Baroclinic Research Articles

Upwelling characteristics in the Gulf of Riga (Baltic Sea): multiple data source approach

Upwellings are characteristic for the Baltic Sea region including the Gulf of Riga, although the current knowledge is rather limited with only few research conducted in the Gulf itself. Upwelling events in the Gulf of Riga in 2010–2022 were studied by analyzing sea surface temperature time series from coastal stations and SmartBuoy, together with satellite data, model data, and CTD (conductivity, temperature, and depth) surveys. The starting/end point, active, and relaxation phases were defined in each event to describe the characteristics and length of each phase. Upwellings were less frequent (41%) on the eastern coast but lasted longer and had higher temperature drops than on the western coast. On the western coast, a variety of upwelling characteristics between stations only 30 km apart were found with the likely reason being the different orientations of the coastline with respect to the wind direction. Satellite data revealed that on the western coast of the Gulf, rather small upwelling events form along specific sections of the coastline. Of all upwelling events, 30% were characterized by an immediate temperature increase after reaching the minimum temperature, and we suggest that this is related to a distinct change in wind direction. The results from the simulations indicated smaller lateral density and salinity gradients in the sea surface than in larger Baltic Sea gulfs. It signals that conditions for the occurrence of baroclinic instabilities are rather small; thus, we suggest that weaker gradients could explain quite fast upwelling relaxation in the basin if compared to, e.g., the Gulf of Finland.

Global Estimation of the Eddy Kinetic Energy Dissipation From a Diagnostic Energy Balance

AbstractMesoscale eddies dominate the ocean kinetic energy reservoir. However, how and where this energy flows out from the mesoscale remains uncertain. Here, a simplified mesoscale energy budget is used where sources due to baroclinic instability are balanced by all the dissipative processes approximated as a linear damping rate. In this simple model, the eddy kinetic energy (EKE) dissipation is computed from a climatological mean field of density and satellite altimeter data, and is proportional to an eddy efficiency parameter α. Assuming an eddy efficiency of α = 0.1, we find a global EKE dissipation rate of 0.66 ± 0.19 TW. The results show an intense dissipation near western boundary currents and in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, where both large levels of energy and baroclinic conversion occur. The resulting geographical distribution of the dissipation rate brings new insights for closing the ocean kinetic energy budget, as well as constraining future mesoscale parameterizations and associated mixing processes.

Assessment of simulations of a polar low with the Canadian Regional Climate Model.

Polar lows (PLs), which are intense maritime polar mesoscale cyclones, are associated with severe weather conditions. Due to their small size and rapid development, PL forecasting remains a challenge. Convection-permitting models are adequate to forecast PLs since, compared to coarser models, they provide a better representation of convection as well as surface and near-surface processes. A PL that formed over the Norwegian Sea on 25 March 2019 was simulated using the convection-permitting Canadian Regional Climate Model version 6 (CRCM6/GEM4, using a grid mesh of 2.5 km) driven by the reanalysis ERA5. The objectives of this study were to quantify the impact of the initial conditions on the simulation of the PL, and to assess the skill of the CRCM6/GEM4 at reproducing the PL. The results show that the skill of the CRCM6/GEM4 at reproducing the PL strongly depends on the initial conditions. Although in all simulations the synoptic environment is favourable for PL development, with a strong low-level temperature gradient and an upper-level through, only the low-level atmospheric fields of three of the simulations lead to PL development through baroclinic instability. The two simulations that best captured the PL represent a PL deeper than the observed one, and they show higher temperature mean bias compared to the other simulations, indicating that the ocean surface fluxes may be too strong. In general, ERA5 has more skill than the simulations at reproducing the observed PL, but the CRCM6/GEM4 simulation with initialisation time closer to the genesis time of the PL reproduces quite well small scale features as low-level baroclinic instability during the PL development phase.

Vortex preconditioning of the 2021 sudden stratospheric warming: barotropic–baroclinic instability associated with the double westerly jets

Abstract. This study explores the abrupt split of the polar vortex in the upper stratosphere prior to a recent sudden stratospheric warming event on 5 January 2021 (SSW21) and the mechanisms of vortex preconditioning by using the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications version 2 (MERRA2) global reanalysis data. SSW21 is preceded by the highly distorted polar vortex that was initially displaced from the pole but eventually split at the onset date. Vortex splitting is most significant in the upper stratosphere (1 hPa altitude) accompanied by the anomalous growth of westward-propagating planetary waves (PWs) of zonal wavenumber (ZWN) 2 (WPW2). While previous studies have suggested the East Asian trough as a potential source for the abnormal WPW2 growth, the prominent westward-propagating nature cannot be explained satisfactorily by the upward propagation of the quasi-stationary ZWN2 fluxes in the troposphere. More importantly, WPW2 exhibits an obvious in situ excitation signature within the barotropically and baroclinically destabilized stratosphere, dominated by the easterlies descending from the stratopause containing the WPW2 critical levels. This suggests that the vortex split is attributed to the WPW2 generated in situ within the stratosphere via instability. Vortex destabilization is achieved as the double-jet structure consisting of a subtropical mesospheric core and a polar stratospheric core develops into SSW21 by encouraging the anomalous dissipation of the upward-propagating tropospheric ZWN1 PWs. This double-jet configuration is likely a favorable precursor for SSW onset, not only for the SSW21 but generally for most SSWs, through promoting the anomalous growth of unstable PWs as well as the enhancement of the tropospheric PW dissipation.

Variability of Eddy Formation off the West Greenland Coast from a 1/60° Model

Abstract Eddies generated off the west Greenland coast modulate the deep convection in the Labrador Sea, while there are still open questions related to their formation mechanisms. Using 11 years (2008–18) of output from a NEMO model configured with a 1/60° nest in the Labrador Sea, we present the patterns of baroclinic and barotropic instability off the west Greenland coast. We highlight the generation of Irminger Rings at Cape Desolation and boundary current eddies at the location of the Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program (OSNAP) West section. In between these formation sites, eddy energy attenuation occurs along the West Greenland Current (WGC). Overall, baroclinic instability dominates in the upper 1000 m and is twice as strong as the barotropic instability. Seasonally, the instabilities are generally twice as strong in winter compared to summer. Interannually from 2008 to 2018, the instabilities generally show a strengthening trend, with values in 2018 two to three times as strong as those in 2008. We found that on an interannual time scale, the strengthening of WGC and the steepening of its velocity contours enhance the barotropic instability, and the intrusion of the upper Irminger Sea Intermediate Water (uISIW) on the Irminger Water enhances the baroclinic instability by increasing the horizontal density gradient. On a seasonal time scale, variability of the eddy momentum and density fluxes modulate the barotropic and baroclinic instability, respectively. From observation-based datasets, we also found that the downstream eddy kinetic energy is highly correlated with the uISIW transports, suggesting that the amount of uISIW affects the eddy formation. Using a very high-resolution numerical model, our study provides new insight into the variability and mechanisms of eddy formation along the west Greenland coast. Significance Statement Vigorous eddy activity exists off the west Greenland coast. The eddies flux buoyancy to the interior Labrador Sea and thus weaken the convection, which feeds the lower limb of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Given uncertainties in the eddy formation mechanisms, by using an ocean model with very high resolution that resolves those eddies, we show the factors that control the production and variability of the eddy formation off the western coast of Greenland. The eddy formation generally strengthens over the years 2008–18, which is a result of the intrusion of intermediate water on the continental slope and a stronger boundary current. The eddy formation shows a seasonal cycle—it is generally the strongest in winter and weakest in summer, which is modulated by the seasonal variability of eddy momentum and density fluxes.

Characteristics and Dynamics of the Interannual Eddy Kinetic Energy Variation in the Central Pacific Sector of the Southern Ocean

AbstractMesoscale eddies play a crucial role in the dynamical balance of the Southern Ocean (SO) circulation. Yet, it remains unclear why the SO transient eddy activity has significant variations on interannual time scales, and to what extent these low‐frequency variations are attributed to wind forcing changes. Here we use a functional analysis tool, namely, the multiscale window transform (MWT), the MWT‐based theory of canonical transfer and a time‐dependent energetics framework to investigate these issues. Our focus is on the central Pacific sector of the SO in which there is a significant time‐mean and interannual variability of the eddy kinetic energy (EKE). It is found that wind stress does not directly contribute to the interannual EKE variability through wind power injection to the eddies; instead, the influence is fulfilled indirectly through two internal pathways. First, the baroclinic pathway in which the wind‐generated mean kinetic energy (MKE) is converted to the mean available potential energy (APE), and is further released to eddy APE and finally to EKE through baroclinic instability, is the dominant one. Second, the barotropic pathway, in which MKE directly fuels EKE through barotropic instability, is faster but secondary, and its influence is only concentrated along the axis of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. Our results highlight the dynamical connections between the internal and external processes in the SO energy system, and provide insights into the predictability of the SO eddies on interannual time scales.

Improved regional forecasting of an extreme Arctic cyclone in August 2016 with WRF MRI‐4DVAR

AbstractCycling data assimilation and forecast experiments in August 2016 together with a case study of an intense Arctic cyclone (AC16) are performed. Initial conditions from newly developed Multi‐Resolution Incremental Four‐Dimensional Variational (MRI‐4DVAR) and Three‐Dimensional Variational (3DVAR) data assimilation along with forecasts from the polar version of the Weather Research and Forecasting (Polar WRF) model, mimicking operational configurations, are applied. The tasks are to evaluate MRI‐4DVAR performance during a 20‐day cycling run, to investigate the impacts of initial conditions on the forecast skill of AC16, and to identify the factors impacting AC16's predictability. The results from the 20‐day cycling period demonstrate the robustness and reliability of MRI‐4DVAR for data assimilation and subsequent forecast skill. Multiple processes, including mergers of Arctic cyclones, mergers of vortices, vertical coupling between low‐level and upper‐level circulations, baroclinic processes and jet stream forcing, contributed to the generation and development of AC16. Compared to the initial conditions from 4DVAR, 3DVAR produced amplified polar vortices, stronger baroclinic instability, intensified upper‐level jet streams and a stronger low‐level frontal zone, causing the overdevelopment of AC16 in 3DVAR‐based forecasts. For MRI‐4DVAR, the accurate prediction of AC16 5–7 days ahead is likely due primarily to the more accurate representation of upper‐level atmospheric fields, that was facilitated by better satellite radiance assimilation with MRI‐4DVAR that also produced a balanced initial model state. It is concluded that the high‐resolution Polar WRF which is optimized for Arctic conditions combined with 4DVAR facilitated the improved prediction of AC16 compared to the Global Forecast System (GFS) operational deterministic global forecast.

Case study on the response of oceanic saddle-field to tropical cyclone

The atmospheric saddle-field is characterized by a distinct deformation field with relatively low horizontal velocity, and surrounded by two high-pressure systems and two low-pressure systems. The unique configuration of the atmospheric saddle-field often leads to the development of intense precipitation events. The oceanic saddle-field, defined as a deformation field and surrounded by four mesoscale eddies, i.e., two anticyclonic and two cyclonic eddies, is also popular in the ocean and expected to induce phytoplankton bloom. However, the physical properties and flow structures associated with oceanic saddle-field are still unclear. Based on in-situ and numerical model, we investigated the response of an oceanic saddle-field to tropical cyclone “Sinlaku”. After tropical cyclone “Sinlaku”, the deformation rate in the saddle-field decreased quickly; within mixed layer, the potential vorticity increased, and a submesoscale frontogenesis process associated with symmetric instability was triggered in the saddle-field. Based on four-boxes energy diagnostic analysis, we found that baroclinic instability term dominated the kinetic energy conversion for the mixed layer frontogenesis. This study proposed one special type of submesoscale process, i.e., oceanic saddle-field, which is expected to improve our understanding in submesoscale motions and probably contributes to the improvement of physical-chemical-ecology coupled model.

Effective generation mechanisms of tropical instability waves as represented by high-resolution coupled atmosphere–ocean prediction experiments

Cusp-shaped fluctuations of the sea surface temperature (SST) front in the tropical Pacific, now known as tropical instability waves (TIWs), were discovered by remote sensing in the 1970s. Their discovery was followed by both theoretical and analytical studies, which, along with in situ observations, identified several possible generation mechanisms. Although modeling studies have shown that TIWs strongly influence the heat budget, their influence on local variations of realistically initialized predictions is not yet understood. We here evaluate a series of medium-range (up to ~ 10 days) coupled atmosphere–ocean predictions by a coupled model with different horizontal resolutions. Observational SST, surface wind stress, heat flux, and pressure data showed that representation of temporally and spatially local variations was improved by resolving fine-scale SST variations around the initialized coarse-scale SST front fluctuations of TIWs. Our study thus demonstrates the advantage of using high-resolution coupled models for medium-range predictions. In addition, analysis of TIW energetics showed two dominant sources of energy to anticyclonic eddies: barotropic instability between equatorial zonal currents and baroclinic instability due to intense density fronts. In turn, the eddy circulation strengthened both instabilities in the resolved simulations. This revealed feedback process refines our understanding of the generation mechanisms of TIWs.

Analysis of the Features of Water Circulation in the Northern Part of the Black Sea for Different Seasons on the Basis of the Results of Numerical Modeling with the Assimilation of the Data of Hydrological Surveys in 2016

The analysis of the dynamic and energy characteristics of water circulation in the northern part of the Black Sea was performed on the basis of the assimilation in the numerical model of the data of three hydrological surveys in 2016, carried out on expeditions of 87, 89 and 91 cruises of the R/V Professor Vodyanitsky (summer, autumn and autumn-winter seasons). Numerical experiments were implemented on a horizontal grid (~1.6 km × ~1.6 km) with 27 vertical horizons and an atmospheric effect close to the real one was used. A procedure of assimilation of the observational data was based on the Kalman filter, taking into account the heterogeneity and nonisotropy of the errors of the estimates of the temperature and salinity fields. The integral energy terms in the kinetic and potential energy budget equations for three seasons were estimated. In the summer season, there was a slight weakening of the RC and the main mechanism for the formation of anticyclonic eddies near Sevastopol and near the southeastern shores of Crimea was baroclinic instability of the current (as evidenced by the increase in the slope of isopycnical surfaces and negative values of the work of the buoyancy force). An anticyclonic eddy near Yalta with a radius of about 25 km was generated due to the development of shear instability of the current. In the autumn season, the RC jet was pressed to the shore and there was a decrease in the number of eddies in comparison to the summer season. The formation of anticyclonic eddies with a radius of about 35–40 km in the western part of the region was caused by barotropic instability of the current, the formation of eddies along the Crimean coast – by baroclinic instability. In the autumn-winter season, the RC had a pronounced jet character and there was an increase in the processes of baroclinic instability with the generation of eddies of different scales between the coast and the RC, as well as in the area, located between 31.5 and 33° E, with the weakening of the wind effect. During all seasons, small-scale anticyclonic and cyclonic eddies could be generated along the western and eastern coast of Crimea in the upper layer when current flowed around the coastline and inhomogeneities of the bottom topography under the action of weak winds.

Interannual eddy variability in the eastern Ryukyu Island chain

Interannual eddy variability in the eastern Ryukyu Island chain (RIC) was analyzed based on eddy trajectories and assimilation data. Analysis of the eddy trajectory data suggested a predominance of eddies originating near the study area. The occurrence frequency of eddies has interannual variability, but it demonstrates a different tendency with eddy kinetic energy (EKE): few eddies appear when EKE is high; however, they are strong with fast rotation speeds and increase in size. The EKE variability was correlated with the baroclinic conversion rates, suggesting a vital role of baroclinic instability in the study area. Baroclinic instability was found to be affected by the North Equatorial Current (NEC), during which more NEC water entered the eastern RIC, intensifying the vertical velocity shear between the upper and lower oceans. Consequently, baroclinic instability in the study area was enhanced.

Seasonal variability of eddy kinetic energy in the Banda Sea revealed by an ocean model: An energy budget perspective

Seasonal eddy kinetic energy (EKE) variability in the Banda Sea during 1993–2014 is studied from an energy budget perspective, based on the outputs of Ocean Forecasting Australian Model version 3. High EKE is confined within the upper 300 m of the western Banda Sea with the largest intensity exceeding 3 × 103 J/m2 in the northwest monsoon (NWM) season. In this strong EKE region during NWM, eddies derive almost two thirds of their kinetic energy from the direct wind power input (WP), with additional contributions from the barotropic (BT) and baroclinic instability (BC) of the background flow. Both WP and BT modulate the EKE seasonality and drive the peak energy during NWM, while BC strengthens in the southeast monsoon (SEM) season because of the intensified baroclinicity of the upper circulation. The westerly wind bursts associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), together with steep topography, facilitate more cyclonic eddy generation events in the western Banda Sea during NWM. During SEM, EKE becomes relatively moderate across the Banda Sea but with a regional peak to the southwest of the Buru Island, which can be attributed to island wake effect. Over the Banda Sea, WP, BT and BC contribute 74% (42%), 14% (19%) and 12% (39%) of total energy to EKE during NWM (SEM), respectively. The majority of EKE generated is diverged horizontally by pressure work and dissipated by turbulent viscosity, with dissipation depleting the most. This study highlights the importance of both monsoon and MJO wind forcing in generating EKE variability along the pathway of the Indonesian Throughflow.

Low-cost table-top experiments for teaching multi-scale geophysical fluid dynamics

Multi-scale instabilities are ubiquitous in atmospheric and oceanic flows and are essential topics in teaching geophysical fluid dynamics. Yet these topics are often difficult to teach and counter-intuitive to new learners. In this paper, we introduce our state-of-the-art Do-It Yourself Dynamics (DIYnamics) LEGO® robotics kit that allows users to create table-top models of geophysical flows. Deep ocean convection processes are simulated via three experiments – upright convection, thermal wind flows, and baroclinic instability – in order to demonstrate the robust multi-scale modeling capabilities of our kit. Detailed recipes are provided to allow users to reproduce these experiments. Further, dye-visualization measurements show that the table-top experimental results adequately agree with theory. In sum, our DIYnamics setup provides students and educators with an accessible table-top framework by which to model the multi-scale behaviors, inherent in canonical geophysical flows, such as deep ocean convection.

A Pan–North Pacific Wintertime Surface Air Temperature Pattern Influenced by the SST Anomalies over the Kuroshio and Oyashio Extension

Abstract A new wintertime surface air temperature (SAT) pattern, called the Asia–Kuroshio and Oyashio Extension–North America (AKNA) pattern, is identified over the pan–North Pacific region (85°E–85°W, 25°–65°N) based on NCEP reanalysis data. The AKNA pattern is likely to influence the climate of the extratropical area of Asia and North America via two SAT dipoles and has a significant impact on the wintertime extremely cold weather along the eastern coastal regions of East Asia. Simulations using an atmospheric general circulation model indicate that wintertime sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTa) in the Kuroshio and Oyashio Extension (KOE) region can force an equivalent barotropic atmospheric ridge downstream and weaken the Siberian high and Alaska atmospheric ridge, resulting in the formation of the AKNA pattern. This circulation pattern tends to intensify the midlatitude (40°–60°N) westerlies over East Asia, which inhibits the southward invasion of the cold air into southern East Asia. Further diagnostic analysis indicates that the KOE SSTa can modulate the variation of storm track and westerlies by affecting baroclinic instability and eddy–mean flow interaction. Moreover, the KOE SSTa can provide a favorable environment for the development of the local atmospheric ascending motion and secondary circulation across the KOE SSTa, thereby affecting variability of the free atmosphere. Significance Statement This study aims to build a connection between the wintertime extratropical climate and the variation of the Kuroshio and Oyashio Extension. This work isolated a new wintertime surface air temperature (SAT) pattern over mid–high-latitude Asia and North America, which explains a considerable proportion of cold extremes over the eastern regions of East Asia. The reanalysis data and model simulations indicate that the temporal variability of the SAT pattern is influenced by the change of sea surface temperature in the Kuroshio and Oyashio Extension. These findings emphasize the important role of midlatitude air–sea interaction in the modulation of the mid–high-latitude climate.

ENSO Modulates Mean Currents and Mesoscale Eddies in the Caribbean Sea

AbstractAlthough El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and its global impacts through teleconnection have been known for decades, if and how the mean currents and mesoscale eddies in the Caribbean Sea are linked to ENSO remains an open question. Here, by analyzing satellite observations and an ocean reanalysis product, we found a close connection between mean currents, eddies in the Caribbean Sea and ENSO on interannual timescales. Strong El Niño events result in enhanced north‐south sea surface height differences and consequently stronger mean currents in the Caribbean Sea, and the opposite happens during La Niña events. The eddy kinetic energy responds to ENSO via eddy‐mean flow interaction, primarily through baroclinic instability, which releases the available potential energy stored in the mean currents to mesoscale eddies. Our results suggest some predictability of the mean currents and eddies in the Caribbean Sea, particularly during strong El Niño and La Niña events.

An Energetic Mesoscale Anticyclonic Eddy in the Southern Bay of Bengal in June 2020: A Case Study

AbstractThe southern Bay of Bengal (BoB) is a region of rich mesoscale eddy activity that plays an important role in modulating water exchange between the BoB and the Arabian Sea. Although statistical surface characteristics of mesoscale eddies in the BoB have been sufficiently explored previously, most studies concentrated on the western and central BoB, but rarely in the southern BoB. In this study, an energetic mesoscale anticyclonic eddy (AE) was detected by long‐term mooring observations in the southern BoB during June 2020. The mooring observations revealed that the AE‐induced maximum temperature and salinity anomalies at 100 m were as large as 6.8°C and 0.3 psu, respectively. The available Argo profiles showed that the AE‐induced salinity anomalies had a three‐layer vertical structure, with a positive anomaly (maximum 0.28 psu) deeper than 100 m and (maximum 0.72 psu) shallower than 40 m, and a negative anomaly (maximum −0.86 psu) between 40 and 100 m, indicating that the AE could exert a significant effect on the redistribution of surface freshwater in the southern BoB. The AE formation was closely connected with remote forcing (equatorial Kelvin wave) and local processes (Rossby wave and local wind stress curl). Local energy conversion analysis demonstrated that baroclinic and barotropic instabilities, as well as wind stress work made comparable contributions to the generation of the AE. Given the frequent occurrence of the AEs to northwest of Sumatra, they could have significant effects on surface freshwater redistribution and regional ecosystem productivity in the southern BoB.

Cessation of Labrador Sea Convection Triggered by Distinct Fresh and Warm (Sub)Mesoscale Flows

Abstract By ventilating the deep ocean, deep convection in the Labrador Sea plays a crucial role in the climate system. Unfortunately, the mechanisms leading to the cessation of convection and, hence, the mechanisms by which a changing climate might affect deep convection remain unclear. In winter 2020, three autonomous underwater gliders sampled the convective region and both its spatial and temporal boundaries. Both boundaries are characterized by higher subdaily mixed layer depth variability sampled by the gliders than the convective region. At the convection boundaries, buoyant intrusions—including eddies and filaments—instead of atmospheric warming primarily trigger restratification by bringing buoyancy with a comparable contribution from either fresh or warm intrusions. At the edges of these intrusions, submesoscale instabilities, such as symmetric instabilities and mixed layer baroclinic instabilities, seem to contribute to the decay of the intrusions. In winter, enhanced lateral buoyancy gradients are correlated with strong destabilizing surface heat fluxes and alongfront winds. Consequently, winter atmospheric conditions and buoyant intrusions participate in halting convection by triggering restratification while surface fluxes are still destratifying. This study reveals freshwater anomalies in a narrow area offshore of the Labrador Current and near the convective region; this area has received less attention than the more eddy-rich West Greenland Current, but is a potential source of freshwater in closer proximity to the region of deep convection. Freshwater fluxes from the Arctic and Greenland are expected to increase under a changing climate, and our findings suggest that they may play an active role in the restratification of deep convection.

Особенности волнения в районе м. Свободный (юго-восточная часть о. Сахалин) во время прохождения циклонов

The study of marine wave processes was carried out according to field observations using two autonomous wave recorders, temperature and weather station installed near Cape Svobodny, south-east coast of Sakhalin (Russia). Spectral and cross-spectral analysis showed the existence of edge waves with a period of about 10.7 min. Measurements in 2021 showed that the edge wave existing from Cape Ostry to Cape Svobodny, just beyond the cape Svobodny significantly weakens and does not spread further. The analysis of temperature fluctuations for the period range 1-80 hours showed that since the periods of spectral density peaks of water temperature fluctuations for periods longer than 5 hours do not coincide with the periods of peaks of sea level fluctuations, these peaks are determined by internal waves. Temperature fluctuations with a period of 25.5 hours detected by peaks in the spectra can be excited by shelf waves with the same period because of their interaction with islands, coastal currents and baroclinic instability. The analysis of cyclone wakes based on the time course of temperature fluctuations made it possible to establish that cyclone wakes are formed when the water temperature of the upper mixed layer exceeds 10 °C, and internal waves with a period of about 13 hours are also present when cyclones do not move near the point of installation of devices and the water temperature is below 10 °C. The Burger number is determined, which makes it possible to correct the range of existence near inertial internal waves and determine this range periods of 12.1-18.2 hours. Using the results of a simple linear Phillips model, the possibility of baroclinic instability for periods of shelf waves is estimated. It is shown that baroclinic instability is possible for waves with a period of 13.1 hours, and even more so for shelf waves with a significantly longer wavelength.

Distinct Roles of Cyclones and Anticyclones in Setting the Midwinter Minimum of the North Pacific Eddy Activity: A Lagrangian Perspective

Abstract The North Pacific storm-track activity is suppressed substantially under the excessively strong westerlies to form a distinct minimum in midwinter, which seems inconsistent with linear baroclinic instability theory. This “midwinter minimum” of the storm-track activity has been intensively investigated for decades as a test case for storm-track dynamics. However, the mechanisms controlling it are yet to be fully unveiled and are still under debate. Here we investigate the detailed seasonal evolution of the climatological density of surface migratory anticyclones over the North Pacific, in comparison with its counterpart for cyclones, based on a Lagrangian tracking algorithm. We demonstrate that the frequency of surface cyclones over the North Pacific maximizes in midwinter, whereas that of anticyclones exhibits a distinct midwinter minimum under the upstream influence, especially from the Japan Sea region. In midwinter, it is only on such a rare occasion that prominent weakening of the East Asian winter monsoon allows a migratory surface anticyclone to form over the Japan Sea, despite the unfavorable climatological-mean conditions due to persistent monsoonal cold-air outbreaks and the excessively strong upper-tropospheric westerlies. The midwinter minimum of the North Pacific anticyclone density suggests that anticyclones are likely the key to understanding the midwinter minimum of the North Pacific storm-track activity as measured by Eulerian eddy statistics.

Parametric subharmonic instability of inertial shear at ocean fronts

The two-dimensional stability of vertically sheared inertial oscillations at ocean fronts is explored through a linear stability analysis and nonlinear simulations. Baroclinic effects reduce the minimum frequency of inertia-gravity waves to an extent determined by the balanced Richardson number ${{Ri}}$ of the front. Below a critical value of ${{Ri}}$ , which depends on the strength of the inertial shear, the inertial oscillations become unstable to parametric subharmonic instability (PSI) resulting in growing perturbations that oscillate at half the inertial frequency $f$ . Since the critical value is always greater than 1, PSI can occur at fronts stable to symmetric instability. Although modest in weak inertial shear, growth rates exceeding $f/2$ can be achieved for inertial shear greater than or equal to the thermal wind shear. Our formulation allows for non-hydrostatic perturbations and can be applied to initially unstratified geostrophic adjustment problems. We find that PSI will almost totally damp the transient oscillations that arise during geostrophic adjustment. The perturbations gain energy at the expense of the inertial oscillations through ageostrophic shear production. The perturbations then themselves become unstable to secondary Kelvin–Helmholtz instabilities creating a pathway by which the inertial oscillations can be dissipated rapidly. In contrast to symmetric and baroclinic instabilities that draw on a front's kinetic or potential energy, PSI acts to increase the energy stored in the balanced front as the convergence and divergence of the eddy-momentum fluxes set up a secondary circulation in the sense to stand up the front.