Fly ash from waste incineration is growing rapidly and has become a global problem. Landfill is the main treatment method, but the release behavior of ultra-alkaline fly ash needs further study. In this study, the release pattern of heavy metals from fly ash, the long-term risk after seepage, and the main control mechanisms were explored by indoor simulation experiments and process simulation modeling. The results show that carbonation is the main control mechanism for the release rate of heavy metals from super-alkaline fly ash, and the release rate is slow at the initial stage, but the release concentration of Zn and Pb may increase tens of times with the continuous reaction between the acidic substances in the leachate and the alkaline substances in the fly ash. The heavy metals released into the leachate can cause the concentration of Zn, Cd and Pb in the groundwater to exceed the standard by 39.50, 6.70 and 5.99 times due to seepage. Furnace type is the key controlling factor for background concentrations of heavy metals in ultra-alkaline fly ash, and the exposure concentrations of Cu, Cd, Zn, and Pb in ultra-alkaline fly ash from grate furnaces as well as the GT1 facility are 4.19, 4.19, 4.14, and 37.5 times greater than those of fluidized beds, respectively, with a higher risk of long-term landfill. Regionally, the regional occupancy rate of heavy metal concentrations indicated that the risk of adequate rainfall was high in the southeastern coastal region, which was five times higher than that in the inland northwest. Therefore, the long-term dynamics and risk evolution of Zn, Cd, and Pb in the groundwater around MSWLs in the coastal area should be paid attention to after the landfilling of ultra-alkaline fly ash in order to ensure the safety of the shallow groundwater environment after landfilling.
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