Atmospheric Temperature Changes Research Articles

Long‐Term Temperature Impacts of the Hunga Volcanic Eruption in the Stratosphere and Above

AbstractGlobal average upper atmosphere temperature changes linked with the Hunga volcanic eruption (January 2022) are analyzed based on satellite measurements and compared with chemistry‐climate model simulations. Results show stratospheric cooling of −0.5 to −1.0 K in the middle and upper stratosphere during 2022 through middle 2023, followed by stronger cooling (−1.0 to −2.0 K) in the mesosphere after middle 2023. The cooling patterns follow the upward propagating water vapor (H2O) anomalies from Hunga, and similar behavior is found between observations and model simulations. While the stratospheric cooling is mainly due to radiative cooling from enhanced H2O, the mesospheric temperature changes result from ozone losses in the mesosphere, which are in‐turn driven by HOx radicals from Hunga H2O. Comparisons with the multi‐decade climate record show that Hunga impacts on stratospheric temperatures have similar magnitude, but opposite sign, to temperature effects from the large El Chichón (1982) and Pinatubo (1991) volcanic eruptions.

Atmospheric warming during rapid sea ice loss over the Barents–Kara seas in winter

AbstractThe atmospheric temperature change associated with rapid sea ice loss events over the Barents–Kara Seas (BKS) is explored. Rapid sea ice loss events are defined as periods with a tendency for sea ice concentration averaged over BKS to be below the fifth percentile of the probability density function distribution during the winters of 1979–2020 for at least three consecutive days. Composite analysis shows that there is a significantly positive bottom‐amplified temperature anomaly ahead of the rapid sea ice loss, which is closely associated with a wave train composed of a Ural blocking and an upstream positive phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation. This structure is favorable for the transport of warm and moist air into the BKS, and therefore, the tropospheric temperature, including the surface air temperature, increases through horizontal warm‐temperature advection, specifically through warm advection of the climatological temperature by the anomalous wind. The cooling over the BKS due to the adiabatic effect and vertical mixing opposes the horizontal warm‐temperature advection above and below about 900 hPa, respectively. However, an increase in skin temperature prominently results from enhanced downward long‐wave radiation, which is also the main contributor to the rapid sea ice loss.

Impact of Average Atmospheric Temperature on Rainbow Trout Production in South Africa: A Time Series Analysis Approach

Climate change has various effects on the global food supply and the environment as a whole. Similarly, the production of fish like Rainbow Trout is affected by variation in the atmospheric temperature higher than 21oC, leading to fluctuations in yield. Therefore, this study sought to investigate the impact of average atmospheric temperature on Rainbow Trout production in South Africa using time series data spanning from 2000 to 2022. The unit root test, Johannsen cointegration test, and the Vector Error Correction model were employed to analyse the data. The results show that the change in average atmospheric temperature affects the production of Rainbow Trout. The correlation between average temperature and Rainbow Trout production is positive in the short-run and long-run. I Prolonged exposure to high temperature may lead to fish stress, migration and increased susceptibility to diseases which ultimately affects the economic viability of the sector in both the short-run and the long-run. In addition, the overall change in the atmospheric temperature has a negative effect on the production of the fish highlighting the need for climate change intervention to sustain fish production. The study recommends implementing strategies that reduce the impact of temperature changes on fish production to support both economic growth and food security.

Characterization of hydrogeochemical elements in determining the ground water quality for irrigation potential and its correlation with climatological parameters of chennai basin aquifer system, southern india.

An attempt has been made to comprehend the ground water quality and climate impacts of the Chennai River basin, which is aimed at its main socio-economic growth of the state of Tamil Nadu. The ground water samples collected from the study area were analyzed for its hydrogeochemical elements. The ground water quality and irrigation suitability were determined using several water quality assessment metrics. Ground water is extensively utilized for irrigation in the entire basin area for the past two decades, especially in the 38 over-exploited Firkas out of the 109 Firkas of the basin. It is inferred that the phreatic aquifer ground water quality is fresh in about 20%, as indicated by the EC value (< 750µs/cm) at 25°C. In about 63% of the ground water indicating the moderately fresh showing the EC varies between 751 and 2250µs/cm at 25°C, 11% of ground water exerted an EC ranging between 2251 and 3000µs/cm at 25°C indicating that the ground water is slightly mineralized, and in about 6% of groundwater, the EC is > 3000µs/cm at 25°C indicating that the ground water is highly mineralized. There were no water samples that exceeded the permissible limit of chloride either in phreatic aquifer or in fracture aquifer. The changes in rainfall frequency and atmospheric temperature affect the ground water movement and storage directly and indirectly. Similarly, the temperature data shows a positive relationship with the concentration of fluoride and nitrate ions in the water.

Study of the feature of the temperature regime of the Mykolaiv and region in the context of the issue of climate change

Climate change is one of the most important and acute environmental problems of our time. It includes a complex of changes, such as rising ambient temperatures, changes in precipitation patterns, rising sea levels, and more frequent extreme weather events. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the average global temperature has risen by about 1.1°C since the late nineteenth century. Projections point to a possible increase of 1.5°C by the middle of this century unless significant measures are taken to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. On the basis of the above, the paper analyzes trends in changes in atmospheric air temperature on the territory of risky agriculture in the South of Ukraine in the Mykolaiv region.The purpose of the study: to determine and substantiate the regularities of changes in the temperature regime of Mykolaiv and Mykolaiv region in the context of climate change.Research results. The values of temperature characteristics for the year and season in Mykolaiv and Mykolaiv region during 1991−2023 are analyzed. In Mykolaiv, about 60-67 days with a negative average daily air temperature and about 32 days with a negative maximum daily air temperature are recorded. The duration of the period with a negative minimum air temperature can be an average of 93 days per year: 64 in winter, 16 in spring and 14 in autumn. At the same time, on a large territory of the Mykolaiv region, autumn is warmer than spring. The average seasonal air temperature is 10.6°C, the average maximum temperature is 15.4°C, and the average minimum temperature is 6.4°C. In the Northern Black Sea region, both maximum and minimum temperatures in autumn are higher than in spring. The dynamics of changes in average annual temperatures in the city of Mykolaiv in the period from 1980 to 2023 are analyzed. A stable linear trend towards a gradual increase in average annual temperatures has been determined. The warmest year for this observation period is 2023, the coldest are 1985 and 1987. It is determined that the rate of increase in average temperature is 0.61°C for every ten years. Maximum temperatures are increasing at a rate of 0.0884°C per year and minimum temperatures are decreasing at a rate of 0.0136°C per year. Every year, the average annual temperature increases by approximately 0.021°С. The largest number of days accompanied by heat stress (up to 90%) is observed in July – August. Thus, changes in air temperature indicate a significant change in the temperature regime of the entire climate system of the region, and the consequences of climate change may be predominantly negative and will intensify in the future.

Influence of autumn soil moisture over Kalimantan Island on following winter precipitation over southern China

AbstractThe atmospheric activity on Kalimantan Island (KI) is important for regulating regional weather and climate. This study investigates the effect of autumn soil moisture over KI on following winter precipitation over southern China (SC) during 1968–2014. The results show that the autumn soil moisture over the KI has a significant negative correlation with subsequent winter precipitation over SC. The correlation remains statistically significant when using partial correlation to filter out the concurrent influences of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) signals. The soil moisture anomalies over KI, which initiate in the autumn and persist into the winter, lead to changes in local thermal conditions and atmospheric temperature. Negative soil moisture anomalies over KI will result in positive heating anomalies of the atmosphere above the land surface. This atmospheric heating causes ascending motion, which creates a semi‐closed vertical circulation from KI to the tropical northwest Pacific. This vertical circulation would strengthen the northwest Pacific anticyclone and weaken the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM). Consequently, southwesterly water vapour flux prevails in the SC as well as the South China Sea (SCS), facilitating the transportation of more water vapour into the SC. Simultaneously, water vapour convergence in the SC. Collectively, these contribute to an addition of precipitation over SC.

The Impact of Oceanic Feedbacks on Stratosphere‐Troposphere Coupling in an Idealized Model

AbstractStratospheric temperature perturbations (STPs) caused by for example, variations in stratospheric ozone, are an important driver of changes in tropospheric dynamics, particularly pertinent to the long‐term climatic evolution of the Southern Hemisphere. However, the impact of ocean feedbacks on this interaction has not been fully examined. To study it, positive STPs were applied in three otherwise identical, idealized model configurations –atmosphere‐only (A), atmosphere + slab‐ocean (AS), and fully‐coupled atmosphere‐ocean (AO)–and the resulting atmospheric changes compared. In the AO model, changes in the tropics (extratropics) experienced a poleward‐expansion (shift) and positive (negative) feedback after ∼100–200 years, whilst the AS model showed atmospheric and sea surface temperature changes that did not resemble those seen in the AO model. In the AO model, changes in tropical ocean heat content were responsible for the atmospheric changes, attributable to changes in the Ekman transport. These results indicate that full atmosphere‐ocean coupling should be accounted for when studying the long‐term (100+ years) tropospheric response to STPs in the Southern Hemisphere. Validation with higher‐resolution and more realistic models is necessary.

Changes in the Typhoon Intensity under a Warming Climate: A Numerical Study of Typhoon Mangkhut

Abstract Accurately assessing cyclone intensity changes due to global warming is crucial for predicting and mitigating sequential hazards. This study develops a high-resolution, fully coupled air–sea model to investigate the impact of global warming on Supertyphoon Mangkhut (2018). A numerical sensitivity analysis is conducted using the pseudo–global warming (PGW) technique based on multiple global climate models (GCMs) from phase 6 of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). Under ocean warming scenarios, the increasing average sea surface temperature (SST) by 2.26°, 2.44°, 3.45°, and 4.53°C results in reductions in the minimum sea level pressure by 9.2, 10.6, 15.7, and 19.4 hPa, respectively, compared to the original state of Typhoon Mangkhut. Rising SST increases the turbulent heat flux; to be specific, an average SST increase of 2.26°–4.53°C changes the turbulent heat flux into 177%–272% of the original value. Besides, stronger winds enhance SST cooling, including upwelling and entrainment, leading to an increase in the mixed layer depth (MLD). Tropical cyclone heat potential (TCHP) tends to be enhanced under the combined influences as the SST rises. An average increase in the SST of 2.26°, 2.44°, 3.45°, and 4.53°C leads to an increase in the TCHP of 9.94%, 9.85%, 14.67%, and 15.30%, respectively. However, future changes in atmospheric temperature and humidity will moderate typhoon intensification induced by ocean warming. Considering atmospheric conditions, the maximum wind speed decreases by approximately 10% compared to only considering ocean warming. Nevertheless, typhoon intensity is projected to strengthen under future climate change. Significance Statement This study examines the role of global warming in typhoon intensity and the response of typhoon events to changes in the oceanic thermal structure. Sensitivity experiments considering future warming climates are conducted using a fully coupled air–sea numerical model. An average increase in sea surface temperature (SST) by 4.53°C can lead to a reduction in the minimum sea level pressure by 19.4 hPa. Ocean warming enhances oceanic mixing, potentially increasing the availability of heat energy for typhoon’s development (i.e., an average increase in SST by 4.53°C leads to a 15.30% increase in heat energy). However, future changes in atmospheric temperature and humidity will moderate the intensification of typhoons induced by ocean warming. These results are expected to provide information for assessing the future changes in typhoon intensity under a warming climate, which is important for predicting and reducing sequential risks.

Sensitivity of Philippine historically damaging tropical cyclone events to surface and atmospheric temperature forcings

As the climate warms, sea surface temperature (SST) is projected to increase, along with atmospheric variables which may have an impact on tropical cyclone (TC) properties. Climate models have well-known errors in simulating current climate SSTs that will likely affect future TC projections. Therefore, a better understanding of the impact of SST changes will help us identify the largest uncertainty in projecting TC changes. This study employs three different and independent methodologies to investigate the impact of sea surface and atmospheric temperature changes and tropical cyclone (TC) characteristics, focusing on three historically damaging TCs in the Philippines: Typhoons Haiyan, Bopha, and Mangkhut. These methodologies include initially simulations with uniform SST anomalies between −4 to +4°C, then experiments using delta from CMIP6 CESM2 for SST and atmospheric temperature in the far future, and, finally, simulations imposing Radiative-Convective Equilibrium (RCE) conditions. The experiments reveal significant insights into TC dynamics under varying environmental conditions. Changes in SSTs resulted in changes in TC track, intensity, and rainfall. In the positive SST simulations, TCs tended to move northwards and resulted in substantial increases in maximum wind speeds reaching a difference of up to 10, 13, 23 ms−1 for Typhoons Haiyan, Bopha, and Mangkhut, respectively. Analysis of the accumulated rainfall also showed that increased SST results in increased rainfall. Inclusion of atmospheric warming offsets the intensification due to SST change. Moreover, warmer SSTs resulted in slower-moving TCs and increased TC size. Further analyses incorporating atmospheric temperature adjustments derived from CESM2 and RCE simulations offer better insights on TC response. Under near-RCE conditions, TCs exhibit reduced sensitivity to SST changes, with smaller intensity and size modifications simulated when stable relative humidity is imposed. The smaller changes in TC intensity and size observed in these experiments suggest that maintaining atmospheric stability through pre-storm atmospheric adjustments dampens the response of TCs to SST warming.

ON THE INFLUENCE OF EXOGENEOUS PROCESSES ON THE RESULTS OF MEASURING MOVEMENTS OF GEODESIC MARKINGS

The influence of exogenous processes on geodetic marks is multifactorial, and in modern observation practice there is no clear scientifically based system of engineering and geodetic forecasting of neotectonics influence on the results of repeated high-precision leveling, on the basis of which it would be possible to solve the issues of stability of depth, soil and rock leveling marks, as well as modeling the mechanism of influence of exogenous processes on the results of repeated leveling. Therefore, the study of their influence is an urgent task. The study is aimed at determining the influence of exogenous processes on the results of measurements of geodetic marks displacements during observations at local geodynamic polygons in the Kryvyi Rih region. The work performed has shown that the temperature factor is periodic in nature and therefore its influence on the stability of the reps also naturally varies over time: it changes linearly in the time interval March-May and September-November, sinusoidally in June-August, if divided into separate parts. Although, in general, the temperature change can be described as a sinusoid. A linear correlation has been established, but it should be noted that it can be broken by the imposition of a stronger factor that determines the dynamics of the movement of the rappers. There is no clear connection between temperature changes Δt and exceedances Δh in the time interval May-July. The intensive increase in temperature corresponds to the lowering of soil references, which is inconsistent with the general theory of their stability. The phase shift is more than two months, which indicates the influence of another, stronger factor than temperature on the stability of soil references. Periodic changes in atmospheric temperature cause thermal deformations of rocks, which, due to differences in thermal properties and temperature conditions of rocks, have a complex differentiated structure in space and time, which is manifested in heterogeneous vertical displacements of the references underlying these rocks. The revealed regularities of the temperature factor and the instability of the references caused by this factor made it possible to predict its value and recommend a scheme of time periods for field measurements in repeated cycles.

Meteoropathy: myth or reality? Assessment of the relationship between cardiovascular diseases and weather conditions according to data from a Moscow hospital

Many patients and some doctors associate the worsening of cardiovascular diseases with meteoropathy (changes in atmospheric pressure and air temperature). Opinion about lack of weather influence on the increase in overall morbidity and the lack of related research data indicate the need to study the relationship between cardiovascular diseases and meteorological conditions.Aim. To assess the prevalence of hospitalizations with symptomatic increases in blood pressure (BP), atrial fibrillation (AF), and decompensated heart failure (HF) in a Moscow hospital depending on meteorological conditions.Material and methods. This retrospective analysis of the number of emergency hospitalizations of patients with symptomatic increases in blood pressure, AF, and decompensated HF in Moscow City Clinical Hospital № 24 was carried out in the period from October 1, 2018 to September 30, 2019. Information from the website www.weather.com was used as a source of meteorological data. The following indicators were assessed daily: daytime air temperature (t), nighttime air temperature, maximum diurnal air temperature variation, atmospheric pressure, maximum diurnal atmospheric pressure variation, amount of precipitation. To assess statistical significance, the Mann-Whitney and Kruskal-Wallis tests were used. A correlation analysis was carried out, and a prognostic model was created using multiple linear regression.Results. During the period from October 1, 2018 to September 30, 2019, 4354 patients were hospitalized at City Clinical Hospital № 24 with symptomatic BP increase and/or AF and/or decompensated HF. The highest number of hospitalizations occurred in November, December and January. The median number of admissions per day was 12 patients. When comparing the mean number of patients admitted to the hospital per day, depending on day- and nighttime air temperature, following statistically significant differences were obtained (p&lt;0,001): with day- and nighttime air temperature ≥0о C, the number of admissions was less compared to sub-zero temperatures. Significant inverse correlations were established between the number of patients hospitalized with symptomatic BP increase, AF and HF per day, with air temperature at night (correlation coefficient r=-0,339; p&lt;0,001), air t during the day (r=-0,316; p&lt;0,001), temperature difference over 48 hours (r=-0,205; p&lt;0,001); direct correlations with atmospheric pressure (r=0,106; p=0,044) and its changes (r=0,115; p=0,028) were identified. All identified relationships were of moderate strength. According to prognostic model, only nighttime air temperature turned out to be a significant indicator associated with the hospitalization rate per day. With a decrease in air temperature at night for every 7,5о C &lt;0, one more patient is expected to be hospitalized with a symptomatic BP increase, decompensated HF, or paroxysmal AF.Conclusion. Negative air temperature in a metropolis is associated with an increase in hospitalizations for symptomatic BP increase, AF or decompensated HF. Atmospheric pressure and precipitation do not affect these conditions.

Soil Hydrothermal Dynamics in the Hengduan Mountains of Southeast Tibet and Associated Influencing Factors

Soil water and soil temperature are important ecological factors and driving forces for ecosystem restoration and sustainable development, possessing great significance for climate modeling and prediction. The Hengduan Mountains in southeastern Tibet, China, are located in a climate-change-sensitive area, and the study of soil hydrothermal dynamics in this area is of great significance for local and global climatic change and water resource utilization. This study, based on the soil hydrothermal and meteorological data of the Hengduan Mountain area in Southeast Tibet, analyzes the dynamic change patterns of soil hydrothermal and meteorological factors and explores their influencing relationships. It was found that the dynamic change in soil water content affected by precipitation was “bimodal” type. Among the meteorological factors, soil water content has the strongest correlation with relative humidity. The intra-annual variation curve of soil temperature is similar to that of the atmospheric temperature, showing a “unimodal” type, and has the highest correlation with atmospheric temperature. Specifically, it takes 70 mm and 170 mm of precipitation to change the soil water content and soil temperature at the 150 cm depth. For every 20 °C change in atmospheric temperature, soil temperature above 150 cm changes by an average of 7.2 °C.

Analysis of the results of studies of the thermal regime of natural and man-made kurums of the cryolithozone

The subject of research is natural and man-made kurums (blocky accumulations of rocks). The purpose of the work was to analyze the main literary sources, in which the results of research on the formation of the thermal regime of rock dumps (kurums) were published. The retrospective period of the research extends for more than 50 years. Domestic and foreign sources of information are considered. The most representative ones have been selected for analysis, in which the results of research with theoretical value and practical significance have been published. The analysis showed that on many important aspects of the formation of the thermal regime of natural and man-made kurums, all the authors of studies conducted in different regions and at different time periods, independently of each other, came to the same conclusions. This indicates the reliability and objectivity of the results obtained. An analytical review of scientific articles was used as a research method, in which research materials on the formation of the thermal regime of both the kurums themselves and their soil bases were published. The kurums of the permafrost and island permafrost zones are considered. An analytical review of literary sources containing theoretical and practical results of research on the formation of the thermal regime of natural and man-made kurums is carried out. The results of the analysis allow us to draw the following main conclusions. 1. Any types of natural and man-made kurums lead to progressive cooling of the base on which they are located. 2. When interacting with the rock base, the technogenic kurum works as an active thermal protection, changing its thermal resistance during the annual cycle. 3. When modeling the process of thermal interaction of technogenic kurum, it is quite acceptable to consider the kurum as a heat-protective layer, the thermal resistance of which depends on the effective coefficient of thermal conductivity, which changes its value when the sign of atmospheric air temperature changes. Based on the analysis of the results of the published works, conclusions are drawn about the possibility of a number of simplifications in the construction of computational models for forecasting and controlling the thermal regime of frozen bases of technogenic kurums.

Response of alpine ground temperatures to a rising atmospheric 0 °C isotherm in the period 1955–2021

Ground temperatures in alpine terrain vary considerably over short distances, particularly due to differences in elevation and incoming short-wave radiation but also snow and surface conditions. To allow for direct cross-site, interregional, and cross-disciplinary comparisons, we introduce a parameter called the potential 0 °C isotherm (PZDI) in the ground. This parameter represents an aspect- and elevation independent geo-projection of ground temperatures. It was calculated for several ground temperature datasets from the (sub-)permafrost zone in the European Alps. We analyse the reaction of the PZDI at different depths to long-term changes in atmospheric temperature, represented by the atmospheric 0 °C isotherm (AZDI). The close correspondence of PZDI and AZDI mainly provided two new insights: Based on 15 boreholes, the PZDI/AZDI interaction allowed a depth-dependent analysis of the magnitude and temporal evolution of the disequilibrium between atmosphere and ground and the potential heat transfer processes involved. Moreover, it allowed a reconstruction of the development of ground temperatures in the European Alps during the second half of the 20th century, adding 50 years to the longest existing time series measured in ice-poor permafrost. This extension into the past reveals a major warming at the end of the 1980s, which occurred before the start of the available permafrost temperature observations. In the 1955–2021 period, the 5-year running mean of the AZDI rose by 400 m, while the PZDI at 15 m depth rose by about 300 m. Projecting this warming into a permafrost distribution map shows a decline in shallow, ice-poor permafrost area by roughly 60 % since the 1980s. We expect the PZDI to follow the AZDI and to increase by another 100 m in the coming decade and up to at least 14 m depth. This would increase the area with loss of shallow permafrost to approximately 80 % since the 1980s.

Research on the Prevention and Control Technology of Low Oxygen in The Upper Corner of Fully Mechanized Coal Mining Face in Daliuta Coal Mine

In response to the problem of low oxygen in the upper corner of the return air of the 52506 fully mechanized mining face in Daliuta Coal Mine, the impact of atmospheric pressure and temperature changes on the low oxygen in the upper corner of the 52506 fully mechanized coal mining face is analyzed, and the source and cause of the low oxygen gas in the upper corner of the 52506 fully mechanized coal mining face are analyzed from multiple perspectives. A comprehensive treatment method is adopted, including installing windshields and air guide boards at the head and tail ends, joint sealing and leak-repairing at the ground and underground levels, sealing the adjacent goaf communication alleys, pressure ventilation, negative pressure suction, monitoring and control management, etc. This method solves the problem of low oxygen in the upper corner of the 52506 fully mechanized coal mining face.

Detection of Sub-surface Delamination and Moisture Penetration in Unlined Rock Tunnels Using Passive Thermography and Tapping

An unlined rock-blast tunnel constructed by the drill and blast method is susceptible to frequent deterioration, including sagging beds, water ingress and loose rock masses. Thus, assessing potential damages above the roadway that may impact the safety of tunnel users is of utmost importance. While tapping, a conventional nondestructive method, is typically used to predict sub-surface delamination, water ingress can be identified with the naked eye. In this research, we utilized a modern-technology approach called passive thermography, together with a high-resolution digital camera and tapping. The study encountered two primary challenges; namely, the absence of direct solar radiation during the inspection and the groove-exposed surface of the unlined tunnel. The results demonstrated that passive thermography was able to detect delaminated areas and water infiltration on the tunnel's walls and ceiling, even without direct sunlight. Large delaminated areas can be detected with just a 2°C change in atmospheric temperature twelve hours before testing. Additionally, the results of image post-processing significantly contributed to enhancing the results of passive thermography. The thermal image was processed into a grayscale image prior to HE processing, which enhances contrast by over 50%. The combination of tapping, digital camera and passive thermography was proven to be effective in periodically inspecting unlined rock tunnels, while significantly reducing time and cost. KEYWORDS: Tunnel safety, Passive thermography, Old rock-cut tunnel, Hammer sounding, Non-destructive evaluation, Image post-processing.

The Empirical Influence of Tibetan Plateau Spring Soil Moisture on South Asian Monsoon Onset: A Linear Diagnostic Perspective

Abstract The South Asian high (SAH) location and intensity are linked with the latent heating of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and Yangtze River basin. The relationship between SAH variability and its impact on South Asian monsoon (SAM) onset is rarely linked with TP soil moisture. This study uses remotely sensed soil moisture and reanalysis products to quantify the relationship between the TP spring (April–June) soil moisture with SAH and SAM onset during 1988–2008. The results show that the TP spring soil moisture and monsoon onset indices are negatively correlated (R &lt; −0.65), whereas the SAH exhibits a significant positive correlation (R ≥ 0.70) with TP soil moisture. The monsoon onset shows a difference of 20–25 days between the early- and late-onset composites. Significant positive (negative) soil moisture anomalies persist over the TP during the early (late) onset followed by positive (negative) LH (SH) anomalies during early (late)-onset composites. The TP thermal forcing exhibited positive anomalies during the early (late)-onset composites implying significant soil moisture control over the diabatic heating, which favors vertical ascent over the eastern plateau. Such a pattern leads to an earlier formation and movement of the SAH toward the Bay of Bengal (BOB) and southwestward of the TP. Before the early and late monsoon onset composites, the SAH pentad evolution drives the lower-tropospheric westerlies/easterlies toward continental SA. In the Indian Ocean the wind shear and transition from prevailing easterlies into westerlies during the pre-onset, onset, and post-onset pentad results in strong/weak ascent affecting the onset timing over the Arabian Sea and continental SA with less influence over the BOB monsoon onset. Significance Statement The Tibetan Plateau heating is one of the key drivers of the Asian monsoon precipitation in the surrounding regions, which has been previously studied in detail. This study explored the Tibetan Plateau spring soil moisture’s effect on South Asian monsoon onset timing. The monsoon onset timing is calculated using changes in wind direction, atmospheric temperature, and relative precipitation magnitude. Results found that the spring soil moisture substantially affects the TP thermal heating and the SA monsoon onset timing and highlights the physical processes leading to changes in the monsoon onset timing. The inclusion of soil moisture in estimating the monsoon onset timing can provide a tangible way of improving our understanding of the monsoon and associated water resources management practices.

A Systematic Role for Extreme Ocean‐Atmosphere Oscillations in the Development of Glacial Conditions Since the Mid Pleistocene Transition

AbstractWe introduce a new hypothesis concerning the role of internal climate dynamics in the non‐linear transitions from interglacial to glacial (IG‐G) state since the Mid Pleistocene Transition (MPT). These transitions encompass large and abrupt changes in atmospheric CO2, ice volume, and temperature that we suggest involve critical interactions between insolation and high amplitude oscillations in ocean/atmosphere circulation patterns. Specifically, we highlight the large amplitude of millennial‐scale climate oscillations across the transition from Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 5 to 4, which we argue led to amplified cooling of the deep ocean and we demonstrate that analogous episodes of extreme cooling systematically preceded glacial periods of the last 800 kyr. We suggest that such cooling necessitates a reconfiguration of the deep ocean to avoid a density paradox between northern and southern‐sourced deep waters (SSW), which could be accomplished by increasing the relative volume and or salinity of SSW, thus providing the necessary storage capacity for the subsequent (delayed) and relatively abrupt drawdown of CO2. We therefore explain the transient decoupling of Antarctic temperature from CO2 across MIS 5/4 as a direct consequence of millennial activity at that time. We further show that similar climatic decoupling typically occurred during times of low obliquity and was a ubiquitous feature of IG‐G transitions over the past 800 kyr, producing the appearance of bimodality in records of CO2, benthic δ18O and others. Finally we argue that the apparent lack of bimodality in the pre‐MPT record of benthic δ18O implies that the dynamics associated with IG‐G transitions changed across the MPT.

Hygiene of keeping service horses in the highlands of Armenia

In the Transcaucasus region, the Republic of Armenia is the highest mountainous country, about 90% of its territories are located at altitudes of more than 1000 meters above sea level. On the territory of this region there are high plateaus, volcanic cones with a large abundance of streams and small rivers. With an increase of every 100 meters, the precipitation level increases by approximately 25 mm, and when reaching heights of 3,000 meters, precipitation increases to 1,000 mm per year. A feature of service horse breeding in this region is the tortuosity of most mountain roads, fairly rocky soil, steep ascents and descents, high and inaccessible passes, changes in atmospheric pressure and temperature at different altitudes during the day, frequent and sharp changes in air speed . The difficulty of raising livestock in some high-mountainous regions of Armenia is also due to the presence of landslides, screes, cliffs and glaciers, and in winter conditions, deep snow cover.

Controls of thermal response of temperate lakes to atmospheric warming

Atmospheric warming heats lakes, but the causes of variation among basins are poorly understood. Here, multi-decadal profiles of water temperatures, trophic state, and local climate from 345 temperate lakes are combined with data on lake geomorphology and watershed characteristics to identify controls of the relative rates of temperature change in water (WT) and air (AT) during summer. We show that differences in local climate (AT, wind speed, humidity, irradiance), land cover (forest, urban, agriculture), geomorphology (elevation, area/depth ratio), and water transparency explain >30% of the difference in rate of lake heating compared to that of the atmosphere. Importantly, the rate of lake heating slows as air warms (P < 0.001). Clear, cold, and deep lakes, especially at high elevation and in undisturbed catchments, are particularly responsive to changes in atmospheric temperature. We suggest that rates of surface water warming may decline relative to the atmosphere in a warmer future, particularly in sites already experiencing terrestrial development or eutrophication.