Annual Life Cycle Research Articles

LIFE CYCLE COSTS COMPARISON BETWEEN SOLAR, DIESEL AND GRID- ELECTRICITY POWERED SMALL IRRIGATION PUMPS: EVIDENCE FROM NORTHERN BANGLADESH

Bangladesh Government has emphasized renewable energy generation and fixed a target to generate at least 150 MW of electricity from solar irrigation pumps (SIPs) by 2020; however, the generation was only about 46.98 MW. This study compared the life cycle costs (LCCs) between small solar, diesel and grid-connected irrigation pumps. The data on solar irrigation pump (SIP), diesel irrigation pump (DIP) and grid-connected irrigation pump (GIP) were collected from Birganj and Badarganj Upazilas of northern Bangladesh. The capital, maintenance, replacement and operational costs were calculated for the pumps. The outcome of annualized life cycle costs (ALCC) reveals that the average cost of the SIP (Tk.36848) is lower than DIP (Tk.105378) but marginally higher than GIP (Tk.34896). The GIP’s ALCC is the lowest, mainly for the subsidy on electric tariffs for irrigation. Therefore, at first, DIPs should be replaced by SIPs. GIPs will be replaced in the future as the price of electricity appears to be increasing. However, a small SIP’s operational cost is almost zero as it runs on solar radiation. In addition, the cost of solar irrigation will continue to fall since the price of PV panels has decreased by 12 times from 2010 to 2020.

Hybrid solar energy and waste heat driving absorption subcooling supermarket CO2 refrigeration system: Energetic, carbon emission and economic evaluation in China

A novel hybrid solar energy and waste heat driving absorption subcooled carbon dioxide (CO2/R744) booster refrigeration system (SE + WH) is proposed to improve the energy efficiency of the traditional CO2 refrigeration system used in supermarkets. The thermodynamic and energy conversion model of the system is established. Then, the optimization method of the two-dimensional golden section search algorithm is introduced to optimize the system energy efficiency taking the variation of ambient temperature and solar radiation intensity into account. Moreover, considering the maldistribution of solar energy and the influence of meteorological conditions in China, eight typical cities are selected to assess the annual performance factor and life cycle carbon emissions to achieve energy saving and carbon emission potentials. The performance of hybrid solar energy and waste heat driving absorption subcooled CO2 booster refrigeration system is the best with the COP enhanced by 3.05–42.30 % at the solar radiation intensity of 1200 W/m2 and the temperature of 0–35 °C in contrast to the baseline system. In addition, the discharge pressure of the new proposed hybrid system can be reduced by 7.86 % when the ambient temperature is 34 °C. The annual performance factor of the new proposed hybrid system in Haikou can be increased by 14.47 %, and the life cycle carbon emissions are effectively reduced by 39.54 %. The payback period is also reduced by 4.01 % and 3.37 % for Beijing and Shanghai. Consequently, the novel configuration of the hybrid absorption subcooling subsystem is recommended, particular in hot or warm climate areas with rich solar energy.

Understanding Recovery Is as Important as Understanding Decline: The Case of the Crested Ibis in China

The wild population of the crested ibis (Nipponia nippon) has recovered remarkably from seven individuals in 1981 to over 7000 in 2021. However, it is unclear how key factors, from endogenous density dependence to exogenous environmental pressure, have contributed to the species’ recovery. We used species distribution models to quantify the contributions of climatic variables, human impact, land form and land use in order to understand the recovery process in the context of prevailing environmental conditions. We also calculated the nest density over the past 39 years to estimate the influence of density dependence on population dynamics. We found that the interaction between rice paddy areas and water bodies (rivers, lakes and ponds) had the highest contribution to nest site selection, whereas linear terms for either rice paddies or water bodies alone had little effect. During its recovery, sub-populations in two watersheds have been constrained by high density and have experienced logistic growth, while other sub-populations in over seven watersheds are growing exponentially. Our models indicate that exogenous environmental factors are more important than density restriction at this stage. In China’s transformed landscape, the crested ibis needs both rice paddies and water bodies to fulfil its annual life cycle. Habitat protection should thus cover both habitat types to ensure the long-term survival of this still endangered species.

Embryo, Relocation and Secondary Nests of the Invasive Species Vespa velutina in Galicia (NW Spain).

Simple SummaryVespa velutina nigrithorax is an invasive species established in the European Union since 2004. Galicia (NW Spain) is one of the areas strongly affected by the invasion, with around 28,000 nests identified per year. In the area, when the weather conditions are suitable, the queen starts the life cycle by building the embryo nest and laying the firsts eggs. This first stage of the colony is composed of the queen, a few small workers and sometimes males, living in a fragile nest usually situated in a protected place. After this, the nest continues to develop to a larger size, which leaves the nest more exposed in places such as tree canopy. The period of decline begins in autumn with the appearance of breeding individuals (males and gynes) and ends with the fecundation of new queens that will form the future colony in the next cycle. The high reproduction rate of this species has led to the successful expansion of this species into many regions, such as Galicia. Vespa velutina is established in Galicia since 2012, causing significant losses in agriculture, beekeeping and being a risk for human health.Invasive species become established in non-native areas due to their intrinsic characteristics and the ability to adapt to new environments. This work describes the characteristics of the nesting behavior of the invasive yellow-legged hornet (Vespa velutina nigrithorax) in Galicia (Northwest Spain). The first nest was detected in the area in 2012 and after that, the distribution pattern shows a species-invasion curve with slow progress at first but followed by rapid expansion. The nesting places for this hornet differ between the kinds of nests, while embryo nests are mainly found in buildings in spring, secondary nests are observed in vegetation in summer, autumn, and winter. The annual life cycle starts when the queen builds the embryo nests and starts to lay eggs. This leads to the emergence of the first workers, usually small in size, and sometimes a few males. After this stage, large nests called secondary nests are normally observed in most exposed sites. Relocation nests can also be observed; these are nests in the first stage of development presenting adults insects but without brood or meconium. The period of decline is characterized by the emergence of new queens and males, that are distinguishable even in the pupal stage, the appearance of two eggs per cell, and an irregular brood pattern.

Poa annua: An annual species?

As the Latin name annua implies, the species Poa annua L. is thought to have an annual life cycle. Yet, there are many reports in literature of P. annua persisting as a perennial. Considering that P. annua senescence patterns do not align with other true annual species, we hypothesized that P. annua is similar to other perennial, C3 turfgrass species that are subject to a confluence of environmental factors that can cause mortality. Four experiments were conducted in Knoxville, TN with the objective of determining environmental factors lethal to P. annua. A field monitoring study assessed 100 P. annua plants across ten grassland micro-environments from May to October 2020. Forty plants survived the summer and confirmed the existence of perennial P. annua ecotypes. Analysis of environmental factors at the time of plant death indicated soil moisture, soil temperature, and pathogenic infection were associated with mortality. A series of glasshouse or field experiments were conducted to investigate the effects of each factor on P. annua mortality. Soil moisture and soil temperature were not lethal to P. annua in the glasshouse, except under extreme conditions not typical in the field. A field study assessed mortality of plants from pathogenic infection and indicated that P. annua plants treated with fungicide throughout the summer survived year-round, whereas plants not receiving fungicide applications senesced. These findings support our hypothesis that P. annua is of a perennial life cycle, which can be influenced by environmental conditions. We suggest that the name P. annua is likely a misnomer based on its modern interpretation.

Western gray whales on their summer feeding ground off Sakhalin Island in 2015: who is foraging where?

In the face of cumulative effects of oil and gas activities on the endangered western gray whale, informed management decisions rely on knowledge of gray whale spatial use patterns as a function of demographic group and prey energy. In particular, the gray whale foraging ground off Sakhalin Island consists of two distinct areas (nearshore and offshore) with the offshore feeding area exhibiting markedly high prey energy content. Based on photo-identification data collected from 2002 to 2015, we determined that gray whale use of the offshore feeding area increased with age. Pregnant females were more likely to be sighted only nearshore when nearshore prey energy and the proportion of nearshore energy from amphipods were higher. Likewise, females arriving with calves were less likely to be sighted offshore when the proportion of nearshore energy from amphipods was higher. Photo-identification effort in 2015 was increased substantially, with the intent of maximizing resighting data of individual whales to determine the relative proportion of different demographic groups utilizing the nearshore and offshore feeding areas. Comparing sighting data collected in 2015 with data from all previous years combined, mothers arriving with calves were sighted in the offshore feeding area earlier in 2015, with no evidence that they returned to forage nearshore later in the season. Other reproductive females constituted a higher proportion of the animals foraging nearshore prior to 2015, while juveniles were a higher proportion during 2015. Thus, the offshore feeding area is an important component of the gray whales’ annual life cycle, particularly if nearshore prey energy continues to decline, and offshore anthropogenic activities need to be monitored and addressed.

Seasonal variation and tracking of climate niche of a migratory bird

Migratory birds inhabit different areas during breeding and non-breeding seasons. Depending on the time of the year, they may utilize different resources available in seasonal habitats, but also are subjected to changing climate regimes during their annual life cycle. Migratory birds may adopt ecological niche tracking to cope with different environmental conditions between breeding and non-breeding grounds. The American White Pelican ( Pelecanus erythrorhynchos , hereafter ‘AWPE’) is a short-distance migrant between the Gulf of Mexico coastal regions (non-breeding grounds) and the Northern Great Plains (breeding grounds) of Canada and the US. The American White Pelican is a piscivore, feeding on fish, crayfish, and salamanders in inland freshwater wetlands. Cold, icy winter weather conditions substantially reduce and limit food resource availability at the breeding grounds during winters. Thus, we hypothesize that AWPEs would migrate between the breeding and non-breeding grounds to track climatic conditions that allow easier availability of resources. However, the niche tracking strategies have not been tested in AWPEs mainly due to the lack of reliable tracking data. Our objectives were to test whether the niche tracking or niche switching hypothesis would better explain seasonal variations in ecological niche overlap of AWPEs using the GPS locations of 19 tracked migrating birds, which had GPS locations at both breeding and non-breeding grounds. We estimated overlap of climate niche to test for seasonal niche tracking behaviors at both individual and population levels. Our results indicate that six out of 13 GPS-tracked AWPE individuals tracked climatic niche during the annual migration cycle. The analysis of the combined data of all 19 tracked AWPEs demonstrated that AWPEs tracked seasonal climate niche at the population level. Cold winter temperatures below zero (℃) may freeze the water surface of wetlands and shallow waterbodies, preventing AWPEs from acquiring sufficient food. The coupling of winter food resources with winter climatic conditions may result in climate niche tracking. Variation in climate niche tracking among individuals may offer ecological plasticity for AWPEs to cope with climatic changes. • Migratory birds may either track or switch ecological niche during the annual cycle. • American white pelicans are short-distance migratory birds. • American white pelicans tracked climate niche at individual and population levels. • Climate niche tracking may make American white pelicans vulnerable to warming.

Integrated operation of PV assisted ground source heat pump and air source heat pump system: Performance analysis and economic optimization

The ground source heat pump (GSHP) system is widely recognized as an efficient, clean and economical renewable energy technology for buildings, and can be utilized for building cooling, heating and hot water supply. In the hot summer and cold winter zones of China, however, the total thermal load (heating load and hot water load) of GSHP systems is greater than the cooling load, which may cause a significant soil temperature drop and GSHP performance deterioration. To solve the above problems, a photovoltaic (PV) assisted GSHP and air source heat pump system (PVGSHP-ASHP) was proposed. This paper investigated the performance and feasibility of the PVGSHP-ASHP system, using a case campus building in Changsha city, China. The PVGSHP-ASHP system was firstly established by TRNSYS, and then, its operational performance was evaluated and compared with the PV assisted GSHP (PVGSHP) system and the PV assisted GSHP and electric heater (PVGSHP-EH) system. Finally, the economic optimization of the integrated operation of the PVGSHP-ASHP system was carried out with the combined simulation of TRNSYS and GenOpt. The results showed that for the PVGSHP system, the soil temperature reduced from 18.1 °C to 11.8 °C after 15 years of operation, which caused a decrease in the annual coefficient of performance of the GSHP (COPGSHP) and an increase in the annual electricity consumption. Although the PVGSHP-EH system can solve the load imbalance problem, its annual lifecycle cost (ALCC) increased by 39.3 % due to the low efficiency of the EH. The PVGSHP-ASHP system can solve the appeal problem with high annual COPGSHP and COPsys values of 3.49 kW/kW and 4.69 kW/kW, respectively, and only 71,700 kWh of the annual electricity consumption, while its ALCC was the lowest at 99,223 CNY, which was 8.1 % lower than the PVGSHP system. After optimization, the ALCC of the PVGSHP-ASHP system reached the minimized value of 91,158 CNY, with a reduction of 8.1 %. These findings can provide new ways to solve the load mismatch problem of GSHP systems while enhancing the system efficiency in the hot summer and cold winter zones of China.

Differential changes in life cycle-event phenology provide a window into regional population declines.

Climate change affects the phenology of annual life cycle events of organisms, such as reproduction and migration. Shifts in the timing of these events could have important population implications directly, or provide information about the mechanisms driving population trajectories, especially if they differ between life cycle event. We examine if such shifts occur in a declining migratory passerine bird (willow warbler, Phylloscopus trochilus), which exhibits latitudinally diverging population trajectories. We find evidence of phenological shifts in breeding initiation, breeding progression and moult that differ across geographic and spring temperature gradients. Moult initiation following warmer springs advances faster in the south than in the north, resulting in proportionally shorter breeding seasons, reflecting higher nest failure rates in the south and in warmer years. Tracking shifts in multiple life cycle events allowed us to identify points of failure in the breeding cycle in regions where the species has negative population trends, thereby demonstrating the utility of phenology analyses for illuminating mechanistic pathways underlying observed population trajectories.

Solar assisted air source heat pump systems for campus water heating in China: Economic optimization of solar fraction design

• TRNSYS software is to simulate the solar assisted air source heat pump system . • The solar fraction design values of solar water heating systems are not economically optimal in China. • Long-term economic optimization of solar fraction design values for solar assisted air source heat pump systems is performed. • An ANN-generated proxy model is to predict the most economical solar fraction design values of solar assisted air source heat pump systems. The solar assisted air source heat pump (SAASHP) system is widely used for campus water heating owing to its cost-effectiveness and cleanliness. In the current design process of the SAASHP system, the solar collector area is determined by the solar fraction ( f ). However, it is difficult to design a cost-optimal f that can comprehensively take the atmospheric factors, device model, electricity price and initial investment into consideration. To address this issue, a SAASHP system that meets the bathing hot water demand of 480 students was established by TRNSYS software, and the cost-optimal solar collector areas and f values for 12 cities across 4 different solar resource regions in China were obtained by the TRNOPT tool of TRNSYS. Moreover, the effects of SC price, electricity price, bathing hot water demand and rated COP of ASHP on cost-optimal f values were investigated by sensitivity analysis. Finally, a proxy model was generated by the artificial neural network toolbox of MATLAB to predict the cost-optimal f values for different scenarios. The results showed that compared to the economically optimized SAASHP system, the designed SAASHP system according to the national design standards for solar heating systems in China has a larger SC area value, leading to an increase in the annual life cycle cost of the system. The difference between the optimized and designed values of solar collector area and f for the SAASHP system was minor in rich resource and sub-rich resource regions but was larger in general resource and poor resource regions. The solar collector price, electricity price, bathing hot water demand and the rated COP of the SAHP were significant factors affecting the annual life cycle cost, the cost-optimal f and solar collector area of the SAASHP system. The proxy model generated by the artificial neural network toolbox of MATLAB can accurately predict the economically optimal solar collector area and f values for SAASHP systems in different cities and system factors, providing a method for the economic design of SAASHP systems in China.

Increasing temperatures affect multiyear life cycle of the outbreak bush-cricket Barbitistes vicetinus (Orthoptera, Tettigoniidae).

Although outbreaks of rare species are unusual, several insect species have become emerging pests probably due to the ongoing environmental changes. Barbitistes vicetinus was first described in 1993 as an endemic bush-cricket of north-east Italy and was considered rare until 2008, when it became an established pest, causing severe damages to forests and crops. The possible role of temperature in changing its life cycle has still to be fully understood. Here, we explored the effect of summer temperature on egg diapause and the effect of winter temperature on egg survival. Field observations showed that the proportion of embryos that can complete development at the end of summer ranged from zero to nearly 90% depending on summer temperatures. A substantial shift in the rate of development from 20% to nearly 80% occurred in a thermal range of about 1°C. On the contrary, overwinter egg survival was high and constant (90%) across a wide range of winter temperatures that go well beyond both the cold and warm thermal limits of the current species range. Overall, the results suggest a potential key role of summer temperature warming on the outbreak propensity of this species that is able to switch from a multiyear to an annual life cycle with just a 1-2°C warming.

Site fidelity and determinants of wintering decisions in the Dalmatian pelican (Pelecanus crispus)

Wintering site selection is a major decision in a bird’s annual life cycle since conditions experienced by individuals within a wintering site can influence individual fitness and ultimately population dynamics. If individuals show strong fidelity to specific sites, annual environmental effects can be reinforced. In this study we analyse winter resightings of ringed Dalmatian pelicans, collected during a 35-year-long ringing survey, to identify winter movement patterns of Dalmatian pelicans, assess the level of site fidelity both within and among consecutive wintering events and examine environmental factors that may contribute to an individual’s decision to move towards a specific site during the winter period. Our results showed that the decision of Dalmatian pelicans to move towards a specific site was mainly driven by the site’s size and temperature conditions. Larger wetlands can provide birds with higher resource abundance and offer more opportunities to exploit optimal roosting and feeding habitats, whereas wetlands that do not freeze during the winter are a definite requirement. Wintering movements were more likely to occur at short distances from a bird’s natal colony, whereas it was uncommon for birds born in wetlands located in the Adriatic and Ionian coast to move eastwards during the winter, suggesting a level of spatial substructure. Furthermore, we showed that the species exhibits very strong within-year and among-year wintering site fidelity, with birds moving less during the winter, whereas juvenile birds travel greater distances than the rest of the age classes examined. Our conclusions could guide an effective approach to site-based conservation management at key wintering sites.

Searching and Updating Research Materials for Renewing Curricula of Academic Disciplines Using Example of Logistics

The research covers the preparation and use of academic publications’ materials for the analysis of development dynamics of a narrow subject area’s ontology by searching for new concepts (keywords). This technology should be applied annually to monitor the dynamics of the appearance of new keywords that are not included in the course materials of a higher education institution on a relevant academic discipline. In this research, logistics is chosen as a narrow subject area by the example of which the use of the proposed methodology for the analysis of development dynamics of an academic discipline’s ontology is demonstrated. A more narrowly focused goal associated with this methodology is to search for new concepts in logistics when formulating the theme of upcoming research conducted by a young specialist. Identification of rare keywords that are not presented in course materials of higher education institutions on a relevant subject is a poorly formalized research problem the solution to which does not guarantee success. It is feasible to generate annual life cycle curves for the identified concepts even if they do not change gradually over time because their behaviors can be important for planning future research.

The paralarval stage as key to predicting squid catch: Hints from a process-based model

Squid species show pronounced interannual variability in population size. While this may partially reflect changes in fisheries pressure, it is thought to be primarily the result of environmental variability. Most squid have an annual life cycle with only a short period dedicated to reproduction. With little overlap between generations, the environment can exert a major influence on stock size. In this study we explore, through a combination of process-based modelling and statistical analysis, whether environmental variability explains variability in catch of the chokka squid, Loligo reynaudii, over the Agulhas Bank off South Africa. We focus on growth and survival during the first two months spent as “paralarva” in the pelagic. This period has been suggested to be a key bottleneck and a potential predictor of catch. To describe prey availability and predation pressure, we develop a dynamic model of the size spectrum (1 mg–1000 kg) of the ecosystem over the Agulhas Bank, with trophic interactions governed by size. In tandem, we develop a model for the growth of individual L. reynaudii, which specifies where in the size spectrum individual squid can be found at each stage of their development. We find a correlation of 0.74 between modelled biomass representative for L. reynaudii at the end of its paralarval stage and catch per unit effort (CPUE) in the subsequent season in the period 1995–2015. This suggests that the paralarval stage is indeed a bottleneck: modelled food availability and predation pressure experienced by paralarvae explains 55% of the variability in CPUE, which is a proxy for spawning stock biomass. As the paralarval stage ends approximately nine months before the time of spawning and maximum catch, this work could be used to develop catch predictor with a nine-month lag.

Performance fluctuations and evaluation of a piston type integrated high pressure pump-energy recovery device

The development of energy recovery device (ERD) is a decisive factor for the recent prevalence of reverse osmosis (RO) technology in the seawater desalination field. Unlike broadly studied large scale ERDs, the investigations of small scale ERDs are scarcely reported, especially on the performance fluctuations under variable operating conditions. Based on an authors’ exploratory research on a piston type integrated high pressure pump-energy recovery device (HPP-ERD), further performance exploitation of the HPP-ERD is conducted. With a constructed experiment platform, the influences of inlet seawater temperature, inlet seawater salinity, as well as the operating frequency on the performance of the HPP-ERD coupled with seawater reverse osmosis (SWRO) desalination system are investigated. The temperature and salinity of the inlet seawater are numerically correlated with the specific energy consumption (SEC) of the HPP-ERD. With the correlated equation, the marine hydrological data of two observatories acquired from a national authoritative database, and the annualized life cycle cost approach incorporated, annual performance assessment is proposed for an SWRO desalination system equipped with the HPP-ERD in the light of energy and economic indices. The study results indicate that the proposed HPP-ERD is competent under various operating conditions for SWRO desalination systems.

Ecological aspects of the nesting life of the black-necked grebe (<i>Podiceps nigricollis</i> C.L. Brehm) in the forest-steppe zone of the Trans-Urals

The black-necked grebe (Podiceps nigricollis C.L. Brehm) is a nesting, migratory bird species, the number of which in the Southern Urals reaches 12 thousand individuals. From an ecological point of view, the named bird species belongs to aquatic birds and prefers aquatic and semiaquatic habitats. Being a waterfowl, the black-necked grebe has a complex of diving adaptations and is characterized as a specialized waterfowl. The literature analysis has proved that the knowledge of the ecological aspects of the nesting life of the black-necked grebe is insufficient. The nesting period of the annual life cycle was studied on the Kurlady and Smolino lakes located in the forest-steppe zone of the Trans-Urals. The average date of birds arrival at the nesting area according to 19882013 data is 19 April. The choice of breeding site leads to the fact that black-necked grebes form colonies in stagnant water bodies or with a slow flow of water. The water is fresh or brackish, with a certain pattern of overgrowth of vegetation and depth in the area where the nests are located. The presence of nests of black-headed gulls (Larus ridibundus L.) plays a special role in choosing a place to build a nest. Black-necked grebes and black-headed gulls form polyspecific colonial settlements. The laying of the first egg is carried out by the black-necked grebe in an unfinished nest, floating on the water and having a flat shape. At the stage of the appearance of the first egg in the nest, the elimination of eggs occurs, which can reach 44,1% (the biological center of the colony, 1989). On the periphery of the colonial settlement, the percentage of dead clutches is significantly higher, which can be caused by unfavorable biotic and abiotic relationships. Nests of black-necked grebes are completed from the moment the first egg is laid until the laying is completed. At a statistically significant level, the diameter of the nest and tray, the height of the nest, and the depth of the tray increase. The nest with completed masonry has a truncated-conical shape with a cup-shaped tray. According to long-term observations, the average value of the completed clutch is 3,8 eggs per nest. The reproduction in the composition of a polyspecific colony is accompanied by the establishment of biocoenotic relationships. The manifestation of topical, phoric and factory relationships, which can lead to individual and group elimination, has been established.

Biology of Xylotrechus basifuliginosus Heller- A Borer of Kharsu Oak Trees in the Western Himalaya

Biology of Xylotrechus basifuliginosus (Cerambycidae: Coleoptera: Clytini) was studied on its host Kharsuoak Quercus semecarpifolia Smith. It has an annual lifecycle with five larval instars. Beetles emerge atthe onset of the rainy season (June-July) under natural conditions at 2600-2800 m. Females soon aftercopulation lay up to 34 eggs in cervices and covered depressions on the bark of oak trees. The larvalperiod is 269 days under natural conditions. The growing larvae feed in the sapwood up to December andthereafter go into hibernation (end of December-mid of March) in larval galleries. Pupation is triggeredby sudden rise in temperature in spring (end of March), pupal period is ~94 days. The beetles emergefrom the pupal chamber by chewing the bark and making a circular exit-hole (5 mm dia). The adultmorphology (both sexes) and male genitalia, are described and compared with its congeners X. smei andX. stebbingi also known from northern India, besides the morphology of egg, larval and pupal stages.

Optimization of the solar space heating system with thermal energy storage using data-driven approach

The employment of solar space heating is a significant measure to achieve carbon neutrality. However, the design of the solar space heating system usually leads to the dilemma of a trade-off between the economic benefit and environmental protection, which cannot be solved by single-objective optimization. In this work, in order to design a solar space heating system of a bungalow equipped with radiant floor heating, multi-objective optimization of the solar collector area and the volume of the water thermal energy storage (TES) tank is performed by coupling TRNSYS simulation, machine learning and genetic algorithm (GA). Simulation for the entire winter operation of the solar space heating system is conducted in TRNSYS, and a database with various combinations of the design variables are generated, based on which an artificial neural network (ANN) is constructed to capture the mapping of the design variables and the system performance indicators. After proper training and validation, the ANN model with satisfactory forecasting precision is utilized as the objective function for optimizing the system. GA is employed for searching the solutions of the multi-objective optimizations. This data-driven approach combining ANN and GA is helpful to achieve the optimal solutions. For the solar space heating system, the CO2 emission reduction can benefit most from the enlargement of the solar collector area and the TES tank volume, while the payback period reaches its minimum when both the solar collector area and the TES tank volume are small. By comparing single-objective with multi-objective optimizations, it is found that the single-objective optimization cannot reveal the interactions among the CO2 emission reduction, annualized life cycle cost (ALCC) and payback period (PBP) and that the optimization focusing on a single objective probably leads to apparent defects and inapplicability in reality. Better balance among the CO2 emission reduction, ALCC and PBP can be achieved from the Pareto optimums of the multi-objective optimization rather than the single-objective optimization. According to the TOPSIS evaluation, the most appropriate design scheme is obtained from the multi-objective optimization and has the potential to reduce the carbon emission by 5480.6 kgCO2eq/year while the ALCC and payback period are only 33.40 ¥/(m2·year) and 3.70 years, respectively.

Functional Wetland Loss Drives Emerging Risks to Waterbird Migration Networks

Migratory waterbirds (i.e., shorebirds, wading birds, and waterfowl) rely on a diffuse continental network of wetland habitats to support annual life cycle needs. Emerging threats of climate and land-use change raise new concerns over the sustainability of these habitat networks as water scarcity triggers cascading ecological effects impacting wetland habitat availability. Here we use important waterbird regions in Oregon and California, United States, as a model system to examine patterns of landscape change impacting wetland habitat networks in western North America. Wetland hydrology and flooded agricultural habitats were monitored monthly from 1988 to 2020 using satellite imagery to quantify the timing and duration of inundation—a key delimiter of habitat niche values associated with waterbird use. Trends were binned by management practice and wetland hydroperiods (semi-permanent, seasonal, and temporary) to identify differences in their climate and land-use change sensitivity. Wetland results were assessed using 33 waterbird species to detect non-linear effects of network change across a diversity of life cycle and habitat needs. Pervasive loss of semi-permanent wetlands was an indicator of systemic functional decline. Shortened hydroperiods caused by excessive drying transitioned semi-permanent wetlands to seasonal and temporary hydrologies—a process that in part counterbalanced concurrent seasonal and temporary wetland losses. Expansion of seasonal and temporary wetlands associated with closed-basin lakes offset wetland declines on other public and private lands, including wildlife refuges. Diving ducks, black terns, and grebes exhibited the most significant risk of habitat decline due to semi-permanent wetland loss that overlapped important migration, breeding, molting, and wintering periods. Shorebirds and dabbling ducks were beneficiaries of stable agricultural practices and top-down processes of functional wetland declines that operated collectively to maintain habitat needs. Outcomes from this work provide a novel perspective of wetland ecosystem change affecting waterbirds and their migration networks. Understanding the complexity of these relationships will become increasingly important as water scarcity continues to restructure the timing and availability of wetland resources.

Methodology for the implementation of an ecological-evolutionary approach in the study of biology of early bird ontogenesis

This paper discusses the methodology for implementing the ecological-evolutionary approach while studying the biology of early bird ontogenesis. A special result of biological knowledge development is the emergence of two methodological constructs: the idea of development and the idea of organization. The essence and nature of the methodological interpretations of the ecological-evolutionary approach are different, as well as the formulations of the problems that are solved using this approach. The development of the methodology of the ecological-evolutionary approach in the study of the early ontogenesis of birds can be successfully implemented using the example of mass bird species, for which the pre-breeding and nesting stages of the annual life cycle have been studied. The tasks are aimed at the development of systemic and critical thinking among students, which is expressed in the students mastery of such a universal competence as the ability to search, critically analyze and synthesize information, apply a systematic approach to solving tasks. It is advisable to develop these universal competencies on the basis of actual biological material that can interest students. The first group of tasks is based on the information about the biology of the early ontogenesis of black-headed gulls, obtained in the course of the field research. The second option of tasks can be tasks that require additional use of literature by the student when answering questions. The third version of tasks provides for elements of students independent study of specific biological objects. Thus, the influence of environmental factors on a biological object or process and the reaction to the influence of the factor are taken into account.