Frequency analyses of rainfall and runoff at Ootacamund (the Nilgiris) under conditions of natural grassland and savannah “Shola” land have been carried out. Availability of water at different probabilities during different months after conversion of natural grasslands into bluegum (eucalyptus) plantations has also been worked out. Investigations revealed that the maximum rainfall occurs during the month of July (298.2 mm at 50% chance) and the minimum is received during January (1.5 mm at 50% chance). On an average, the expected total flow and base flow under natural conditions of grasslands and “Shola” are 31% and 22% respectively of the expected rainfall of the region. The expected available total flow is maximum (45.8 mm at 50% chance) during the month of August out of which 31.18 mm is contributed by base flow. The minimum expected available water is observed during January–April (the lowest during March). Plantation of bluegum in natural grasslands further reduces water yield by about 23% (at 50% chance) during these months. These reductions in water yield during lean months may affect the water supply into the downstream hydroelectric reservoirs in the region. Hence, caution may have to be exercised while planning large-scale conversion of natural grasslands into bluegum plantations.
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