters is clear.

Significant decline of water pollution associated with inland fishery across China

Water pollution seriously threatens the sustainable development of fisheries in China. To inform effective pollution control policies, a comprehensive understanding of the fishery environment status is needed. However, nationwide data on the temporal changes of major pollutants in the fishery waters of China are scarce. This study collected data on the major water pollutants, including total nitrogen, total phosphorus, heavy metals, and total petroleum hydrocarbons (TPHs), from 2003 to 2017 to evaluate dynamic changes in the inland fishery water environment across China. We discovered that the levels of four heavy metals (Cu, Zn, Pb, and Cd) and TPH decreased during the 15-year period, corresponding to the reduced national discharge of pollution sources from 2003 to 2015. However, nitrogen and phosphorus levels in the inland fishery waters showed no significant changes during this period. A comparative analysis of water quality in different periods indicated that these improvements were highly associated with effective measures for water pollution control in China. In addition, the decline in pollution was consistent among the three regions of China (north, west, and southeast) from 2003 to 2017, while southeast China exhibited the weakest pollution mitigation among the three regions. These findings suggest that the inland fishery water quality improved during 2003–2017, but still faced eutrophication risk.

Changes of phytoplankton and water environment in a highly urbanized subtropical lake during the past ten years

Phytoplankton and water quality changes in highly urbanized lakes affect the surrounding water safety. However, due to the complexity and variability of natural changes and human disturbances, it is difficult for multi-year research with yearly sampling frequency to cover accurate changes of phytoplankton and water environment or provide constructive suggestions for managers. Based on monthly monitoring data spanning 2011–2020 in a highly urbanized subtropical lake (Hongze Lake, China), Mann-Kendall test, ANOVA analysis and variation partitioning analysis were used to assess the changes of phytoplankton and water environment, and detect dynamic responses of phytoplankton to environmental changes. Rising water temperature during winter and spring, the decrease in nitrate, and the increase in water flow and turbidity were the main environmental characteristics from 2011 to 2020. The average and maximum abundance of Chlorophyta, Bacillariophyta, and Cryptophyta significantly declined, while changes in Cyanobacteria were characterized by an increase of N2-fixing filamentous cyanobacteria and a decrease of non-filamentous cyanobacteria. The rising water temperature during spring may promote the early growth of N2-fixing filamentous cyanobacteria. The decrease in nitrate mainly resulted in the decrease of Chlorophyta and non-filamentous cyanobacteria, and the increase of N2-fixing filamentous cyanobacteria during summer and autumn. The increase of turbidity and water flow inhibited the growth of Chlorophyta, Bacillariophyta, Cryptophyta, and non-filamentous cyanobacteria, but created favourable conditions for the growth of N2-fixing filamentous cyanobacteria. In summer and autumn, managers should focus on the proliferation of N2-fixing filamentous cyanobacteria when precipitation increase, nitrogen nutrients decrease, and non-filamentous cyanobacteria risk under opposite conditions. These findings greatly improved our understanding of the dynamic response of phytoplankton communities to natural changes and anthropogenic disturbances in the urbanized subtropical lakes, and can be used to develop lake management strategies.

Rice immediately adapts the dynamics of photosynthates translocation to roots in response to changes in soil water environment.

Rice is susceptible to abiotic stresses such as drought stress. To enhance drought resistance, elucidating the mechanisms by which rice plants adapt to intermittent drought stress that may occur in the field is an important requirement. Roots are directly exposed to changes in the soil water condition, and their responses to these environmental changes are driven by photosynthates. To visualize the distribution of photosynthates in the root system of rice plants under drought stress and recovery from drought stress, we combined X-ray computed tomography (CT) with open type positron emission tomography (OpenPET) and positron-emitting tracer imaging system (PETIS) with 11C tracer. The short half-life of 11C (20.39min) allowed us to perform multiple experiments using the same plant, and thus photosynthate translocation was visualized as the same plant was subjected to drought stress and then re-irrigation for recovery. The results revealed that when soil is drier, 11C-photosynthates mainly translocated to the seminal roots, likely to promote elongation of the root with the aim of accessing water stored in the lower soil layers. The photosynthates translocation to seminal roots immediately stopped after rewatering then increased significantly in crown roots. We suggest that when rice plant experiencing drought is re-irrigated from the bottom of pot, the destination of 11C-photosynthates translocation immediately switches from seminal root to crown roots. We reveal that rice roots are responsive to changes in soil water conditions and that rice plants differentially adapts the dynamics of photosynthates translocation to crown roots and seminal roots depending on soil conditions.

A Case Study of a 10-Year Change in the Vegetation and Water Environments of Volcanic Mires in South-Western Japan

Variations in the groundwater environments and dominant species of volcanic mire vegetation were monitored for 10 years in a volcanic area in south-western Japan. The correlation between changes in groundwater environments and vegetation revealed that changes in water environments determine the dominant species of volcanic mire vegetation. The amount of spring water supplied to the mire vegetation determines the water-table depth and the subsequent nutrient supply. The Sphagnum spp. coverage decreased with increasing base cation concentrations, particularly the Ca2+ concentration up to 40 mg/L. The Moliniopsis japonica coverage increased with the decreasing Sphagnum spp. coverage. The nutritional variables of water supplied to vegetation affected by volcanic activity changed the type of dominant species. A 10-year change in vegetation in the volcanic mires revealed that vegetation succession in volcanic mires evolved from ombrogenous to minerogenous and from minerogenous to ombrogenous communities. The water environment promoted changes in the dominant species.

A pressure-state-response-support framework for assessing regional water environmental carrying status

The water environment carrying status (WECS) is the embodiment of the ability of an aquatic ecosystem to maintain healthy and stable development; as such, it is an essential factor in the sustainable social and economic development of a region. To evaluate the water environment carrying status of a region, a new Pressure-State-Response-Support (PSRS) framework is proposed firstly. Secondly, a water carrying status index system containing 21 indicators is constructed based on this new model, and a water environment carrying status index (WECSI) is introduced to describe the water environment carrying status. Then, projection pursuit and entropy methods are used to calculate the water environment carrying status index of eight cities along the Yangtze River in Jiangsu province as examples. The results reveal that although the government has made substantial effort, the pressure subsystem is still dominated the changes of water environment carrying status, the eight cities still face significant pressure. The analysis indicated that government departments should commit to alleviating pressure and monitoring and supervising surface water quality while continuing to maintain a supporting force. The proposed framework and methodology is sound and effective for measuring the carrying status of regional water environment, and the methods can provide guidance for the Ecological Environment Department in ensuring the carrying capabilities of water environment and achieving sustainable development mission at regional level.

Nghiên cứu ảnh hưởng của công trình tới trường sóng, trường dòng chảy khu vực Cửa Tùng – Quảng Trị bằng mô hình số

For many years, Cua Tung area has suffered from the effects of rising water and waves, especially during storms. That situation leads to changes in water environment and coastal erosion, directly affecting people's lives and properties; affect the development of tourism, economy - society. The presence of the works here has led to a change in the hydrodynamic regime (waves, currents) and negatively affects the coast and water environment. Confirmed results show that wave height and flow rate are 73.6% and 55.2% according to Nash criteria, at a satisfactory level or higher. Before and after two constructions, the Southern Embankment and the North Embankment of Cua Tung, have shown a clear change in wave regime and flow, causing the waves to be strengthened and causing severe coastal erosion important. The author has proposed a breakwater construction measure off Cua Tung beach, through simulations, it has been shown that the breakwater has a great effect on breaking waves and protecting the coast. Wave height has decreased markedly at the rear of the breakwater. In addition, the barrier dyke also causes the sediment moving from the shore to the sea to be deposited inside the dyke and in the middle of the dyke there is a gap where the offshore sediment enters. The research results contribute to the assessment of the current status of the coastal zone and serve as a basis for ensuring the stability of the water environment, minimizing coastal erosion in order to develop tourism and promote socio-economic development.

Impacts of the Desiccation of the Aral Sea on the Central Asian Dust Life‐Cycle

AbstractThe formation of the Aralkum (Aral Desert), following the severe desiccation of the former Aral Sea since the 1960s, has created what may be regarded as one of the world's most significant anthropogenic dust sources. In this paper, focusing on dust emission and transport patterns from the Aralkum, the dust life‐cycle has been simulated over Central Asia using the aerosol transport model COSMO‐MUSCAT (COnsortium for Small‐scale MOdelling‐MUltiScale Chemistry Aerosol Transport Model), making use of the Global Surface Water data set to take into account the sensitivity to changes in surface water coverage over the region between the 1980s (the “past”) and the 2010s (the “present”). Over a case study 1‐year period, the simulated dust emissions from the Aralkum region increased from 14.3 to 27.1 Tg year−1 between the past and present, an increase driven solely by the changes in the surface water environment. Of these simulated modern emissions, 14.5 Tg are driven by westerly winds, indicating that regions downwind to the east may be worst affected by Aralkum dust. However a high degree of interannual variability in the prevailing surface wind patterns ensures that these transport patterns of Aralkum dust do not occur every year. Frequent cloud cover poses substantial challenges for observations of Central Asian dust: in the Aralkum, over two‐thirds of the yearly emissions are emitted under overcast skies, dust which may be impossible to observe using traditional satellite or ground‐based passive remote sensing techniques. Furthermore, it is apparent that the pattern of dust transport from the Aralkum under clear‐sky conditions is not representative of the pattern under all‐sky conditions.