Lower Triassic Sherwood Sandstone Group fluvial strata in England record northward flow of the Budleighensis river system through fault-bounded syn-rift grabens from the Wessex Basin to the Irish Sea Basin. Pebbles in the Sherwood Sandstones are typically argued to originate mostly from the Armorican Massif, Northern France. Northwards transport should mean pebbles decrease in concentration northwards, yet it is also argued that pebble-rich strata in several basins across central and northern England suggest multiple sediment source areas contributed pebbles along the river system. To further test and constrain this multiple source hypothesis pebble concentration data were used to constrain a simple source-to-sink exponential decay model predicting pebble concentration versus distance from source. The model was inverted on number and location of clast input sources to calculate best-fit matches. Results indicate three distinct pebble sources best fit these data, with major tributaries originating in the Welsh Massif and the London-Brabant Massif, supporting a multiple sediment source interpretation for the Early Triassic river system. Multiple sediment input points increase prediction uncertainty for Triassic strata. Unanticipated heterogeneity has implications for practical subsurface prediction, for example related to proposed carbon and nuclear waste storage.
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