To evaluate whether the frequency of asthma-related emergency department (ED) visits could predict future asthma hospitalization in the pediatric population.The study included 2669 children between the ages of 2 and 16.99 years with asthma visits to the ED at the Children’s Hospital of Eastern Ontario between September 2012 to August 2015.This was a retrospective cohort study in which health administrative data were used to identify all pediatric asthma visits to the ED from 2012 to 2015. The first asthma ED visit within the 3-year inclusion period was defined as index ED visit. The primary exposure was the number of asthma ED visits in the preceding 12 months. Each patient was managed for 12 months after the index ED visit to identify the number of asthma-related hospitalizations and subsequent ED visits. The severity of asthma symptoms at each visit was assessed by using the Canadian Triage and Acuity Scale.The number of asthma ED visits in the preceding year was associated with an increased risk of hospitalization in the subsequent 12 months in a dose-dependent manner. The risk of hospitalization was 2.9 (95% confidence interval: 1.6 to 5) times higher in children with 1 previous ED visit and 4.4 (95% confidence interval: 1.9 to 10.4) times higher in children with ≥2 previous ED visits, compared with that of children with no ED visits. Asthma severity on the basis of Canadian Triage and Acuity Scale level was also a risk factor for future asthma hospitalization. The number of previous asthma ED visits was associated with an increased risk of repeat asthma ED visits in the following year.The number of asthma ED visits was identified as an independent marker of future asthma-related hospitalizations and repeat ED visits in pediatric patients.A major goal of asthma management is to reduce the risk of exacerbations leading to ED visits and hospitalization. Poor asthma control leads to school absenteeism and increased health care use. Identification of a reliable marker to predict future asthma risk could help health care providers target interventions to children at high risk. In this study, the authors identified ED visit count as a predictor of future asthma-related hospitalization in pediatric patients.
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