Applied Research Collaboration Research Articles

Autism incidence and spatial analysis in more than 7 million pupils in English schools: a retrospective, longitudinal, school registry study

Understanding how certain factors affect autism incidence can help to identify inequities in diagnostic access. We aimed to investigate the incidence of autism in England as a function of geography and sociodemographics, examining spatial distribution across health service boundaries. In this retrospective, longitudinal, school registry study, we sourced data for the years 2014-17 from the summer school census, which is a component of the National Pupil Database, a government registry of pupils under state education in England. Our main outcome was the incidence of autism in the English state-funded education system, defined by the amount of new autism-specific Education, Health and Care Plans or autism-specific special education needs and disability support recorded during each summer school census year since the 2014 baseline. After excluding prevalent cases in 2014, we calculated unadjusted incidence and age-adjusted, sex-adjusted incidence per 100 000 person-years per subsequent school year and by various sociodemographic categories and local authority districts. We report spatial effects using local indicators of spatial association. We used a three-level mixed-effects logistic regression model with two random intercepts (lower-layer super output area [a geographical area in England containing 1000-3000 residents] and pupil identifier) to calculate odds ratios (ORs) for autism incidence, adjusting for age, sex, ethnicity, claimed eligibility for free school meals, ethnic density quintile, Index of Multiple Deprivation quintile, first language spoken at home, and year, with our reference category being White girls without claimed eligibility for free school meals who speak English as their first language. Between 2014 and 2017, our total sample included 31 580 512 person-years and 102 338 newly diagnosed autistic pupils, corresponding to an unadjusted annual autism incidence of 429·1 cases per 100 000 person-years (95% CI 426·4-431·7) and an age-adjusted, sex-adjusted annual incidence of 426·9 cases per 100 000 person-years (423·5-430·4). The adjusted incidence of autism was slightly higher in 2014-15 than in 2015-16 or 2016-17, and, of the age groups, pupils aged 1-3 years, 4-6 years, and 10-12 years had the highest incidence of autism. Adjusted autism incidence in boys was 3·9-times the incidence in girls (668·6 cases per 100 000 person-years [95% CI 662·5-674·6] vs 173·2 cases per 100 000 person-years [170·1-176·3]). Across ethnic groups, adjusted incidence was highest in pupils who had an unclassified ethnicity (599·4 cases per 100 000 person-years [574·5-624·3]) or were Black (466·9 cases per 100 000 person-years [450·8-483·0]). However, in our fully adjusted mixed-effects logistic regression model, we observed lower odds of autism among Asian (OR 0·65 [0·59-0·71]), Black (0·84 [0·77-0·92]), and Chinese (0·62 [0·42-0·92]) girls compared with White girls when these groups had not claimed free school meals and spoke English as a first language. Boys from all ethnicities irrespective of first language spoken and free school meals status had increased odds of autism compared with White girls with no claimed eligibility for free school meals who spoke English as their first language. We also found that claimed free school meal eligibility, first language spoken, sex, and ethnicity differentially impacted the odds of autism. Our spatial analysis showed significant spatial autocorrelation across lower-layer super output areas in England, with 2338 hotspots (high-incidence areas surrounded by other high-incidence areas). The incidence of autism varies across sex, age, ethnicity, and geographical location. Environmental and social factors might interact with autism aetiology. Speaking a language other than English and economic hardship might increase access barriers to autism diagnostic services, autism-specific Education, Health and Care Plans, and school-level support. The Commonwealth Fund, the Institute for Data Valorization, the Fonds de recherche du Québec-Santé, Calcul Quebec, the Digital Research Alliance of Canada, the Wellcome Trust, the Innovative Medicines Initiative, the Autism Centre of Excellence, the Simons Foundation Autism Research Initiative, the Templeton World Charitable Fund, the Medical Research Council, the National Institute for Health and Care Research Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre, and the National Institute for Health and Care Research Applied Research Collaboration East of England-Population Evidence and Data Science.

The experience of conducting collaborative and intensive pragmatic qualitative (CLIP-Q) research to support rapid public health and healthcare innovation.

A key challenge for qualitative methods in applied health research is the fast pace that can characterize the public health and health and care service landscape, where there is a need for research informed by immediate pragmatic questions and relevant findings are required quickly to inform decision-making. The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated the pace at which evidence was needed to inform urgent public health and healthcare decision-making. This required qualitative researchers to step up to the challenge of conducting research at speed whilst maintaining rigor and ensuring the findings are credible. This article illustrates how working with multidisciplinary, collaborative teams and the tailoring of qualitative methods to be more pragmatic and efficient can provide timely and credible results. Using time-limited case studies of applied qualitative health research drawn from the work of the Behavioral and Qualitative Science Team from the National Institute for Health and Care Research Applied Research Collaboration West (NIHR ARC West), we illustrate our collaborative and intensive pragmatic qualitative (CLIP-Q) approach. CLIP-Q involves (i) collaboration at all stages of the design, conduct and implementation of projects and, where possible, co-production with people with lived experience, (ii) an intensive team-based approach to data collection and analysis at pace, and (iii) pragmatic study design and efficient strategies at each stage of the research process. The case studies include projects conducted pre COVID-19 and during the first wave of the pandemic, where urgent evidence was required in weeks rather than months to inform rapid public health and healthcare decision making.

The role of social risk factors and engagement with maternity services in ethnic disparities in maternal mortality: A retrospective case note review.

SummaryBackgroundReasons for ethnic disparities in maternal death in the UK are unclear and may be explained by differences in social risk factors and engagement with maternity services.MethodsIn this retrospective systematic case note review, we used anonymised medical records from MBRRACE-UK for all Other than White, and White European/Other women plus a random sample of White British/Irish women who died in pregnancy or up to 1 year afterwards from 01/01/2015 to 12/31/2017. We used a standardised data extraction tool developed from a scoping review to explore social risk factors and engagement with maternity services.FindingsOf 489 women identified, 219 were eligible for the study and 196 case notes were reviewed, including 103/119 from Other than White groups, 33/37 White European/Other and a random sample of 60/333 White British/Irish. The presence of three or more social risk factors was 11⋅7% (12/103) in Other than White women, 18⋅2% (6/33) for White European/Other women and 36⋅7% (22/60) in White British/Irish women. Across all groups engagement with maternity services was good with 85⋅5% (148/196) receiving the recommended number of antenatal appointments as was completion of antenatal mental health assessment (123/173, 71⋅1%). 15⋅5% (16/103) of Other than White groups had pre-existing co-morbidities and 51⋅1% (47/92) had previous pregnancy problems while women across White ethnic groups had 3⋅2% (3/93) and 33⋅3% (27/81) respectively. Three or more unscheduled healthcare attendances occurred in 60⋅0% (36/60) of White British/Irish, 39⋅4% (13/33) in White European/Other and 35⋅9% (37/103) of Other than White women. Evidence of barriers to following healthcare advice was identified for a fifth of all women. None of the 17 women who required an interpreter received appropriate provision at all key points throughout their maternity care.InterpretationNeither increased social risk factors or barriers to engagement with maternity services appear to underlie disparities in maternal mortality. Management of complex social factors and interpreter services need improvement.FundingNational Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Applied Research Collaboration West Midlands.

Barriers and enablers to the diagnosis and treatment of obstructive sleep apnoea in chronic heart failure from patients' and clinicians' perspectives.

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: Other. Main funding source(s): This study was co-funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care East Midlands (CLAHRC EM), now recommissioned as NIHR Applied Research Collaboration East Midlands (ARC EM) and Leicestershire Partnership NHS Trust - Raising Health Charitable Funds Award and supported by the NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre. The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the NIHR or the Department of Health and Social Care. Background Chronic Heart Failure (CHF) is associated with a considerable burden of disability. Despite the impact of evidence-based therapies on CHF related deaths and disability, many patients continue to experience persistent symptoms and will die from progressive CHF. This may be exacerbated by the presence of co-morbidities that contribute to both the development and progression of CHF. The identification and management of co-morbidities, such as obstructive sleep apnoea (OSA), may provide an additional strategy for the management of CHF, leading to improved survival, symptoms, and health care cost. OSA remains largely under diagnosed and under treated with a negative impact on the patient and health care systems as complications develop. To bridge this gap and to develop targeted interventions, the identification of possible barriers to, and enablers of, the diagnosis and treatment of OSA in CHF, is essential. Purpose To investigate the barriers to, and enablers of, the diagnosis and treatment of OSA from CHF patients’ and clinicians’ perspectives. Methods A qualitative study design was utilised to elicit and describe perceived barriers and enablers associated with the diagnosis and treatment of OSA in CHF. CHF patients (n=10) and clinicians (n=20) took part in semi-structured interviews that were analysed using thematic analysis. Results Findings from both patients’ and clinicians’ interviews reported barriers and enablers at all stages of the diagnostic pathway. Patient-reported barriers comprised poor recognition of symptoms, lack of understanding, insufficient information provided by health care professionals, poorly tolerated treatment, and poor access to sleep services. Patient enablers were partner-reported symptoms, awareness of others with OSA, confidence in their heart failure clinician, outcome expectancy, and support from a partner and the sleep disorders service. Clinician-reported barriers were that patients perceived OSA as a low priority compared to their diagnosis of CHF, lack of awareness, knowledge, and skills in the assessment of OSA, variable levels of confidence and low clinical priority of OSA, variable access to sleep services and poor patient uptake and adherence to OSA treatment. Key enablers were perceived outcomes expectancy, education, high confidence, and prompts built into their assessment template. Conclusion Findings identified several key barriers and enablers across the OSA diagnostic pathway and associated with both CHF patients and clinicians. Targeted interventions based on the study findings are likely to significantly influence the OSA diagnostic pathway, effective clinical recognition, diagnosis of OSA and treatment of OSA. Development of co-designed and co-produced targeted interventions for clinician upskilling is essential.

Child poverty and children entering care in England, 2015–20: a longitudinal ecological study at the local area level

BackgroundChildren in care face adverse health outcomes throughout their life course compared with their peers. In England, over the past decade, the stark rise in the number of cared-for children has coincided with rising child poverty, a key risk factor for children entering care. We aimed to assess the contribution of recent trends in child poverty to trends in care entry.MethodsIn this longitudinal, ecological study of 147 local authorities in England, we linked data from the Department for Work and Pensions and HM Revenue & Customs on the proportion of children younger than 16 years living in families with income less than 60% of the contemporary national median income, before housing costs, with Department for Education data on rates of children younger than 16 years entering care. Using within-between regression models, and controlling for employment trends, we estimated the association of changing child poverty rates with changing care entry rates within different areas. Our primary outcome was the annual rate of children younger than 16 years starting to be looked after by local authorities in England.FindingsBetween 2015 and 2020, controlling for employment rates, a 1 percentage point increase in child poverty was associated with an additional five children entering care per 100 000 children (95% CI 2–8). We estimate that, over the study period, 8·1% of the total number of children under the age of 16 entering care (5·0–11·3) were linked to rising child poverty, equivalent to 10 351 (6447–14 567) additional children.InterpretationWe report evidence that rising child poverty rates might be contributing to an increase in children entering care. Children's exposure to poverty creates and compounds adversity, driving poor health and social outcomes in later life. National anti-poverty policies are key to tackling adverse trends in children's care entry in England.FundingNational Institute for Health Research (NIHR) School for Public Health Research, NIHR Public Health Policy Research Unit, Swedish Research Council, Wellcome Trust, Medical Research Council, and NIHR Applied Research Collaboration North West Coast.

Cardiometabolic multimorbidity, genetic risk, and dementia: a prospective cohort study

SummaryBackgroundIndividual cardiometabolic disorders and genetic factors are associated with an increased dementia risk; however, the relationship between dementia and cardiometabolic multimorbidity is unclear. We investigated whether cardiometabolic multimorbidity increases the risk of dementia, regardless of genetic risk, and examined for associated brain structural changes.MethodsWe examined health and genetic data from 203 038 UK Biobank participants of European ancestry, aged 60 years or older without dementia at baseline assessment (2006–10) and followed up until March 31, 2021, in England and Scotland and Feb 28, 2018, in Wales, as well as brain structural data in a nested imaging subsample of 12 236 participants. A cardiometabolic multimorbidity index comprising stroke, diabetes, and myocardial infarction (one point for each), and a polygenic risk score for dementia (with low, intermediate, and high risk groups) were calculated for each participant. The main outcome measures were incident all-cause dementia and brain structural metrics.FindingsThe dementia risk associated with high cardiometabolic multimorbidity was three times greater than that associated with high genetic risk (hazard ratio [HR] 5·55, 95% CI 3·39–9·08, p<0·0001, and 1·68, 1·53–1·84, p<0·0001, respectively). Participants with both a high genetic risk and a cardiometabolic multimorbidity index of two or greater had an increased risk of developing dementia (HR 5·74, 95% CI 4·26–7·74, p<0·0001), compared with those with a low genetic risk and no cardiometabolic conditions. Crucially, we found no interaction between cardiometabolic multimorbidity and polygenic risk (p=0·18). Cardiometabolic multimorbidity was independently associated with more extensive, widespread brain structural changes including lower hippocampal volume (F2, 12 110 = 10·70; p<0·0001) and total grey matter volume (F2, 12 236 = 55·65; p<0·0001).InterpretationCardiometabolic multimorbidity was independently associated with the risk of dementia and extensive brain imaging differences to a greater extent than was genetic risk. Targeting cardiometabolic multimorbidity might help to reduce the risk of dementia, regardless of genetic risk.FundingWellcome Trust, Alzheimer's Research UK, Alan Turing Institute/Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council, the National Institute for Health Research Applied Research Collaboration South West Peninsula, National Health and Medical Research Council, JP Moulton Foundation, and National Institute on Aging/National Institutes of Health.

Basic and applied research collaboration trends in the pharmaceutical industry

Abstract Firms in science-driven industries have traditionally devoted significant resources to basic scientific research. The intensity and outcomes of such investments, however, have changed over time. In this paper, we explore the trends in pharmaceutical companies’ scientific research over a two-decade period between 1990 and 2009. The results of our analyses reveal that the scientific output of large pharmaceutical companies as measured by the publications of company scientists has significantly increased over time. We also find that company scientists’ collaboration with external scientists has increased over time and across the board regardless of company size. Finally, we observe a decline in research and development alliance activities of pharmaceutical companies with the effect being weaker for large firms.

P059 Acceptability of remote consulting during COVID-19 among patients with two common long-term musculoskeletal conditions: findings from three qualitative studies and recommendations for practice

Abstract Background/Aims The COVID-19 pandemic led to the widespread adoption of remote consultations. Whilst remote consultations offer many potential advantages to patients and healthcare services, they are unlikely to be suitable for all. Guidance encourages clinicians to consider patient preferences when choosing face-to-face vs remote consultations. However, little is known about acceptability of, and preferences for remote consultations, particularly amongst patients with musculoskeletal conditions. This study aimed to explore the acceptability of, and preferences for, remote consultations among patients with osteoporosis and rheumatoid arthritis. Methods Data for this study derived from three UK qualitative studies: iFraP (improving fracture prevention study), Blast Off (BO; Bisphosphonate aLternAtive regimenS for the prevenTion of Osteoporotic Fragility Fractures), and ERA (Exploring people with Rheumatoid Arthritis’ experience of the pandemic). Each study explored patient experiences of accessing and receiving healthcare during the pandemic year. Transcripts from each data set relating to remote consulting were extracted. A minimum of two study team members worked independently, following a consistent approach, to conduct a rapid deductive analysis using the Theoretical Framework of Acceptability (TFA). The TFA consists of 7 constructs to understand acceptability of, in this context, remote consultations, including: affective attitudes; intervention coherence; perceived effectiveness; burden; self-efficacy; opportunity-costs; and ethicality. Following coding, the findings of all three studies were pooled. Analysis was facilitated by group meetings to discuss interpretations. Results Findings from 1 focus group and 64 interviews with 35 people, who had mostly experienced telephone consultations, were included the analysis. Participants’ emotional attitudes to remote consultations, views on fairness (ethicality) and sense making (intervention coherence) varied according to their specific needs for the consultation and values, relative to the pandemic context; participants perceived remote consultations as making more sense and being ‘fairer’ earlier in the pandemic. Some participants valued the reduced burden associated with remote consultations, while others highly valued, and did not want to give up, non-verbal communication or physical examination associated with face-to-face consults (opportunity costs); although perceived need for physical examination in participants with RA was associated with strong preference for face-to-face consultations, asymptomatic participants with RA and osteoporosis also expressed similar strong preferences. Some participants described low confidence (self-efficacy) in being able to communicate in remote consultations and others perceived remote consultations as ineffective, in part due to suboptimal communication. Conclusion Acceptability of, and preferences for remote consultation appear to be influenced by a range of societal, healthcare provider and personal factors and in this study, were not fixed, or condition-dependent. Remote care by default has the potential to exacerbate health inequalities and needs nuanced implementation. The findings have supported the development of patient-centred recommendations for practice that should be considered alongside clinician-focused recommendations when deciding whether remote consultations are appropriate. Disclosure Z. Paskins: Grants/research support; NIHR, Clinician Scientist Award (CS-2018-18-ST2-010)/NIHR Academy. L. Bullock: None. F. Manning: Grants/research support; part funded NIHR Clinical Research Network Scholar Programme. S. Bishop: None. P. Campbell: None. E. Cottrell: None. C. Jinks: Grants/research support; part funded by the NIHR Applied Research Collaboration (ARC) West Midlands. M. Narayanasamy: None. I. Scott: Grants/research support; funded by an NIHR Advanced Research Fellowship Award (NIHR300826). O. Sahota: None. S. Ryan: None.

P149 Prescription for consultations with gout flare in primary care: an observational study

Abstract Background/Aims Gout flares are severely painful and managed with non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), colchicine or corticosteroids. NSAIDs are used most commonly, yet many patients with gout have contraindications such as chronic kidney disease (CKD). We investigated the medications prescribed for gout flares in primary care, how these differed according to CKD, colchicine dosing, and prescription trends over time between 2005 and 2015. Methods Using the Consultations in Primary Care Archive, an electronic health record database from thirteen general practices in North Staffordshire, we identified all consultations for a gout flare. Prescriptions for NSAIDs, colchicine and prednisolone were identified. We calculated the proportion of consultations resulting in a prescription for NSAIDs, colchicine and corticosteroids, overall and stratified by eGFR (≥60, &amp;lt;60 ml/min/1.73m2). We examined which NSAIDs and which colchicine doses were prescribed. The trends in prescriptions of NSAID, colchicine or oral prednisolone prescriptions from 2005 to 2015 were described. Results We identified 2641 people with a diagnosis of gout and 1308 consultations for gout flares. The mean (SD) age at flare consultation was 62.6 (14.9) years, and 1025 (78.4%) were male. Flare consultations resulted in 408 (31.2%) NSAID, 294 (22.5%) colchicine, 9 (0.7%) prednisolone prescriptions. We found that 619 (47.3%) did not have a prescription. 21 (1.6%) received a prescription for more than one drug class (colchicine and either NSAID or prednisolone). eGFR was recorded as &amp;lt; 60ml/min/1.73m2 in 224 (17.1%) of the sample. Colchicine doses prescribed were 500mcg 1-2 times/day in 84 (28.6%), 500mcg 3-4 times/day in 112 (38.1%), 500mcg 6-8 times/day in 49 (16.7%) and as directed in 49 (16.7%) consultations. Diclofenac was the most commonly prescribed NSAID (n = 143, 35.1%), followed by naproxen (n = 106, 26.0%) and indomethacin (n = 93, 22.8%). Colchicine (n = 65, 29.0%) was the most common treatment choice in individuals with eGFR&amp;lt;60 and NSAIDs (n = 372, 34.3%) in those with ≥60ml/min/1.73m2. Over time, the proportion of patients prescribed colchicine rose from 15.5% in 2005 to 31.2% in 2015, whereas NSAID prescriptions declined from 38.1% in 2005 to 15.0% in 2015. Conclusion Gout flares were most commonly treated with NSAIDs, except in individuals with CKD, where colchicine was most common. Over time, colchicine prescriptions have become more common, whereas NSAID prescriptions have declined. Disclosure N. Padmanabhan: Grants/research support; N.P. is an NIHR Academic Clinical Fellow. S. Muller: Grants/research support; S.M. is part-funded by the NIHR Applied Research Collaboration West Midlands (ARC WM). C. Mallen: Grants/research support; C.D.M. is part-funded by the NIHR Applied Research Collaboration West Midlands (ARC WM), C.D.M. is funded by the NIHR School for Primary Care Research and a NIHR Research Professorship in General Practice. E. Roddy: None.

P182 Health literacy and gout characteristics in a primary care cohort

Abstract Background/Aims Gout is the most common inflammatory arthritis, affecting 2.5% of the UK population. It is often suboptimally managed, despite the availability of effective urate-lowering therapy. Health literacy has been conceptualised to include dimensions relating to ‘the knowledge, motivation and competencies of accessing, understanding, appraising and applying health-related information within the healthcare, disease prevention and health promotion settings’. The objective of this study was to examine the cross-sectional associations between health literacy and gout characteristics. Methods In a prospective 5-year cohort study, adults living with gout registered with 20 general practices, who had consulted their GP about gout or been prescribed allopurinol or colchicine in the preceding two years were mailed a questionnaire. This cross-sectional analysis used data from the 4-year follow-up time-point only. Health literacy was assessed using the Single Item Literacy Screener (SILS). Poor health literacy was defined as answering ‘sometimes’, ‘often’ or ‘always’ to the question ‘How often do you need to have someone help you when you read instructions, pamphlets, or other written material from your doctor or pharmacy?’ Multiple logistic regression was used to obtain adjusted odds ratios for the associations between poor health literacy and individual gout characteristics (frequency of flares, age of gout onset, history of oligo/polyarticular flares, allopurinol use, allopurinol dose, serum urate level) with 95% confidence intervals and adjustment for age, sex, deprivation and attendance at further education. Results Five hundred and fifty-one participants responded to the questionnaire at four years (adjusted response 63.5%). Mean (SD) age was 64.4 (11.2) years and 498 (90.4%) were male. One hundred and sixty-three (30.1%) participants reported ≥2 flares in the previous 12 months. Fifty-one (9.4%) participants had poor health literacy. Poor health literacy was associated with more frequent flares (≥2 flares in the last 12 months; adjusted OR 4.10; 95%CI 2.04, 8.19; compared with no flares) and having a history of oligo/polyarticular flares (adjusted OR 1.93; 95%CI 1.06, 3.55), after adjustment for age, sex, deprivation and attendance at further education. No associations between other gout characteristics and health literacy were identified in the adjusted analysis. Conclusion Frequent flares and a history of oligo/polyarticular flares were associated with poor health literacy in people with gout in primary care. Our findings provide further evidence to counter the common misconception that gout is a ‘rich man’s disease’ and highlight the importance of considering health literacy when providing information and education to all people with gout. Disclosure L. Watson: Grants/research support; Lorraine Watson is funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) School for Primary Care Research. J. Protheroe: None. C.D. Mallen: Grants/research support; Christian Mallen is funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Applied Research Collaboration West Midlands, and the NIHR School for Primary Care Research, The School of Medicine as received funding from BMS for a non-pharmacological AF screening trial. S. Muller: Grants/research support; Sara Muller is funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Applied Research Collaboration West Midlands. E. Roddy: None.

'He or she maybe doesn't know there is such a thing as a review': A qualitative investigation exploring barriers and facilitators to accessing medication reviews from the perspective of people from ethnic minority communities.

IntroductionRegular reviews of medications, including prescription reviews and adherence reviews, are vital to support pharmacological effectiveness and optimize health outcomes for patients. Despite being more likely to report a long‐term illness that requires medication when compared to their white counterparts, individuals from ethnic minority communities are less likely to engage with regular medication reviews, with inequalities negatively affecting their access. It is important to understand what barriers may exist that impact the access of those from ethnic minority communities and to identify measures that may act to facilitate improved service accessibility for these groups.MethodsSemi‐structured interviews were conducted between June and August 2021 using the following formats as permitted by governmental COVID‐19 restrictions: in person, over the telephone or via video call. Perspectives on service accessibility and any associated barriers and facilitators were discussed. Interviews were audio‐recorded and transcribed verbatim. Reflexive thematic analysis enabled the development of themes. QSR NVivo (Version 12) facilitated data management. Ethical approval was obtained from the Health Research Authority (ref: 21/HRA/1426).ResultsIn total 20 participants from ethnic minority communities were interviewed; these participants included 16 UK citizens, 2 refugees and 2 asylum seekers, and represented a total of 5 different ethnic groups. Three themes were developed from the data regarding the perceived barriers and facilitators affecting access to medication reviews and identified approaches to improve the accessibility of such services for ethnic minority patients. These centred on (1) building knowledge and understanding about medication reviews; (2) delivering medication review services; and (3) appreciating the lived experience of patients.ConclusionThe results of this study have important implications for addressing inequalities that affect ethnic minority communities. Involving patients and practitioners to work collaboratively in coproduction approaches could enable better design, implementation and delivery of accessible medication review services that are culturally competent.Patient or Public ContributionThe National Institute for Health Research Applied Research Collaboration and Patient and Public Involvement and Engagement group at Newcastle University supported the study design and conceptualization. Seven patient champions inputted to ensure that the research was conducted, and the findings were reported, with cultural sensitivity.

Prevalence, progress, and subgroup disparities in pharmacological antidepressant treatment of those who screen positive for depressive symptoms: A repetitive cross-sectional study in 19 European countries.

SummaryBackgroundThe European Mental Health Action Plan (EMHAP) 2013–2020 promoted community-based mental health services. One potential success indicator is the provision of antidepressant medication to those needing it.MethodsPublic data from two surveys (Health Survey for England, UK; Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe) covered 19 European countries across EMHAP phases one (2011–2015) and two (2015–2018). People screening positive for depressive symptoms by self-report were included. The primary outcome was antidepressant use: using country-specific weighted regression models, we estimated temporal trends and subgroup disparities in antidepressant receipt, with secondary analysis by country-level measures including healthcare expenditure.FindingsAcross 37,250 participants, after controlling for age, sex, wealth, and physical disability, antidepressant use (amongst those screening positive) increased significantly in 14/19 countries, with the smallest increase being in Slovenia (adjusted OR[AOR] for trend=1.68[1.20–2.36]) and the highest increase being in Germany (AOR for trend=10.07[7.54–13.46]) and Austria (AOR for trend=10.07[7.32–13.74]). The overall proportion using antidepressants was positively associated with national health expenditure (coefficient=5.43[1.62–9.25]), but not with gross national income per capita or the number of psychiatrists, general practitioners, or psychiatric hospital beds. In 15/19 countries, antidepressants were used less by ≥65-year-olds than 50–64-year-olds, with the smallest differential reported in Luxembourg (AOR=0.70[0.49, 0.98]) and the highest in Germany (AOR=0.28[0.21, 0.37]); this disparity widened in 12/15 countries. Men used antidepressants less than women in 8/19 countries, across phases. In 13/19 countries, people with physical disability were more likely to receive antidepressants, with the smallest gap in Italy (AOR=1.42[1.12–1.80]) and the largest in Israel (AOR=2.34[1.46–3.74]); this disparity narrowed in 5/13 countries. Disparity by wealth was found in 8/19 countries, but its temporal trend varied.InterpretationUsage of antidepressants by those with depressive symptoms has increased, with wide variation between countries and subgroups. Disparities across age, sex, and disability should prompt further research.FundingMedical Research Council (grants MC_PC_17213 and MR/W014386/1), UK National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Applied Research Collaboration (ARC) East of England, NIHR Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre (BRC-1215-20014).

Variation in global COVID-19 symptoms by geography and by chronic disease: A global survey using the COVID-19 Symptom Mapper.

SummaryBackgroundCOVID-19 is typically characterised by a triad of symptoms: cough, fever and loss of taste and smell, however, this varies globally. This study examines variations in COVID-19 symptom profiles based on underlying chronic disease and geographical location.MethodsUsing a global online symptom survey of 78,299 responders in 190 countries between 09/04/2020 and 22/09/2020, we conducted an exploratory study to examine symptom profiles associated with a positive COVID-19 test result by country and underlying chronic disease (single, co- or multi-morbidities) using statistical and machine learning methods.FindingsFrom the results of 7980 COVID-19 tested positive responders, we find that symptom patterns differ by country. For example, India reported a lower proportion of headache (22.8% vs 47.8%, p<1e-13) and itchy eyes (7.3% vs. 16.5%, p=2e-8) than other countries. As with geographic location, we find people differed in their reported symptoms if they suffered from specific chronic diseases. For example, COVID-19 positive responders with asthma (25.3% vs. 13.7%, p=7e-6) were more likely to report shortness of breath compared to those with no underlying chronic disease.InterpretationWe have identified variation in COVID-19 symptom profiles depending on geographic location and underlying chronic disease. Failure to reflect this symptom variation in public health messaging may contribute to asymptomatic COVID-19 spread and put patients with chronic diseases at a greater risk of infection. Future work should focus on symptom profile variation in the emerging variants of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. This is crucial to speed up clinical diagnosis, predict prognostic outcomes and target treatment.FundingWe acknowledge funding to AAF by a UKRI Turing AI Fellowship and to CEC by a personal NIHR Career Development Fellowship (grant number NIHR-2016-090-015). JKQ has received grants from The Health Foundation, MRC, GSK, Bayer, BI, Asthma UK-British Lung Foundation, IQVIA, Chiesi AZ, and Insmed. This work is supported by BREATHE - The Health Data Research Hub for Respiratory Health [MC_PC_19004]. BREATHE is funded through the UK Research and Innovation Industrial Strategy Challenge Fund and delivered through Health Data Research UK. Imperial College London is grateful for the support from the Northwest London NIHR Applied Research Collaboration. The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the NIHR or the Department of Health and Social Care.

Impact of poverty and family adversity on adolescent health: a multi-trajectory analysis using the UK Millennium Cohort Study.

SummaryBackgroundChildren exposed to poverty and family adversities including domestic violence, parental mental ill health and parental alcohol misuse may experience poor outcomes across the life course. However, the complex interrelationships between these exposures in childhood are unclear. We therefore assessed the clustering of trajectories of household poverty and family adversities and their impacts on adolescent health outcomes.MethodsWe used longitudinal data from the UK Millennium Cohort study on 11564 children followed to age 14 years. Family adversities included parent reported domestic violence and abuse, poor mental health and frequent alcohol use. We used a group-based multi-trajectory cluster model to identify trajectories of poverty and family adversity for children. We assessed associations of these trajectories with child physical, mental and behavioural outcomes at age 14 years using multivariable logistic regression, adjusting for confounders.FindingsSix trajectories were identified: low poverty and family adversity (43·2%), persistent parental alcohol use (7·7%), persistent domestic violence and abuse (3·4%), persistent poor parental mental health (11·9%), persistent poverty (22·6%) and persistent poverty and poor parental mental health (11·1%). Compared with children exposed to low poverty and adversity, children in the persistent adversity trajectory groups experienced worse outcomes; those exposed to persistent poor parental mental health and poverty were particularly at increased risk of socioemotional behavioural problems (adjusted odds ratio 6·4; 95% CI 5·0 – 8·3), cognitive disability (aOR 2·1; CI 1·5 – 2·8), drug experimentation (aOR 2·8; CI 1·8 – 4·2) and obesity (aOR 1·8; CI 1·3 – 2·5).InterpretationIn a contemporary UK cohort, persistent poverty and/or persistent poor parental mental health affects over four in ten children. The combination of both affects one in ten children and is strongly associated with adverse child outcomes, particularly poor child mental health.FundingThe National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Policy Research Programme, NIHR Applied Research Collaboration South London (ARC South London) at King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust and the Medical Research Council (MRC).

Epidemiology of pre-existing multimorbidity in pregnant women in the UK in 2018: a cross-sectional study

BackgroundAlthough maternal death is rare in the UK, 90% (510 of 566 deaths) of women who died during or within a year after pregnancy in 2016–18 had multiple health and social problems (MBRRACE-UK). This study aims to estimate the prevalence of pre-existing multimorbidity in pregnant women in the UK. MethodsPregnant women aged 15–49 years with a conception date between Jan 1 and Dec 31, 2018, were included in this cross-sectional study, using routine health-care datasets: Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) GOLD (UK, n=37 641), Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) databank (Wales, n=27 782), and Scottish Morbidity Records (SMR, secondary care) with linked community prescribing data (Tayside and Fife, n=6099). We defined pre-existing multimorbidity (two or more morbidities) preconception from 79 long-term physical and mental health conditions. This definition was identified from the literature and prioritised by the multidisciplinary research advisory group, including patient representatives. The association of women's characteristics preconception with multimorbidity was examined with logistic regression. The University of St Andrews School of Medicine Ethics Committee approved this project. Participant consent was not required as the data used are anonymised. InterpretationPrevalence of multimorbidity was 44·2% (95% CI 43·7–44·7) in CPRD, 46·2% (45·6–46·8) in SAIL, and 19·8% (18·8–20·8) in SMR. Mental health conditions were highly prevalent and involved 70% of multimorbidity (CPRD: prevalence of multimorbidity with one or more mental health conditions 31·3% [30·8–31·8]). Pregnant women with conditions that were leading causes of maternal deaths had a high prevalence of multimorbidity (CPRD: 745 [2·0%] of 37 641 women had cardiovascular disease, of whom 597 [80·1%] had multimorbidity). Higher maternal age (CPRD: adjusted odds ratio 1·81 [95% CI 1·04–3·17] for 45–49 years vs 15–19 years), gravidity (1·68 [1·50–1·89] for ≥5 vs 1), BMI (1·59 [1·44–1·76], for ≥30 vs 18·5–24·9) and smoking (1·61 [1·46–1·77] for smoker vs non-smoker) were significantly associated with multimorbidity. Ethnicity and deprivation were not significantly associated with multimorbidity. InterpretationA significant proportion of women enter pregnancy with pre-existing multimorbidity, especially mental health conditions. Pregnant women with multimorbidity were more likely to smoke and have a raised BMI and support may be required to address this. There may be health-care access inequalities for some health conditions, especially mental health conditions in pregnant women from deprived or ethnic minority groups. Secondary care and linked community prescription dataset captured severe conditions and might underestimate the prevalence of multimorbidity. Urgent research is needed to quantify the consequences of maternal multimorbidity for mother and child. FundingThis work was supported by the joint UKRI-NIHR Strategic Priorities Fund consolidator grant (grant number MR/V005243/1). BT was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) West Midlands Applied Research Collaboration. AA and SIL were funded as NIHR Academic Clinical Fellows. The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of the funders, the NIHR or the UK Department of Health and Social Care.

An Evaluation of the Keeping Well at Home Booklet

BackgroundIn the first wave of COVID-19, the UK Government relied heavily on digital channels to provide information to the public. This disproportionately excluded older people - one of the groups with least access to (or experience of) using the internet. Approximately 11.5 million people in the UK lack digital skills and 4.8 million people never go online, with around half (51%) of these being aged over 65. The Greater Manchester (GM) response was to work collaboratively with a number of key Ageing groups to develop Keeping Well at Home, a booklet providing evidence based health and wellbeing information and advice for older people during COVID-19 restrictions.MethodsAn evaluation of the booklet was undertaken during summer 2020 by the Healthy Ageing team at the Applied Research Collaboration GM. As national restrictions on movement remained in place at the time, a postal questionnaire was distributed to a sample of older adults in GM.ResultsNearly 500 questionnaires were returned. The response was overwhelmingly positive; 92% found the information helpful; 90% agreed the booklet would help older people stay healthy during lockdown; 74% had used the home exercises section; 78% found the tips for keeping their mind well helpful. Around 50% of respondents did not have internet access. Paper based resources was the preferred choice for 92% of respondents with only 6% opting for digital versions.ConclusionsThe evidence from the evaluation challenges the growing trend towards communicating just through digital channels, and emphasises the need for tailored paper-based materials for older adults. The Keeping Well at Home booklet also shows the value of working with older adults to ensure the content and design are inviting to readers. Information, support and services must be made available in an offline equivalent and proactively disseminated to reach those who otherwise would not have access to it.Key messages Print-based communications are preferred over digital for some groups; ensuring inclusivity is critical as the ‘digital by default’ approach excludes large numbers of our population.Including target group representatives as co-editors to advise on content and stylistic design is key to ensure content is relevant and useful.

Comparison of risk factors for coronary event in people with unattributed and non-coronary chest pain: an electronic health record cohort study

Abstract Background Patients presenting to primary care with chest pain are often not given a cause. Patients with such unattributed chest pain have an increased risk of future cardiovascular disease (CVD) compared to patients with diagnosed non-coronary chest pain. It is unknown whether risk factors for CVD determined in the general population are the same for the population with unattributed or non-coronary chest pain. Purpose To determine if key risk factors for a coronary event in patients with unattributed chest pain are similar to those for patients with non-coronary chest pain and previously identified in the general population. Methods The study used primary care information from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum linked to hospital inpatient and mortality data. Patients aged ≥18 years with an incident record of unattributed or non-coronary chest pain in 2002–2018 and no diagnosis of CVD were included. We included as potential risk factors those established for CVD in the general population and non-coronary explanations for chest pain. Flexible parametric models estimated hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals (CI)) between factors and incident coronary event (defined as myocardial infarction, angina, coronary heart disease, percutaneous intervention, and coronary artery bypass graft surgery). Results There were 375,240 patients with unattributed chest pain (53% female: mean age 49; 47% male: mean age 47) and 245,329 patients with non-coronary chest pain (58% female: mean age 47; 42% male: mean age 44). Median duration of follow-up was 5 years. In the unattributed chest pain group, there were 111 (95% CI: 109, 112) and 140 (138, 142) coronary events per 10,000 person-years in females and males, respectively. Lower rates of coronary event were observed in the non-coronary chest pain group (females: 73 (72, 75); males: 96 (94, 98)). Within females (Figure), in both chest pain groups the strongest risk factors were type I and type II diabetes, atrial fibrillation, and hypertension whereas no associations were observed for migraine and chronic kidney disease. Whilst alternative explanations for non-coronary chest pain also increased the risk of coronary events, associations were less strong than for established general population risk factors. Similar findings were found in males although family history of coronary event was a stronger risk factor in the non-coronary chest pain group compared to the unattributed chest pain group. Conclusions The pool of factors found to increase the risk of coronary events in patients presenting with recorded unattributed or non-coronary chest pain are similar but not identical to those identified for the general population. Further research is needed to develop prognostic models to identify patients at the most risk of a coronary event as models developed in the general population are unlikely to be applicable given the increased underlying risk of coronary events in these populations. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Study funded by the British Heart Foundation, reference PG/19/46/34307. KJ also supported by matched funding awarded to the NIHR Applied Research Collaboration (West Midlands). Risk factors for coronary event

Incidence of symptomatic image-confirmed venous thromboembolism in outpatients managed in a hospital-led COVID-19 virtual ward.

Incidence of symptomatic image-confirmed venous thromboembolism in outpatients managed in a hospital-led COVID-19 virtual ward.

Willingness of children and adolescents to have a COVID-19 vaccination: Results of a large whole schools survey in England

BackgroundVaccine hesitancy has affected COVID-19 adult vaccination programs in many countries. Data on hesitancy amongst child and adolescent populations is largely confined to parent opinion. We investigated the characteristics of vaccine hesitant children and adolescents using results from a large, school-based self-report survey of the willingness to have a COVID-19 vaccination in students aged 9 –18 years in England.MethodsData from the OxWell Student Survey on mental health, life experiences and behaviours were used, collected from four counties across England. Local authority partners recruited schools. The vaccine hesitancy question gave six response options and were clustered to inform delivery: eager and willing were categorised as vaccination ‘opt-in’, don't know and not bothered categorised as ‘undecided’, and unwilling and anti-vaccination categorised as ‘opt-out’. We conducted a multinomial regression to determine associations between vaccine hesitancy and sociodemographic, health behaviour and social connection variables.Findings27,910 students from 180 schools answered the vaccine hesitancy question between 14th May and 21st July 2021, of whom 13984 (50.1%) would opt-in to take a vaccination, 10322 (37.0%) were undecided, and 3604 (12.9%) would opt-out. A lower percentage of younger students reported that they would opt-in to vaccination, for example, 35.7% of 9-year-olds and 51.3% of 13-year-olds compared to 77.8% of 17-year-olds would opt-in to take a vaccination. Students who were ‘opt-out’ or ‘undecided’ (a combined ‘vaccine hesitant’ group) were more likely to come from deprived socioeconomic contexts with higher rates of home rental versus home ownership and their school locations were more likely to be in areas of greater deprivation. They were more likely to smoke or vape, spend longer on social media, feel that they did not belong in their school community but had lower levels of anxiety and depression. The vaccine hesitant students- the undecided and opt-out groups- were similar in profile, although the opt-out students had higher reported confirmed or probable previous COVID-19 infection than the opt-in group, whereas those undecided, did not.InterpretationIf government vaccination strategies move towards vaccinating younger school-aged students, efforts to increase vaccination uptake may be necessary. Compared with students who would opt-in, those who were vaccine hesitant had greater indicators of social deprivation and felt a lack of community cohesion by not feeling a sense of belonging at their school. There were indications that those students who would opt-out had higher levels of marginalisation and mistrust. If programmes are rolled out, focus on hesitant younger students will be important, targeting more marginalised and deprived young people with information from trusted sources utilising social media; improving access to vaccination centres with provision both in and outside school; and addressing fears and worries about the effects of the vaccine. The main limitation of this study is that the participant group may not be wholly representative of England or the UK, which may bias population-level estimates of willingness to be vaccinated.FundingThe Westminster Foundation, the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Applied Research Collaboration Oxford and Thames Valley at Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust and the NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre.

Local government funding and life expectancy in England: a longitudinal ecological study

SummaryBackgroundSince 2010, large reductions in funding for local government services have been introduced in England. These reductions in funding have potentially led to reduced provision of health-promoting public services. We aimed to investigate whether areas that showed a greater decline in funding also had more adverse trends in life expectancy and premature mortality.MethodsIn this longitudinal ecological study, we linked annual data from the Ministry of Housing, Communities, and Local Government on local government revenue expenditure and financing to 147 upper-tier local authorities in England between 2013 and 2017 with data from Public Health England, on male and female life expectancy at birth, male and female life expectancy at age 65 years, and premature (younger than 75 years) all-cause mortality rate for male and female individuals. Local authorities were excluded if their populations were too small or if changes in boundaries meant consistent data were not available. Using multivariable fixed-effects panel regression models, and controlling for local socioeconomic conditions, we estimated whether changes in local funding from 2013 were associated with changes in life expectancy and premature mortality. We included a set of alternative model specifications to test the robustness of our findings.FindingsBetween 2013 and 2017, mean per-capita central funding to local governments decreased by 33% or £168 per person (range –£385 to £1). Each £100 reduction in annual per person funding was associated over the study period 2013–17 with an average decrease in life expectancy at birth of 1·3 months (95% CI 0·7–1·9) for male individuals and 1·2 months (0·7–1·7) for female individuals; for life expectancy at age 65 years, the results show a decrease of 0·8 months (0·3–1·3) for male individuals and 1·1 months (0·7–1·5) for female individuals. Funding reductions were greater in more deprived areas and these areas had the worst changes in life expectancy. We estimated that cuts in funding were associated with an increase in the gap in life expectancy between the most and least deprived quintiles by 3% for men and 4% for women. Overall reductions in funding during this period were associated with an additional 9600 deaths in people younger than 75 years in England (3800–15 400), an increase of 1·25%.InterpretationOur findings indicate that cuts in funding for local government might in part explain adverse trends in life expectancy. Given that more deprived areas showed greater reductions in funding, our analysis suggests that inequalities have widened. Since the pandemic, strategies to address these adverse trends in life expectancy and reduce health inequalities could prioritise reinvestment in funding for local government services, particularly within the most deprived areas of England.FundingNational Institute for Health Research (NIHR) School for Public Health Research, NIHR Applied Research Collaboration North East and North Cumbria, NIHR Applied Research Collaboration North West Coast and Medical Research Council.