Incidence rates (IRs) of RV dysfunction (RVD) are unknown. We examined the rates, risk factors, and heart failure (HF) hospitalization hazard associated with incident RVD in patients referred for Transthoracic Echocardiogram (TTE). In this retrospective cohort study, we extracted tricuspid regurgitant velocity (TRV) and tricuspid annular systolic plane excursion (TAPSE) from TTEs at Vanderbilt (2010-2023). We followed patients from their earliest TTE with normal RV function (TAPSE≥17mm) and a reported TRV. The primary outcome was new RVD (TAPSE<17mm), and the secondary outcome was HF hospitalization after second TTE. Poisson regression and multivariable cox models estimated IRs and hazard ratios, adjusted for demographics, comorbidities, and TTE measures. Among 45,753 patients (63 years [IQR 50-72], 45% Male, 13% Black) meeting inclusion criteria, 13,735 (30.1%) underwent a follow up TTE and 4,198 (9.2%) developed RVD. The IR of RVD in the full cohort was 3.2/100 person/years (95%CI 3.1-3.3) and 8.2 (95%CI 8.0-8.5) in the repeat TTE cohort. IRs increased with rising RVSP. Risk factors for incident RVD were most prominently HF (HR 1.88; 95%CI 1.75-2.03), left-sided valvular disease (HR 1.68; 95%CI 1.53-1.85), and other cardiovascular comorbidities. Baseline RVSP >35 mmHg associated with TAPSE decline over time. Incident RVD increased hazard of HF hospitalization (HR 2.02; 95%CI 1.85-2.21). Hazard of HF hospitalization increased when TAPSE declined by ≥5mm. RVD incidence is substantial among patients referred for TTE. Clinical monitoring is warranted if RVSP >35mmHg. Cardiovascular comorbidities drive RVD in this population. Incident RVD associates with increased hazard of HF hospitalization.
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