Changes In Epidemiological Characteristics Research Articles

Time trends in the epidemiology of renal transplant patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus over the last four decades

Diabetes mellitus (DM) type 1 is an important contributor to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) among younger transplant recipients. However, little is known about the changes in epidemiological characteristics of this population. Especially, time to reach ESRD may have changed in type 1 diabetic patients referred for transplantation, resulting in higher age at time of grafting. Such time trends may allow anticipating future developments regarding the demand for organ replacement in this patient group. We retrospectively analysed 173 patients with type 1 DM undergoing renal transplantation at our institution, stratified into four groups according to year of reaching ESRD (A = 1973-1983, B = 1984-1990, C = 1991-1995 and D = 1996-2002). For each group we determined age at diagnosis of DM, age at time of reaching ESRD and age at time of transplantation. From these data, the interval from diagnosis of DM to ESRD and from ESRD to transplantation was calculated. The results were analysed in relation to gender, year of and age at onset of diabetes. Patients reaching ESRD in more recent years (group D) tended to be both younger at diagnosis of DM and older when reaching ESRD, resulting in higher mean age at transplantation (35.0, 37.5, 39.6 and 41.0 years in groups A, B, C and D, respectively). Accordingly, median duration to ESRD has significantly been prolonged over the last five decades in patients with type 1 DM undergoing renal transplantation (group A: 21.0, B: 20.7, C: 22.3 and D: 28.5 years; P < 0.0001), this finding being more pronounced in female patients. The results of our analysis are compatible with a change in epidemiology in patients undergoing kidney transplantation. Older age at time of reaching ESRD may impact significantly on the demand for renal grafts, as patients are already clearly older nowadays when being transplanted. From our data it cannot be concluded whether this development is due to a change in the progression of diabetic nephropathy or may simply reflect a change in the selection of type 1 diabetic patients referred for transplantation.

Changes in the Epidemiology of Pneumococcal Bacteremia in a Swiss University Hospital During a 15-Year Period, 1986-2000

To evaluate changes in epidemiological characteristics and outcome of patients with pneumococcal bacteremia during a 15-year period in a Swiss university hospital. We reviewed the medical records of all hospitalized adults at the University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland, whose blood culture yielded Streptococcus pneumoniae from January 1, 1986, through December 31, 2000. We analyzed 405 episodes of pneumococcal bacteremia in 394 patients. The mean annual incidence of 1.78 episodes per 1000 hospital admissions was inversely related to the mean atmospheric temperature of the area. During the study period, penicillin nonsusceptibility increased from 0% to 17%. The overall case-fatality rate was 25%, which decreased from 33% to 17% between the first and the second half of the study period (P<.001). The proportion of women with pneumococcal bacteremia increased from 37% to 52%. Independent risk factors for fatal outcome were coronary artery disease (P<.001; relative risk [RR], 4.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.4-5.1), neutropenia (P=.001; RR, 3.2; 95% CI, 1.9-4.8), and age 65 years or older (P=.001; RR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.8-4.2), whereas prior respiratory tract infection (P=.03; RR, 0.3; 95% CI, 0.1-0.5) and the occurrence of pneumococcal bacteremia in the second half of the study period (P=.01; RR, 0.4; 95% CI, 0.2-0.6) were independent predictors of survival. The case-fatality rate in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients was significantly lower than in patients not infected with HIV or in those with unknown HIV status (9% vs 27%; P=.006), which correlated with the younger mean +/- SD age of HIV-infected patients (33.2+/-6.6 years) compared with patients not infected with HIV (63.1+/-18.1 years) (P<.001). The case-fatality rate of patients with pneumococcal bacteremia decreased significantly between the first and second half of the study period, despite the increased prevalence of penicillin-nonsusceptible isolates. Independent risk factors for fatal outcome were coronary artery disease, neutropenia, and age 65 years or older, whereas prior respiratory tract infection and the occurrence of pneumococcal bacteremia in the second half of the study period were independent predictors of survival. HIV infection was a predisposing factor for pneumococcal bacteremia but was not a risk factor for fatal outcome.