Prediction of white blood cell count during exercise: a comparison between standalone and hybrid intelligent algorithms

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Decades of research in exercise immunology have demonstrated the profound impact of exercise on the immune response, influencing an individual's disease susceptibility. Accurate prediction of white blood cells (WBCs) count during exercise can help to design effective training programs to maintain optimal the immune system function and prevent its suppression. In this regard, this study aimed to develop an easy-to-use and efficient modelling tool for predicting WBCs count during exercise. To achieve this goal, the predictive power of a range of machine-learning algorithms, including six standalone models (M5 prime (M5P), random forest (RF), alternating model trees (AMT), reduced error pruning tree (REPT), locally weighted learning (LWL), and support vector regression (SVR)) were assessed along with six types of hybrid models trained with a bagging (BA) algorithm (BA-M5P, BA-RF, BA-AMT, BA-REPT, BA-LWL, and BA- SVR). A comprehensive database was constructed from 200 eligible people. The models employed post-exercise training WBCs counts as the output parameter and seven WBCs-influencing factors, including intensity and duration of exercise, pre-exercise training WBCs counts, age, body fat percentage, maximal aerobic capacity, and muscle mass as input parameters. Comparing the prediction results of the models to the observed WBCs using standard statistics indicated that the BA-M5P model had the greatest potential to produce a robust prediction of the number of lymphocytes, neutrophils, monocytes, and WBC compared to other models. Moreover, pre-exercise training WBCs counts, intensity and duration of exercise and body fat percentage were the most important features in predicting WBCs counts. These findings hold significant implications for the advancement of exercise immunology and the promotion of public health.