Floods persist as a recurring and daunting peril in the Brahmaputra plain of Assam. Notwithstanding advancement, Bongaigaon is a highly flood-afflicted district in the lower part of this region, inflicting significant damage to both lives and property almost every consecutive year. Hence, the delineation of precise and reliable flood risk susceptibility zones within the district constitutes the foremost concern of the study. The present work considered a total of sixteen multi-collinearity free parameters integrating with the GIS- based Multi-Criteria Decision Making-Analytical Hierarchy Process (MCDM-AHP) model for identifying potential flood hazard zones (FHZ), flood vulnerability zones (FVZ), and flood risk zones (FRZ) for the region. The result revealed that over 28% of the district's total area falls under the high to very high flood risk zone. Srijangram circle covers the highest flood risk zone with 343.19 sq. km. The FHZ map of the district demonstrated reliability exceeding 90% in ROC-AUC and below 40% in MSE and RMSE. Additionally, sensitivity analyses depict the role indicators in the predictive model, placed as a virgin gap for study in the region. Moreover, a multivariate correlation statistic is used to examine the potential risk zones and temporal flood effects on different Revenue Circles (RC), showing R2 over 0.6 in each category. The robustness of this model manifests sensible findings, aiding in fortifying sustainable flood management strategies to mitigate risks at different levels. Strategies adopted here contain greater potential for current as well as future trends in similar domains of research. This study may provide invaluable insights for decision-makers, thinkers, administrators, and developers working in this region.
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