ABSTRACT Scholars often describe vacant land as both a symptom of and a contributing factor to neighborhood decline. Not only does vacant land signal neighborhood distress and unsustainable development, but it also acts as a feedback mechanism that accelerates and perpetuates the decline in social and economic sustainability. However, our knowledge of the mutual relationship between vacant land and the decline in neighborhood social and economic sustainability remains limited due to a lack of empirical evidence. This study employed cross-lagged modeling to explore the bidirectional associations of vacant land with critical social and economic sustainability measures at the neighborhood level in Chicago, Illinois. The findings reveal that vacant land has a complex relationship with neighborhood social and economic sustainability, notably featuring mutually reinforcing associations of vacant land with crime and poverty. This study also highlights that vacant land exhibits both persistent and self-perpetuating effects over time, thereby contributing to the long-term decline in social and economic sustainability.
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