West Coast Of Canada Research Articles

A maritime location reduced palynofloral turnover and extirpation across the end Cretaceous boundary interval on the west coast of Canada

A well-preserved suite of ∼163 spore-pollen taxa from a recently discovered K/Pg interval within the maritime Oyster Bay Formation, Vancouver Island, British Columbia, Canada, reveals a pattern of floral turnover across the boundary event with local extirpations of ∼15 % of Cretaceous taxa. Along the margin of the eastern North Pacific, a shift occurred in near-coastal vegetation composition from uppermost Cretaceous diverse fern and bryophyte-dominated communities to Danian conifer-dominated forests with a fern understory. The ‘fern spore spike’ common in other K/Pg records was not detected within the sandstone to mudstone sequence. Spore-pollen assemblages preserved herein align with those of the Continental Margin floristic province. Palm pollen is noteworthy in the studied sections including Arecipites spp. (aff. Arecaceae), Spinizonocolpites spp. (aff. Nypa) and Pandaniidites typicus (aff. Pandanus) suggesting a warm, frost-free, sub-tropical climate prevailed across the K/Pg interval. The presence of numerous endemic spore-pollen taxa is indicative of geographic isolation from the North American Western Interior. Maritime climate buffering along the west coast of North America contributed to microrefugia permitting greater stability in terrestrial plant communities than in continental regions.

Ancestral and contemporary intertidal mariculture practices support marine biodiversity in the northeast Pacific

The cultivation of seafood now outpaces extraction from wild populations. This novel state in the history of human-marine ecosystem interactions highlights the importance of identifying cultivation practices that balance production and conservation. Here, we test the hypothesis that two shellfish cultivation practices, one that spans decades and the other millennia, bolsters habitat complexity, which increases epifaunal (surface) invertebrate diversity. To do so, we conducted multiple surveys of 24 First Nations clam gardens, shellfish aquaculture farms, and non-walled or unmodified beaches along the west coast of Canada. We show that habitat alterations specific to each cultivation practice restructure epifaunal communities at several ecological and spatial scales. Distinct communities within clam gardens and shellfish farms are a function of habitat complexity at 25–50 and 50–100 cm resolutions and changes in the amount of gravel, bivalve shells, and seaweeds. Our findings highlight how resource cultivation can contribute to achieving sustainable human-ecosystem interactions.

Oxygen dynamics in a deep‐silled fjord: Tight coupling to the open shelf

AbstractOxygen is declining globally in subsurface seawater. Fjords are particularly susceptible to hypoxia, because entrance sills restrict water circulation. We studied the oxygen dynamics of the Kitimat Fjord System on the west coast of Canada, using 3 yr of data from moored sensors and water column profiles. Subsurface oxygen within the fjord system is principally controlled by the connection to Hecate Strait on the outer shelf. Variations in oxygen concentration in Hecate Strait are reflected in the water that is drawn into the fjord system year‐round at mid‐depth (50–150 m). Deep water is renewed annually, beginning in May/June. Remineralization results in a seasonal decline in oxygen at depth. In the absence of deep‐water renewal, the bottom water in the system could become hypoxic in 1–2 yr. Mixing over a shallow inner sill (100 m) replenishes the oxygen in the deep water of Gardner Canal year‐round. The decadal trends in oxygen concentration show an increase from the 1950s to a maximum in the late 1970s, followed by a decline through 2016. The decline over the period 1977–2016 is 0.018 mL L−1 yr−1 (~ 0.83 μmol L−1 yr−1), which is consistent with the decline observed over the upper continental shelf over the same period.

Fostering the Sense of Belonging

The study delves into the influence of an on-campus, student-led Cultural Association on the experiences of minority students within a predominantly White institution (PWI). This research employed qualitative methods. It primarily utilized in-depth, semi-structured interviews to gather data from five international students attending a comprehensive public research university on the West Coast of Canada. The findings revealed that the Cultural Association significantly contributed to the social and academic integration of the participants within their new institutional and social milieu. By cultivating a sense of belonging, the Association aided the participants in overcoming initial hurdles, such as isolation and acknowledging their status as minorities in the PWI setting. The Association and its members played a crucial role in providing spaces for cultural affirmation, championing diversity, facilitating social inclusion, and nurturing a sense of belonging.

Seasonality of modelled planktonic food web structure in the Strait of Georgia, Canada

When attempting to model an ecosystem, compromises must be made to retain the essence of the system and its functioning. Here, we explore the implications of these aggregations on a modelled ecosystem by using Ecopath to model the plankton food web in the Strait of Georgia (SoG), a temperate coastal system on the west coast of Canada, in three seasons. The food web is defined by fifteen functional groups representing autotrophic phytoplankton, the microbial loop, and mesozooplankton in three seasons, differentiated by node biomass, productivity, and diet. Variations in the community composition lead to shifts in trophic behaviour and food-web structure seasonally. In spring, autotrophic phytoplankton (i.e. diatoms) are the main source of carbon for the system. In summer and winter, the microbial loop becomes more important due to limited primary production. These structural changes within the plankton food web throughout a year have implications for higher trophic levels, including the seasonal availability and quality of food for planktivorous fish. Finally, we compared this detailed seasonal approach to plankton modelling with a more common simplified approach and examined its impacts on the entire ecosystem. The microbial loop is often excluded from coastal ecosystem models but is an important component, influencing trophic positions and transfer efficiencies. However, aggregating plankton groups appears to be an adequate approach to plankton modelling in the SoG, but modelling decisions should be driven by the research question.

Next-generation matrices for marine metapopulations: The case of sea lice on salmon farms.

Classifying habitat patches as sources or sinks and determining metapopulation persistence requires coupling connectivity between habitat patches with local demographic rates. While methods to calculate sources, sinks, and metapopulation persistence exist for discrete-time models, there is no method that is consistent across modeling frameworks. In this paper, we show how next-generation matrices, originally popularized in epidemiology to calculate new infections after one generation, can be used in an ecological context to calculate sources and sinks as well as metapopulation persistence in marine metapopulations. To demonstrate the utility of the method, we construct a next-generation matrix for a network of sea lice populations on salmon farms in the Broughton Archipelago, BC, an intensive salmon farming region on the west coast of Canada where certain salmon farms are currently being removed under an agreement between local First Nations and the provincial government. The column sums of the next-generation matrix can determine if a habitat patch is a source or a sink and the spectral radius of the next-generation matrix can determine the persistence of the metapopulation. With respect to salmon farms in the Broughton Archipelago, we identify the salmon farms which are acting as the largest sources of sea lice and show that in this region the most productive sea lice populations are also the most connected. The farms which are the largest sources of sea lice have not yet been removed from the Broughton Archipelago, and warming temperatures could lead to increased sea louse growth. Calculating sources, sinks, and persistence in marine metapopulations using the next-generation matrix is biologically intuitive, mathematically equivalent to previous methods, and consistent across different modeling frameworks.

Trivariate Probabilistic Assessments of the Compound Flooding Events Using the 3-D Fully Nested Archimedean (FNA) Copula in the Semiparametric Distribution Setting

Severe flooding in coastal areas can result from the joint probability of oceanographic, hydrological, and meteorological factors, resulting in compound flooding (CF) events. Recently, copula functions have been used to enable a much more flexible environment in joint modelling. Incorporating a higher dimensional copula framework via symmetric 3-D Archimedean or elliptical copulas has statistical limits, and the preservation of all lower-level dependencies would be impossible. The heterogeneous dependency in CF events can be effectively modelled via a fully nested Archimedean (FNA) copula. Incorporating FNA under parametric settings is insufficiently flexible since it is restricted by the prior distributional assumption of the function type for both marginal density and copulas in parametric fittings. If the marginal density is of a specific parametric distribution, it could be problematic if underlying assumptions are violated. This study introduces a 3-D FNA copula simulation in a semiparametric setting by introducing nonparametric marginal distributions conjoined with parametric copula density. The derived semiparametric FNA copula is applied in the trivariate model in compounding the joint impact of rainfall, storm surge, and river discharge based on 46 years of observations on the west coast of Canada. The performance of the derived model has also been compared with the FNA copula constructed with parametric marginal density. It is concluded that the performance of FNA with nonparametric marginals outperforms the FNA copula built under parametric settings. The derived model is employed in multivariate analysis of flood risks in trivariate primary joint and conditional joint return periods. The trivariate hydrologic risk is analyzed using failure probability (FP) statistics. The investigation reveals that trivariate events produce a higher FP than bivariate (or univariate) events; thus, neglecting trivariate joint analysis results in FP being underestimated. Moreover, it indicates that trivariate hydrologic risk values increase with an increase in the service time of hydraulic facilities.

Compounding joint impact of rainfall, storm surge and river discharge on coastal flood risk: an approach based on 3D fully nested Archimedean copulas

Compound flooding is a multidimensional consequence of the joint impact of multiple intercorrelated drivers, such as oceanographic, hydrologic, and meteorological. These individual drivers exhibit interdependence due to common forcing mechanisms. If they occur simultaneously or successively, the probability of their joint occurrence will be higher than expected if considered separately. The copula-based multivariate joint analysis can effectively measure hydrologic risk associated with compound events. Because of the involvement of multiple drivers, it is necessary to switch from bivariate (2D) to trivariate (3D) analyses. This study presents an original trivariate probabilistic framework by incorporating multivariate hierarchal models called asymmetric or fully nested Archimedean (or FNA) copula in the joint analysis of compound flood risk. The efficacy of the derived FNA copulas model, together with symmetric Archimedean and Elliptical class copulas, are tested by compounding the joint impact of rainfall, storm surge, and river discharge observations through a case study at the west coast of Canada. The obtained copula-based joint analysis is employed in multivariate analysis of flood risks in trivariate and bivariate primary joint and conditional joint return periods. The estimated joint return periods are further employed in estimating failure probability statistics for assessing the trivariate (and bivariate) hydrologic risk associated with compound events. The statistical tests found the fully nested Frank copula outperforms symmetric 3D copulas. Our work confirms that for practical compound flood risk analysis together with bivariate or univariate return periods, it is essential to account for the trivariate joint return periods to assess the expected compound flood risk and strength of influence of different variables if they occur simultaneously or successively. The bivariate (also univariate) events produce a lower failure probability than trivariate analysis for the OR-joint cases. Thus, ignoring the compounding impacts via trivariate joint analysis can significantly underestimate failure probability and joint return period.

Assessment of Tsunami Hazard Along British Columbia Coastlines from Coseismic Sources

Recent major tsunamis have demonstrated their potential for widespread destruction and associated danger to human populations. Tsunamis generated from local and distant sources in the Pacific Ocean have impacted the western coast of Canada over time, and destructive tsunamis are expected to affect west coast communities in the future. Ocean Networks Canada (ONC) has undertaken several collaborative tsunami hazard assessment projects along the west coast of Canada (Figure 1) with the goals of (1) identifying and assessing tsunami hazards and risks using tsunami modeling, mapping, community engagement, and Indigenous knowledge; and (2) raising public awareness by producing a documentary film, offering educational programs to K–12 students, and developing tsunami signage and online story maps. This article focuses on tsunami hazard identification through modeling and drawing upon Indigenous knowledge.

Trivariate Joint Distribution Modelling of Compound Events Using the Nonparametric D-Vine Copula Developed Based on a Bernstein and Beta Kernel Copula Density Framework

Low-lying coastal communities are often threatened by compound flooding (CF), which can be determined through the joint occurrence of storm surges, rainfall and river discharge, either successively or in close succession. The trivariate distribution can demonstrate the risk of the compound phenomenon more realistically, rather than considering each contributing factor independently or in pairwise dependency relations. Recently, the vine copula has been recognized as a highly flexible approach to constructing a higher-dimensional joint density framework. In these, the parametric class copula with parametric univariate marginals is often involved. Its incorporation can lead to a lack of flexibility due to parametric functions that have prior distribution assumptions about their univariate marginal and/or copula joint density. This study introduces the vine copula approach in a nonparametric setting by introducing Bernstein and Beta kernel copula density in establishing trivariate flood dependence. The proposed model was applied to 46 years of flood characteristics collected on the west coast of Canada. The univariate flood marginal distribution was modelled using nonparametric kernel density estimation (KDE). The 2D Bernstein estimator and beta kernel copula estimator were tested independently in capturing pairwise dependencies to establish D-vine structure in a stage-wise nesting approach in three alternative ways, each by permutating the location of the conditioning variable. The best-fitted vine structure was selected using goodness-of-fit (GOF) test statistics. The performance of the nonparametric vine approach was also compared with those of vines constructed with a parametric and semiparametric fitting procedure. Investigation revealed that the D-vine copula constructed using a Bernstein copula with normal KDE marginals performed well nonparametrically in capturing the dependence of the compound events. Finally, the derived nonparametric model was used in the estimation of trivariate joint return periods, and further employed in estimating failure probability statistics.

Proposed seismic design parameters for the moment-resisting knee-braced frame system

This paper proposes and verifies the seismic design parameters, including overstrength-related force modification factor, ductility-related force modification factor, deflection amplification factor, and design period, for the steel Moment-resisting Knee-braced Frame (MKF) system. The building selected in this study is an office located in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, in which MKFs act as the lateral load-resisting system. 14 prototype frames spanning a wide range of geometrical configurations are designed following the requirements of the 2015 National Building Code (2015 NBC) of Canada. Nonlinear static analyses are carried out on the prototype frames to determine the preliminary ductility and overstrength factors. Six new MKFs (assessment frames) are designed using the proposed overstrength and ductility factors, and their seismic and collapse performances are examined by comprehensive numerical analyses, considering the effects of the potential sources of ground motion expected on the Canadian west coast, namely subduction intraslab, subduction interface and shallow crustal events. The results of this study suggest that the MKF system shall be designed as a moderately ductile system using overstrength and ductility factors of 1.60 and 3.0, respectively, with a height not exceeding 40 m in regions of high seismicity.

Smart oceans governance: Reconfiguring capitalist, colonial, and environmental relations

AbstractHow does the digitisation of the ocean reconfigure capitalist, colonial, and environmental relations? What analytic tools allow us to trace their intersecting dynamics? These are the central questions that we take up through an examination of smart oceans governance along the west coast of Canada, where the state is developing new institutional partnerships to manage the expansion of fossil fuel infrastructure across unceded Indigenous lands and waters. In this context, laden with environmental risks and resurgent anti‐colonial politics, state actors are implicating smart oceans governance in efforts to harmonise capitalist growth with sustainability mandates and the ‘recognition’ of Indigenous self‐determination. Our analysis draws on environmental state theory, critical indigenous studies, and human geographies of the ocean, to analyse interviews, Access to Information requests, scientific studies, and policy reports. Our findings suggest that smart oceans governance poses novel risks to Indigenous peoples and their distinctive ‘seascape epistemologies’. At the same time, we observe in this medium new limits to the state's ability to consolidate settler colonial authority and extend possessive colonial entitlements to Indigenous lands and waters. First Nations are also engaging with smart oceans governance in ways that assert ‘Indigenous data sovereignty’, help chart their own political and territorial ambitions, and carve out meaningful spaces of Indigenous marine stewardship.

Resilience of Canadian residential brick veneer wall construction to climate change

Canada employs a prescriptive-based code for residential buildings. The minimum requirements as prescribed in the 2015 National Building Code were developed based on historical climate which was assumed static. It is now evident that the climate is changing and it is anticipated that wind-driven rain events will be more frequent, of longer duration and of increased intensity. These changes may affect the durability of wall assemblies designed following the minimum requirements set in the building code. In this study, the moisture performance of residential wood-framed walls using brick veneer as cladding and meeting the minimum requirements of the National Building Code were evaluated for different climatic regions of Canada. Various types of brick veneer were evaluated using hygrothermal simulations and projected future climate loads. The mold growth index on the sheathing panel was used as performance indicator. Results showed that the future moisture performance of brick veneer walls depends on the brick properties and varies with climatic region. In particular, for brick veneer having relatively high water absorption coefficient and lower vapor permeability, there may be a heightened risk to mold growth in the future if used in locations on the east and west coasts of Canada. As consequence, the minimum requirements for brick veneer walls may need to be reviewed in these locations to ensure their long-term performance.

Navigating Privilege as We DO and BE Appreciative Inquiry

This article explores the topics of privilege from the perspective of two lesbian AI practitioners living on the west coast of Canada. Where does their privilege lie? Where do they face a lack of privilege in their lives? How has it impacted their responses – and their work as practitioners?

Radioactivity concentration measurements in fish and shellfish samples from the west coast of Canada after the Fukushima nuclear accident (2011–2018)

Radioactive contamination of the Pacific Ocean following the Fukushima nuclear accident has raised public concern about seafood safety, particularly in coastal Indigenous communities. To address this, Health Canada and partners have collected and analyzed a total of 621 samples of commonly consumed salmon, ground fish, and shellfish from the Canadian west coast from 2011 to 2018. While the vast majority of the 137Cs and 134Cs levels were below the Minimum Detectable Concentration (MDC, typically 0.7–1.0 Bq kg−1 fw for a 6 h counting), further examination of 19 fish samples revealed 137Cs concentrations of 0.17–0.53 Bq kg−1 fw with an average value and uncertainty (k = 1) of 0.29 ± 0.02 Bq kg−1 fw. Of these, only two samples were found to have trace levels of 134Cs likely derived from the Fukushima accident. The global fallout contribution from atmospheric nuclear weapons testing to the observed 137Cs in these two samples was determined to be 0.26 ± 0.08 Bq kg−1 fw (49 ± 14%) and 0.12 ± 0.02 Bq kg−1 fw (24 ± 4%) for collection years 2015 and 2016, respectively. The annual average level of 137Cs in fish and shellfish was also determined by spectral summation for collection years 2014–2018. In fish, 137Cs levels determined through spectral summation were relatively constant (0.18–0.25 Bq kg−1 fw) with an average value and uncertainty of 0.21 ± 0.02 Bq kg−1 fw. By contrast, 38 shellfish samples (bivalves) were measured and revealed no radiocesium or other anomalies in either tissue or shell. In all, measurements over eight years showed that the radioactivity in fish and shellfish was dominated by natural radionuclides and that the level of anthropogenic radionuclides, as indicated by the radioactive cesium content, remained small. An upper bound for ingested dose from 137Cs was determined to be approximately 0.26 μSv per year, far below the worldwide average annual effective dose of 2400 μSv from exposure to natural background radiation. We can therefore conclude that fish, such as salmon, ground fish, and shellfish from the Canadian west coast are of no radiological health concern despite the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear accident of 2011.

Variability of Longshore Surface Current on the Shelf Edge and Continental Slope off the West Coast of Canada

The shelf-edge and continental slope current off the west coast of Canada has been monitored at a site off West Vancouver Island since 1985. However, observations at this site may not represent the characteristics of the shelf-edge and slope current off the entire west coast of Canada. Here, we use along-track satellite altimetry data over six transects to investigate the characteristics of the surface geostrophic currents over the shelf edge and continental slope off the west coast of Canada from 1992 to 2020. It is shown that along-track satellite altimetry is well suited for monitoring longshore and climatic variations of the near-surface shelf-edge and slope currents off the west coast of Canada. It is found that the surface current over the shelf edge and slope has different features from the south to the north. While the surface current is poleward in winter and equatorward in summer off South Vancouver Island, it is poleward year-round off the rest of the west coast of Canada. The seasonal current anomalies show longshore correlation significant at the 95% confidence level, except at the North Haida Gwaii transect. The first empirical orthogonal function mode of the seasonal current anomalies is correlated with the longshore wind anomalies both off South Vancouver Island and off Oregon. However, this first mode is not correlated with either the Niño 3.4 index or the Pacific Decadal Oscillation index, though they often show large episodic events during strong El Niño and La Niña years. Consistent with previous findings, the present study indicates that the surface currents over the shelf edge and continental slope off the west coast of Canada are related to regional and remote longshore wind forcing.

Numerical Investigation of Climate Change Effects on Storm Surges and Extreme Waves on Canada’s Pacific Coast

Storm surges and waves are key climate-driven parameters affecting the design and operation of ports and other infrastructure on the coast. Reliable predictions of future storm surges and waves are not yet available for the west coast of Canada, and this data gap hinders effective climate risk assessment, planning and adaptation. This paper presents numerical simulations of storm surges and waves in British Columbia coastal waters under a future climate (Representative Concentration Pathway) scenario (RCP8.5). The numerical models were first forced by wind and surface pressure fields from the ERA-5 global reanalysis, and calibrated and validated using historical wave and water level records. The models were then driven by atmospheric data from four regional climate models (RCMs) to investigate potential changes in the frequency and magnitude of storm surges and extreme waves over the 21st century. The model outputs were analyzed to determine the potential impacts of climate change on storm surges and wave effects at key ports and transportation assets in western Canada. The study is the first of its kind to utilize unstructured, computational models to simulate storm surges and waves for the entire western Canada coastal region, while maintaining the high spatial resolution in coastal sub-basins needed to capture local dynamic responses.

Uncertainty and source term reconstruction with environmental air samples

Environmental air sampling is one of the principal monitoring technologies employed for the verification of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT). By combining the analysis of environmental samples with Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Modelling (ATDM), and using a Bayesian source reconstruction algorithm, an estimate of the release location, duration, and quantity can be computed.Bayesian source reconstruction uses an uncertainty distribution of the input parameters, or priors, in a statistical framework to produce posterior probability estimates of the event parameters. The quality of the event reconstruction directly depends on the accuracy of the prior uncertainty distribution. With many of the input parameters, the selection of the uncertainty distribution is not difficult. However, with environmental samples, there is one component of the uncertainty at the interface between sample measurements and the ATDM that has been overlooked. Typically, a much smaller volume or quantity of material is sampled from the much larger domain represented in the ATDM. By examining the response of a dense network of radionuclide detectors on the West Coast of Canada during the passage of the Fukushima debris plume, an initial estimate of this uncertainty was determined to be between 20% and 30% depending on sample integration time.

Dynamics of Probable Maximum Precipitation Within Coastal Urban Areas in a Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Model

The west coast of Canada is strongly affected by the extreme precipitation events triggered by frequent atmospheric river (AR) activities over the eastern North Pacific. Across the region, assessing the probable maximum precipitation (PMP), can provide valuable information for resilience building of the coastal communities that are vulnerable to hydrological risks. In this study, a 3-km convection-permitting regional climate model is used to physically estimate the PMP in Vancouver. This technique maximizes the effect of AR-related water vapor transport by spatially adjusting the lateral boundary conditions (LBCs) of the model simulations for the selected AR-related extreme precipitation events. The PMP in Vancouver is identified among the simulations driven by the spatially adjusted LBCs that are corresponding with the AR-induced “worst-case scenario,” i.e., landfalling ARs hit Vancouver with optimal landfalling location and transport direction. Results suggest that the PMP in Vancouver, in terms of the maxima of the regionally averaged 72-h total precipitation for the historical extreme precipitation events, is up to 790 mm, which is 130% greater than the historical peak precipitation for the period 1980∼2017. On average, all the PMP simulations shows an overall increase by 81% in precipitation by relative to historical simulations. In addition, the PMP simulations suggested an overall decrease in snowfall by 12% due to the warmer near-surface air temperature; however, a pronounced increase in freezing rain is seen. The precipitation increase for the estimated PMP relative to the historical extreme precipitation is closely associated with the increased atmospheric moisture transport and the changes in the atmospheric dynamic factors when the AR effects are maximized. These include the enhanced low-tropospheric ascent and moisture transport convergence, which can induce stronger depletion of atmospheric moistures as indicated by the increased precipitation efficiency.

Radioactivity Concentration Measurements in Fish and Shellfish Samples from the West Coast of Canada after the Fukushima Nuclear Accident (2011-2018)

Radioactivity Concentration Measurements in Fish and Shellfish Samples from the West Coast of Canada after the Fukushima Nuclear Accident (2011-2018)