AbstractUnbalanced nutrient supply is one of the key causes of yield gaps and low farming profitability which impact food insecurity globally. However, the effects of an unbalanced nutrient supply on rice yields and farming profitability have not been quantified for diverse rice‐based cropping systems. To explore the effects, 412 respondents (mostly smallholder farmers) were surveyed in 2019 for the rice crops in three fully rice‐based cropping systems in four agro‐ecological zones of Bangladesh. Two robust estimation approaches namely propensity score matching and endogenous switching regression approaches were used to quantify the effects of unbalanced fertilizer use. The results show that about 68% of farmers in the study areas used unbalanced (over‐doses or under‐doses) nutrient rates relative to government‐endorsed recommendations. Adoption of recommended fertilizer rates was influenced by education, amount of organic manure used, off‐farm income, crop farming‐related training, organizational membership and lack of soil testing tendency. The findings also indicate that adopters of recommended nutrient rates received almost 16% and 46% higher system rice yield and system net return, respectively, relative to non‐adopters. However, based on our research findings, formulation and implementation of effective agricultural policies like effective extension services, strengthening soil testing facilities, increasing organizational membership and targeted awareness programmes could motivate smallholder rice farmers towards adoption of recommended nutrient rates. Adoption of recommended fertilizer rates can significantly enhance crop yields and farming profitability which can boost food security and rural livelihoods in the Eastern Gangetic Plain.
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