Burden Of Colorectal Cancer Research Articles

Burden of colorectal cancer and its risk factors in the North Africa and Middle East (NAME) region, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis of the global burden of disease study

ObjectiveThe geographical differences in incidence rates of colorectal cancer (CRC) and its burden due to modifiable risk factors warrant investigating the CRC burden and its risk factors in different regions. In the current study, we aimed to estimate the burden of CRC and the share of its risk factors in the North Africa and Middle East (NAME), from 1990 to 2019.Study designSystematic review.MethodsThe rates of incidence, prevalence, death, years of life lost (YLL), years lived with disability (YLD), and disability adjusted life years (DALYs) of CRC were estimated through the framework of the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD), Injuries and Risk Factors Study 2019 by age, sex, between 1990 and 2019. The CRC-related DALYs attributable to each lifestyle and metabolic risk factor was also estimated through a comparative risk assessment approach.ResultsIn NAME region, the trends of incidence, prevalence, death, YLL, YLD, and DALYs of CRC were increasing, with higher rates in males than females over this period. High and high-middle socio-demographic index (SDI) countries had greater CRC DALYs rate compared with middle- and low-SDI countries in 2019, except for Palestine [434.66 (95% UI: 368.82, 503.88)]. In NAME region, like the global, dietary risk (33.18%), low whole grain intake (19.79%), and low intake of milk (15.77%) were the major contributing risk factors to DALYs due to CRC in 2019.ConclusionsDue to increasing trend of CRC burden and the considerable role of lifestyle and metabolic factors in its burden in NAME region, implementing fundamental strategies to minimize CRC burden and its risk factors is imperative.

Multilevel Interventions to Improve Colorectal Cancer Screening in an Urban Native American Community: A Pilot Randomized Clinical Trial

Native Americans have the highest burden of colorectal cancer (CRC) and the lowest rates of CRC screening across the United States.1 The disparities in CRC screening were made worse during the pandemic, creating an unmet need to implement evidence-based, multilevel interventions to improve CRC screening uptake. This can be achieved through an organized outreach program with identification of screen-eligible individuals using health records from the clinic; and a screening program with the following: (1) a mailed invitation, (2) a package of materials so patients can complete a fecal immunochemical test (FIT) kit from their homes, (3) reminder calls and a letter, and (4) navigation to a diagnostic colonoscopy.2-5 We conducted a pilot randomized controlled trial of a program of outreach vs usual care for completion of CRC screening at an urban clinic serving the Native American community. Applying the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR),6 we also conducted patient and provider interviews to understand barriers and facilitators to the organized program and CRC screening in general.

Disparities in Colorectal Cancer Incidence among Asian and Pacific Islander Populations in Guam, Hawai'i, and the United States.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) ranks among the three most common cancers in Guam (GU), Hawai'i (HI), and the mainland United States (US). CRC prevalence in these areas is high among Filipinos, and indigenous CHamorus and Native Hawaiians; however, data on these populations are frequently aggregated in epidemiological studies, which can mask true CRC disparities. We examined CRC cumulative incidence rates (CIRs) among CHamorus in GU, Filipinos in GU, HI, and the US, and Native Hawaiians in HI and the US. CRC CIRs were calculated for two age groups (20-49 years; early onset, and 50-79 years; senior) and four time periods (2000-2004, 2005-2009, 2010-2014, and 2015-2019), stratified by ethnicity, sex, and location. Data analyzed included all invasive CRC cases reported to the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results 9-Registry (n = 166,666), the Hawai'i Tumor Registry (n = 10,760), and the Guam Cancer Registry (n = 698) between 2000 and 2019. Senior CIRs were highest in HI and lowest in GU throughout all time periods, with a downward trend observed for senior CIRs in the US and HI, but not GU. This downward trend held true for all ethnic groups, except for CHamorus in GU, females in GU, and females of CHamoru ethnicity in GU. In contrast, early onset CIRs increased across all locations, sexes, and ethnic groups, except for Filipinos in HI and males of Filipino ethnicity in HI. Our findings provide crucial insights for future research and policy development aimed at reducing the burden of CRC among indigenous populations.

Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Colorectal Cancer Incidence Trends Across Regions of the United States From 2001 to 2020 - A United States Cancer Statistics Analysis.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence rates have been decreasing in the United States (US), but there is limited information about differences in these improvements among individuals from different racial and ethnic subgroups across different regions of the US. Data from the National Program of Cancer Registries (NPCR) and the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) databases were used to examine trends in CRC incidence from 2001 to 2020 using a population-based retrospective cohort study. We obtained annual estimates of CRC incidence and used meta-regression analyses via weighted linear models to identify main effects and interactions that explained differences in CRC incidence trends among groups defined by race/ethnicity and US region while also considering CRC stage and sex. To summarize overall trends over time in incidence rates for specific racial and ethnic groups within and across US regions, we obtained average annual percentage change (AAPC) estimates. The greatest differences in CRC incidence trends were among groups defined by race/ethnicity and US region. Non-Hispanic Black (NHB) persons had the largest declines in CRC incidence, with AAPC estimates ranging from -2.27 (95% CI: -2.49 to -2.06) in the South to -3.03 (95% CI: -3.59 to -2.47) in the West, but had higher-than-average incidence rates at study end. The AAPC estimate for American Indian/Alaska Native (AIAN) persons suggested no significant change over time (AAPC: -0.41, 95% CI: -2.51 to 1.73). CRC incidence trends differ among racial/ethnic groups residing in different US regions. Notably, CRC incidence rates have not changed noticeably for AIAN persons from 2001-2020. These findings highlight the importance of reinvigorating collaborative efforts to develop geographic and population-specific screening and preventative approaches to reduce the CRC burden experienced by Native American communities and members of other minoritized groups.

P423 Incidence of Colorectal Cancer among Patients with Ulcerative Colitis in the Middle East: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Abstract Background Ulcerative colitis (UC) is a chronic inflammatory bowel disease characterized by mucosal inflammation of the colon. A well-documented long-term complication of UC is an increased risk of developing colorectal cancer (CRC). The Middle Eastern population, with its unique genetic and environmental factors, presents a distinctive context for the investigation of CRC risk in UC patients. This meta-analysis aims to systematically evaluate and synthesize the available data on the incidence of CRC among UC patients in the Middle East Methods A comprehensive literature search was conducted, identifying relevant studies from various databases and sources. A total of 12 studies met the inclusion criteria and were subjected to quantitative synthesis. The primary outcome measure was the incidence of CRC among UC patients in the Middle East. A random-effects model was used for data synthesis. Heterogeneity was assessed using the I^2 statistic. Results The meta-analysis included a total of 12 studies, comprising 13,881 UC patients in the Middle East. The overall estimated incidence of CRC in this population was 1.41% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.32% to 1.50%). Notably, there was substantial heterogeneity across the studies (I² = 100%). Conclusion This meta-analysis provides insights into the incidence of CRC among UC patients in the Middle East. The findings underscore the significance of recognizing and addressing the elevated risk of CRC in UC patients, particularly in the context of unique genetic and environmental factors in the Middle East. Further research is needed to refine risk assessment and optimize preventive strategies in this specific population. Ultimately, this study serves as a vital resource for clinicians and researchers seeking to combat the burden of CRC in Middle Eastern UC patients.

Collagen I-induced VCAN/ERK signaling and PARP1/ZEB1-mediated metastasis facilitate OSBPL2 defect to promote colorectal cancer progression

The global burden of colorectal cancer (CRC) has rapidly increased in recent years. Dysregulated cholesterol homeostasis facilitated by extracellular matrix (ECM) remodeling transforms the tumor microenvironment. Collagen I, a major with ECM component is highly expressed in colorectal tumors with infiltrative growth. Although oxysterol binding protein (OSBP)-related proteins accommodate tumorigenesis, OSBPL2, which is usually involved in deafness, is not associated with CRC progression. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the pathological function of OSBPL2 and identify the molecular link between ECM-Collagen I and OSBPL2 in CRC to facilitate the development of new treatments for CRC. OSBPL2 predicted a favorable prognosis in stage IV CRC and substantially repressed Collagen I-induced focal adhesion, migration, and invasion. The reduction of OSBPL2 activated ERK signaling through the VCAN/AREG/EREG axis during CRC growth, while relying on PARP1 via ZEB1 in CRC metastasis. OSBPL2 defect supported colorectal tumor growth and metastasis, which were suppressed by the ERK and PARP1 inhibitors SCH772984 and AG14361, respectively. Overall, our findings revealed that the Collagen I-induced loss of OSBPL2 aggravates CRC progression through VCAN-mediated ERK signaling and the PARP1/ZEB1 axis. This demonstrates that SCH772984 and AG14361 are reciprocally connective therapies for OSBPL2Low CRC, which could contribute to further development of targeted CRC treatment.

Current status of global colorectal cancer prevalence, prevention and control

Objective: This paper provides a brief overview of the epidemiology of colorectal cancer in China and around the world, and discusses how to prevent colorectal cancer to reduce its disease burden. Method: Using the official database of GLOBOCAN 2020, the China Cancer Registry Annual Report compiled by the National Cancer Center, and data from CONCORD-3.Data management was performed by Microsoft Excel 2016 and R 4.2.1 Relevant graphs were generated using the ggplot2 package for result visualization. Result: An estimated 1 931 590 people were diagnosed with colorectal cancer worldwide in 2020 with an age-standardized incidence rate of 19.5 per 100 000. There were about 935 173 deaths caused by colorectal cancer internationally, with an age-standardized mortality rate of 9.0 per 100 000. Overall, colorectal cancer was the fourth most commonly diagnosed cancer and the third leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide in 2020. In China, the age-standardized incidence rate and mortality rate of colorectal cancer was 17.3 per 100 000 and 7.8 per 100 000, respectively. Gender differences in trends were observed, with a decreasing trend in incidence and mortality among females and an increasing trend in incidence and mortality among males. The primary risk factors for colorectal cancer include age, genetic factors, gastrointestinal disorders, dietary habits, and lifestyle et al. Conclusions: Colorectal cancer poses a significant burden globally and in China. The occurrence of colorectal cancer is closely related to physiology, genetics, behavioral habits, lifestyle, and disease factors. To better control the colorectal cancer burden with the lowest cost, specific measures should be taken to reduce exposure to established risk factors. By combining the disease prevention and control strategies of tertiary prevention in China with the characteristic factors of colorectal cancer, the incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer may be effectively controlled.

Rectal cancer disparities in a large, diverse health system in New York.

16 Background: The disproportionate burden of colorectal cancer among African American (AA) patients is striking, with 40% increase relative risk of death compared to non-AA White population (Seer Cancer Statistics Review, 2022). NAPRC aims to ensure equitable delivery of evidence-based treatment to ensure optimal outcomes for all patients. Our study investigated whether care delivery outcomes differed for AA patients in our NAPRC cohort of patients, and explored the reasons associated with the disparities. Methods: Rectal cancer patients were identified by pooling 2019 to 2022 data from NAPRC coordinators from 4 regional sites under Northwell Health, spread across a large geographical area in NY: Westchester and Phelps (Northern), Lenox Hill (Western), NSUH/LIJ (Central), and Huntington (Eastern). The primary outcome was time from biopsy (Bx) to treatment (Tx) initiation, where Tx was rectal cancer resection, chemotherapy, or radiotherapy. The secondary outcome was time from tumor board (TB) to first Tx. Social deprivation index (SDI) is a composite measure of 7 demographic characteristics collected in the American Community Survey (ACS) matched with zip codes of patients. SDI and the deprivation severity have a positive and linear correlation. Results: We collected data on 381 patients; 337 had documented race data: 42 AA and 295 non-AA (includes White, Asians and others). AA, compared to non-AA, patients had significantly longer median time from Bx to Tx in Western (66 vs 42 days, p<0.01) and Central (56 vs 41 days, p= 0.03) regions. AA patients also had higher time from TB to Tx in the Western (29 vs 17 days, p=0.01) and Central (26 vs 19 days, p= 0.05) regions, respectively. Longer time to treatment was associated with: AA patients, Medicare patients, and patients requiring social work assistance. SDI is positively correlated with time from Bx to Tx (p<0.01) and time from TB to Tx (p<0.01). Conclusions: There are significant disparities between AA vs Non-AA in both primary and secondary outcomes. These findings highlight the need for further exploration such as interviewing social workers and developing patient surveys to explore why the care disparities in AA population is more significant in certain regions than others. We need to account for race and social barriers in treating cancer patients. Taking a proactive approach by sending social work referrals for all AA patients may be a potential solution for these marginalized patients.

Colorectal cancer and its attributable risk factors in East Asia, 1990-2030.

The disease burden of colorectal cancer in East Asia has been at a high level. However, the epidemiological characteristics of the disease burden in this region have not been systematically studied. Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 program. Joinpoint analysis was used to identify long-term trends in mortality of colorectal cancer. Independent effects of age, period, and cohort were detected by the age-period-cohort model. The Bayesian age-period-cohort model was performed to predict the burden of colorectal cancer across East Asia by 2030. From 1990 to 2019, the average annual percentage change (AAPC) showed upward trends in mainland China (1.05 [95% confidence interval (CI)], 0.82, 1.28) as well as Taiwan Province of China (1.81 [95% CI], 1.51, 2.10) but downward in Japan (-0.60 [95% CI], -0.70, -0.49) (P<0.05). Attributable risk factors for colorectal cancer in East Asia remained stable over 30years, while the risk of metabolic factors is noteworthy in the future. In the next decade, the age-standardized death rate (ASDR) of colorectal cancer in China was predicted to surpass that of Japan and South Korea in expectation. The mortality of colorectal cancer is escalating in developing countries, while it is gradually declining in high-income countries across East Asia. Nonetheless, the disease burden of colorectal cancer in high-income countries remains substantial level.

Screening for Colorectal Cancer: The Role of Clinical Laboratories.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a leading cause of cancer incidence and mortality. Screening can result in reductions in incidence and mortality, but there are many challenges to uptake and follow-up. Here, we will review the changing epidemiology of CRC, including increasing trends for early and later onset CRC; evidence to support current and emerging screening strategies, including noninvasive stool and blood-based tests; key challenges to ensuring uptake and high-quality screening; and the critical role that clinical laboratories can have in supporting health system and public health efforts to reduce the burden of CRC on the population. Clinical laboratories have the opportunity to play a seminal role in optimizing early detection and prevention of CRC.

African colorectal cancer burden in 2022 and projections to 2050.

The burden of colorectal cancer (CRC) is on a rapid increase on the African continent, yet grossly under reported. Herein, we provide and updated estimates of CRC burden (incidence and mortality) across Africa as of 2022, and make crucial predictions to 2050. We gathered information on CRC incidence and mortality from the GLOBOCAN 2022 database, which covers 185 countries. The age-standardised incidence and mortality rates (ASRs) per 100,000 person-years were determined. Cases and deaths up to 2050 were estimated using 2022 incidence and mortality rates. In 2022, an estimated 70,428 cases and 46,087 mortalities due to CRC were recorded across the African continent. Africa's ASRs for CRC incidence and mortality were 8.2 and 5.6 per 100,000 population, respectively, and were highest in North Africa followed by East Africa. At national levels, CRC ranked in the top four of the most commonly diagnosed cancers in more than half (56%) of African countries. ASRs of both incidence and mortality were higher among males than females. New cases are predicted to increase by 139.7% (from 70,428 in 2022 to 168,683 in 2050) at the current incidence rate. Similarly, mortalities will increase by 155.2% (from 46,061 in 2022 to 117,568 in 2050). CRC remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality in many African countries, and the number of new cases and deaths is predicted to rise significantly by 2050. Efforts to reduce the incidence of preventable CRC cases should be prioritised.

Distinct time trends in colorectal cancer incidence in countries with SDI levels from 1990 to 2019: an age-period-cohort analysis for the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study.

The burden of colorectal cancer (CRC) plays a pivotal role in the global cancer epidemic. Our study reported the incidence trends in CRC and the associated effects of age, period, and birth cohort in 204 countries and territories over the past 30 years. The incidence data of CRC were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019. We performed the age-period-cohort (APC) model to estimate the overall annual percentage change (net drift) in the incidence rate, the annual percentage change by age group (local drift), and the relative risk (period and cohort effects) of the period and cohort in CRC during 1990-2019. This approach allows examining and distinguishing age, period, and cohort effects in incidence and potentially distinguishing colorectal cancer gaps in prevention and screening. In 2019, the incidence of CRC was 2.17 (95% UI 2.00-2.34) million, of which China, the United States of America, and Japan had the highest incidence population, accounting for 45.9% of the global population. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) was 26.7 (95% UI 28.9-24.6) per 100,000 people, of which 30 countries had an incidence rate greater than 40.0 per 100,000 people. From 1990 to 2019, the middle SDI region had the largest increase in incidence rate, with a net drift of 2.33% (95% CI 2.2-2.46%, p < 0.001). Globally, the incidence population was concentrated in the age group of 50-69 years, and the age group of 30-34 years had the largest increase in incidence rate (local drift 1.19% (95% CI 1.01-1.37%)). At the same time, the sex and age distributions of CRC incidence had significant heterogeneity across regions and countries. In the past 30 years, the incidence rate in 31 countries has been well controlled (net drift <0), and most of them were concentrated in high-and high-middle-SDI regions, such as Australia, Czechia, and Belgium, and the relative risk of incidence generally improved over time and consecutive young birth cohorts. CRC incidence showed an unfavorable trend (net drift ≥1%) in 89 countries, of which 27 countries were more significant (net drift >2%), mostly concentrated in the middle SDI region, such as China, Mexico, and Brazil, and the risk of period and birth cohort was unfavorable. Globally, the incidence of CRC has shown an overall upward trend over the past 30 years, with the exception of some countries with higher SDI values. Significant age-period-cohort differences were observed in the risk of incidence in CRC worldwide. Effective prevention and control policies need to take into account the age-period-cohort effect characteristics of different regions.

The correlation between bacteria and colorectal cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most commonly diagnosed cancer with a high mortality rate worldwide. The global burden of CRC imposes the need to understand the mechanism of CRC progression. Accumulating evidence reveals gut bacteria may contribute to the risk of CRC. The purpose of this project was to determine whether the bacterial composition is altered in stool samples of CRC patients. We hypothesized that patients with CRC would have a set of differentially abundant bacteria species in their stool samples compared to the control samples. Using 11 CRC datasets across 9 countries, consisting of 1395 samples from the curatedMetagenomicData database, we examined the bacterial composition and compared the prevalence and relative abundance of bacteria species across 701 CRC patients and 694 control samples. We found that CRC-associated bacteria species and their prevalence varied across different demographic regions. Combining 11 datasets, we performed differential abundance analysis to analyze the prevalence and compare the relative abundance of bacteria species between CRC samples and control samples, and we found a set of CRC-associated bacteria species that were significantly more abundant than those of control samples. Many of these species have previously been found to influence CRC development. Moreover, we identified a set of control-associated species that were important in maintaining a beneficial microbiome. This project provided insights that support further investigation into the role of CRC-associated bacteria in CRC tumorigenesis.

The National Burden of Colorectal Cancer in the United States from 1990 to 2019.

CRC accounts for approximately a tenth of all cancer cases and deaths in the US. Due to large differences in demographics among the different states, we aim to determine trends in the CRC epidemiology and across different states, age groups, and genders. CRC rates, age-adjusted to the standard US population, were obtained from the GBD 2019 database. Time trends were estimated as annual percentage change (APC). A pairwise comparison was conducted between age- and gender-specific trends using the tests of parallelism and coincidence. Age-specific trends were also assessed in two age subgroups: younger adults aged 15-49 years and older adults aged 50-74 years. We also analyzed the prevalence, incidence, mortality, and DALYs in the US between 1990 and 2019. A total of 5.53 million patients were diagnosed with CRC in the US between 1990 and 2019. Overall, CRC incidence rates have significantly increased in younger adults (11.1 per 100,000 persons) and decreased in older adults (136.8 per 100,000 persons) (AAPC = 1.2 vs. -0.6; AAPC difference = 1.8, p < 0.001). Age-specific trends were neither identical (p < 0.001) nor parallel (p < 0.001), suggesting that CRC incidence rates are different and increasing at a greater rate in younger adults compared to older adults. However, for both men and women (49.4 and 35.2 per 100,000 persons), incidence rates have decreased over the past three decades at the same rate (AAPC = -0.5 vs. -0.5; AAPC difference = 0, p = 0.1). Geographically, the southern states had the highest mortality rates with Mississippi having the highest rate of 20.1 cases per 100,000 population in 2019. Massachusetts, New York, and the District of Colombia had the greatest decreases in mortality over the study period (-42.1%, -41.4%, and -40.9%). Decreased mortality was found in all states except Mississippi, where the mortality of CRC increased over the study period (+1.5%). This research provides crucial insights for policymakers to tailor resource allocation, emphasizing the dynamic nature of CRC burden across states and age groups, ultimately informing targeted strategies for prevention and intervention.

Decreased Abundance of Genus Slackia in Individuals With Obesity and Colorectal Adenoma

Background and AimsThe increasing prevalence of obesity has significantly contributed to the global burden of colorectal cancer and the precancerous colorectal adenoma (CRA). Gut microbiota vary at each stage of colorectal carcinogenesis and participate in energy homeostasis. Elucidating gut microbiotal characteristics in obesity-related CRA may help prevent and treat colorectal tumors; however, this remains unclarified. Therefore, this study investigated the gut microbiota profile of patients with obesity-related CRA. MethodsThis hospital setting-based cross-sectional study included 113 participants (66 [without CRA control group] and 37 [with CRA group]; each group was divided into obese and non-obese groups) who underwent screening colonoscopy between June 2019 and January 2020. Gut microbiota were analyzed using 16S rRNA and polymerase chain reaction techniques and the data compared between the aforementioned groups. ResultsNo between-group difference was observed in the diversity index; however, α diversity was the lowest in the obese CRA group. The CRA group had significantly higher and lower numbers of 26 and 17 genera, respectively. Genus Slackia was significantly lower in the obese CRA group than in the non-obese CRA group. Multivariate analysis of the quartiles according to genus Slackia relative abundance rates revealed that the first quartile was an independent risk factor for CRA (odds ratio [OR], 3.57; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.19–10.7). The proportion of equol reductase-positive participants was lowest in the obese CRA group (P=0.04). Multivariate OR for CRA was 5.46 (95% CI 1.35–22.0) for genus Slackia and equol reductase-negative participants. ConclusionsDecreased abundance of genus Slackia and absence of equol reductase potentially influence obesity-related CRA development.

Prediction of early-onset colorectal cancer mortality rates in the United States using machine learning.

The current study, focusing on a significant US (United States) colorectal cancer (CRC) burden, employs machine learning for predicting future rates among young population. CDC WONDER data from 1999 to 2022 was analyzed for CRC-related mortality in patients younger than 56 years. Temporal trends in age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) were assessed via Joinpoint software. Future mortality rates were forecasted using an optimal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model. From 1999 to 2022, we observed 150,908 deaths with CRC listed as the underlying cause, predominantly in males, with an upward trend in AAMR. The ARIMA model projects an increase in CRC mortality by 2035, estimating an average annual percent change (AAPC) of 1.3% overall, 1% for females, and 1.5% for males. Our study findings emphasize the need for more robust preventive measures to reduce future CRC mortality among younger population. These results have significant implications for public health policies, particularly for males under 56, and underscore the importance of early screening and lifestyle modifications.

Dietary, addictive and habitual factors, and risk of colorectal cancer

BackgroundIn Pakistan, the incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) has sharply increased in recent years. Although several studies have reported global risk factors for CRC, no study has been conducted in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KPK), Pakistan, to investigate the risk factors associated with the increased CRC burden in this population. ObjectivesTherefore, we conducted a clinical survey using a case-control study design to explore the risk factors associatd with CRC. MethodsIn the present study, one control was enrolled for each case. Both cases and controls were asked to complete a questionnaire to gather data. We analyzed all data using SPSS. ResultsOur study found that certain dietary factors, such as consuming fast food (OR: 3.0; P = 0.0001) and reusing ghee (OR: 2.45; P = 0.0001) and oil (OR: 4.30; P = 0.0001), increase the risk of CRC. Additionally, use of tobacco products like smoking cigarettes (OR: 1.91; P = 0.0001) and using snuff (OR: 3.72; P = 0.0001) significantly increases the risk of CRC. Certain habitual factors, including binge eating (OR: 2.42; P = 0.0001) and spending excessive time watching TV (OR: 1.98; P = 0.0001), also increase the odds of developing CRC. However, our study also identified some protective factors against CRC, such as consuming vegetables (OR: .41; P = 0.0001), developing healthy eating habits (OR: .61; P = 0.0001), and maintaining regular sleeping patterns (OR: .45; P = 0.0001). ConclusionGiven these findings, targeted health education is necessary to prevent the increase in CRC in this area. We also recommend developing and enforcing appropriate control guidelines for cancer risk factors to curb the incidence of CRC.

Estimating the economic burden of colorectal cancer in China, 2019-2030: A population-level prevalence-based analysis.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common cancers worldwide. Comprehensive data on the economic burden of CRC at a population-level is critical in informing policymaking, but such data are currently limited in China. From a societal perspective, the economic burden of CRC in 2019 was estimated, including direct medical and nonmedical expenditure, disability, and premature-death-related indirect expenditure. Data on disease burden was taken from the GBD 2019 and analyzed using a prevalence-based approach. The per-person direct expenditure and work loss days were from a multicenter study; the premature-death-related expenditure was estimated using a human capital approach. Projections were conducted in different simulated scenarios. All expenditure data were in Chinese Yuan (CNY) and discounted to 2019. In 2019, the estimated overall economic burden of CRC in China was CNY170.5 billion (0.189% of the local GDP). The direct expenditure was CNY106.4 billion (62.4% of the total economic burden), 91.4% of which was a direct medical expenditure. The indirect expenditure was CNY64.1 billion, of which 63.7% was related to premature death. The predicted burden would reach CNY560.0 billion in 2030 given constant trends for disease burden; however, it would be alternatively reduced to <CNY515.2 billion if the cancer prevention and control goals set by the United Nations and China for 2030 are achieved. The population-level economic burden of CRC in China in 2019 seemed noteworthy, with the direct expenditure accounting for more than half. Without effectively reducing exposure to modifiable factors and expanding screening coverage, the burden would continue increasing.

Disease Burden of Colorectal Cancer in China from 1990 to 2019: Age- and Sex-Specific Time Trends and 10-Year Forecast

Introduction: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most prevalent malignant tumor worldwide and the second leading cause of cancer-related death. This study aimed at reporting the disease burden of CRC in China from 1990 to 2019 and predicting the trend of mortality burden over the next 10 years. Methods: The age-period-cohort model was implemented to analyze the trends of mortality from CRC in China from 1990 to 2019, and the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model was used to predict the trends of CRC incidence and mortality from 2020 to 2029. Results: From 1990 to 2019, the incidence of CRC in China increased from 105,911 cases (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 93,808–119,021) to 607,900 cases (95% UI: 521,805–708,420). The age-standardized incidence rate increased from 12.52 per 100,000 (95% UI: 11.15–14.03) to 30.55 per 100,000 (95% UI: 26.37–35.5), with an estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) of 3.66 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.37–3.95), showing an upward trend. The age-standardized mortality rate increased from 10.18 per 100,000 (95% UI: 9.03–11.37) to 13.86 per 100,000 (95% UI: 11.92–16.01), with an EAPC of 1.39 (95% CI: 1.14–1.63), also showing an upward trend. The age group with the highest incidence and mortality in 2019 was 65–69 years old for both sexes, and the age group with the highest mortality was 70–74 years old. Males had higher relative risks of incidence and mortality than females. Low-calcium diet was the risk factor for both sexes and females alone in 1990, while low-milk diet was the risk factor in 2019; however, smoking remained the risk factor for males. The ARIMA model predicted an increase in both disease and mortality burden of CRC over the next 10 years. Conclusion: The disease and mortality burden of CRC in China showed an overall upward trend from 1990 to 2019, with higher burden in males than females, and the situation remains extremely severe in the next decade.

Long-term trends in the burden of colorectal cancer in Europe over three decades: a joinpoint regression and age-period-cohort analysis.

The burden of colorectal cancer (CRC) in Europe is at a high level, but the epidemiological features have not yet been systematically studied. This study aimed to provide a timely and reliable assessment of the burden and trends of CRC in Europe to provide a scientific basis for its prevention and treatment. We analyzed data on CRC in 44 European countries between 1990 and 2019 from the Global Burden of Disease study (GBD) 2019. In addition, the joinpoint regression model was applied to reflect temporal trends. The age-period-cohort model was constructed to explore age, period, and birth cohort effects that influence the risk of morbidity and mortality. In Europe, new cases, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and deaths of CRC rose by 70.01%, 22.88% and 38.04% from 1990 to 2019, respectively. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) has increased, while age-standardized DALY rate and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) have declined. We found that men experienced a significantly higher CRC burden than women. Age-period-cohort analysis showed that the risk of incidence and mortality increased with age and time; and it was lower in the later-born cohort than the earlier-born cohort. ASIR for CRC in Europe generally trended upwards from 1990 to 2019, stabilizing in recent years but still at a high level. CRC burden varied considerably in different countries. There was a pronounced gender difference in CRC burden, and middle-aged and older men should be a priority population for CRC prevention and treatment.