Annual Age-standardized Incidence Rates Research Articles

Impact of the first Gulf war on multiple sclerosis risk in Kuwait: a quasi-experimental study

ObjectiveIt has been reasoned that stressful life events tend to alter immune function thereby increasing the susceptibility to autoimmune diseases including multiple sclerosis (MS). Using the database of Kuwait National MS Registry, this quasi-experimental study assessed the impact of the first Gulf War (Iraqi invasion of Kuwait in 1990) on MS risk in Kuwait.MethodsMS incidence data from 1980 to 2019 were obtained from the Kuwait National MS Registry. Annual age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) (per 105 person-years) were computed using the World Standard Population as a reference. Interrupted time series analysis with the option of autoregressive order (1) was used to evaluate the impact of the first Gulf War on MS risk by treating 1990 as an intervention year.ResultsEstimated baseline annual ASIR (per 105 person-years) was 0.38 (95% CI: -1.02, 1.78; p = 0.587). MS ASIRs (per 105 person-years) tended to increase significantly every year prior to 1990 by 0.45 (ASIR per 105 person-years = 0.45; 95% CI: 0.15, 0.76; p = 0.005). During the first year of the first Gulf War, there seemed to be a non-significant increase (step change) in ASIRs (per 105 person-years) of MS (ASIR per 105 person-years = 0.85; 95% CI: − 5.16, 6.86; p = 0.775) followed by a non-significant increase in the annual trend in MS ASIRs per 105 person-years (relative to the preintervention trend i.e., the difference between the pre-first Gulf War versus the post-first Gulf War trends) by 0.65 (ASIR per 105 person-years = 0.65; 95% CI: − 0.22, 1.52; p = 0.138). However, a postestimation measure of the post-first Gulf War trend was statistically significant (ASIR per 105 person-years = 1.10; 95% CI: 0.40, 1.80; p = 0.003), which implies that the post-first Gulf War trend in the annual ASIRs (per 105 person-years) inclined to be the same as was the pre-first Gulf War (i.e., counterfactual of the pre-first Gulf War trend in annual ASIRs (per 105 person-years) as if no first Gulf War took place).The Durbin-Watson test statistic (d = 1.89) showed almost non-significant autocorrelations across the time series observations on ASIRs (per 105 person-years).ConclusionsThis study suggests that the first Gulf War was not significantly associated with the increasing trend in MS risk at population level in Kuwait neither with any short-term change nor with secular trend. Future studies may consider confirming the role of conflict-related stress or other stressful life events in potential exacerbation of MS risk along with unraveling biologically plausible mechanistic pathways.

Cancer incidence and mortality in Brunei Darussalam, 2011 to 2020

This study presents the trends of age-standardised incidence and mortality rates of common cancers in Brunei Darussalam from 2011 to 2020. All cancer cases diagnosed among Brunei Darussalam citizens and permanent residents in the period 2011 to 2020 were included in the study. De-identified data were provided by the CanReg5 based BDCR, Ministry of Health Brunei Darussalam. The annual age-standardised incidence and mortality rates per 100,000 persons were standardised by the direct method using the World Health Organization (WHO) world standard population distribution. Joinpoint regression analyses were used to study the incidence and mortality trends of cancer in Brunei Darussalam over the 2011–2020 period. Trends were expressed as average annual percent change (AAPC) over 2011 to 2020, or annual percent change (APC) for a given time period. There were a total of 6,495 new cancer cases diagnosed and 3,359 death cases recorded from 2011 to 2020, in Brunei Darussalam. The five common cancers for males were colorectal, lung and bronchus, prostate, liver, and non-Hodgkin lymphoma. Among females, the five most common cancers were breast, colorectal, lung and bronchus, corpus uteri and cervix uteri. The five leading cancer deaths for males were lung and bronchus, colorectal, liver, prostate, and stomach, while for females, the five leading cancer deaths were breast, lung and bronchus, colorectal, ovary, and cervix uteri. There was a significant increase in the incidence trend of corpus uteri (AAPC:13.3) and a significant decline in the incidence trend for cervical cancer (AAPC:-4.5) from 2011 to 2020. There was a significant increase in the mortality trend of female breast cancer from 2011 to 2015 (APC:16.3), but the trend significantly declined from 2015 to 2020 (APC:-12.5). We also found a significant decrease in mortality trends for stomach cancer (AAPC:-4.7) from 2011 to 2020 for both genders combined. The burden of common cancers is expected to continue to grow with ageing population, effective public health interventions targeting high burden cancers and high-risk groups, and control of modifiable risk factors will continue to be the essential approaches in reducing cancer burden.

Trends in the prevalence and incidence of ulcerative colitis in Japan and the US

PurposeTo estimate and compare annual prevalence and incidence, and demographic characteristics of patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) in Japan and the United States (US).MethodsAll patients with UC were identified from large employment-based healthcare claims databases (Japan Medical Data Center [JMDC] in Japan and IBM MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters database [CCAE] in the US), from 2010 to 2019. Cases were confirmed using International Classification of Disease-9/10 codes with/without Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical codes. Annual age-standardized prevalence and incidence rates were estimated for the JMDC by direct standardization using the CCAE as the standard population.ResultsPatients with UC were younger in Japan than in the US and men were affected more than women, whereas the reverse was true in the US. Annual prevalence per 100,000 population increased significantly from 5 in 2010 to 98 in 2019 in Japan and from 158 to 233 in the US. Prevalence increased in men more than in women and in all age groups in Japan, whereas increases were observed similarly in men and women, and in the 6 to < 65-year age groups in the US. Annual incidence per 100,000 person-years increased significantly over time in both sexes and in all age groups in Japan, with higher increases in women and in ≥ 18 year-olds. UC incidence rates did not change over time in the US.ConclusionTen-year trends in epidemiology of UC differ between Japan and the US. The data point to a growing disease burden in both countries that warrants investigation of measures for prevention and treatment.

Hip fracture incidence and post-fracture mortality in Victoria, Australia: a state-wide cohort study

SummaryHip fractures are a major public health concern. Number of hip fractures cases increased by 20% from 2012 to 2018. Factors associated with post-fracture mortality included men, those who are frail, living in a non-metropolitan region, or residing in a residential aged care facility. Our results are useful for planning healthcare interventions.PurposeHip fractures are a major public health concern in Australia. Data on hip fracture incidence and mortality are needed to plan and evaluate healthcare interventions. The aims of the study were to investigate (1) the time-trend in absolute number and incidence of first hip fractures, and (2) factors associated with mortality following first hip fractures in Victoria, Australia.MethodsA state-wide cohort study of all patients aged ge 50 years admitted to a Victorian hospital for first hip fracture between July 2012 and June 2018. Annual age-standardized incidence rates were calculated using population data from Australian Bureau of Statistics. Multivariate negative binomial regression was used to investigate factors associated with post-fracture mortality.ResultsOverall, 31,578 patients had a first hip fracture, of whom two-thirds were women and 47% were ge 85 years old. Absolute annual numbers of first hip fractures increased by 20%. There was no significant change in age- and sex-adjusted incidence. In total, 8% died within 30 days and 25% within 1 year. Factors associated with 30-day mortality included age (≥ 85 years old versus 50–64 years old, mortality rate ratio [MRR] 8.05, 95% confidence interval [CI] 5.86–11.33), men (MRR 2.11, 95% CI 1.88–2.37), higher Hospital Frailty Risk Scores (high frailty versus no frailty, MRR 3.46, 95% CI 2.66–4.50), admission from a residential aged care facility (RACF) (MRR 2.28, 95% CI 1.85–2.82), and residing in a non-metropolitan region (MRR 1.22, 95% CI 1.09–1.38). The same factors were associated with 1-year mortality.ConclusionThe absolute increase in hip fractures highlights the need for interventions to reduce fracture risk, especially for those at higher risk of post-fracture mortality, including men and those who are frail, living in a non-metropolitan region, or residing in a RACF.

Evolution in Trends of Primary Lower-Extremity Amputations Associated With Diabetes or Peripheral Artery Disease From 2006 to 2019.

Given the importance in prevention of lower extremity amputations (LEAs) associated with diabetes or peripheral artery disease (PAD), we sought to document the trends of primary LEA in Québec, Canada, from years 2006 to2019. Using the Québec Integrated Chronic Disease Surveillance System, we calculated crude and age-standardized annual incidence rates of primary LEA associated with diabetes and PAD among adults ≥ 40 years (99% confidence intervals [CI]), and all-cause 1-year mortality proportion trends following a primary LEA (95% CI), stratified by minor or major as the highest level of LEA during the same hospital stay and age groups. Trends were assessed using multivariate regression models. In 2019, the crude rate of primary LEA was 116.0 per 100,000 (n= 825) with 93.7 and 21.9 per 100,000 of minor (n=665) and major (n= 160) LEA, respectively. A tendency of decrease by 8% (-15.0 to 0.4%) of age-standardized incidence of primary LEA was observed between 2006 and 2019, while the absolute number of primary LEA increased from 610 to 825 cases. Minor LEA increased by 14.2% (3.7 to 25.9%) and major LEA decreased by 49.5% (-57.1 to -40.5%). Incidence trends remained stable among the 40 to 64 years, and declined by 14.6% and 20.1% for the 65 to 79 and ≥ 80 years of age groups, respectively. Major LEA decreased in all age groups, whereas minor LEA increased by 26.2% among the patients 40 to 64 years of age only. Age-standardized 1-year mortality decreased by 35.1% (95% CI, -43.4 to -25.7%) between 2006 and 2019, with a crude 1-year mortality of 11.3% in2019. The reduction of major LEA and 1-year mortality are encouraging, although increased minor LEA, especially in younger age groups, emphasizes the importance to improve preventive care further.

Corpus Uteri Cancer in Kazakhstan: Recent Incidence Trends.

Endometrial cancer is the fifteenth most common malignant disease in the world. It is estimated that 417,367 new cases of this malignant neoplasm are diagnosed annually and 97,370 women die from it. The epidemiological features of the corpus uteri cancer (CUC) incidence and its spatial and temporal assessment in Kazakhstan were studied. The retrospective study was done for the period 2009-2018. Descriptive and analytical methods of epidemiology were used. Crude, age-specific, age-standardized, equalized incidence rates and approximation were calculated. The method of drawing up a cartogram based on the determination of the standard deviation (σ) from the mean (x) was applied. During the study period, 10,522 new cases of CUC were registered. The average annual age-standardized incidence rate was 11.1±0.2 cases per 100,000 population of female, (Т=+0.6%; R2=0.083). The analysis of ASIR showed unimodal growth with a peak at 65-69 years - 58.8±3.6 cases per 100,000 population of female. The most pronounced downward trend was revealed in the age group < 30 years (T=-2.6%), and the most pronounced annual average upward rates was in 80-84 years (T=+6.4%). The results of the spatial analysis showed regions with a higher levels of CUC incidence rate per 100,000 population of female: Pavlodar, Kostanay, Karaganda, Almaty city, North Kazakhstan and Astana city. In recent years, CUC incidence in Kazakhstan has been increasing. High incidence rates were found in the northern regions of the country, and the trend of incidence growth was more pronounced in the western and eastern regions.

Incidence and mortality from malignant mesothelioma 1982–2020 and relationship with asbestos exposure: the Australian Mesothelioma Registry

ObjectivesMalignant mesothelioma is an uncommon cancer associated with asbestos exposure, predominantly occupational. Asbestos has been banned in Australia since 2003 but mesothelioma has a long latency and incident cases continue...

Trends in three major histological subtypes of cutaneous melanoma in the Netherlands between 1989 and 2016.

Time trend analysis of cutaneous melanoma (CM) mortality in fair skin populations shows both a gradual decrease and/or an increase. To explain these differences, we analyzed long-term time trends in the incidence of the most common histological subtypes of CM: superficial spreading melanoma (SSM), lentigo maligna melanoma (LMM), and nodular melanoma (NM). Using data from the Netherlands Cancer Registry and Statistics Netherlands, the number and rates of cases diagnosed with SSM, LLM, and NM from 1989 to 2016 were analyzed by age, calendar period, and birth cohort of people born in successive periods from 1925 to 1973. Primary CM was diagnosed in 52,000 men and 66,588 women in the study period. The annual age-standardized incidence rate increased three-fold from 14 to 42 per 100,000 person-years. The most common subtype was SSM (50%), followed by LMM (23%) and NM (14%). Age-specific subtype rates showed an upward trend over time for both men and women. Younger birth cohorts had higher rates of SSM and LMM diagnosis than older birth cohorts. This birth cohort pattern was not observed for NM. We observed a strong increase in the melanoma epidemic curves in the light-skinned Dutch population over the last three decades. This increase is explained by younger generations having higher rates of SSM and LMM than older generations.

The Global Burden of Appendicitis in 204 Countries and Territories from 1990 to 2019.

Appendicitis is a common surgical emergency. This study aimed to estimate the worldwide burden and trends of appendicitis from 1990 to 2019. Data on appendicitis were derived from the Global Burden of Disease 2019. Incidence and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) data were analyzed at global, regional, and national levels and stratified by sex, age, and socio-demographic index. The estimated annual percentage change and relative change were used to assess changing trends. Pearson's correlation test was used to assess the correlation between different measures. Global incidence grew by 63.55% between 1990 and 2019, age-standardized incidence rate climbed by an estimated percentage change of 0.58 per year, whereas the number of DALY declined by 31.93% during the same period, with an estimated annual percentage change of -2.77. In 2019, the areas of Andean Latin America and the Caribbean had the highest age-standardized rates of incidence and DALYs. While South Asia saw the largest increase in age-standardized incidence rates, Andean Latin America saw the biggest decline in age-standardized rates of incidence and DALYs. At the national level, Bangladesh, Bhutan, and Peru were the top three countries in terms of age-standardized incidence rates in 2019, and Honduras, Haiti, and the Central African Republic held the highest age-standardized DALY rates. Ethiopia experienced the most age-standardized incidence rate increase, and Peru saw the largest decline in age-standardized rate of incidence and DALYs. Significant negative correlations between age-standardized DALY rates and socio-demographic index, between estimated annual percentage change and age-standardized incidence rates, were observed at the national level. Appendicitis remains a major global health concern. Although the trends in DALYs decreased, the burden of incidence increased from 1990 to 2019. Policymakers should create health policies adapted to local conditions to manage the burden of appendicitis globally.

Epidemiologic trends of multiple sclerosis in Puerto Rico (2013–2020)

BackgroundPrevious studies have demonstrated higher multiple sclerosis (MS) incidence and prevalence in Puerto Rico (PR) than in other Caribbean and Latin American countries. Our objectives are to update the epidemiologic trends in MS incidence and prevalence rates for PR from 2017 through 2020 and compare them to prior rate data from 2013 to 2016. MethodsWe used the Puerto Rico MS Foundation's registry (PRMS Registry) data to identify all newly diagnosed MS cases between January 2017 and December 2020. The study population included 568 MS patients, 406 women and 162 men living in PR. All individuals were 18 years and older and met the 2017 revised McDonald criteria for MS diagnosis. In addition, age- and sex-standardized incidence rates were estimated. ResultsA total of 568 new MS cases were diagnosed in Puerto Rico between 2017 and 2020. The 2020 MS cumulative prevalence for Puerto Rico was 95.3/100,000 (95% CI: 91.6, 99.1), higher than previously reported. The age- and sex-standardized MS incidence rate for Puerto Rico decreased from 6.5/100,000 (2017) to 6.3/100,000 (2020). The annual age-standardized MS incidence rates declined for females: from 9.5/100,000 (2017) to 8.2/100,000 (2020) but increased for males from 3.6/100,000 to 4.6/100,000 during the same period. ConclusionThese incidence and prevalence rates are among the highest reported among Caribbean and Latin American countries. A peak in the age- and sex-standardized MS incidence rate was observed after hurricane María (2018) and a decline during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic (2020). Further investigation is needed to determine whether there was a causal relationship between the fluctuations observed and those natural events.

Trends of colorectal cancer incidence according to age, anatomic site, and histological subgroup in Bavaria: A registry-based study.

BackgroundRecent studies reported an increase in colorectal cancer incidence for adults below 50 years. There is a lack of studies distinguishing between histological subgroups, especially from Europe.MethodsUsing data from the Bavarian Cancer Registry, we analyzed incidence trends in colorectal cancer by age (20–29, 30–39, 40–49, and 50 years and above), anatomic site (colon without appendix, appendix, and rectum), and histological subgroup (adenocarcinoma and neuroendocrine neoplasm) from 2005 to 2019. We calculated 3-year average annual age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) per 100,000 persons for the beginning (2005–2007) and the end (2017–2019) of the study period and estimated average annual percentage change.ResultsData from 137,469 persons diagnosed with colorectal cancer were included. From 139,420 cases in total, 109,825 (78.8%) were adenocarcinomas (ACs), 2,800 (2.0%) were neuroendocrine neoplasms (NENs), and 26,795 (19.2%) had other histologies. This analysis showed a significant increase in the 3-year average annual ASIR of colorectal NENs in all age groups between 2005–2007 and 2017–2019 with the highest increase in the age groups 30–39 years (0.47 to 1.53 cases per 100,000 persons; +226%; p < 0.05) and 20–29 years (0.52 to 1.38 cases per 100,000 persons; +165%; p < 0.05). The increase was driven by appendiceal and rectal NENs but not by colonic NENs. The 3-year average annual ASIR of colorectal ACs did not change significantly for the age groups below 50 years. For those aged 50 years and above, the 3-year average annual ASIR of colorectal ACs decreased significantly (132.55 to 105.95 cases per 100,000 persons; −20%; p < 0.05]). The proportion of NENs increased across all age groups, especially in the younger age groups.ConclusionFuture studies that analyze trends in early-onset colorectal cancer need to distinguish between anatomic sites as well as histological subgroups and may, thus, provide useful information regarding the organization of colorectal cancer screening, which primarily helps to detect adenomas and adenocarcinomas."

The Burden of Gout and Its Attributable Risk Factors in the Middle East and North Africa Region, 1990 to 2019.

This study reported the burden of gout and its attributable risk factors in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region between 1990 and 2019 by age, sex, and sociodemographic index (SDI). Data on the prevalence, incidence, and years lived with disability (YLD) due to gout were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study for the 21 countries in the MENA region, from 1990 to 2019. In 2019, the regional age-standardized point prevalence and annual incidence rates of gout were 509.1 and 97.7 per 100,000 population, which represent a 12% and 11.1% increase since 1990, respectively. Moreover, in 2019 the regional age-standardized YLD rate was 15.8 per 100,000 population, an 11.7% increase since 1990. In 2019, Qatar and Afghanistan had the highest and lowest age-standardized YLD rates, respectively. Regionally, the age-standardized point prevalence of gout increased with age up to the oldest age group, and it was more prevalent among males in all age groups. In addition, there was an overall positive association between SDI and the burden of gout between 1990 and 2019. In 2019, high BMI (46.1%) was the largest contributor to the burden of gout in the MENA region. There were large intercountry variations in the burden of gout, but in general, it has increased in MENA over the last 3 decades. This increase is in line with the global trends of gout. However, the age-standardized YLD rate change was higher in MENA than at the global level.

Countdown on hepatitis B elimination by 2030: the global burden of liver disease related to hepatitis B and association with socioeconomic status.

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection causes both acute and chronic liver disease, performing the key driver toward the global elimination of viral hepatitis by 2030. We used data from Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study to quantify the burden of liver disease due to hepatitis B at the global, regional and national levels. Annual incident cases and age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) of liver disease due to hepatitis B between 1990 and 2019 were collected from GBD study 2019. Percentage changes of incident cases and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) of ASIRs were calculated to quantify their temporal trends. Correlations between EAPC and socio-demographic index (SDI) and universal health coverage index (UHCI) were evaluated by Pearson correlation analyses. Globally, the incident cases of liver disease due to hepatitis B decreased by 4.51% from 84.45 million in 1990 to 80.65 million in 2019 and ASIR decreased by an average of 1.52% (95%CI -1.66%, -1.37%) per year in this period. For the spectrum of liver disease due to hepatitis B, ASIR of cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases increased by an average of 0.13% (95%CI 0.04%, 0.22%) per year in low SDI region and 0.24% (95%CI 0.04%, 0.34%) per year in low-middle SDI region, and ASIR of liver cancer increased by an average of 0.91% (95%CI 0.37%, 1.46%) per year in high SDI region in 1990-2019. Positive correlations of EAPC in ASIR of liver cancer with SDI and UHCI were observed in nations with SDI ≥ 0.7 or UHCI ≥ 70. HBV infection remains a global health problem, causing low and low-middle SDI regions with an increasing trend of cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases, and high SDI region with an increasing trend of liver cancer. Efforts to eliminate hepatitis B by 2030 needs to focus on not only developing regions but also developed regions.

Burden of tension-type headache in the Middle East and North Africa region, 1990-2019

IntroductionTension-type headache (TTH) is the most prevalent neurological disorder. As there is a gap in the literature regarding the disease burden attributable to TTH in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, the aim of the present study was to report the epidemiological indicators of TTH in MENA, from 1990 to 2019, by sex, age and socio-demographic index (SDI).MethodsPublicly available data on the point prevalence, annual incidence and years lived with disability (YLDs) were retrieved from the global burden of disease (GBD) 2019 study for the 21 countries and territories in MENA, between 1990 and 2019. The results were presented with numbers and age-standardised rates per 100000 population, along with their corresponding 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs).ResultsIn 2019, the age-standardised point prevalence and annual incidence rates for TTH in the MENA region were 24504.5 and 8680.1 per 100000, respectively, which represents a 2.0% and a 0.9% increase over 1990-2019, respectively. The age-standardised YLD rate of TTH in this region in 2019 was estimated to be 68.1 per 100000 population, which has increased 1.0% since 1990. Iran [29640.4] had the highest age-standardised point prevalence rate for TTH, while Turkey [21726.3] had the lowest. In 2019, the regional point prevalence of TTH was highest in the 35-39 and 70-74 age groups, for males and females, respectively. Furthermore, the number of prevalent cases was estimated to be highest in those aged 35-39 and 25-29 years, in both males and females, respectively. Moreover, the burden of TTH was not observed to have a clear association with SDI.ConclusionsWhile the prevalence of TTH in the MENA region increased from 1990 to 2019, the incidence rate did not change. In addition, the burden of TTH in MENA was higher than at the global level for both sexes and all age groups. Therefore, prevention of TTH would help alleviate the attributable burden imposed on the hundreds of millions of people suffering from TTH around the region.

Prevalence, incidence and years lived with disability due to polycystic ovary syndrome in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019.

What is the global, regional and national burden of polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS), by age and socio-demographic index (SDI), over the period 1990-2019? In 2019, the global age-standardized point prevalence, incidence and years lived with disability (YLD) of PCOS were 30.4, 29.5 and 29.9 per 100 000 population, respectively. Data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2017 showed that the global age-standardized PCOS incidence rate increased 1.45% over the period 1990-2017. A systematic analysis of the PCOS prevalence, incidence and YLDs across 204 countries and territories was performed. Data on the point prevalence, annual incidence and YLDs due to PCOS were retrieved from the GBD study 2019 for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. The counts and age-standardized rates (per 100 000) are presented, along with their corresponding 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). In 2019, the global age-standardized point prevalence and annual incidence rates for PCOS were 1677.8 (95% UI: 1166.0 to 2192.4) and 59.8 (95% UI: 41.7 to 78.9) per 100 000, which represents a 30.4% and 29.5% increase since 1990, respectively. Moreover, the global age-standardized YLD rate in 2019 was 14.7 (6.3-29.5), an increase of 29.9% since 1990. In 2019, Italy (7897.0), Japan (6298.7) and New Zealand (5419.1) had the highest estimated age-standardized point prevalences of PCOS. Globally, the number of prevalent cases and the point prevalence of PCOS peaked in the 25-29 years and 40-44 years age groups, respectively. Positive associations were found between the burden of PCOS and the SDI at the regional and national levels. Variations in how PCOS was defined is a major limitation that prevents valid comparisons between different regions. Globally, the burden of PCOS has increased at an alarming rate, making it a major public health concern. Increasing public awareness about this common condition, improving management options and increasing support to reduce factors which lead to further complications, need to be public health priorities. The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, who were not involved in any way in the preparation of this manuscript, funded the GBD study. The Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran (Grant No. 28709) also supported the present report. The authors declare no competing interests. N/A.

Breast Cancer Incidence in Kyrgyzstan: Report of 15 Years of Cancer Registry.

Objective:The epidemiological features of the breast cancer (BC) incidence in Kyrgyzstan were studied.Methods:The retrospective study (2003-2017). Descriptive and analytical methods of oncoepidemiology were used. Crude (CR), age-specific (ASIR), age-standardized (ASR), equalized incidence rates and approximation were calculated. The method of drawing up a cartogram based on the determination of the standard deviation (σ) from the mean (x) was applied. Results:During the study period, 7,850 new cases of BC were registered. The average annual crude and age-standardized incidence rate were 18.8±0.5 and 24.0±0.5 cases per 100,000 population of female, respectively, and their trends tended to increase (Т=+1.0%; R2=0.242 and Т=+0.2%; R2=0.015, respectively). The analysis of ASIR showed unimodal growth with a peak at 60-64 years – 85.9±4.9 cases per 100,000 population of female. ASIR trends decreased in the age groups of 40-59 years, and the most pronounced decrease was in 50-54 years (T=−1.5%; R2=0.391), in other age groups the trend increased and were most pronounced up to 30 years (T=+4.4%; R2=0.180). Trends in ASR of BС tended to grow in almost all regions, with higher levels in Osh (Т=+3.6%; R2=0.665) and Jalal-Abad (Т=+3.8%; R2=0.551) regions. The cartograms of ASR per 100,000 population of female were allocated according to the following criteria: low – up to 17.2, average – from 17.2 to 26.5, high – above 26.5. The results of the spatial analysis showed the regions with a higher levels of BC incidence rate per 100,000 population of female: Chuy (31.3), Osh city (27.1) and Bishkek city (39.2). Conclusion:The study of the epidemiological spatio-temporal features of the incidence of breast cancer is of both theoretical and practical interest and plays an important role in monitoring and evaluating anticancer activities.

Global burden of primary liver cancer by five etiologies and global prediction by 2035 based on global burden of disease study 2019.

BackgroundUsing data from the global burden of disease (GBD) between 1990 and 2019 to report the leading etiological factors and hazards for liver cancer by HBV (LCHB), HCV (LCHC), alcoholic use (LCAL), NASH (LCNA), and other causes (LCOT).MethodThe estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) and age‐standardized incidence rate (ASR) in different districts, sex, and age are used to quantify the change of etiologies of liver cancer. Age‐period‐cohort models were performed to predict the primary liver cancer incidence and case numbers.ResultsBased on the GBD database of the whole world for the five etiologies of liver cancer in 2019, the percentage of incidence of LCAL, LCHB, LCHC, LCNA, and LCOT are 18.4%, 41%, 28.5%, 6.8%, and 5.3%, respectively. Fiver etiologies of liver cancer show gender differences, with LCHB and LCAL being more prevalent in men, and LCHC, LCNA being more prevalent in women. Besides, live cancer of males is because of alcohol using and smoking, while the reason of liver cancer of females is drug use, high BMI and high fasting plasma glucose. Interestingly, the incidence of LCHC in women over 85 years old, LCNA in women over 75 years old, and LCOT in women over 75 years old were all higher than that in men. According to the future prediction, the incidence rate of liver cancer itself, as well as the five causes of liver cancer, tends to decrease gradually after 2019, while the incidence rate of LCNA in males will continue to increase until 2025.ConclusionsThe incidence of liver cancer has been increasing and its major causes vary considerably at global, regional, or national levels, also vary by gender and age group.

Age-standardised incidence rate and epidemiology of colorectal cancer in Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis

ObjectivesColorectal cancer (CRC) is the second-leading cause of cancer deaths globally, with low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) disproportionately affected. Estimates of CRC rates in LMIC are scarce. We aimed to...

Changes in type 2 diabetes incidence and mortality associated with introduction of HbA1c as diagnostic option: A Danish 24-year population-based study.

SummaryBackgroundIn 2011, the World Health Organization began recommending glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) as a measure for diagnosing type 2 diabetes (T2D). This initiative may have changed basic T2D epidemiology. Consequently, we examined time changes in T2D incidence and mortality during 1995-2018.MethodsIn this population-based cohort study, we included 415,553 individuals with incident T2D. We calculated annual age-standardized incidence rates of T2D. We examined HbA1c testing and used Poisson-regression to investigate all-cause mortality among the T2D patients and a matched comparison cohort from the general population over successive 3-year periods.FindingsFrom 1995 to the 2012 introduction of HbA1c testing as a diagnostic option in Denmark, the annual standardized incidence rate (SIR) of T2D doubled, from 193 to 396 per 100,000 persons (4.1% increase annually). From 2012 onwards, the T2D incidence declined by 36%, reaching 253 per 100,000 persons in 2018 (5.7% decrease annually). This was driven by fewer patients starting treatment with an HbA1c measurement of <6·5% or without prior HbA1c testing. Mortality per 1,000 person-years following a T2D diagnosis decreased by 44% between 1995-1997 and 2010-2012, from 69 deaths to 38 deaths (adjusted mortality rate ratio: 0·55 (95% CI: 0·54-0·56)). After the low level during 2010-2012, mortality increased again by 27% to 48 per 1,000 person-years (95% CI: 46-50) by 2016-2018.InterpretationOur findings suggest that introducing HbA1c as a diagnostic option may have changed basic T2D epidemiology by leaving patients undiagnosed, that previously would have been diagnosed and treated.FundingAarhus University funded the study and had no further involvement.

Mobile Phone Use and Time Trend of Brain Cancer Incidence Rate in Korea

This study evaluated the time trends in mobile phone subscriber number by mobile network generation (G) and brain cancer incidence by type in Korea. We obtained data from the Information Technology Statistics of Korea (1984-2017) and Korea Central Cancer Registry (1999-2017). The average annual percent change was estimated using Joinpoint regression analysis. We evaluated 29,721 brain cancer cases with an age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) of 2.89/100,000 persons. The glioma and glioblastoma annual ASR significantly increased in 2.6% and 3.9% of males and 3.0% and 3.8% of females, respectively. The ASR for frontal lobe involvement was the highest. The ASR of gliomas of unspecified grade annually increased by 7.8%; those for unspecified topology and histology decreased. The incidence of glioma, glioblastoma, frontal, temporal, and high-grade glioma increased among those aged ≥60 years. No association was observed between the mobile phone subscriber number and brain cancer incidence in Korea. Furthermore, long-term research is warranted because of the latency period of brain cancer. © 2021 Bioelectromagnetics Society.