Annual Percentage Change Research Articles

Pneumonia-Related Hospitalizations among the Elderly: A Retrospective Study in Northeast Italy.

Background: In both the elderly and children, pneumonia remains one of the leading causes of hospitalization. This study aimed to assess the impact of pneumonia-related hospitalizations in the population over 65 years of age in the Veneto Region. Methods: This retrospective study analyzed hospital discharge records for patients aged 65 and older who resided in the Veneto Region and had a diagnosis of pneumonia from 2007 to 2023. The hospitalizations were identified using specific ICD-9-CM codes for pneumonia as a discharge diagnosis. Hospitalization rates, mortality rates, the prevalence of complications and comorbidities, the length of stay, and associated costs were calculated by age and year. Results: From 2007 to 2023, there were 139,201 hospitalizations for pneumonia. Emergency admissions accounted for 92.1% of these cases, and only 2.0% had a specific diagnosis of pneumococcal pneumonia. The median length of stay was 10 days, and the median diagnosis-related group (DRG) tariff per hospitalization was EUR 3307. Excluding the pandemic years, the hospitalization rates remained stable at approximately 850 cases per 100,000 inhabitants before 2019. After 2022, the rates started to increase again. Overall, in the investigated period, the results showed a negative trend (average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC) of -1.931, p < 0.0001). However, when only considering the pre-pandemic years, the trend was stable, while a decline was observed starting in 2020 (AAPC of -19.697, p = 0.001). The overall discharge mortality rates ranged from 13% to 19.3% but were significantly higher in those over 85 years of age (20.6% compared with 6.5% and 12.0% in the 65-74 and 75-84 age groups, respectively). Conclusions: This study highlights the substantial burden of pneumonia in individuals over 65 years of age, showing the impacts on public health.

Temporal trend of the global prevalence rate of tension-type headache in children and adolescents in 1990-2021

To investigate the prevalence of tension-type headache (TTH) in children and adolescents aged 0-19 years globally in 1990-2021, and to provide a basis for the prevention and treatment of TTH. Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study data, the age-standardized prevalence distribution of TTH and its changing trend were analyzed among the children and adolescents aged 0-19 years, with different sexes, age groups, sociodemographic index (SDI) regions and countries/territories. The age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) of TTH in children and adolescents aged 0-19 globally in 2021 was 17 339.89/100 000, which was increased by 1.73% since 1990. The ASPR in females was slightly higher than that in males (1990: 17 707.65/100 000 vs 16 403.78/100 000; 2021: 17 946.29/100 000 vs 16 763.09/100 000). The ASPR in adolescence was significantly higher than that in school-aged and preschool periods (1990: 27 672.04/100 000 vs 10 134.16/100 000; 2021: 28 239.04/100 000 vs 10 059.39/100 000). Regions with high SDI exhibited a higher ASPR than the other regions, with significant differences in prevalence rates across different countries. From 1990 to 2021, there was a slight increase in global ASPR, with an average annual percentage change (AAPC) of 0.06%. Females experienced a smaller increase than males based on AAPC (0.04% vs 0.07%). There was reduction in ASPR in preschool and school-aged groups, with an AAPC of -0.02%, while there was a significant increase in ASPR in adolescence, with an AAPC of 0.07%. ASPR decreased in regions with low-middle and low levels of SDI, with an AAPC of -0.02% and -0.04%, respectively, while it increased in regions with middle SDI, with an AAPC of 0.24%. There is a consistent increase in the ASPR of TTH in children and adolescents aged 0-19 years globally, with significant differences across sexes, age groups, SDI regions and countries/territories.

Trends in Acute Kidney Injury Related Deaths in the US from 1999 to 2020

Background Acute kidney injury requiring dialysis is linked to long-term care demands, higher hospital mortality, and increased healthcare expenses. We aim to assess nationwide trends and regional variations in acute kidney injury-related mortality in the US. Materials and Methods We used death certificates from the CDC WONDER database (1999-2020) to calculate age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) and annual percent change (APC). The data were stratified by year, gender, race/ethnicity, and geographic region. Results From 1999 to 2020, there were a total of 4,599,652 deaths attributed to acute kidney injury. The AAMR for acute kidney injury-related deaths surged from 11.4 in 1999 to 20.1 in 2020. Men consistently exhibited higher AAMRs than women throughout the study period (overall AAMR in men: 20.1; women: 13.2). When examining average AAMRs by race/ethnicity, Black/African Americans recorded the highest rates at 21.9, followed by American Indian or Alaskan Native (16.4), Whites (15.6), Hispanics (14.5), and Asian/Pacific Islander (10.7). Significant regional disparities were observed, with the southern region reporting the highest AAMR (17.2) and non-metropolitan areas having higher AAMRs than metropolitan areas (18.3 vs. 15.6). States in the top 90th percentile for acute kidney injury deaths included Indiana, Kentucky and South Carolina, which had nearly double the AAMR compared to states like New York, Utah, and Vermont. Conclusion In the last two decades, the United States has experienced a troubling increase in acute kidney injury-related deaths, emphasizing the urgent need for targeted and equitable healthcare interventions to address persistent disparities in gender, race, geography, and urbanization.

Estimation of tuberculosis mortality burden in spain: a review of the major data sources

IntroductionIn Spain, notifications of cases of tuberculosis (TB) are registered through the National Epidemiological Surveillance Network (RENAVE). The Minimum Basic Data Set (CMBD) provides information on hospital discharge and the Statistics National Institute (INE) draws on medical death certificates. This study aimed to describe TB mortality in Spain and to compare estimates across data sources, as well as with EU/EEA countries.Material and MethodsA retrospective study of TB data between 2008 −2021 was performed. Mortality rates (MR) were calculated for the three databases as well as fatality rates (CFR) for TB location and HIV status using RENAVE data. Time trends were calculated and the average MR and annual average percentage change for Spain were compared with EU/EEA countries.ResultsBetween 2008 and 2021, 4127 TB deaths were reported to RENAVE, 3877 to INE and 4775 to CMBD. The MR was 0.62 per 100,000 inhabitants for RENAVE, 0.59 for INE and 0.72 for CMBD. A statistically significant downward annual trend was observed. Highest MR across all databases were found in men and in those over 80 years old. CFR was higher for meningeal TB and for HIV patients with a risk ratio of 2.02 (95%CI: 1.82-2.2; p&lt;0.05).ConclusionAlthough the TB MR in Spain has followed a downward annual trend, it is necessary to continue improving prevention, diagnosis and treatment. This will require comprehensive measurement, better knowledge and better use of all information to complement surveillance systems.

Trends in the incidence and survival of women with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer from 1990 to 2019: a large population-based analysis

Hormone receptor-positive breast cancer (BC) is the most prevalent subtype of BC and is generally correlated with a favorable prognosis. This study aimed to determine the incidence and survival trends among women diagnosed with hormone receptor-positive BC between 1990 and 2019. Female patients with hormone receptor-positive BC for calendar years 1990–2019 were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and categorized into six diagnostic groups according to the year of diagnosis. Age-adjusted incidence rates (IRs) were calculated using joinpoint regression. We used the Kaplan–Meier method and multivariate Cox regression analyses to determine the association between diagnostic groups, and overall survival (OS) and BC-specific survival (BCSS). The final analysis included 370,729 women, among whom 37,943 (10.2%), 49,266 (13.3%), 55,652 (15.0%), 64,451 (17.4%), 77,127 (20.8%), and 86,290 (23.3%) were diagnosed between 1990 and 1994, 1995–1999, 2000–2004, 2005–2009, 2010–2014, and 2015–2019, respectively. Within the overall cohort, IRs gradually increased from 70 per 100,000 in 1990 to 113 per 100,000 in 2019 (average annual percent change, 1.59%; 95% CI, 1.18–1.99). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that the survival outcomes gradually improved over nearly three decades among hormone receptor-positive BC patients, with a 0.8% and 1.3% decrease in risk for all-cause and BC-specific mortality each year, respectively. Compared to 1990–1994, hormone receptor-positive BC patients diagnosed in 2015–2019 had a 22% lower risk of all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR], 0.78; 95% CI, 0.76–0.81) and a 27% lower risk of BC-specific death (HR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.70–0.76). The development of treatment strategies within the past three decades, especially endocrine therapy, may contribute to the continuous improvement of clinical outcomes in patients with hormone receptor-positive BC.

Global Trends and Inequalities of Liver Complications Related to Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease: An Analysis From 1990 to 2021.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease is a significant driver of the increasing global burden of chronic liver disease. This study aimed to describe the temporal trends and inequalities of liver complications related to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (LC-MASLD) by geographical region, age and sex during 1990-2021. Global Burden of Diseases Study 2021 data were analysed to assess LC-MASLD incidence, prevalence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Temporal trends during 1990-2021 were measured by 'estimated annual percentage change' (EAPC). Inequalities of LC-MASLD burden across countries were evaluated by the slope index of inequality (SII) and the relative concentration index (RCI). During 1990-2021, LC-MASLD rose annually by 0.73% in incidence and prevalence, 0.19% in mortality and 0.16% in DALYs. In 2021, the Middle East and North Africa had the highest incidence and prevalence and Andean and Central Latin America had the highest mortality and DALY rates. While LC-MASLD incidence was earliest in the 15-19 age group, both prevalence and DALY rates peaked at 75-79 years for both sexes. Inequalities in mortality and DALYs by countries' socioeconomic development index increased during 1990-2021, demonstrated by a decline in SII from -0.09 to -0.56 per 100 000 for mortality and from 1.41 to -7.74 per 100 000 for DALYs. RCI demonstrated similar findings. The LC-MASLD burden is increasing globally, especially in economically disadvantaged countries, with widening disease inequalities during 1990-2021. Effective prevention and subregional interventions are crucial, with a specific focus on resource optimisation for disadvantaged populations.

Global, regional, and national temporal trends in metabolism-related ischemic stroke mortality and disability from 1990 to 2021

BackgroundStroke ranks as the second leading cause of mortality and the third leading cause of disability worldwide. Nonetheless, the evolving burden of ischemic stroke attributable to various metabolic risk factors remains inadequately elucidated. A thorough grasp of these trends is crucial for a nuanced comprehension of stroke epidemiology and the formulation of effective preventive and interventional measures. MethodBased on the Global Burden of Disease, Injury, and Risk Factors Study 2021 (GBD), we analyzed national temporal trends in the burden of metabolism-associated ischemic stroke in 204 countries and territories globally from 1990-2021, as measured by the average annual percentage change (AAPC), using join-point regression models. The burden of disease was assessed using age-standardized (ASR) mortality rates and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) per 100 000 population. Cross-country inequalities in ischemic stroke burden were quantified using standard health equity methods and changes in ischemic stroke burden were projected to 2045. ResultsGlobally, the ASR for ischemic stroke mortality linked to overall dietary metabolic risk declined by an average of 1.6% annually, while the ASR for disability-adjusted life years saw an average annual decrease of 1.3%. High systolic blood pressure remained a primary contributor to metabolism-related ischemic stroke, accounting for 57.9% of deaths and 58.0% of disability in 2021. Disparities associated with the sociodemographic index (SDI) diminished, with the gap in DALYs between countries with the highest and lowest SDIs narrowing from 592.2 (95% CI: 440.2-744.4) to 480.4 (95% CI: 309.7-651.2) in 2021. Projections indicate a continued decline in overall metabolism-related ischemic stroke deaths, mortality rates, and ASRs through 2045, although an increase in DALYs and ASRs is anticipated within the male population. ConclusionThe global burden of metabolic risk-associated ischemic stroke has generally been decreasing from 2019 to 2021. This study highlights significant challenges in controlling and managing metabolic risk-associated ischemic stroke, including an increase in the number of cases in certain countries and regions, as well as an uneven distribution worldwide. These findings may provide valuable insights for the development of improved public health policies and the rational allocation of healthcare resources.

Iron Deficiency: Global Trends and Projections from 1990 to 2050.

Iron deficiency (ID) remains the leading cause of anemia, affects a vast number of persons globally, and continues to be a significant global health burden. Comprehending the patterns of ID burden is essential for developing targeted public health policies. Using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 study for the years 1990-2021, the XGBoost model was constructed to predict prevalence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for the period 2022-2050, based on key demographic variables. Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values were applied to interpret the contributions of each variable to the model's predictions. Additionally, the Age-Period-Cohort (APC) model was used to evaluate the effects of age, period, and birth cohort on both prevalence and DALYs. The relationship between the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) and ID's age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) as well as the age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDR) was also analyzed to assess the influence of socioeconomic development on disease burden. The global prevalent cases of ID grew from 984.61 million in 1990 to 1270.64 million in 2021 and are projected to reach 1439.99 million by 2050. Similarly, global DALYs from ID increased from 28.41 million in 1990 to 32.32 million in 2021, with a projected rise to 36.13 million by 2050. The ASPR declined from 18,204/100,000 in 1990 to 16,433/100,000 in 2021, with an estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) of -0.36% over this period. It is expected to decrease further to 15,922 by 2050, with an EAPC of -0.09% between 2021 and 2050. The ASDR was 518/100,000 in 1990 and 424/100,000 in 2021, with an EAPC of -0.68% from 1990 to 2021. It is expected to remain relatively stable at 419/100,000 by 2050, with an EAPC of -0.02% between 2021 and 2050. In 2021, the highest ASPRs were recorded in Senegal (34,421/100,000), Mali (34,233/100,000), and Pakistan (33,942/100,000). By 2050, Mali (35,070/100,000), Senegal (34,132/100,000), and Zambia (33,149/100,000) are projected to lead. For ASDR, Yemen (1405/100,000), Mozambique (1149/100,000), and Mali (1093/100,000) had the highest rates in 2021. By 2050, Yemen (1388/100,000), Mali (1181/100,000), and Mozambique (1177/100,000) are expected to remain the highest. SHAP values demonstrated that gender was the leading predictor of ID, with age and year showing negative contributions. Females aged 10 to 60 consistently showed higher prevalence and DALYs rates compared to males, with the under-5 age group having the highest rates for both. Additionally, men aged 80 and above exhibited a rapid increase in prevalence. Furthermore, the ASPR and ASDR were significantly higher in regions with a lower SDI, highlighting the greater burden of ID in less developed regions. ID remains a significant global health concern, with its burden projected to persist through 2050, particularly in lower-SDI regions. Despite declines in ASPR and ASDR, total cases and DALYs are expected to rise. SHAP analysis revealed that gender had the greatest influence on the model's predictions, while both age and year showed overall negative contributions to ID risk. Children under 5, women under 60, and elderly men aged 80+ were the most vulnerable groups. These findings underscore the need for targeted interventions, such as improved nutrition, early screening, and addressing socioeconomic drivers through iron supplementation programs in low-SDI regions.

Trends in racial/ethnic and geographic disparities in substance use disorders mortality in the United States, 2000-2019.

Substance use disorders (SUD) are a major public health concern in the United States. This study examined racial/ethnic and state-level disparities in SUD mortality in the United States from 2000 to 2019. Age-standardized mortality rates for SUD were obtained for 5 racial/ethnic groups (White respondents, Black respondents, Latino, Asian-Pacific Islander [API], American Indian/Alaska Native [AIAN]) by state and sex from 2000 to 2019. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to model temporal trends overall and by demographic factors. From 2000 to 2019, the overall mortality rate increased from 8.0 to 28.8 deaths per 100,000 population across all groups. AIANs had the highest mortality in 2019 (57.8 per 100,000), followed by Black respondents, White respondents, Latinos, and APIs. Significant increases occurred across all racial/ethnic groups, with the greatest average annual percentage change (AAPC2000-2019) among White respondents (6.7%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 6.2%-7.3%), APIs (6.0%, 95% CI: 5.6%-6.2%), and AIANs (5.9%, 95% CI: 5.6%-6.2%). Mortality rates increased more rapidly for females than males among White respondents, AIANs, Black respondents, and Latinos. Substantial state-level variation emerged, with the highest mortality rates in 2019 seen in West Virginia, the District of Columbia, Delaware, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. Racial/ethnic and geographic disparities in SUD mortality have widened significantly from 2000 to 2019, highlighting priority areas for prevention efforts. This study provides detailed insights into long-term trends in racial, ethnic, and geographic disparities in SUD mortality across the United States, informing targeted prevention and intervention strategies.

A Population-Based Analysis of the Cancer Incidence in Individuals under 50 in a Northern Italian Province: Focusing on Regional Disparities and Public Health Implications.

International studies have shown an increase in cancer incidence among young adults, raising public concern. This study aims examines trends in the cancer incidence among individuals aged 15-49 years in a province of Northern Italy, covering diagnoses from 1996 to 2021, and compares the annual percentage change (APC) with national and international data. In males, the overall cancer incidence showed a modest increase between 1996 and 2013 (APC 1.6), followed by a decline in the subsequent years (APC -2.5). In females, there was a modest increase over the entire period (APC 1.0). The lung cancer incidence decreased in both sexes (APC -3.9 in males and APC -3.3 in females), while a decrease was observed for colorectal cancers in women (APC -2.4). Since 2015, the thyroid cancer incidence declined significantly in females (APC -10.2), while an increase was noted in males (APC 2.5). The testicular cancer incidence rose in males (APC 1.5), and the melanoma incidence increased in both sexes (APC 3.4 in males and APC 3.9 in females). The breast cancer incidence remained stable (APC 0.3). These results underline the importance of promoting healthy lifestyles even among younger generations to address emerging cancer trends and support cancer prevention efforts.

Sex disparities in global burden of gallbladder and biliary tract cancer: analysis of Global Burden of Disease study from 2010 to 2019.

The global burden of gallbladder and biliary tract cancer (GBTC) has been on the rise, making it a major public health concern. We aim to comprehensively analyze sex disparities in the temporal trends of GBTC incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) regionally and globally from 2010 to 2019. Age-standardized rates of GBTC incidence, death, and DALYs were analyzed utilizing the Global Burden of Disease study 2019. From 2010 to 2019, the estimated annual percent change (APC) of the age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (ASDALYs) due to GBTC globally decreased in both sexes (males, APC: -0.80%; APC: -1.00%) and (females, APC: -0.89%; APC: -0.96%). At the same time, age-standardized death rates (ASDRs) decreased only in males (APC: -0.82%) and remained stable in females. By regions, ASIRs and ASDR increased in both sexes only in Southeast Asia (SEA) but decreased in the other regions. All regions had decreased ASDALYs except for an increase in ASDALYs for females only in the SEA region (APC: 0.41%), and males have a stable trend. Our study reveals substantial geographic variance in the burden of GBTC, specifically in the SEA region. Therefore, localized interventional methodologies must be undertaken to effectively address this global burden from GBTC.

The global death and disability burden associated with a high BMI in children and adolescents, 1990-2019.

Exploring changing trends in the burden caused by overweight and obesity among children and adolescents from 1990 to 2019 at the global, regional, and national levels, based on data from the Global Burden of Disease study (GBD) 2019. The annual number and rate of deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with a high BMI among children and adolescents at global, regional, and national levels by age groups, sexes, and the sociodemographic index from 1990 to 2019 were collected from the GBD study 2019. Change percentage for number, and the estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) for rate were calculated to determine the temporal trends. From 1990 to 2019, global high BMI-related deaths decreased by 34% but DALYs increased by 48%. Death rates in females were higher than in males, although both showed decreasing trends. For the rate of DALYs, both sexes showed increasing trends, but since 1999, the rate in males has surpassed that in females. A high BMI had the greatest impact on children under 5 years of age, and the burden in other age groups continued to increase. Regionally, High-income Asia Pacific experienced the fastest decrease in death rate (EAPC=-9.57), and East Asia saw the fastest increase in the DALYs rate (EAPC= 3.47). Globally, as age increases, the proportion of disease burden attributed to a high BMI in females generally increases. Our findings emphasize the urgent need to improve efforts to prevent children and adolescents becoming overweight and obese.

Global burden of atrial fibrillation attributable to high body mass index from 1990 to 2021: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

To assess the global burden of atrial fibrillation (AF) attributable to high body mass index (BMI) from 1990 to 2021 and analyze its spatiotemporal distribution characteristics. An observational study based on GBD 2021 data. Data on AF burden due to high BMI were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021. Estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was calculated to evaluate temporal trends in age-standardized rates of deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) over 30 years. In 2021, high BMI-related AF caused 27,000 deaths and 725,000 DALYs globally, a 376% increase since 1990. Females and the elderly (aged 70+) bore a higher burden. Upper-middle-income regions surpassed high-income regions in AF burden. Australasia had the highest age-standardized rates, while High-income Asia Pacific and South Asia had the lowest. South Asia showed rapid growth in age-standardized death rates. The global burden of high BMI-related AF varies across regions and time, threatening global health, especially for females and the elderly. Targeted strategies are needed to reduce AF and obesity.

Trends and socio-demographic determinants of suicide-related mortality in Türkiye: An epidemiological study from 2009 to 2022.

Suicide is a leading cause of death, particularly among the young age group, in Türkiye, a country with a high population of young people. The aim of this study is determine the suicide related mortality trend and some associated socio-demographic factors in Türkiye between 2009 and 2022. The study includes an epidemiological trend on suicide. The Turkish Statistical Institute's data portal was used. The study population is 46,691 people (Male/female ratios = 74.6%/ 25.4%). Changes in mortality trends were evaluated using the Joinpoint Regression method with Annual Percentage Change (APC) and Average Percentage Change (AAPC) analysis. Over the past 14 years in Türkiye, there has been a statistically significant increase in the standardized mortality rate among males (2009-2022 APC = .76, p = .012) and a statistically non-significant decrease among females (2009-2022 APC = -1.62, p = .083). According to the Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics (NUTS-1) classification, the highest increase is observed in the Central Anatolia region followed by the Western Black Sea region (APC = 3.0 and 2.7, respectively; p < .005). While the percentage of primary school and below has decreasing trends (2009-2022 APC = -7.11, p < .005), there is a significant increase in the percentage of university graduates (2009-2016 APC = 10.87, p < .001). Regarding the marital status, there is a significant decrease in the percentage of those who are married (2009-2013 APC = -3.36, p < .001; 2013-2016 APC = 2.42, p = .037; 2016-2022 APC = -2.31, p = .003) and a significant increase in those who have never been married (2009-2013 APC = 2.63, p < .001; 2013-2016 APC = -1.36, p = .002). Although suicide related mortality is below the global average, there has been an increasing trend in turkey in the last 14 years. Analytical and intervention studies on the socio-demographic determinants supporting the increasing trend are needed.

Trends of Diphtheria–Tetanus–Pertussis and Measles Vaccine Coverage Preceding and during the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Analysis of the WHO European Region from 2000 to 2022

Available data highlights the significant impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global vaccination trends. Despite this, comprehensive evaluations of these changes at the European level are still scarce. This study examines coverage for diphtheria, tetanus, and pertussis (DTP) and measles-containing vaccines (MCV) in the WHO European Region from 2000 to 2022. Vaccination coverage data, defined as the percentage of surviving infants who received the first and third doses of DTP (DTP1 and DTP3) and the first and second doses of MCV (MCV1 and MCV2), were extracted from UNICEF databases. Joinpoint regression analysis was employed to identify joinpoints in the time series and to estimate Annual Percent Changes (APCs) and Average Annual Percent Changes (AAPCs) over predefined timeframes. The coverages for DTP1 and MCV1 exhibit a similar trend, overall characterized by four joinpoints, one of which is in 2019. In contrast, the coverage for DTP3 does not show a significant temporal trend and lacks joinpoints, while the vaccination coverage for MCV2 shows a steadily increasing trend, with three identified joinpoints. A comparative analysis with the pre-pandemic period reveals a significant increase in the number of countries characterized by a decreasing trend during the pandemic period for all considered vaccination coverages, as indicated by the negative AAPC values. These results highlight the effect of the pandemic on childhood vaccination coverage. Compared to a mere descriptive analysis, the temporal analysis of trends using joinpoint regression provides significant opportunities to identify variations in vaccination coverages and pinpoint areas for intervention in future vaccination strategies.

8702 Age-Sex Differences in Global Burden of Ischemic Heart Disease Attributable to High LDL in the Last 3 Decades:Global, Regional, National Variations, Age Dynamics, and Implications for Global Health

Abstract Disclosure: V. Adedara: None. K. Maddineni: None. A. Dekhne: None. M. Chinthapalli: None. G. Potluri: None. A. Parisapogu: None. K. Markandu: None. H. Desai: None. Background: Ischemic Heart Disease (IHD) stands as the foremost cause of mortality globally, contributing to 9.6 million deaths. Elevated levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) consistently feature among the risk factors associated with IHD. Methods: Employing the Global Burden of Disease framework, we computed mortality and DALYs linked to IHD attributable to LDL-C, stratified by age-sex, year, and covering 204 countries and territories during the period from 1990 to 2019. Non-fatal health outcomes were estimated using DISMOD MR 2.1, Bayesian meta-regression tool for epidemiological modelling. Results were expressed in absolute counts and age-standardized rates (ASR) per 100,000 person-years. Results: The total number of deaths attributed to IHD due to elevated LDL-C increased from 2.5 million (95% Uncertainty Interval: 2-3.1 million) in 1990 to 3.7 million (95% UI: 2.8-4.8 million) in 2019. Concurrently, DALYs increased from 60.4 million (95% UI: 50.4-70.7 million) in 1990 to 84.9 million (95% UI: 69.5-101.3 million) in 2019. In terms of ASR, the annual percentage change (APC) in death rates decreased by 36%, and DALY rates decreased by 32% from 1990 to 2019. Regionally, East Asia exhibited the highest increase in APC in death counts by 191%, followed by Commonwealth Low-Income countries at 164%, and Oceania at 160% during the same period. Conversely, the Commonwealth High-Income region experienced the highest decrease at 41%. Males displayed higher APC in death (48% vs. 44%) and DALYs (42% vs. 38%) compared to females over the last three decades. In terms of ASR, males observed a higher decrease compared to females. In 2019, the age group 80-84 years had the highest number of deaths at 534,079 (264,177-813,898), while DALYs were most pronounced in the 55-59 year age group, reaching 10.6 million (8.9-12.3 million). Conclusion: IHD remains a significant global health challenge, with high LDL-C levels being a crucial modifiable risk factor. Age-sex disparities in the burden of IHD are evident, driven by variations in LDL-C metabolism, hormonal changes, and lifestyle factors. Recognizing and addressing these disparities is essential for developing effective prevention and treatment strategies tailored to different populations and age groups. Presentation: 6/2/2024

12620 Developing Hospital Protocols For Managing Patients With Hypertriglyceridemia-induced Acute Pancreatitis In Diabetic Ketoacidosis Hospitalizations

Abstract Disclosure: U. Agbedia-ejughemre: None. Methods: We queried the combined 2017-2020 nationwide inpatient sample database for all adult hospitalizations for DKA with and without HTG-AP using the ICD-10 revision codes. Baseline characteristics were compared between DKA hospitalizations with and without HTG-AP using Pearson’s χ2 tests and Student’s t-test for categorical and continuous variables. Study endpoints were the incidence, predictors, and outcomes of HTG-AP, including mortality, hospitalization duration, mean hospital costs, and acute in-hospital complications (sepsis, ARDS, and acute renal failure). Predictors of HTG-AP were assessed using stepwise multivariable logistic regression analysis. Illness severity, baseline risk of mortality, and comorbidity burden were adjusted using APR-DRG metrics and CCI. Prolonged hospitalization was defined as the length of hospital stay in the top decile of hospital stay for all hospitalizations in the study. Results: We analyzed 630,435 hospitalizations for DKA. The study cohort was 51.4% male, 57.6% white Americans and 26.1% Blacks, with a mean age of 40 (SD, 16.2) years. Incidence of HTG-AP was 2.1% (13,445). Hospitalizations with HTG-AP were older (mean age: 44 vs. 40 years; P&amp;lt;0.001) and had greater comorbidity (CCI score of 2: 38.7 vs. 33.8; P&amp;lt;0.001) compared with DKA hospitalizations without HTG-AP. While DKA hospitalizations showed an uptrend, increasing from 105,769 to 199,429 hospitalizations (Average annual percent change [AAPC]: 27.04%; P=0.029), the incidence of HTG-AP showed a downtrend from 2650 (2.5%) to 4085 (2.0%) (P=0.006). Predictors of HTG-AP included Hispanic (aOR: 2.45; 95% CI: 1.95-3.07; P&amp;lt;0.001) or Asian race (aOR: 2.48; 95% CI: 1.37-4.48; P=0.003), private insurance (aOR: 1.57; 95% CI: 1.10-2.25; P=0.013), self-pay (aOR: 2.2; 95% CI: 1.49-3.27; P&amp;lt;0.001), APR-DRG moderate risk of mortality (aOR: 1.52; 1.21-1.92; P&amp;lt;0.001), APR-DRG major loss of function (aOR: 1.46; 95% CI: 1.31-1.69; P&amp;lt;0.001), dyslipidemia (aOR: 1.87; 95% CI: 1.47-2.38; P&amp;lt;0.001), hypertension (aOR: 1.39; 95% CI: 1.13-1.72; P=0.002), obesity (aOR: 3.09; 95% CI: 2.42-3.96; P&amp;lt;0.001), obstructive sleep apnea (aOR: 2.05; 95% CI: 1.35-3.10; P=0.001), chronic liver disease (aOR: 9.44; 95% CI: 6.61-13.48; P&amp;lt;0.001), old MI (aOR: 2.11; 95% CI: 1.02-4.38; P=0.045), and COPD (aOR: 2.31; 95% CI: 1.47-3.64; P&amp;lt;0.001). DKA hospitalizations with HTG-AP were correlated with higher risk of septicemia (aOR: 1.20; 95% CI: 1.05-1.69; P=0.029), ARDS (aOR: 1.24; 95% CI; 1.04-2.07; P=0.004), and resource use, including prolonged hospitalization (26.3% vs. 11.1%; P&amp;lt;0.001), and higher mean hospital costs ($57,773 vs. $32,692; P&amp;lt;0.001). Conclusion: HTG-AP was linked to worse outcomes, excluding mortality, in hospital admissions for DKA. There is a need for enhanced diagnostic guidelines and protocols targeting this subgroup of patients could improve outcomes. Presentation: 6/2/2024

The burden of type 2 diabetes attributable to dietary risks in China: Insights from the global burden of disease study 2021

ObjectivesThis study aims to comprehensively assess how dietary risk factors have influenced the prevalence of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) in China from 1990 to 2021. The study seeks to provide robust data and scientific evidence essential for formulating effective preventive and control strategies to combat T2DM in China. Study designThis cross-sectional study conducted secondary analyses using data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 (GBD 2021) to assess the burden of T2DM in China attributable to dietary risks. MethodsThe study analyzed age-adjusted metrics related to T2DM, including death counts, Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), and Age-Standardized Rates (ASRs), using GBD 2021 data, stratified by age and sex. Additionally, Estimated Annual Percentage Changes (EAPCs) were employed to track trends over time. ResultsIn 2021, the results show that 21.43 % of T2DM-related deaths and 23.51 % of DALYs were attributable to dietary risk factors, notably a diet low in whole grains and high in red and processed meats. Over the period from 1990 to 2021, there has been an increasing trend in the EAPCs of death rates and DALYs associated with dietary risks in China, suggesting a substantial impact of dietary factors on the burden of T2DM in the country. ConclusionThis study highlights the urgent need for targeted public health interventions to promote dietary changes and reduce the burden of T2DM in China.

Mortality Patterns of Esophageal Cancer in the United States: A 21-Year Retrospective Analysis.

Esophageal cancer (EC) is the sixth leading cause of cancer-related deaths in the United States, with a mere 20% survival rate in the first 5 years, making it a significant public health concern. Considering the lack of comprehensive evaluations of mortality trends, this study aims to provide an update on the mortality rates of esophageal cancer and its trends in the United States. The mortality trends among adults with EC were analyzed using data from the CDC WONDER database. Crude and age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 people were extracted. Annual percent changes (APCs) in AAMRs with 95% CI were obtained using joinpoint regression analysis across different demographic (sex, race/ethnicity, and age) and geographic (state, urban-rural, and regional) subgroups. Between 1999 and 2020, 309,725 documented deaths were attributed to esophageal cancer. The overall AAMR decreased from 1999 to 2020 (6.69 to 5.68). Males had higher consistently higher AAMRs than females (10.96 vs. 2.24). NH White had the highest overall AAMR (6.88), followed by NH Black (6.46), NH American Indian (4.95), Hispanic or Latino (3.31), and NH Asian or Pacific Islander (2.57). AAMR also varied by region (overall AAMR: Midwest: 7.18; Northeast: 6.75; South: 6.07; West: 5.76), and nonmetropolitan areas had higher AAMR (non-core areas: 7.09; micropolitan areas: 7.19) than metropolitan areas (large central metropolitan areas: 5.75; large fringe areas: 6.33). The states in the upper 90th percentile of esophageal cancer-related AAMR were Vermont, District of Columbia, West Virginia, Ohio, New Hampshire, and Maine, and exhibited an approximately two-fold increase in AAMRs, compared with states falling in the lower 10th percentile. Over the last 2 decades, there has been an overall decline in mortality related to EC in the United States. However, demographic and geographic discrepancies in EC-related mortality persist, necessitating additional exploration and development of specifically directed treatments.

Global, regional, and national burden of pancreatitis in children and adolescents.

Pancreatitis poses a growing public health concern among children and adolescents, yet comprehensive data on its prevalence, incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) remain scarce. This study aims to analyze global, regional, and national trends in pancreatitis burden over the past 3decades. Using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 database spanning 1990-2019, we assessed pancreatitis prevalence, incidence, mortality, and DALYs, reporting on numbers, rates, age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDR), and average annual percentage changes (AAPCs). Trends were analyzed by age, sex, region, and socio-demographic index (SDI) using jointpoint analysis and predictive modeling. Globally, pancreatitis prevalence and incidence rates have increased (AAPC prevalence=0.13, 95% CI: 0.11-0.16; AAPC incidence=0.30, 95% CI: 0.28-0.32), while mortality and DALYs rates have decreased (AAPC mortality=-1.30, 95% CI: -1.53, -1.07; AAPC DALYs=-1.21, 95% CI: -1.41, -1.01). Both genders showed similar trends. Children under 5 and adolescents 15-19 had higher mortality and DALYs rates. Low SDI regions experienced the greatest increase in ASIR. Eastern Europe exhibited high and rising ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR. Projections indicate continued rise in prevalence with declining mortality and DALYs. Pancreatitis burden in children and adolescents has surged globally, especially in lower SDI regions. These findings underscore the urgent need for targeted interventions and healthcare resources in affected areas.