Study ObjectivesSleep-disordered breathing is a significant risk factor for cardiometabolic and neurodegenerative diseases. High loop gain (HLG) is a driving mechanism of central sleep apnea or periodic breathing. This study presents a computational approach that identifies “expressed/manifest” HLG via a cyclical self-similarity feature in effort-based respiration signals.MethodsWorking under the assumption that HLG increases the risk of residual central respiratory events during continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP), the full night similarity, computed during diagnostic non-CPAP polysomnography (PSG), was used to predict residual central events during CPAP (REC), which we defined as central apnea index (CAI) higher than 10. Central apnea labels are obtained both from manual scoring by sleep technologists and from an automated algorithm developed for this study. The Massachusetts General Hospital sleep database was used, including 2466 PSG pairs of diagnostic and CPAP titration PSG recordings.ResultsDiagnostic CAI based on technologist labels predicted REC with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.82 ± 0.03. Based on automatically generated labels, the combination of full night similarity and automatically generated CAI resulted in an AUC of 0.85 ± 0.02. A subanalysis was performed on a population with technologist-labeled diagnostic CAI higher than 5. Full night similarity predicted REC with an AUC of 0.57 ± 0.07 for manual and 0.65 ± 0.06 for automated labels.ConclusionsThe proposed self-similarity feature, as a surrogate estimate of expressed respiratory HLG and computed from easily accessible effort signals, can detect periodic breathing regardless of admixed obstructive features such as flow limitation and can aid the prediction of REC.