Bayesian False Discovery Probability Research Articles

Genetic variations in immune mediators and prostate cancer risk: A field synopsis with Bayesian calculations

ObjectiveOur study aimed to revaluate the significant data from meta-analyses on genetic variations in immune mediators and the risk of prostate cancer (PCa) by Bayesian approaches. MethodsWe performed a search on the literature before September 5th, 2023, for meta-analytic studies on polymorphisms in immune mediator genes and the risk of PCa. Two Bayesian approaches were used to assess the level of noteworthiness in the meta-analytic data: the False-Positive Rate Probability (FPRP) and the Bayesian False Discovery Probability (BFDP) with a statistical power of 1.2 and 1.5 of Odds Ratio at a prior probability of 10−3 and 10−6. The quality evaluation of studies was performed with the Venice criteria. Gene-gene and protein–protein networks were designed for the genes and products enrolled in the results. ResultsAs results, 18 meta-analyses on 17 polymorphisms in several immune mediator genes were included (IL1B rs16944/rs1143627, IL4 rs2243250/rs2227284/rs2070874, IL6 1800795/rs1800796/rs1800797, IL8 rs4073, IL10 rs1800896/rs1800871/rs1800872, IL18 rs1946518, COX2 rs2745557, TNFA rs361525 and PTGS2 rs20417/689470). The Bayesian calculations showed the rs1143627 and the rs1946518 polymorphisms in IL1B and IL18 genes, respectively, were noteworthy. The Venice criteria showed that only four studies received the highest level of evidence. The gene-gene and protein–protein networks reinforced the findings on IL1B and IL18 genes. ConclusionIn conclusion, this current Bayesian revaluation showed that the rs1143627 and the rs1946518 polymorphisms in the IL1B and IL18 genes, respectively, were noteworthy biomarker candidates for PCa risk.

Effects of Glutathione S-Transferases (GSTM1, GSTT1 and GSTP1) gene variants in combination with smoking or drinking on cancers: A meta-analysis.

This meta-analysis aimed to systematically summarize the association between cancer risks and glutathione s-transferases (GSTs) among smokers and drinkers. Literature was searched through PubMed, Web of Science, CNKI, and WANFANG published from 2001 to 2022. Stata was used with fixed-effect model or random-effect model to calculate pooled odds ratios (ORs) and the 95% confidence interval (95% CI). Sensitivity and heterogeneity calculations were performed, and publication bias was analyzed by Begg and Egger's test. Regression analysis was performed on the correlated variables about heterogeneity, and the false-positive report probabilities (FPRP) and the Bayesian False Discovery Probability (BFDP) were calculated to assess the confidence of a statistically significant association. A total of 85 studies were eligible for GSTs and cancer with smoking status (19,604 cases and 23,710 controls), including 14 articles referring to drinking status (4409 cases and 5645 controls). GSTM1-null had significant associations with cancer risks (for smokers: OR = 1.347, 95% CI: 1.196-1.516, P < .001; for nonsmokers: OR = 1.423, 95% CI: 1.270-1.594, P < .001; for drinkers: OR = 1.748, 95% CI: 1.093-2.797, P = .02). GSTT1-null had significant associations with cancer risks (for smokers: OR = 1.356, 95% CI: 1.114-1.651, P = .002; for nonsmokers: OR = 1.103, 95% CI: 1.011-1.204, P = .028; for drinkers: OR = 1.423, 95% CI: 1.042-1.942, P = .026; for nondrinkers: OR = 1.458, 95% CI: 1.014-2.098, P = .042). Negative associations were found between GSTP1rs1695(AG + GG/AA) and cancer risks among nondrinkers (OR = 0.840, 95% CI: 0.711-0.985, P = .032). GSTM1-null and GSTT1-null might be related cancers in combination with smoking or drinking, and GSTP1rs1695 might be associated with cancers among drinkers.

Functional genetic variants of the disulfidptosis-related INF2 gene predict survival of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma.

Disulfidptosis is a novel form of programmed cell death involved in migration and invasion of cancer cells, but few studies investigated the roles of genetic variants in disulfidptosis-related genes in survival of patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We used Cox proportional hazards regression analyses, Kaplan-Meier curves and receiver operating characteristic curves to assess effects of genetic variants in 14 disulfidptosis-related genes on overall survival of 866 HBV-HCC patients. The Bayesian false discovery probability was used for multiple testing corrections. We also investigated biological mechanisms of the significant variants through expression quantitative trait loci analyses using the data from publicly available databases, luciferase reporter assays and differential expression analyses. As a result, we identified two independently functional single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) (INF2 rs4072285 G > A and INF2 rs4444271 A > T) that predicted overall survival of HBV-HCC patients, with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.60 (95% CI = 1.22-2.11, P = 0.001) and 1.50 (95% CI = 1.80-1.90, P < 0.001), respectively, after multiple testing correction. Luciferase reporter assays indicated that both INF2 rs4072285 A and INF2 rs4444271 T alleles increased INF2 mRNA expression levels (P < 0.001) that were also higher in HCC tumor tissues than in adjacent normal tissues (P < 0.001); such elevated INF2 expression levels were associated with a poorer survival of HBV-HCC patients (P < 0.001) in the TCGA database. In summary, this study supported that INF2 rs4072285 and INF2 rs4444271 may be novel biomarkers for survival of HBV-HCC patients.

WTAP gene variants and susceptibility to ovarian endometriosis in a Chinese population.

Background: Endometriosis is a common chronic gynecologic disorder with a significant negative impact on women's health. Wilms tumor 1-associated protein (WTAP) is a vital component of the RNA methyltransferase complex for N6-methyladenosine modification and plays a critical role in various human diseases. However, whether single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of the WTAP gene predispose to endometriosis risk remains to be investigated. Methods: We genotyped three WTAP polymorphisms in 473 ovarian endometriosis patients and 459 control participants using the Agena Bioscience MassArray iPLEX platform. The logistic regression models were utilized to assess the associations between WTAP SNPs and the risk of ovarian endometriosis. Results: In the single-locus analyses, we found that the rs1853259G variant genotypes significantly increased, while the rs7766006T variant genotypes significantly decreased the association with ovarian endometriosis risk. Combined analysis indicated that individuals with two unfavorable genotypes showed significantly higher ovarian endometriosis risk (adjusted OR = 1.71 [1.23-2.37], p = 0.001) than those with zero risk genotypes. In the stratified analysis, the risk effect of the rs1853259 AG/GG and rs7766006 GG genotypes was evident in subgroups of age ≤30, gravidity≤1, parity≤1, rASRM stage I, and the rs7766006GG genotype was associated with worse risk (adjusted OR = 1.64 [1.08-2.48], p = 0.021) in the patients with rASRM stage II + III + IV. The haplotype analysis indicated that individuals with GGG haplotypes had a higher risk of ovarian endometriosis than wild-type AGG haplotype carriers. Moreover, false positive report probability and Bayesian false discovery probability analysis validated the reliability of the significant results. The quantitative expression trait loci analysis revealed that rs1853259 and rs7766006 were correlated with the expression levels of WTAP. Conclusion: Our findings demonstrated that WTAP polymorphisms were associated with susceptibility to ovarian endometriosis among Chinese women.

Polymorphisms in genes of melatonin biosynthesis and signaling support the light-at-night hypothesis for breast cancer

Light-at-night triggers the decline of pineal gland melatonin biosynthesis and secretion and is an IARC-classified probable breast-cancer risk factor. We applied a large-scale molecular epidemiology approach to shed light on the putative role of melatonin in breast cancer. We investigated associations between breast-cancer risk and polymorphisms at genes of melatonin biosynthesis/signaling using a study population of 44,405 women from the Breast Cancer Association Consortium (22,992 cases, 21,413 population-based controls). Genotype data of 97 candidate single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at 18 defined gene regions were investigated for breast-cancer risk effects. We calculated adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) by logistic regression for the main-effect analysis as well as stratified analyses by estrogen- and progesterone-receptor (ER, PR) status. SNP-SNP interactions were analyzed via a two-step procedure based on logic regression. The Bayesian false-discovery probability (BFDP) was used for all analyses to account for multiple testing. Noteworthy associations (BFDP < 0.8) included 10 linked SNPs in tryptophan hydroxylase 2 (TPH2) (e.g. rs1386492: OR = 1.07, 95% CI 1.02–1.12), and a SNP in the mitogen-activated protein kinase 8 (MAPK8) (rs10857561: OR = 1.11, 95% CI 1.04–1.18). The SNP-SNP interaction analysis revealed noteworthy interaction terms with TPH2- and MAPK-related SNPs (e.g. rs1386483R ∧ rs1473473D ∧ rs3729931D: OR = 1.20, 95% CI 1.09–1.32). In line with the light-at-night hypothesis that links shift work with elevated breast-cancer risks our results point to SNPs in TPH2 and MAPK-genes that may impact the intricate network of circadian regulation.

Relationship between esophageal squamous cell carcinoma risk and alcohol-related ALDH2 and ADH1B polymorphisms: Evidence from a meta-analysis and Mendelian randomization analysis.

Previous studies have shown that ALDH2 and ADH1B genes may be associated with alcohol metabolism and the risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), with inconsistent results. This meta-analysis aimed at comprehensively assessing the associations between ALDH2 and ADH1B polymorphisms and the risk of ESCC to synthesize and clarify the evidence. We calculated summary estimates of the associations between four genetic variants (rs671 and rs674 in ALDH2, and rs1229984 and rs1042026 in ADH1B) and the ESCC risk across 23 publications in the additive model and allelic model. Venice criteria, Bayesian false discovery probability (BFDP), and false-positive reporting probability (FPRP) were used to assess the strength of epidemiological evidence. Heterogeneity among studies was evaluated by using the Higgin's I2 statistic, and publication bias was assessed by using funnel plots and Begg's test. A Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was performed to determine the causal association between alcohol intake and esophageal cancer risk. Data from the HaploReg v4.1 and PolyPhen-2 were analyzed for functional annotations. Of the four genetic variants, rs671 of ALDH2 was associated with a significantly reduced risk of ESCC (OR: 0.60, 95% CI: 0.50-0.73), whereas rs1229984 of ADH1B was associated with a significantly increased risk (2.50, 95% CI: 1.70-3.69) in the additive model. In the allelic model, the variant rs1229984 of ADH1B also increased the risk of ESCC (OR: 1.50; 95% CI: 1.21-1.87). The result for the variant rs671 was considered as strong epidemiological evidence. Functional annotations identified that the four variants were related to the enhancer histone marks and motif changes. The other two variants were not associated with the ESCC risk (rs674 of ALDH2 OR: 1.22, 95% CI: 0.71-2.12; rs1042026 of ADH1B OR: 1.28, 95% CI: 0.52-3.14) in the additive model. The MR analysis did not find a causal effect of alcohol on the esophageal cancer risk. The results showed that ADH1B rs1229984 was significantly associated with an increased the risk of ESCC.

Influence of MTHFR polymorphism, alone or in combination with smoking and alcohol consumption, on cancer susceptibility.

5,10-methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) mutations play a significant role in various types of cancers, serving as crucial regulators of folate levels in this process. Several studies have examined the effects of smoking and drinking on MTHFR-related cancers, yielding inconsistent results. Therefore, the objective of this study was to evaluate the magnitude of the effects of gene-smoking or gene-drinking interactions on cancer development. We conducted a comprehensive literature search in PubMed, Web of Science, CNKI, and Wan Fang databases up until May 10th, 2022, to identify relevant articles that met our inclusion criteria. The extracted data from these studies were used to calculate the overall odds ratio (OR) and corresponding 95% confidence interval (95% CI) using either a fixed-effect or random-effect model in Stata version 11.2. Stratified analyses were performed based on ethnicity, control group origin, and cancer classification to assess the risk of cancers associated with gene-smoking or gene-drinking interactions. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to investigate potential sources of heterogeneity, and publication bias was assessed using the Begg's test and Egger's test. Additionally, regression analysis was employed to explore the influence of relevant variables on heterogeneity. To evaluate the statistical correlations, analytical methods such as the false-positive report probability and the Bayesian false discovery probability were applied to assess the reliability of the findings. In our meta-analysis, a total of 47 articles were included, comprising 13,701 cases and 21,995 controls for the C677T polymorphism and 5,149 cases and 8,450 controls for the A1298C polymorphism. The results indicated a significant association between C677T polymorphism and cancer risks when combined with smoking (CT + TT vs CC, OR [95% CI] = 1.225 [1.009-1.487], p = 0.041). Stratified analysis further revealed a significant increase in liver cancer risk for individuals with the C677T when combined with smoking (liver cancer: CT + TT vs CC, OR [95% CI] = 1.564 [1.014-2.413], p = 0.043), particularly among Asian smokers (CT + TT vs CC, OR [95% CI] = 1.292 [1.007-1.658], p = 0.044). Regarding the A1298C polymorphism, an elevated risk of cancer was observed in mixed populations alone (CC + AC vs AA, OR [95% CI] = 1.609 [1.087-2.381], p = 0.018), as well as when combined with smoking (CC + AC vs AA, OR [95% CI] = 1.531 [1.127-2.080], p = 0.006). In non-drinkers, C677T polymorphism was found to be associated with esophageal cancer risk (C677T: CT + TT vs CC, OR [95% CI] = 1.544 [1.011-2.359], p = 0.044) and colon cancer risk (CC + AC vs AA, OR [95% CI] = 1.877 [1.166-3.054], p = 0.010), but there was no clear link between this polymorphism and cancer risk among drinkers. The association between the C677T polymorphism and cancer risk among smokers was found to be significant, suggesting that the combination of tobacco and the C677T polymorphism may enhance the carcinogenic process, particularly in liver cancer. However, no similar relationship was observed for the A1298C polymorphism. Interestingly, significantly increased cancer risk was observed in individuals with C677T genetic variants who were nondrinkers, but not among drinkers. These findings highlight the potential role of the C677T polymorphism in modifying cancer risk in specific contexts, such as smoking and alcohol consumption.

A genome-wide gene-environment interaction study of breast cancer risk for women of European ancestry

BackgroundGenome-wide studies of gene–environment interactions (G×E) may identify variants associated with disease risk in conjunction with lifestyle/environmental exposures. We conducted a genome-wide G×E analysis of ~ 7.6 million common variants and seven lifestyle/environmental risk factors for breast cancer risk overall and for estrogen receptor positive (ER +) breast cancer.MethodsAnalyses were conducted using 72,285 breast cancer cases and 80,354 controls of European ancestry from the Breast Cancer Association Consortium. Gene–environment interactions were evaluated using standard unconditional logistic regression models and likelihood ratio tests for breast cancer risk overall and for ER + breast cancer. Bayesian False Discovery Probability was employed to assess the noteworthiness of each SNP-risk factor pairs.ResultsAssuming a 1 × 10–5 prior probability of a true association for each SNP-risk factor pairs and a Bayesian False Discovery Probability < 15%, we identified two independent SNP-risk factor pairs: rs80018847(9p13)-LINGO2 and adult height in association with overall breast cancer risk (ORint = 0.94, 95% CI 0.92–0.96), and rs4770552(13q12)-SPATA13 and age at menarche for ER + breast cancer risk (ORint = 0.91, 95% CI 0.88–0.94).ConclusionsOverall, the contribution of G×E interactions to the heritability of breast cancer is very small. At the population level, multiplicative G×E interactions do not make an important contribution to risk prediction in breast cancer.

Gene variations related to the hepatocellular carcinoma: Results from a field synopsis and Bayesian revaluation

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is considered as the second cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. Genetic variations are associated with HCC risk, an issue that has been the subject of several meta-analyses. However, meta-analyses have an important limitation on the likelihood of false positive data. Henceforth, this study aimed to assess the level of noteworthiness in the meta-analyses by means of a Bayesian approach. A systematic search was performed for meta-analyses with associations between gene polymorphisms and HCC. The calculations for the False-Positive Rate Probability (FPRP) and the Bayesian False Discovery Probability (BFDP) were performed to assess the noteworthiness with a statistical power of 1.2 and 1.5 of Odds Ratio at a prior probability of 10−3 and 10−5. The quality of studies was evaluated by the Venice criteria. As additional analyses, the gene-gene and protein–protein networks were designed for these genes and products. As results, we found 33 meta-analytic studies on 45 polymorphisms occurring in 35 genes. A total of 1,280 values for FPRP and BFDP were obtained. Seventy-five for FPRP (5.86%) and 95 for BFDP (14.79%) were noteworthy. In conclusion, the polymorphisms in CCND1, CTLA4, EGF, IL6, IL12A, KIF1B, MDM2, MICA, miR-499, MTHFR, PNPLA3, STAT4, TM6SF2, and XPD genes were considered as noteworthy biomarkers for HCC risk.

Novel Genetic Variants in TP37, PIK3R1, CALM1, and PLCG2 of the Neurotrophin Signaling Pathway Are Associated with the Progression from Mild Cognitive Impairment to Alzheimer's Disease.

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a common neurodegenerative disease and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is considered as the prodromal stage of AD. Previous studies showed that changes in the neurotrophin signaling pathway could lead to cognitive decline in AD. However, the association of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in genes that are involved in this pathway with AD progression from MCI remains unclear. We investigated the associations between SNPs involved in the neurotrophin signaling pathway with AD progression. We performed single-locus analysis to identify neurotrophin-signaling-related SNPs associated with the AD progression using 767 patients from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative study and 1,373 patients from the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center study. We constructed polygenic risk scores (PRSs) using the identified independent non-APOE SNPs and evaluated its prediction performance on AD progression. We identified 25 SNPs significantly associated with AD progression with Bayesian false-discovery probability ≤0.8. Based on the linkage disequilibrium clumping and expression quantitative trait loci analysis, we found 6 potentially functional SNPs that were associated with AD progression independently. The PRS analysis quantified the combined effects of these SNPs on longitudinal cognitive assessments and biomarkers from cerebrospinal fluid and neuroimaging. The addition of PRSs to the prediction model for 3-year progression to AD from MCI significantly increased the predictive accuracy. Genetic variants in the specific genes of the neurotrophin signaling pathway are predictors of AD progression. eQTL analysis supports that these SNPs regulate expression of key genes involved in the neurotrophin signaling pathway.

Association between the TP53 Arg72Pro Polymorphisms and Gastric Cancer Risk: An Updated Meta-Analysis and Re-Analysis of Systematic Meta-Analyses

Background: A latest Meta-analysis on TP53 Arg72Pro polymorphism with gastric cancer (GC) risk was published in 2015 including 20 literatures, while our study included 43 studies. Moreover, the results of previously published original studies were inconsistent and the credibility of the significant correlation between the statistical results has been ignored. Therefore, an updated Meta-analysis was conducted to further explore these associations. Objective: To explore whether these two gene polymorphisms are related to the risk, clinical manifestations, and pathological features of GC. Methods: We searched several Chinese and English databases. The crude odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was used to evaluate the correlation. In addition, false positive reporting probability (FPRP), bayesian false discovery probability (BFDP), and Venice criteria were used to assess the reliability of statistically significant correlation. Results: Overall, the TP53 Arg72Pro polymorphism was related to a significantly increased GC risk (AP vs. AA: OR = 1.12, 95% CI = 1.02 - 1.24; PP + AP vs. AA: OR = 1.12, 95% CI = 1.02 - 1.24; P vs. A: OR = 1.07, 95% CI = 1.00 - 1.15). However, after excluding the low quality and Hardy–Weinberg Disequilibrium (HWD) studies, significant changes were found on the TP53 Arg72Pro polymorphism with GC risk in Caucasians (PP vs. AA: OR = 1.48, 95% CI = 1.01 - 2.16) and non-gastric cancer control groups (PP vs. AP + AA: OR = 1.33, 95% CI = 1.07 - 1.64)). However, the above significant results were considered unreliable after being adjusted with Bayesian error detection probability (BFDP) and false positive reporting probability (FPRP). These unreliable results were confirmed again, and no new reliable results were found in the further sensitivity analysis (only studies that met the quality assessment criteria). Conclusions: After considering the quality of the study and the reliability of the results, this Meta-analysis showed that TP53 codon 72 polymorphisms had no significant correlation with GC risk. Because of various confounding factors, the result that these polymorphisms increase GC risk is more likely to be a false positive result.

Maternal ApoE genotype and risk of recurrent pregnancy loss: An updated systematic review and meta-analysis.

In order to clarify the role of the maternal apolipoprotein E (ApoE) genotype and the risk of recurrent pregnancy loss (RPL), we herein performed an updated systematic review and meta-analysis to reevaluate the evidence on this association. A comprehensive literature search was performed on PubMed, Web of Knowledge and the Cochrane library up to September 2022. Methodological study quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale and the credibility of significant pooled odds ratios (ORs) was estimated by the false positive report probability and the Bayesian false discovery probability. Twelve studies published from 2009 to 2022 fulfilled the inclusion criteria. In the overall analysis, the ε4 allele was found to confer an increased risk of RPL compared to the ε3 allele (OR 1.60, 95% CI 1.00-2.55, p = 0.049) and women carrying the ApoE ε4 allele displayed a higher risk of RPL compared with those carrying the ε2 and ε3 alleles (OR 1.75, 95% CI 1.06-2.87, p = 0.028). Subgroup analysis based on subjects' ethnicity revealed that these associations were restricted to the Asian population (ε4 allele vs. ε3 allele, OR 5.93, 95% CI 1.79-19.61, p = 0.004; ε4 allele carriers vs. carriers of ε2 and ε3 alleles, OR 8.42, 95% CI 1.47-48.12, p = 0.017). None of the associations detected were found to be noteworthy under false positive report probability or Bayesian false discovery probability at a prior probability of 0.001. This updated meta-analysis highlights an association between maternal ApoE genotype and RPL risk in Asians, but not in Caucasians. Further case-control studies are warranted in women of Asian ancestry to exclude the possibility of false-positive findings.

Association Between the Individual and Combined Effects of the GSTM1 and GSTT1 Polymorphisms and Risk of Leukemia: A Meta-Analysis

Background: Fourteen meta-analyses reported the individual effects of the GSTM1 and GSTT1 polymorphisms on leukemia risk. However, over 40 studies were not included in previously published meta-analyses. Moreover, one key aspect was that previous meta-analyses did not conduct the false-positive test on the aforementioned issues. Furthermore, previous meta-analyses did not observe the combined effects of GSTM1 present/null and GSTT1 present/null polymorphism with leukemia risk. Therefore, we conducted the current study to further analyze these associations. Objectives: This study aimed to investigate the association between the individual and combined effects of the GSTM1 present/null and GSTT1 present/null polymorphisms and the risk of leukemia. Methods: A meta-analysis was performed applying Meta-analyses of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) guidelines. Moreover, false-positive report probability (FPRP) and Bayesian false discovery probability (BFDP) were applied to investigate the false-positive results. Results: The individual GSTM1 and GSTT1 null genotypes and combined effects of the two genes were associated with a significantly increased leukemia risk in overall and several subgroup analyses, such as Asians, Caucasians, and so on. Then, further analysis was conducted using FPRP and BFDP. Significant associations were considered as “positive” results on the GSTM1 null genotype with leukemia risk in overall populations (FPRP < 0.001 and BFDP = 0.006), Asians (FPRP < 0.001 and BFDP < 0.001), and East Asian population (FPRP < 0.001 and BFDP = 0.002). For the GSTT1 null genotype, significant associations were regarded “positive” results in overall populations, acute myeloid leukemia (AML), Asians, and East Asian population. For the combined effects of the GSTM1 and GSTT1 polymorphisms, significant associations were also considered “positive” results in the overall analysis of Asians, Indians, and East Asian population. Conclusion: This study strongly indicates that the individual GSTM1 and GSTT1 null genotypes and combined effects of the two genes are associated with increased leukemia risk in Asians, especially in the East Asian population; the GSTT1 null genotype is associated with increased AML risk; the combined effects of the two genes are associated with increased leukemia risk in Indians.

Genetic Association Between Epigenetic Aging-Acceleration and the Progression of Mild Cognitive Impairment to Alzheimer's Disease.

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a progressive neurodegenerative disorder, and previous studies have shown its association with accelerated aging. In this study, we hypothesized that single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that contributed to aging acceleration are also associated with the progression from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to AD. By applying genetic correlation analysis and single-locus survival analysis, we investigated the associations between intrinsic- and extrinsic-epigenetic-age-acceleration (IEAA and EEAA) related SNPs and the progression time from MCI to AD dementia using the data of 767 MCI participants from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) study and 1 373 MCI patients from the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center (NACC) study. Genetic correlations were found between IEAA/EEAA and AD (positive for IEAA-AD and negative for EEAA-AD). We revealed that 70 IEAA and 81 EEAA SNPs had associations with the progression time from MCI to AD with Bayesian false-discovery probability ≤ 0.8 in the ADNI study, with 22 IEAA SNPs and 16 EEAA SNPs being replicated in the NACC study (p < .05). Polygenic risk score (PRS) analysis showed that EEAA PRS but not IEAA PRS was associated with AD progression and the trend of decreasing fusiform gyrus volume in 2 data sets. Risk models incorporating both EAA PRSs did not show any significant improvement in predictive accuracy. Our results revealed multiple genetic variants with pleiotropic effects on both EAA and AD, which suggested shared genetic architecture between epigenetic age acceleration and AD progression.

Polymorphisms in immune-mediator genes and the risk of dengue virus infection: Lights from a systematic revaluation by Bayesian approaches

Dengue fever is a clinical manifestation of dengue virus (DENV) infection well defined by the intense host immune response with the development of high fever, anorexia, headache and muscle pain. Several immune mediators are involved in the pathophysiology of DENV infection, in which polymorphisms in immune molecule genes contribute with the susceptibility and severity of the infection. Several meta-analyses are available with significant findings in the association between genetic variants in immune-mediator genes and dengue, though the results may be false positive. Hence, to solve this issue, we have performed a systematic revaluation with Bayesian approaches to verify the false positive rate in these results. A systematic search was performed for meta-analytic studies on the aforementioned issue. The calculations of false positive report probability (FPRP) and the Bayesian false-discovery probability (BFDP) at the prior probability of 10-3 and 10-6 have been performed. To verify the methodological quality of the studies included, the evaluation by the Venice criteria was applied. In addition, gene-gene and protein-protein networks were designed. As results, seven meta-analyses on genetic variants in several immune-inflammatory mediator genes and DENV infection comprise the results. Only the polymorphisms in the TNF, MICB, PLCE1, VDR, CD32 and HLA-A genes were considered as noteworthy. There was a heterogeneity profile for the results on Venice criteria indicating variability in the methodological quality. The gene-gene and protein-protein networks showed these immune mediators as relevant players in the disease. We suggest these polymorphisms as potential biomarkers for the pathogenesis and immune response against DENV.

Genetic variants in DDO and PEX5L in peroxisome-related pathways predict non-small cell lung cancer survival.

Peroxisomes play a role in lipid metabolism and regulation of reactive oxygen species, but its role in development and progression of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is not well understood. Here, we investigated the associations between 9708 single-nucleotide polymorphisms(SNPs) in 113 genes in the peroxisome-related pathways and survival of NSCLC patients from the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial (PLCO) and the Harvard Lung Cancer Susceptibility (HLCS) study. In 1185 NSCLC patients from the PLCO trial, we found that 213 SNPs were significantly associated with NSCLC overall survival (OS)(p ≤ 0.05, Bayesian false discovery probability [BFDP] ≤ 0.80), of which eight SNPs were validated in the HLCS data set. In a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model, two independent SNPs (rs9384742 DDO and rs9825224 PEX5L) were significantly associated with NSCLC survival (hazards ratios [HR]of 1.17 with 95% CI [confidence interval] of 1.06-1.28and 0.86 with 95% CI of 0.77-0.96,respectively). Patients with one or twoprotective genotypes had a significantly higher OS (HR: 0.787 [95% CI: 0.620-0.998]and 0.691 [95% CI: 0.543-0.879], respectively). Further expression quantitative trait loci analysis using whole blood and lung tissue showed that the minor allele of rs9384742 DDO was significantly associated with decreased messenger RNA (mRNA) expression levels and that DDO expression was also decreased in NSCLC tumor tissue. Additionally, high PEX5L expression levels were significantly associated with lower survival of NSCLC. Our data suggest that variants in these peroxisome-related genes may influence gene regulation and are potential predictors of NSCLC OS, once validated by additional studies.

Association Between MTHFR Polymorphisms and the Risk of Essential Hypertension: An Updated Meta-analysis.

Background: Since the 1990s, there have been a lot of research on single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) and different diseases, including many studies on 5,10-methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) polymorphism and essential hypertension (EH). Nevertheless, their conclusions were controversial. So far, six previous meta-analyses discussed the internal relationship between the MTHFR polymorphism and EH, respectively. However, they did not evaluate the credibility of the positive associations. To build on previous meta-analyses, we updated the literature by including previously included papers as well as nine new articles, improved the inclusion criteria by also considering the quality of the papers, and applied new statistical techniques to assess the observed associations. Objectives: This study aims to explore the degree of risk correlation between two MTHFR polymorphisms and EH. Methods: PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library, CNKI, and Wan Fang electronic databases were searched to identify relevant studies. We evaluated the relation between the MTHFR C677T (rs1801133) and A1298C (rs1801131) polymorphisms and EH by calculating the odds ratios (OR) as well as 95% confidence intervals (CI). Here we used subgroup analysis, sensitivity analysis, cumulative meta-analysis, assessment of publication bias, meta-regression meta, False-positive report probability (FPRP), Bayesian false discovery probability (BFDP), and Venice criterion. Results: Overall, harboring the variant of MTHFR C677T was associated with an increased risk of EH in the overall populations, East Asians, Southeast Asians, South Asians, Caucasians/Europeans, and Africans. After the sensitivity analysis, positive results were found only in the overall population (TT vs. CC: OR = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.00–1.30, P h = 0.032, I 2 = 39.8%; TT + TC vs. CC: OR = 1.15, 95% CI: 1.01–1.29, P h = 0.040, I 2 = 38.1%; T vs. C: OR = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.04–1.25, P h = 0.005, I 2 = 50.2%) and Asian population (TC vs. CC: OR = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.01–1.28, P h = 0.265, I 2 = 16.8%; TT + TC vs. CC: OR = 1.17, 95% CI: 1.04–1.30, P h = 0.105, I 2 = 32.9%; T vs. C: OR = 1.10, 95% CI: 1.02–1.19, P h = 0.018, I 2 = 48.6%). However, after further statistical assessment by FPRP, BFDP, and Venice criteria, the positive associations reported here could be deemed to be false-positives and present only weak evidence for a causal relationship. In addition, when we performed pooled analysis and sensitivity analysis on MTHFR A1298C; all the results were negative. Conclusion: The positive relationships between MTHFR C677T and A1298C polymorphisms with the susceptibility to present with hypertension were not robust enough to withstand statistical interrogation by FPRP, BFDP, and Venice criteria. Therefore, these SNPs are probably not important in EH etiology.

Association of germline genetic variants with breast cancer-specific survival in patient subgroups defined by clinic-pathological variables related to tumor biology and type of systemic treatment

BackgroundGiven the high heterogeneity among breast tumors, associations between common germline genetic variants and survival that may exist within specific subgroups could go undetected in an unstratified set of breast cancer patients.MethodsWe performed genome-wide association analyses within 15 subgroups of breast cancer patients based on prognostic factors, including hormone receptors, tumor grade, age, and type of systemic treatment. Analyses were based on 91,686 female patients of European ancestry from the Breast Cancer Association Consortium, including 7531 breast cancer-specific deaths over a median follow-up of 8.1 years. Cox regression was used to assess associations of common germline variants with 15-year and 5-year breast cancer-specific survival. We assessed the probability of these associations being true positives via the Bayesian false discovery probability (BFDP < 0.15).ResultsEvidence of associations with breast cancer-specific survival was observed in three patient subgroups, with variant rs5934618 in patients with grade 3 tumors (15-year-hazard ratio (HR) [95% confidence interval (CI)] 1.32 [1.20, 1.45], P = 1.4E−08, BFDP = 0.01, per G allele); variant rs4679741 in patients with ER-positive tumors treated with endocrine therapy (15-year-HR [95% CI] 1.18 [1.11, 1.26], P = 1.6E−07, BFDP = 0.09, per G allele); variants rs1106333 (15-year-HR [95% CI] 1.68 [1.39,2.03], P = 5.6E−08, BFDP = 0.12, per A allele) and rs78754389 (5-year-HR [95% CI] 1.79 [1.46,2.20], P = 1.7E−08, BFDP = 0.07, per A allele), in patients with ER-negative tumors treated with chemotherapy.ConclusionsWe found evidence of four loci associated with breast cancer-specific survival within three patient subgroups. There was limited evidence for the existence of associations in other patient subgroups. However, the power for many subgroups is limited due to the low number of events. Even so, our results suggest that the impact of common germline genetic variants on breast cancer-specific survival might be limited.

Evaluation of association studies and a systematic review and meta-analysis of VDR polymorphisms in type 2 diabetes mellitus risk.

Numerous original studies and 4 published meta-analyses have reported the association between the Vitamin D receptor (VDR) BsmI, FokI, ApaI, and TaqI polymorphisms and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) risk. However, the results were inconsistent. Therefore, an updated meta-analysis was performed to further explore these issues.To further explore the association between the VDR BsmI, FokI, ApaI, and TaqI polymorphisms and T2DM risk.PubMed, EMBASE, Scopus, and Wanfang databases were searched. The following search strategy were used: (VDR OR vitamin D receptor) AND (polymorphism OR variant OR mutation) AND (diabetes OR mellitus OR diabetes mellitus). Pooled crude odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals were applied to evaluate the strength of association in 5 genetic models. Statistical heterogeneity, the test of publication bias, and sensitivity analysis were carried out using the STATA software (Version 12.0). To evaluate the credibility of statistically significant associations, we applied the false-positive report probabilities (FPRP) and Bayesian false discovery probability (BFDP) test.Overall, the VDR BsmI polymorphism was associated with a significantly decreased T2DM risk in Asians; the VDR FokI polymorphism was associated with a significantly decreased T2DM risk in Asians, African countries, and Asian countries; the VDR ApaI polymorphism was associated with a significantly decreased T2DM risk in Caucasians and North American countries.On the VDR ApaI polymorphism, a significantly increased T2DM risk was found in a mixed population. However, when we further performed a sensitivity analysis, FPRP, and BFDP test, less-credible positive results were identified (all FPRP > 0.2 and BFDP > 0.8) in any significant association.In summary, this study strongly indicates that all significant associations were less credible positive results, rather than from true associations.

Individual and combined effects of GSTM1, GSTT1, and GSTP1 polymorphisms on lung cancer risk: A meta-analysis and re-analysis of systematic meta-analyses.

Thirty-five previous meta-analyses have been reported on the individual glutathione S-transferase M1 (GSTM1) present/null, glutathione S-transferase T1 (GSTT1) present/null, and glutathione S-transferase P1 (GSTP1) IIe105Val polymorphisms with lung cancer (LC) risk. However, they did not appraise the credibility and explore the combined effects between the 3 genes and LC risk.We performed a meta-analysis and re-analysis of systematic previous meta-analyses to solve the above problems.Meta-analyses of Observational Studies in Epidemiology guidelines were used. Moreover, we employed false-positive report probability (FPRP), Bayesian false discovery probability (BFDP), and the Venice criteria to verify the credibility of current and previous meta-analyses.Significantly increased LC risk was considered as “highly credible” or “positive” for GSTM1 null genotype in Japanese (odds ratio (OR) = 1.30, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.17–1.44, I2 = 0.0%, statistical power = 0.997, FPRP = 0.008, BFDP = 0.037, and Venice criteria: AAB), for GSTT1 null genotype in Asians (OR = 1.23, 95% CI = 1.12–1.36, I2 = 49.1%, statistical power = 1.000, FPRP = 0.051, BFDP = 0.771, and Venice criteria: ABB), especially Chinese populations (OR = 1.31, 95% CI = 1.16–1.49, I2 = 48.9%, Statistical power = 0.980, FPRP = 0.039, BFDP = 0.673, and Venice criteria: ABB), and for GSTP1 IIe105Val polymorphism in Asians (Val vs IIe: OR = 1.28, 95% CI = 1.17–1.42, I2 = 30.3%, statistical power = 0.999, FPRP = 0.003, BFDP = 0.183, and Venice criteria: ABB). Significantly increased lung adenocarcinoma (AC) risk was also considered as “highly credible” or “positive” in Asians for the GSTM1 (OR = 1.35, 95% CI = 1.22–1.48, I2 = 25.5%, statistical power = 0.988, FPRP < 0.001, BFDP < 0.001, and Venice criteria: ABB) and GSTT1 (OR = 1.36, 95% CI = 1.17–1.58, I2 = 30.2%, statistical power = 0.900, FPRP = 0.061, BFDP = 0.727, and Venice criteria: ABB) null genotype.This study indicates that GSTM1 null genotype is associated with increased LC risk in Japanese and lung AC risk in Asians; GSTT1 null genotype is associated with increased LC risk in Chinese, and GSTP1 IIe105Val polymorphism is associated with increased LC risk in Asians.