Baseline Cirrhosis Research Articles

External validation of LCR1-LCR2, a multivariable HCC risk calculator, in patients with chronic HCV

Background & AimsThe Liver Cancer Risk test algorithm (LCR1-LCR2) is a multianalyte blood test combining proteins involved in liver cell repair (apolipoprotein-A1 and haptoglobin), known hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk factors (sex, age, and gamma-glutamyl transferase), a marker of fibrosis (alpha2-macroglobulin) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), a specific marker of HCC. The aim was to externally validate the LCR1-LCR2 in patients with chronic HCV (CHC) treated or not with antivirals.MethodsPre-included patients were from the Hepather cohort, a multicentre prospective study in adult patients with CHC in France. LCR1-LCR2 was assessed retrospectively in patients with the test components and AFP, available at baseline. The co-primary study outcome was the negative predictive value (NPV) of LCR1-LCR2 for the occurrence of HCC at 5 years and for survival without HCC according to the predetermined LCR1-LCR2 cut-offs. The cut-offs were adjusted for risk covariables and for the response to HCV treatment, and were quantified using time-dependent proportional hazards models.ResultsIn total, 4,903 patients, 1,026 (21.9%) with baseline cirrhosis, were included in the study. Patients were followed for a median of 5.7 (IQR 4.2–11.3) years. A total of 3,788/4,903 (77.3%) patients had a sustained virological response. There were 137 cases of HCC at 5 years and 214 at the end of follow-up. HCC occurred at 5 years in 24/3,755 patients with low-risk LCR1-LCR2 compared with 113/1,148 patients with high-risk LCR1-LCR2. The NPV was 99.4% (95% CI 99.1–99.6). Similar findings (hazard ratio, 10.8; 95% CI, 8.1–14.3; p <0.001) were obtained after adjustment for exposure to antivirals, age, sex, geographical origin, HCV genotype 3, alcohol consumption, and type 2 diabetes mellitus.ConclusionsThe results showed that LCR1-LCR2 can be used to successfully identify patients with HCV at very low risk of HCC at 5 years.Lay summaryHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fourth leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide and the fastest growing cause of cancer death in many countries. We constructed and internally validated a new multianalyte blood test to assess this Liver Cancer Risk (LCR1-LCR2). This study confirmed the performance of LCR1-LCR2 in patients with chronic HCV in the national French cohort Hepather, and its ability to identify patients at a very low risk of HCC at 5 years.Clinical Trials registrationThe study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT01953458).

International Liver Cancer Association (ILCA) White Paper on Biomarker Development for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

International Liver Cancer Association (ILCA) White Paper on Biomarker Development for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Durability of hepatitis B surface antigen seroclearance and subsequent risk for hepatocellular carcinoma: A meta‐analysis

Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance is regarded as the ideal endpoint for antiviral treatment. However, reports on the durability of and outcomes after HBsAg seroclearance are few, which has become a focus in clinical practice. This meta‐analysis was performed to evaluate the durability and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence after HBsAg seroclearance after treatment cessation. We searched PubMed, Embase, Medline and Web of Science for studies that reported the durability and HCC incidence after HBsAg seroclearance published between 1 January 2000 and 31 January 2020. Data were analysed by a random‐effects model. Thirty‐eight studies and 43,924 patients were finally included. The results showed that HBsAg seroclearance was durable, with a pooled recurrence rate of 6.19% (95% CI: 4.10%–8.68%). There was no significant difference in recurrence rates after different seroclearance methods or among recurrence types and different regions. Anti‐HBs seroconversion resulted in a significantly reduced recurrence rate (RR = 0.25, p < .001). Patients who experienced HBsAg seroclearance had significantly lower HCC incidence than HBsAg‐positive (RR = 0.41, p < .001). The pooled HCC incidence after HBsAg seroclearance was 1.88%; this rate was reduced to 0.76% among patients without baseline cirrhosis. In conclusion, the analysis during an average follow‐up of 4.74 years suggested that in patients who experienced sustained HBsAg seroclearance and anti‐HBs seroconversion, this was associated with low HCC incidence. Patients without baseline cirrhosis benefited even more. We emphasize the importance of gaining HBsAg seroclearance while highlighting the benefits of achieving this as early as possible.

HCC risk post-SVR with DAAs in East Asians: findings from the REAL-C cohort.

Despite HCV cure, patients remain at risk for HCC, but risk factor data for HCC following SVR are limited for Asian patients. To address this gap, we analyzed 5814 patients (5646 SVR, 168 non-SVR) from the Real-World Evidence from the Asia Liver Consortium for HCV (REAL-C) who did not have HCC or a history of HCC at baseline (pre-DAA treatment) and did not develop HCC within 6months of baseline. To assess the effect of SVR on HCC incidence, we used 1:4 propensity score matching [(PSM), age, sex, baseline cirrhosis, and baseline AFP] to balance the SVR and non-SVR groups. In the PSM cohort (160 non-SVR and 612 SVR), the HCC incidence rate per 100 person years was higher in the non-SVR compared to the SVR group (5.26 vs. 1.94, p < 0.001). Achieving SVR was independently associated with decreased HCC risk (adjusted HR [aHR]: 0.41, p = 0.002). Next, we stratified the SVR cohort of 5646 patients to cirrhotic and noncirrhotic subgroups. Among cirrhotic SVR patients, aged ≥ 60, having an albumin bilirubin grade (ALBI) of 2 or 3 (aHR: 2.5, p < 0.001), and baseline AFP ≥ 10ng/mL (aHR: 1.6, p = 0.001) were associated with higher HCC risk, while among the non-cirrhotic SVR group, only baseline AFP ≥ 10ng/mL was significant (aHR: 4.26, p = 0.005). Achieving SVR decreases HCC risk; however, among East Asians, patients with elevated pretreatment AFP remained at risk. Pretreatment AFP, an easily obtained serum marker, may provide both prognostic and surveillance value for HCC in East Asian patients who obtained SVR.

Long-term follow-up of diabetic and non-diabetic patients with chronic hepatitis C successfully treated with direct-acting antiviral agents.

Clearance of hepatitis C virus (HCV) is associated with improved glycometabolic control in patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) but whether this effect is maintained over the long term with a reduction in liver-related events (LRE) is still debated. To address these issues, we conducted a long-term prospective study on diabetic and non-diabetic patients with chronic hepatitis C cured by direct antiviral agents (DAAs). Among 893 recruited patients, 15.7% were diabetic (Group 1) and 84.3% non-diabetic (Group 2); changes in fasting glucose (FG) and glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) levels were assessed in Group 1 while the incidence of LRE was established in the whole cohort. Differences between groups were evaluated and independent predictors of unfavourable clinical outcome were established. After a mean follow up of 44.5months, a significant reduction in FG and HbA1c values was found in Group 1. Death was reported in 5.7% of patients in Group 1 vs 1.6% in Group 2 (P=.003), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)-free survival was significantly lower in Group 2 (P=.015) as well as LRE-free survival in Group 1 cirrhotic patients (P=.0006). After adjustment for baseline variables, cirrhosis and albumin levels emerged as independent predictors of LRE; low albumin levels, DM and central obesity were associated with HCC risk in cirrhotic patients while insulin therapy emerged as unfavourable predictor among diabetics. SVR achieved by DAAs is associated with long-term improvement of glycometabolic control in diabetic patients, but among cirrhotics DM still exerts a detrimental effect on the liver.

Real-world effectiveness of direct-acting antiviral agents for chronic hepatitis C patients with genotype-2 infection after completed treatment.

Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) is a major cause of cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and mortality. Eliminating hepatitis C virus (HCV) can greatly improve long-term outcomes. Several direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs), including sofosbuvir (SOF) plus different NS5A inhibitors, as well as non-SOF-based DAAs, including glecaprevir/pibrentasvir (GLE/PIB), have been approved for treating CHC genotype-2 (GT-2) patients in Taiwan. However, there is limited real-world effectiveness data regarding these different regimens. Thus, we aimed to evaluate the real-world efficacy in CHC GT-2 patients who underwent these DAA regimens. We retrospectively enrolled CHC GT-2 patients who were treated with SOF-based DAAs or GLE/PIB at a single medical center. A total of 704 enrolled patients were treated with either SOF + ribavirin (RBV), SOF/daclatasvir (DCV) ± RBV, SOF/ledipasvir (LDV) ± RBV, SOF/velpatasvir (VEL) ± RBV, or with GLE/PIB. The overall sustained virological response (SVR) rate was 97.9%. The SVR rate was significantly lower in the SOF + RBV group (95.6%) than in the non-SOF + RBV (98.9%) group, especially compared to the SOF/DCV (100%) and GLE/PIB groups (99.5%). Among patients treated with SOF + RBV, cirrhotic patients had significantly lower SVR rates than noncirrhotic patients (89.4% vs 98.2%). Multivariate analysis showed that patients with a younger age, hepatitis B virus coinfection, baseline cirrhosis, or those who received SOF + RBV were less likely to achieve SVR. In conclusion, for CHC GT-2 patients, SOF in combination with DCV, LDV, or VEL, as well as GLE/PIB, achieved similar high efficacies, regardless of cirrhosis, treatment experience, or chronic kidney disease status. Therefore, the use of DAA therapy to eradicate HCV should not be delayed in these populations.

Long-Term Study of Hepatitis Delta Virus Infection at Secondary Care Centers: The Impact of Viremia on Liver-Related Outcomes.

Hepatitis delta virus (HDV) infection is associated with fast progression to liver cirrhosis and liver complications. Previous studies have, however, been mainly from tertiary care centers, with risk for referral bias toward patients with worse outcomes. Furthermore, the impact of HDV viremia per se on liver-related outcomes is not really known outside the human immunodeficiency virus co-infection setting. We have therefore evaluated the long-term impact of HDV viremia on liver-related outcomes in a nationwide cohort of patients with hepatitis B and D co-infection, cared for at secondary care centers in Sweden. In total, 337 patients with anti-HDV positivity, including 233 patients with HDV RNA viremia and 91 without HDV viremia at baseline, were retrospectively studied, with a mean follow-up of 6.5years (range, 0.5-33.1). The long-term risks for liver-related events (i.e., hepatocellular carcinoma [HCC], hepatic decompensation, or liver-related death/transplantation) were assessed, using Cox regression analysis. The risk for liver-related events and HCC was 3.8-fold and 2.6-fold higher, respectively, in patients with HDV viremia compared with those without viremia, although the latter was not statistically significant. Among patients with HDV viremia with no baseline cirrhosis, the cumulative risk of being free of liver cirrhosis or liver-related events was 81.9% and 64.0% after 5 and 10years of follow-up, respectively. This corresponds to an incidence rate of 0.04 cases per person-year. HDV RNA viremia is associated with a 3.8-fold higher risk for liver-related outcomes. The prognosis was rather poor for patients with HDV viremia without cirrhosis at baseline, but it was nevertheless more benign than previous estimates from tertiary centers. Our findings may be of importance when making decisions about treatment and evaluating potential outcomes of upcoming antivirals against HDV.

Ten‐year follow‐up of a randomized controlled clinical trial in chronic hepatitis delta

Hepatitis delta virus (HDV) infection causes the most severe form of viral hepatitis. PEG-interferon alpha-2a (PEG-IFNα-2a) is the only effective treatment but its long-term clinical impact is unclear. The aim of this study was to investigate the long-term outcome after 48weeks of pegylated interferon alpha-2a therapy. We performed a retrospective follow-up study of the Hep-Net-International-Delta-Hepatitis-Intervention-Study 1 (HIDIT-I trial). Patients had received 48weeks of treatment with either PEG-IFNα-2a plus adefovir dipivoxil (ADV) (Group I), PEG-IFNα-2a alone (Group II) or adefovir dipivoxil alone (Group III). Liver-related complications were defined as liver-related death, liver transplantation, liver cancer and hepatic decompensation defined as development of Child-Pugh scores B or C or an increase in Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores of five or more points in relation to baseline values. Patients were considered for further analysis when they were retreated with PEG-IFNα-2a. Follow-up data (at least 1 visit beyond post-treatment week 24) were available for 60 patients [Group I, (n=19), Group II (n=20), Group III (n=21)]. Mean time of follow-up was 8.9 (1.6 - 13.4) years. 19 patients were retreated with IFN-based therapy: 42% (n=8) in PEG-IFNα-2a arms and 58% (n=11) in the adefovir only arm. Clinical complications on long-term follow-up occurred in 17 patients and were associated with nonresponse to therapy and baseline cirrhosis. The annual event-free survival rate in patients with cirrhosis vs noncirrhotic patients at year 5 and 10 was 70% vs 91% and 35% vs 76%. Long-term follow-up of a large randomized clinical trial suggests that off-treatment HDV RNA response to PEG-IFNα-2a treatment leads to improved clinical long-term outcome.

High hepatitis C virus cure rates with approved interferon-free direct-acting antivirals among diverse mainland Chinese patients including genotypes 3a and 3b.

Globally, China has the highest chronic hepatitis C (CHC) burden, but its real-world direct-acting antiviral (DAA) data are limited. Our aim is to investigate the real-world outcome of China Food and Drug Administration-approved DAA therapies across mainland China including those with genotype (GT) 3. The REAL-C is a multinational real-world interferon-free DAA-treated CHC registry of several mainland China and other Asian centers. We evaluated the sustained virological response rate 12weeks after end of treatment (SVR12), adverse events, and treatment effect on liver function and fibrosis (fibrosis-4 index). We analyzed 859 DAA-treated CHC patients (6/1/2017-5/30/2019) from 12 mainland China centers (three municipalities and nine provinces): median age 52, 49.9% male, 33.1% cirrhosis, 95% treatment naïve, and 2.5% HBsAg+ . The most common GT was GT1b (523, 62.2%), followed by GT2a (156, 18.5%), GT3b (74, 8.8%), GT3a (41, 4.9%), and GT6 (37, 4.4%). SVR12 rates were 98.0% overall (95% confidence interval 96.9-98.8%), 98.1% for GT1b, 96.8% GT2a, 100% GT3a, 97.3% GT3b, and 100% GT6. Baseline cirrhosis and male sex but not prior treatment history, renal dysfunction, age, and GTs were associated with SVR12. For both cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients, there were significant improvement in liver function tests, alpha fetoprotein, and fibrosis-4 index with SVR12. Serious adverse events were rare (1.1%) with only nine patients discontinuing therapy prematurely and anemia being the most common adverse event (13.1%, mostly with ribavirin). In real-world Chinese patients with diverse GTs, Chinese Food and Drug Administration-approved interferon-free DAAs were well tolerated, provided high cure rates (98.0% overall) including GT3a/3b, and led to improvement of liver function.

Differential Outcomes and Clinical Challenges of NAFLD With Extreme Obesity.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is closely associated with obesity. The prevalence of extreme obesity, defined as body mass index (BMI) of 50 kg/m2 or higher, is rising more rapidly than overall obesity. We aimed to compare the clinical outcomes and performance of noninvasive fibrosis assessment tools in NAFLD with or without extreme obesity. A retrospective analysis was performed in 304 patients with NAFLD with extreme obesity and compared them to patients with NAFLD with BMI of 40 kg/m2 or less, matched for age, gender, race, and liver fibrosis stage. The mean age of the NAFLD with extreme obesity cohort was 55.9 years, BMI 55 kg/m2, and 49.7% had cirrhosis at initial evaluation. Baseline cirrhosis and coronary artery disease were associated with increased risk of death, and dyslipidemia with decreased risk of mortality. Age, insulin use, hypertension, albumin and platelet count were associated with cirrhosis. Fifteen percent of patients had weight‐loss surgery, but this was not associated with survival or risk of cirrhosis. Of the 850 abdominal ultrasound scans performed in 255 patients, 24.1% were deemed suboptimal for hepatocellular carcinoma screening. The mean NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) in the extreme obesity cohort, versus a propensity‐matched cohort with BMI of 40 kg/m2 or less, was significantly different for both low fibrosis (F0‐F2) (0.222 vs. −1.682, P < 0.0001) and high fibrosis (F3‐F4) (2.216 vs. 0.557, P < 0.001). Conclusion: NAFLD with extreme obesity is associated with increased risk of liver‐related and overall mortality. Accurate noninvasive assessment of liver fibrosis, low rates of weight loss surgery, and high failure rate of ultrasound were identified as clinical challenges in this population.

Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Risk Factors Affect Liver-Related Outcomes After Direct-Acting Antiviral Treatment for Hepatitis C.

In hepatitis C (HCV) patients, obesity and/or diabetes may increase the risk of liver-related outcomes. We aimed to determine whether diabetes and/or obesity are associated with adverse outcomes in direct-acting antiviral (DAA)-treated HCV patients. We conducted a retrospective study of 33,003 HCV-infected, DAA-treated Veterans between 2013 and 2015. Body mass index was used to categorize patients into underweight (< 18.5kg/m2), normal weight (18.5 to < 25kg/m2), overweight (25 to < 30kg/m2), obesity I (30 to < 35kg/m2), and obesity II-III (> 35kg/m2). Diabetes was defined by ICD-9/10 codes in association with hemoglobin A1c > 6.5% or medication prescriptions. Patients were followed from 180days post-DAA initiation until 2/14/2019 to assess for development of cirrhosis, decompensations, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and death. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to determine the association between diabetes and/or obesity and outcomes. During a mean follow-up of 3years, 10.1% patients died, 5.0% were newly diagnosed with cirrhosis, 4.7% had a decompensation and 4.0% developed HCC. Diabetes was associated with an increased risk of mortality (AHR = 1.25, 95% CI 1.10-1.42), cirrhosis (AHR = 1.31, 95% CI 1.16-1.48), decompensation (AHR = 1.74, 95% CI 1.31-2.31), and HCC (AHR = 1.32, 95% CI 1.01-1.72) among patients without baseline cirrhosis. Compared to normal-weight persons, obese persons had a higher risk of cirrhosis, but overweight and obese persons had lower risk of mortality and HCC. In this large DAA-treated Veterans cohort, pre-DAA diabetes increases mortality and liver-related events independent of SVR. Continued vigilance is warranted in patients with diabetes despite SVR. Elevated BMI categories appear to have improved outcomes, although further studies are needed to understand those associations.

Sofosbuvir-Based HCV Treatment in Maintenance Hemodialysis Patients: A Single-Center Study

There is scant data on use of sofosbuvir containing direct-acting antiviral (DAA) regimens in maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV). Recent data have focused on possible safe use of sofosbuvir in MHD patients. The aim of this study was to study the efficacy and safety of the sofosbuvir-based combination DAA in HCV-infected naive patients on MHD. Before starting treatment HCV viral load, genotype, liver function tests, and liver ultrasound were performed in all patients. HCV RNA quantification was assessed at baseline, at end of therapy, at 12 weeks, and 24 weeks after stopping therapy. Forty-three MHD patients (67.4% male, with no cirrhosis) with HCV infection were included in the study. Fifteen patients were diabetics. Thirteen patients received multiple transfusions. None of the patients had baseline cirrhosis. Average vintage of dialysis was 6.2 years. At 24-week follow-up none of the patients relapsed. Full dose sofosbuvir was used in combination with ledipasvir (N = 40, 100% genotype 1) and valpatasvir (N = 3, 2 genotype 1, 1 genotype 3). Sustained virological response (HCV RNA < 12 IU/mL) at 12 and 24 weeks after stopping treatment was seen in 100% of the patients. Full-dose sofosbuvir-based DAA therapy is highly effective for MHD patients with HCV infection.

4:12 PM Abstract No. 325 Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt improves liver function in patients with alcohol-induced cirrhosis

The primary objective of this study was to assess liver function post TIPS using ALBI and MELD scores, and to compare with case matched patients who did not undergo TIPS. A secondary objective of this study was to assess for liver function deterioration in the two groups based on disease etiology. 40 consecutive patients undergoing TIPS due to complications from cirrhosis between 2012-2019 were included in this study. These patients were matched with 40 patients with cirrhosis who did not undergo the TIPS procedure. Patients were matched using propensity score matching using the following parameters: (1) baseline ALBI score, (2) baseline MELD score, (3) cirrhosis etiology, (4) age, (5) gender, and (6) presence or absence of HCC. MELD and ALBI scores were measured at 1, 3-6 and 12 months post TIPS. Subgroup analysis was performed based on disease etiology. Statistical analysis was performed using Excel (Microsoft, Redmond, WA). The median ALBI scores for the TIPS cohort at baseline, 1, 3-6 and 12 months were: -1.33, -1.37, -1.6, -1.39. These values were -1.34, -1.38, -1.71, -1.9 for the non-TIPS cohort. The median MELD scores for the TIPS cohort at baseline, 1, 3-6 and 12 months post TIPS were: 14, 16, 15 and 17. These values were 17, 17, 19, and 18 for the non-TIPS cohort. Subgroup analysis was performed for patients with HCV and EtOH induced cirrhosis, as they both had large enough paired samples for analysis. In 12 patients with HCV, patients post TIPS had comparatively worsened hepatic function between each time point compared to non-TIPS controls. The relative increase in MELD and ALBI score between matched Hepatitis C TIPS versus non-TIPS at 1, 3-6 and 12 months were: 0.8, 1.3, 4.2 (MELD), and 0.3, 0.5, 1.1 (ALBI). In 12 patients with EtOH cirrhosis, patients post TIPS had comparatively improved function between each time point compared to non-TIPS controls. The relative decrease in MELD and ALBI between matched EtOH TIPS versus non-TIPS at 1, 3-6 and 12 months were: 0.8, 2.2, 1.2 (MELD) and 0.15, 0.21, 0.35 (ALBI). Liver function deterioration after TIPS may be dependent on etiology of underlying liver disease. Further studies are needed to validate our findings.

Hepatocellular carcinoma prediction beyond year 5 of oral therapy in a large cohort of Caucasian patients with chronic hepatitis B

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may develop in patients with chronic hepatitis (CHB) even after 5 years of oral therapy and cannot be easily predicted. We assessed predictors of HCC development and the need for HCC surveillance in this setting. Of 1,951 adult Caucasians with CHB included in the PAGE-B cohort, 1,427 (73%) had completed >5 years of follow-up under therapy without developing HCC by year 5. Median follow-up was 8.4 years from treatment onset. Points-based risk scores were developed to predict HCC risk after year5. In years 5-12, HCC was diagnosed in 33/1,427 (2.3%) patients with cumulative incidences of 2.4%, 3.2% and 3.8% at 8, 10 and 12 years, respectively. Older age or age >50 years, baseline cirrhosis and liver stiffness (LSM) ≥12 kPa at year 5 were independently associated with increased HCC risk. The HCC incidence was lower in non-cirrhotics than cirrhotics at baseline with year-5 LSM <12; among cirrhotics at baseline, it was lower in those with year-5 LSM <12 than ≥12 kPa. CAGE-B score was based on age at year 5 and baseline cirrhosis in relation to LSM at year 5 and SAGE-B score was based only on age and LSM at year 5 (c-index= 0.809-0.814, 0.805-0.806 after bootstrap validation). Both scores offered 100% negative predictive values for HCC development in their low risk groups. In Caucasians with CHB, the HCC risk after the first 5 years of antiviral therapy depends on age, baseline cirrhosis status and LSM at year 5. CAGE-B and particularly SAGE-B represent simple and reliable risk scores for HCC prediction and surveillance beyond year 5 of therapy. In Caucasians with chronic hepatitis B, the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma after the first 5 years of entecavir or tenofovir therapy depends on age, baseline cirrhosis status and liver stiffness at year 5, which can provide simple and reliable risk scores for hepatocellular carcinoma prediction and surveillance beyond year 5. In patients with cirrhosis at baseline, liver stiffness <12 kPa at year 5 is associated with lower HCC risk, but surveillance may be still required.

Longitudinal evaluation of liver stiffness and outcomes in patients with chronic hepatitis C before and after short- and long-term IFN-free antiviral treatment

Background: New direct-acting antiviral drugs can eradicate hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in over 90% of patients and can even reduce the risk of complications in advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis. The aims of this study were to evaluate (1) changes in fibrosis during and after antiviral treatment and (2) incidence of hepatocarcinoma and mortality in various fibrosis stages.Methods: This is a longitudinal monocentric prospective study. Blood and instrumental examinations were evaluated at baseline, at the end of therapy, and 1 and 2 years following treatment.Results: Two hundred and ninety-six patients with chronic HCV were evaluated, of whom 115 were experienced, 181 were treatment-naïve, and 2 had previous hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and were therefore excluded from the study. At baseline, stiffness values were 13.46 ± 9.97 kPa. Out of the 294 HCV patients enrolled, 100 had lymphoproliferative disorders and were evaluated separately. This group of patients showed stiffness values pertaining to the F0–F2 group (mean stiffness values were 6.07 ± 1.68 kPa). All other patients showed stiffness values pertaining to the F3–F4 group (mean stiffness values were 17.93 ± 10.23). No statistically significant difference was found between stiffness at baseline compared to the end of treatment (EOT), while significant differences were found between the baseline, 1 year (p = .05), and 2 year follow-ups (p < .01). Significant differences were found between baseline and EOT, as well as 1 and 2 years after the end of treatment (p < .001) in the F3–F4 group. Four out of 140 patients with baseline cirrhosis developed HCC during the post-treatment follow-up, 1 of whom died.Conclusions: Non-invasive methods provide important prognostic information, particularly concerning the observed regression of fibrosis and could be extremely useful for monitoring patients with long life expectancies after direct-acting antiviral treatment.

HIV RNA, CD4+ Percentage, and Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma by Cirrhosis Status.

Despite increasing incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among HIV-infected patients, it remains unclear if HIV-related factors contribute to development of HCC. We examined if higher or prolonged HIV viremia and lower CD4+ cell percentage were associated with HCC. We conducted a cohort study of HIV-infected individuals who had HIV RNA, CD4+, and CD8+ cell counts and percentages assessed in the Veterans Aging Cohort Study (1999-2015). HCC was ascertained using Veterans Health Administration cancer registries and electronic records. Cox regression was used to determine hazard ratios (HR, 95% confidence interval [CI]) of HCC associated with higher current HIV RNA, longer duration of detectable HIV viremia (≥500 copies/mL), and current CD4+ cell percentage less than 14%, adjusting for traditional HCC risk factors. Analyses were stratified by previously validated diagnoses of cirrhosis prior to start of follow-up. Among 35659 HIV-infected patients, 302 (0.8%) developed HCC over 281441 person-years (incidence rate = 107.3 per 100000 person-years). Among patients without baseline cirrhosis, higher HIV RNA (HR = 1.25, 95% CI = 1.12 to 1.40, per 1.0 log10 copies/mL) and 12 or more months of detectable HIV (HR = 1.47, 95% CI = 1.02 to 2.11) were independently associated with higher risk of HCC. CD4+ percentage less than 14% was not associated with HCC in any model. Hepatitis C coinfection was a statistically significant predictor of HCC regardless of baseline cirrhosis status. Among HIV-infected patients without baseline cirrhosis, higher HIV RNA and longer duration of HIV viremia increased risk of HCC, independent of traditional HCC risk factors. This is the strongest evidence to date that HIV viremia contributes to risk of HCC in this group.

Real-World Effectiveness From the Asia Pacific Rim Liver Consortium for HBV Risk Score for the Prediction of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients Treated With Oral Antiviral Therapy.

Patients on oral antiviral (OAV) therapy remain at hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk. Risk prediction tools distinguishing treated patients with residual HCC risk are limited. The aim of this study was to develop an accurate, precise, simple-to-use HCC risk score using routine clinical variables among a treated Asian cohort. Adult Asian chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients on OAV were recruited from 25 centers in the United States and the Asia-Pacific region. Excluded persons were coinfected with hepatitis C, D, or human immunodeficiency virus, had HCC before or within 1 year of study entry, or their follow-up was <1 year. Patients were randomized to derivation and validation cohorts on a 2:1 ratio. Statistically significant predictors from multivariate modeling formed the Real-world Effectiveness from the Asia Pacific Rim Liver Consortium for HBV (REAL-B) score. A total of 8048 patients were randomized to the derivation (n = 5365) or validation group (n = 2683). The REAL-B model included 7 variables (male gender, age, alcohol use, diabetes, baseline cirrhosis, platelet count, and alpha fetoprotein), and scores were categorized as follows: 0-3 low risk, 4-7 moderate risk, and 8-13 high risk. Area under receiver operating characteristics were >0.80 for HCC risk at 3, 5, and 10 years, and these were significantly higher than other risk models (p < .001). The REAL-B score provides 3 distinct risk categories for HCC development in Asian CHB patients on OAV guiding HCC surveillance strategy.

Hepatitis B core-related antigen levels after HBeAg seroconversion is associated with the development of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) is a novel serological marker for hepatitis B virus infection. Its clinical significance after HBeAg seroconversion has not been defined. We aimed to determine the relationship between HBcrAg levels after spontaneous HBeAg seroconversion and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). A total of 207 chronic hepatitis B patients with documented time of HBeAg seroconversion were enrolled. HBcrAg and HBsAg were checked within 3years (as baseline), at 5 and 10years after HBeAg seroconversion. HBV DNA was measured at the baseline. Multivariate Cox regression model was used to investigate the predictors for HCC development. The median follow-up time was 13.1 (11.8-15.5) years. Fourteen patients developed HCC (15-year cumulative incidence: 7%). The median level of HBcrAg at baseline was significantly higher in patients who developed HCC when compared with patients without HCC (5.68 vs 4.78 log U/ml, respectively; P=.003). Cox proportional hazards model indicated that age of HBeAg seroconversion older than 40years (hazard ratio (HR): 4.60; P=.049), presence of baseline cirrhosis (HR: 6.23; P=.003) and a higher baseline HBcrAg (HR: 1.75; P=.032) were independently associated with HCC development. A cut-off value of baseline HBcrAg level ≥5.21 log U/mL yielded an AUROC of 0.74 with a negative predictive value of 97.7%. High HBcrAg levels within 3years after HBeAg seroconversion were independently associated with the development of HCC in chronic hepatitis B patients.

Utility of glutamine synthetase immunohistochemistry in identifying features of regressed cirrhosis.

The prevailing view that cirrhosis is irreversible has been challenged. It has been proposed that varying degrees of fibrosis regression can be achieved if the injurious agent is removed. In the normal liver, glutamine synthetase immunostaining is present around central veins. In regressed cirrhosis, although fibrous bands between portal tracts and central veins may largely be resorbed, the abnormal portal tract-central vein adherence often remains. Hence, we hypothesized that aberrant glutamine synthetase positivity adjacent to portal tracts would help identify regressed cirrhosis. We performed glutamine synthetase immunohistochemistry on 49 liver specimens (16 regressed cirrhosis, 18 cirrhotic, and 15 normal livers). Qualification for regressed cirrhosis required the following histologic features: curved, delicate incomplete septa, portal tract-central vein adhesions, and portal tract "remnants" (portal tracts with no venous branch). Out of 16, 14 regressed cirrhosis cases had baseline cirrhosis established based on previous biopsy or signs of cirrhosis based on physical exam, laboratory, and radiological findings. All regressed cirrhosis cases (100%) had areas of aberrant glutamine synthetase positivity adjacent to portal tracts, indicating that portal tract-central vein approximation had occurred (p < 0.001 compared to all other categories). No normal cases had glutamine synthetase positivity adjacent to portal tracts, and half of cirrhosis cases had areas showing features of regression, with focal glutamine synthetase positivity adjacent to portal tracts. Overall, glutamine synthetase expression showed highly significant differences among the three categories (p < 0.001). This study shows that aberrant glutamine synthetase positivity adjacent to portal tracts is present in regressed cirrhosis and can be useful in identifying regressed cirrhosis when it is histologically suspected.

Increased Risk for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Persists Up to 10 Years After HCV Eradication in Patients With Baseline Cirrhosis or High FIB-4 Scores

It is unclear if hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk declines over time after hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication. We analyzed changes in HCC annual incidence over time following HCV eradication and identified dynamic markers of HCC risk. We identified 48,135 patients who initiated HCV antiviral treatment from 2000 through 2015 and achieved a sustained virologic response (SVR) in the Veterans Health Administration (29,033 treated with direct-acting antiviral [DAA] agents and 19,102 treated with interferon-based regimens). Patients were followed after treatment until February 14, 2019 (average 5.4 years), during which 1509 incident HCCs were identified. Among patients with cirrhosis before treatment with DAAs (n= 9784), those with pre-SVR fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) scores ≥3.25 had a higher annual incidence of HCC (3.66%/year) than those with FIB-4 scores <3.25 (1.16%/year) (adjusted hazard ratio 2.14; 95% confidence interval 1.66-2.75). In DAA-treated patients with cirrhosis and FIB-4 scores ≥3.25, annual HCC risk decreased from 3.8%/year in the first year after SVR to 2.4%/year by the fourth year (P=.01). In interferon-treated patients with FIB-4 scores ≥3.25, annual HCC risk remained above 2%/year, even 10 years after SVR. A decrease in FIB-4 scores from ≥3.25 pre-SVR to <3.25 post-SVR was associated with an approximately 50% lower risk of HCC, but the absolute annual risk remained above 2%/year. Patients without cirrhosis before treatment (n= 38,351) had a low risk of HCC, except for those with pre-SVR FIB-4 scores ≥3.25 (HCC risk 1.22%/year) and post-SVR FIB-4 scores ≥3.25 (HCC risk 2.39%/year); risk remained high for many years after SVR. Patients with cirrhosis before an SVR to treatment for HCV infection continue to have a high risk for HCC (>2%/year) for many years, even if their FIB-4 score decreases, and should continue surveillance. Patients without cirrhosis but with FIB-4 scores ≥3.25 have a high enough risk to merit HCC surveillance, especially if FIB-4 remains ≥3.25 post-SVR.