Abstract The recently developed guidelines for design flood calculation in Sweden are based on simulation with a hydrological model. Several meteorological and hydrological conditions are prescribed as input to the model. The sensitivity of the floods according to the new guidelines with respect to those prescriptions is checked as well as the sensitivity to the modelling procedure. In this paper, the HBV hydrological model is used. It is shown that the most sensitive input factor is the design 14-day precipitation sequence. For autumn floods, the scaling relation between the precipitation sequence and the generated floods is in the order of 1:1. For spring floods on the other hand, snowmelt influences the flood magnitude and reduces the sensitivity to precipitation to about 1:0.6. Soil moisture modelling was important in basins with high evapotranspiration. Model calibration could have a large effect on the design flood magnitude. The most sensitive parameter was the high flow recession coefficient, K0 ....