Cardiovascular Disease Mortality Research Articles

Development, characterization, and replication of proteomic aging clocks: Analysis of 2 population-based cohorts.

Biological age may be estimated by proteomic aging clocks (PACs). Previous published PACs were constructed either in smaller studies or mainly in white individuals, and they used proteomic measures from only one-time point. In this study, we created de novo PACs and compared their performance to published PACs at 2 different time points in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study of white and black participants (around 75% white and 25% black). A total of 4,712 plasma proteins were measured using SomaScan in blood samples collected in 1990 to 1992 from 11,761 midlife participants (aged 46 to 70 years) and in 2011 to 2013 from 5,183 late-life participants (aged 66 to 90 years). The de novo ARIC PACs were constructed by training them against chronological age using elastic net regression in two-thirds of healthy participants in midlife and late life and validated in the remaining one-third of healthy participants at the corresponding time point. We also computed 3 published PACs. We estimated age acceleration for each PAC as residuals after regressing each PAC on chronological age. We also calculated the change in age acceleration from midlife to late life. We examined the associations of age acceleration and change in age acceleration with mortality through 2019 from all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, and lower respiratory disease (LRD) using Cox proportional hazards regression in participants (irrespective of health) after excluding the training set. The model was adjusted for chronological age, smoking, body mass index (BMI), and other confounders. We externally validated the midlife PAC using the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) Exam 1 data. The ARIC PACs had a slightly stronger correlation with chronological age than published PACs in healthy participants at each time point. Associations with mortality were similar for the ARIC PACs and published PACs. For late-life and midlife age acceleration for the ARIC PACs, respectively, hazard ratios (HRs) per 1 standard deviation were 1.65 and 1.38 (both p < 0.001) for all-cause mortality, 1.37 and 1.20 (both p < 0.001) for CVD mortality, 1.21 (p = 0.028) and 1.04 (p = 0.280) for cancer mortality, and 1.68 and 1.36 (both p < 0.001) for LRD mortality. For the change in age acceleration, HRs for all-cause, CVD, and LRD mortality were comparable to the HRs for late-life age acceleration. The association between the change in age acceleration and cancer mortality was not significant. The external validation of the midlife PAC in MESA showed significant associations with mortality, as observed for midlife participants in ARIC. The main limitation is that our PACs were constructed in midlife and late-life participants. It is unknown whether these PACs could be applied to young individuals. In this longitudinal study, we found that the ARIC PACs and published PACs were similarly associated with an increased risk of mortality. These findings suggested that PACs show promise as biomarkers of biological age. PACs may be serve as tools to predict mortality and evaluate the effect of anti-aging lifestyle and therapeutic interventions.

Association of environmental and behavioural factors with cardiovascular disease mortality.

Recognizing the rising concern of environmental impacts on health, the study aims to explore how specific environmental factors such as air pollution, humidity, and temperature variations contribute to the prevalence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality, emphasizing the role of air quality, climate variables, and lifestyle factors in the disease mortality specifically. Analysis of province-level data on CVD mortality in Turkey from 2010 to 2019, assessing the correlations with environmental and lifestyle factors like particulate matter, sulfur dioxide, meteorological variables, and smoking and alcohol consumption. The study employs the SAS TRAJ procedure and Ordinal Logistic Regression for statistical analysis. The multiplicity correction was done through Benjamini-Hoechberg false discovery rate (FDR) approach. As expected, both smoking and alcohol consumption were found to be significantly associated with CVD mortality (odds ratio (OR): 1.10, 95% CI: 1.08, 1.11, P-value<0.0001). While median Air Pressure and Humidity were among the most significant markers with OR of 1.10 indicating an increasing CVD mortality, their variability metrics such as coefficient of variation (CV) showed significant protective effects with OR of 0.37 and 0.89, respectively. Temperature and its variability seemed to be protective overall. Our research highlights the significant influence of environmental factors on cardiovascular health, especially air pressure and humidity, beyond the known factors such as smoking and alcohol consumption. These findings suggest the need for comprehensive public health strategies that address both environmental and lifestyle risk factors to effectively reduce the burden of cardiovascular diseases.

Daily Adequate Intake of Fruit and Vegetables and All-Cause, Cardiovascular Disease, and Cancer Mortalities in Malaysian Population: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

We investigated the relationship between daily adequate FV intake and risk of all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and cancer mortalities among Malaysian adults. Data from a total of 18,211 Malaysian adults aged 18 years and above whom participated in the National Health and Morbidity Survey 2011 were analyzed. The participants were followed up for approximately 11 years, and mortality data were ascertained through record linkages with the death registry from the Malaysian National Registration Department. Multiple Cox regression was applied to assess the association between daily adequate FV intake and risk of all-cause, CVD, and cancer mortalities, adjusting for sociodemographic, lifestyle, and health conditions. During the follow-up period, we observed a total of 1809 all-cause, 374 CVD, and 216 cancer mortalities. No significant association between daily adequate FV intake with all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 1.01, 95% confidence interval (CI: 0.79-1.31), CVD mortality (aHR: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.57-1.47), and cancer mortality (aHR: 1.27, 95% CI: 0.74-2.17) were observed, even after excluding deaths that occurred in the first two years of observation. Further investigation on the type of FV intake and its preparation method with risk of mortality will provide a holistic insight into the causal relationship between FV intake and mortality.

Abstract C045: Impact of county-level income and rurality on cardiovascular disease mortality among women with ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast

Abstract Background: While associations of county-level household income and rurality with cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality have been reported among women with invasive breast cancer, it is unknown if these associations also exist among women diagnosed with ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) of the breast. Methods: We identified 158,072 women diagnosed with DCIS between 2000-2018 from 17 Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registries (age 20-84 years, survived 12+ months, and did not receive chemotherapy). Our primary exposures were county-level median household income from the US Census Bureau’s American Community Survey ($&amp;lt;50,000; $50,000-&amp;lt;$60,000; $60,000-&amp;lt;$70,000; $70,000-&amp;lt;$75,000; $≥75,000) and rurality based on rural-urban continuum codes developed by the US Department of Agriculture (rural not adjacent to metropolitan area; rural adjacent to metropolitan area; urban &amp;lt;250,000 residents; urban 250,000 to 1 million residents; urban &amp;gt;1 million residents). Median income and rurality were based on county of residence at DCIS diagnosis. Our primary outcomes were mortality due to 1) CVD (International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10 codes I00-I13, I20-I51, I60-I78); 2) heart disease (I00-I09, I11, I13, I20-I51); and 3) cerebrovascular disease (I60-I69). We used Fine and Gray regression to estimate subdistribution hazard ratios (HRs) adjusting for age, diagnosis year, surgery type, and radiotherapy. We further examined results among non-Hispanic Black and non-Hispanic White women, but we were unable to examine results among other racial and ethnic groups due to small sample size. Results: Over 7.4 median years of follow-up, 4,504 women diagnosed with DCIS died from CVD (3,190 heart disease; 964 cerebrovascular disease). Women living in the poorest counties at DCIS diagnosis had a higher risk of CVD mortality compared to those living in the wealthiest counties (HR$&amp;lt;50,000=1.35, 95%CI=1.23-1.49), and risk decreased with increasing county-level income (p-trend&amp;lt;.001). Risk of CVD mortality was higher for women living in rural and small metropolitan counties than women living in the most urban counties (HRrural not metropolitan adjacent=1.20, 95%CI=1.04-1.38; HRrural metropolitan adjacent=1.17, 95%CI=1.04-1.31; HRmetropolitan &amp;lt;250,000 residents=1.25; 95%CI=1.12-1.38). Results for heart disease and cerebrovascular disease mortality were overall similar but attenuated for rurality and cerebrovascular disease. Disparities for county-level income and rurality persisted among non-Hispanic Black and non-Hispanic White women (HRs range: 1.15-1.30). Conclusions: Women living in poor and rural to small urban counties at DCIS diagnosis had a significantly higher risk of CVD mortality than those residing in urban or wealthier counties. Additional research is needed to understand the barriers driving these disparities and to identify the most effective methods to mitigate CVD sequela among women with DCIS. Our findings, however, are consistent with the idea that poverty may be an underlying driver of CVD mortality in women with DCIS. Citation Format: Ziad Zakaria, Geetanjali D. Datta, Lene HS Veiga, Amy Berrington de González, Jacqueline B. Vo, Cody Ramin. Impact of county-level income and rurality on cardiovascular disease mortality among women with ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 17th AACR Conference on the Science of Cancer Health Disparities in Racial/Ethnic Minorities and the Medically Underserved; 2024 Sep 21-24; Los Angeles, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2024;33(9 Suppl):Abstract nr C045.

Association of urinary albumin excretion with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among patients with rheumatoid arthritis: a national prospective study.

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients suffering from chronic renal insufficiency tend to exhibit subtle manifestations at the beginning. Urine albumin to creatinine ratio (ACR) is a sensitive indicator for early assessment of renal function. However, it is unclear whether it serves as an independent risk factor influencing the prognosis of RA patients. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data from 2009-2018 were included. Kaplan-Meier (K-M) curves were plotted to compare the cumulative survival probability of RA patients with different urinary albumin excretion. The association of ACR with mortality among RA patients was investigated with Cox regression model, restricted cubic spline (RCS) and stratified analyses. The prognostic efficacy of ACR and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The Cox regression model adjusted with covariates showed a 53% (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.06-2.21) increase in all-cause mortality and a statistically non-significant increase in cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in RA patients with microalbuminuria (30mg/g ≤ACR<300mg/g). ACR≥300mg/g was associated with an increase in all-cause mortality (HR 2.62, 95% CI 1.55-4.45) and CVD mortality (HR 5.67, 95% CI 1.96-16.39). RCS demonstrated a nonlinear correlation between ACR and all-cause mortality in RA patients with microalbuminuria. Subgroup analysis showed that CVD mortality was higher in RA patients with microalbuminuria characterized by the following features: female, other ethnicity, eGFR≥60 ml/min/1.73 m2, hypertension or hyperlipidemia. Compared with eGFR, ACR provided better prognostic efficacy than eGFR with higher values of the area under the curve (AUC) for all-cause mortality (AUC=0.683, 95% CI 0.613-0.754) and CVD mortality (AUC=0.681, 95% CI 0.541-0.820). ACR is an independent risk factor affecting the prognosis of RA patients. The all-cause mortality was increased in RA patients with albuminuria. There was an upward trend in the CVD mortality of those with macroalbuminuria when ACR increased.

Age-specific all-cause mortality trends in the UK: Pre-pandemic increases and the complex impact of COVID-19

ObjectivesThis study aims to analyse age-specific all-cause mortality trends in the UK before and after COVID-19 emergence to determine if pre-pandemic trends contributed to increased mortality levels in the post-pandemic era. Study designStatistical analysis of UK mortality data. MethodsWe utilised age-structured population and mortality data for all UK countries from 2005 to 2023. Mortality rates were calculated for each age group, and excess mortality was estimated using the Office for National Statistics (ONS) method. ResultsOur most concerning finding is an increase in all-cause mortality rates for middle-aged adults (30–54 years) starting around 2012. The COVID-19 pandemic may have further impacted these rates, but the pre-existing upward trend suggests that current elevated mortality rates might have been reached regardless of the pandemic. This finding is more alarming than the slowdown in the decline of cardiovascular disease death rates for individuals under 75 noted by the British Heart Foundation. ConclusionOur results highlight the importance of considering both immediate pandemic impacts and long-term mortality trends in public health strategies. This underscores the need for targeted interventions and improved healthcare planning to address both ongoing and future challenges.

The incidence, mortality and disease burden of cardiovascular diseases in China: a comparative study with the United States and Japan based on the GBD 2019 time trend analysis.

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are not only the primary cause of mortality in China but also represent a significant financial burden. The World Health Organization highlight that as China undergoes rapid socioeconomic development, its disease spectrum is gradually shifting towards that of developed countries, with increasing prevalence of lifestyle-related diseases such as ischemic heart disease and stroke. We reviewed the rates and trends of CVDs incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) burden in China and compared them with those in the United States (US) and Japan for formulating CVDs control policies. Data on CVDs incidence, death and DALYs in China, the US and Japan were obtained from the GBD 2019 database. The Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the trends in CVDs incidence and mortality in China, the US and Japan, calculate the annual percentage change and determine the best-fitting inflection points. In 2019, there were approximately 12,341,074 new diagnosed cases of CVDs in China, with 4,584,273 CVDs related deaths, causing 91,933,122 DALYs. The CVDs age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) in China (538.10/100,000) was lower than that in the US and globally, while age-standardized death rate (ASDR) (276.9/100,000) and age-standardized DALY rate (6,463.47/100,000) were higher than those in the two regions. Compared with the US and Japan, from 1990 to 2019, the CVDs incidence rate in China showed an increasing trend, with a lower annual decrease in ASDR and a younger age structure of disease burden. Furthermore, the disease spectrum in China changed minimally, with stroke, ischemic heart disease, and hypertensive heart disease being the top three leading CVDs diseases in terms of incidence and disease burden, also being the major causes of CVDs in the US and Japan. The prevention and control of CVDs is a global issue. The aging population and increasing unhealthy lifestyles will continue to increase the burden in China. Therefore, relevant departments in China should reference the established practices for CVDs control in developed countries while considering the diversity of CVDs in different regions when adjusting national CVDs control programs.

Association between estimated glucose disposal rate and cardiovascular mortality across the spectrum of glucose tolerance in the US population.

To determine if estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR) can predict cardiovascular disease mortality risk at different levels of glycaemic tolerance. The eGDR levels of 11 656 individuals aged 45-79 years from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey cycles 1999 to 2010 were analysed. Associations between eGDR levels and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were examined using Cox proportional hazards and Fine and Gray models, respectively. After a median follow-up of 12.8 years, a total of 2852 participants died, with 777 of those deaths attributed to cardiovascular causes. When comparing participants with eGDR values of ≤4 mg/kg/min to those with eGDR values falling within the ranges of 4-6, 6-8 and >8 mg/kg/min, it was found that the latter groups exhibited lower hazard ratios for both all-cause mortality (0.61 [0.52-0.72], 0.61 [0.52-0.72] and 0.46 [0.39-0.55]) and cardiovascular mortality (0.44 [0.33-0.57], 0.45 [0.34-0.59] and 0.30 [0.23-0.40]). A U-shaped relationship between eGDR and all-cause mortality was observed, with an inflection point at an eGDR of 9.54 mg/kg/min. In the general population, the association between reduced eGDR and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality was independently significant, contributing to the identification of individuals at high risk for different levels of glucose tolerances.

Effect of dietary live microbe intake on the prevalence and mortality risks of depression and suicidal ideation in adults: Evidence from a nationwide population-based study

BackgroundGut microbial dysbiosis has been implicated in the pathogenesis of depression. Dietary interventions offer promising microbial-targeted therapeutics for depression. However, limited evidence exists regarding the associations between dietary live microbe intake and the prevalence of depression, as well as its impact on mortality risks. MethodsThis study included 28,133 participants from the U.S. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2005–2018), and ascertained their underlying causes of death. Weighted logistic regression was utilized to assess the relationships between live microbe intake and risks of depression and suicidal ideation. Independent and joint associations between live microbe and mortality outcomes were evaluated using multivariable Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier survival curves to calculate relative risks. ResultsIn the fully adjusted model, participants with high dietary live microbe intake had a significantly lower prevalence of depression (OR = 0.727, 95%CI: 0.627,0.844) and suicidal ideation (OR = 0.778, 95%CI: 0.648,0.935) than those with low intake. The multivariable-adjusted HRs for individuals in the G1 were 1.217 (95%CI, 1.081, 1.370) for all-cause mortality and 1.307 (95%CI, 1.029,1.661) for cardiovascular disease mortality, compared to participants in the G3. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed that cumulative hazard of cardiovascular mortality was progressively lower among participants with depression in the G3 than those without depression. ConclusionsHigher live microbe intake was associated with a lower prevalence of depression and suicidal ideation, and was linked to significantly decreased risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Further larger prospective studies are essential to verify the health effects of live microbes, and personalized dietary recommendations are necessary.

Cardiovascular disease management and healthcare delivery for people experiencing homelessness: a scoping review

BackgroundPeople experiencing homelessness have increased prevalence, morbidity, and mortality of cardiovascular disease (CVD), attributable to several traditional and non-traditional risk factors. While this burden is well-known, mainstream CVD management plans and healthcare delivery have not been developed with people experiencing homelessness in mind nor tailored to their unique context. The overall objective of this work was to explore and synthesize what is known about CVD management experiences, programs, interventions, and/or recommendations specifically for people experiencing homelessness.MethodsWe conducted a scoping review to combine qualitative and quantitative studies in a single review using the Arksey and O’Malley framework and lived experience participation. We performed a comprehensive search of OVID Medline, Embase, PsychINFO, CINAHL, Web of Science, Social Sciences Index, Cochrane, and the grey literature with key search terms for homelessness, cardiovascular disease, and programs. All dates, geographic locations, and study designs were included. Articles were analyzed using conventional content analysis.ResultsWe included 37 articles in this review. Most of the work was done in the USA. We synthesized articles’ findings into 1) barriers/challenges faced by people experiencing homelessness and their providers with CVD management and care delivery (competing priorities, lifestyle challenges, medication adherence, access to care, and discrimination), 2) seven international programs/interventions that have been developed for people experiencing homelessness and CVD management with learnings, and 3) practical recommendations and possible solutions at the patient encounter level (relationships, appointment priorities, lifestyle, medication), clinic organization level (scheduling, location, equipment, and multi-disciplinary partnership), and systems level (root cause of homelessness, and cultural safety).ConclusionsThere is no ‘one-size-fits all’ approach to CVD management for people experiencing homelessness, and it is met with complexity, diversity, and intersectionality based on various contexts. It is clear, however, we need to move to more practically-implemented, community-driven solutions with lived experience and community partnership at the core. Future work includes tackling the root cause of homelessness with affordable housing, exploring ways to bring cardiac specialist care to the community, and investigating the role of digital technology as an avenue for CVD management in the homeless community. We hope this review is valuable in providing knowledge gaps and future direction for health care providers, health services research teams, and community organizations.

Saturated fatty acids and total and CVD mortality in Norway: a prospective cohort study with up to 45 years of follow-up.

The contribution of dietary saturated fatty acids (SFA) to cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality remains debated after decades of research. Few previous studies had repeated dietary assessments and power to assess mortality. Evidence for individual SFA is limited. In this large population-based cohort study, we investigated associations between intake of total and individual SFA and risk of total and CVD mortality. Adult residents (mean 41·1 years at baseline) in three Norwegian counties were invited to repeated health screenings between 1974 and 1988 (> 80 % attendance). We calculated cumulative average intakes of macronutrients from semi-quantitative FFQ. Median (interquartile range) intake of SFA was 14·6 % (12·8-16·6 %) of total energy (E%). Hazard ratios (HR) and 95 % CI were estimated using multivariable Cox regression models to assess total, CVD, ischaemic heart disease (IHD) and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) mortality. Among 78725 participants, 28555 deaths occurred during a median follow-up of 33·5 years, with 9318 deaths due to CVD. Higher intake of SFA (replacing carbohydrates) was positively associated with all mortality endpoints, including total (HR per 5 E% increment, 1·18; 95 % CI 1·13, 1·23) and CVD mortality (1·16; 95 % CI 1·07, 1·25). Theoretical isoenergetic substitution of SFA with carbohydrates or MUFA was associated with lower risk. Of individual SFA, myristic (14:0) and palmitic acid (16:0) were positively associated with mortality. In summary, dietary SFA intake was strongly associated with higher total and CVD mortality in this long-term cohort study. This supports policies implemented to reduce SFA consumption in favour of carbohydrates and unsaturated fats.

Serum Erythritol and Risk of Overall and Cause-Specific Mortality in a Cohort of Men.

Erythritol occurs naturally in some fruits and fermented foods, and has also been used as an artificial sweetener since the 1990s. Although there have been questions and some studies regarding its potential adverse health effects, the association between serum erythritol and long-term mortality has not been evaluated. To examine the association between serum erythritol's biochemical status and risk of overall and cause-specific mortality, a prospective cohort analysis was conducted using participants in the ATBC Study (1985-1993) previously selected for metabolomic sub-studies. The analysis included 4468 participants, among whom 3377 deaths occurred during an average of 19.1 years of follow-up. Serum erythritol was assayed using an untargeted, global, high-resolution, accurate-mass platform of ultra-high-performance liquid and gas chromatography. Cause-specific deaths were identified through Statistics Finland and defined by the International Classification of Diseases. After adjustment for potential confounders, serum erythritol was associated with increased risk of overall mortality (HR = 1.50 [95% CI = 1.17-1.92]). We found a positive association between serum erythritol and cardiovascular disease mortality risk (HR = 1.86 [95% CI = 1.18-2.94]), which was stronger for heart disease mortality than for stroke mortality risk (HR = 3.03 [95% CI = 1.00-9.17] and HR = 2.06 [95% CI = 0.72-5.90], respectively). Cancer mortality risk was also positively associated with erythritol (HR = 1.54 [95% CI = 1.09-2.19]). The serum erythritol-overall mortality risk association was stronger in men ≥ 55 years of age and those with diastolic blood pressure ≥ 88 mm Hg (p for interactions 0.045 and 0.01, respectively). Our study suggests that elevated serum erythritol is associated with increased risk of overall, cardiovascular disease, and cancer mortality. Additional studies clarifying the role of endogenous production and dietary/beverage intake of erythritol in human health and mortality are warranted.

Enhanced Association of Novel Cardiovascular Biomarkers Fetuin-A and Catestatin with Serological and Inflammatory Markers in Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients.

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a chronic autoimmune disease associated with increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and mortality. This work aimed to evaluate the serum levels of the novel CV biomarkers fetuin-A (fet-A), Dickkopf-1 (DKK-1), galectin-3 (Gal-3), interleukin-32 (IL-32), and catestatin (CST) in RA patients and their associations with RA parameters and CVD markers. A cohort of 199 RA patients was assessed for traditional CVD risk factors, RA disease activity, and biomarker levels. Carotid ultrasound was used to measure carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) and carotid plaque presence (cPP). Multivariate analyses examined correlations between biomarkers and RA parameters, serological markers, and CVD markers. Adjusted models showed that elevated CST expression levels were associated with rheumatoid factor (RF) and anti-citrullinated protein antibody (ACPA) positivity (OR = 2.45, p = 0.0001 and OR = 1.48, p = 0.04, respectively) in the overall cohort and for RF in men and women, respectively. In addition, fet-A concentration was inversely associated with the erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) in the overall cohort (β = -0.15, p = 0.038) and in women (β = -0.25, p = 0.004). Fet-A levels were also negatively correlated with disease activity (DAS28-ESR) scores (β = -0.29, p = 0.01) and fibrinogen concentration (β = -0.22, p = 0.01) in women. No adjusted associations were observed for Gal-3, DKK-1 or IL32 concentration. The study revealed no significant associations between the biomarkers and cIMT or cPP. The measurement of CST and fet-A levels could enhance RA patient management and prognosis. However, the utility of biomarkers for evaluating CV risk via traditional surrogate markers is limited, highlighting the need for continued investigations into their roles in RA.

Global burden of cardiovascular diseases: projections from 2025 to 2050.

The prediction of future trends in cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality and their risk factors can assist policy-makers in healthcare planning. This study aims to project geospatial trends in CVDs and their underlying risk factors from 2025 to 2050. Using historical data on mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study, encompassing the period of 1990 to 2019, Poisson regression was performed to model mortality and DALYs associated with CVD and its associated risk factors from 2025 to 2050. Subgroup analysis was based on GBD super-regions. Between 2025 and 2050, a 90.0% increase in cardiovascular prevalence, 73.4% increase in crude mortality, and 54.7% increase in crude DALYs are projected, with an expected 35.6 million cardiovascular deaths in 2050 (from 20.5 million in 2025). However, age-standardized cardiovascular prevalence will be relatively constant (-3.6%), with decreasing age-standardized mortality (-30.5%) and age-standardized DALYs (-29.6%). In 2050, ischaemic heart disease will remain the leading cause of cardiovascular deaths (20 million deaths) while high systolic blood pressure will be the main cardiovascular risk factor driving mortality (18.9 million deaths). Central Europe, Eastern Europe, and Central Asia super-region is set to incur the highest age-standardized cardiovascular mortality rate in 2050 (305 deaths per 100 000 population). In the coming decades, the relatively constant age-standardized prevalence of global CVD suggests that the net effect of summative preventative efforts will likely continue to be unchanged. The fall in age-standardized cardiovascular mortality reflects the improvement in medical care following diagnosis. However, future healthcare systems can expect a rapid rise in crude cardiovascular mortality, driven by the ageing global populace. The continued rise in CVD burden will largely be attributed to atherosclerotic diseases. Not applicable.

Non-adherence to appointment follow-up and its associated factors among hypertensive patients in follow-up clinics in South Gondar hospitals

Hypertension is a persistent systemic Blood Pressure reading of 140/90 mm Hg or greater which is a preventable cause of cardiovascular disease morbidity and mortality. To assess non-adherence to appointment follow-up and its associated factors among Hypertensive patients in the follow-up clinics in South Gondar Hospitals 2023. Institutional-based cross-sectional study design was employed in hospitals in South Gondar from January to February to assess missed appointment follow-up and its associated factors among Hypertensive patients in follow-up clinics. There is one comprehensive specialized hospital and 9 primary hospitals in this zone. Using simple random methods four hospitals were selected by lottery method. The sample was calculated by using the single population proportion formula. The collected data was entered into Epi data version 3.1 and exported to Statistical Package for Social Sciences version 26 for analysis. Bivariate and multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the association factors. A total of 401 hypertensive patients on hypertensive follow-up were involved with a response rate of 95.02%. Age ranged from 25 to 86 years with a median age of 58.47 years. Of the total of participants, 211 (52.6.) were rural residents. Among the total hypertensive patients in the hypertensive follow-up clinic, 39.2% were non-adherent for their appointment follow-up. Living far from follow-up health facility (AOR: 2.53; 95% CI 1.349–4.743), absence of perceived symptoms (AOR: 4.98; 95% CI 2.888–8.590), patient complaints Pill burdens (AOR: 3.50; 95% CI 2.108–5.825), and poor Awareness about complication of hypertension (AOR: 2.62; 95% CI 1.471–4.673) were significantly associated with missing of their appointment follow-up for the most hypertensive patients. The prevalence of non-adherence to medical follow-up in hypertension is high as compared to different national health policy recommendations. Distance from the health facility, absence of perceived symptoms, Pill burdens, and lack of knowledge about complications of hypertension were significantly associated with Missed appointment follow-up in Hypertensive patient.

Association of haemoglobin glycation index with all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality in diabetic kidney disease: a cohort study

BackgroundWhile the high haemoglobin glycation index (HGI) has been extensively investigated in diabetic populations, its impact on patients with diabetic kidney disease (DKD) remains unclear.MethodsWe examined data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES) conducted between 1999 and 2018. HGI was determined using the formula recommended by Hempe et al., which calculates the difference between measured and predicted HbA1c. Predicted HbA1c was derived from the equation: 0.024 FPG + 3.1. National death index records up to December 31, 2019, were utilized to assess mortality outcomes. To estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for both all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality, we utilized Cox proportional hazard models. A restricted cubic spline analysis was performed to explore the potential nonlinear relationship between HGI levels and mortality.ResultsOur cohort study comprised data from 1,057 participants with DKD (mean [SE] age, 61.61 [0.57] years; 48.24% female). The mean HGI level was 0.44 (SE 0.04). Over a median follow-up period of 6.67 years, we observed 381 deaths, including 140 due to CVD. Compared with participants in the second tertile of HGI levels (0.03–0.74), those in the lowest tertile of HGI (-5.29–0.02) exhibited an all-cause mortality hazard ratio of 1.39 (95% CI, 1.02–1.88) and a CVD mortality hazard ratio of 1.10 (95% CI, 0.67–1.81). Conversely, participants in the highest tertile (0.75–9.60) demonstrated an all-cause mortality hazard ratio of 1.48 (95% CI, 1.05–2.08) and a CVD mortality hazard ratio of 2.06 (95% CI, 1.13–3.77) after further adjusting for HbA1c and other important variables. Additionally, a restricted cubic spline analysis revealed a U-shaped relationship between HGI and all-cause mortality (P < 0.001 for nonlinearity) and a J-shaped relationship between HGI and CVD mortality (P = 0.044 for nonlinearity).ConclusionsOur cohort study suggests that HGI in DKD populations exhibits a U-shaped association with all-cause mortality and a J-shaped association with CVD mortality, independent of HbA1c levels.

Survival and cardiovascular disease mortality among primary liver cancer patients: A population-based study

BackgroundThe prognosis of primary liver cancer (PLC) was influenced by death due to non-cancer causes, particularly death related to cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study aimed to analyze mortality of non-cancer causes and identify the independent risk factors associated with CVD-related deaths in PLC patients. MethodsIn total, 112140 patients were enrolled from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2000–2019). Independent risk factors for death from CVD in patients with PLC were identified by Cox proportional hazards model. ResultsThe median follow-up time of all PLC patients was 76 months (interquartile range (IQR): 36–129). The median overall survival (OS) was 12 months (IQR: 3–40). Patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) had shorter OS than patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (8 vs. 14 months; P < 0.001). A total of 87299 deaths were observed, among which 61477 (70.42 % of all deaths) were from PLC, and 12727 (14.58 % of all deaths) were from other cancers. Of all non-cancer deaths (9276, 10.63 %), 2860(30.86 %) were results of CVD. PLC patients had higher risks on CVD-related deaths, compared with general population (standard mortality ratio, SMR, 2.20; 95 % confidence interval, CI, 2.12–2.28). Typically, the highest SMRs appeared in the first year following cancer diagnosis. The multivariable analysis revealed the characteristics listed as followed to be independently risk factors of CVD: age, male (hazard ratio, HR: 1.248, 95%CI: 1.147–1.359), black race (HR: 1.334, 95%CI: 1.195–1.490), year 2016–2019 of diagnosis (HR 0.758, 95%CI: 0.671–0.856), ICC (HR: 1.202, 95%CI: 1.086–1.330), without surgery (HR: 2.479, 95%CI: 2.266–2.711) and without chemotherapy (HR: 2.211, 95%CI: 2.033–2.403). ConclusionIt is essential to take cardiovascular health into consideration at the time of diagnosis for PLC patients as the risk of CVD mortality is significantly higher than that of general population.

Associations of Diabetes and Prediabetes With Mortality and Life Expectancy in China: A National Study.

To investigate the excess mortality and life-years lost associated with diabetes and prediabetes in China. This national cohort study enrolled 135,405 participants aged 18 years or older from the general population in China. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate adjusted mortality rate ratio (RR). The life table method was used to estimate life expectancy. Among the 135,405 participants, 10.5% had diabetes and 36.2% had prediabetes in 2013. During a median follow-up of 6 years, 5517 deaths were recorded, including 1428 and 2300 deaths among people with diabetes and prediabetes, respectively. Diabetes and prediabetes were significantly associated with increased risk of all-cause (diabetes: RR, 1.61 [95% CI 1.49, 1.73]; prediabetes: RR, 1.08 [95% CI 1.01, 1.15]), and cardiovascular disease (diabetes: RR, 1.59 [95% CI 1.41, 1.78]; prediabetes: RR, 1.10 [95% CI 1.00, 1.21]) mortality. Additionally, diabetes was significantly associated with increased risks of death resulting from cancer, respiratory disease, liver disease, and diabetic ketoacidosis or coma. Compared with participants with normoglycemia, life expectancy of those with diabetes and prediabetes was shorter, on average, by 4.2 and 0.7 years at age 40 years, respectively. The magnitude of the associations of diabetes and prediabetes with all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality varied by age and residence. In this national study, diabetes and prediabetes were significantly associated with reduced life expectancy and increased all-cause and cause-specific mortality risks. The disparities in excess mortality associated with diabetes and prediabetes between different ages and residences have implications for diabetes and prediabetes prevention and treatment programs.

Night Shift Work Associates with All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality: A Large Prospective Cohort Study.

Health problems associated with shift work and night shift work are gaining increasing public attention. To investigate the association between night shift work and the hazard of mortality. Prospective cohort study. A total of 283,579 individuals with paid employment or self-employment aged 37-73years were included from the UK Biobank with a median follow-up period of 14.0years. Participants were divided into day workers and shift workers, including the frequency of night shifts, to evaluate the association between baseline work schedules and all-cause and cause-specific mortality using the Cox proportional hazards model. Additionally, 75,760 participants with work histories were assessed for the association between average frequency and cumulative years of exposure to night shift work and all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Compared with that of day workers, the adjusted hazard of all-cause mortality was increased by 12.0% (hazard ratio [HR], 1.12; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.07-1.18) in shift workers, particularly in those with no or rare night shifts (approximately 16.1%; HR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.08-1.25) and those with irregular night shifts (approximately 9.2%; HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.00-1.19). Moreover, a non-linear relationship was identified between cumulative night shift years and all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Only individuals who worked night shifts for 20-30years exhibited a substantially increased hazard of all-cause (HR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.15-2.00) and cardiovascular disease (CVD; HR, 2.08; 95% CI, 1.16-3.71) mortality. Shift workers, particularly those with rare or irregular night shifts, exhibited an increased hazard of mortality. Additionally, participants who worked night shifts for 20-30years exhibited a substantially increased hazard of all-cause and CVD mortality.

Association of healthy lifestyles with risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality among individuals with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: results from the DFTJ cohort

Aim To examine the associations of healthy lifestyles with risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality among adults with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), and whether the association was mediated by systemic immune-inflammatory biomarkers (SIIBs). Methods The study included 10,347 subjects with MASLD, who were enrolled in the Dongfeng-Tongji cohort study. The healthy lifestyles referred to non-smoking, being physically active (≥7.5 metabolic equivalents-hours/week), low-risk alcohol consumption (1–14 g/day for women and 1–28 g/day for men), and optimal sleep duration (≥6 to ≤8 h/day). Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the relationship between each lifestyle and SIIBs with the risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality. A mediation analysis was conducted to investigate the role of SIIBs on the association between healthy lifestyles and mortality. Results There were 418 MASLD subjects dead till the follow-up of 2018, including 259 deaths from cardiovascular disease (CVD). Compared to MASLD participants with 0–1 healthy lifestyle score (HLS), those with 3-4 HLS had the lowest risk of all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR), 0.46; 95% CI, (0.36–0.60)], and CVD mortality [HR (95%CI), 0.41 (0.29–0.58)]. Mediation analyses indicated that SIIBs mediated the association between healthy lifestyles and mortality, with proportions ranging from 2.5% to 6.1%. Conclusions These findings suggest that adherence to healthy lifestyles can significantly reduce mortality for MASLD patients, and the decreased SIIBs may partially explain the protection mechanism of healthy lifestyles.