ArcGIS Tools Research Articles

Where are the cruise ships? mobility and immobility of cruises under COVID-19.

The aim of this study is to reveal the spatial-temporal characteristics and influencing factors of the static and dynamic distribution of global cruise ships, against the backdrop of the COVID-19 pandemic, which has transformed the global cruise network from "lines" to "points". This study collected trajectory data for 292 cruise ships and data for 789 cruise ports worldwide from March 2020 to July 2021. Based on the relationship between port and navigation, port management rights research, and port geography theory, we analyzed the spatial distribution and spatiotemporal migration of cruise ships with ArcGIS tools. It was found that, compared with normal times, the distribution of cruise ships in regional markets, countries, and ports showed stronger spatial agglomeration characteristics and formed four types, which were mainly influenced by differences in cruise operators' fleet scale, positioning, and itinerary. With the improvement of the epidemic, cruise ships trended to gather at the cruise home port. During the COVID-19 pandemic, there was an obvious separation between the epidemic prevention country, flag country, and operator country. Operators were inclined to berth their cruise ships in the countries where cruise ships were registered, countries of operators, and ports with high integration. Rather than simply emphasizing the static state of the cruise shipping network, the global cruise geography under the COVID-19 pandemic reflects the right relationship between ports, cruise ships, and companies. This study provides a methodological framework for analyzing the cruise shipping network at the port level and has practical implications for micro-interpretation of the dotted cruise shipping network during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Flood Mapping using HEC-RAS and GIS: A Case Study of Palembang Watersheds

Flooding is a significant issue in Palembang City, affecting areas such as Gandus, Lambidaro, Boang, Sekanak, Bendung, Kidul, Buah, Juaro, Selinca, Nyiur, Aur, Sriguna, Kedukan, Keramasan, Kertapati and Jakabaring watershed. This research contributes to flood control measures by providing flood mapping and modelling for decision-makers and local authorities. The main objective of this paper is to perform a steady flow analysis to study the hydraulic characteristics of flow; velocity and water surface profile of the adjacent research areas. There are three processes involved in the data analysis: hydrological, hydraulic and spatial. The calculation of average rainfall is performed using the Isohyet method with the assistance of the IDW 3D Analyst tool in ArcGIS and the design discharge is calculated using the HSS Nakayasu method. The hydraulic analyses involve river morphology extraction using RAS Mapper tools in HEC-RAS. Steady flow simulations are conducted for normal water depth conditions and the highest tidal conditions. The simulation result is then reclassified and the flood location points are verified with observed data. For normal water depth conditions, the maximum water level in the Lambidaro watershed reaches 2,09 meters, which covers a flood area of 721,53 ha. Meanwhile, based on the highest tidal simulations, the maximum water level in the Selinca watershed reaches 3,21 meters, covering a flood area of 209,36 ha.

Combining WetSpass and MODFLOW to assess the groundwater recharge in the agricultural highlands of Ethiopia

Estimating the temporal and spatial patterns of recharge is crucial in Jedeb Watershed, which has shallow aquifers, a proliferation of wells, and limited observations. This paper uses the WetSpass-MODFLOW coupling to evaluate the groundwater recharge in the Jedeb watershed. The ArcGIS tool is used to build grid maps that contain the input data for the WetSpass-M model. These findings are then used to simulate the hydraulic head distribution in the groundwater flow simulation program MODFLOW. WetSpass-M calculated that long-term spatial and temporal average annual precipitation of 1394 mm is distributed as 99 mm (7.1%) groundwater recharge and 722 mm (51.79%) surface runoff, while 574 mm (41.11%) is lost through evapotranspiration. In such seasonal variations, the groundwater level due to the annual stress period varied from 2164.2 to 2213.1 m. The findings contribution could serve as a benchmark for future research by researchers, policymakers, and specialists in regional water resources.

Professionally oriented tasks for learning and using mapping technology with ArcGIS tools

Abstract The article substantiates the expediency of using professionally oriented tasks for learning the technology of the mapping process using ArcGIS, taking into account the peculiarities of the training specialists of natural sciences. Socio-economic mapping by means of ArcGIS is an important step for creating management systems to support decision-making by future geographers and others. The main aspects of the introduction of professionally oriented tasks into the educational process of pedagogical institutions of higher education have been clarified. Educational and methodological guidelines for studying and using the technology of mapping with ArcGIS tools have been developed for students and future geographers who expect to perform professionally oriented tasks in the development of maps. For the practical preparation and development of a series of maps that provide visual information for an objective analysis of Ukraine’s indicators, we used information from the State Statistics Service of Ukraine, the Main Statistical Offices of Ukrainian regions. A series of maps, created by different methods and connected by one topic, was prepared and developed, among them the creation of a cartogram of the population of the regions of Ukraine using the method of quantitative background. An experimental verification of the effectiveness of the use of professionally oriented tasks for the study and use of mapping technology by means of ArcGIS by future teachers-geographers proved an increase in the level of development according to the specified criteria: motivational, cognitive and personal-reflective with the corresponding indicators. The mapping approaches presented in this paper based on the implementation of professionally oriented tasks allow students to apply the acquired knowledge and skills and give them the opportunity to flexibly adapt to situations arising in the future professional activity of a geographer.

Remote sensing applications to identify devastated lagoons of the Indus Delta Pakistan

A reduction in river flows is a major cause of the shrinking of river deltas. The Ramsar protected Indus Delta is one such example. Due to a consistent reduction in the flows of the Indus River, 15 out of 17 allied creeks facing back flows from the sea, while the remaining two are flowing during flooding years only. The connected wetlands and lagoons of these creeks have turned brackish, resulting in the devastation of associated habitats and ecosystems. This situation also increased seawater intrusion and coastal erosion. This study spatially detect the devastated lagoons, employing the Arc-Hydro tools in ArcGIS, conduct community meetings and draft evidence-based recommendations to revive the abandoned wetlands. The study identified 130 waterbodies using maximum likelihood and supervised classification methods on Landsat imagery. Through ground trothing 20 abandoned waterbodies have been visited and verified with community engagement. The revival of wetlands will improve biodiversity and coastal habitat, along with the re-plantation of mangrove, which provides a shield against tsunamis and cyclones and is also home to hundreds of species of shrimp. The sustainable wetlands may also provide immediate drinking and agricultural needs for the local population, as well as repel seawater from intruding inland.

Study on the spatial distribution characteristics of traditional villages and their response to the water network system in the lower yangtze river basin

Traditional villages hold significant historical and cultural value as the precious heritage of China’s agricultural civilization. Currently, against the backdrop of increasing urbanization and rapid expansion of urban construction land, the spatial patterns of traditional villages across various regions in China are being encroached upon and damaged, with protection pressures growing daily. As one of the important cradles of Chinese civilization, the Lower Yangtze River Basin (LYRB) has traditional villages closely linked with its water systems, forming a unique human-land relationship and spatial distribution pattern. However, influenced by the rapid urbanization process, the spatial patterns of traditional villages in this region also face a crisis, and the contradiction between protection and development is becoming increasingly prominent. How to balance this contradiction and ensure the reasonable protection and sustainable development of traditional villages has become an urgent issue to address. Therefore, this study focuses on the LYRB. Using ArcGIS tools and combined with mathematical analysis methods, the spatial distribution characteristics and essential influencing factors of traditional villages in this area were screened and analyzed. The objective was to examine the spatial structural relationship between traditional villages, four water system types, and nine sub-basin units, intending to reveal the unique interdependence between the water system and traditional villages in this area. This would provide scientific support for the formulation of scientific conservation strategies. The research results show that: (1) Traditional villages in The LYRB form two core clusters spatially and exhibit substantial spatial accumulation; (2) Water system characteristics are the main factors affecting the distribution of traditional villages; (3) In the LYRB, the spatial distribution of the nine sub-basins is closely related to the spatial distribution of traditional villages, resulting in typical regional spatial differentiation of traditional villages in this area. This study is based on a watershed perspective, and the results highlight the importance of the water system network in the development of traditional villages, revealing a unique spatial dependency relationship between traditional villages and the water network in the LYRB. In order to ensure the comprehensive protection of the traditional village system in this region, it is essential to adhere to the fundamental principles that govern its spatial configuration. A tripartite collaborative protection system based on the watershed should be formulated from the perspective of the overall distribution relationship between the water network and the traditional villages. This system would serve to protect the overall landscape, the water network pattern, and the traditional villages. Establishing an overall pattern view of integrating the water system network and the traditional villages is essential.

Landslide susceptibility mapping using frequency ratio and analytical hierarchy process method in Awabel Woreda, Ethiopia

A landslide is a serious geo-environmental problem that results in the death of life and the devastation of infrastructure, properties, and agricultural lands. This research aimed to identify landslide susceptibility zones in selected Kebels of Awabel Woreda, central Ethiopia. Frequency ratio (FR) and analytical hierarchy process (AHP) methods were used. 175 landslide inventory data collected from Google Earth and field data were collected for testing and training data sets. Using the analytical hierarchy process, all the thematic layers (stream distance, slope, aspect, rainfall, lineament density, elevation, lithology, soil, land use/land cover, and curvature) were reclassified and weighted based on their relative contribution to landslide occurrence with the help of experts’ knowledge. The results show that 11.85% and 20.52 % of the study fall under the very high and high susceptible zones, respectively, while the low susceptible zones cover 26.3% and 14.74% of the area. The landslide susceptibility zone identified by the frequency ratio model shows that (6.09%) and (16.9%) of the area covered very high and high susceptible zones, respectively, while 30.4% and 23.4% of the area covered low and very susceptible zones, respectively. The predicted landslide-susceptible areas were validated using existing landslide points with the help of the ROC tool in ArcGIS. Area under the curve (AUC) results were 84.5% for the AHP model and 73% for the frequency ratio model. The find of this study will provide an input for decision makers and land use planners in the future.

Comprehensive evaluation of “Three Waters” carrying capacity and path evolution study: A case of the Yellow River Basin

Research focusing solely on the carrying capacity of a single aspect of water resources, water environment, or water ecology is no longer sufficient to support the sustainable development and management of basin water systems. The study of basin carrying capacity should expand towards a comprehensive and holistic direction. Therefore, this study constructed an evaluation index system for carrying capacity based on water resources, water environment, and water ecology (“Three Waters”). Utilizing the entropy weight-TOPSIS method, System Comprehensive Index Evaluation, and ArcGIS tools, the comprehensive evaluation index of the “Three Waters” System Carrying Capacity (TWSCC) in the Yellow River Basin (YRB) from 2005 to 2020 was calculated. The evaluation index analyzed the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of subsystem carrying capacity and performed early warning identification and analysis of TWSCC. Four differentiated developmental pathways were designed based on the current status of basin carrying capacity. Leveraging System Dynamics (SD) modeling, the dynamic simulation, and emulation of carrying capacity trends in the YRB from 2020 to 2035 were conducted. The research findings indicate that from 2005 to 2020, the TWSCC levels across the nine provinces in the YRB consistently exhibited varying degrees of overload. The alert levels mostly remained in “Heavy warning” or “Medium warning” states. By 2035, TWSCC under the four development paths improved from 2020 levels, with the Green Environmental Protection-Oriented scheme reaching a safe carrying capacity. In summary, this paper offers theoretical and methodological support for developing basin-carrying capacity and the integrated governance of “Three Waters.”

Landscape-level habitat connectivity of large mammals in Chitwan Annapurna Landscape, Nepal.

The populations of many species of large mammals occur in small isolated and fragmented habitat patches in the human-dominated landscape. Maintenance of habitat connectivity in the fragmented landscapes is important for maintaining a healthy population of large mammal. This study evaluated the landscape patches and their linkages on two carnivores (leopard and Himalayan black bear) and seven prey species (northern red muntjac, chital, sambar, wild pig, Himalayan goral, rhesus macaque, and langur) between Chitwan National Park (CNP) and Annapurna Conservation Area (ACA) by using the least-cost path (LCP) approach and the Linkage Mapper tool in ArcGIS. A total of 15 habitat patches (average area 26.67 ± 12.70 km2) were identified that had more than 50% of the total studied mammals. A weak relation among the habitat patches was found for chital and sambar (Cost-weighted distance [CWD]: Euclidean distance EucD >100), showed poor connectivity between the habitat patches, while ratio of CWD and EucD was low (i.e., low LCP) between majority of the patches for muntjac, wild pig and leopard hence had potential functional connectivity along the landscape. Similarly, low LCP between the habitat patches located in the mid-hills was observed for Himalayan goral and Himalayan black bear. Furthermore, the multi-species connectivity analysis identified the potential structural connectivity between the isolated populations and habitat patches. Therefore, these sites need to be considered connectivity hotspots and be prioritized for the conservation of large mammals in the landscape.

Monitoring the effects of climate change and topography on vegetation health in Tharparkar, Pakistan

ABSTRACT Pakistan's geographic position and socioeconomic profile make it one of the nations that are particularly susceptible to the negative effects of climate change. The Tharparkar district in Pakistan is of particular importance in this regard as it is an arid region with serious environmental issues like drought, desertification, and soil degradation. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to examine how topographic and climatic factors affect vegetation indicators in the Tharparkar. The study utilizes spatiotemporal data spanning over 20 years (2001–2020) collected from the satellites MOD11A2 and MOD13A3. The collected data are processed using a range of tools in ArcGIS 10.4.1, and the impact of topographic and climatic conditions is analyzed based on different vegetation indices, including EVI, NDVI, STVI, OSAVI, and SAVI. The findings reveal that temperature and precipitation, both of which are controlled by topographic features, such as elevation and slope, are the key elements affecting vegetation in Tharparkar. At high elevations, rainfall (>440 mm) and LST (>39 °C) are also high and where the slope is low the density of vegetation indices is high.

Digitization of River’s using ArcGIS: A Review

This review paper dictates the digitization of streams of order 1st - 5th order using the software ArcGIS for doing the digitization work. This review paper covers the theories and methodology that covers this work. The data will be downloaded from USGS website the data needs to be downloaded as a “.tiff” files. This data needs to be processed in the ArcGIS software for generation of a digital elevation model. This DEM (Digital Elevation Model) will provide you with the elevation of the area and then from these elevations we have to extract the rainfall accumulation data using the tool in ArcGIS. After this the data will be processed to get the final streams order. This paper clears all the doubts that one might have regarding the digitization and DEM generation.

Geospatial Assessment of the Occurrence of Flooding In Informal Settlements in Ilala Municipality, Tanzania

This article assesses the occurrence of flooding in informal settlements of Ilala Municipality using quantitative and qualitative approaches. Non-probability sampling technique was used to select participants for participatory mapping. Data collection was done through participatory mapping, remote sensing, document review, and field observation. The weighted sum tool in ArcGIS was used to combine flood factors layers and create flood-prone area maps. Participatory mapping was used to map flood depth before data was converted for map visualization. Results indicated that areas with high to very high risk of flooding are generally decreasing over time. From 1990–2000 areas with high risk of flooding covered 31.1% of the study area, decreasing to 21.1% from 2001–2010, while from 2011–2020 it covered 21.6%. However, flood depths increased over time. From 1990–2000 the highest flood depth was 5ft decreasing to 4ft between 2011–2020. Hence, people living in informal settlements are more vulnerable and mostly affected by floods because of disposing of solid wastes into the river valley, which blocks drainage systems, thereby causing overflow of water. Therefore, regulations guiding human development near the river valleys should be improved and unlawful activities in the river valley be discouraged. Again, storm water drainage systems should be protected and well managed as the levels of storm water have become very high over time. Waste collection contracts should be given to private companies which are flexible and able to use alternative means of accessing unplanned streets to easily collect wastes.

Spatial modelling of present and future groundwater potentials in Nigeria; towards a sustainable water demand and supply

The development of water resources in Nigeria has not risen alongside population increase. Although groundwater is the available source of water at all locations in Nigeria, groundwater aquifer is becoming deeper due to increased groundwater harvest, especially in urban areas. There is a need for continuous groundwater modelling using geological, climatic, environmental data, and spatial tools especially under climate change and intense landcover conversions. The Spatial Multi-Criteria Analysis (SMCA) was adopted in this study to model the current groundwater potential in Nigeria. The multi-criteria analysis tool in ArcGIS was explored to overlay the nine factor maps to model historic and futuristic groundwater potentials. Our groundwater factor maps show an interesting pattern across Nigeria, the southern parts show more potential considering suitability factors like; surface water density, rainfall, temperature, soil, land cover and elevation in the region. Whereas the upland regions even with higher rainfall and lower temperatures suitable for groundwater recharge, are disadvantaged by geomorphological factors. Northern part of Nigeria shows high potentials, considering the geology, soil, lineament density and slope, but disadvantaged by other factors like lower rainfall and higher temperatures. This informed the final groundwater potential maps; results for the historic potential revealed that, no location in Nigeria has optimal (9–10), very poor or no (1–2) groundwater potential. The results further revealed that areas with higher groundwater potentials are largely within the corridors of major rivers in Nigeria (Niger and Benue), covering about 17.6% of the Nigerian landmass, while 2.6%, 33.7, 44% and 2.2% are occupy areas with very low, low, moderate and very high groundwater potentials respectively. Further analysis highlighs locations of concern due to climatic and environmental changes. Interestingly, our groundwater projection results show a persistent increase in groundwater potential from 2021 to 2100 if current landuses and environmental factors are maintained, and if the projected increase in rainfall is true. Despite these groundwater potentials, the recent issues of shallow aquifers have been cautioned by scientists, especially due to groundwater uncertainties in Nigeria especially with intense landcover conversions, combined with accelerated water demands due to increase in population, and incessant groundwater extractions. Therefore, there is a need to seek caution in the pattern of unregulated and incessant groundwater harvest in Nigeria and we recommend frequent updates of the groundwater potential using geospatial tools to inform governing policies on a centralised consolidated sustainable water supply in Nigeria.

Hydrodynamic regimes and proposed structure for flood drainage and navigation stability in Thuan an estuary, Vietnam

Thua Thien Hue province is significantly affected by conditions of climate change and sea level rise. Located in central Vietnam, the province experiences various climate-related challenges that have a strong impact on its environment and communities. Furthermore, the complexity of hydrodynamic regimes at main estuaries is reasonably challenge for the development of socio-economic, especially in water transportation. As a large estuary of Thua Thien Hue province, Thuan An play a special role in flood drainage and waterway navigation of Huong River. Therefore, understanding the hydrodynamic regime of Thuan An estuary is crucial due to the continuous alterations in its morphology during monsoon seasons. Sedimentation within the estuary creates obstacles for the river mouth entering channel, while erosion affects the northern and southern coasts. These changes have direct implications for flood drainage and waterway navigation. To gain insights into the hydrodynamic regime, this study focuses on further interpretation the hydrodynamic regimes in Thuan An inlet using Delft3D model combined with ArcGIS tools. By combining scientific modeling and practical implications, this study contributes to a better understanding the hydrodynamics of Thuan An estuary, ultimately facilitating sustainable development and management of this vital waterway system. Importantly, proposed structure for flood drainage and navigation stability in Thuan An estuary is considered with the elongation of 2 jetties. The proposed measure shows that the flood drainage is insignificantly affected and the water level at mostly locations in the river is not changed.

Fundamental LCZ Mapping with ArcGIS-Based Spatial and Correlational Analyses to Study the Impacts of Infrastructural Area- Maximum Volume (A-MV) Attributes on OTC – An Urban Aw Summer Case

The aim of this study is to map the study location stretches into 100mx100m local climate zones (LCZs) on the basis of primary observations and secondary photographic data for spatial analysis of various urban infrastructural elements (grey(G)-built structures, blue(B)-water bodies and green (Gr)-natural vegetation) and impact assessment of their estimated area (EA) and maximum volume (EMV)) on the air temperature (Ta) that characterizes the outdoor thermal comfort (OTC). Climate Modification by Urban Infrastructure, Fundamental Concepts of Urban Infrastructure Mensuration Parameters, Fundamental Concepts of Urban Grey Blue Green Infrastructure (UGBGI) and Concepts Of OTC, Koppen Classification and LCZs are the linked areas. Study locations are based on socio-economic and geophysical attributes. Initial 200 pilot survey responses regarding thermal sensation votes and other subjective details were used. Preferred values of Physiological Equivalent Temperature (PET) and optimum Ta have been used. After the mapping in ArcGIS and polygonal delineation of the areas, EA values were compiled in tabular format. Based on primary measurements and secondary studies, a maximum height (hmax) value was assigned to each sub-category for EMV evaluation. Statistically, the EA and estimated perimeter (EP) values were analyzed using QQ, scatter plots, histogram and generate near table tools in ArcGIS. EA and EMV values were correlated with mean Ta values by linear regression. The R-square values generated gave a clear idea about the extent of their impacts on Ta. From the established relationships and preferred PET and optimum Ta values, optimum EA, EMV and hmax values of the broader categories(G,B,Gr) required for preferred OTC levels were finally evaluated.

Research on heritage characteristics based on railway architectural heritage database in Jinzhou section of the Peking–Mukden Railway

This research interprets the background of Jinzhou section of the Peking–Mukden Railway, and puts forward 65 heritages as cases based on the scope definition and investigation. After the data collection, processing, and visualization, the database composed of 9 sub-databases, with B/S architecture mode, is constructed based on SQL server platform. The ArcGIS tool is used to analyze the distribution of the heritages, including spatial distribution characteristics, spatial agglomeration, and spatial equilibrium. “Image and model information database” and “text attribute information database” is used to analyze the architectural ontology features. The conclusions are drawn as follows: 1) The integral distribution has the characteristics of “cohesion”, while the 5 medium types of heritages show obvious and different directions. 2) The overall pattern of spatial agglomeration is characterized by high cohesion with a single high agglomeration point as the core. The low agglomeration area shows a point-line-point pattern. 3) The integral heritages and three main types of buildings differ in distribution, and the equilibrium is low. The architectural ontology analysis shows that the image information can be used as the basis for ontology characteristics analysis, architectural form and style judgment, and architectural functional space analysis.

Spatial analysis of aerial remote sensing responses in the hotspot of terrorist attacks in Nigeria

ABSTRACT Ensuring a peaceful society has been the focus of different countries of the world. This has been jeopardized by the constant attacks from different terrorist groups, which has made some areas become the hotspot of terrorist attacks. Various techniques including remote sensing technology have been applied in curbing the attacks. However, an understanding of the spatial pattern of remote sensing responses to terrorist attacks especially in the hotspot areas will enhance the decision-makers and stakeholders’ better planning against terrorists. We present that the spatial analysis of the trend and pattern of terrorist attacks and aerial remote sensing responses in the hotspot of Nigeria using the Getis-Ord General tool in ArcGIS 10.8. We conclude that aerial remote sensing responses against terrorist attacks can be more effective if the spatial pattern of attacks and responses can be constantly considered in security monitoring and surveillance for both pro-active and counter-attack operations.

Can the Establishment of National Parks Promote the Coordinated Development of Land, the Environment, and Residents’ Livelihoods?

National parks play a crucial role in the worldwide system of natural conservation, significantly influencing land utilization, the sustainability of local livelihoods, and the environmental integrity of nearby regions. In this study, the coupled coordination model and ArcGIS tools are applied to examine the temporal and spatial progression of the coordination of the system of land, the environment, and residents’ livelihoods (the LEL system). The construction of the LEL system and the use of natural geographic and socio-economic data are the main innovations of this research. The findings indicate that over the last 15 years, Wuyishan National Park has witnessed growth in its ecological and agricultural areas alongside a decline in its water-based ecological zones. The creation of the national park has obviously promoted the coordination of the LEL systems in nearby areas and has a significant spatial spillover effect. Consequently, for the upcoming development of Wuyishan National Park, it is crucial to modify the framework of the agricultural sector, enhance local public infrastructure, and bolster the safeguarding of water ecological areas.

Automated GIS-based decision tool for rehabilitation of a drinking water infrastructure in Tlemcen, Algeria

Water resource management relies heavily on the utilization of decision-making systems to guide the strategic rehabilitation and renovation of infrastructure within water distribution networks (WDNs). This study aims to develop and apply a scripting tool in ArcGIS for decision-making in WDN. It combines a collection of decision support systems, including Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and multi-criteria analysis, for infrastructure renovation and rehabilitation. The research is divided into two main sections. The first focuses on creating and implementing the analytic hierarchy process tool in ArcGIS, while the second discusses its application in the study area, which is the drinking water distribution network of an urban area in Tlemcen, located in the Northwest of Algeria. The study’s results reveal that 25% of the network is in critical condition and require immediate rehabilitation. Sixty-two percentage of the network is classified as moderately urgent, indicating a pressing but less immediate need for intervention. Finally, the remaining 13% of the network requires attention over a longer timeframe for rehabilitation. The main criteria influencing pipe prioritization are material (26% of total weight), laying date (26% of total weight), and pressure (20% of total weight). This developed tool can be easily adapted and applied by engineers and water management officers. It serves as a guide for decision-makers and planners in urban water management in Tlemcen and can be replicated and applied to other areas worldwide.

Effects of Environment Change Scenarios on the Potential Geographical Distribution of Cunninghamia lanceolata (Lamb.) Hook. in China

Changes in climate and environmental conditions have aggravated the severity and unpredictability of plant survival and growth. Cunninghamia lanceolata (Lamb.) Hook. is an economically important timber tree. Exploring its potential distribution and dynamic changes and identifying the leading environmental variables affecting it will help to adjust the planting range reasonably according to the habits and climate change, thus contributing to its survival and growth. Based on the MaxEnt model and ArcGIS tool, climate, soil, terrain, human activities, variable environment layers, and 395 C. lanceolata distribution points were used to simulate and analyze the geographical distribution characteristics of C. lanceolata in the current and future periods (the 2050s and 2070s) under RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0, and RCP8.5. The results showed that C. lanceolata was suitable to grow in a subtropical monsoon climate with warm, humid, abundant rainfall and a relatively gentle topography. Additionally, using percent contribution, permutation importance, and the knife-cutting test, we noted that the annual precipitation (Bio12), human activities (Hfp), minimum temperature of the coldest month (Bio6), mean temperature of the coldest quarter (Bio11), precipitation of coldest quarter (Bio19), annual temperature range (Bio7), and elevation were the leading environmental factors affecting the geographical distribution of C. lanceolata. Among them, it should be noted that the impact of human activities was negatively correlated with suitable habitat areas of C. lanceolata and led to the degeneration of suitable habitats and fragmentized distribution. In addition, predictions have shown that the areas of habitats under other scenarios will be characterized by an increasing and then decreasing trend by the 2050s and 2070s, except for the RCP2.6 scenario, under which the suitable habitats area of C. lanceolata will increase continuously. The core distributional shifts showed that the suitable habitats of C. lanceolata will gradually shift and migrate to high-latitude areas due to global warming. This study focused on the characteristics of suitable habitats of C. lanceolata under different climatic scenarios using more environmental factors and scenarios than before, aiming to provide a theoretical basis and guidance for the management and utilization of forest resources, the planning of suitable planting areas, and germplasm protection.