Annual Loss Rate Research Articles

Temporal dynamics of density separated soil organic carbon pools as revealed by δ13C changes under 17 years of straw return

Straw return is widely recommended as an effective measure to increase the amount of soil organic carbon (SOC) and improve soil fertility in agroecosystems. However, the temporal dynamics of the original and newly derived SOC during long-term straw return remain uncertain. This study aimed to (i) determine the temporal dynamics of original and newly derived SOC in various soil organic matter (SOM) fractions during cultivation and (ii) evaluate the effect of continuous straw return on the contents of original and newly derived SOC. These aims were achieved by analyzing topsoil samples (0–20 cm) in a 17-year field experiment using a continuous maize (Zea mays L.) cropping system. Three fertilizer treatments were tested: no fertilizer (NF), mineral fertilizer (NPK), and mineral fertilizer with straw return (NPKS). The SOC was physically separated into three density fractions: the free light fraction (fLFOC), occluded light fraction (oLFOC), and heavy fraction (HFOC), and their δ13C values were determined. The original and newly derived SOC of each fraction and the rate of conversion of exogenous C inputs were evaluated. The SOC content in the bulk soil and C fractions generally increased continually with cultivation time in the NPKS, indicating that the soil had not reached maximum C sequestration. NPKS significantly increased the C contents of fLFOC, oLFOC, and HFOC by 38.6%, 43.0%, and 11.6%, respectively, relative to the initial soil after the 17-year experiment. The newly derived SOC content was significantly higher in NPKS than in NF and NPK, and the rate of conversion of exogenous C inputs to SOC was the lowest in NPKS. The annual rate of loss of original SOC in NPKS was lowest for the light fractions (fLFOC and oLFOC) and highest for HFOC, implying that the return of straw moderated the mineralization of original SOC in the light fractions but increased the decomposition of original SOC in the heavy fraction via the priming effect (PE). The average rate of conversion of exogenous C inputs remained the highest in HFOC (23.5%), lowest in oLFOC (0.6%), and intermediate in fLFOC (4.1%) throughout the study. Thus, the stable HFOC pool retained more straw C, despite the stronger PE. Our results demonstrated that long-term straw return continuously increased the proportion of new SOC in the bulk soil and density fractions and increased the decomposition of the original SOC in the stable SOC fractions. These findings provide further detailed insights into the mechanisms of SOC stabilization in agricultural soils.

#3682 THE KETONE BODY BETA-HYDROXYBUTYRATE IS ASSOCIATED WITH BETTER KIDNEY FUNCTION OUTCOME IN PATIENTS WITH ADPKD: RESULTS OF THE DIPAK COHORT

Abstract Background and Aims A dysregulated energy metabolism is a key feature of Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease (ADPKD), characterized by cystic cells being dependent on glucose and poorly able to use other energy sources such as ketone bodies. Besides providing energy, ketone bodies, especially beta-hydroxybutyrate, can act as signaling metabolites and reduce inflammation and oxidative stress. In experimental studies, raising ketone body concentration reduced disease progression. Therefore, we hypothesized that higher endogenous serum beta-hydroxybutyrate concentration reduces disease progression in patients with ADPKD. Method We analyzed data from the DIPAK cohort, a prospective observational cohort study that included 670 patients with ADPKD. Beta-hydroxybutyrate was measured at baseline using nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. We excluded participants with type 2 diabetes, who used disease-modifying drugs (e.g., tolvaptan, somatostatin analogs), were not fasting, or had missing beta-hydroxybutyrate, leaving 521 participants for the analyses. Linear regression analyses were used to study cross-sectional associations and linear mixed-effect modeling for longitudinal associations. Results The median concentration of beta-hydroxybutyrate was 94 (IQR 68–147) μmol/L. Of the participants, 61% were female, the mean age was 47.3 ± 11.8 years, and the mean estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 63.3 ± 28.9 mL/min/1.73 m2. Cross-sectionally, beta-hydroxybutyrate was neither associated with eGFR nor with kidney volume. Longitudinally, beta-hydroxybutyrate was positively associated with the eGFR slope (B = 0.37 (95% CI 0.11 to 0.62), p = 0.005) but not with kidney growth. After adjustment for potential confounders, every doubling in beta-hydroxybutyrate concentration reduced the annual rate of eGFR loss by 0.34 (95% CI 0.10 to 0.58, p = 0.005) ml/min/1.73 m2. Conclusion These analyses support the hypothesis that raising the beta-hydroxybutyrate concentration, one of the ketone bodies, reduces the rate of kidney function decline in patients with ADPKD.

Complement activation and kidney transplantation; a complex relationship

Although kidney transplantation is the best treatment for end stage kidney disease, the benefits are limited by factors such as the short fall in donor numbers, the burden of immunosuppression and graft failure. Although there have been improvements in one-year outcomes, the annual rate of graft loss beyond the first year has not significantly improved, despite better therapies to control the alloimmune response. There is therefore a need to develop alternative strategies to limit kidney injury at all stages along the transplant pathway and so improve graft survival. Complement is primarily part of the innate immune system, but is also known to enhance the adaptive immune response. There is increasing evidence that complement activation occurs at many stages during transplantation and can have deleterious effects on graft outcome. Complement activation begins in the donor and occurs again on reperfusion following a period of ischemia. Complement can contribute to the development of the alloimmune response and may directly contribute to graft injury during acute and chronic allograft rejection. The complexity of the relationship between complement activation and allograft outcome is further increased by the capacity of the allograft to synthesise complement proteins, the contribution complement makes to interstitial fibrosis and complement’s role in the development of recurrent disease. The better we understand the role played by complement in kidney transplant pathology the better placed we will be to intervene. This is particularly relevant with the rapid development of complement therapeutics which can now target different the different pathways of the complement system. Combining our basic understanding of complement biology with preclinical and observational data will allow the development and delivery of clinical trials which have best chance to identify any benefit of complement inhibition.

Comprehensive Analysis of the Impact of the Icing of Wind Turbine Blades on Power Loss in Cold Regions

Blade icing often occurs on wind turbines in cold climates. Blade icing has many adverse effects on wind turbines, and the loss of output power is one of the most important effects. With the increasing emphasis on clean energy around the world, the design and production of wind turbines tend to be large-scale. So this paper selected the 15 MW wind turbine provided by NREL (American Renewable Energy Laboratory) to study the influence of blade icing on output power. In this paper, a multi-program coupled analysis method named CFD-WTIC-ILM (CFD: Computational fluid dynamics; WTIC: Wind Turbine Integrated Calculation; ILM: Ice loss method) was proposed to analyze the whole machine wind turbine. Firstly, Fensap-ice was used to simulate the icing of the wind turbine blades, and then the icing results were input into WTIC for the integrated calculation and analysis of the wind turbine. Then, the WTIC calculation results were used to simulate SCADA (supervisory control and data acquisition) data and input into ILM to calculate the power loss. Finally, this paper analyzed the comprehensive influence of icing on output power. The calculation results show that the ice mainly accumulates on the windward side of the blade. Icing has a great influence on the aerodynamic characteristics of the airfoil, leading to a significant decrease in the power curve. The rated wind speed is pushed from 10.59 m/s to 13 m/s. The power loss of the wind turbine in the wind speed optimization stage is as high as 37.48%, and the annual power loss rate caused by icing can reach at least 22%.

Dissolved inorganic and organic carbon export from tile-drained midwestern agricultural systems

While carbon is a critically important natural element cycling through the soil profile of agricultural systems, few studies have examined the flux of dissolved organic carbon (OC) and inorganic carbon (IC) through artificially-drained cropped fields. In this study, we monitored eight tile outlets, nine groundwater wells and the receiving stream during a March to November period in 2018 to quantify subsurface IC and OC flux from tiles and groundwater to a perennial stream from a single cropped field in north-central Iowa. Results showed that carbon export from the field was dominated by IC losses through subsurface drainage tiles that were 20× higher than dissolved OC concentration in tiles, groundwater and in Hardin Creek. IC loads from tiles comprised approximately 96 % of the total carbon export. Detailed soil sampling within the field quantified TC stocks to a 1.2 m depth (246,514 kg/ha), and based on the maximum annual rate of IC loss from the field (553 kg/ha per year), we estimated that approximately 0.23 % of the TC content (0.32 % of the TOC content and 0.70 % of the TIC content) of the shallow soils was lost in a single year. Loss of dissolved carbon from the field is likely offset by reduced tillage and additions of lime. Study results suggest that attention should be given to improved monitoring of aqueous total carbon export from fields for accurate accounting of carbon sequestration performance.

Tropical Dry Forest Dynamics Explained by Topographic and Anthropogenic Factors: A Case Study in Mexico

Tropical dry forest is one of the most threatened ecosystems, and it is disappearing at an alarming rate. Shifting cultivation is commonly cited as a driver of tropical dry forest loss, although it helps to maintain the forest coverage but with less density. We investigated tropical dry forest dynamics and their contributing factors to find out if there is an equilibrium between these two processes. We classified multi-temporal Sentinel-2A images with machine learning algorithms and used a logistic regression model to associate topographic, anthropogenic, and land tenure variables as plausible factors in the dynamics. We carried out an accuracy assessment of the detected changes in loss and gain considering the imbalance in area proportion between the change classes and the persistence classes. We estimated a 1.4% annual loss rate and a 0.7% annual gain rate in tropical dry forest and found that the topographic variable of slope and the anthropogenic variable of distance to roads helped explain the occurrence probability of both tropical forest loss and tropical forest gain. Since the area estimation yielded a wide confidence interval for both tropical forest loss and gain despite the measures that we took to counterbalance the disproportion in areas, we cannot conclude that the loss process was more intense than the gain process, but rather that there was an equilibrium in tropical dry forest dynamics under the influence of shifting cultivation.

Transcorneal Electrical Stimulation Dose-Dependently Slows the Visual Field Loss in Retinitis Pigmentosa.

To assess whether transcorneal electrical stimulation (TcES) current-dependently slows progressive loss of visual field area (VFA) in retinitis pigmentosa (RP). Data from 51 patients with RP who received monocular TcES treatment once weekly over 1 year in an interventional, randomized study have been analyzed a posteriori. Current amplitudes were 0.1 to 1.0 mA in the TcES-treated group (n = 31) and 0.0 mA in the sham group (n = 20). VFA was assessed in both eyes (semiautomatic kinetic perimetry, Goldmann targets V4e, III4e). Annual decline rate (ADR) of exponential loss and model-independent percentage reduction of VFA at treatment cessation were correlated to current amplitude. For V4e, mean ADR was -4.1% in TcES-treated eyes, -6.4% in untreated fellow eyes, and -7.2% in placebo-treated eyes; mean VFA reduction in TcES-treated eyes was 64% less than in untreated fellow eyes (P=0.013) and 72% less than in placebo-treated eyes (P=0.103). Individual VFA reductions correlated with current amplitude (P=0.043) and tended toward zero in patients who received 0.8 to 1.0 mA. For III4e, there was a marginally significant current-dependency of interocular difference in reduction (P=0.11). ADR and VFA reduction did not significantly correlate with baseline VFA. Loss of VFA (V4e) in patients with RP was significantly reduced in treated eyes compared to untreated eyes by regular use of TcES in a dose-dependent manner. No dependence of effects on the initial extent of VFA loss was found. TcES provides potential for preservation of visual field in patients with RP.

Reducing natural vegetation loss in Amazonia critically depends on the formal recognition of indigenous lands

The Brazilian Amazon contains the world's largest tract of tropical forest, about 22 % of which is within demarcated indigenous territories. Formal governmental recognition of these traditional territories is often a critical deterrent to deforestation, but the relative conservation performance of Indigenous Lands (ILs) under different legal categories and geographic contexts remains poorly understood. We used 30-m resolution Landsat satellite imagery to quantitatively assess the land cover status and annual rates of natural vegetation loss between 1985 and 2020 for 381 indigenous territories amounting to ~115 million hectares. Using a comprehensive set of environmental and socio-economic covariates and a mixed-modelling approach, we found that all stages of formal IL recognition consistently inhibit natural vegetation loss throughout the Brazilian Amazon compared to adjacent unprotected areas. Formal physical demarcation and distance from roads were the main proximate drivers of avoided natural vegetation loss inside ILs. Forest loss associated with road access is substantially curbed by ILs, showing the importance of frontier expansion when assessing indigenous reserve performance in counteracting natural vegetation loss. Because loss of natural forest and savannah areas associated with agribusiness frontiers and infrastructure projects are likely to intensify, the importance of ecosystem services provided by ILs is expected to increase across the Brazilian Amazon. Cultural profile and human density exerted no impacts on IL effectiveness in precluding natural vegetation loss. Given widespread encroachment of timber extraction and agribusiness, formal recognition of indigenous territories is a critical factor in decelerating primary habitat conversion across the Amazon.

Rapid demise and committed loss of Bowman Glacier, northern Ellesmere Island, Arctic Canada

AbstractUsing historical and recent aerial photography and structure from motion (SfM) multiview stereo (MVS) techniques, we reconstruct the 1959 and 2018 ice surface topography and determine the geodetic mass balance of Bowman Glacier, a small mountain glacier on northern Ellesmere Island. This is combined with optical satellite imagery to reconstruct the evolution in extent of the glacier over six decades, and ground-penetrating radar measurements of ice thickness to estimate the remaining ice volume. Between 1959 and 2020, Bowman Glacier lost 78% of its extent (reducing from 2.75 to 0.61 km2), while average annual area loss rates have nearly tripled in the past two decades. Over the 1959–2018 period, glacier-wide ice-thickness change averaged −22.7 ± 4.7 m, corresponding to a mean specific annual mass balance of −347.0 ± 71.4 mm w.e. a−1. Projecting rates of area and volume change into the future indicates that the glacier will likely entirely disappear between 2030 and 2060. This study demonstrates the potential of SfM-MVS processing to generate elevation products from 1950/60s historical aerial photographs, and to extend observations of ice elevation and glacier volume change for the Canadian Arctic, prior to the satellite record.

Forest conservation in Indigenous territories and protected areas in the Brazilian Amazon

Conflicts between forest conservation and socio-economic development in the Brazilian Legal Amazon (BLA) have persisted for years but the effects of Indigenous territory (ITs) and protected area (PAs) status on deforestation there remain unclear. To address this issue, we analysed time-series satellite images and qualified annual forest area in the BLA under different governance and management regimes. Between 2000 and 2021, areas classified as ITs or PAs increased to cover 52% of forested areas in the BLA while accounting for only 5% of net forest loss and 12% of gross forest loss. In the years (2003–2021) after establishment, gross forest loss fell 48% in PAs subject to ‘strict protection’ and 11% in PAs subject to ‘sustainable use’. However, from 2018 to 2021 the percentage rate of annual gross forest loss in ITs/PAs was twice that of non-designated areas. Our findings reveal the vital role of, and substantial progress achieved by, ITs and PAs in Amazonian forest conservation as well as the dangers of recent weakening of Brazil’s forest policies. The Brazilian Legal Amazon (BLA) has Earth’s largest tropical rainforest and a history of tension around its fate. Between 2001 and 2018, this study finds that Indigenous territories and protected areas in the BLA have expanded and reduced deforestation markedly, with some gains eroded in recent areas.

Hydrogeochemistry of low agricultural soil yield in Sahelian and sub-tropical watersheds, Northern Cameroon

Bound to the north by the Sahara and to the south by the Sudanian savannah, watersheds in the African Sahelian belt supply food and water to an estimated 135 million people. Being one of the Earth's most vulnerable zones to climate change impacts, the Sahel covers a 3.1 million km2 corridor from the Atlantic Ocean in the west to the Red Sea in the east. It is predicted that decadal timescale migration of Sahelian arid conditions southwards, and associated changes in water-rock interaction patterns resulting from desertification and reduction in rainfall trends, would increasingly alter soil nutrients availability. In this pilot study, we developed a hydrogeochemical approach by linking local geology to elemental dynamics, while focusing on nutrient enrichment, depletion, mobility, flux, and exchange between bedrock and groundwater. This approach was successfully applied to two watersheds in Northern Cameroon: the Sahelian Douka Longo sedimentary watershed (SDLSW) and the tropical Bidou igneous watershed (TBIW). Comparative inorganic nutrient budgets and availability suggest that carbonates and plagioclases are prone to weak and intermediate chemical weathering, compared to stronger rates recorded for granite, basalt, trachyte, and sandstone. Collectively, these sources contribute to significant trace element nutrients enrichment of local water bodies within the watersheds. Non-isochemical dissolution produces highly mobile Ca, Mn, Na, Cu, Zn, K, Ni and Fe compared to elements not part of plant nutrients. Acidic groundwater recharged by rainwater through preferential flow pass has a Ca + Mg–NO3 and Ca + Mg–HCO3 chemical signature in the SDLSW and the TBIW, respectively. Both watersheds are characterised by distinct solute flux patterns, with lower annual nutrient loss rates associated with the TBIW. The data indicate that surface water runoff needs to be managed to control nutrient deficiencies and excesses, and that low-yield capacity in both watersheds appear to be partly linked to P, Fe, and Mo deficiencies.

Accelerated cognitive decline and hippocampal volume loss in mild cognitive impaired carriers of Apolipoprotein‐E ε4

AbstractBackgroundThe ε4 allele of the Apolipoprotein‐E (APOE) gene is the major genetic risk factor for late‐onset Alzheimer’s disease (AD). APOE ε4 carriers represent around 45% of AD population, with each copy of APOE ε4 allele conferring increased risk for AD. Here, we aim to quantify disease progression during the early clinical stage of AD using imaging biomarkers to stratify patient populations for therapeutic interventions.MethodsData used in the preparation of this abstract were obtained from the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative. CDR some of boxes (CDR‐SB), PET (amyloid load; Florbetapir), MRI (hippocampal volume) and APOE4 genotype were collected. Only MCI patients were included (MMSE=27.6±1.8 and global‐CDR=0.5±0.05). Available follow up data with at least 10 participants were included in the analysis.ResultsData from 1021 participants with baseline MCI status were included in the study (110 ε4 homozygotes, 397 heterozygotes ε4).At baseline, CDR‐SB of non‐carriers and ε4 homozygotes was not different (p=0.24). The annual rate of cognitive decline in ε4 homozygotes (0.7 points per year; p=7e‐8) and heterozygotes ε4 (0.56 points per year; p=4e‐8) was 3.7 to 4.6 times greater than non‐carriers (0.15 points per year; p=0.00005).At baseline, hippocampal volume was significantly (p<0.01) lower in ε4 homozygotes (6.50 mL) and heterozygotes ε4 (6.76 mL) compared to non‐carriers (6.98 mL). The annual rate of hippocampal loss in ε4 homozygotes (0.09 mL; p=0.032) and heterozygotes ε4 (0.13 mL; p=0.0006) was faster than non‐carriers (0.03 mL; p=0.16).At baseline, amyloid load was significantly (p<0.0001) higher in ε4 homozygotes (SUVR=1.37) and heterozygotes ε4 (SUVR=1.31) compared to non‐carriers (SUVR=1.13). The rates of progression were not significantly different across groups.ConclusionAPOE ε4 carriers showed notably greater rate of progression on CDR‐SB compared to non‐carriers. Greater amyloid load and hippocampal atrophy were observed in APOE ε4 carriers compared to non‐carriers at baseline although the CDR‐SB scores were comparable. The amyloid deposition appeared to plateau at MCI. Hippocampal volume loss continued in all groups, with a fastest progression rate in ε4 carriers. Result suggests that detection of therapeutic changes from interventions may be more efficient in this population than the broader population of MCI patients.

RP2-Associated X-linked Retinopathy: Clinical Findings, Molecular Genetics, and Natural History

To review and describe in detail the clinical course, functional and anatomic characteristics of RP2-associated retinal degeneration. Retrospective case series. Male participants with disease-causing variants in the RP2 gene. Review of all case notes and results of molecular genetic testing, retinal imaging (fundus autofluorescence [FAF] imaging, OCT), and electrophysiology assessment. Molecular genetic testing, clinical findings including best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA), qualitative and quantitative retinal imaging analysis, and electrophysiology parameters. Fifty-four molecularly confirmed patients were identified from 38 pedigrees. Twenty-eight disease-causing variants were identified, with 20 not previously clinically characterized. Fifty-three patients (98.1%) presented with retinitis pigmentosa. The mean age of onset (range ± standard deviation [SD]) was 9.6 years (1-57 ± 9.2 years). Forty-four patients (91.7%) had childhood-onset disease, with mean age of onset of 7.6 years. The most common first symptom was night blindness (68.8%). Mean BCVA (range ± SD) was 0.91 logarithm of the minimum angle of resolution (logMAR) (0-2.7 ± 0.80) and 0.94 logMAR (0-2.7 ± 0.78) for right and left eyes, respectively. On the basis of the World Health Organization visual impairment criteria, 18 patients (34%) had low vision. The majority (17/22) showed electroretinogram (ERG) evidence of a rod-cone dystrophy. Pattern ERG P50 was undetectable in all but 2 patients. A range of FAF findings was observed, from normal to advanced atrophy. There were no statistically significant differences between right and left eyes for ellipsoid zone width (EZW) and outer nuclear layer (ONL) thickness. The mean annual rate of EZW loss was 219 μm/year, and the mean annual decrease in ONL thickness was 4.93 μm/year. No patient with childhood-onset disease had an identifiable ellipsoid zone (EZ) after the age of 26 years at baseline or follow-up. Four patients had adulthood-onset disease and a less severe phenotype. This study details the clinical phenotype of RP2 retinopathy in a large cohort. The majority presented with early-onset severe retinal degeneration, with early macular involvement and complete loss of the foveal photoreceptor layer by the third decade of life. Full-field ERGs revealed rod-cone dystrophy in the vast majority, but with generalized (peripheral) cone system involvement of widely varying severity in the first 2 decades of life. Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found after the references.

Sustainable sediment management for sustainable use of reservoirs

Sustainable sediment management for sustainable use of reservoirs

Changes in Mangrove Cover and Exposure to Coastal Hazards in Kenya

Mangroves are effective carbon sinks, support coastal fisheries and provide wood and non-wood resources to coastal communities. They are threatened by natural and human-induced stresses including over-exploitation, conversion pressures, pollution and climate change. Understanding changes in this important ecosystem is essential to inform the sustainable management of mangroves and assess the implications related to the loss of ecosystem services. This study used global remote sensing mangrove forest data to quantify changes in mangrove cover in Kenya between 2010 and 2016 and applied the InVEST coastal vulnerability model to assess the implications concerning the provision of natural coastal protection services in Kenya. The results indicate that the annual rates of mangrove cover loss in Kenya were 0.15% between 2010 and 2016. Currently, 16% of the Kenyan coastline is at higher levels of exposure to coastal hazards but this could increase to 41% if coastal ecosystems (mangroves, corals and seagrasses) are lost. The study further identified that higher rates of mangrove loss are observed in areas at higher risk of exposure in the southern and northern counties of Kwale and Lamu, where monitoring and management efforts should be prioritized.

Annual carbon sequestration and loss rates under altered hydrology and fire regimes in southeastern USA pocosin peatlands.

Peatlands drained for agriculture or forestry are susceptible to the rapid release of greenhouse gases (GHGs) through enhanced microbial decomposition and increased frequency of deep peat fires. We present evidence that rewetting drained subtropical wooded peatlands (STWPs) along the southeastern USA coast, primarily pocosin bogs, could prevent significant carbon (C) losses. To quantify GHG emissions and storage from drained and rewetted pocosin we used eddy covariance techniques, the first such estimates that have been applied to this major bog type, on a private drained (PD) site supplemented by static chamber measurements at PD and Pocosin Lakes National Wildlife Refuge. Net ecosystem exchange measurements showed that the loss was 21.2Mg CO2 ha-1 year-1 (1Mg=106 g) in the drained pocosin. Under a rewetted scenario, where the annual mean water table depth (WTD) decreased from 60 to 30 cm, the C loss was projected to fall to 2Mg CO2 ha-1 year-1 , a 94% reduction. If the WTD was 20 cm, the peatlands became a net carbon sink (-3.3Mg CO2 ha-1 year-1 ). Hence, net C reductions could reach 24.5Mg CO2 ha-1 year-1 , and when scaled up to the 4000 ha PD site nearly 100,000 Mg CO2 year-1 of creditable C could be amassed. We conservatively estimate among the 0.75million ha of southeastern STWPs, between 450 and 770 km2 could be rewet, reducing annual GHG emissions by 0.96-1.6Tg (1Tg=1012 g) of CO2 , through suppressed microbial decomposition and 1.7-2.8Tg via fire prevention, respectively. Despite covering <0.01% of US land area, rewetting drained pocosin can potentially provide 2.4% of the annual CO2 nationwide reduction target of 0.18 Pg (1Pg=1015 g). Suggesting pocosin restoration can contribute disproportionately to the US goal of achieving net-zero emission by 2050.

Assessing the Impact of Urbanization and Eco-Environmental Quality on Regional Carbon Storage: A Multiscale Spatio-Temporal Analysis Framework

Understanding the mechanisms, intensity, and spatio-temporal heterogeneity of the impacts of urbanization and eco-environmental quality on carbon storage is crucial for achieving carbon neutrality goals. This study constructed a multiscale spatio-temporal analysis framework using multi-source remote sensing data, the InVEST model, and the multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) model. Then, the effects of multiple factors on regional carbon storage were assessed in an empirical study involving 199 counties in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei. The results showed that the carbon storage loss in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2010 to 2018 was 58.87 Tg C, with an annual relative loss rate of 0.16%. The MGWR model used in this study explained more than 98% of the spatial variation in regional carbon storage. In contrast, the impacts of various urbanization and eco-environmental indicators on regional carbon storage varied with the spatial and temporal variation. Overall, urban land structure and vegetation growth strongly influenced regional carbon storage resulting from urbanization and eco-environmental quality, respectively. In addition, based on an analysis of spatial context, MGWR suggests that the northwestern mountains in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region have a greater potential to store more carbon than the other regions. This study also details the impact of future sustainable land use on regional carbon storage. Our findings can provide a scientific reference for formulating relevant carbon storage conservation policies.

Spatiotemporal Evolution and Socioeconomic Impacts of Rainstorms and Droughts in Contiguous Poverty-Stricken Areas of China

To consolidate the achievements in the elimination of absolute poverty in China and prevent rural populations from returning to poverty as a result of meteorological disasters, this study analyzed the spatiotemporal characteristics of rainstorms and droughts and their socioeconomic impacts on China’s contiguous poverty-stricken areas (CPSAs) from 1984 to 2019. The annual number of rainstorms and drought days in CPSAs of China reached approximately 1.9 days/year and 44.6 days/year, respectively. It gradually decreased from southeast to northwest. Rainstorms showed a significant increasing trend of 0.075 days/decade, while there is no significant trend in drought days. Due to rainstorms and droughts, the average annual number of people affected and direct economic losses in CPSAs reached 34 million people/year and 29 billion Chinese yuan/year, accounting for 22.9% and 12.6% of China’s total amounts, respectively. The average annual loss rate due to disasters in this region reached 1.6%, which is 0.6% higher than the national level. Furthermore, the distinct features and socioeconomic impacts of rainstorms and droughts were identified on the southeastern and northwestern sides of the population density line (PDL) along Tengchong-Aihui in China. Droughts have often impacted the regions located along the PDL, while rainstorms and droughts have occurred more frequently in the regions to the southeast of the PDL than in the regions to the northwest of the PDL. As a result, the affected population and direct economic losses due to rainstorms and droughts in the regions to the southeast of the PDL were 8.8 and 9.2 times and 3.3 and 7.4 times higher, respectively, than those in the regions on the other side of the PDL. Although the losses were greater, the disaster resistance capabilities were significantly improved in these regions. In contrast, the regions to the northwest side of the PDL exhibited a significant increasing trend in losses with a relatively low disaster resistance capabilities. This study revealed that it is necessary to improve the capability of meteorological disaster prevention and reduction in China’s CPSAs, especially in the regions to the west of the PDL, which could further contribute to the realization of United Nations Sustainable Development Goals.

Two Decades Mangroves Loss Monitoring Using Random Forest and Landsat Data in East Luwu, Indonesia (2000–2020)

Mangroves grow in the tidal zone and have many benefits for the ecosystem and human life. Mangrove loss monitoring is important information to know the condition and status of mangrove forests. Along with the development of computer technology, machine learning and satellite imagery has widely used for mangrove mapping. The goal of this study is to monitor two decades (2000–2020) of mangrove loss using a random forest (RF) algorithm with Landsat-7 and Landsat-8 data in East Luwu, Indonesia. East Luwu has a high mangrove deforestation rate based on the previous study. More detailed mangrove loss monitoring in this area is needed to know the annual mangrove deforestation rate in this area. This study used an RF model to produce mangrove maps in the whole study area from 2000 to 2020. According to the large computing and storage capabilities of time-series satellite data, this study used Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform as the cloud computing process. A total of 2500 independent testing points were collected to calculate the evaluation assessment of produced mangrove maps. Based on the evaluation assessment, the average overall score of produced mangrove map is 0.966, while the average UA score of mangrove class is 0.936. In general, this study revealed the total area of mangroves in East Luwu from 2000 to 2020 has a decreased trend. The highest annual rate of mangrove loss happened from 2000 to 2005 with a loss rate of −14.11% (2477.39 Ha). The main factor of mangrove loss in this area is caused by the aquaculture ponds. In addition, we found an increase in mangrove areas from 2016 to 2020 by +1.04% (87.96 ha).

Epidemiological assessment of long-term maternal and failed maternal mortality

Objective. To conduct epidemiological studies of the long-term dynamics of maternal mortality (MM) and failed maternal mortality, development of trends and territorial distribution.&#x0D; Materials and methods. The data of official statistics on maternal mortality calculated for&#x0D; 100 000 live births and a long-term dynamics of unrealized maternal mortality according to the data of the Ministry of Healthcare of PK "Unified Information System of Healthcare of Perm Krai" are presented. The number of cases of complicated pregnancy, childbirth and the postpartum period with the formation of multiple organ dysfunction or insufficiency requiring intensive therapy, blood transfusion and emergency surgical interventions was calculated. The epidemiological descriptive and evaluative method was used when performing the studies. The long-term dynamics of MM was calculated, the rectilinear epidemic trend for the function of the parabola y1 = a + bx and the curvilinear tendency for the function of the parabola y2 = a + bx + c2, its upper and lower confidence bounds (Me 0.95) were determined. The rate of growth and increment were investigated and the research cyclical fluctuations were determined.&#x0D; Results. The maximum level of maternal losses (ML) in Perm Krai established in 2003 was 44.2 per 100 thousand live births. The minimum figure in 2015 was 5.2 per 100 thousand live births. The average long-term indicator of MM is 19.3. A feature of the long-term dynamics of the studied period was a steady decline in MM with an average annual rate of 5.7 %. Cyclical fluctuations were initially regular in nature, and subsequently had a lengthened rhythm of 13 years. Failed maternal mortality in Perm Krai had a pronounced downward trend; the decrease rate was 518.9 %. The annual loss rate was 69.8 %.&#x0D; Conclusions. The long-term dynamics of MM in Perm Krai was characterized by an average degree of intensity, an epidemic tendency to decrease, the presence of cyclical fluctuations, the formation of internal causes testifying to the possible activation of maternal losses. The long-term dynamics of failed maternal mortality had a pronounced downward trend.