Climate Change Factors Research Articles

Bibliometric Review of Passive Cooling Design Strategies and Global Thermal Comfort Assessment: Theories, Methods and Tools

Globally, a variety of factors, ranging from ethnicity and occupants’ lifestyles to the local climate characteristics of any studied location, as well as people’s age, can affect thermal comfort assessments. This review paper investigates the energy effectiveness of state-of-the-art passive systems in providing neutral adaptive thermal comfort for elderly people by exploring passive design strategies in four distinct climates, namely Canada, India, Abu Dhabi and the Eastern Mediterranean basin. The aim of the study is to analyse the available data provided by the American Society of Heating, Refrigerating and Air-Conditioning Engineers’ (ASHRAE) Global Thermal Comfort Database II, version 2.1. The main objective of the study is to develop an effective methodological framework for the on-going development of adaptive thermal comfort theory. To this extent, this study presents a comprehensive review of the assessment of energy effectiveness of passive design systems. To accomplish this, the impact of climate change factors in passive design systems was investigated. A meta-analysis method was adopted to determine the input variables for the statistical analysis. Cramer’s V and Fisher’s Exact tests were used to assess occupants’ thermal sensation votes (TSVs). The findings revealed that there are discrepancies detected between the in situ field experiments and the data recorded in the ASHRAE Global Thermal Comfort Database II. The study findings contribute to the development of adaptive thermal comfort theory by reviewing the existing methodologies globally. Furthermore, a critical review of the significance of occupants’ age differences should be conducted in the identification of neutral adaptive thermal comfort.

Characterization of Drupe Traits in Sixty-Six Teak Candidate Plus Trees (CPTs) in Gujarat Forests of India for Enhanced Seed Collection and Fruit Production

The most valuable timber of the world i.e., teak was recognized as king of wood due to its wood quality such as durability, physical and aesthetic wood property for multiple uses. It is distributed throughout India and Southeast Asia and known for center of teak genetic diversity. It has a high demand in international market and national market due to multifarious uses. However, the natural population of Teak is decreasing in India due to anthropogenic activities, deforestation, climate change and other environmental factors. In addition, the poor seed yield per tree and extremely low seed germination rates are significant problems for the teak plantation industry and production of quality seed. Nevertheless, there are huge gap between demand and supply of industrial timber in India. This can be fulfilled by the teak plantation within agroforestry systems and degraded forest lands. Gujarat forest has natural teak populations which falls in the conjunction point of Western Ghats of India. Hence, sixty-six CPTs of teak were screened out for quality seed collection and reproduction from natural teak populations. Fruits of teak were collected from various CPTs with wide range of geographic locations in Gujarat forests of India. The drupe and stone morphometric traits were studied to capture the phenotypic and genotypic variations; to select better traits on the basis of repeatability coefficient; and to look geographic location effect on various fruit characters and inter-character correlations for quality seed collection and fruit production. Present result showed significant differences (p≤ 0.0001) in all the studied fruit traits among 66 CPTs of Tectona grandis. Drupe were lengthiest in GJNBD 0467 (12.36 mm), broadest in the GJNBD 0467 (14.75 mm) and heaviest in the GJAH 1056 (0.73 g) CPT, whereas smallest in GJNBD 1122 (8.3 mm), narrowest in GJNBD 1122 (9.91 mm) and lightest in GJNBD 1122 (0.32 g) CPT. Stone were longest in GJNBD 0467 (8.71 mm), thickest in GJAH 1056 (10.01 mm) and heaviest in GJAH 1056 (0.51 g) CPT, while shortest in GJNBD 1122 (6.06 mm), thinnest stone in GJNBD 1122 (7.56 mm) and lightest in GJNBD 0772 (0.22 g) CPT. Overall, GJNBD 0467, GJAH 1056, GJNBD 0950, GJAH 0844 and GJNBD 0470 CPTs were superior for studied traits as compared to others. CPT repeatability coefficient was higher for drupe characters as compared to stone parameters, where selection can be made for drupe length for future tree improvement programme. The genetic improvement via CPT selection is better option for maintaining genetic diversity of Teak, its conservation and management. Latitude showed strong negative correlation with drupe length, stone length and drupe mass. Longitude was negatively correlated with stone length and width. Thus, the geographical parameter has an impact on the seed formation, evolution and plant fitness. The strong correlations were found among seed morphometric characters which influenced to seed development and creating fitness interaction with continuous changing environment.

The Impact of Climate Change and Urbanization on Compound Flood Risks in Coastal Areas: A Comprehensive Review of Methods

Many cities worldwide are increasingly threatened by compound floods resulting from the interaction of multiple flood drivers. Simultaneously, rapid urbanization in coastal areas, which increases the proportion of impervious surfaces, has made the mechanisms and simulation methods of compound flood disasters more complex. This study employs a comprehensive literature review to analyze 64 articles on compound flood risk under climate change from the Web of Science Core Collection from 2014 to 2024. The review identifies methods for quantifying the impact of climate change factors such as sea level rise, storm surges, and extreme rainfall, as well as urbanization factors like land subsidence, impervious surfaces, and drainage systems on compound floods. Four commonly used quantitative methods for studying compound floods are discussed: statistical models, numerical models, machine learning models, and coupled models. Due to the complex structure and high computational demand of three-dimensional joint probability statistical models, along with the increasing number of flood drivers complicating the grid interfaces and frameworks for coupling different numerical models, most current research focuses on the superposition of two disaster-causing factors. The joint impact of three or more climate change-driving factors on compound flood disasters is emerging as a significant future research trend. Furthermore, urbanization factors are often overlooked in compound flood studies and should be considered when establishing models. Future research should focus on exploring coupled numerical models, statistical models, and machine learning models to better simulate, predict, and understand the mechanisms, evolution processes, and disaster ranges of compound floods under climate change.

Neutrosophic Logic-Based Crop Yield Prediction and Risk Assessment using Least Squares Regression

Agriculture faces significant challenges due to climate change and unpredictable environmental factors, which impact crop yields and threaten food security. This study proposes a novel approach to crop yield prediction and risk assessment using neutrosophic logic and least squares regression. By integrating these methods, we aim to improve accuracy in predicting crop losses under uncertain conditions. The model classifies crops based on profitability and environmental risks, utilizing the independence test to evaluate the relationships between crop attributes. Our approach leverages deep learning techniques, such as restricted Boltzmann machines (RBM), to enhance the analysis of crop data and provide farmers with actionable insights for decision-making. The results demonstrate that the proposed method effectively estimates crop yield damage with the ability to assess risk under varying conditions, such as extreme weather. This approach can help farmers optimize crop management strategies, minimize losses, and improve overall productivity. Future work will explore the application of this method to other crops and farming systems to expand its utility.

Quantitative Analysis of Human Activities and Climatic Change in Grassland Ecosystems in the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau

Net primary production (NPP) serves as a critical proxy for monitoring changes in the global capacity for vegetation carbon sequestration. The assessment of the factors (i.e., human activities and climate changes) influencing NPP is of great value for the study of terrestrial systems. To investigate the influence of factors on grassland NPP, the ecologically vulnerable Qinghai–Tibet Plateau region was considered an appropriate study area for the period from 2000 to 2020. We innovated the use of the RICI index to quantitatively represent human activities and analyzed the effects of RICI and climatic factors on grassland NPP using the geographical detector. In addition, the future NPP was predicted through the integration of two modeling approaches: The Patch-Generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model and the Carnegie–Ames–Stanford Approach (CASA) model. The assessment revealed that the expanded grassland contributed 7.55 × 104 Gg C (Gg = 109 g) to the total NPP, whereas the deterioration of grassland resulted in a decline of 1.06 × 105 Gg C. The climatic factor was identified as the dominant factor in grassland restoration, representing 70.85% of the total NPP, as well as the dominant factor in grassland degradation, representing 92.54% of the total NPP. By subdividing the climate change and human activity factors into sub-factors and detecting them with a geographical detector, the results show that climate change and anthropogenic factors have significant ability to explain geographic variation in NPP to a considerable extent, and the effect on NPP is greater when the factors interact. The q-values of the Relative Impact Contribution Index (RICI) and the RICI of the land use change NPP are consistently greater than 0.6, with the RICI of the human management practices NPP and the evapotranspiration remaining at approximately 0.5. The analysis of the interaction between climate and human activity factors reveals an average impact of greater than 0.8. By 2030, the NPP of the natural development scenario, economic development scenario (ED), and ecological protection scenario (EP) show a decreasing trend due to climate change, the dominant factor, causing them to decrease. Human activities play a role in the improvement. The EP indicates a positive expansion in the growth rate of forests, water, and wetlands, while the ED reveals rapid urbanization. It is notable that this is accompanied by a temporary suspension of urban greening.

Climatic sensitivity and the growth prospects of Silver fir and European larch in the Carpathians in the light of observed climate changes

One consequence of climate change is the rapid extinction of spruce monocultures in the Carpathians. Therefore, the need has arisen to replace spruce with other highly productive species that ensure the stability and biodiversity of mountain forests, such as the Abies alba and Larix decidua. These co-occurring conifers show different successional and phenological characteristics: L. decidua is a light-demanding species that dominates in the early successional stages, while A. alba is a shade-tolerant tree. This study attempts to identify climatic factors that determine the tree-ring width of fir and larch in order to assess the growth prospects of these species in the context of the ongoing climate change. As a measure of the vitality of trees, tree-ring widths of 42 sub-populations of fir and 36 of larch from the area of the Western Carpathians were used. Regional growth patterns for each species were used to estimate the relationship between temperature/precipitation and radial growth. Linear correlation analyses and nonlinear Random Forest models were used. Fir growth was significantly positively influenced by the high temperature of January–March and July and the high precipitation of February and July of the year of tree-ring formation. Larch growth was positively affected by the high temperature of May and the low precipitation of April and September of the year of tracheid formation. Unlike larch, fir growth increased if May and June of the preceding year were warm. The dominant climatic factor influencing fir growth was February temperature, whereas for larch growth, it was the May temperature of the year of tree-ring formation. Most of the recently observed changes in climatic factors that are important for the growth of both species are favorable. Thus, increasing their share in the Carpathian forests seems fully justified, as this will contribute to the stability, productivity, and biodiversity of the region’s forests.

Prediction of Potential Suitable Distribution Areas for Northeastern China Salamander (Hynobius leechii) in Northeastern China

The Northeastern China Salamander (Hynobius leechii) is classified as a rare, nationally protected Class II wild animal in China. Its population is declining, and its habitat is deteriorating. This study aimed to predict the distribution of suitable habitats for the Northeastern China Salamander under both current and future climate scenarios, utilizing the MaxEnt model optimized through ENMeval parameters. Species distribution data were collected from field surveys, existing literature, amphibian records in China, and the Global Biodiversity Information Network. A total of 97 records were compiled, with duplicate records within the ENMTools grid unit removed, ensuring that only one record existed within every 5 km. Ultimately, 58 distinct distribution points for the Northeastern China Salamander were identified. The R software package ‘ENMeval 2.0’ was employed to optimize the feature complexity (FC) and regularization multiplier (RM), and the optimized model was applied to assess the suitable distribution regions for the Northeastern China Salamander under present and future climate conditions. The findings indicated that rainfall and temperature are the primary environmental factors influencing Hynobius. Currently, the suitable habitat for the Northeastern China Salamander constitutes 6.6% of the total area of Northeastern China. Projections for the periods of 2050 and 2070 suggest that suitable habitats for the Northeastern China Salamander will continue to expand towards higher latitudes across three climate scenarios. While this study focuses solely on climate change factors and acknowledges certain limitations, it serves as a reliable reference and provides essential information for the distribution and conservation of the Northeastern China Salamander.

An integrated policy approach for sustainable decarbonization pathways of energy system in a city under climate change scenarios

An integrated assessment model has been developed to estimate useful energy demand, followed by an optimization model for planning the energy supply. Four scenarios have been developed. The findings of this study highlight the impact of behavioral, climate change, and socio-economic factors on energy demand and supply. Specifically, these factors can lead to significant variations in demand, such as a more than 3.48-fold difference in cooling demand or a 1.75-fold difference in the transportation demand by cars across various scenarios.The use of a dual-fuel car and electric motorcycle is suggested in all scenarios. Waste processing has been done with a landfill in all scenarios except in the final years of the net-zero emission target scenario, where an incinerator is proposed. The supply model for electricity generation in the early years suggests the combined cycle power plant followed by solar energy at the end. However, in the low-cost electricity scenario, it is always suggested to import electricity. The sensitivity analysis showed that the emission penalty and electricity price are the most important parameters. The results of this study will help policymakers and decision-makers in energy system planning and provide researchers with appropriate information, tools, and methods for future research.

Climate Change and Cities of Lithuania: Threats, Problems and Prerequisites for Solution

The emerging threats of climate change and their impacts on cities and residents are increasingly highlighting the need to assess whether countries are adequately prepared for the potential consequences of this process. While many international agreements on climate change, sustainable development and environmental protection have been adopted, countries often face various local obstacles that hinder their implementation. To address these issues, this paper reviews the climate change projections, emerging threats and hazards in Lithuania and their potential impacts on the country’s cities and highlights the main challenges in preparing for these growing threats. This article presents an evaluation of the climate change forecasts and past climate events in three selected Lithuanian cities—Vilnius, Kaunas and Klaipėda. The study includes a diagnostic assessment of the climate changes since 1961 and climate change forecasts up to 2100, based on the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, using regional and global climate models. It identifies the impacts of potential climate change consequences on cities, forming the basis for the evaluation of the urban situation in the country. The urban situation is assessed in terms of legislation, urban development, environmental requirements and the development of safety infrastructure. Based on the evaluation of urban development, preliminary proposals are provided for the creation of a resilient living environment. One of the key proposals in shaping the living environment—which could be particularly significant in adapting to emerging threats—is the complex formation of new, sustainable urban structures that take into account the social, ecological and economic factors of climate change and other rising threats.

Gender inequality in global water security

Abstract Ensuring universal and equitable access to water and sanitation for all by 2030 (United Nations Agenda 2030, Sustainable Development Goal or SDG 6) is one of the most important goals for the world. 785 million people do not still have access to basic drinking water services. This burden disproportionately affects women, who are often responsible for collecting water from distant sources in regions with limited or no water supply systems. Understanding the spatial patterns of socio-demographic and hydrological factors is key to address the interlinked challenges of gender equality and water security under SDG 5 (‘Achieve gender equality’) and SDG 6. While the challenges women face in securing water are widely recognized, quantitative analysis of gender inequality in global water security has not previously been studied. Here, we present, to our knowledge the first global assessment of gender inequality in water security. We measured water security by examining both water access and water scarcity (hereafter, water stress), incorporating population data for working-age individuals and children. We integrated this hydrological and demographic information at a spatial resolution of approximately 10 km from 2000 to 2014 when the information is available. Our results showed that more working-age women than men experience poor water access, particularly in Africa. In addition, women in countries with high water insecurity, defined as high water stress and poor water access—such as Burkina Faso, Togo, and Somalia—primary conduct water collection. Our results indicate significant gender-based differences in water security, with women frequently remaining in rural areas characterized by poor water access. These inequalities could be further intensified by climate change and socio-economic factors.

SOME LEGAL ASPECTS OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE EUROPEAN GREEN DEAL IN THE CONTEXT OF THE TRANSITION TO THE USE OF RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES IN UKRAINE

The article is devoted to the study of the legal aspects of the European Green Deal implementation in Ukraine, in particular in the context of the energy sector transformation the by increasing the share of renewable energy sources. There have been examined the key trends in the legal development of renewable energy and determines the environmental challenges caused by climate change and other negative factors affecting the environment, as well as analyzes the potential possibilities of adapting national environmental legislation to European legal standards in the field of renewable energy use. The author emphasizes the economic, social and environmental benefits of achieving the goals of the European Green Deal on the way to ensuring the sustainable development of Ukraine, calling for the creation of a clear and coherent system of legislation dedicated to the legal regulation of renewable energy in Ukraine. The results of the study points the urgency of creating an effective legal framework for the economy green transformation and the adaptation of energy and environmental policies to European requirements and standards. In the context of modern global environmental problems related to climate change, excessive pollution of atmospheric air, water and forest ecosystems, soil degradation as a result of both increasing anthropogenic load on natural resources and due to the development of objective laws of nature, one of the key priorities European environmental policy outlined the transition to the principles of sustainable development, which, in turn, generated the need to search for optimal mechanisms and concepts for ensuring such a transition. The European Green Course, adopted by the EU in 2019, is an ambitious and progressive strategy for the transformation of the European continent into a climate-neutral one by 2050. As a comprehensive conceptual package of legislative initiatives, to achieve this goal, the European Green Course includes not only the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere, but also a significant increase in the share of renewable energy sources, an increase in the energy efficiency of European countries, and the integration of the energy markets of individual countries with the EU energy market. For Ukraine, the issue of implementing a policy of sustainable development by transitioning to the use of renewable energy sources is not only part of its European integration obligations, but also a time-tested necessity, taking into account the state of the country’s energy sector both during the war period and in the context of the post-war reconstruction of our country.

Crystalline iron oxide mineral (magnetite) accelerates methane production from petroleum hydrocarbon biodegradation

Methane (CH4) emissions are a factor in climate change; in addition, CH4 production may affect reclamation of fluid fine tailings (FFT) in tailings ponds, and end-pit lakes (EPLs). In laboratory cultures, we investigated the effect of crystalline iron mineral (magnetite) on CH4 production from the biodegradation of hydrocarbons added to FFT collected from methanogenically more and less active sites in a demonstration EPL. Magnetite enhanced CH4 production from both sites, having a greater effect in more active FFT, where it increased the CH4 production rate as much as 48% (from 6.67 μmol d−1 to 9.87 μmol d−1) compared to FFT without magnetite. Correspondingly, magnetite hastened biodegradation of hydrocarbons (monoaromatics, n-alkanes and iso-alkanes), with a pronounced effect on o-xylene, ethylbenzene, m/p-xylenes, n-octane, n-nonane, and 2-methyloctane, where biodegradation rates increased by 46, 117, 11, 45, 28 and 37%, respectively, compared to FFT without magnetite. Little FeII was produced, suggesting that magnetite is not being used as an electron acceptor but rather functions as a conduit for electron transfer. Thus, magnetite may be a suitable amendment to enhance bioremediation of anaerobic environments contaminated with hydrocarbons. Importantly, our observations imply that magnetite may increase CH4 emissions from terrestrial ecosystems, thus affecting carbon budget estimations.

The Multi-Country Multi-City Collaborative Research Network: An international research consortium investigating environment, climate, and health.

Research on the health risks of environmental factors and climate change requires epidemiological evidence on associated health risks at a global scale. Multi-center studies offer an excellent framework for this purpose, but they present various methodological and logistical problems. This contribution illustrates the experience of the Multi-Country Multi-City Collaborative Research Network, an international collaboration working on a global research program on the associations between environmental stressors, climate, and health in a multi-center setting. The article illustrates the collaborative scheme based on mutual contribution and data and method sharing, describes the collection of a huge multi-location database, summarizes published research findings and future plans, and discusses advantages and limitations. The Multi-Country Multi-City represents an example of a collaborative research framework that has greatly contributed to advance knowledge on the health impacts of climate change and other environmental factors and can be replicated to address other research questions across various research fields.

Impacts of Humic Acid on Growth and Yield of Wheat: A Review

Wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) is a crucial crop, providing 20% of caloric intake for many populations worldwide. Soil organic matter, an essential component of soil, directly influences soil fertility and texture. Humic substances, derived from biomolecules' physical, chemical, and microbiological transformation, are integral to soil humus. Humic acid has become a standard method for enhancing crop growth, yield, and soil fertility. While the effects of humic acid on wheat have been extensively studied, the optimal type and application method for wheat cultivation remain undetermined. This review investigates sustainable wheat production methods using humic acid to mitigate the negative impacts of chemical fertilizers and climate change factors. Research indicates that humic acid significantly increases wheat plant growth parameters: shoot length (18%), root length (29%), shoot dry weight (76%), root dry weight (100%), and chlorophyll content (96%). Moreover, humic acid substantially improves wheat yield and yield components, including spike length (14.66%), number of spikes per square meter (28.73%), number of spikelets per spike (23.52%), and 1000-grain weight (23.90%). As a sustainable organic substance, humic acid application offers a promising approach to improving wheat production. This method could help meet the food demands of the growing global population, particularly in countries like Afghanistan, where food security is a pressing concern.

Utilization Of Artificial Intelligence And Big Data In Disaster Management: Future Risk Reduction Strategies

Disasters are events that significantly impact people's lives and living spaces globally. Natural disasters can arise from various causes, such as climate change, geological movements, weather events, and human factors. The damage caused by these disasters can affect millions of people and negatively impact societies economically, socially, and environmentally. Disaster management has emerged as a multidisciplinary field aimed at minimizing the damage caused by disasters and making communities more resilient to them. Traditional disaster management strategies include emergency planning, crisis management, pre-disaster preparation, and rapid response during disasters. However, these strategies generally reflect a reactive approach and rely on human resources and existing infrastructure. This article aims to examine the role and impact of innovative technologies such as artificial intelligence and big data in the field of disaster management. While artificial intelligence is known for its ability to analyze complex datasets, discover patterns and relationships, optimize decision-making processes, and predict future events, big data provides the ability to process large amounts of data quickly and efficiently, transforming them into meaningful information. These technologies play a significant role in pre-disaster preparation, crisis management during disasters, and post-disaster recovery processes. The article discusses how artificial intelligence and big data technologies can be used in disaster management, how these technologies can be integrated into disaster risk reduction strategies, and how their effectiveness can be assessed. In conclusion, the integration of artificial intelligence and big data technologies into disaster management offers a more effective and efficient approach to dealing with disasters and can make significant contributions to making communities more resilient to disasters. This article aims to provide a guide to understanding the current state of disaster management and developing more effective strategies.

Have Climate Factor Changes Jeopardized the Value of Qinghai Grassland Ecosystem Services within the Grass–Animal Balance?

Internal and external environmental changes have led to changes in the service value of plateau ecosystems. Plateau ecosystems are facing a risk of falling into “recession”. Meanwhile, climate change has become an important factor affecting the service value of plateau grassland ecosystems. In this paper, from the perspective of how changes in climate factors inhibit the value of ecosystem services of plateau grasslands, we adopt the equivalent factor method to measure the value of grassland ecosystem services in eight municipal levels in Qinghai Province from 2000 to 2021. We also construct a fixed utility model to test how changes in climate factors affect the value of ecosystem services and use the grass–animal balance as a mediating effect model for the test. The results of the study showed that (1) the increase in temperature and precipitation among the changes in climate factors significantly suppresses the ecosystem service value of grassland in the plateau. (2) The mediation test shows that the grass–livestock balance helped suppress the effects of climate factor changes on the ecological service value of plateau grassland. (3) The heterogeneity test shows that the area containing the Three-River-Source National Park is more resistant to climate factor changes. Climate factor changes have a greater impact on the ecosystem service value of plateau grassland in high altitude areas and have a significant positive effect on sustained low grassland carrying pressure index status. Therefore, in the protection of plateau grassland ecosystems, we should pay attention to the inputs in the ecosystems as well as appropriate grazing. At the same time, this study can provide a reference value for the decision-making with respect to ecological natural resources protection or restoration in plateau grassland under the effects of climate factors.

Preserving earth’s flora in the 21st century: climate, biodiversity, and global change factors since the mid-1940s

Preserving earth’s flora in the 21st century: climate, biodiversity, and global change factors since the mid-1940s

The Uprise of Human Leishmaniasis in Tuscany, Central Italy: Clinical and Epidemiological Data from a Multicenter Study.

Human leishmaniasis is facing important epidemiological changes in Southern Europe, driven by increased urbanization, climate changes, emerging of new animal reservoirs, shifts in human behavior and a growing population of immunocompromised and elderly individuals. In this evolving epidemiological landscape, we analyzed the clinical and epidemiological characteristics of human leishmaniasis in the Tuscany region of Central Italy. Through a multicentric retrospective analysis, we collected clinical and demographic data about all cases of leishmaniasis recorded between 2018 and 2023. We observed 176 cases of human leishmaniasis, with 128 (72.7%) visceral leishmaniasis (VL) and 47 (26.7%) cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL). Among these, 92.2% of VL and 85.1% of CL cases were autochthonous. The cumulative incidence of autochthonous human leishmaniasis was 0.22 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in 2018, but reached 1.81/100,000 in 2023. We identified three main areas of transmission: around the city of Florence (North-East Tuscany), around Grosseto city (South-West Tuscany) and Elba Island. Our findings confirm that the epidemiology of leishmaniasis is undergoing significant changes in Central Italy. Awareness towards this emerging health threat and surveillance strategies need to be improved in order to reliably assess the disease's burden. Further research is needed in a "One-Health" perspective, to clarify the epidemiological dynamics at the environmental, reservoir, vector and human levels. The role of climate change and specific climatic factors affecting the epidemiological patterns of human leishmaniasis should be assessed. Further knowledge in these fields would promote targeted control and prevention strategies at regional and national levels.

Business Shakes Politics: Its Impact on Climate Policy

Irresponsible carbon emissions by businesses are the leading factor in climate change, which are threatening human civilisation. Global leaders did little to curb industrialists’ authoritarianism despite calls from all concerned. Many researchers believe that business has an important role behind policymakers’ inaction. In this context, the main objective of this research is to explore the impact of business on climate policy when they shake hands or embrace with politics. This qualitative study used content analysis to meet the objective using primary data from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change’s Conference of Parties decisions, and so on and secondary literature from books, dissertations, journals, and others. This study demonstrates that businesses have vehemently opposed climate science since its inception. When the issue became political in the 1980s, animosity intensified as they feared climate regulations would harm their interests. So, initially, they attempted to negate climate science by portraying it as something unproven and promoting climate change as an opportunity for humanity. They additionally applied a variety of strategies like publishing books, periodicals, research articles, and newspaper articles, spreading media propaganda, and giving donations to mislead policymakers. As a result, climate policy formation and implementation are significantly delayed, and business interests are protected. This study implies that businesses will suffer if civilisation collapses due to the unwise use of fossil fuels. Therefore, all stakeholders must prioritise collective interests over individual ones. Otherwise, it will engulf everyone. Philosophy and Progress, Vol#73-74; No#1-2; Jan-Dec 2023 P 151-182

Mathematical model for managing marine ecosystem risks

The article presents the results of the research aimed at developing and verifying a mathematical model for managing the ecosystem risks of marine areas. The main purpose of the research is to create an effective tool for assessing and managing the risks arising from anthropogenic influence, climate change and other natural factors. The proposed model is based on the existing theory of sea ecosystem risks management and takes into account the relationship between natural and anthropogenic factors, condition of marine ecosystems, their vulnerability and ecosystem services. The model uses mathematical methods, in particular, differential equations, statistical analyses, simulation modeling and network analysis, allowing creation of detailed models that reflect marine ecosystems' dynamics and their response to external influence. Numerous experiments were conducted in order to verify the model. They demonstrate its ability to predict changes in the condition of marine ecosystems under influence of various factors. The results of the research show that the proposed model can be an effective tool for optimizing management strategies, minimizing ecosystem risks and improving sustainability of marine ecosystems. Practical recommendations developed on the basis of the results of the research include strategies for preventing, minimizing and adapting to potential threats, taking into consideration each region's and ecosystem's specifics. The proposed model helps to optimize management decisions, reducing risks and improving the condition of marine ecosystems affected by anthropogenic impact and climate change. It is a reliable tool for ensuring sustainability and preservation of marine ecosystems. This approach allows for evidence-based risk management that increases sustainability of marine ecosystems and their preservation for future generations. The model also considers key factors influencing marine ecosystems, including biological diversity, water quality, industrial fisheries, tourism and recreation, and allows evaluation of effectiveness of various management decisions in the context of such factors. The application of this model in ecosystem management practices allows making more informed decisions regarding protection and preservation of marine resources. It contributes to their sustainable development and provision of ecosystem services having critical importance for society.