Bagging Algorithm Research Articles

Research on Stock Price Prediction Model Based on Sentiment Factor and Multi-Core Bagging Algorithm

Stock price prediction model is one of the key research points in the quantitative financial field. With the rapid development of data acquisition and storage technology, the data of emotional factors based on nonlinear structure is increasing. How to combine this part of information with common European technology factors to increase the ability of the model is a problem that needs to be solved. Based on this, this paper proposes a method of uncertainty quantification that combines European-and non-European data. Specifically, on the one hand, the Gaussian process regression model is used to capture the unknown relationship between predictive variables and price; on the other hand, the multi-kernel learning technology based on European and non- European kernel functions is used to combine the effective information of European and non- European predictive variables. Moreover, the proposed method can weigh the bias of the prediction model against the variance by using the Bagging algorithm. The simulated data analysis shows that the proposed method not only improves the prediction performance of the European Gaussian process, but also works in the presence of irrelevant predictive variables. Finally, the actual data analysis shows that the proposed method has achieved good prediction results in the task of predicting the rise and fall of stock prices.

Optimised prediction of tunnel fire heat release rate using the ResNet18_2CLSTM model with bagging for multimodal data

Accurate predictions of HRR will improve preparedness and response strategies, enhance safety, and minimise damage in tunnel fires. In this study, a deep learning prediction model for HRR under multimodal data fusion is proposed. A multimodal dataset is first established to obtain flame images and flue gas time series data through model-scale tunnel fire experiments. During the model training process, ResNet18 was used to extract features from the flame image, and 2CLSTM was employed to understand the time series of the flame image features and flue gas features to establish the correlation with the HRR. It was evaluated that the error analyses of the measured and predicted values of the validation set yielded R2 greater than 0.85, with errors and standard deviations less than 4 kW. And the model predicted better in the flame growth and decay phases. However, there is some deviation in the predictions near the peak HRR. To address this issue, the Bagging algorithm was introduced to optimise the model. The results show that the ResNet18_2CLSTM model with Bagging reduces the RMSE by 20.47 % and increases the R2 by 4.64 % compared to the original model, and the accuracy is greatly improved.

Co-seismic landslide susceptibility mapping for the Luding earthquake area based on heterogeneous ensemble machine learning models

ABSTRACT Considering the complexity of landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) at the municipal-scale, it is difficult for the assumption space of a single machine learning (ML) algorithm to fully and accurately reflect the intrinsic correlation between the landslide influencing factors and the actual catastrophic events under all scenarios. This study addresses this by integrating three heterogeneous ensemble learning (HEL) algorithms(Bagging, Blending, and Stacking) with four ML models (Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), and Backpropagation-Neural Network (BPNN)), to construct 27 HEL LSM models, and to realize optimization and selection of the models and algorithms through the comparative analysis of the results of the LSM and the accuracy of the prediction of the individual models. The final results indicate that the Bagging and Blending HEL algorithms fail to enhance model prediction accuracy effectively. In contrast, the Stacking HEL algorithm significantly improves model prediction accuracy (with an accuracy increase of over 1.4% and AUC values above 0.95). The Stacking (GBDT-XGBoost) model had the highest prediction accuracy (AUC = 0.964) and thus was selected as the optimal LSM model. This study's modeling and mapping results are intended to serve as a reference for geohazard prevention and sustainability studies in related cities.

IoT and AI: a panacea for climate change-resilient smart agriculture

The application of Internet of Things (IoT) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) for disaster preparedness and sustainable agriculture has been a topic of great interest lately. In the last few years, extreme weather swings due to climate change caused by global warming have caught the farming community off guard, especially in the developing world. One of the key objectives of smart agriculture is optimal use of freshwater, which has become an increasingly scarce resource around the world. Reference Evapotranspiration (ETo), an estimation of total flux of water evaporating from a reference surface is an important parameter for irrigation management. IoT & AI-based location-specific estimation of ETo for crop water requirements augments the decision-making process. In this work, we utilize the Hargeaves and Samani (H–S) model and six regression algorithms for the estimation of ETo. We create a location-specific dataset with locally sensed IoT data from a flood warning system and remotely sensed meteorological data, spanning over 5 years. We train and test Linear Regression (LR), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Radial Basis Function (RBF), Support Vector Regression (SVR), Bagging and Random Forest (RF) algorithms on the locally curated dataset with 20 basic, extracted, and derived attributes. We gradually reduce number of attributes in the dataset from 20 to 3 and compare performance of the six algorithms using Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Relative Absolute Error (RAE), Root Relative Squared Error (RRSE), Coefficient of Determination R2, Kendall Tau and Spearman Rho metrics. SVR shows superior performance with an MAE of 0.03 and an RMSE of 0.05, followed closely by MLP with an MAE of 0.04 and RMSE of 0.06 with a dataset of 12 attributes. The performance of Bagging and RF algorithms remains relatively unchanged with feature reduction whereas RBF shows slight improvement in performance when number of attributes is reduced to 3. Finally, we develop a novel ensemble hybrid model using the Stacked Generalization technique, which outperforms all individual models in prediction accuracy when using reduced-feature datasets. This work clearly delineates the performances of a diverse set of ML algorithms for feature-rich and feature-scarce scenarios and demonstrates the efficacy of our hybrid ensemble ML algorithm for estimating ETo under limited availability of data in resource-constrained environments.

Application of the DRASTIC-LU/LC method combined with machine learning models to assess and predict the vulnerability of the Rmel aquifer (Northwest, Morocco)

The Rmel aquifer, located in the Tangier-Tetouan-Al Hoceima region of northwest Morocco, covers approximately 240 km2 and faces increasing pollution threats due to population growth and economic development. This study assesses aquifer vulnerability to pollution, and compares the performance of various machine learning models integrated with the DRASTIC-LU/LC method. The research used a dataset of 52 water samples analyzed for nitrate concentrations, considering eight factors influencing vulnerability: aquifer depth, net recharge, aquifer lithology, soil texture, topography, vadose zone impact, hydraulic conductivity, and land use. An information gain test was applied to evaluate the importance of these factors. Four machine learning algorithms were used with the DRASTIC-LU/LC method: multilayer perceptron (MLP), the bagging algorithm (BA), K-nearest neighbors (KNN), and extremely randomized trees (ERT). Model performance was assessed via the area under the ROC curve (ROC-AUC) to measure accuracy. The ERT model combined with DRASTIC-LU/LC achieved the highest accuracy (AUC = 0.929), followed by BA (AUC = 0.925), MLP (AUC = 0.852), and KNN (AUC = 0.787). In comparison, the original DRASTIC-LU/LC model had an AUC of 0.530. The results highlight significant vulnerability variation across the Rmel aquifer, with high to very high levels in the southern and northwestern regions, and moderate to low levels in the northeast and central areas. Vulnerability maps were validated by comparing the observed nitrate concentrations in the water samples, confirming model accuracy. Groundwater depth, net recharge, and hydraulic conductivity were identified as the most significant factors influencing vulnerability. This study demonstrates the effectiveness of integrating machine learning models with the DRASTIC-LU/LC method for accurate aquifer vulnerability assessment, offering valuable tools for public policy and groundwater management.

Prediction of white blood cell count during exercise: a comparison between standalone and hybrid intelligent algorithms

Decades of research in exercise immunology have demonstrated the profound impact of exercise on the immune response, influencing an individual's disease susceptibility. Accurate prediction of white blood cells (WBCs) count during exercise can help to design effective training programs to maintain optimal the immune system function and prevent its suppression. In this regard, this study aimed to develop an easy-to-use and efficient modelling tool for predicting WBCs count during exercise. To achieve this goal, the predictive power of a range of machine-learning algorithms, including six standalone models (M5 prime (M5P), random forest (RF), alternating model trees (AMT), reduced error pruning tree (REPT), locally weighted learning (LWL), and support vector regression (SVR)) were assessed along with six types of hybrid models trained with a bagging (BA) algorithm (BA-M5P, BA-RF, BA-AMT, BA-REPT, BA-LWL, and BA- SVR). A comprehensive database was constructed from 200 eligible people. The models employed post-exercise training WBCs counts as the output parameter and seven WBCs-influencing factors, including intensity and duration of exercise, pre-exercise training WBCs counts, age, body fat percentage, maximal aerobic capacity, and muscle mass as input parameters. Comparing the prediction results of the models to the observed WBCs using standard statistics indicated that the BA-M5P model had the greatest potential to produce a robust prediction of the number of lymphocytes, neutrophils, monocytes, and WBC compared to other models. Moreover, pre-exercise training WBCs counts, intensity and duration of exercise and body fat percentage were the most important features in predicting WBCs counts. These findings hold significant implications for the advancement of exercise immunology and the promotion of public health.

A recommendation attack detection approach integrating CNN with Bagging

Due to their open architecture, collaborative filtering recommender systems are susceptible to recommendation attacks, in which attackers inject fake rating data into the system to affect the accuracy of recommendation results. To detect these attacks, numerous detection methods have been designed and proven effective. However, in recent years, deep learning-based recommendation attack models such as GSA-GAN have shown higher concealment, posing new challenges to existing detection methods. Motivated by the need for improved detection, in this paper we propose a new approach called CNN-BAG, which integrates convolutional neural network (CNN) and Bagging (BAG) techniques. CNN-BAG can enhance the detection performance by simultaneously leveraging the deep learning capabilities of CNN and the ensemble learning strengths of Bagging. Firstly, we construct a deep neural network based on CNN as the base learner to automatically extract and learn features of recommendation attacks. Secondly, we use the Bagging algorithm to perform bootstrap sampling on the training data to generate multiple diverse training subsets. The above constructed base learners are then trained on these generated training subsets to produce multiple base classifiers for classifying recommendation attacks. Finally, we combine the base classifiers’ outputs using a majority voting method to obtain the final detection results. To assess the performance of CNN-BAG in detecting recommendation attacks, we compared it against several well-established detection methods on the Movielens-10M and Amazon datasets. Our experiments revealed that CNN-BAG is adept at identifying various attack types, including the deep learning-based recommendation attack models.

EARLY-STAGE DIABETES RISK PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING TECHNIQUES BASED ON ENSEMBLE APPROACH

Diabetes Mellitus which is considered as one of the deadliest is a common, chronic disease. It also causes the emergence of many diseases, especially neuropathy, nephropathy and retinopathy. In this context, early diagnosis of the disease by accurately evaluating the symptoms and initiating a rapid treatment process is very important. The aim of this study is to present an effective model that can determine the diabetes risk in eary-stage with the best accuracy. To do so, the classification algorithms that are frequently used in diabetes risk estimation are supported with ensemble approaches. Firstly, the performance of Naive Bayes (NB), Trees-J48, k Nearest Neighbor (kNN) and Sequential Minimal Optimization (SMO) classifiers is analyzed separately by using a dataset of 520 samples collected with direct questionnaires from Sylhet Diabetes Hospital patients in Sylhet, Bangladesh. Then, the effects of Adabost, Bagging and Random Sub-Space (RSS) algorithms on classifier success are investigated and it is shown that the j48 classifier based on Adabost approach has the best accuracy in this dataset. Finally, the Wrapper Subset Eval (WSE) feature extraction algorithm is applied to reduce the estimation cost of diabetes and increase classification success. Thus, the best accuracy at 99% is achieved using reduced data set with proposed classifier method.

CORRELATION OF COVID-19 TO LUNG INFECTIONS AND PREDICTION OF LUNG INFECTIONS IN COVID-19 PATIENTS IN IRAQ USING DATA MINING METHODS

The Covid-19 pandemic emerged as an unforeseen global crisis, exerting a profound influence on various aspects of human life. Hence, the need for collaborative efforts and scholarly investigations to address and alleviate the challenges arising from this crisis is crucial. One notable concern pertains to lung infections, which are recognized as a highly perilous consequence of the aforementioned virus. Thus, this study aims to investigate the potential correlation between Covid-19 and lung infections, and test the efficacy of various algorithms in predicting lung infections amongst Covid-19 patients. For this purpose, data has been procured from multiple health institutions in Iraq. Using this data, a robust correlation between Covid-19 and lung infection cases was found and the bagging, boosting, naïve Bayes, K-Nearest Neighbour, J48, random forest, PART, and logistic regression algorithms showcased a high accuracy in prediction lung infection in Covid-19 patients, with naïve Bayes achieving the highest accuracy of 93.41 percent.

Redefining structural soundness in concrete constructions: A groundbreaking technique for water–cement ratio assessment in sustainable building integrated with explainable artificial intelligence

Predicting concrete’s compressive strength (CS) is a crucial and challenging task in civil engineering as it directly impacts the longevity and structural integrity of infrastructure initiatives. Precise estimation of the water–cement ratio (W/C) is essential for guaranteeing the structural integrity of structures since it is a critical parameter that greatly affects concrete’s CS. This study carries out an extensive investigation of the prediction of the W/C of concrete, utilizing the enormous potential of machine learning, including the backpropagation neural network (BPNN), bilayer neural network, boosted tree algorithm, bagged tree algorithm (BGTA), and support vector regression (SVR), using 108 datasets. We integrate artificial intelligence models with traditional engineering techniques to develop a reliable, precise, and efficient forecasting system. The study input includes curing days (D), fiber (F), cement (C), fine and coarse aggregate (FA and CA), density (Den), CS, water (W), and W/C as the output variables. The result shows that, in comparison to the other models, BGTA-M3 achieved the best performance evaluation criterion. In the calibration and verification phases, NSE, PCC, R, and WI = 1 and MAPE = 0.00, respectively. BPNN-M3 had an MAPE of 0.0004 in the verification phase. The study uses SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), an explainable artificial intelligence (AI) technique, to improve decision-making in complex systems, with cement “C” significantly contributing to higher predictions in SVR-M2. Future studies should expand the dataset to include information from diverse geographic areas, environmental conditions, and concrete mixes to enhance the applicability and dependability of the models.

Bagging Algorithm Based on Possibilistic Data Interpolation for Brain-Computer Interface

Recently, brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) and brain-machine interfaces have garnered the attention of researchers. Based on connections with external devices, external computers and machines can be controlled by brain signals measured via near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) or electroencephalograph devices. Herein, we propose a novel bagging algorithm that generates interpolation data around misclassified data using a possibilistic function, to be applied to BCIs. In contrast to AdaBoost, which is a conventional ensemble learning method that increases the weight of misclassified data to incorporate them with high probability to the next datasets, we generate interpolation data using a membership function centered on misclassified data and incorporate them into the next datasets simultaneously. The interpolated data are known as virtual data herein. By adding the virtual data to the training data, the volume of the training data becomes sufficient for adjusting the discriminate boundary more accurately. Because the membership function is defined as a possibility distribution, this method is named the bagging algorithm based on the possibility distribution. Herein, we formulate a bagging-type ensemble learning based on the possibility distribution and discuss the usefulness of the proposed method for solving simple calculations using NIRS data.

A novel student achievement prediction model based on bagging‐CART machine learning algorithm

AbstractThe learning effect of students is crucial for assessing teaching quality, thus playing a significant role in teaching management. Predicting student achievement is a major challenge in understanding the learning effect of students. Currently, many studies have utilized machine learning methods such as the decision tree algorithms C4.5, ID3, CART, J48, random forest, and others. However, few studies have explored the use of the Bagging algorithm in this field. Therefore, this study proposes a classification prediction method for student achievement based on the Bagging‐CART algorithm. Initially, the student achievement data is preprocessed, and the Apriori method is applied to mine the strongly associated dataset. The optimal hyper‐parameters are determined through grid search to train and predict the Bagging‐CART algorithm. Furthermore, the CART, J48, and Bagging‐CART algorithms are trained, and their evaluation indicators are compared using a confusion matrix. The results indicate that the Bagging‐CART model achieves an accuracy of 98.16%, a recall rate of 91.80%, a precision of 90.83%, and an F1 score of 94.87%. In comparison, the accuracy, precision, and F1 scores are higher than those obtained with CART and J48. Although the recall rate is slightly lower than that of CART by 0.26%, it is 0.52% higher than that of J48. Consequently, this method demonstrates strong predictive capabilities and introduces a new reference method for evaluating students' learning effect.

Fault detection and classification scheme for power islands with inverter interfaced distributed generators

The low fault current contribution from inverter-interfaced distributed generators (IIDGs) and bidirectional flow of current in the power networks introduces protection challenges when islanded. The existing fault detection scheme based on the transient monitoring function (TMF) fails under such scenarios. A new decentralised machine learning (ML) based fault detection and classification scheme is proposed in this paper using terminal voltage information of IIDG (vo−abc). TMF of vo−abc, along with the zero sequence component of vo−abc, is utilised for training and testing of ensemble bagged trees ML algorithm. The proposed scheme is implemented inside each IIDG, and hence, it does not require communication. It is validated on a modified CIGRE test benchmark microgrid for all shunt faults at various locations with different loading, fault resistances, and inception angles. The accuracy of detection and classification of fault (DCF) during fault cases with unbalanced loads, noise, harmonic loads, and no-fault scenarios such as load and DG switching proves the effectiveness of the proposed method with varying scenarios. The performance of the proposed scheme is found to be superior when compared with the existing threshold based TMF and Hilbert–Huang transform (HHT) based techniques considering accuracy, dependability, security, and response time.

Research on Stock Price Multi-Factor Prediction Model Based on Bayesian Model Averaging

Factor mining is a crucial component in constructing stock price prediction and quantitative models, where factor mining methods based on feature dimensionality reduction, such as Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and sufficient dimensionality reduction, are widely utilized. However, the connection structure between the quantitative factors extracted using these methods and stock prices is unknown, leading to potential issues like overfitting or underfitting in prediction models. In light of this, this paper proposes a multi-factor prediction model based on Bayesian model averaging. On one hand, the proposed method employs the concept of model averaging instead of model selection, effectively balancing the variance and bias of prediction models. On the other hand, it can adaptively choose sub-models that play a crucial role in predicting stock prices, thereby enhancing overall prediction accuracy. Empirical data analysis indicates that the proposed method, compared to PCA-based Lasso and Ridge regression, exhibits smaller mean squared error and possesses a certain level of robustness. Lastly, by incorporating other model averaging techniques such as the Bagging algorithm, the generalization ability of the proposed method can be further improved.

A hybrid ensemble optimized BiGRU method for short-term photovoltaic generation forecasting

In the context of prominent energy crisis, photovoltaic power (PV) generation has received increasing attention, then accurate PV generation forecasting is crucial for ensuring the smooth operation of power stations. However, existing research is insufficient in comprehensively analyzing the impact of PV generation volatility. To fill the gaps and enhance the prediction accuracy, this paper proposes a new hybrid forecasting method. We first introduce the Locally Weighted Scatterplot Smoothing (LOWESS) method to process the data and enhance the data stability, and use Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC) and Random Forests (RF) for feature selection to improve the quality of input data. Then we use Attention mechanism and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) layer to optimize Bi-directional Gate Recurrent Unit (BiGRU) model and form a new hybrid model. Finally, based on the Bagging algorithm, we use ensemble learning to further optimize the hybrid BiGRU model to enhance the depth and performance. The proposed method is validated through case analysis results from two different locations, Xuhui District in Shanghai, China and the DKASC area in Alice Springs, Australia. The results demonstrate that, compared with other models, the developed method exhibits exceptional prediction performance and effectively enhances the accuracy of PV generation forecasting. Keywords: photovoltaic power generation; Locally Weighted Scatterplot Smoothing; feature selection; ensemble learning; Bi-directional Gate Recurrent Unit.

A Cost-Effective Model for Predicting Recurrent Gastric Cancer Using Clinical Features.

This study used artificial intelligence techniques to identify clinical cancer biomarkers for recurrent gastric cancer survivors. From a hospital-based cancer registry database in Taiwan, the datasets of the incidence of recurrence and clinical risk features were included in 2476 gastric cancer survivors. We benchmarked Random Forest using MLP, C4.5, AdaBoost, and Bagging algorithms on metrics and leveraged the synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) for imbalanced dataset issues, cost-sensitive learning for risk assessment, and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAPs) for feature importance analysis in this study. Our proposed Random Forest outperformed the other models with an accuracy of 87.9%, a recall rate of 90.5%, an accuracy rate of 86%, and an F1 of 88.2% on the recurrent category by a 10-fold cross-validation in a balanced dataset. We identified clinical features of recurrent gastric cancer, which are the top five features, stage, number of regional lymph node involvement, Helicobacter pylori, BMI (body mass index), and gender; these features significantly affect the prediction model's output and are worth paying attention to in the following causal effect analysis. Using an artificial intelligence model, the risk factors for recurrent gastric cancer could be identified and cost-effectively ranked according to their feature importance. In addition, they should be crucial clinical features to provide physicians with the knowledge to screen high-risk patients in gastric cancer survivors as well.

Effectiveness of Data Imbalance Treatment in Weather-Related Crash Severity Analysis

Accurate predictive modeling is often hindered by the prevalent issue of class imbalance within weather-related crash datasets. To address this critical challenge, this study introduces a novel and tailored synthetic data generation technique aimed at effectively handling nominal predictors specific to weather-related crash cases in North Carolina. Data treatment techniques such as the synthetic minority over-sampling technique-nominal (SMOTE-N) and adaptive synthetic-nominal (ADASYN-N) were investigated in this study. A comprehensive comparison of these data treatment techniques is conducted using two prominent machine learning models: the bagging algorithm (random forest [RF]) and the boosting algorithm (extreme gradient boosting [XGBoost]). The findings indicate that the effectiveness of data treatment varies with the severity level and the algorithm used. The ADASYN-N technique was observed to be highly effective for severe and moderate injury crash prediction using both the RF and XGBoost models, while the control dataset and SMOTE-N demonstrated notable performance in property damage only crash prediction using both the RF and XGBoost models. The findings from evaluating the performance of these models with data treatment methods serve as a benchmark for practitioners in selecting appropriate synthetic sample generation techniques, consequently facilitating the development of more accurate crash severity prediction models and contributing to enhanced traffic safety strategies.

Profit-driven fusion framework based on bagging and boosting classifiers for potential purchaser prediction

Accurately identifying potential purchasers (PPers) is pivotal for enhancing an enterprise's core competitiveness in a competitive market. Although existing research focused on individual classifiers for PPer prediction, there is a notable gap in the integration of the bagging and boosting algorithms, resulting in suboptimal performance. This study introduces a novel fusion framework for profit-oriented PPer prediction that combines the strengths of the bagging (specifically, random forest, RF) and boosting (utilizing categorical boosting, CatBoost) algorithms. CatBoost replaces the original base learner in RF, leveraging the advantages of both classifiers to reduce the variance and bias. To optimize the proposed RF-CatBoost-based fusion framework for profit maximization, we employ a grid search to fine-tune hyperparameters. This approach aligns with enterprises' profit-driven objectives. The experimental results, statistical tests, and Bayesian A/B tests collectively demonstrate that the proposed framework outperforms all comparative classifiers, yielding the highest profits. Furthermore, an interpretability analysis reveals the significant factors influencing the prediction results, providing valuable insights for decision makers in identifying PPers within customer groups.

Prediction of Stunting in Toddlers Using Bagging and Random Forest Algorithms

Stunting is a condition of failure to thrive in toddlers. This is caused by lack of nutrition over a long period of time, exposure to repeated infections, and lack of stimulation. This malnutrition condition is influenced by the mother's health during pregnancy, the health status of adolescents, as well as the economy and culture and the environment, such as sanitation and access to health services. To find out predictions of stunting, currently we still use a common method, namely Secondary Data Analysis, namely by conducting surveys and research to collect data regarding stunting. This data includes risk factors related to stunting, such as maternal nutritional status, child nutritional intake, access to health services, sanitation, and other socioeconomic factors. This secondary data analysis can provide an overview of the prevalence of stunting and the contributing factors. To overcome this, the right solution is needed, one solution that can be used is data mining techniques, where data mining can be used to carry out analysis and predictions for the future, and provide useful information for business or health needs. Based on this analysis, this research will use the Bagging method and Random Forest Algorithm to obtain the accuracy level of stunting predictions in toddlers. Bagging or Bootstrap Aggregation is an ensemble method that can improve classification by randomly combining classifications on the training dataset which can reduce variation and avoid overfitting. Random Forest is a powerful algorithm in machine learning that combines decisions from many independent decision trees to improve prediction performance and model stability. By combining the Bagging method and the Random Forest algorithm, it is hoped that it will be able to provide better stunting prediction results in toddlers. This research uses a dataset with a total of 10,001 data records, 7 attributes and 1 attribute class. Based on the test results using the Bagging method and the Random Forest algorithm in this research, the results obtained were class precision yes 91.72%, class recall yes 98.84%, class precision no 93.55%, class recall no 65.28%, and accuracy of 91.98%.

CART Classification on Ordinal Scale Data with Unbalanced Proportions using Ensemble Bagging Approach

CART is one of the algorithms in data exploration techniques with decision tree techniques. Unbalanced class proportions in the classification process can cause classification results of minor data to be incorrect. One way to overcome the problem of data imbalance is to use an ensemble bagging algorithm. The bagging algorithm utilizes the resampling method to carry out classification so that it can reduce bias in imbalanced data. The data used is secondary data from Fernandes and Solimun's 2023 research report. The number of sample are 100 respondents that has been valid and reliable. The sample for this research was mothers with toddlers in Wajak village, Malang Regency. The results showed that the ensemble bagging CART method is better at overcoming the problem of imbalance in the proportion of classes with a performance value of accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and F1-Score values of 85%, 94.1%, 66.7%, and 78%. This research is limited to the Sumberputih Village area. So, the results of this research are only representative for the Wajak District area.