Boise River Research Articles

The role of water management and river morphology on stranding pool formation

Fish can be stranded in pools during flow recessions that may occur naturally or as a result of dam operations. Past studies have recommended dam operation guidelines that only consider water surface elevation (WSE) recession rate to reduce fish stranding potential. Here, we holistically consider the role of flow, WSE recession rate, and river-floodplain topography under unregulated and regulated flow regimes to predict the potential of stranding pool formation. The proposed methodology leverages advances in two-dimensional (2D) surface hydraulic (HD) modeling and high-resolution topobathymetric LiDAR surveys. We applied this method to the South Fork Boise River (SFBR), Idaho, USA. We developed a 2D HD model supported by meter-resolution topobathymetric data to simulate channel and floodplain hydraulics and stranding pool formation for different flow scenarios.Comparison between modeled and fieldsurveyed stranding pool locations shows good match, supporting the use of this method to predict stranding pool potential. Results show that potential for stranding pool formation (number of pools and their surface area) increases with flow for the same flow recession rate. Contrary to expectations, our model predicts that unregulated flows have a considerably higher number of potential fish stranding pools than for regulated flows in the SFBR. The reach-average WSE recession rates were higher for unregulated (0.07 to 0.09 cm/h) than for regulated (0.02 to 0.04 cm/h) flow based on daily mean flows. Our study has shown the importance of river and floodplain morphology and hydraulics to predict fish stranding pool locations and analyze impacts of flow regulations on fish stranding. This approach may provide helpful information to identify potential fish stranding pools and mitigation and to manage for fish stranding issues in regulated and unregulated river systems.

The geochronometry of Idaho and the bumpy barcode revisited: Snake River detrital zircons in Hells Canyon and beyond

Detrital zircons in modern stream sands and terraces of the Snake River drainage upstream of and within Hells Canyon, western Idaho, U.S.A, effectively reproduce the geochronometry of Idaho magmatic rocks, both from Laurentia in eastern Idaho, and from the accreted terranes west of the Salmon River Suture. We used large-n (300 grain) analysis of detrital zircon ages and Monte Carlo-based mixture modeling to estimate the percent contributions from the upper Snake River and several tributaries. The large number of grains analyzed allows more precise statistical modeling than previous studies, which used 60 or 100 grains.Immediately upstream of the Hells Canyon Complex of dams modeling suggests that the Snake River at Farewell Bend contains detrital zircon contributions of Payette River 50 % and Boise River 10 % (mainly from the Atlanta lobe, Idaho batholith). The upper Snake River has 30 % contribution and contains a complex detrital zircon signature including both primary zircons derived from magmatic sources and recycled zircons derived from sedimentary rocks with an ultimate magmatic source. Thus, 60 % of the detrital zircons come from the 98–73 Ma southern Idaho batholith, with less than a third coming from the upper Snake River drainage, despite it representing 60 % of the drainage area. The Owyhee, Malheur, and Weiser rivers contribute <5 % each.Within Hells Canyon, modeling suggests that the main Snake River contributes by far the largest component (85 %); side canyons contribute <5 % of the zircon load. Mixing models for Snake River stream sediment downstream of Lewiston, below Lower Granite Dam (sampled from sands deposited before installation of the dam), suggest 53 % contribution from the main Snake River above the Salmon River, 34 % from the Clearwater River, 7 % from the Salmon River, and 6 % from the Grande Ronde River.Comparing relative zircon inputs from the modern Snake and Salmon rivers to a pre-dam river terrace just downstream from their confluence suggests that the Snake River in Hells Canyon today contributes only 4 % of the detrital zircons whereas before installation of the Hells Canyon Dams it contributed 29 %. We interpret this reduction in detrital zircon supply to be caused by sediment trapping above the dams.One influence on the detrital zircon contribution of various streams is peak flow volume. Zircon fertility of specific source rocks is the main influence on detrital zircon percentages within individual drainages. Mesoproterozoic, Cretaceous and Eocene granitic rocks produce euhedral magmatic detrital zircon grains that dominate several drainages. Mesozoic metavolcanic and Eocene Challis Volcanic Group rocks yield fewer and often broken detrital zircon grains. Large outcrop areas of Neogene Columbia River and Snake River Plain basalts provide almost none. Recycling of older magmatic detrital zircon through Proterozoic and Paleozoic sandstones is a signature of the eastern and central Idaho thrust belt.

Investigating the Allometric Relationship for Total Mercury in Male and Female Signal Crayfish (Pacifastacus leniusculus) from Three Regions in the Columbia River Basin, USA.

The objective of this study was to evaluate the relationship between clawless body mass (CBM) and total mercury concentration (THg) in male and female crayfish captured from three different sites in the Columbia River Basin: the Spokane River, Boise River and Hangman Creek. It was found that the allometric relationships for THg in male and female crayfish did not differ from one another at any of the three locations (Spokane River: ANCOVA, F1,49 = 0.001, p = 0.63; Hangman Creek: ANCOVA, F1,73 = 0.007, p = 0.93; Boise River: ANCOVA, F1,38 = 0.02, p = 0.88. Furthermore, the slopes of the CBM and THg regression lines were not significantly different from one site to the next (ANCOVA, F2,166 = 1.5 p = 0.24), despite considerable differences in mean mass-adjusted THg across locations (Spokane River: 26.8 ± 2.6; Hangman Creek: 75.2 ± 2.1; Boise River: 99.0 ± 2.9). For signal crayfish (Pacifastacus leniusculus) from the Columbia River Basin, size and sex standardization can be accomplished with a single linear relationship.

Identifying failure mechanisms of native riparian forest regeneration in a variable-width floodplain using a spatially-distributed riparian forest recruitment model

Native riparian forests provide the physical structure, nutrient inputs, and habitat elements necessary to support ecosystem function for many aquatic and terrestrial species. However, regeneration of these important ecotones is being negatively impacted by anthropogenic and climatic pressures, driving managers to consider creative ways to increase native forest recruitment. Decision-making tools currently have limited capacity to assist native forest management and restoration since most cannot identify which recruitment mechanisms fail or where those failures occur on the floodplain. In response, we reconfigured a validated spatially-distributed riparian forest recruitment model to identify the limiting recruitment mechanisms and delineate their spatial extent on the floodplain to guide and prioritize management and restoration efforts. Here we focus on native Salicaceae species, whose seed dispersal mechanism is primarily driven by hydrochory.Results indicate that the success of individual recruitment parameters in semi-confined river systems changes with both hydrologic condition and relative floodplain width (Wfp∗ = Wfloodplain/Wchannel). Overall, the disturbance mechanism (shear stress), required to create bare-soil conditions, was the most significant limitation to native forest recruitment in the system. Greater potential riparian recruitment occurs in wet hydrologic years than in average hydrologic years owing to greater floodplain inundation, but inundation alone is a poor success metric since recruitment requires an appropriate sequence of geomorphic disturbance, seed delivery, and water availability over the growing season. Consequently, narrow floodplains (Wfp∗< ∼3) have greater recruitment efficiency, potential recruitment per available floodplain area, than wide floodplains (Wfp∗> ∼3) but wide floodplains provide greater total potential recruitment area during wet hydrologic conditions. Model output maps that delineated individual and combined failure mechanisms during average and wet hydrologic years in the managed South Fork Boise River, USA were used to identify areas on the floodplain for potential restoration actions.

Urban stream syndrome: Quantifying topographic variation along an urban-rural gradient.

Topographic variation within fluvial systems is essential for providing a mosaic of physical habitats and supporting the dynamic hydraulic, geochemical, and biological processes that determine both aquatic and riparian ecosystem function. In highly-modified rivers through both urban and rural settings, the physical heterogeneity of alluvial channels has been diminished by anthropogenic activities. As riparian areas are increasingly under pressure from agricultural and urban development, identifying the geomorphic controls on physical heterogeneity through these environments is critical. In this study, we use the bed coefficient of variation (CV) extracted from a high-resolution bathymetric LiDAR survey as a dimensionless metric for topographic variation and physical heterogeneity over 100km of the Boise River corridor that spans an urban-rural gradient. Our CV results for both the streambed and channel demonstrate that the average topographic variation of reaches in urban areas is 22-25% lower than reaches located in rural areas along the same river. While these results initially support the application of the urban stream syndrome hypothesis, CV values had similar magnitudes in both urban and rural reaches suggesting there is a dominant control on topographic variation that was not directly related to urban land use. Analysis of CV values relative to normalized levee width indicates that the causative driver of morphologic simplification in the channel was lateral constraints from levees. In the Boise River, topographic variation increased linearly with normalized levee widths that ranged between 50% and >300% of the average channel width. Further, topographic variation was maximized in reaches where flow expansion during high discharge inundated between 1 and 2 times the average channel width (approximately 65-70% of the available floodplain). Our simple and objective watershed-scale approach leverages high-resolution topography data to identify reaches of high physical heterogeneity for river conservation, as well as help guide environmental flow releases in managed rivers.

By Horse, We Cross the Boise River

In these poems, the speaker grapples with various aspects of masculinity, including sexuality and body image. The poems consider how their subjects influence a speaker's relationship to place and the environment.

Effects of selenium treatment on endogenous antioxidant capacity in signal crayfish (Pacifastacus leniusculus)

Selenium is an essential element that plays a role in numerous physiological processes and is critical for the maintenance of a strong endogenous antioxidant system. Previous work by our research group reported that the organophosphate pesticide dimethoate decreased glutathione S-transferase activity (GST) in signal crayfish (Pacifastacus leniusculus) collected from the Boise River (Idaho, USA). The goals of this study were to examine whether: 1) sodium selenite modulated the endogenous antioxidants glutathione (GSH), metallothionein (MT), and glutathione S-transferase (GST), thus suggesting a mechanism of antioxidant activity, 2) dimethoate exposure (pro-oxidant stressor) decreased GST activity in a localized population of signal crayfish collected from the Snake River (Idaho, USA), and 3) investigate whether selenium cotreatment ameliorated the adverse effects of dimethoate on GST activity due to the antioxidant properties associated with selenium. Selenium and dimethoate treatments (and co-treatments) did not modulate GSH or MT concentrations at the doses tested in this study. Furthermore, neither selenium nor dimethoate was factors influencing GST activity, and no interaction was found between the treatments. While our results did not support our predictions, they are suggestive and future studies examining the protective role of selenium in pro-oxidant exposure in this species are warranted. Population-specific responses as well as seasonal variations in endogenous antioxidant expression should be considered in future experiments.

Linking exhumation, paleo-relief, and rift formation to magmatic processes in the western Snake River Plain, Idaho, using apatite (U-Th)/He thermochronology

Abstract The western Snake River Plain (WSRP) in southwest Idaho has been characterized as an intracontinental rift basin but differs markedly in topography and style from other Cordilleran extensional structures and structurally from the down-warped lava plain of the eastern Snake River Plain. To investigate mechanisms driving extension and topographic evolution, we sampled granitoid bedrock from Cretaceous and Eocene-aged plutons from the mountainous flanks of the WSRP to detail their exhumation history with apatite (U-Th)/He (AHe) thermochronometry. AHe cooling dates from seventeen samples range from 7.9 ± 1.4 Ma to 55 ± 10 Ma. Most cooling dates from Cretaceous plutons adjacent to the WSRP are Eocene, while Eocene intrusions from within the Middle Fork Boise River canyon ~35 km NE of the WSRP yield Miocene cooling dates. The AHe dates provide evidence of exhumation of the Idaho batholith during the Eocene, supporting a high relief landscape at that time, followed by decreasing relief. The Miocene AHe dates show rapid cooling along the Middle Fork Boise River that we take to indicate focused river incision due to base level fall in the WSRP. Eocene AHe dates limit magnitudes of exhumation and extension on the flanks of the WSRP during Miocene rift formation. This suggests extension was accommodated by magmatic intrusions and intrabasin faults rather than basin-bounding faults. We favor a model where WSRP extension was related to Columbia River Flood Basalt eruption and enhanced by later eruption of the Bruneau-Jarbidge and Twin Falls volcanic fields, explaining the apparent difference with other Cordilleran extensional structures.

UAS-based real-time water quality monitoring, sampling, and visualization platform (UASWQP)

Urbanization, land use change, and agricultural activities continue to affect water quality standards at the urban–rural interface, such as the Boise River System located in Idaho, USA. This project demonstrates how the off-the-shelf unmanned aircraft system (UAS, also known as drone) equipped with other necessary hardware attachments can be used to monitor real-time water quality components, including pH, water temperature, electric conductivity (EC), and dissolved oxygen at open waterbodies. The proposed UAS-based hardware platform for water quality studies (UASWQP) appears a promising tool to advance environmental research activities, especially for impaired waterways (e.g., rivers, lakes, and reservoirs). The preliminary result shows that the proposed UASWQP effectively displays water quality components in real-time to the ThingSpeak Cloud web services, while an adequate water sample was also collected easily for further analysis at laboratory facilities, when needed. It is anticipated that UASWQP will be a useful tool to promote environmental stewardship by contributing to the water research communities in years to come.

Post-wildfire riparian forest recovery processes along a regulated river corridor

Riparian forest recovery was monitored over a 23 km study site that encountered a mixed low to moderate severity wildfire on the floodplain that was followed by a sequence of flows ranging from below bankfull to a 50-year flood on the regulated South Fork Boise River, Idaho, USA. The goals of the study were to examine the dominant mechanisms of post-wildfire riparian forest regeneration along the river corridor in relation to upstream dam operations. Results are put in context with trends occurring in the regulated river system over the past 70 years that exemplify post-impoundment floodplain dynamics. Aerial imagery and field surveys were used to examine trends in geomorphic and forest response related to flow regulation, riparian wildfire, and a 50-year flood. Additionally, a one-dimensional sediment transport model was employed to assess seedling recruitment related to local and reach-scale erosional and depositional processes over a five-year period following the wildfire. A conceptual model is presented to illustrate riparian forest response to the interacting influences of fire severity and flood disturbance to help guide post-wildfire riparian forest management activities.Aerial imagery between 1957 and 2011 shows that flow regulation after dam closure led to channel narrowing of 62% of historic active channel width and an associated increase in floodplain tree density of 59%. This expansion of forest cover on the floodplain was at the expense of seedling recruitment habitat for pioneer species in the Salicaceae family that require bare sediment, light exposure, and access to the shallow groundwater. A 2013 riparian wildfire led to substantial top kill on the floodplain that provided a disturbance for potential seedling recruitment. However, dam releases during average and wet hydrologic conditions led to only 5% of the total observed seedling recruitment in the system occurring on the floodplain due to the limited magnitude of flood disturbances following the burn, highlighting the importance of the sequence of environmental flows immediately following riparian wildfire. Alternatively, 95% of seedling recruitment occurred within the active channel and was directly related to sediment transport processes. Post-wildfire related debris flows were responsible for providing the requisite sediment supply to the channel in an otherwise sediment supply-limited, regulated river system. Resultant sediment deposition was responsible for providing 100% of seedling recruitment habitat in the active channel during dam releases in average hydrologic conditions, whereas deposition accounted for 84% and erosion accounted for 16% of observed recruitment habitat during wet hydrologic conditions.

Decision-Making of LID-BMPs for Adaptive Water Management at the Boise River Watershed in a Changing Global Environment

We conducted a study on water management at the Boise River Watershed in a changing global environment potentially induced by climate variability and urbanization. Environmental ‘hotspots’ associated with water quality and quantity were first identified to select suitable management options, such as Low Impact Development (LID is commonly used for urban storm water management to reduce impacts induced by flash flood in urban environment while improving water quality standard by filtering non-point source pollutants from predominant, impervious land segments in urban settings.) and Best Management Practices (BMPs) for urban and rural land segments, respectively. A decision-making process was employed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness for each management option based on multiple criteria, including water quality, financial challenges, and other environmental concerns. The results show that LID/BMPs were useful to control water quality in the watershed. The effectiveness of LID/BMPs implementation was subject to change with the placement location and consideration objectives associated with economic or environmental aspects. It appears that about 10% of the study area is required to implement water management options (LID/BMP) to improve water quality potentially driven by climate variability and urbanization. We anticipate that this study will make a case toward developing a sustainable water management plan in a changing global environment, especially for the urban–rural interface settings.

Bannock (Fort Hall, Idaho)

Bannock (Fort Hall, Idaho)

Movement Dynamics of Smallmouth Bass in a Large Western River System

AbstractThe Snake River, Idaho, between Swan Falls and Brownlee dams supports a popular fishery for Smallmouth Bass Micropterus dolomieu. Recently, anglers have expressed concern about harvest of Smallmouth Bass associated with seasonal congregations in and near the lower reaches of several major tributaries. Little is known about Smallmouth Bass movement in the system, and a better understanding of movement dynamics will help to guide future management. From March to August 2016, Smallmouth Bass (≥260 mm; n = 1,131) were tagged with T‐bar anchor tags to evaluate large‐scale movement patterns. Movement was estimated from 63 angler‐reported tags for which area descriptions provided sufficient detail to assign a recapture location. Extent of fish movement varied among segments and tributaries from 0 to 128 river kilometers (rkm). From March to May 2017, Smallmouth Bass (≥305 mm; n = 149) in the Snake, Boise, Payette, and Weiser rivers and in Brownlee Reservoir were implanted with radio transmitters. Of the 149 Smallmouth Bass that were released with radio transmitters, 107 were relocated at least once. Additionally, 79.6% of fish with radio transmitters had a maximum extent of movement of 5 rkm or greater and 42.6% had a maximum extent of 30 rkm or greater; one radio‐tagged fish moved 167 rkm upstream. Average daily movement of Smallmouth Bass varied among river segments and was greatest in the spring and summer. Fish from the Snake River, tributaries (e.g., Boise River), and Brownlee Reservoir moved all around the study area, indicating an absence of clear population boundaries. As such, Smallmouth Bass in the study area appear to function as one large population as opposed to multiple subpopulations, thereby indicating that management as one population is likely appropriate.

A Study on Climate-Driven Flash Flood Risks in the Boise River Watershed, Idaho

We conducted a study on climate-driven flash flood risk in the Boise River Watershed using flood frequency analysis and climate-driven hydrological simulations over the next few decades. Three different distribution families, including the Gumbel Extreme Value Type I (GEV), the 3-parameter log-normal (LN3) and log-Pearson type III (LP3) are used to explore the likelihood of potential flash flood based on the 3-day running total streamflow sequences (3D flows). Climate-driven ensemble streamflows are also generated to evaluate how future climate variability affects local hydrology associated with potential flash flood risks. The result indicates that future climate change and variability may contribute to potential flash floods in the study area, but incorporating embedded-uncertainties inherited from climate models into water resource planning would be still challenging because grand investments are necessary to mitigate such risks within institutional and community consensus. Nonetheless, this study will provide useful insights for water managers to plan out sustainable water resources management under an uncertain and changing climate.

Approximating Input Data to a Snowmelt Model Using Weather Research and Forecasting Model Outputs in Lieu of Meteorological Measurements

Abstract Forecasting the timing and magnitude of snowmelt and runoff is critical to managing mountain water resources. Warming temperatures are increasing the rain–snow transition elevation and are limiting the forecasting skill of statistical models relating historical snow water equivalent to streamflow. While physically based methods are available, they require accurate estimations of the spatial and temporal distribution of meteorological variables in complex terrain. Across many mountainous areas, measurements of precipitation and other meteorological variables are limited to a few reference stations and are not adequate to resolve the complex interactions between topography and atmospheric flow. In this paper, we evaluate the ability of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model to approximate the inputs required for a physics-based snow model, iSnobal, instead of using meteorological measurements, for the Boise River Basin (BRB) in Idaho, United States. An iSnobal simulation using station data from 40 locations in and around the BRB resulted in an average root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 4.5 mm compared with 12 SNOTEL measurements. Applying WRF forcings alone was associated with an RMSE of 10.5 mm, while including a simple bias correction to the WRF outputs of temperature and precipitation reduced the RMSE to 6.5 mm. The results highlight the utility of using WRF outputs as input to snowmelt models, as all required input variables are spatiotemporally complete. This will have important benefits in areas with sparse measurement networks and will aid snowmelt and runoff forecasting in mountainous basins.

Quantifying the Performances of the Semi-Distributed Hydrologic Model in Parallel Computing—A Case Study

The research features how parallel computing can advance hydrological performances associated with different calibration schemes (SCOs). The result shows that parallel computing can save up to 90% execution time, while achieving 81% simulation improvement. Basic statistics, including (1) index of agreement (D), (2) coefficient of determination (R2), (3) root mean square error (RMSE), and (4) percentage of bias (PBIAS) are used to evaluate simulation performances after model calibration in computer parallelism. Once the best calibration scheme is selected, additional efforts are made to improve model performances at the selected calibration target points, while the Rescaled Adjusted Partial Sums (RAPS) is used to evaluate the trend in annual streamflow. The qualitative result of reducing execution time by 86% on average indicates that parallel computing is another avenue to advance hydrologic simulations in the urban-rural interface, such as the Boise River Watershed, Idaho. Therefore, this research will provide useful insights for hydrologists to design and set up their own hydrological modeling exercises using the cost-effective parallel computing described in this case study.

On the role of spatial resolution on snow estimates using a process‐based snow model across a range of climatology and elevation

AbstractHydrological processes in mountainous settings depend on snow distribution, whose prediction accuracy is a function of model spatial scale. Although model accuracy is expected to improve with finer spatial resolution, an increase in resolution comes with modelling costs related to increased computational time and greater input data and parameter information. This computational and data collection expense is still a limiting factor for many large watersheds. Thus, this work's main objective is to question which physical processes lead to loss in model accuracy with regard to input spatial resolution under different climatic conditions and elevation ranges. To address this objective, a spatially distributed snow model, iSnobal, was run with inputs distributed at 50‐m—our benchmark for comparison—and 100‐m resolutions and with aggregated (averaged from the fine to the large resolution) inputs from the 50‐m model to 100‐, 250‐, 500‐, and 750‐m resolution for wet, average, and dry years over the Upper Boise River Basin (6,963 km2), which spans four elevation bands: rain dominated, rain–snow transition, and snow dominated below treeline and above treeline. Residuals, defined as differences between values quantified with high resolution (&gt;50 m) models minus the benchmark model (50 m), of simulated snow‐covered area (SCA) and snow water equivalent (SWE) were generally slight in the aggregated scenarios. This was due to transferring the effects of topography on meteorological variables from the 50‐m model to the coarser scales through aggregation. Residuals in SCA and SWE in the distributed 100‐m simulation were greater than those of the aggregated 750 m. Topographic features such as slope and aspect were simplified, and their gradient was reduced due to coarsening the topography from the 50‐ to 100‐m resolution. Therefore, solar radiation was overestimated, and snow drifting was modified and caused substantial SCA and SWE underestimation in the distributed 100‐m model relative to the 50‐m model. Large residuals were observed in the wet year and at the highest elevation band when and where snow mass was large. These results support that model accuracy is substantially reduced with model scales coarser than 50 m.

Morpho-molecular Characterization of the Litostomatean Predatory Ciliate Phialina pupula (Müller, 1773) Foissner, 1983 (Haptoria, Lacrymariidae)

The morphology and phylogenetic position of a haptorian ciliate, Phialina pupula (Müller, 1773) Foissner, 1983, isolated from microaerobic sandy sediments of the floodplain area of the Boise River, Idaho, U.S.A., were studied using live observation, protargol impregnation, scanning electron microscopy, and the 18S rRNA gene as well as the ITS region. The Boise population of P. pupula is characterized by a size of about 60–130 × 20–50 μm, an elliptical macronucleus with a single micronucleus, highly refractive dumbbell-shaped inclusions scattered throughout the cytoplasm and concentrated in the anterior body half, a single subterminal/terminal contractile vacuole, about 10 μm long rod-shaped extrusomes, and an average of 15 ciliary rows. In phylogenetic analyses, the newly obtained sequences from P. pupula and Lacrymaria olor clustered within the family Lacrymariidae with full to moderate statistical support. Neither the genus Phialina nor the genus Lacrymaria was depicted monophyletic both in the single gene and multigene phylogenetic inferences. Specifically, the genus Phialina was shown as a paraphyletic assemblage containing members of the polyphyletic genus Lacrymaria. This indicates that the phialinid bauplan, i.e., an anterior body end differentiated into a head-like structure directly attached to the trunk, might represent the ground pattern in the family Lacrymariidae. On the other hand, the long highly contractile neck carrying the head-like structure probably evolved later and convergently in multiple Lacrymaria species from Phialina-like ancestors.

Modeling Hydrological and Environmental Consequences of Climate Change and Urbanization in the Boise River Watershed, Idaho

AbstractThe potential impacts driven by climate variability and urbanization in the Boise River Watershed (BRW), located in southwestern Idaho, are evaluated. The outcomes from Global Circulation Models (GCMs) and land use and land cover (LULC) analysis have been incorporated into a hydrological and environmental modeling framework to characterize how climate variability and urbanization can affect the local hydrology and environment at the BRW. The combined impacts of future climate and LULC change are also evaluated relative to the historical baseline conditions. For modeling exercises, Hydrological Simulation Program‐Fortran (HSPF) is used in parallel computing and statistical techniques, including spatial downscaling and bias correlation, are employed to evaluate climate consequences derived from GCMs as well. The implications of climate variability and land use change driven by urbanization are then observed to evaluate how these overall global challenges can affect water quantity and quality conditions at the BRW. The results show the combined impacts of both climate change and urbanization can lead to more seasonal variability of streamflow (from −27.5% to 12.5%) and water quality, including sediment (from −36.5% to 49.3%), nitrogen (from −24% to 124.2%), and phosphorus (from −13.3% to 21.2%) during summer and early fall over the next several decades.

Climate Change and Curtailment: Evaluating Water Management Practices in the Context of Changing Runoff Regimes in a Snowmelt-Dominated Basin

Hydrologic scientists and water resource managers often focus on different facets of flow regimes in changing climates. The objective of this work is to examine potential hydrological changes in the Upper Boise River Basin, Idaho, USA in the context of biophysical variables and their impacts a key variable governing administration of water resources in the region in an integrated way. This snowmelt-dominated, mountainous watershed supplies water to a semi-arid, agriculturally intensive, but rapidly urbanizing, region. Using the Envision integrated modeling framework, we created a hydrological model to simulate hydrological response to the year 2100 using six alternative future climate trajectories. Annual discharge increased from historical values by 6–24% across all simulations (with an average 13% increase), reflecting an increase in precipitation in the climate projections. Discharge peaked 4–33 days earlier and streamflow center of timing occurred 4–17 days earlier by midcentury. Examining changes in the date junior water rights holders begin to be curtailed regionally (the Day of Allocation), we found that the it occurs at least 14 days earlier by 2100 across all simulations, with one suggesting it could occur over a month earlier. These results suggest that current methods and policies of water rights accounting and management may need to be revised moving into the future.