Atlantic Warm Pool Research Articles

EMPIRICAL ORTHOGONAL FUNCTION ANALYSIS OF SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENTS IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC

An Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis was performed using 22 years of monthly surface currents in order to investigate the main modes of variability of the Tropical Atlantic surface circulation based on satellite data. The EOF1 of the zonal component captures more than 50% of the total variance and represents the central branch of the South Equatorial Current (cSEC). The EOF2 of the zonal component (~8% variance) represents a zonal dipole with a positive signal to the west, and a negative one to the east in the Atlantic Cold Tongue (ACT). The meridional EOF1 (18% variance), with alternating positive and negative structures in the western tropical North Atlantic, representing the high dynamics associated to the North Brazil Current retroflection and its anticyclonic eddies. The meridional EOF2 (~ 12% variance) represents the high variability of the NBC, with stronger intermittent signals propagating from the eastern Atlantic. In the EOF1 of currents speed predominates the cSEC pattern (30%) and the EOF2 (8%) represents the zonal dipole between South Atlantic Warm Pool and the ACT. These dominant modes of surface current variability contribute to the understanding of the ocean-atmosphere interaction processes, zonal and meridional transport variability, and the surface dynamics in the TA. Keywords: EOF Analysis, Remote Sensing, Ocean Currents, Oceanic Dynamics, Tropical Atlantic

Predicting El Ni\xf1o Beyond 1-year Lead: Effect of the Western Hemisphere Warm Pool

Due to the profound impact of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on global climate and weather, extensive research has been devoted to its prediction. However, prediction accuracy based on observation is still insufficient and largely limited to less than one year of lead time. In this study, we demonstrate the possibility that anomalous sea surface temperature (SST) warming (cooling) in the Western Hemisphere Warm Pool (WHWP, a.k.a. Atlantic Warm Pool) near the Intra-Americas Sea (IAS), which is the second largest warm pool on the planet, contributes to the initiation of La Niña (El Niño) with a 17-month lag time. SST anomalies in WHWP in late boreal summer contribute significantly to the emergence of the Pacific meridional mode (PMM) via interaction between the ocean and atmosphere over the subtropical North Pacific during the subsequent winter and spring. Near-equatorial surface wind anomalies associated with the PMM can further trigger ENSO through the dynamics of the equatorial oceanic waves. Thus, this observational analysis presents a clear step-by-step explanation about the influence of WHWP on ENSO development with a 17-month lead time.

Tracking Interannual‐ to Multidecadal‐Scale Climate Variability in the Atlantic Warm Pool Using Central Caribbean Coral Data

AbstractAtlantic Warm Pool (AWP) climate variability is subject to multiple influences of remote and local forcing. However, shortage of observational data before the midtwentieth century and of long‐term sea surface temperature (SST) and climate records has hampered the detection and investigation of decadal‐ and longer‐scale variability. We present new seasonally resolved 125‐year records of coral δ18O and Sr/Ca variations in the Central Caribbean Sea (Little Cayman, Cayman Islands; Diploria strigosa). Both geochemical proxies show decreasing long‐term trends, indicating long‐term warming. Sr/Ca indicates much stronger regional warming than large‐scale grid‐SST data, while δ18O tracks large‐scale SST changes in the Atlantic Warm Pool. Seawater δ18O variations are reconstructed, indicating a drying trend over the past century. High spatial correlation between coral δ18O and SST in the region of the Loop Current and Gulf Stream system suggests that Little Cayman is a sensitive location for detecting past large‐scale temperature variability beyond the Central Caribbean region. More specifically, our δ18O data track changes in North Atlantic Oscillation variability on decadal and multidecadal time scales providing insights into the temporal and spatial nonstationarity of the North Atlantic Oscillation. A combination of our δ18O record with two coral records from different Caribbean sites reveals high spatial correspondence between coral δ18O and SST variability in the North Atlantic subtropical gyre, where few instrumental measurements and proxies are available prior to the twentieth century. Our results clearly demonstrate the potential of combining proxy data to provide information from sparsely sampled areas, helping to reduce uncertainty in model‐based projections.

Influence of Climatic Phenomena on Sedimentation and Increase of Lake Enriquillo in Dominican Republic, 1900-2014

From 2003 to 2013, Enriquillo Lake, Dominican Republic, showed an increase in water level of 13 meters, with its level changing from 42 to 29 meters below sea level (BSL). In 2003, its maximum depth was approximately 24 meters; in 2013, it was 37.1 meters. The water surface coverage increased from 194.9 to 391 km2, flooding agricultural areas and leaving hundreds of people homeless. In addition, salinity increased from 105 ‰ to 23.4 ‰, a decrease of 4.47 times comparable to the volume change, which increased 4.48 times according to topographic and bathymetric maps. These changes began with Tropical Storm Odette and occurred progressively through 15 additional tropical cyclones (TC) or hurricanes that struck Lake Enriquillo between 2003 and 2011. Other climatic phenomena that have great influence on the Caribbean climate include the following: North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Southern El Niño Oscillation (ENSO), the trade winds, North Atlantic Warm Pool, Multidecadal Oscillation, the anticyclone Caribbean Regulator Climate Centers (CRCCs), and the Bermuda-Azores High (Mendez-Tejeda et al. 2017). The sediment records deposited by the runoff from these phenomena were analyzed. These proxy records were used to determine the decadal fluctuations related to cyclonic systems and the resultant effect upon increasing the level of Lake Enriquillo (LE). The accumulation rate (TAS) was estimated by means of 210 (210Pb) lead radiochronology, elemental composition, and mineral and ignition loss. These results were correlated with the extreme climatic events that affected the Lake Enriquillo Basin (LEB) from 1900 and 2011.

Characterizing the Variations of the motion of the North Atlantic tropical cyclones

In this study, we examine the seasonal and interannual variability of the North Atlantic (NATL) tropical cyclone (TC) motion from the historical Hurricane Database (HURDAT2) over the period 1988–2014. We characterize these motions based on their position, lifecycle, and seasonal cycle. The main findings of this study include: (1) of the 11,469 NATL TC fixes examined between 1988 and 2014, 81% of them had a translation speed of 40 mph) are exclusively found north of 30 N, the slow-moving TCs have a wide range of latitude. This is largely a consequence of the background steering flow being weaker (stronger) in the tropical (higher) latitudes with a minimum around the subtropical latitudes of NATL; (3) there is an overall decrease in the frequency of all categories of translation speed of TCs in warm relative to cold El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) years. However, in terms of the percentage change, TCs with a translation speed in the range of 10–20 mph display the most change (42%) in warm relative to cold ENSO years; and (4) there is an overall decrease in frequency across all categories of TC translation speed in small relative to large Atlantic Warm Pool years, but in terms of percentage change in the frequency of TCs, there is a significant and comparable change in the frequency over a wider range of translation speeds than the ENSO composites. This last finding suggests that Atlantic Warm Pool variations have a more profound impact on the translation speed of Atlantic TCs than ENSO.

Late Pleistocene-Holocene variability in the southern Gulf of Mexico surface waters based on planktonic foraminiferal assemblages

Abstract Planktonic foraminiferal assemblages are used as proxies of surface ocean variations, as documented in five marine sediment cores from the Bay of Campeche (BoC), Gulf of Mexico (GoM), spanning the last 34,000 cal yrs BP. This paper seeks to better understand the regional history by studying cores taken in the poorly studied Southern GoM. Multivariate factor analyses calculated five assemblages at millennial to glacial–interglacial scales. During the last glacial period, including the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), the assemblage contained G. inflata , and T. sacculifer which suggests the presence of colder and less saline waters than younger times; although during the LGM, saltier waters and weaker ocean circulation may have occurred. During the deglaciation, the deep-dweller G. crassaformis suggest a reorganization of deep-thermocline waters and the establishment of transitional conditions, where mild to warm waters entered the Gulf. During the early to mid-Holocene, the tolerant tropical species G. ruber pink suggests salinity variations and warmer conditions than the previous interval. During the late-Holocene, only warm species comprise the assemblage, where the group G. menardii and G. truncatulinoindes suggest warm and stratified conditions, with an oxygen decrease in the thermocline, and rather high salinity levels linked to reduced moisture exported from the Pacific due to the progressively more influential ENSO-like conditions. Prominently, all the assemblages include the species G. ruber white chromotype, suggesting that the environmental conditions are continuously favorable to this abundant species. These scenarios show agreement to previous reconstructions in northern and western GoM, the Caribbean, as well as paleoclimate on land, which are mostly regulated by the position of the ITCZ, changes in the expansion of the Atlantic Warm Pool, the tropical circulation, and teleconnections with nearby regions.

Variability of tropical cyclone rapid intensification in the North Atlantic and its relationship with climate variations

The paper uses observational data from 1950 to 2014 to investigate rapid intensification (RI) variability of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the North Atlantic and its relationships with large-scale climate variations. RI is defined as a TC intensity increase of at least 15.4 m/s (30 knots) in 24 h. The seasonal RI distribution follows the seasonal TC distribution, with the highest number in September. Although an RI event can occur anywhere over the tropical North Atlantic (TNA), there are three regions of maximum RI occurrence: (1) the western TNA of 12°N–18°N and 60°W–45°W, (2) the Gulf of Mexico and the western Caribbean Sea, and (3) the open ocean southeast and east of Florida. RI events also show a minimum value in the eastern Caribbean Sea north of South America—a place called a hurricane graveyard due to atmospheric divergence and subsidence. On longer time scales, RI displays both interannual and multidecadal variability, but RI does not show a long-term trend due to global warming. The top three climate indices showing high correlations with RI are the June-November ENSO and Atlantic warm pool indices, and the January-March North Atlantic oscillation index. It is found that variabilities of vertical wind shear and TC heat potential are important for TC RI in the hurricane main development region, whereas relative humidity at 500 hPa is the main factor responsible for TC RI in the eastern TNA. However, the large-scale oceanic and atmospheric variables analyzed in this study do not show an important role in TC RI in the Gulf of Mexico and the open ocean southeast and east of Florida. This suggests that other factors such as small-scale changes of oceanic and atmospheric variables or TC internal processes may be responsible for TC RI in these two regions. Additionally, the analyses indicate that large-scale atmospheric and oceanic variables are not critical to TC genesis and formation; however, once a tropical depression forms, large-scale climate variations play a role in TC intensification.

Multi-species coral Sr/Ca-based sea-surface temperature reconstruction using Orbicella faveolata and Siderastrea siderea from the Florida Straits

We present new, monthly-resolved Sr/Ca-based sea-surface temperature (SST) records from two species of massive coral, Orbicella faveolata and Siderastrea siderea, from the Dry Tortugas National Park, FL, USA (DTNP). We combine these new records with published data from three additional S. siderea coral colonies to generate a 278-year long multi-species stacked Sr/Ca-SST record from DTNP. The composite record of mean annual Sr/Ca-SST at DTNP shows pronounced decadal-scale variability with a range of 1 to 2°C. Notable cool intervals in the Sr/Ca-derived SST lasting about a decade centered at ~1845, ~1935, and ~1965 are associated with reduced summer Sr/Ca-SST (monthly maxima <29°C), and imply a reduction in the spatial extent of the Atlantic Warm Pool (AWP). There is significant coherence between the composite DTNP Sr/Ca-SST record and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) index, with the AMO lagging Sr/Ca-SST at DTNP by 9years. Low frequency variability in the Gulf Stream surface transport, which originates near DTNP, may provide a link for the lagged relationship between multidecadal variability at DTNP and the AMO.

Teleconnections of the tropical sea surface temperatures to the surface air temperature over Saudi Arabia in summer season

ABSTRACTSea surface temperature (SST) is an important oceanic variable that impacts regional and global climate. This paper examines the relation of summer (June to August) surface air temperature (SAT) variability over Saudi Arabia (1948–2013) with SST over the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian Oceans. The SAT over Saudi Arabia shows an abrupt increase around the 1980s (i.e. 1986). Partial correlations between SAT and different SST indices indicate that the Indo‐Pacific warm pool (IPWP) has a more significant effect on SAT than does the tropical North Atlantic (TNA), tropical South Atlantic (TSA) or Western Hemisphere warm pool (WHWP). Hence, the change in IPWP SST can be considered as one of the factors linked to increase SAT over Saudi Arabia. The only significant relationship between El Niño and SAT is found in the Niño 4 region. Moreover, interactions between the tropical Atlantic meridional gradient mode and SAT are undetectable in the summer season, indicating that the TNA and TSA may have effectively independent roles on SAT over Saudi Arabia. The tropical Atlantic, through TNA and TSA, may influence the IPWP SST which modifies the strength of the Indian monsoon low, and in turn, has a strong influence on Saudi Arabia SAT variability.

Upwellings mitigated Plio-Pleistocene heat stress for reef corals on the Florida platform (USA)

Abstract. The fast growing calcareous skeletons of zooxanthellate reef corals (z corals) represent unique environmental proxy archives through their oxygen and carbon stable isotope composition (δ18O, δ13C). In addition, the accretion of the skeleton itself is ultimately linked to the environment and responds with variable growth rates (extension rate) and density to environmental changes. Here we present classical proxy data (δ18O, δ13C) in combination with calcification records from 15 massive z corals. The z corals were sampled from four interglacial units of the Florida carbonate platform (USA) dated approximately 3.2, 2.9, 1.8 and 1.2 Ma (middle Pliocene to early Pleistocene). The z corals (Solenastrea, Orbicella, Porites) derive from unlithified shallow marine carbonates and were carefully screened for primary preservation suited for proxy analysis. We show that skeletal accretion responded with decreasing overall calcification rates (decreasing extension rate but increasing density) to warmer water temperatures. Under high annual water temperatures, inferred from sub-annually resolved δ18O data, skeletal bulk density was high, but extension rates and overall calcification rates were at a minimum (endmember scenario 1). Maximum skeletal density was reached during the summer season giving rise to a growth band of high density within the annually banded skeletons (“high density band”, HDB). With low mean annual water temperatures (endmember scenario 2), bulk skeletal density was low but extension rates and calcification rates reached a maximum, and under these conditions the HDB formed during winter. Although surface water temperatures in the Western Atlantic warm pool during the interglacials of the late Neogene were ∼ 2 °C higher than they are in the present day, intermittent upwelling of cool, nutrient-rich water mitigated water temperatures off south-western Florida and created temporary refuges for z coral growth. Based on the sub-annually resolved δ18O and δ13C records, the duration of the upwelling episodes causing the endmember 2 conditions was variable and lasted from a few years to a number of decades. The episodes of upwelling were interrupted by phases without upwelling (endmember 1) which lasted for at least a few years and led to high surface water temperatures. This variable environment is likely one of the reasons why the coral fauna is dominated by the eurytopic genus Solenastrea, also a genus resistant to high turbidity. Over a period of ∼ 50 years, the oldest sub annually resolved proxy record available (3.2 Ma) documents a persistent occurrence of the HDB during winter. In contrast, the HDB forms in summer in modern z corals from the Florida reef tract. We suggest this difference should be tested as being the expression of a tendency towards decreasing interglacial upwelling since the middle Pliocene. The number of z coral sclerochronological records for the Plio-Pleistocene is still rather low, however, and requires more data and an improved resolution, through records from additional time slices. Nonetheless, our calcification data from the warm periods of past interglacials may contribute to predicting the effects of future ocean warming on z coral health along the Florida reef tract. The inconsistent timing of the HDB within single coral records or among specimens and time slices is unexpected and contrasts the common practice of establishing chronologies on the basis of the density banding.

The warm pool variability of the tropical northeast Pacific

ABSTRACTThe Eastern Pacific warm pool (EPWP) defined by the area enclosed within the 28.5 °C isotherm is examined for its seasonal cycle and interannual variability. The study characterizes the EPWP by its area and objectively defined onset, demise, and length of its seasonality. The onset of the EPWP season is defined by the day when the daily anomaly of the area of EPWP exceeds its climatological annual mean. Similarly, the demise of the EPWP season is defined when the daily anomaly of the area of the EPWP falls below its climatological annual mean, after the onset date is detected. We show that the seasonal evolution of the EPWP has a strong asymmetry, with the climatological peak of the EPWP area occurring approximately 41 days from the onset while the demise of the season occurs after nearly 106 days from the climatological peak. The EPWP is part of a larger Western Hemisphere warm pool (WHWP) that extends into the Intra‐Americas Seas and parts of the tropical northwest Atlantic Ocean. This study finds that the EPWP is weakly related to the Atlantic counterpart of the WHWP. This is partly due to the fact that the EPWP season precedes the seasonal peak of the warm pool in the Atlantic by several months and the size of the former is much smaller than the latter; therefore, the EPWP does not have a strong remote forcing on the Atlantic warm pool. The interannual variability of the area of EPWP is closely related to the El Niño and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variations in the equatorial Pacific with large (small) EPWP years associated with warm (cold) ENSO years.

What would happen to Superstorm Sandy under the influence of a substantially warmer Atlantic Ocean?

AbstractBased on ensemble numerical simulations, we find that possible responses of Sandy‐like superstorms under the influence of a substantially warmer Atlantic Ocean bifurcate into two groups. In the first group, storms are similar to present‐day Sandy from genesis to extratropical transition, except they are much stronger, with peak Power Destructive Index (PDI) increased by 50–80%, heavy rain by 30–50%, and maximum storm size (MSS) approximately doubled. In the second group, storms amplify substantially over the interior of the Atlantic warm pool, with peak PDI increased by 100–160%, heavy rain by 70–180%, and MSS more than tripled compared to present‐day Superstorm Sandy. These storms when exiting the warm pool, recurve northeastward out to sea, subsequently interact with the developing midlatitude storm by mutual counterclockwise rotation around each other and eventually amplify into a severe Northeastern coastal storm, making landfall over the extreme northeastern regions from Maine to Nova Scotia.

Detection of recent regional sea surface temperature warming in the Caribbean and surrounding region

AbstractWe show a sea surface temperature (SST) warming trend for the Caribbean and surrounding region over 1982–2012. Using an optimum interpolated SST product, a 30 year climatological analysis was generated to observe annual, monthly, and seasonal trends. Results show that SSTs are increasing annually for the region. For the two Caribbean rainy seasons, the Early Rainfall Season (ERS) and the Late Rainfall Season (LRS), estimated trends at 0.0161°C yr−1 and 0.0209°C yr−1 were observed, with high statistical significance. Subregional analysis revealed that warming is greatest in the Gulf of Mexico and north of South America during the ERS and LRS. Additionally, LRS averages for 1998–2012 reflect an increase in magnitude and intensity of the Atlantic Warm Pool (AWP) since the 1983–1997 period reflected in the AWP Area Index. Extreme increases/decreases in the time series show potential correlation with El Niño and the Southern Oscillation.

Physical processes that drive the seasonal evolution of the Southwestern Tropical Atlantic Warm Pool

The thermodynamics of the seasonal evolution of the Southwestern Tropical Atlantic Warm Pool (hereafter SWTAWP), which is delimited by the 28°C isotherm, is investigated using the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS). Results indicate that the net heat flux is responsible for the appearance and extinction of the SWTAWP. From March to May, the SWTAWP attains its maximum development and sometimes merges with equatorial warm waters towards the African continent, whose development follows the same period. Along the equator, the combination of oceanic terms (i.e., advection and diffusion) is important to promote the separation – when it occurs – of equatorial warm waters from southwestern tropical waters, which develops off the Brazilian coast. An analysis of the relative contribution of the temperature tendency terms of the mixed layer (ML) heat budget over the appearance, development and extinction of the SWTAWP is also done. The most important term for warming and cooling inside of the ML is the net heat flux at the sea surface. The ML is heated by the atmosphere between October and April, whereas the upper ocean cools down between May and September. The highest heat content values occur during the lower-temperature period (August to October), which is linked to the deepening of the ML during this time period. The horizontal advection along the equator is important, particularly at the eastern domain, which is influenced by the cold tongue. In this area, the vertical diffusive term is also significant; however, it presents values near zero outside the equator. These results contribute to a better understanding of the behavior of the heat budget within the tropical Atlantic, as previous studies over this region focused along the equator only.

Moisture contribution of the Atlantic Warm Pool to precipitation: a Lagrangian analysis

In this work we use a Lagrangian model (FLEXPART) to investigate the contribution of moisture from the Atlantic Warm Pool (AWP) to the atmospheric hydrological budget during the period from 1982 to 1999, and to identify which regions are affected by the moisture transport from this source. FLEXPART computes budgets of evaporation minus precipitation by calculating changes in the specific humidity along 10-day forward trajectories. A monthly analysis was made for May-October, the typical development period of the AWP. Climatologically, the moisture transported from the AWP to North and Central America increases from June onwards. Humidity is also transported towards western Europe from July to October, probably favoured by the positioning of the North Atlantic Subtropical High and its associated flows. The largest moisture sinks associated with transport from the AWP were found from August to October, when the warm pool can extend to the north-western coast of Africa. The technique of composites was used to analyse how the interannual variability of moisture contribution from the AWP depends on changes in the pool’s areal extension, and on the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The results indicate that during episodes when the AWP is at its maximum extent, its moisture contribution increased to the Caribbean, to the region of the Inter-tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), and to the North Atlantic. By contrast, less moisture was transported to southeastern North America during July and August, or to central North America during September and October. The differences in moisture sink regions for extreme ENSO episodes suggest that there are favoured sinks in the Caribbean and in the ITCZ region during La Nina events.

Features and variability of the Cuban Countercurrent in the Yucatan Basin, Caribbean Sea

The Cuban Countercurrent (CCC), along with the Yucatan Current, forms part of the Yucatan Basin circulation system, but it has not been well described and its connection to the system of currents in the Caribbean Sea has not been studied. Based on altimetry data (1993–2009) and the MERCATOR three-dimensional assimilation model (2007–2009), the CCC was observed flowing ~1000 km from the eastern Yucatan Channel to Jamaica and to have a width of ~150 km. Off southern Cuba, the mean velocity was 0.20 m s–1 at the surface and 0.05 m s–1 at 1000 m depth. The CCC transported ~3.5 Sv when it passed through the Yucatan Channel towards the Caribbean Sea, where ~1.6 Sv was recorded south of Cuba. During its annual cycle, the CCC weakened from December to February (0–250 m) and in the summer its magnitude intensified slightly, reaching 0.35 m s–1 in August, due to the increase in water temperature of the Atlantic warm pool. Consequently, the sea level rose in the center of the Yucatan Basin and the pressure gradient increased along the Cuban coast, producing an increase in zonal velocity (0.1 m s–1) and transport (2–3 Sv; r = 0.90). Its connection to the Caribbean current system demonstrated the importance of its study.

Tropical Atlantic Contributions to Strong Rainfall Variability Along the Northeast Brazilian Coast

Tropical Atlantic (TA) Ocean-atmosphere interactions and their contributions to strong variability of rainfall along the Northeast Brazilian (NEB) coast were investigated for the years 1974–2008. The core rainy seasons of March-April and June-July were identified for Fortaleza (northern NEB; NNEB) and Recife (eastern NEB; ENEB), respectively. Lagged linear regressions between sea surface temperature (SST) and pseudo wind stress (PWS) anomalies over the entire TA and strong rainfall anomalies at Fortaleza and Recife show that the rainfall variability of these regions is differentially influenced by the dynamics of the TA. When the Intertropical Convergence Zone is abnormally displaced southward a few months prior to the NNEB rainy season, the associated meridional mode increases humidity and precipitation during the rainy season. Additionally, this study shows predictive effect of SST, meridional PWS, and barrier layer thickness, in the Northwestern equatorial Atlantic, on the NNEB rainfall. The dynamical influence of the TA on the June-July ENEB rainfall variability shows a northwestward-propagating area of strong, positively correlated SST from the southeastern TA to the southwestern Atlantic warm pool (SAWP) offshore of Brazil. Our results also show predictive effect of SST, zonal PWS, and mixed layer depth, in the SAWP, on the ENEB rainfall.

Inhomogeneous influence of the Atlantic warm pool on United States precipitation

AbstractOn interannual time scales, the warming of the Atlantic warm pool (AWP) is associated with a tripole sea surface temperature (SST) pattern in the North Atlantic and leads to more rainfall in the central and eastern US. On decadal‐to‐multidecadal time scales, the AWP warming corresponds to a basin‐wide warming pattern and results in less precipitation in the central and eastern US. The inhomogeneous relationship between the AWP warming and US rainfall on different time scales is largely due to the sign of mid‐latitude SST anomaly. The negative mid‐latitude SST anomaly associated with the tripole pattern may enhance the low sea level pressure over the northeastern North American continent and also enhance the barotropic response there of the AWP‐induced barotropic Rossby wave. This strengthened low pressure system, which is not exhibited when the warming is basin‐wide, results in a different moisture transport variation and thus the rainfall pattern over the United States.

Glacial induced closure of the Panamanian Gateway during Marine Isotope Stages (MIS) 95–100 ([formula omitted

The final phase of the closure of the Panamanian Gateway and the intensification of Northern Hemisphere Glaciation (NHG) both occurred during the Late Pliocene. Glacial–interglacial (G–IG) variations in sea level might, therefore, have had a significant impact on the remaining connections between the East Pacific and the Caribbean. Here, we present combined foraminiferal Mg/Ca and δ18O measurements from Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) Site 1241 from the East Pacific and ODP Site 999 from the Caribbean. The studied time interval covers the first three major G–IG Marine Isotope Stages (MIS 95–100, ∼2.5 Ma) after the intensification of NHG. Analyses were performed on the planktonic foraminifera Neogloboquadrina dutertrei and Globigerinoides sacculifer, representing water mass properties in the thermocline and the mixed-layer, respectively. Changes in sea water temperature, relative salinity, and water column stratification strongly suggest that the Panamanian Gateway temporarily closed during glacial MIS 98 and 100, as a result of changes in ice volume equivalent to a drop in sea level of 60–90 m. Reconstructed sea surface temperatures (SST) from G. sacculifer show a glacial decrease of 2.5 °C at Site 1241, but increases of up to 3 °C at Site 999 during glacial MIS 98 and 100 suggesting that the Panamanian Gateway closed during these glacial periods. The Mg/Ca-temperatures of N. dutertrei remain relatively stable in the East Pacific, but do show a 3 °C warming in the Caribbean at the onset of these glacial periods suggesting that the closing of the gateway also changed the water column stratification. We infer that the glacial closure of the gateway allowed the Western Atlantic Warm Pool to extend into the southern Caribbean, increasing SST (G. sacculifer) and deepening the thermocline (N. dutertrei). Additionally, ice volume appears to have become large enough during MIS 100 to survive the relatively short lasting interglacial MIS 99 so that the gateway remained closed. Towards the end of MIS 98, during MIS 97 and into MIS 96 temperatures on both sides are mostly similar suggesting water masses exchanged again. Additionally, Caribbean variations in SST and δ18Owater follow a precession-like cyclicity rather than the obliquity-controlled variations characteristic of the East Pacific and many other tropical areas, suggesting that regional atmospheric processes related to the trade winds and the InterTropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) had a dominant impact in the Caribbean.

A 4.2 million years record of interglacial paleoclimate from sclerochronological data of Florida carbonate platform (Early Pliocene to recent)

The climate of the Pliocene and early Pleistocene was in a transient mode from generally warmer climates of the early Neogene to the maximum glaciations of the late Quaternary. Increasingly severe coolings occurred episodically in the high latitudes, whereas the low latitudes remained warm. For the last 5 million years (Ma), rather constant sea surface temperatures have been recorded in the Western Atlantic warm pool; however, direct climate data on temperature and humidity from shallow near-shore settings are lacking so far. In this study we present a synthesis of 26 new and 46 (incl. 24 recent) published sclerochronogical stable isotope records (18O/16O, 13C/12C) with a sub-annual resolution from reef corals (z-corals) and mollusks. The fossils were sampled from shallow-water carbonate deposits of the Florida carbonate platform and belong to 12 interglacial time-slices spanning collectively the period from the Early Pliocene to the recent (4.2 to 0Ma). Although platform carbonates are believed to undergo rapid diagenetic stabilization due to the dissolution of metastable aragonite shells, we show that there is still a wealth of material to be recovered for large-scale systematic geochemical studies. We rule out significant diagenetic modifications of the stable isotope data because measured 18O/16O ratios from z-corals and mollusks converted into temperature give consistent results. Accordingly, annual mean temperatures have risen during the last 4.2Ma from ~23°C to 26°C in open waters, given the modern seawater value of 18O/16O is valid for Neogene. However, the global water value has changed due to long-term increases in ice volume even during interglacials, equivalent with a 2.3°C temperature rise. A net 5.3°C temperature increase over the last 4.2Ma is inconsistent with the deep-sea record, however, and suggestive of an overall increase of humidity effects in measured 18O/16O instead. Particularly cool temperatures have been registered at 1.9 and 2.5Ma, but combined 18O/16O and 13C/12C data identify these as artifacts from intensified evaporation which fits the overall restricted marine aspect of the fossil fauna in these time-slices. Seasonal temperature contrasts seem to have been high within restricted settings (~11°C) and small in mixed open marine units (7–8°C). Although this finding fits the modern situation with coastal environments undergoing 14°C seasonal change and the reef tract 7–9°C only, circumstantial evidence suggests reconstructions to be biased by sub-annual changes in the local seawater value for 18O/16O. Since 18O/16O seasonality has increased over the last 4.2Ma, we suggest the humidity of modern Florida to have evolved from dryer precursor climates of past interglacials, whereas temperatures in essence remained the same. This trend possibly represents the expression of the growing relevance of the Bermudas High pressure cell. Glacial climates of Florida cannot be reconstructed using our methodology as the Florida platform was emergent during sea level lowstands.