Atlantic Circulation Research Articles

Eastern Mediterranean water outflow during the Younger Dryas was twice that of the present day

Eastern Mediterranean deep-intermediate convection was highly sensitive to varying inputs of fresh water fluxes associated with increased rainfall during the African Humid period (15-6 kyr Before Present). Here we investigate changes in the water-outflow from the Eastern Mediterranean Sea since the last deglaciation using neodymium isotope ratios. Our results indicate enhanced outflow during the Younger Dryas, two times higher than present-day outflow and about three times higher than during the last Sapropel. We propose that the increased outflow into the western Mediterranean over the Younger Dryas was the result of the combined effect of 1) enhanced climate-driven convection in the Aegean Sea and 2) reduced convection of western deep water during this period. Our results provide solid evidence for an enhanced Younger Dryas westward flow of Eastern Mediterranean sourced waters in consonance with an intensification of Mediterranean water-outflow during a weakened state of the Atlantic circulation.

Multi-proxy constraints on Atlantic circulation dynamics since the last ice age

Uncertainties persist in the understanding of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and its response to external perturbations such as freshwater or radiative forcing. Abrupt reduction of the Atlantic circulation is considered a climate tipping point that may have been crossed when Earth’s climate was propelled out of the last ice age. However, the evolution of the circulation since the Last Glacial Maximum (22–18 thousand years ago) remains insufficiently constrained due to model and proxy limitations. Here we leverage information from both a compilation of proxy records that track various aspects of the circulation and climate model simulations to constrain the Atlantic circulation over the past 20,000 years. We find a coherent picture of a shallow and weak Atlantic overturning circulation during the Last Glacial Maximum that reconciles apparently conflicting proxy evidence. Model–data comparison of the last deglaciation—starting from this new, multiple constrained glacial state—indicates a muted response during Heinrich Stadial 1 and that water mass geometry did not fully adjust to the strong reduction in overturning circulation during the comparably short Younger Dryas period. This demonstrates that the relationship between freshwater forcing and Atlantic overturning strength is strongly dependent on the climatic and oceanic background state.

Impact of Vertical Resolution on Representing Baroclinic Modes and Water Mass Distribution in the North Atlantic Circulation

Impact of Vertical Resolution on Representing Baroclinic Modes and Water Mass Distribution in the North Atlantic Circulation

The Loop Current Circulation Over the MIS 9 to MIS 5 Based on Planktonic Foraminifera Assemblages From the Gulf of Mexico

AbstractThe loop current (LC) in the Gulf of Mexico (GoM) is part of the western North Atlantic circulation. Recording its strength and slowdown variations can help us characterize the regional climate over the Late Pleistocene. To reconstruct the sea surface and the LC intensity in the eastern GoM, we study the distribution patterns of planktonic foraminifera in the core EN‐032‐18PC, spanning the end of Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 9 to early MIS‐4. We reconstructed a sequence of paleoceanographic events based on stable isotopes (δ18O and δ13C) of the surface dweller Globigerinoides ruber and two faunal assemblages. The first assemblage explains most of the glacial and late interglacial periods, suggesting a subtropical environment with a deep thermocline and a reduced LC due to a moderate inflow of warm Caribbean waters. The second assemblage explains the warmest interglacial substages, dominated by tropical species, a shallow thermocline, and an extended LC, driven by summer insolation. Overall, surface ocean conditions led to more ecological successions and instability during the warmest interglacial substages than during glacial periods, as supported by the stable isotope records. Besides the GoM relationship to AMOC, as a regulator of heat transport to higher latitudes, we suggest that fluctuations in the LC rely on the migration of atmospheric circulation patterns and astronomical insolation forcing.

Late Pleistocene glaciation in the Eastern Carpathians – a regional overview

The Eastern Carpathians are the northeasternmost sector of the European Alpine Mountain system and comprise 14 formerly glaciated massifs that stretch over 300 km into the territories of Ukraine and Romania. In this study we provide a regional overview on Late Pleistocene glaciation in the Eastern Carpathians integrating recently published and new geomorphological data which include mapped glacial landforms and glacier reconstruction of the maximal ice extent (MIE) which is assigned to the global Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). Thus we obtain a complete inventory of glaciation in the Eastern Carpathians, including the documentation of 214 glacial cirques and 147 small mountain glaciers with a total area of 153.2 km2. The estimated LGM equilibrium line altitude (ELA) shows a strong rise of 2.4 m/km from the northwest (1270 m asl) to the southeast (1870 m asl), as well as a consistent eastward rise on several W-E transects (2–3.4 m/km). Similar patterns are shown by the palaeoglaciation level and the cirque floor altitude trend, which mimic the pattern of modern temperature-precipitation ELA (tpELA) in the region. Reconstructed palaeoglacial trends reflect dominant W-NW precipitation-wind regime and an enhanced zonal North Atlantic circulation pattern in the far interior of Europe in full glacial climate. This is consistent with both regonal palaeoclimatic simulations and wind regime proxies which indicate that the pattern of LGM circulation was similar to the present circulation, although the magnitude may have increased during glacial conditions. Additionally, based on the wide array of glacial landscapes inventoried in this study, ranging from traces of small niche/cirques to about 7 km long valley glaciers, we propose a quantitative approach to define the distinct stages of glacial landscape development based on the relationship between the Pleistocene ELA and mountain hypsometry.

Impact of Eocene‐Oligocene Antarctic Glaciation on the Paleoceanography of the Weddell Sea

AbstractThe Eocene‐Oligocene Transition (EOT) at ∼34 Ma marked a climatic shift from greenhouse to icehouse conditions, toward long‐lasting lower global temperatures and a continental ice sheet in the Antarctic. We report on sedimentological and inorganic geochemical results across the EOT at Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) Site 696 in the Weddell Sea, within the Antarctic limb of the Atlantic circulation. The geochemical composition of detrital, authigenic and biogenic marine sediment components, and sortable silt proxies demonstrate the impact of ice growth on high latitude water masses. Sortable silt grain size and Zr/Rb ratios attest to a period of vigorous circulation at ∼36.2–35.8 Ma, coincident with a known warm interval in the Southern Ocean. Across the EOT, detrital provenance suggests that regional ice growth in the western Weddell Sea was stepwise, first expanding in the Antarctic Peninsula, followed by parts of West Antarctica. In conjunction with regional ice growth, high uranium enrichment factors (U EF) in sediments spanning the EOT interval indicate anoxic conditions in the sediment with evidence of carbonate dissolution. Following glacial expansion and sea‐ice formation at ∼33.6 Ma, a return to oxic conditions and carbonate preservation is observed with excess barium and phosphorous indicative of an increase in productivity, and potentially carbon export. Our results highlight the important connections between ice growth and the changing properties of high‐latitude water masses at the EOT with impacts on the global ocean circulation.

Climate models fail to capture strengthening wintertime North Atlantic jet and impacts on Europe.

Projections of wintertime surface climate over Europe depend on reliable simulations of the North Atlantic atmospheric circulation from climate models. However, it is unclear whether these models capture the long-term observed trends in the North Atlantic circulation. Here, we show that over the period from 1951 to 2020, the wintertime North Atlantic jet has strengthened, while model trends are, on average, only very weakly positive. The observed strengthening is greater than in any one of the 303 simulations from 44 climate models considered in our study. This divergence between models and observations is now much more apparent because of a very strong jet observed over the past decade. The models similarly have difficulty capturing the observed precipitation trends over Europe. Our results suggest that projections of winter atmospheric circulation and associated precipitation over Europe may be unreliable because they fail to capture the response to human emissions or underestimate the magnitude of multidecadal-to-centennial time scale internal variability.

Geometry of the Meridional Overturning Circulation at the Last Glacial Maximum

Abstract Understanding the contribution of ocean circulation to glacial–interglacial climate change is a major focus of paleoceanography. Specifically, many have tried to determine whether the volumes and depths of Antarctic- and North Atlantic–sourced waters in the deep ocean changed at the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM; ∼22–18 kyr BP) when atmospheric pCO2 concentrations were 100 ppm lower than the preindustrial. Measurements of sedimentary geochemical proxies are the primary way that these deep ocean structural changes have been reconstructed. However, the main proxies used to reconstruct LGM Atlantic water mass geometry provide conflicting results as to whether North Atlantic–sourced waters shoaled during the LGM. Despite this, a number of idealized modeling studies have been advanced to describe the physical processes resulting in shoaled North Atlantic waters. This paper aims to critically assess the approaches used to determine LGM Atlantic circulation geometry and lay out best practices for future work. We first compile existing proxy data and paleoclimate model output to deduce the processes responsible for setting the ocean distributions of geochemical proxies in the LGM Atlantic Ocean. We highlight how small-scale mixing processes in the ocean interior can decouple tracer distributions from the large-scale circulation, complicating the straightforward interpretation of geochemical tracers as proxies for water mass structure. Finally, we outline promising paths toward ascertaining the LGM circulation structure more clearly and deeply.

Split westerlies over Europe in the early Little Ice Age

The Little Ice Age (LIA; ca. 1450–1850 C.E.) is the best documented cold period of the past millennium, characterized by high-frequency volcanism, low solar activity, and high variability of Arctic sea-ice cover. Past studies of LIA Atlantic circulation changes have referenced the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), but recent studies have noted that LIA climate patterns appear to possess complexity not captured by an NAO analogue. Here, we present a new precipitation-sensitive stalagmite record from northern Italy that covers the past 800 years. We show that in the early LIA (1470–1610 C.E.), increased atmospheric ridging over northern Europe split the climatological westerlies away from central and northern Europe, possibly caused by concurrent Artic sea-ice reduction. With ongoing ice melting in the northern high latitudes and decreasing solar irradiance in the coming years, the early LIA may potentially serve as an analogue for European hydroclimatic conditions in the coming decades.

Rapid 20th century warming reverses 900-year cooling in the Gulf of Maine

The Gulf of Maine, located in the western North Atlantic, has undergone recent, rapid ocean warming but the lack of long-term, instrumental records hampers the ability to put these significant hydrographic changes into context. Here we present multiple 300-year long geochemical records (oxygen, nitrogen, and previously published radiocarbon isotopes) measured in absolutely-dated Arctica islandica shells from the western Gulf of Maine. These records, in combination with climate model simulations, suggest that the Gulf of Maine underwent a long-term cooling over most of the last 1000 years, driven primarily by volcanic forcing and North Atlantic ocean dynamics. This cooling trend was reversed by warming beginning in the late 1800s, likely due to increased atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and changes in western North Atlantic circulation. The climate model simulations suggest that the warming over the last century was more rapid than almost any other 100-year period in the last 1000 years in the region.

Holocene palaeoenvironmental conditions in NE Bulgaria uncovered by mineral magnetic and paleomagnetic records of an alluvial soil

Retrieving well-dated terrestrial archives of Holocene climate change is fundamentally important for building robust climate models and predictions. In this study we obtained records of paleomagnetic direction and relative paleointensity of the Earth's magnetic field from an alluvial soil situated on a flood river terrace close to the well-dated and stratigraphically confined Chalcolithic mound near the village of Koprivetz in NE Bulgaria. Anisotropy of magnetic susceptibility data revealed a coherent imbricated magnetic fabric reflecting the effects of water flow in the lower alluvial clays and the direction of delluvial sedimentation from the slope in the upper soil horizons. Variations of declination, inclination and relative paleointensity along depth of the soil profile were correlated to the archaeomagnetic secular variation curves for Bulgaria, using the age of the earliest archaeological stratigraphic horizon as the main tie point. Based on this correlation, an age model was constructed and temporal variations of environmental magnetic parameters were examined for their suitability as paleoclimate proxies. The ratio of frequency dependent susceptibility to anhysteretic susceptibility (χfd/χARM) is a reasonable proxy for paleoprecipitation due to its close resemblance to paleo-flood records from the Northern and Southern Alps. Events of increased flood intensities during the late Holocene (post – 4700 y BP) are registered through χfd/χARM and reveal good correspondence to the flood records of rivers in Southern Alps and Carpathians. The ratio of isothermal remanent magnetization after 20 mT alternating field demagnetization (IRM20mT) normalized to the full IRM showed good consistency with the GISP2 ice record of temperature variations in Greenland during the Holocene. Six major cold incidents during the last 7000 y BP with the major one at 4500 y BP are evidenced. The obtained results suggest that climate at mid-latitude SE Europe is sensitive to the changes in North Atlantic circulation.

Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation: from Lorenz model of atmospheric convection toward Ocean Dynamics

Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation: from Lorenz model of atmospheric convection toward Ocean Dynamics

An exceptional record of millennial-scale climate variability in the southern Iberian Margin during MIS 6: Impact on the formation of sapropel S6

The study of planktic and benthic δ18O at site U1389 in the Gulf of Cadiz allowed us to reconstruct climate variability during the penultimate glacial period at an unprecedented millennial scale resolution. Hereby, a sequence of interstadial-stadial episodes similar to the Dansgaard-Oeschger events recorded during Marine Isotope Stage (MIS)3, were recognized in MIS6. After a detailed correlation with millennial-scale variability recorded along the Iberian margin and the North Atlantic we were able to link the millennial changes next to the Iberian Peninsula with Antarctic climate variability due to the interhemispheric seesaw response of the Atlantic circulation. The straight coupling at site U1389 of a) the planktic δ18O that reflects climate change in the Atlantic with b) the benthic δ18O, which records the temperature and oxygen isotope composition of the mixture of Mediterranean Outflow and Atlantic intermediate water, indicates that millennial climate variability also had a strong impact on the eastern Mediterranean. The detailed analysis of the benthic δ13C and the fine sand content in the sediments from site U1389 led us to recognize the response of the Mediterranean overflow water (MOW) to millennial scale changes in Mediterranean overturning circulation during the penultimate glaciation. Both Mediterranean Overturning Circulation and MOW strength increased at times of cool and arid climates and weakened during warm and more humid episodes, similar to what has been described for MIS3. The tuning of MOW weakening events occurring at times of precession minima with eastern Mediterranean sapropels and enhanced Asian monsoon allowed the elaboration of a new chronology for MIS6. It was compared with the Epica Dome C time scale, which was also based on the tuning of atmospheric δ18O with Asian Monsoons speleothem records.Mediterranean overturning during MIS6 was also strongly affected by freshwater perturbations occurring at times of insolation maxima, leading to the formation of the “glacial sapropel” S6. Two major drops in seawater δ18O centered at 175 and 150 ky were observed near the entrance of the Mediterranean that were related to meltwater released from the ice sheets, coinciding with periods of insolation maxima. The entry of this meltwater anomaly through the Strait of Gibraltar is clearly registered in the western and eastern Mediterranean, especially at the onset of sapropel S6, suggesting that it was a major component of the freshwater that initiated the buoyancy gain preceding deep water stagnation.

Impact of ocean-atmosphere coupling on present and future Köppen-Geiger climate classification in Europe

The effect of air-sea coupling in the simulation of the European climate is assessed through a climate type classification that uses surface temperature and precipitation from a regional atmosphere-ocean coupled model and from its atmospheric component. The atmospheric setup in both models is the same, differing only in the representation of the oceanic fields. The simulations cover the present and future-time climate under the RCP8.5 CMIP5 scenario. Climate type distributions obtained from both coupled and uncoupled simulations are similar to those obtained from ERA5 for the 1976–2005 period. Both models simulate colder climate types for present-time in southern and northeastern regions compared to ERA5, possibly due to a weaker influence of the Atlantic circulation, and drier climate types in some western Mediterranean areas. Also, for present-time coupling leads to more humid winters (relatively drier summers) in some zones of north Spain and south France, and drier climates in some western Mediterranean spots. Based on simulations with these models under the RCP8.5 scenario, we find that by the end of the 21st century (2070–2099) the climate type distribution changes in more than 50% of the domain. While both models project the reduction of regions with cold climate types and the expansion of those with hot summers and hot arid climate types, these changes affect a larger area in the coupled simulation. These differences may be related to a drier signal in the coupled simulation, especially during summer, due to the influence of colder surface water in the North Atlantic Ocean and the Mediterranean Sea. Using a climate classification to evaluate the annual cycles of the simulated temperature and precipitation data provides a novel insight into the impact of air-ocean coupling on the representation of the climate, and consequently into the simulated impact on ecosystems and human activities in Europe.

Relationship between glacial CO2 drawdown and mercury cycling in the western South Atlantic: An isotopic insight

Abstract Pronounced changes in the deep Atlantic circulation occurred during glacial stages, which affected the global carbon distribution and the biogeochemical cycles of other elements. Previous studies demonstrated that oceanic mercury is sensitive to the same kind of processes that affect the carbon cycle in glacial–interglacial time scales. We used Hg isotopes to elucidate Hg cycling during the last two glacial–interglacial transitions in the subtropical western South Atlantic. Mass-dependent fractionation (MDF, δ202Hg) and mass-independent fractionation (MIF, Δ199Hg) show significant variations and shift toward higher and lower values during the penultimate and Last Glacial Maximum periods, respectively. δ202Hg variability is in-phase with periods of lower atmospheric CO2 and benthic δ13C, suggesting that MDF is affected by the same mechanisms that led to atmospheric CO2 drawdown during glacial stages. In contrast, terrestrial Hg input to our site, boosted by lower sea level and exposure of the continental shelf, dominates the Δ199Hg variability.

Interactions between the stratospheric polar vortex and Atlantic circulation on seasonal to multi-decadal timescales

Abstract. Variations in the strength of the Northern Hemisphere winter polar stratospheric vortex can influence surface variability in the Atlantic sector. Disruptions of the vortex, known as sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs), are associated with an equatorward shift and deceleration of the North Atlantic jet stream, negative phases of the North Atlantic Oscillation, and cold snaps over Eurasia and North America. Despite clear influences at the surface on sub-seasonal timescales, how stratospheric vortex variability interacts with ocean circulation on decadal to multi-decadal timescales is less well understood. In this study, we use a 1000 year preindustrial control simulation of the UK Earth System Model to study such interactions, using a wavelet analysis technique to examine non-stationary periodic signals in the vortex and ocean. We find that intervals which exhibit persistent anomalous vortex behaviour lead to oscillatory responses in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). The origin of these responses appears to be highly non-stationary, with spectral power in vortex variability at periods of 30 and 50 years. In contrast, AMOC variations on longer timescales (near 90-year periods) are found to lead to a vortex response through a pathway involving the equatorial Pacific and quasi-biennial oscillation. Using the relationship between persistent vortex behaviour and the AMOC response established in the model, we use regression analysis to estimate the potential contribution of the 8-year SSW hiatus interval in the 1990s to the recent negative trend in AMOC observations. The result suggests that approximately 30 % of the trend may have been caused by the SSW hiatus.

Past evolution of western Europe large-scale circulation and link to precipitation trend in the northern French Alps

Abstract. Detecting trends in regional large-scale circulation (LSC) is an important challenge as LSC is a key driver of local weather conditions. In this work, we investigate the past evolution of western Europe LSC based on the 500 hPa geopotential height fields from 20CRv2c (1851–2010), ERA20C (1900–2010) and ERA5 (1950–2010) reanalyses. We focus on the evolution of large-scale circulation characteristics using three atmospheric descriptors that are based on analogy by comparing daily geopotential height fields to each other. They characterize the stationarity of geopotential shape and how well a geopotential shape is reproduced in the climatology. A non-analogy descriptor is also employed to account for the intensity of the centers of action. We then combine the four atmospheric descriptors with an existing weather pattern classification over the period 1950–2019 to study the recent changes in the two main atmospheric influences driving precipitation in the northern French Alps. They correspond to the Atlantic circulation pattern dominated by a zonal flow and the Mediterranean circulation pattern dominated by low-pressure anomalies over the near Atlantic, close to Portugal. Even though LSC characteristics and trends are consistent among the three reanalyses after 1950, we find major differences between 20CRv2c and ERA20C from 1900 to 1950 in accordance with previous studies. Notably, ERA20C produces flatter geopotential shapes in the beginning of the 20th century and shows a reinforcement of the meridional pressure gradient that is not observed in 20CRv2c. Over the period 1950–2019, we show that winter Atlantic circulations (zonal flows) tend to be shifted northward, and they become more similar to known Atlantic circulations. Mediterranean circulations tend to become more stationary, more similar to known Mediterranean circulations and associated with stronger centers of action in autumn, while an opposite behavior is observed in winter. Finally, we discuss the role of these LSC changes for seasonal and extreme precipitation in the northern French Alps. We show that these changes in LSC characteristics are linked to (a) the decreasing contribution of Mediterranean circulations to winter precipitation and (b) more circulations that are likely to generate extreme precipitation in autumn.

Reply to: Atlantic circulation change still uncertain

Reply to: Atlantic circulation change still uncertain

Atlantic circulation change still uncertain

Atlantic circulation change still uncertain

Scandinavian Forest Fire Activity Correlates with Proxies of the Baffin Bay Ice Cover

Understanding factors driving fire activity helps reveal the degree and geographical variability in the resilience of boreal vegetation to large scale climate forces. We studied the association between sea ice cover in the Baffin Bay and the Labrador Sea and observational records of forest fires in two Nordic countries (Norway and Sweden) over 1913–2017. We found a positive correlation between ice proxies and regional fire activity records suggesting that the Arctic climate and the associated changes in North Atlantic circulation exercise an important control on the levels of fire activity in Scandinavia. Changes in the sea cover are likely correlated with the dynamic of the North Atlantic Current. These dynamics may favor the development of the drought conditions in Scandinavia through promoting persistent high-pressure systems over the Scandinavian boreal zone during the spring and summer. These periods are, in turn, associated with an increased water deficit in forest fuels, leading to a regionally increased fire hazard. The Arctic climate will likely be an important future control of the boreal fire activity in the Nordic region.