Cautionary Tale Research Articles

Using Machine Learning to Catch Bogus Firms

We investigate the use of a machine learning (ML) algorithm to identify fraudulent non-existent firms that are used for tax evasion. Using a rich dataset of tax returns in an Indian state over several years, we train an ML-based model to predict fraudulent firms. We then use the model predictions to carry out field inspections of firms identified as suspicious by the ML tool. We find that the ML model is accurate in both simulated and field settings in identifying non-existent firms. Withholding a randomly selected group of firms from inspection, we estimate the causal impact of ML driven inspections. Despite the strong predictive performance, our model driven inspections do not yield a significant increase in enforcement as evidenced by the cancellation of fraudulent firm registrations and tax recovery. We provide two explanations for this discrepancy based on a close analysis of the tax department’s operating protocols: overfitting to proxy-labels, and institutional friction in integrating the model into existing administrative systems. Our study serves as a cautionary tale for the application of machine learning in public policy contexts and of relying solely on test set performance as an effectiveness indicator. Field evaluations are critical in assessing the real-world impact of predictive models.

I am the psychiatric patient and the psychiatric patient is me: Retelling a lived experience narrative of professional sexual misconduct.

WHAT IS KNOWN ON THE SUBJECT?: Professional sexual misconduct is the name given to the phenomenon of healthcare providers crossing sexual boundaries with their patients. It is comprised of a range of behaviors from comments to unwanted touching and even rape. The exact incidence is unknown, but estimates have been made. These abuses are thought to be underreported. The applicable reporting processes are problematic. Trauma-informed care presupposes knowledge of various types of trauma, and this is one type. Traua-informed care places emphasis on healthcare systems and healthcare providers' avoidance of retraumatizing patients who disclose any type of trauma, including sexual violence. WHAT THE PAPER ADDS TO EXISTING KNOWLEDGE?: This paper adds one narrative experience of a sexual assault perpetrated by the writer's colleague psychiatrist. It can be viewed as a cautionary tale about horizontal violence against nurses. This narrative discusses how one traumatic event can mushroom into chronic traumatic sequelae when disclosure re-traumatizes. WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE?: Increased knowledge of this type of sexual violence may help those who have suffered it. As psychiatry is among the healthcare fields who regularly screen patients for trauma, it is imperative that the psychiatric workforce gain familiarity with trauma-informed responses to avoid re-traumatizing patients who disclose sexual violence.

Taking advantage of the fire: Does firm performance feedback have a supply chain contagion effect?

The increased interconnection among supply chain participants brought about by globalization has made supply chain management more crucial than ever for gaining a competitive advantage. We examine how supply chain participants respond to feedback on firm performance, with a focus on the effect of contagion on bargaining power. When a company's performance is below expectations, suppliers and customers tend to increase their bargaining power and potentially take actions to safeguard their interests. This is attributed to the decline in the focal company's product market power, resulting from negative performance feedback. Contrarily, positive performance feedback does not cause significant changes in the bargaining power of supply chain firms. Moreover, we explore the role of other stakeholders, such as creditors and investors, in influencing supply chain negotiations. The distrust of other stakeholders leads to the further improvement of the bargaining power of supply chain companies. We analyze the motivation of supply chain stakeholders to improve their bargaining power under performance feedback and develop a complete causal chain and solution on how to enhance future performance prediction to lessen the increase in bargaining power of the supply chain. This paper is both a valuable contribution to the body of knowledge on the financial impacts of business stakeholder decision-making and a cautionary tale for companies that urgently need to cluster their supply chain activities.

Case of Tigecycline Induced Liver Injury: A Cautionary Tale

Tigecycline, the inaugural glycylcycline antibiotic in clinical use, is experiencing rising global utilization owing to its effectiveness against multidrug-resistant (MDR) bacteria. Although gastrointestinal side effects like nausea and vomiting are more prevalent, it is important to recognize that tigecycline can also lead to liver injury. The manufacturer has issued a warning regarding tigecycline's potential to elevate total bilirubin (TB) and transaminase levels. [1] We present the case of a 74-year-old female with a history of multiple comorbidities who developed severe hepatotoxicity following tigecycline therapy for a complicated intra-abdominal infection. The patient shows an abnormal liver function test with hyperbilirubinemia. Later on she developed jaundice. This case underscores the importance of considering TILI in patients receiving tigecycline, particularly those with preexisting liver disease or receiving other potentially hepatotoxic medications.

Emerging antihelminthic drug resistance: Implications for mass drug administration program

Soil transmitted helminth infections and lymphatic diseases are significant neglected tropical diseases that pose public health challenges in both low and middle economic populations. These parasites live in the human intestine, consuming nutrients intended for the human body. Research findings suggest that the development of resistance to antihelminthic drugs is notably delayed when a combination of medications is used. Antihelminthic tablets are excellent candidates for mass drug administration (MDA) because they are highly effective and safe. Their reliability and safety make them well-suited for widespread distribution among populations at risk of parasitic worm infections. School-based deworming programs have proven successful in providing access to large numbers of children, offering them antihelminthic treatments in various settings. MDA is a key strategy in the global effort to eliminate lymphatic filariasis, with school-based deworming being an integral part of this approach. However, the longer the program lasts, the higher the risk of treatment failure is due to potential parasite resistance. Therefore, there is an urgent call for new methods to monitor and combat the emergence of drug resistance. While MDA has shown significant impact on various helminth infections, the threat of resistance remains a concern. Although there is currently no concrete evidence of resistance to common antihelminthics in humans, experiences from other infectious diseases, particularly in livestock, serve as a cautionary tale against over-reliance on these drugs for controlling lymphatic filariasis.

Scientific telephone: The cautionary tale of the global coverage of lichens.

Scientific history has many examples of profound statements that are later found to be unsubstantiated. The consequences of such misinformation can be dire. In the present article, we present a case where an unevidenced estimate of global lichen coverage proliferated through both scientific literature and popular media. We traced this estimate to a non-peer-reviewed publication from 1987. We found 76 academic articles (collectively cited 4125 times) and 13 other academic documents citing the statistic, citation chains without source attribution, and instances where the number or context was changed. We also found the statistic 37 times in popular media, which is especially concerning, given that these media communicate science to the broader public. We demonstrate how an unevidenced statement can spread, change through time, and ultimately be repeated without demand for evidence. We hope this case unplugs the telephone and provides a cautionary tale for researchers to ensure critical evaluation of citation and communication practices.

Personhood for artificial intelligence? A cautionary tale from Idaho and Utah

Personhood for artificial intelligence? A cautionary tale from Idaho and Utah

Perception-action Dissociations as a Window into Consciousness.

Understanding the neural correlates of unconscious perception stands as a primary goal of experimental research in cognitive psychology and neuroscience. In this Perspectives paper, we explain why experimental protocols probing qualitative dissociations between perception and action provide valuable insights into conscious and unconscious processing, along with their corresponding neural correlates. We present research that utilizes human eye movements as a sensitive indicator of unconscious visual processing. Given the increasing reliance on oculomotor and pupillary responses in consciousness research, these dissociations also provide a cautionary tale about inferring conscious perception solely based on no-report protocols.

A cautionary tale for thoracic surgery teams: unexpected surgical fire during open-window thoracostomy: a case report

A cautionary tale for thoracic surgery teams: unexpected surgical fire during open-window thoracostomy: a case report

The 17 January 1994 Northridge, California, Earthquake: A Retrospective Analysis

Abstract The 17 January 1994 Northridge, California, earthquake was a watershed event with far-reaching societal and scientific impacts. The earthquake, which occurred in the early days of both broadband seismic networks and the Internet, spurred advances in seismic monitoring, real-time systems, and development of data products. Motivated by the 30th anniversary of the earthquake, we present a brief retrospective of the earthquake and its impact, and reconsider both ground motions and the aftershock distribution using modern tools and the best-available data. With improvements in instrumentation and analysis methodology, recent earthquakes continue to reveal the increasing complexity of ground motions, fault systems, and earthquake ruptures. Even in the absence of data from state-of-the-art instrumentation, a retrospective consideration of ground-motion data from the Northridge earthquake reveals complexities beyond what could be characterized (and modeled) 30 yr ago. Aftershock relocations for both the 1971 Sylmar and 1994 Northridge earthquakes also reveal an updated view of fault complexity. Our study does provide a cautionary tale regarding legacy data sets and research results that are not easily accessible, which can result in discrepancies between catalog data and products from the best available science. We also briefly describe outreach products produced as a part of the anniversary commemoration.

“Racism is alive and well”: (Re)visiting the University of Florida’s Black Student Union’s history through composite counterstorytelling

This study centers on the origins of the Black Student Union (BSU) during the late 1960s and early 1970s at the University of Florida (UF) presented as a speculative fiction composite counterstory. The story presented in this manuscript serves as a cautionary tale of what the future of higher education will be, if white supremacy persists, even when white people will no longer represent a numerical majority. Though the findings utilized in this piece are decades old, we offer the current climate of public institutions and DEI initiatives to emphasize the importance of counterstories that underscore the resistance and activism that challenges oppressive systems and birthed such organizations as Black Student Unions, which are now increasingly under threat of elimination. Utilizing BlackCrit, we look backward to explore the permanence of anti-Black racism in our future. We invoke the genre of speculative fiction to give form to our findings - a fictional short story that posits a possible future world that runs counter to expectations for a post-racial future on college campuses and in the United States more broadly. Through a deeper understanding of how Black students drew upon their social networks during the Long Black Student Movement era, we aim to spark dialogue about the future of Black student advocacy at predominantly white American colleges and universities.

Designing and Implementing Experiments within Local Bureaucratic Systems: A Cautionary Tale from an Educator Incentive Program

Designing and Implementing Experiments within Local Bureaucratic Systems: A Cautionary Tale from an Educator Incentive Program

Numbing the Heart to Death: A Cautionary Tale About an In-Vogue Preoperative Analgesic.

Numbing the Heart to Death: A Cautionary Tale About an In-Vogue Preoperative Analgesic.

Reply: Crushed Posaconazole Delayed-Release Tablets Via Enteral Feeding Tubes: A Cautionary Tale.

Reply: Crushed Posaconazole Delayed-Release Tablets Via Enteral Feeding Tubes: A Cautionary Tale.

Case - Biotin supplements interfering with prostate-specific antigen assays A cautionary tale.

Case - Biotin supplements interfering with prostate-specific antigen assays A cautionary tale.

161-OR: Type A Insulin Resistance Can Be Misdiagnosed as Type 1 or Type 2 Diabetes—A Cautionary Tale

161-OR: Type A Insulin Resistance Can Be Misdiagnosed as Type 1 or Type 2 Diabetes—A Cautionary Tale

Interpreting environments of deposition from facies analysis of outcrop versus seismic reflection data: A cautionary tale from the Mount Messenger Formation, Taranaki Basin (New Zealand)

The lower part of the Mount Messenger Formation, which crops out along the North Taranaki coast (North Island, New Zealand), is widely regarded to display classic examples of exhumed basin floor fan strata. This interpretation is supported by numerous publications on the sedimentary facies and depositional environments inferred for these strata, which are exposed in coastal cliff exposures about 20 m high with limited lateral extent. Consequently, for almost three decades, this succession has served as an analogue and training ground for geoscientists investigating the features of basin floor fan deposits and their reservoir characteristics. Here, we bring together seismic stratigraphy and seismic geomorphology of 2D and 3D seismic reflection datasets, as well as photogrammetric models based on images collected using uncrewed aerial vehicle (UAV) drones from selected locations along the outcrop belt to challenge this paradigm. We analyzed seismic reflection data in an area immediately offshore and down-dip of the strata exposed in the coastal outcrop and found no objective criteria for submarine fan depositional elements based on accepted seismic stratigraphic criteria. Furthermore, mapping of seismic reflectors revealed large submarine channel systems (up to 3 km wide and up to 200 m deep) within the lower part of the Mount Messenger Formation. Submarine channel depositional elements (less than 250 m wide and 25 m thick) are also observed to incise through the outcrops, but they are generally below seismic resolution. In the context of the regional geology, we conclude that the lower Mount Messenger Formation accumulated as continental slope sediments cross-cut by channels rather than as basin floor fans. This study issues a cautionary tale about applying facies analysis to outcrop with limited 3D exposure to interpret sedimentary environments. The spatial distribution of facies and architectural elements viewed in seismic data are invaluable for testing the veracity of facies interpretations.

Who’s testing and who’s being tested: A cautionary tale of citizen science within applied animal behaviour science

Citizen science has become a popular means to collect data in many research fields, including animal behaviour science. Using this approach has numerous potential benefits (e.g. larger sample sizes, decreased strain on resources, increasing the public’s engagement in science), but there are also issues and assumptions relating to data quality that should be considered. The aim of this study was to assess the reliability of a battery of game-like tests developed to assess behavioural flexibility in dogs. The battery was administered to samples of shelter dogs and owned dogs who had remained in homes long-term. From the two populations, four test groups were created: shelter dogs assessed by the principal investigator (n=85), shelter dogs assessed by shelter staff/volunteers (n=34), long-term owned dogs assessed by the principal investigator (n=21), and long-term dogs assessed by their owners (n=29). Shelter staff/volunteers and dog owners participated as “citizen scientists”. It is accepted that using less skilled “citizen” researchers increases the error within the data, but often claimed that this is offset by larger sample sizes. This implies that the increased error is random and not systematic. Whether who (citizen versus trained researcher) tested the group in a given context was associated with overall test item outcomes was evaluated. In two of the tests, the Alone Time Test and the Three-Toy Test, tester was found to be associated with outcomes. In the Alone Time Test, tester was associated with four items in the shelter dog samples and with three in the long-term owned dog samples. In the Three Toy Test, a series of subsequent items were contingent on the first, and the outcome of that initial item was related to tester. These results demonstrate that it is unwise to assume that the increased error from citizen science work is largely random and thus evened out by the use of a large sample of researchers. Unexpected systematic error might arise within citizen science projects so controls need to be introduced to test for these effects, so that unsound assumptions are not made. There may also be relatively unique factors, beyond researcher objectivity, to consider when using a citizen science approach to study domestic dogs, such as the bidirectional influence on behaviour of any emotional bond between the owner or shelter staff/volunteer and the dog being tested. These results highlight the need for quality checks and preliminary analysis to ensure the identification of any relevant tester effects.

Disciplinary differences in lexical bundles use: A cautionary tale from methodological variations

Lexical bundles use in academic discourse has been explored across numerous dimensions including discipline, genre, register, student proficiency, and language, among others. These studies have resulted in claims about the nature of these different discourses or their authors, and they have been used in EAP instructional practices. Recent studies on methodological considerations in frequency-based lexical bundles research have pointed to variability in results that stem from changes in criteria used in lexical bundle extraction and corpus composition. Following this, the current study explores the impact of methodological variation in lexical bundle extraction from sets of research articles in Linguistics and Biology, with a focus on the extent of disciplinary variation uncovered in lexical bundles use and function. Experiments with varying frequency thresholds and range specifications as well as corpus composition show that results about lexical bundles use in different disciplinary discourses could be more sharply differentiated when certain variables are used, underscoring the variableness in results and the need for caution in interpreting the findings of lexical bundles research. This paper also evaluates claims made in previous lexical bundles studies using the findings from this study. Finally, previous pedagogical applications of lexical bundles research in academic discourse are discussed.

P224 Vaccine derived Bordetella bronchioseptica causing clinical disease in a child living with cystic fibrosis: a cautionary tale of live vaccine use in companion animals

P224 Vaccine derived Bordetella bronchioseptica causing clinical disease in a child living with cystic fibrosis: a cautionary tale of live vaccine use in companion animals