Bohai Strait Research Articles

Decadal variation and temporal stability of the macrobenthic community in the Bohai Sea, China

Biodiversity in the Bohai Sea is threatened by climate change and human activities. An analysis based on decadal macrobenthic community data was conducted to assess the ecological health. These findings revealed the temporal and spatial variations in species composition and biodiversity, which were primarily influenced by depth, temperature and dissolved oxygen content. The community structure in 2014 exhibited a 70 % dissimilarity compared to other years, and biodiversity was lower in 2014. The dominant species showed a trend towards miniaturization. Abundance-biomass comparison curves indicated that community disturbance improved by implementing various policies. Overall, communities in the Bohai Sea remained stable, except in the Bohai Strait (BH), where synchronous fluctuations with an increasing trend were observed. Enhancing biodiversity and addressing the risks associated with losing single species are essential for maintaining community stability. The community also displayed synchronous tendencies in Laizhou Bay, emphasizing the need for continued long-term monitoring.

Development of an improved Bayesian network method for maritime accident safety assessment based on multiscale scenario analysis theory

The strait is infrastructure for connecting ports, ensuring the national economy and human life. Assessing maritime safety is crucial for strait operation and maintenance. Current methods over-rely on statistical analysis of historical data, which lacks scientific algorithms and cannot accurately assess safety timeliness. Therefore, this study proposes an improved Bayesian network (BN) model based on the multiscale scenario analysis theory to process to the maritime safety assessment process. Firstly, the maritime safety assessment model is constructed based on the knowledge element theory (KET) and scenario analysis theory (SAT). Secondly, a heuristic learning algorithm is used to construct the BN model of maritime accidents to define scenario elements and key parameters. Thirdly, a scenario simulation is conducted with the Bohai Strait as a case to assessment its emergency capability in catastrophic accidents. This paper successfully developed a maritime accident safety assessment framework using an improved BN algorithm within a scenario analysis perspective, significantly enhancing the accuracy and reliability of safety assessments. This methodology used in this study can be used a tool suitable for the safety assessment of major infrastructure accidents at the national level and the results obtained can serve as a reference for dynamically revising emergency plans.

Analysis of Tidal Current Energy Potential in the Major Channels of the Bohai Strait Based on Delft3D

Analysis of Tidal Current Energy Potential in the Major Channels of the Bohai Strait Based on Delft3D

Abundance and Seasonal Migration Patterns of Green Lacewings (Neuroptera: Chrysopidae) across the Bohai Strait in Eastern Asia.

Many insects, including green lacewings, migrate seasonally to exploit suitable breeding and winter habitats. Green lacewings are important natural enemies of insect pests worldwide. Here, four dominant green lacewing species, Chrysoperla nipponensis (Okamoto), Chrysopa pallens (Rambur), Chrysoperla furcifera (Okamoto), and Chrysopa formosa Brauer, were investigated for their ability to migrate between northern and northeastern China across the Bohai Strait from late May to late October each year. Furthermore, there were significant interannual and seasonal differences in the number of migratory green lacewings collected. The number of green lacewings in spring was significantly lower than that in summer and autumn, and the highest average number of green lacewings occurred in June. In addition, there were differences in the sex ratio of migrating green lacewings between months, with a greater proportion of females than males. Finally, the seasonal migration trajectories simulated by the HYSPLIT model revealed that the green lacewings captured on Beihuang Island primarily originated from Shandong Province. Accordingly, these findings contribute to our understanding of green lacewing migration in eastern Asia and aid its incorporation within integrated pest management (IPM) packages for several crop pests. Furthermore, long-term tracking of migrant insect populations can reveal ecosystem services and trophic dynamic processes at the macroscale.

A study on wave climate variability along the nearshore regions of Bohai Sea based on long term observation data

The Bohai Sea off the coast of northern China plays important economic and ecological roles. No studies have been conducted on wave characteristics in the Bohai Sea nearshore area using ocean station data in the past. Observational data (1998–2022) from eight ocean-stations in the Bohai Sea were used in the present study. Overall, wave height (Hs) was small; winter seasons had higher Hs than summer seasons, and the maximum Hs occurred in the Bohai Strait. Joint distribution analysis indicated that waves with Hs ranging from 0.2 to 0.4 m, and mean wave periods (Tm) ranging from 3 to 3.5 s, were most common. Hs in the Bohai Sea nearshore area showed a weak response to climate variability and was moderately correlated with the Ocean Niño Index (ONI) and the North Pacific Index (NPI) in winter, and with the Arctic Oscillation (AO) in summer. Under extreme conditions, Hs was best described by a Generalized Pareto distribution, Tm was best described by a GEV distribution, and wave directions mainly followed a t location-scale distribution. The maximum wave height (Hmax)/Hs was 1.51, and the ratio varied with location. Machine learning methods were used to calculate Hmax more precisely, and they yielded better results than statistical methods.

Sediment resuspension and transport due to synoptic winter winds in the Bohai Sea

The Bohai Sea is the receiving basin of the Yellow River (Huanghe), one of the largest contributors of global terrestrial materials to the sea. An area of fine-grained sediment deposition extends northeast of the Yellow River and its formation mechanism is still unclear. A calibrated, high-resolution coupled model of the Bohai and Yellow Seas was used to investigate sediment transport pathways in the region under the influence of strong and varying winds in winter. Numerical results highlight the importance of storm events in modifying the regional sediment resuspension and transport. During winter, the prevailing winds are typically from the northeast and northwest, interspersed by relaxation periods with weak winds. Winds influenced the currents and sediment movement in the Bohai Sea through several processes: local wind waves and resuspension, coastal-trapped waves in the Bohai Sea, and remotely forced coastal-trapped waves in the Yellow Sea. During northwesterly winds, sediment off the Yellow River Delta was mainly transported eastward along the south coast of Bohai Sea and escaped the Bohai Sea through the southern Bohai Strait. When northeasterly winds prevailed, sediment transport split into three branches: westward into the Bohai Bay, northeastward to the central Bohai Sea, and eastward along the south coast of Bohai Sea. Modeling results driven by synoptic winds indicate a more complex sediment transport pattern than previously understood with monthly average wind forcing. These findings challenge the traditional view of predominantly eastward sediment transport during winter and help to explain the observed grain size distribution in the Bohai Sea, in particular the accumulation of fine-grained sediments northeast of the Yellow River.

Non-negligible contribution from coastal erosion to sedimentation around the archipelago: A case study of Miaodao Archipelago

The Miaodao Archipelago, located in the southern Bohai Strait, serves as a major route for the exchange of energy and materials between the Yellow and Bohai seas and is distinguished by a complicated hydrodynamic environment and provenance. Based on the grain size and elemental data of 107 surface sediment samples from the archipelago waters, and 58 coastal erosional sediment and bedrock samples, this study investigated the factors influencing the geochemical elemental distribution, discusses the provenance of the surface sediments and relative contributions, as well as proposes a sediment source–sink model for the region. The distribution of major and trace elements in the surface sediments, typically characterized by “high in the north, low in the south” patterning (except for SiO2, Ba, and Sr), with their contents primarily controlled by the input of terrestrial materials. The surface sediments in the study area are separated into the geochemical subdivisions of north and south. The main provenances of the study area include the Yellow River, the nearshore Miaodao Archipelago, and the north side of nearshore Penglai, whose sediments were transported under the combined action of the Shandong Peninsula's tidal current, waves, and longshore current. Deposition occurred under the capturing action of the archipelago. The relative contributions of the three provenance areas were 74.7%, 15.5%, and 9.8%, respectively; the relative contribution of coastal erosion reaches 1/3 of the river. Studies have demonstrated that the contribution of coastal erosion provenances to sea surface sediments is non-negligible, and in fact, it may even be quite important; thus, in the context of decreasing riverine inputs to the sea and enhanced coastal erosion processes, the contribution of coastal erosion requires special attention.

Three-dimensional fine crust-mantle structure imaging and structural characteristics of Bohai Sea

This study used the consistency-constrained double-difference tomography method to invert 3D fine structure models of Vp, Vs, Vp/Vs at depths above 60 km, and precise relocation parameters of earthquakes in the Bohai Sea. According to the results, the velocity structures of P-wave and S-wave in the Bohai Sea area were highly similar and demonstrated noticeable lateral non-uniformity. The crust beneath the Tanlu Fault displayed a clear stratification structure, with a continuous velocity transition in the middle of the crust. The intricate crustal structure beneath the Zhangpeng Fault displayed high-velocity bodies in the crust and low-velocity anomalous zones connected to the top of the mantle in the lower section of the crust. The structural pattern in the deep crust of the Bohai Sea controls the occurrence characteristics of the Zhangpeng Fault and the Tanlu Fault. The earthquakes in the Bohai Sea area were concentrated mainly in the southern part near the Zhangpeng Fault. There is a good correspondence between the relocated earthquakes and velocity structure. There are many significant differences in crustal structure between the north and south of the Bohai Strait, and there are obvious velocity anomalies in the middle and upper crust. The distribution shape of high Vp/Vs value indicates that mantle material migration has occurred at the bottom of the crust. This paper provided important reference for further research on the relationship between deep tectonic features and tectonic activity in the North China Craton.

Quantitative Retrieval of Chlorophyll-a Concentrations in the Bohai–Yellow Sea Using GOCI Surface Reflectance Products

As an environmental parameter, the chlorophyll-a concentration (Chl-a) is essential for monitoring water quality and managing the marine ecosystem. However, current mainstream Chl-a inversion algorithms have limited accuracy and poor spatial and temporal generalization in Case II waters. In this study, we constructed a quantitative model for retrieving the spatial and temporal distribution of Chl-a in the Bohai–Yellow Sea area using Geostationary Ocean Color Imager (GOCI) spectral remote sensing reflectance (Rrsλ) products. Firstly, the GOCI Rrsλ correction model based on measured spectral data was proposed and evaluated. Then, the feature variables of the band combinations with the highest correlation with Chl-a were selected. Subsequently, Chl-a inversion models were developed using three empirical ocean color algorithms (OC4, OC5, and YOC) and four machine learning methods: BP neural network (BPNN), random forest (RF), AdaBoost, and support vector regression (SVR). The retrieval results showed that the machine learning methods were much more accurate than the empirical algorithms and that the RF model retrieved Chl-a with the best performance and the highest prediction accuracy, with a determination coefficient R2 of 0.916, a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.212 mg·m−3, and a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 14.27%. Finally, the Chl-a distribution in the Bohai–Yellow Sea using the selected RF model was derived and analyzed. Spatially, Chl-a was high in the Bohai Sea, including in Laizhou Bay, Bohai Bay, and Liaodong Bay, with a value higher than 4 mg·m−3. Chl-a in the Bohai Strait and northern Yellow Sea was relatively low, with a value of less than 3 mg·m−3. Temporally, the inversion results showed that Chl-a was considerably higher in winter and spring compared to autumn and summer. Diurnal variation retrieval effectively demonstrated GOCI’s potential as a capable tool for monitoring intraday changes in chlorophyll-a concentrations.

Quaternary pollen record and paleoenvironmental evolution of the Bohai Sea strait

Based on the sedimentary features and pollen found in borehole BHS01, the Quaternary transgression and paleoenvironment of the Bohai Sea were reconstructed by divide the core into 13 spore-pollen assemblage zones that reflect environmental changes that have occurred since the late early Pleistocene. The results show paleovegetation zonation and paleogeographic changes, with paleoclimatic variations indicating significant fluctuations between cold and warm periods. Cold periods including Zones 1, 3, and 5 which correspond to terrestrial deposits, whereas warm periods in Zones 2, 4, and 6, and the paleoclimate warms between Zones 7 and 13 accompanied by an increase in the vegetation and number of plant species. In general, the Bohai Strait has stable sedimentary land development from 2.25 to 0.89 Ma when transgression began which may correspond to the development of the Bohai paleolake, and the strait began marine sedimentation later. The most recent transgression occurred during the Holocene (10.65 ka), the T-2 (MIS 3) transgression does not appear to have been recorded in the Bohai Strait, and the third marine phase was deposited no earlier than 0.24 Ma.

A Domain-Based Model for Identifying Regional Collision Risk and Depicting Its Geographical Distribution

In recent years, the increasing volume and complexity of ship traffic has raised the probability of collision accidents in ports, waterways, and coastal waters. Due to the relative rarity of collision accidents, near misses have been used in the research to study the collision risk in the relevant water areas. However, the factor of near miss identification is usually limited to the relative distance between ships, and the instantaneous quantification and geographical distribution of collision risk is not paid enough attention. Therefore, this article proposed a domain-based regional collision risk model that can quantify the collision risk by detecting near miss scenarios. The proposed model is capable of quantifying the collision risk in the water area instantaneously and periodically and can be used to depict the geographical distribution of collision risks in combination with a grid method and the spatial interpolation technique. To validate the proposed model, some experimental case studies were carried out using automatic identification system (AIS) data from the Bohai Strait. The results show the capability and advantage of the proposed model in regional collision risk identification and visualization, which is helpful for maritime surveillance when monitoring and organizing ship traffic and may therefore contribute to the improvement of maritime safety.

Regional Pollination Activity by Moth Migration in Athetis lepigone.

Nocturnal moths (Lepidoptera) are important pollinators of a wide range of plant species. Understanding the foraging preferences of these insects is essential for their scientific management. However, this information is lacking for most moth species. The present study was therefore conducted to delineate the host plant feeding and pollination ranges of an agriculturally important nocturnal moth species Athetis lepigone by identifying the pollen species adhering to their bodies during long-distance migration. Pollen grains were dislodged from 1871 A. lepigone migrants captured on Beihuang Island in the Bohai Strait between 2020 and 2021. This region is a key seasonal migration pathway for A. lepigone in northern China. Almost 20% of all moths sampled harbored pollens, providing direct evidences that this moth species may serve as pollinators. Moreover, at least 39 pollen taxa spanning 21 plant families and 31 genera were identified, with a preference for Asteraceae, Amaranthaceae, and Pinaceae. Additionally, the pollen adherence ratios and taxa varied with moth sex, inter-annual changes, and seasonal fluctuations. Most importantly, the pollen taxa were correlated with insect migration stages and indicated that A. lepigone bidirectionally migrates between central China (Shandong, Hebei, and Henan Provinces) and northeastern China (Liaoning Province). Overall, the findings of the present work provide valuable information on the pollination behavior, geographical origins, and pollination regions of A. lepigone moths and could facilitate the design and optimization of efficacious local and regional management strategies for this important insect.

Tide-Induced Upwelling and Its Three-Dimensional Balance of the Vertical Component of Vorticity in the Wider Area of the Bohai Strait

Upwelling is a widespread phenomenon in the ocean and plays key roles in the marine environment, marine fishery and air–sea carbon exchange. In coastal regions, the upwelling is usually modulated by tides and complex topography, but the dynamical mechanism is still unclear and yet to be quantified. In this study, a three-dimensional (3D) regional ocean model is used to investigate tide-induced upwelling and its mechanisms quantitatively in the mouth of a semi-closed bay, the Bohai Strait, which is a tide-dominated coastal region. The results show that the upwelling mainly occurs near the tidal front in the north of the Laotieshan Channel and the southern region of the front, with the most active upwelling existing off promontories and small islands. Numerical sensitivity experiments indicate that the upwelling in the study area is mainly caused by tides, accounting for approximately 86% of the total. The 3D balance of the vertical component of the vorticity based on the model results quantifies the dynamic processes of the upwelling and reveals that tides induce the upwelling through tidal mixing and nonlinear effects. In the tidal front zone, the upwelling is mainly caused by baroclinic processes related to tidal mixing. Off promontories and small islands, we first reveal that the upwelling is driven by both the tidal mixing and nonlinear effect related to centrifugal force rather than just one of the two mechanisms, and the latter plays a dominant role in producing the upwelling. The strong nonlinear effect is attributed to the periodic movement of barotropic tidal currents rather than the mean flow.

Discontinuity of sediment transport from the Bohai Sea to the open sea dominated by the wind direction

The sediment transport of the Bohai Sea through the Bohai Strait is a key issue in coastal shelf research. Based on remote sensing data and numerical simulation results, the sediment transport from the Bohai Sea to the Yellow sea is temporally discontinuous, and the surface and bottom layers exhibit two distinct processes. Further analysis showed that discontinuities are caused by differences in stratification intensity due to wind directions. During strong northwesterly winds, suspended sediments from the Bohai Sea can be transported along the Laizhou Bay through the southern part of Bohai Strait. And northeasterly wind can strengthen the stratification by driving stronger the Yellow Sea Warm Current. Strong stratification significantly inhibited the upward diffusion of the bottom suspended sediments. Stratification with different intensities can affect the efficiency of sediment transport, which can overcome the limitations of the sediment transport mechanism in the Bohai Sea. The insights obtained in this study into the effect of stratification on sediment transport could benefit further exploration of other hydrological mechanisms in coastal shelf seas.

Temporal variations of the two oxygen depleted zones in the Bohai Sea

The Bohai Sea (BS) has been experiencing prominent deoxygenation in recent years that forms a typically coastal oxygen depleted region in summer. A three-dimensional coupled physical-biogeochemical model was used in this study to investigate temporal variations of the two separately-developing oxygen depleted zones in the BS. Comparison with observations shows a good model performance for multi-year’s oxygen depletion simulation. Two separately-developing oxygen depleted cores are always identified in these years with a threshold of oxygen concentration less than 3 mg/L. The oxygen depletion in the northern core is generally more severe with larger areas and lower oxygen minima. During the evolution of oxygen depletion, the bottom oxygen concentration decreases more smoothly in the northern core, while fluctuates frequently in the southern core. Nonetheless, the oxygen depletion in both cores fades away almost simultaneously, with a sudden oxygen increase in late summer or early autumn. Oxygen budget estimation indicates that the biological oxygen consumption in the southern core is greater than that in the northern core, but compensated by the oxygen replenishment of oxygen-rich water from the Bohai Strait and vertical diffusion of the water column, which is less in the northern core, so that the oxygen depletion in the northern core is more severe. During oxygen depletion development in June and July, bottom oxygen in the southern core is more susceptible to strong winds than the northern core attributed to differences in topography, with a shallower and smoother bathymetry leading to weaker water column stability in summer. Recognition of characteristics of the two separate oxygen depleted cores would advance understanding spatial pattern of oxygen dynamics and provide a basis for statistical seasonal prediction of coastal oxygen depletion with consideration of spatial heterogeneity.

Seabirds in China in the face of industrial activities and oil spill: lessons learnt from Bohai Bay

Seabirds play essential roles in both terrestrial and marine ecosystems, but oil spill and habitat loss through reclamation and degradation have long been adversely affecting their populations worldwide, and thus affecting the well-being of terrestrial and marine ecosystems. In this study, using Bohai Bay in north China, a semi-closed continental sea where oil and gas activities and habitat loss are happening at a rapid pace as an example, threats for seabirds and their overlap with highly-risked areas in terms of an oil spill are reviewed. The results showed that while Bohai Bay is one of the most important sites for seabirds and waterbirds on the eastern China coast, oil spills and habitat loss are affecting the population of the birds. We concluded that sea birds in Bohai are at severe risks of oil spill and habitat loss, oil spill risks are especially high for autumn migrants, residents and winter birds, while habitat loss harms less ocean-dependent species. Accordingly, more focused and oriented efforts should be done in establishing conservation areas among Bohai Strait and the north side of the Shandong Peninsula and the western Bohai coast where overlap between bird diversity hotspots and potential exposure to habitat loss and oil spill occurs. And a general insight into how are given species affected by the two factors is given. This study enhances our understanding of seabirds vulnerabilities, what has been neglected, and what should be more well-noticed in future conservational endeavors.

Drastic Fluctuation in Water Exchange Between the Yellow Sea and Bohai Sea Caused by Typhoon Lekima in August 2019: A Numerical Study

AbstractConnecting the Bohai Sea (BS) and Yellow Sea (YS), the Bohai Strait is vital in controlling physical‐biogeochemical conditions in the East Asian marginal seas. In August 2019, Typhoon Lekima moved northward inland into eastern China and caused drastic water exchange through the Bohai Strait. The specific variation and underlying dynamics involved were investigated with observations and high‐resolution numerical simulations. Volume transport featured an intense inflow followed by an intense outflow, with a fluctuation magnitude of 1.88 Sv, which was much greater than the seasonal‐interannual variations. The corresponding current patterns presented three phases: strait‐wide inflow, strait‐wide outflow, and outflow in the south and inflow in the north. The strait‐wide inflow was driven by strong east‐northeasterly winds through local Ekman dynamics. The strait‐wide outflow resulted from the dynamic adjustment of ocean currents accompanying the rapid weakening of easterly winds. The third current pattern was part of a large‐scale cyclonic circulation in the BS and North YS and was governed by different factors in the southern and northern straits. Further comparisons indicated that transport caused by winter storms and other typhoons in the year had opposite phase variations to that caused by Lekima. The underlying dynamics mainly involved local Ekman dynamics and/or remote wind forcing via the propagation of coastal trapped waves but could differ greatly from events. Finally, we found that to a large extent, geostrophic transport derived from the sea surface height difference across the Bohai Strait could be used as actual transport during synoptic weather events.

Lightweight Small Ship Detection Algorithm Combined with Infrared Characteristic Analysis for Autonomous Navigation

Merchant ships sometimes fail to detect small ships at night and in poor visibility, leading to urgent situations and even collisions. Infrared (IR) cameras have inherent advantages in small target detection and become essential environmental awareness equipment on unmanned ships. The existing target detection models are complex and difficult to deploy on small devices. Lightweight detection algorithms are needed with the increase in the number of shipborne cameras. Therefore, herein, a lightweight model for small IR ship detection was selected as the research object. IR videos were collected in the Bohai Strait, the image sampling interval was calculated, and an IR dataset of small ships was constructed. Based on the analysis of the characteristics of the IR ship images, gamma transform was used to preprocess the images, which increased the gray difference between the target and background. The backbone of YOLOv5 was replaced with that of Mobilev3 to improve the computing efficiency. Finally, the results showed that the parameters of the proposed model were reduced by 83% compared with those of the YOLOv5m model, while the detection performance was almost the same.

Pollen Molecular Identification from a Long-Distance Migratory Insect, Spodoptera exigua, as Evidenced for Its Regional Pollination in Eastern Asia.

Understanding plant-insect interactions requires the uncovering of the host plant use of insect herbivores, but such information is scarce for most taxa, including nocturnal moth species, despite their vital role as herbivores and pollinators. In this study, we determined the plant species visited by an important moth species, Spodoptera exigua, by analyzing attached pollen on migratory individuals in Northeast China. Pollen grains were dislodged from 2334 S. exigua long-distance migrants captured between 2019 and 2021 on a small island in the center of the Bohai Strait, which serves as a seasonal migration pathway for this pest species, and 16.1% of the tested moths exhibited pollen contamination, primarily on the proboscis. Subsequently, 33 taxa from at least 23 plant families and 29 genera were identified using a combination of DNA barcoding and pollen morphology, primarily from the Angiosperm, Dicotyledoneae. Moreover, the sex, inter-annual, and seasonal differences in pollen adherence ratio and pollen taxa were revealed. Notably, compared to previously reported pollen types found on several other nocturnal moths, we found that almost all of the above 33 pollen taxa can be found in multiple nocturnal moth species, providing another important example of conspecific attraction. Additionally, we also discussed the indicative significance of the pollen present on the bodies of migratory individuals for determining their migratory route. Overall, by delineating the adult feeding and pollination behavior of S. exigua, we advanced our understanding of the interactions of the moths with their host plants, and its migration pattern, as well as facilitated the design of (area-wide) management strategies to preserve and optimize ecosystem services that they provide.

Geographic information system-based comprehensive oil spill risk assessment in China’s Bohai Sea

The Chinese Bohai Sea is a semi-enclosed, highly vulnerable continental sea that is exposed to the risk of oil spills due to offshore oil and gas activities. In this study, a geographic information system (GIS)-based “tanks–pipelines–platforms–ships–channels” (TPPSC) comprehensive framework, including a storage tank indicator, a pipeline indicator, a platform indicator, a ship indicator, and a channel indicator, was built to analyze the comprehensive marine oil spill risk in the Bohai Sea and to show the spatial differentiation of risk using GIS and the entropy weight method (EWM). The proposed method will overcome the shortcomings of the traditional statistical and scenario analysis theories. The results show that extremely high-risk areas are mostly located in Liaodong Bay and Bohai Bay; high-risk areas are located in the Bohai Strait and on the north side of the Shandong Peninsula; moderate-risk areas are mainly located on both sides of the Bohai Strait; low-risk areas are located on the south side of Liaodong Bay, in the middle of the Bohai Strait, and in Laizhou Bay; and extremely low-risk areas are located on the west side of Bohai Bay, the south side of Laizhou Bay, and the middle of the Bohai Sea. This framework demonstrated the applicability of the new risk assessment model, and the evaluation tests provided useful information for future research on marine oil spill risk management.