Average Retreat Research Articles

Changing rates of escarpment retreat linked to environmental change in a sedimentary tableland, Stołowe Mountains, SW Poland

Long-term rates of escarpment retreat in sedimentary tablelands have been rarely determined and their possible variability in relation to major environmental changes has often been speculative, especially in older contributions. Moreover, rates reported so far were almost exclusively from arid regions. In this paper we present a dataset of 20 cosmogenic exposure ages, obtained for cliffs and boulders produced by rock-slope disintegration, left in front of a retreating 150-m-high escarpment of a sandstone mesa in SW Poland. The most distant boulders are >400 m away from the cliffs. Following previous research in the region, boulders are mainly products of in situ disintegration and hence, their present-day position on the slope approximates the past position of the cliffs, allowing for the calculations of cliff retreat. Exposure ages systematically increase with the distance from the present-day cliff line and cover the last 100 kyr, implying an average retreat rate of 4.18 mm/yr. However, the dataset splits into several sub-populations, each with its own trend, meaning that the rates of retreat varied with time. A maximum was reached during the Late Pleistocene and transition to the Holocene, when the rates exceeded 10 mm/yr and may have reached 100 mm/yr. The rates seemed distinctly lower between MIS5 and LGM and during the Holocene. We propose that the transition towards a warmer climate at the Pleistocene/Holocene boundary, with an increased frequency of freezing-thawing cycles, the degradation of permafrost and unblocking of groundwater drainage enhanced caprock disintegration and accelerated the break-off rates of caprock. During periods of most efficient cliff disintegration and boulder production the rates of escarpment retreat at the field site could have been two orders of magnitude higher than in the hyperarid areas. However, despite changing rates of retreat major processes involved in escarpment evolution seem to have remained the same.

Impacts of anthropogenic structures in long- and short-term shoreline evolution of Santa Marta Bay (Colombian Caribbean)

Interaction of Anthropic interventions (rigid structures) with coasts is an essential aspect for understanding their geomorphic evolution and incorporating these data into adequate coastal management. This study analyses the short and long-term behavior (1985 to 2019) of shoreline at Santa Marta Bay (Caribbean - Colombia) and their relationship with coastal protection structures. The shoreline variations were analyzed through aerial photographs and satellite images using DSAS tools. The short-term assessment showed initial intense 1985–1991 erosion, with an average retreat speed rate of − 1.6 m·y− 1. It changed gradually since 2003, due to the construction of rigid structures and beach nourishment, decreasing shoreline retreat and even a progradation rate of 0.2 m·y− 1 was observed. The 2009–2019 period, despite recording a positive average value, exhibited a high percentage of erosion profiles. Therefore, in a decadal or long-term analysis (1985–2019), despite engineering works present positive results in the short term, new interventions are required. The coastal erosion is not uniform along the shoreline, because the area is a closed bay with small sediment inputs, the variations in erosion and accretion rates change with human intervention and the installation of new structures. Therefore, quantifying the scale and rate of shoreline changes and correlating them with anthropogenic structures is an essential step in assessing shoreline vulnerability.

Climatic Variability and Degradation of the Banks of Mayo-Dorbo (South-West Chad)

This article deals with climate variability and degradation of the banks of Mayo-Dorbo, a town located in the southwest of Chad. Degradation is one of the causes creating a socio-economic imbalance for farmers. The objective of this study is to assess the impact of climate variability and bank degradation in the Mayo Dorbo watershed. To carry out this study, the methodology is based on observations, field measurements, and questionnaires. The results show that the 1970s began with negative indices reflecting drought but from the 1990s, the rainfall situation improved with positive rainfall indices. According to field measurements in the dry season and in the rainy season, the degradation process is slow at the start of the rainy season with a decline of 44.5 cm, it reaches its optimum during the floods of the months (July and August) with a retreat on average by 120.5cm where precipitation is significant. The summary of measurements for the 2022 watershed season shows an average retreat of 130. 29cm along the banks. This decline is caused by the abundance of rains 79% soil to 13% and the relief to 8%.

Assessing Shoreline Changes in Fringing Salt Marshes from Satellite Remote Sensing Data

Salt marshes are highly important wetlands; however, external pressures are causing their widespread deterioration and loss. Continuous monitoring of their extent is paramount for the preservation and recovery of deteriorated and threatened salt marshes. In general, moderate-resolution satellite remote sensing data allow for the accurate detection of salt marsh shorelines; however, their detection in narrow and fringing salt marshes remains challenging. This study aims to evaluate the ability of Landsat-5 (TM), Landsat-7 (ETM+), and Sentinel-2 (MSI) data to be used to accurately determine the shoreline of narrow and fringing salt marshes, focusing on three regions of the Aveiro lagoon in Mira, Ílhavo and S. Jacinto channels. Shorelines were determined considering the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and the accuracy of this methodology was evaluated against reference shorelines by computing the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Once validated, the method was used to determine historical salt marsh shorelines, and rates of change between 1984 and 2022 were quantified and analyzed in the three locations. Results evidence that the 30 m resolution Landsat data accurately describe the salt marsh shoreline (RMSE~15 m) and that the accuracy is maintained when increasing the spatial resolution through pan-sharpening or when using 10 m resolution Sentinel-2 (MSI) data. These also show that the salt marshes of the Ílhavo and S. Jacinto channels evolved similarly, with salt marsh shoreline stability before 2000 followed by retreats after this year. At the end of the four decades of study, an average retreat of 66.23 ± 1.03 m and 46.62 ± 0.83 m was found, respectively. In contrast to these salt marshes and to the expected evolution, the salt marsh of the Mira Channel showed retreats before 2000, followed by similar progressions after this year, resulting in an average 2.33 ± 1.18 m advance until 2022.

Monitoring of a Coastal Protection Scheme through Satellite Remote Sensing: A Case Study in Ghana

Earth observation can provide managers with valuable information on ongoing coastal processes and major trends in coastline evolution, especially in data-poor regions. This paper examines the use of optical satellite images in the mapping of the changes in shoreline position before, during, and after the implementation of a protection scheme. The aim of this paper is twofold: (i) to demonstrate the potential of satellite imagery as an effective, robust, and low-cost tool to remotely monitor the effectiveness of protective structures based on a large-scale case study in West Africa; and (ii) to compile lessons learned from this case study that can be used in the design of future interventions. The analysis shows that before the implementation of the protection scheme, the coastal sector was retreating at a rate of −1.6 m/year, which is in line with the average retreat rates reported in other studies for the region. After project implementation, this trend reversed into shoreline accretion at a rate of +1.0 m/year, locally experiencing positive and negative oscillations in the short term. Furthermore, the shoreline-extracted positions proved useful in assessing the impact of differences in the groynes’ permeability with respect to temporary leeside erosion. Finally, it is recommended to continue this monitoring to assess long-term trends.

Warming Has Accelerated the Melting of Glaciers on the Tibetan Plateau, but the Debris-Covered Glaciers Are Rapidly Expanding

Glacier changes on the Tibetan Plateau are of great importance for regional climate and hydrology and even global ecological changes. It is urgent to understand the effect of climate warming on both clean and debris-covered glaciers on the Tibetan Plateau. This study used the double RF method and Landsat series images to extract clean glaciers and debris-covered glaciers on the Tibetan Plateau from 1985 to 2020 and analyzed their temporal and spatial changes under the background of climate change. The total area of glaciers on the Tibetan Plateau showed a retreating trend from 1985 to 2020, with an average retreat rate of −0.5 % yr−1. The area of clean glaciers showed a significant retreating trend, with a retreat rate of −0.55 % yr−1. The area of debris-covered glaciers showed an expanding trend, with an expanding rate of 0.62 % yr−1. The clean glaciers retreated faster in the southeast and slower in the northwest, while the debris-covered glaciers expanded in most basins. The debris-covered glaciers were generally located at lower elevation areas than those of the clean glaciers. The slopes of clean glaciers were mainly in the range of 0–50°, while the slopes of debris-covered glaciers were mainly in the range of 0–30°. Climate warming was a main driver of glacier change. The clean glacier area was correlated negatively with average temperature in summer and positively with average precipitation in winter, while the debris-covered glacier area was correlated positively with both. The results of the study may provide a basis for scientific management of glaciers on the Tibetan Plateau in the context of climate warming.

Dynamics of Low-Lying Sandy Coast of the Gydan Peninsula, Kara Sea, Russia, Based on Multi-Temporal Remote Sensing Data

The retreat rates of Arctic coasts have increased in recent decades at many sites, and an essential part of coasts considered accumulative before have turned erosional due to global climate changes and construction in the coastal zone. In this paper, we study a 7 km long coastal section of the western Gydan Peninsula in a new construction area. Based on the interpretation of multi-temporal satellite imagery, we assessed coastal dynamics in distinct periods from 1972 to 2020. We analyzed the geological structure of the coast as well as changes in hydrometeorological parameters with time, and considering the human impact, we proposed the main drivers of spatial and temporal variations of coastal dynamics. The studied low-lying sandy accumulative marine terrace was more or less stable in the period before construction (1972–2014). However, with the area’s development, the coast dynamics changed drastically: in 2014–2017, three-quarters of the studied area experienced retreat, and the average retreat rate amounted to 5.8 m/yr, up to 28.5 m/yr near the construction sites. We relate this coastal erosion intensification to human impact combined with the growth of hydrometeorological forcing. Although coastal erosion slowed down after 2017, the retreat trend remained. In the coming years, with Arctic climate warming, erosion of the studied coast will continue.

Glacier inventory and glacier changes (1994–2020) in the Upper Alaknanda Basin, Central Himalaya

AbstractHimalayan glaciers have been shrinking and losing mass rapidly since 1970s with an enhanced rate after 2000. The shrinkage is, however, quite heterogeneous and it is important to document individual glacier characteristics and their changes at the basin scale. We present an updated glacier inventory of the Upper Alaknanda Basin (UAB), Central Himalaya for the year 2020 and report area, debris cover and length changes for the periods 1994–2006 and 2006–2020 based on remote-sensing data. We identified 198 glaciers, comprising an area of 354.6 ± 8.5 km2, and classified them according to their size and morphology. The glaciers of the basin lost 4.2 ± 2.9% (0.16 ± 0.11% a−1) of their frontal area (from 368.6 ± 9.2 to 353.0 ± 5.3 km2) from 1994 to 2020. The average retreat rate was higher in the period 2006–2020 (13.3 ± 1.8 m a−1) in comparison to 1994–2006 (9.3 ± 1.9 m a−1). However, the area change rate was similar for the two periods (0.14 ± 0.27% a−1 for 1994–2006 and 0.16 ± 0.19% a−1 for 2006–2020). The debris-covered area has increased by 13.4 ± 4.4% from 1994 to 2020. A comparison with previous studies in UAB indicates consistent area loss of ~0.15% a−1 since the 1960s.

Weakening of Coastlines and Coastal Erosion in the Gulf of Guinea: The Case of the Kribi Coast in Cameroon

For more than four decades, the Gulf of Guinea’s coasts have been undergoing a significant phenomenon of erosion, resulting from the pressures of both anthropogenic and marine weather forcings. From the coasts of West Africa (Senegal, Ivory Coast, Ghana, Benin, Togo, and Nigeria) to those of Central Africa (Gabon, Equatorial Guinea, and Cameroon), the phenomenon has been growing for more than four decades. The southern Cameroonian coastline from Kribi to Campo has become the scene of significant environmental dynamics that render it vulnerable to coastal erosion, which appears to be the major hazard of this coastal territory and causes a gradual degradation of the vegetative cover, thereby leading to the degradation of the coast’s land/ground cover and human-made infrastructure. The objective of this work is to analyze the kinematics of the Kribian coastline between 1973 and 2020; to quantify the levels of retreat, accretion, and stability; and finally, to discuss the factors influencing the evolution of the coastline. The methodological approach is based on the large-scale processing of Landsat images with a spatial resolution of 30 m. Then, small-scale processing is carried out around the autonomous port of Kribi using Pléiades and Google Earth images from the years 2013, 2018, and 2020 with a 0.5 m spatial resolution. The Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS) version 5 and ArcMap 10.5® tool are used to model coastal kinematics. In addition, the dynamics of the agro-industrial plantations are assessed via satellite images and landscape perception. Environmental degradation is measured with respect to the entire Cameroonian coastline through the supervised classification of Landsat images (1986–2020). The results show that erosion is in its initial phase in Kribi because significant retreats of the coastline are noticeable over the period from 2015–2020. Thus, between 1973 and 2020, the linear data present a certain stability. In total, +72.32% of the line remained stable, with values of +1.3% for accretion and +26.33% for erosion—obtained from Landsat images of 30 m resolution—with an average retreat of +1.3 m/year and an average accretion of 0.9 m/year between 1973–2020. Based on high-resolution images, between 2013 and 2019, the average retreat of the coastline on the Kribian coast was −8.5 m/year and the average accretion was about 7 m/year. Agro-industrial plantations are responsible for environmental degradation. Thus, at SOCAPALM in Apouh, there has been a clear growth in plantations, which has fallen from 53% in 1990 to 78% in 2020, i.e., an increase of 25% of its baseline area. This is linked to the fact that plantations are growing significantly, with increases of 16% in 1990, 28% in 2000, and 29% in 2020, for old plantations.

Predicting Shoreline Change for the Agadir and Taghazout Coasts (Morocco)

Aangri, A.; Hakkou, M.; Krien, Y., and Benmohammadi, A., 2022. Predicting shoreline change for the Agadir and Taghazout coasts (Morocco). Journal of Coastal Research, 38(5), 937–950. Coconut Creek (Florida), ISSN 0749-0208. Prediction of the long-term shoreline change under the effect of natural and anthropogenic factors is a fundamental goal for coastal managers. This paper presents a simple model for predicting the shoreline change for the Agadir and Taghazout coasts, which consist of several sandy beaches, in the horizons 2050 and 2100; this coastal area plays a vital economic role in this region. The anticipation of its protection against erosion is necessary in view of the effects of climate change, and it will preserve its potential for tourism and urban development in the long term through the establishment of the construction setback line. The approach proposed here combines the long-term extrapolations of historical shoreline changes (1969–2020) in the future, and the estimate of the shoreline retreat due to sea level rise (SLR) by using Bruun's rule, using the severe RCP 8.5 scenario, and taking into account the contribution of vertical land movements. The model used has been calibrated through incorporating a correction factor (F), calculated by comparing observed and predicted data over a long period. The analysis of the predictions results provided in this work showing a potential risk of erosion threatening all seaside tourist and urban infrastructures along this coast. The average retreat is estimated at 12 m by 2050 and 51 m by 2100.

Old forecasts vs actual shoreline evolution: Assessing model's performance and projections accuracy

Nowadays there are numerous computational tools to forecast the evolution of the shoreline position in sandy coast environments. However, few studies have waited for the time horizon of the predictions to actually check the accuracy of the forecasted scenarios. Thus, this work proposed to assess the accuracy of medium-term predictions made with Long-Term Configuration (LTC) and GENEralised model for SImulating Shoreline change (GENESIS) numerical models for the time horizon of 15-year and evaluate the models’ performance in forecasting the actual status of a complex sandy coastal stretch in 2018, the targeting year. The projection premises were already presented in Baptista et al. (2014) on which observational data used to calibrate and blind hindcast future scenarios of shoreline development was discussed. The case study focused on an area located downdrift of Poço da Cruz groin, on the northwest Portuguese coast, and considered two beach sectors in accordance with Baptista et al. (2014): sector AC, about 3.5 km long, and sector AB, about 2.4 km long and included in the first one. The whole coastal stretch is composed of sandy beaches, and past trends highlight erosion downdrift of Poço da Cruz groin due to the interruption of sediment transport. A monitoring program performed by the University of Aveiro between 2003 and 2018 (corresponding to the period of simulation presented in Baptista et al., 2014), including six topographic surveys, was considered for comparison with the projections previously made. An additional topographic survey performed in 2018, within COSMO programme, was also considered. Simulations results have proved divergent performances of LTC and GENESIS models, despite the equity of inputs parameters and modelling processes. It is concluded that GENESIS and LTC, considering the typical (TYP) wave climate (randomly generated to represent the typical frequencies of wave height and direction during five years), create an envelope (GENESIS below and LTC above) to the real average results. For TYP, GENESIS underestimates the mean retreat rates up to 23 m in sector AB and up to 23 m in AC; LTC overestimates the retreat up to 33 m in sector AB and up to 13 m in AC. Conversely, observed (OBS) wave climate (shorter characterisation period but maintaining the registered data sequence) projections overestimate the shoreline retreat in both coastal stretches, suggesting that a larger characterisation period should be more important than maintaining the sequence of recorded waves. For OBS, the models overestimate the mean retreat rates in both sectors: GENESIS overestimates up to 90 m in sector AB and up to 51 m in AC; LTC overestimates up to 60 m in AB and up to 60 m in AC. Also, the consideration of the artificial nourishment operations executed during the simulation period leads to better results in the LTC, which was overestimating the erosion rate. This showed that if all man-made interventions could be anticipated, the average retreat in the main sector, AC, would only be up to 5 % different from the projections made by Baptista et al. (2014) with LTC model and TYP wave climate. • Checked accuracy of 15-year forecasts. • Checked performance of LTC and GENESIS shoreline evolution models. • The wave sampling period used in calibration has relevant impact on forecasts made. • LTC and GENESIS create an envelope to the real average retreat surveyed. • Better projections would be achieved if planed interventions were known in advance.

Timing of the last deglaciation phases in the southern Baltic area inferred from Bayesian age modeling

A new chronology of the last Scandinavian Ice Sheet retreat in the southern Baltic basin is proposed. Based on Bayesian age modeling, we show that the most likely ages of particular deglaciation phases are 16.5 ± 0.5 ka for the Gardno Phase, 15.6 ± 0.6 ka for the Słupsk Bank Phase, and 13.9 ± 0.5 ka for the Southern Middle Bank Phase. The Gardno moraines are correlated with the Halland Coastal moraines in southern Sweden and the Middle Lithuanian moraines in Lithuania and Latvia. Ice margin stillstands of the Słupsk Bank Phase and Souhern Middle Bank Phase are correlated with the Göteborg and Vimmerby moraines, and with the North Lithuanian (Haanja) and Otepää moraines. The average retreat rates of the ice margin is about 55 m/yr between the Gardno Phase and the Słupsk Bank Phase, and about 40 m/yr between the Słupsk Bank Phase and the Southern Middle Bank Phase. This suggests that the last deglaciation did not accelerate after the Gardno Phase when an extensive ice-dammed lake was formed in front of the retreating ice sheet. The ice margin was probably grounded rather than floating, which prevented its more rapid retreat. The timing of the two main ice margin stillstands at the Słupsk Bank and at the Southern Middle Bank corresponds to the cool periods around 15 and 14 ka interpreted from paleotemperatures of Greenland based on ice core GISP2. This suggests that the main phases of the last deglaciation in the southern Baltic region were at least partly triggered by climatic fluctuations in the Northern Hemisphere.

Late Weichselian and Holocene behavior of the Greenland Ice Sheet in the Kejser Franz Josef Fjord system, NE Greenland

To better understand the past retreat patterns and chronologies of major marine-terminating outlet glaciers, the Late Weichselian and Holocene glacial history of a NE Greenland fjord system is reconstructed using new and previously published swath bathymetry and high-resolution seismic data, supplemented with multi-proxy analysis of sediment cores. The investigated area extends more than 190 km, including Fosters Bugt, Kejser Franz Josef Fjord, Nordfjord and Moskusoksefjord, the drainage routes for Waltershausen Gletscher, one of the largest outlet glaciers in the NE sector of the Greenland Ice Sheet. A complex of moraine ridges identified in Fosters Bugt show former stillstand positions during this period, and, alongside radiocarbon ages, supports the theory of a maximum ice front position in the outer coastal areas during the Younger Dryas-Preboreal period. The retreat moraines distributed within the Kejser Franz Josef Fjord system provide evidence of a stepwise retreat during the last deglaciation, whereby rapid retreat was interrupted by episodes of stillstands and/or readvances of the grounding line. The fjord system was mostly deglaciated prior to 7.8 ka cal BP, with an estimated average retreat rate ranging between 33 and 96 m a−1 since the Younger Dryas. Following this, only minor ice advances in the inner fjords have been identified. The sediment supply from Waltershausen Gletscher dominated the Kejser Franz Josef Fjord, Nordfjord and outer Moskusoksefjord throughout the Holocene period, whereas in the middle and inner Moskusoksefjord the sediment deposits reflect a more local catchment area. The estimated average retreat rate is in the same order of magnitude as the rates from fjords of northern Fennoscandia, indicating the same overall control for the deglaciation, ice melting from increased Northern Hemisphere summer insolation that peaked in Early Holocene.

Cliff Retreat Contribution to the Littoral Sediment Budget along the Baltic Sea Coastline of Schleswig-Holstein, Germany

Mobile coastal sediments, such as sand and gravel, build up and protect wave-dominated coastlines. In sediment-starved coastal environments, knowledge about the natural sources and transport pathways of those sediments is of utmost importance for the understanding and management of coastlines. Along the Baltic Sea coast of Schleswig-Holstein (Germany), the retreat of active cliffs—made of cohesive Pleistocene deposits—supplies a wide size range of sediments to the coastal system. The material is reworked and sorted by hydrodynamic forcing: the less mobile stones and boulders remain close to the source area; the finest sediments, mostly clay and silt, are transported offshore into areas of low energy; and the fractions of sand and fine gravels mostly remain in the nearshore zone, where they make up the littoral sediment budget. They contribute to the morphodynamic development of sandy coastlines and nearshore bar systems. Exemplarily for this coastal stretch and based on an extensive review of local studies we quantify the volume of the potential littoral sediment budget from cliff retreat. At an average retreat rate of 0.24 m yr−1 (<0.1–0.73 m yr−1), the assessment indicates a weighted average sediment volume of 1.5 m3 yr−1 m−1 (<0.1–9.5 m3 yr−1 m−1) per meter active cliff. For the whole area, this results in an absolute sediment budget Vs,total of 39,000–161,000 m3 yr−1. The accuracy of the results is limited by system understanding and data quality and coverage. The study discusses uncertainties in the calculation of littoral sediment budgets from cliff retreat and provides the first area-wide budget assessment along the sediment-starved Baltic Sea coastline of Schleswig-Holstein.

Tree ring evidence of the retreat history of the Zepu glacier on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau since the Little Ice Age

Glaciers on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau, known as the “Asian Water Tower”, directly affect the utilization of water resources in downstream regions. The currently available instrumental climatic dataset covers only a short period, and the resolution of proxy-based climate reconstructions is low, and these limitations restrict the accurate exploration of glacial changes on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau within the context of long-term climate change. Here, annual-resolution tree ring samples were collected from the oldest pioneer trees (Hippophae rhamnoides subsp. yunnanensis), from the bottom of a glacial valley on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau, and used to reconstruct the glacial changes based on the relationship between the ages of the trees and their distances from the glacier terminal. Results indicate that Zepu glacier has been retreating since 1778 CE, with a total retreat distance of 2757 m and an average retreat rate of 11 m yr−1. The rate of retreat has varied over time, with a maximum of 40 m yr−1 between the 1950s CE and 1970s CE, and glacial retreat has been modulated mainly by temperature variability over interdecadal to centennial timescales. This study provides a new way to reconstruct the history of glacial retreat.

Arctic landscape transitions: ice cap and terrestrial margins across Hofsjökull, Iceland

ABSTRACT Dramatic shifts in sea and terrestrial ice coverage across the Arctic has prompted urgent calls for systematic glacier and ice cap monitoring efforts. We use satellite-derived data from NASA’s Landsat 5 Thematic Mapper (TM) and Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) sensor to focus on landscape-level changes to Iceland’s dome-shaped Hofsjökull ice cap and its surrounding over a recent twenty-five year period, from 1992 to 2017. We offer a practicable technique using available moderate resolution satellite data with a relatively long historical record to monitor changes to Hofsjökull and its surrounding. Our analysis reveals substantial shifts in snow, ice cover, and vegetation over the study period. Observed is a twenty-three percent decrease in the spatial extent of snow and ice between the two years. The ice front margin has receded along the entire periphery of the ice cap, with an average retreat of 743 m across a sample of transects. In a few cases, the retreat is more than one kilometer from the 1992 margin. Employing an automated machine learning technique to analyze satellite data can reduce errors, allow for systematic frequent assessments and provide urgently needed finer-scale spatio-temporal records across the rapidly changing Arctic.

Estimation of the recession rate of Gangotri glacier, Garhwal Himalaya (India) through kinematic GPS survey and satellite data

Snout monitoring of the Gangotri glacier (Uttarakhand, India) during the ablation season (May to September) in years 2005 and 2015 by using rapid static and kinematic GPS survey reveals that the retreating rate has been comparatively more declined than shown by the earlier studies. Our study is based on the individual measurement by the remote sensing, added by the ground observations by using Differential global positioning system (DGPS) to determine the precise recession rate of the glacier at sub-centimeter level of accuracy. The GPS dataset show that the total average retreat along the snout has been 102.57 ± 0.05 m from 2005 to 2015 with an average rate as 10.26 ± 0.05 m/yr. Additionally, the shift in snout position was also measured through multi-temporal satellite data from 1989 to 2016. The results indicate that the Gangotri glacier snout has retreated by 585.62 ± 38.30 m during this period with an average retreat of 26.75 ± 4.36 m/yr from 1989 to 1999, 21.58 ± 3.77 m/yr from 1999 to 2009 and 14.60 ± 4.81 m/yr from 2009 to 2016. Such a decline in retreat is further confirmed by the satellite data set. A close examination of meltwater discharge and retreating rate (r2 = 0.95) show that both parameters are strongly correlated. Therefore, we suggest that a consistent decrease in meltwater discharge from 1999 to 2015 is in agreement with decreasing trend of retreating rate during the recent years. To determine the possible causes of decreased retreating rate, a relationship between debris thickness and melt rate was also established by ablation stakes. Further, we infer that the declining trend in the glacier retreat is not only controlled by prevailing weather conditions (rainfall and air temperature) but is also governed by increased debris cover on the glacier surface which prevents the ice to melt.

Temporal inventory of glaciers in the Suru sub-basin, western Himalaya: impacts of regional climate variability

Abstract. The importance of updated knowledge about the glacier extent and characteristics in the Himalaya cannot be overemphasized. Availability of precise glacier inventories in the latitudinally diverse western Himalayan region is particularly crucial. In this study we have created an inventory of the Suru sub-basin in the western Himalaya for the year 2017 using Landsat Operational Land Imager (OLI) data. Changes in glacier parameters have also been monitored from 1971 to 2017 using temporal satellite remote-sensing data and limited field observations. Inventory data show that the sub-basin has 252 glaciers covering 11 % of the basin, having an average slope of 25±6∘ (standard deviations have been italicized throughout the text) and dominantly north orientation. The average snow line altitude (SLA) of the basin is 5011±54 m a.s.l. with smaller (47 %) and cleaner (43 %) glaciers occupying the bulk area. Long-term climate data (1901–2017) show an increase in the mean annual temperature (Tmax⁡ and Tmin⁡) of 0.77 ∘C (0.25 and 1.3 ∘C) in the sub-basin, driving the overall glacier variability in the region. Temporal analysis reveals a glacier shrinkage of ∼6±0.02 %, an average retreat rate of 4.3±1.02 m a−1, debris increase of 62 % and a 22±60 m SLA increase in the past 46 years. This confirms their transitional response between the Karakoram and the Greater Himalayan Range (GHR) glaciers. Besides, glaciers in the sub-basin occupy two major ranges, the GHR and Ladakh Range (LR), and experience local climate variability, with the GHR glaciers exhibiting a warmer and wetter climate as compared to the LR glaciers. This variability manifests itself in the varied response of GHR and LR glaciers. While the GHR glaciers exhibit an overall rise in SLA (GHR: 49±69 m; LR: decrease of 18±50 m), the LR glaciers have deglaciated more (LR: 7 %; GHR: 6 %) with an enhanced accumulation of debris cover (LR: 73 %; GHR: 59 %). Inferences from this study reveal prevalence of glacier disintegration and overall degeneration, transition of clean ice to partially debris-covered glaciers, local climate variability and non-climatic (topographic and morphometric)-factor-induced heterogeneity in glacier response as the major processes operating in this region. The Shukla et al. (2019) dataset is accessible at https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.904131.

Spatial Changes in Glaciers Between 1965 and 2018 in Tirungkhad Watershed, Upper Sutlej Basin, Himachal Pradesh

This paper is an attempt to estimate spatial changes (area and length in the frontal area) in glaciers of Tirungkhad watershed in Upper Sutlej Basin. It also investigates the influence of topography on the changes in glaciers. High-resolution (spatial) Corona KH4A (1965), Landsat TM (1990) and Sentinel 2B (2018) imageries and Aster GDEM elevation data have been used in this study to estimate changes of the glaciers between 1965 and 2018. Total 41 glaciers with an area of 58.73 km2 were mapped from Sentinel 2B imagery (2018). Due to cloud cover, 20 glaciers were selected for change calculation. During the period, 1965–2018, the glaciers have lost 1.95 ± 1.06 km2 or 5.58 ± 3.16% (0.11 ± 0.06%/year) of its total area. Average area loss rate was 0.037 ± 0.020 km2/year during 1965–2018. The glacier area change showed almost uniform rate throughout the period 1965–2018 (– 0.038 ± 0.053 km2/year during 1990–2018, and – 0.035 ± 0.057 km2/year during 1965–1990). Average retreat rate of glaciers was 6.76 ± 1.91 m/year during 1965–2018 (6.95 ± 2.08 m/year during 1965–1990 and 6.60 ± 1.74 m/year during 1990–2018). The topographic analysis showed that smaller glaciers had lost a higher percentage of area as compared to the larger glaciers.

Late Quaternary and Modern Evolution of Permafrost Coasts at Beliy Island, Kara Sea

Baranskaya, A.V.; Novikova, A.V.; Shabanova, N.; Romanenko, F., and Ogorodov, S., 2020. Late Quaternary and modern evolution of permafrost coasts at Beliy Island, Kara Sea. In: Malvarez, G. and Navas, F. (eds.), Global Coastal Issues of 2020. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 95, pp. 356–361. Coconut Creek (Florida), ISSN 0749-0208.The low coasts of Beliy Island, Kara Sea, composed of perennially frozen sands and silts with peat are extremely vulnerable to all changes in sea level and climate conditions in the Arctic. The complex Holocene history of the island is reflected in sediments outcropping in its coastal bluffs. Modern erosion leads to destruction of these bluffs, continuing to change the topography of the island.To reconstruct Late Quaternary history, coastal exposures were investigated. They generally consist of three units: the lower clays and sands with plant debris, parallel and rippled lamination formed in shallow marine conditions in MIS 3. The middle sandy unit with allochtonuous peat lenses was deposited in the mid-Holocene (5 to 8 ka BP) in coastal conditions. The upper peats, sandy loams and silts accumulated in continental conditions after 5 ka.To estimate modern coastal erosion rates, multitemporal satellite imagery (1969-2016) was used. The western coast retreated at higher average rates than the eastern coast (1.9±0.2 m/y and 1.2±0.2 m/y, respectively). Extreme rates during 47 years were higher from the eastern side (4.6 m/y compared to 3.1 m/y in the west). Both mean and extreme erosion rates are higher than the known erosion intensity of the Kara Sea coastal dynamics monitoring sites, evidencing considerable vulnerability of the low coasts to erosion in the changing climate. Evolution of the hydrometeorological parameters affecting coastal erosion in the XX-XXI century was estimated. High average retreat rates must have happened in the 2000s-2010s as a result of both temperature and wave energy increase providing unprecedent environmental forcing of coastal dynamics.