History Research Articles

Anthropogenic effects on tropical cyclones near Western Europe

There is less consensus on whether human activities have significantly altered tropical cyclone (TC) statistics, given the relatively short duration of reliable observed records. Understanding and projecting TC frequency change is more challenging in certain coastal regions with lower TC activity yet high exposure, such as Western Europe. Here, we show, with large-ensemble simulations, that the observed increase in TC frequency near Western Europe from 1966 to 2020 is likely linked to the anthropogenic aerosol effect. Under a future scenario featuring regionally controlled aerosol emissions and substantially increased greenhouse gas concentrations (Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 5-85), our simulations show a potential decrease in TC frequency near Western Europe by the end of the 21st century. These contrasting trends in historical and future TC frequencies are primarily due to the rise for 1966–2020 and potentially subsequent fall for 2030–2100 in TC genesis frequency in the North Atlantic. The response of large-scale environmental conditions to anthropogenic forcing is found to be crucial in explaining the historical and future changes in TC frequency near Western Europe.

Assessing Trends in the Desire to Avoid Pregnancy: A Cautionary Note.

The desire to avoid pregnancy-to delay the next birth or have no further births-is a fundamental sexual and reproductive health indicator. We show that two readily available measures-prospective fertility preferences and the demand for contraception [Demand] construct-provide substantially different portraits of historical trends. They also yield correspondingly different assessments of the sources of contraceptive change. We argue, with supporting empirical evidence, that Demand enormously overstates the historical trend in the desire to avoid pregnancy because Demand as currently constructed is in part a function of contraceptive prevalence. This makes for "reverse causality" in decompositions of contraceptive change, producing an upward distortion on the order of 25 percentage points in the amount of contraceptive change attributed to a change in fertility desires. Decomposition of contraception change free of the distortion reveals that contraceptive change has been due almost entirely to more complete implementation of fertility preferences. This is explained in part by the surprisingly slight historical change in preferences, a fact we document and then show is a consequence of a historical shift in parity composition toward lower parities.

The evolution of cultural diversity in Pama-Nyungan Australia

Explaining the processes that produce cultural diversity has long been a focus of anthropological study. Whilst linguistic diversity has frequently been shown to be associated with population splitting during migrations, much less is known about the influence of migration patterns on other forms of culture. Here we compare variation between different cultural types to understand whether their diversity might also be a consequence of historic population change. For our case study, we developed a dataset of 90 cultural traits recorded across around 100 societies in Pama-Nyungan Australia focusing on three cultural forms important in Australian life: adolescent initiation, mortuary practice and rock art motifs. Trait diversity was analysed using phylogenetic methods and compared with language diversity since previous studies have suggested an association between Pama-Nyungan language evolution and population dispersal. We were able to demonstrate a strong association between the phylogenetic history of language and initiation ritual but not between language and mortuary ritual or rock motifs. The finding suggests population migration may have had a significant influence on initiation ritual diversity. It also lends support to the idea, as suggested by some authors, that the development of complex initiation practices may have played an active role in the dispersal of Pama-Nyungan speakers throughout the Australian continent. Our study results suggest that the type of phylogenetic comparative approach applied here can make an important contribution to the reconstruction of deep cultural history over long timescales.

Mediterranean Bioethics in the bioethically lessknown Mediterranean: a struggle for identity

Primarly as a reponse to mainstream bioethics – the one narrowed-down to issues related to medical ethics and research – various kinds of regional bioethics have emerged in an attempt to incoporate values other than those typical for the Anglo-Saxon culture. Among the most promising ones, the Mediterranean Bioethics, reflecting all the colorfulness of the Mediterranean microcosm and an expanded interest to the entire bios (faithful to the original ideas of Fritz Jahr and Van Renssealer Potter), has found its footholds particularly in Spain, Italy, Croatia, and Greece. Leaving aside those four countries with abundant literature and well-known contributions to the general history of bioethics, we wish to direct attention to other cultures and countries of the Mediterranean region, revealing a more complex struggle for identity.

“I Owe More to the Royal Favor, Than Any Merit I Posses Can Justly Claim”: The Loyalists As Transactional Leaders

Aim: This study examined the Loyalists and their embrace of transactional leadership style during the American Revolution. Methods: The study relied on primary and secondary historical sources and scholarship on transactional leadership. These included general histories, biographies, memoirs, sermons, public statements, and diaries. Results: In their efforts to oppose the American Revolution, the Loyalists relied on transactional tactics. Despite their prominence, wealth, offices, and connections, the Loyalists proved ineffective in opposing the transformational forces unleashed by the Revolution. Conclusion: While they included some of the most prominent political and religious leaders in the colonies, the Loyalists failed to stop the American Revolution, mainly due to their reliance on transactional leadership style. Recommendations: Studying the Loyalists offers insight into how transactional leadership can prove ineffective in transformational times and settings. When voters and followers demand reform, transactional leadership style and leaders who embrace it will fail to deliver. Scholars should look at the Loyalists as transactional leaders in their efforts to understand the American Revolution.

The Historical Changes and Evolutionary Logic of Transitional Community Governance in China

Effective transitional community governance is an objective requirement for achieving efficient grassroots governance. Analyzing the basic context, internal logic, and development drivers of transitional community governance changes is of positive significance for promoting the modernization of the national grassroots governance system and governance capabilities. Based on the perspective of historical institutionalism, China's transitional community governance has roughly gone through three stages: a government led unitary control system, a core diversified system, and a community governance system. The basic logic of its transformation is from "management" to "governance", from "extensive" to "refined", and from "government led" to "diversified co governance". Further looking ahead to the governance of transitional communities, the main directions lie in three aspects: firstly, continuously absorbing diverse entities and balancing the governance structure of transitional communities; The second is to empower communities with technology through digital empowerment; The third is to promote community cultural construction and eliminate the tension of community governance.

Geochemical indices and sedimentation rates in the Pardo River basin, São Paulo state, Brazil

Sediment geochemical indices and sedimentation rates data from the Pardo River watershed, São Paulo State, Brazil, provide relevant reference guidelines for stakeholders to plan future actions aiming to achieve the appropriate management of that hydrographic basin. The watershed includes 20 municipalities where about 650,000 inhabitants are living and whose waters after withdrawal and treatment supply ∼300,000 people in that region. Six sediment cores provided the geochemical and radiometric dataset, which was obtained from sampling sites located in the following cities: Ourinhos, Santa Cruz do Rio Pardo, Águas de Santa Bárbara, Avaré, Botucatu, and Pardinho. The concentration data for some metals were compared with the reference values established by the Brazilian environmental legislation for sediment dredging because currently there is a lack of specific quality guidelines for marine or fluvial sediment in Brazil. Also, the entire dataset was used in the calculation of two traditional geochemical indices, i.e., the enrichment factor (EF) and contamination factor (CF). In some cores, both indices provided insight revealing possible anthropogenic inputs of magnesium oxide (MgO), potassium oxide (K2O), sulfur trioxide (SO3), vanadium oxide (V2O5), copper (II) oxide (CuO), and other constituents due to development of activities related to the crop production. The constant rate of supply (CRS) of the unsupported/excess lead 210 (210Pb) model has been successfully applied to the obtained a radiometric 210Pb dataset, yielding mean values of the mass accumulation rate (MAR) between 0.86 and 7.23 g/(cm2·y) and linear sedimentation rates (LSR) ranging from 2.9 to 7.1 cm/y. Both of these rates exhibited a significant correlation, representing physical weathering processes occurring in the basin. Chemical weathering rates reported in the literature indicate values much lower than the physical weathering rates and such findings have also been confirmed in the current study when the obtained data were compared with results from previous investigations in the Pardo River watershed. The CRS 210Pb chronological model was useful to track historical changes in the MgO and CuO concentration in the sediment cores, allowing curves to be plotted exhibiting major peaks in core 1 (1980–2010) and core 3 (2000–2010), a continuous increase from 1970 onwards until 2010 (core 4), and a sharp increase at the end of the monitoring period, 2017 (cores 5 and 6). Data available for the harvested area at a municipality located within the basin for the period 1990–2022 have indicated a more pronounced increase over the last years in the production of sugar cane, soybeans, and oranges, implying an increasing use of fertilizers and agricultural correctives for crop production, whose chemical composition would justify the trends observed for MgO and CuO concentrations in the sediment cores. The current study also revealed a wide range of significant relations involving the concentration of ferric oxide (Fe2O3) and other analyzed constituents, with iron tending to accumulate in the finer grain sizes (from 0.125 to <0.037 mm) of the sediment. The CRS 210Pb chronological model permitted evaluation of the history of the iron flux up to the present, which could represent baseline guidance levels for indicating future anthropic inputs in the basin.

Geniusz rozkładu. Nikołaj Bierdiajew wobec sztuki Pabla Picassa

Picasso occupied a very special place within Nicolai Berdyaev’s philosophical considerations. What motivated him to assess avant-garde art was an exhibition at the art gallery owned by Sergey Shchukin in 1914. The Russian thinker became personally acquainted with the exhibition. In his attitude towards Picasso’s art, Berdyaev shows the universal category of assessment which he had applied earlier to random artistic phenomena. The philosopher gives avant-garde art the status of the verifier of spiritual changes, at the same time pointing to the evolution of people’s attitude towards both the surrounding reality and themselves. By paying so much attention to the works of the Spanish artist, Berdyaev formulates a thesis concerning the spiritual crisis of the culture occurring in statu nascendi. That is to say that he perceives avant-garde art as, on the one hand, the foreshadowing of inevitable socio-political changes and, on the other hand, a graphic equivalent of the spiritual changes which are about to happen. In the role of category which should present the direction of assessing not only Picasso’s works, but also, in a broader sense, the historical and cultural changes, Berdyaev uses the terms of crisis, freedom, beauty, humanism and spirituality. The Russian philosopher considers Picasso a helpless exposer of illusions of materialized and synthesized beauty, whose paintings are the proof of the crisis occurring in art, self-awareness and, in a broader sense, also within humanity.

The Historical Change of the Vowels а/ә/е in Turkic Languages

The Historical Change of the Vowels а/ә/е in Turkic Languages

Investigating the impact of urban growth on land use using spatial autocorrelation methods in Konya/Türkiye.

Land use land cover (LULC) change, global environmental change, and sustainable change are frequently discussed topics in research at the moment. It is important to determine the historical LULC change process for effective environmental planning and the most appropriate use of land resources. This study analysed the spatial autocorrelation of the land use structure in Konya between 1990 and 2018. For this, Global and Local Moran's I indices based on land use data from 122 neighbourhoods and hot spot analysis (Getis-Ord Gi*) methods were applied to measure the spatial correlation of changes and to determine statistically significant hot and cold spatial clusters. According to the research results, the growth of urban areas has largely destroyed the most productive agricultural lands in the region. This change showed high spatial clustering both on an area and a proportional basis in the northern and southern parts of the city. On the other hand, the growth in the industrial area suppressed the pasture areas the most in the north-eastern region of the city, and this region showed high spatial clustering on both spatial and proportional scales.

Effect of a comprehensive geriatric assessment nursing intervention model on older patients with diabetes and hypertension.

The Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) was introduced late in China and is primarily used for investigating and evaluating health problems in older adults in outpatient and community settings. However, there are few reports on its application in hospitalized patients, especially older patients with diabetes and hypertension. To explore the nursing effect of CGA in hospitalized older patients with diabetes and hypertension. We performed a retrospective single-center analysis of patients with comorbid diabetes mellitus and hypertension who were hospitalized and treated in the Jiangyin Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine between September 2020 and June 2022. Among the 80 patients included, 40 received CGA nursing interventions (study group), while the remaining 40 received routine nursing care (control group). The study group's comprehensive approach included creating personalized CGA profiles, multidisciplinary assessments, and targeted interventions in areas, such as nutrition, medication adherence, exercise, and mental health. However, the control group received standard nursing care, including general and medical history collection, fall prevention measures, and regular patient monitoring. After 6 months of nursing care implementation, we evaluated the effectiveness of the interventions, including assessments of blood glucose levels fasting blood glucose, 2-h postprandial blood glucose, and glycated hemoglobin, type A1c (HbA1c); blood pressure indicators such as diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and systolic blood pressure (SBP); quality of life as measured by the 36-item Short Form Survey (SF-36) questionnaire; and treatment adherence. After 6 months, the nursing outcomes indicated that patients who underwent CGA nursing interventions experienced a significant decrease in blood glucose indicators, such as fasting blood glucose, 2-h postprandial blood glucose, and HbA1c, as well as blood pressure indicators, including DBP and SBP, compared with the control group (P < 0.05). Quality of life assessments, including physical health, emotion, physical function, overall health, and mental health, showed marked improvements compared to the control group (P < 0.05). In the study group, 38 patients adhered to the clinical treatment requirements, whereas only 32 in the control group adhered to the clinical treatment requirements. The probability of treatment adherence among patients receiving CGA nursing interventions was higher than that among patients receiving standard care (95% vs 80%, P < 0.05). The CGA nursing intervention significantly improved glycemic control, blood pressure management, and quality of life in hospitalized older patients with diabetes and hypertension, compared to routine care.

Non-book history of book by Julia Shcherbinina

Book rewiew: Shcherbinina Yu. V. The book as an illusion: Caches, false libraries, art objects. Moscow: Alpina non-fiction,2023. 384 p.

"The Coming of the Book" Lucien Febvre's and Henri-Jean Martin's: the French book history in the 20th and at the beginning of the Early 21st centuries

The article presents the history of the creation of the French monograph L’apparition du livre ("The Coming of the Book", 1958), which has not been translated into Russian. The research traced the paths of its authors – French scholars L. Febvre, an innovator of historical science in the 20th century, and A.-J. Martin, the founder of the French school of book history. The role of the ideas and results of French book historians for the further development of Western book science in the end of the last century and in the early of the 21st century is outlined. The purpose of the article is to provide an analysis of this work, emphasizing its impact for the formation of the social history of the book. This article considered the importance and prospects for including this fundamental and already classic work in the research field of present-day Russian book studies as well as in educational practices.

Exploring historical changes in mountain river hydrodynamics induced by human impact

During the 20th-century many mountain rivers in Europe were subjected to intensive human impacts which substantially modified their channel morphology. How these changes affected river hydrodynamics and response to floods remains uncertain. In this work, we perform hydraulic modelling using data from archival aerial photos to explore relations between hydraulic parameters of floods and human-induced channel incision occurring on the Czarny Dunajec River (Polish Carpathians) between 1964 and 2012. Data on vertical position of the channel used for two-dimensional modelling of flood flows were extracted (as Digital Elevation Models DEMs) from archival aerial photos from 1964 and 1983 and ALS (Airborne Laser Skanning)-derived DEM from 2012. Water depth, flow velocity, bed shear stress, and sediment critical diameter were modelled for four flood scenarios (2-year, 5-year, 20-year, and 50-year floods) as well as the extent of flooded area and additionally the grain size of channel sediment was calculated. The values of water depth, flow velocity, bed shear stress and sediment critical diameter increased significantly between 1964 and 1983, especially for 20-year and 50-year floods. Only the flow velocity within the floodplain zone did not increase for the two largest flood scenarios due to the expansion of riparian forest in the second half of the twentieth century. The increase in flow rate was accompanied by a progressive reduction of the extent of flooded area, especially between 1964 and 1983, as well as by increase in mean grain size of channel sediment. Between 1983 and 2012 changes in hydraulic parameters were less pronounced, and coarser and well packed channel sediment dominated on the river bed. Our work demonstrates that reconstruction of past river hydrodynamics, rather than river state at time horizons, can give essential insights into functioning of the river channel and floodplain during the intensification of human impacts after 1950s.

Age of First Exposure to Contact Sports Is Not Associated With Worse Later-In-Life Brain Health in a Cohort of Community-Dwelling Older Men.

To evaluate whether early age of first exposure to contact sports (AFE-CS) is associated with worse long-term brain health outcomes. A cross-sectional, survey study of older men with a history of contact sport participation was completed. Tertiary care facility. A cohort of community-dwelling older men dichotomized by using AFE-CS (<12 years vs ≥12 years). Independent variables included a dichotomized group of AFE-CS (<12 years vs ≥12 years). Brain health outcomes measured by depression, anxiety, cognitive difficulties, and neurobehavioral symptoms. Endorsements of general health problems, motor symptoms, and psychiatric history were also collected. Age of first exposure groups was compared using t tests, χ2 tests, and multivariable linear regressions, which included the following covariates: age, number of prior concussions, and total years of contact sport. Of 69 men aged 70.5 ± 8.0 years, approximately one-third of the sample (34.8%) reported AFE-CS before age 12 years. That group had more years of contact sports (10.8 ± 9.2 years) compared with those with AFE-CS ≥12 (5.6 ± 4.5 years; P = 0.02). No differences were found after univariate testing between AFE-CS groups on all outcomes (P-values >0.05). Multivariable models suggest that AFE-CS is not a predictor of depression or anxiety. Those in the AFE-CS <12 group had fewer cognitive difficulties (P = 0.03) and fewer neurobehavioral symptoms (P = 0.03). Those with AFE-CS <12 to contact sports did not have worse long-term brain health outcomes compared with those with AFE-CS ≥12. Individuals with AFE-CS <12 had significantly lower British Columbia Cognitive Complaints Inventory and Neurobehavioral Symptom Inventory scores compared with those with AFE-CS ≥12. The benefits of earlier AFE-CS may outweigh the risks of head strikes and result in comparable long-term brain health outcomes.

Islamisasi Di Asia Tenggara: Proses Kedatangan, Kepribadian Dan Karakteristik Islam Di Asia tenggara

This research aims to find out about the process of the arrival of Islam, the personality and characteristics of Islam in Southeast Asia. This research is qualitative research using the library study method (literature study), by collecting sources that contain research coverage that has been previously examined and is relevant, consisting of textbooks, periodicals, scientific journals, articles and other relevant research. The research results explain the first few points. The process of Islam's arrival in Southeast Asia is a complex and varied phenomenon, involving various channels such as trade, missionary preaching and political interaction. This process has shaped an Islamic identity in Southeast Asia, which includes a fusion of Islamic teachings with local culture and traditions, as well as a dynamic response to historical and social change. Second, there are four main theories about the origins of Islam in Southeast Asia that are debated in discussing the arrival, spread and Islamization of Southeast Asia, namely Indian Theory, Arab Theory, Chinese Theory and Persian Theory. Third, the character of Islam in Southeast Asia is reflected in the diversity of culture, beliefs and religious practices that are characteristic of Southeast Asia.

Two decades of molecular surveillance in Senegal reveal rapid changes in known drug resistance mutations over time

BackgroundDrug resistance in Plasmodium falciparum is a major threat to malaria control efforts. Pathogen genomic surveillance could be invaluable for monitoring current and emerging parasite drug resistance.MethodsData from two decades (2000–2020) of continuous molecular surveillance of P. falciparum parasites from Senegal were retrospectively examined to assess historical changes in malaria drug resistance mutations. Several known drug resistance markers and their surrounding haplotypes were profiled using a combination of single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) molecular surveillance and whole genome sequence based population genomics.ResultsThis dataset was used to track temporal changes in drug resistance markers whose timing correspond to historically significant events such as the withdrawal of chloroquine (CQ) and the introduction of sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine (SP) in 2003. Changes in the mutation frequency at Pfcrt K76T and Pfdhps A437G coinciding with the 2014 introduction of seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC) in Senegal were observed. In 2014, the frequency of Pfcrt K76T increased while the frequency of Pfdhps A437G declined. Haplotype-based analyses of Pfcrt K76T showed that this rapid increase was due to a recent selective sweep that started after 2014.Discussion (Conclusion)The rapid increase in Pfcrt K76T is troubling and could be a sign of emerging amodiaquine (AQ) resistance in Senegal. Emerging AQ resistance may threaten the future clinical efficacy of artesunate-amodiaquine (ASAQ) and AQ-dependent SMC chemoprevention. These results highlight the potential of molecular surveillance for detecting rapid changes in parasite populations and stress the need to monitor the effectiveness of AQ as a partner drug for artemisinin-based combination therapy (ACT) and for chemoprevention.

Climate, weather, and child health: quantifying health co-benefits

Climate change affects human health negatively in a number of complex ways, and children are particularly vulnerable. Quantifying the negative impacts of climate change on health, and identifying locations where children are at greater risk, can aid evidence-based policy making. We combine high-resolution climatic data with a dataset on infant and child mortality, wasting, and stunting, from more than a hundred countries, to estimate the effects of both gradual and acute climate change, focusing on drought and heatwaves, to plausibly attribute changing child health outcomes to historical climate change. Our results suggest a non-linear relationship between temperature and children’s health, adverse effects of increases in acute events, and a strong regional heterogeneity in these impacts. Our findings also highlight the importance of poverty reduction. Greater wealth is associated with better child health outcomes, and partially mitigates the negative impacts of climate change on child health. Finally, using updated warming scenarios, our projections show that there are substantial health co-benefits from achieving low emissions scenarios.

Producción y circulación de la edición comunista en el Cono Sur: el caso de la editorial Sudam (1929-1935)

Objective/Context: This research aims to analyze the editorial practice of the ssa, especially the Sudam publishing house; as well as to identify what were the functions of the published writings and what motives drove the organization to sustain its editorial efforts in the repressive conjuncture of the 1930s. Methodology: We used a qualitative methodology, which consists of the analysis and interpretation of a vast body of documents (composed of internal documents and the public press of the ssa, correspondence, pamphlets and books published by Sudam and Ediciones Europa-América), in relation and dialogue with the secondary bibliography referred to the history of communist books and publishing, of the Communist International and of communism in South America. Originality: The Sudam publishing house has not been approached by historiography as an object of specific analysis so far. This research seeks to contribute to the studies on the Latin American communist book and publishing in the early 1930s, and to favor the understanding of the role of publishing in the development of communist ideology in South America. Conclusions: Although Sudam’s production and diffusion level was limited, its main contribution was to propose a political-editorial practice based on militant and partisan networks, on which the editorial proposals with regional projection of the later period, during the years of the Popular Front policy, were based. Likewise, the titles introduced had a strong ideological and political indoctrination content, so that they collaborated in the Bolshevization and Stalinization of the South American communist parties.

Unbridled Imagination and Imperturbable Logic

The Theatre du Grande Guignol was in operation between 1897 and 1962; during its tenure, it provided entertainment to the Parisian masses. This paper seeks to prove that the violent entertainment shown in the Theatre du Grand Guignol epitomizes a microcosm of the broader historical, technological, and theatrical changes during its 65 years in operation. Through primary source documents, such as the plays being performed, and secondary sources, such as French historical documents, this analysis consolidates these informative texts to understand the bigger picture of the Theatre in the grander context of human experience. The violent nature being represented on the stage of the Guignol soon reflected the brutal nature of World War Two, thus blurring the lines between fact and fiction, art and life, imagination and reality. This opens up a discussion on the essence of humanity and its ensuing effect on the entertainment industry leading into the modern day, and the enduring macabre fascination with gruesome spectacle.