Abstract Background Earlier detection of breast cancer through mammography screening has reduced disease-specific mortality; however, confounding issues such as technical challenges, breast density, and tumor size can result in false negatives and ultimately later stage diagnosis. Next generation liquid biopsy has the potential to complement mammography and enable earlier detection for more women. We have previously demonstrated high sensitivity and specificity for early detection of invasive breast cancer (IBC) by utilizing a novel category of cancer-associated small RNAs, termed orphan noncoding RNAs (oncRNAs), through a liquid biopsy platform. Here, we further improve the ability to detect breast cancer in a larger, multi-source cohort through an AI-driven approach and demonstrate potential for detection of ductal carcinoma in-situ (DCIS). Methods We utilized The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) small RNA-seq database to discover a library of 20,538 oncRNAs, through a female-specific analysis, that were significantly enriched among 1,103 breast tumors compared to 349 normal tissue samples spanning multiple tissue sites. The diagnostic performance of these oncRNAs were assessed in an independent cohort of archived serum samples from 663 female individuals, sourced from Indivumed (Hamburg, Germany), Proteogenex (Inglewood, CA), and MT Group (Los Angeles, CA), including 279 breast cancer patients of various stages (221 IBC and 58 DCIS; mean age: 57.0 ± 13.8 years; ever-smoker: 25.8%) and 304 age-matched controls (mean age: 58.5 ± 13.9 years; ever-smoker: 23.4%) without breast cancer. All samples were collected between 2010–2022 at time of diagnosis for breast cancer patients. We sequenced the small RNA content of these samples at an average depth of 25.28 ± 9.37 million 50-bp single-end reads. We detected 18,025 (87.8%) unique breast cancer-specific oncRNA species within at least one sample from the study cohort. We then trained a generative AI model using 5-fold cross-validation to predict cancer status for all samples. Results Our oncRNA-based model achieved an overall AUC of 0.95 (95% CI, 0.93–0.97) for prediction of IBC versus cancer-free controls with a sensitivity of 0.87 (0.82–0.91) at 90% specificity. We observed high sensitivities, also at 90% specificity, across all tumor stages and tumor sizes (Table 1). Sensitivities for the earliest stage and smallest tumor size were 0.87 (0.78–0.93) and 0.81 (0.61–0.93) for Stage I (n=83) and T1a–b ( >1mm to ≤10mm; n=26), respectively. Additionally, in a small single-source cohort, we also saw high model accuracy and sensitivity for DCIS, which we aim to confirm in additional cohorts. While our overall cancer cohort primarily consisted of individuals with luminal breast cancer, our model had high sensitivities across all breast cancer subtypes at 0.90 (0.84–0.94), 0.73 (0.59–0.85), and 0.86 (0.42–1.0) for luminal (n=181), HER2 positive (n=49), and triple negative (n=7), respectively. Conclusions We further demonstrate the potential utility of oncRNAs as a blood-based biomarker using an AI algorithm for sensitive and accurate early detection of breast cancer in a large cohort. Additionally, we have shown that this oncRNA-based assay performs well in detecting small, early-stage invasive breast tumors, with potential to detect precursors of breast cancer. Table 1: Model sensitivity in breast cancer by tumor stage and size For each tumor stage and size, as defined by the AJCC 7th Edition breast cancer staging system, sensitivity and 95% Pearson-Clopper confidence intervals (CI) are reported at 90% specificity for the number of samples (N). Citation Format: Noura Tbeileh, Taylor Cavazos, Mehran Karimzadeh, Jeffrey Wang, Alice Huang, Dung Ngoc Lam, Seda Kilinc, Jieyang Wang, Xuan Zhao, Andy Pohl, Helen Li, Lisa Fish, Kimberly Chau, Marra Francis, Lee Schwartzberg, Patrick Arensdorf, Hani Goodarzi, Fereydoun Hormozdiari, Babak Alipanahi. Cell-free orphan noncoding RNAs and AI enable early detection of invasive breast cancer and ductal carcinoma in-situ [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO2-13-08.
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