Analysis Of Prognostic Factors Research Articles

Analysis of Prognostic Factors for Mortality in Patients With Gastrointestinal Bleeding: Application of Machine Learning Tools

Introduction: Treatment of upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a complex challenge due to the wide range of causes and factors affecting hospitalization outcomes.Objective: To study the impact of various factors on 30-day hospital outcomes using machine learning (ML) tools.Materials and methods: We compiled a retrospective data set that includes clinical, laboratory, and imaging data of 101 patients. The database was divided into 2 groups by UGIB etiology: ulcer and variceal bleedings. Both etiological groups were processed using ML tools in 2 steps: imputation by the MICE (multiple imputation by chained equations) model and factor importance analysis using the Random Forest model.Results: Analysis revealed that the most prognostically valuable parameters in both groups were well-known mortality predictors and emerging predictive factors, such as creatinine, blood pressure, activated partial thromboplastin time, level of consciousness, urea, lactate, comorbidity status, procalcitonin, ferritin, and total protein.Conclusions: The application of advanced tools confirmed the significance of popular and validated mortality predictors and contributed to the development of predictors, both explored and unexplored ones.

Survival status and prognostic factors analysis in patients with hereditary hemorrhagic telangiectasia-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension

Objective: To analyze the survival status and prognostic factors of patients with hereditary hemorrhagic telangiectasia-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension (HHT-PAH). Methods: This prospective study included patients diagnosed with HHT-PAH at the Fuwai Hospital of the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Guangdong General Hospital from August 2009 to December 2019. Patients were followed up every 6 months±2 weeks, with all-cause mortality as the study endpoint. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression mode was used to further screen and validate the prognostic factors. Survival curves were plotted using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the log-rank test was used to compare the survival time differences between patients with and without hepatic arteriovenous malformations. Results: A total of 18 HHT-PAH patients were included, with 14 females (77.8%) and a median age [M (Q1, Q3)] of 39 (32, 45) years. The median follow-up time was 129 (51, 156) months. During the follow-up period, 12 patients (66.7%) died, with a median survival time of 70 (32, 123) months. The 1-year, 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year survival rates were 100.0%, 70.8%(95%CI: 52.3%-96.0%), 53.1%(95%CI: 34.0%-83.0%), and 26.6%(95%CI: 10.6%-66.4%), respectively. HHT-PAH patients with hepatic arteriovenous malformations had a shorter median survival time than those without hepatic arteriovenous malformations [31.0 months (95%CI: 16.6-45.4 months) vs 84.0 months (95%CI: 54.4-113.6 months), P=0.024]. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that hepatic arteriovenous malformation (HR=4.493, 95%CI: 1.064-18.978) was a risk factor for all-cause mortality in HHT-PAH patients. Conclusions: The 10-year survival rate of HHT-PAH patients is poor. The presence of hepatic arteriovenous malformations is a risk factor for mortality in HHT-PAH patients.

Long-term outcomes and prognostic factors of short-course radiotherapy (SCRT) in rectal cancer: a monocentric retrospective study.

To evaluate efficacy and tolerance of short-course radiotherapy (SCRT) prior to possible chemotherapy (CHT) and surgery in 64 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer, in terms of acute and early late toxicity and survival outcomes with prognostic factors. Sixty-four patients affected by rectal tumor were treated from 2008 to 2023 radiation therapy, with a total dose of 25Gy in 5 fractions. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the rates of overall survival (OS), cancer specific survival (CSS), local control (LC), disease free survival (DFS) and metastasis free survival (MFS). Univariate analysis for prognostic factors was performed with the log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazard ratios. Toxicity assessment has been considered in acute and in early late for gastrointestinal (GI), genitourinary (GU) districts. Median follow-up was 49.6months. The median OS was 65months with 1-year, 2-year and 5-year OS at 90.6%, 77.7% and 60% respectively. CSS at the 1-year, 2-year and 5-year was 98.3%, 96.2% and 86.2% respectively. LC at 1-year, 2-year and 5-year was 93.4%, 89.4% and 87.2% respectively. DFS at the 1-year, 2-year and 5-year was 93.4%, 89% and 87% respectively. The status of lymph nodes at diagnosis was a prognostic factor in term of LC and DFS. Acute GI toxicity was G1 in 10 (15.6%) patients. Five (7.8%) patients had a G1 acute GU toxicity. Fifteen (23.4%) patients developed chronic GI toxicities. SCRT is an effective treatment in patients with rectal cancer and provides good outcomes with very low rates of toxicity profile.

Age Stratification and Prognostic Factor Analysis in Pediatric Differentiated Thyroid Cancer.

Differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is rare in the pediatric population. It remains unclear whether younger children are at greater risk of more aggressive disease. We aimed to identify prognostic factors for aggressive pediatric DTC and to define an appropriate age stratification. This retrospective cohort study included all patients aged 18 years or less who were treated for DTC between 1985 and 2021 in a tertiary medical center and were followed up for a minimum of 1.5 years after treatment. Seventy-eight patients were included, all diagnosed with papillary thyroid carcinoma: 30 (38.5%) low-risk, 21 (26.9%) intermediate-risk, and 27 (34.6%) high-risk according to the American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk stratification. The mean duration of follow-up was 11.8 ± 7.8 years. No evidence of disease was documented in 52 patients (66.7%) at 1-year post-treatment and 64 patients (82.1%) at the end of follow-up. On analysis by age, evidence of disease at 1-year post-treatment was found in 66.7% of children younger than 11 years, compared to 25.4% of older children (p = 0.002). There was no significant difference by age in evidence of disease at the last follow-up (p = 0.453). Patients aged <11 years at diagnosis were associated with more aggressive disease features on histopathologic examination, metastatic disease, and high ATA risk level. Patients aged <8 years were associated with more frequent bilateral disease and extrathyroidal extension. Pediatric DTC patients who are younger than 11 years at diagnosis have more aggressive disease features and a lower early remission rate than older patients. Nevertheless, their long-term outcome is satisfactory. 4-retrospective cohort study Laryngoscope, 134:4818-4825, 2024.

Lymphocyte subsets in pediatric acute lymphoblastic leukemia and their prognostic value.

To study the changes of lymphocyte subsets in children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) at initial diagnosis and compare them with those of healthy children and patients who have achieved complete remission (CR). Furthermore, we aim to analyze the prognostic significance of lymphocyte subsets in these patients. From May 2011 to December 2015, 405 children with ALL were enrolled in this study. Peripheral blood was collected at the time of diagnosis, and lymphocyte subsets were detected by flow cytometry. Then, the percentages of lymphocyte subsets in each group were compared. In addition, survival and prognostic factor analyses were performed to determine the prognostic value of lymphocyte subsets. Lymphocyte subsets in children with ALL were dramatically different from those in healthy children and patients achieving CR. Additionally, lymphocyte subsets were correlated with different minimal residual disease and risk parameters. Furthermore, percentages of CD3+ T cells and CD4+ T cells and the ratio of CD4/CD8 were associated with different clinical outcomes. Multivariate analysis demonstrated the percentage of CD4+ T cell as an independent predictor for clinical prognosis. Lymphocyte subsets in pediatric ALL undergo dramatic changes and were related to prognosis, especially CD4+ T cells.

Subthalamic Nucleus Deep Brain Stimulation for Meige Syndrome: Long-Term Outcomes and Analysis of Prognostic Factors.

The aim of this study was to explore the impacts of subthalamic nucleus deep brain stimulation (STN-DBS) on both motor and nonmotor symptoms in individuals with Meige syndrome, as well as further investigates prognostic factors for long-term postoperative outcomes. We retrospectively reviewed a consecutive cohort of patients with intractable Meige syndrome who underwent STN-DBS at our center from January 2016 to July 2023. Motor function, quality of life, neuropsychological status, and mood state were evaluated with standardized scales at baseline and every 3 to 6 months thereafter. Univariate and multivariate linear regression analyses were used to determine independent risk factors that affect long-term motor function after STN-DBS. Fifty-five patients were ultimately analyzed with a mean follow-up of 62.1 ± 25.7 months. At the final postoperative assessment, movement and disability scores of the Burke-Fahn-Marsden Dystonia Rating Scale demonstrated improvements of 61% (P < .001) and 57% (P < .001), respectively. Postoperative scores on the 36-item Short-Form General Health Survey showed significant improvement from baseline. Global cognitive function and neuropsychological status remained stable during continuous neurostimulation. Multivariate linear regression analysis revealed that longer disease duration (standardized β coefficient = -0.294, 95% CI -0.039 to -0.007, P = .006), older age at surgery (standardized β coefficient = -0.382, 95% CI -0.014 to -0.004, P = .001), and smaller volume of tissue activated within the sensorimotor subregion of STN (standardized β coefficient = 0.309, 95% CI 0.001-0.004, P = .004) were independently correlated with poorer long-term motor performance. Bilateral STN-DBS is an effective, safe, and promising treatment option for Meige syndrome, which can improve motor function and quality of life without cognitive and mood side effects. Early diagnosis, prompt intervention, and accurate lead placement in the dorsolateral STN are crucial to optimize long-term therapeutic outcomes.

Analysis of clinical features, treatment methods, and prognostic influence factors in patients with malignant peripheral nerve sheath tumor

To investigate the clinical features, treatment methods, and prognostic influence factors of patients with malignant peripheral nerve sheath tumor (MPNST). A retrospective analysis was conducted on 96 MPNST patients treated between January 1, 2015 and December 31, 2021. There were 46 males and 50 females, aged between 15 and 87 years (mean, 48.2 years). The tumors were located in the trunk in 50 cases, extremities in 39 cases, and head and neck in 7 cases. The maximum tumor diameter was <5 cm in 49 cases, ≥5 cm in 32 cases, with 15 cases missing data. Tumor depth was deep in 77 cases and superficial in 19 cases. The Fédération Nationale des Centres de Lutte Contre le Cancer (FNCLCC) histological grading was G1 in 9 cases, G2 in 12 cases, and G3 in 34 cases, with 41 cases missing data. There were 37 recurrent MPNST cases, 32 cases with neurofibromatosis type 1 (NF1), and 26 cases in stage Ⅳ. Postoperative adjuvant radiotherapy was administered to 25 patients, perioperative chemotherapy to 45 patients, and anlotinib-targeted therapy to 30 patients. R 0 resection was achieved in 73 cases. Patients were divided into groups based on the presence or absence of NF1, and baseline data between the two groups were compared. Kaplan-Meier curves were generated to assess disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) based on various factors (age, gender, presence of NF1, recurrent MPNST, stage Ⅳ MPNST, FNCLCC grade, R 0 resection, tumor location, tumor size, tumor depth, perioperative chemotherapy, postoperative adjuvant radiotherapy, and anlotinib-targeted therapy), and differences between survival curves were analyzed using the Log-Rank test. Multivariate COX proportional hazards regression was used to identify independent prognostic factors for MPNST. Patients with NF1 had a significantly higher proportion of superficial tumors and lower FNCLCC grade compared to those without NF1 ( P<0.05); no significant difference was found for other variables ( P<0.05). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that recurrent MPNST, stage Ⅳ MPNST, FNCLCC grade, R 0 resection, perioperative chemotherapy, and anlotinib-targeted therapy were factors influencing 1-year DFS ( P<0.05), while stage Ⅳ MPNST, FNCLCC grade, and perioperative chemotherapy were factors affecting 3-year OS ( P<0.05). Multivariate COX proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that recurrent MPNST and high-grade FNCLCC (G3) were independent prognostic factors for 1-year DFS ( P<0.05), while stage Ⅳ MPNST, superficial tumor depth, age over 60 years, postoperative adjuvant radiotherapy, and anlotinib-targeted therapy were independent prognostic factors for 3-year OS ( P<0.05). MPNST patients with NF1 tend to have more superficial tumors and lower FNCLCC grades. FNCLCC grade, R 0 resection, and adjuvant therapies, including radiotherapy and anlotinib-targeted therapy, are closely associated with MPNST prognosis. Complete surgical resection should be prioritized in clinical management, along with adjuvant treatments such as radiotherapy and targeted therapy of anlotinib to improve patient outcomes.

Analysis of treatment benefits and prognostic factors for posttransplant HCC recurrence in a large Euro-American-Asian cohort.

Posttransplant HCC recurrence significantly impacts survival, yet its management is challenging due to limited evidence. With recent advancements in HCC treatment, updated data on managing recurrent diseases are needed. In this retrospective study across 6 centers (2000-2022), we employed Cox proportional-hazards regression and log-rank tests to assess survival differences. A prognostic score model was developed to categorize patient survival. The efficacy of tyrosine kinase inhibitors was evaluated through propensity score matching. In our study, 431 of 3349 (14%) patients with HCC who underwent transplantation developed recurrence within a median interval of 18 (IQR: 9-32) months. One hundred forty-seven (34%) underwent curative-intent treatments, 207 (48%) received palliative treatments, and 77 (18%) were given best-supportive care. Patients undergoing curative-intent treatments had better survival from the time of recurrence with a median survival of 45 (95% CI: 36-63) months and 1/3/5-year survival of 90%/56%/43% compared to those receiving noncurative treatments (median: 11 [95% CI: 10-13] mo, 1/3/5-y survival of 46%/10%/7%, log-rank p < 0.001). Patients with recurrence diagnosed in the era 2018-2022 showed improved survival over the previous era (HR 0.64 [95% CI: 0.47-0.86]). Multivariable analysis identified 5 prognostic factors: ineligibility for curative-intent treatment (HR: 3.5 [95% CI: 2.7-4.6]), recurrence within 1 year (HR: 1.7 [95% CI: 1.3-2.1]), poor tumor differentiation (HR: 1.5 [95% CI: 1.1-1.9]), RETREAT score ≥3 (HR: 1.4 [95% CI: 1.1-1.8]), and alpha-fetoprotein at recurrence ≥400ng/mL (HR: 1.4 [95% CI: 1.1-1.9]). These factors contributed to a prognostic scoring system (0-9) that stratified patients into 3 prognosis groups. Both propensity score-matched analysis and multivariable regression indicated that lenvatinib was not statistically superior to sorafenib in terms of efficacy. Curative-intent treatments should be advocated for patients with posttransplant recurrence whenever possible. Prognostic factors linked to aggressive tumor biology significantly influence survival. Advancements in HCC management have improved survival outcomes over the past 5 years.

Analysis of predictive effect of European treatment and outcome study long term survival score on survival outcomes in children with chronic myeloid leukemia of chronic phase

Objective: To explore the predictive effect of European treatment and outcome study long term survival (ELTS) score on survival outcomes in chronic myeloid leukemia of chronic phase (CML-CP) children. Methods: A single-center retrospective cohort study was conducted. Clinical data of 216 children with CML-CP in Peking University People's Hospital from January 2010 to December 2023 were analyzed. Children were divided into low, intermediate and high-risk groups according to ELTS score. The survival outcomes and prognostic factors were analyzed. Kaplan-Meier method and Log-Rank test were used for survival analysis.Cox regression model was applied for analysis of prognostic factors. Results: Among the 216 children with CML-CP, there were 122 males and 94 females, with the diagnosis age of 11.0 (8.0, 14.7) years. The follow-up time was 77 (57, 99) months. According to ELTS score, 145, 52, and 19 children were classified as low, intermediate and high-risk group. For the low-risk and intermediate/high-risk groups, the 6-year failure-free survival (FFS) rates were (83.0±3.1)% and (64.6±5.7)%, the 6-year progression-free survival (PFS) rates were (91.4±2.3)% and (78.7±4.8)%, and the 6-year event-free survival (EFS) rates were (80.8±3.3)% and (64.2±5.7)%, with statistically significant difference (χ2=9.45, 7.16, 7.40, P=0.002, 0.007, 0.007), respectively.The 6-year overall survival (OS) rates were (98.5±1.0)% and (95.6±2.4)%, without statistically significant difference (χ2=0.35, P=0.550). Multivariate analysis showed that ELTS score was an independent prognostic factor or tendency for FFS (HR=1.97, 95%CI 1.11-3.49), PFS (HR=2.95, 95%CI 1.18-7.39), and no independent prognostic factor for EFS and OS were found. Conclusions: ELTS score at diagnosis can help stratify the risk of children with CML-CP. The children in intermediate/high-risk group are more likely to have treatment failure, disease progression than those in low-risk group, but the predictive ability of ELTS score for OS is limited.

Analysis of Therapeutic Efficacy and Adverse Prognostic Factors of Secondary Central Nervous System Lymphoma

To explore the therapeutic efficacy and prognostic factors of induction therapy for secondary central nervous system lymphoma (SCNSL). Clinical data of patients diagnosed with SCNSL from 2010 to 2021 at Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital were retrospectively collected. A retrospective cohort study was performed on all and grouped patients to analyze the efficacy and survival. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to explore the adverse prognostic factors. Thirty-seven diffuse large B-cell lymphoma patients with secondary central involvement were included in the research. Their 2-year overall survival (OS) rate was 46.01% and median survival time was 18.1 months. The 2-year OS rates of HD-MTX group and TMZ group were 34.3% and 61%, median survival time were 8.7 and 38.3 months, and median progression-free survival time were 8.1 and 47 months, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, sex, IPI, Ann Arbor stage were correlated with patient survival time. The median survival time of patients with CD79B, KMT2D, CXCR4, ERBB2, TBL1XR1, BTG2, MYC, MYD88, and PIM1 mutations was 8.2 months, which was lower than the overall level. HD-MTX combined with TMZ as the first-line strategy may improve patient prognosis, and early application of gene sequencing is beneficial for evaluating prognosis.

Analysis of Characteristics and Prognostic Factors of Full-Frequency Idiopathic Sudden Sensorineural Hearing Loss with Hyperlipidemia.

To explore the relationship between hyperlipidemia and full-frequency idiopathic sudden sensorineural hearing loss (FFHL). A total of 145 FFHL patients admitted from September 2021 to May 2024 were analyzed. Eighty-five patients with hyperlipidemia and 60 patients with normal serum lipids statistically analyze the patient's gender, age, onset time, accompanying symptoms, and serum lipids. Measure the pure tone hearing threshold before and after treatment, and calculate the average increase in hearing threshold. Compare the correlation between various factors and prognosis. The hyperlipidemia group had a higher proportion of males (P=0.043) and vertigo (P=0.044) compared to the control group, while other information between the two groups lacked statistical significance. Effective patients (n=44) in the hyperlipidemia group showed significant differences in vertigo (P=0.020), age (P=0.032), and onset (P=0.030) compared to ineffective patients (n=41). Analysis showed that these were independent correlated factors affecting prognosis. Other indicators, including serum lipids, have no significance in predicting the prognosis of patients with hyperlipidemia and complete frequency decline in hearing loss. Patients with hyperlipidemia have higher rates of males and vertigo. The age, onset, and vertigo of patients with hyperlipidemia are related to prognosis, while various lipid indicators are not related to the prognosis of sudden hearing loss.

Oncological and reproductive outcomes after fertility-sparing surgery in patients with stage Ⅱ-Ⅲ borderline ovarian tumor

Objective: To evaluate oncological and reproductive outcomes of women ≤40 years undergoing fertility-sparing surgery (FSS) for stage Ⅱ or Ⅲ borderline ovarian tumor (BOT). Methods: The patients with BOT and ≤40 years old with stage Ⅱ-Ⅲ BOT who underwent FSS enrolled from the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University between January 2011 and March 2023 were analyzed retrospectively. The clinical data and follow-up results were obtained and analyzed. The univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis were used to explore high-risk factors associated with prognosis. Additionally, pregnancy outcomes were also analyzed. Results: (1) A total of 79 patients with stage Ⅱ-Ⅲ BOT who have been treated with FSS were conducted, with an average age of (27.5±6.7) years old. The median tumor maximum diameter were 10.4 cm (range: 4.8-90.0 cm). The International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage was stage Ⅱ in 45 cases and stage Ⅲ in 34 cases. According to the pathological types, there were 48 cases of serous tumor, 21 cases of mucinous tumor, 1 case of endometrioid tumor, and 9 cases of mixed types. There were 41 cases of unilateral ovarian involvement, 38 cases of bilateral ovarian involvement. There were 5 cases of microinvasion, 17 cases of micropapillary subtype. Extra-ovarian invasive implants were found in 5 cases, and there were 31 cases of merged ascites. (2) Tumor outcomes: the median follow-up time from primary cytoreduction were 58 months (range: 8-146 months). At the end of the observation period, 24 cases (30%, 24/79) recurred, among them 5 cases had two recurrences and 2 cases had three recurrences. There were 2 cases (3%, 2/79) of death and 1 case (1%, 1/79) of survival with tumor. (3) Analysis of prognostic risk factors: the results of univariate analysis showed that mucinous tumor, tumor maximum diameter >13.15 cm, FIGO stage Ⅲ, merged ascites, micropapillary subtype, invasive implantation, and bilateral ovarian involvement were independent risk factors (all P<0.05) for disease-free survival (DFS). FIGO stage Ⅲ (HR=4.555, 95%CI: 1.525-13.607; P=0.007) and micropapillary subtype (HR=2.396, 95%CI: 1.003-5.725; P=0.049) were found to be related to DFS through the multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. (4) Pregnancy outcomes: among the patients with fertility intentions 36 cases (46%,36/79), 29 cases (81%, 29/36) had successful pregnancies, and 27 cases (75%, 27/36) had successful births. Conclusions: Patients with stage Ⅱ-Ⅲ BOT underwent FSS have favorable survival and pregnancy rates. Micropapillary subtypes and FIGO staging (stage Ⅲ) are the significant risk factors of DFS.

Predictive models and treatment efficacy for liver cancer patients with bone metastases: A comprehensive analysis of prognostic factors and nomogram development

BackgroundBone metastasis considerably undermines the prognosis of advanced primary liver cancer patients. Though its impact is well-recognized, the clinical field still lacks robust predictive models that can accurately forecast patient outcomes and aid in treatment effectiveness evaluation. Addressing this gap is paramount for improving patient management and survival. Materials and methodsWe conducted an extensive analysis using data from the SEER database (2010–2020). COX regression analysis was applied to identify prognostic factors for primary liver cancer with bone metastasis (PLCBM). Nomograms were developed and validated to predict survival outcomes in PLCBM patients. Additionally, propensity score matching and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses lent additional insight by dissecting the survival advantage conferred by various treatment strategies. ResultsA total of 470 patients with PLCBM were included in our study. The median overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) for these patients were both 5 months. We unveiled several independent prognosticators for OS and CSS, spanning demographic to therapeutic parameters like marital status, cancer grade, histological type, and treatments received. This discovery enabled the formulation of two novel nomograms—now verified to eclipse the predictive prowess of the traditional TNM staging system regarding discrimination and clinical utility. Additionally, propensity score matching analysis showed the effectiveness of surgeries, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy in improving OS and CSS outcomes for PLCBM patients. ConclusionsOur investigation stands out by introducing pioneering nomograms for prognostic evaluation in PLCBM, a leap forward compared to existing tools. Far exceeding mere academic exercise, these nomograms hold immense clinical value, serving as a foundation for nuanced risk stratification systems and delivering dynamic, interactive guides, allowing healthcare professionals and patients to assess individual bone metastasis survival probabilities and personalize treatment selection.

EGFR-Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitor Combined with Radiotherapy in 105 Patients of Lung Adenocarcinoma with Brain Metastasis: A Retrospective Study of Prognostic Factor Analysis

Introduction: This study aimed to retrospectively analyse the response and prognosis factors for patients with lung adenocarcinoma exhibiting brain metastasis and epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutations, who were treated with a combination of EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) and brain radiotherapy (RT). Methods: Clinicopathological data of patients with lung adenocarcinoma were collected from January 2021 to January 2024 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Hebei North University. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS version 26.0, with significance set at p < 0.05. Results: A total of 105 patients were included. The overall survival (OS) rates at 1, 2, and 3 years were 82.9%, 61.2%, and 33.7%, respectively. The progression-free survival 1 (PFS1) rates at 1, 2, and 3 years were 62.7%, 36.6%, and 22.1%, respectively. The progression-free survival 2 (PFS2) rates at 1, 2, and 3 years were 80.8%, 54.6%, and 31.4%, respectively. The median OS, PFS1, and PFS2 were 29.8, 18.0, and 28.1 months, respectively. Cox multivariate analysis identified gene mutation status and brain radiation dose as independent prognostic factors for OS. For PFS1, gene mutation status, brain radiation dose, and initial treatment response were independent prognostic factors. Clinical stage, gene mutation status, brain radiation dose, and initial treatment response were independent prognostic factors for PFS2. Conclusion: The combination of TKIs and brain RT is effective for patients with lung adenocarcinoma with EGFR mutations and brain metastases. Patients with exon 19 Del or exon 21 L858R mutations and brain radiation doses ≥40 Gy exhibit longer OS, PFS1, and PFS2. Additionally, complete remission + partial remission is associated with extended PFS1 and PFS2, while patients in stage IVA show longer PFS2.

Analysis of clinicopathological characteristics and prognostic factors in 54 metaplastic breast carcinoma patients from northwest China.

Metaplastic breast carcinoma (MBC) is a special type of morphologically heterogeneous and aggressively invasive breast cancer. MBC is characterized by the transformation of tumor epithelium into squamous epithelium and/or mesenchymal components, including differentiation into spindle cells, chondrocytes, and osteocytes. Due to its rarity and invasiveness, there is a paucity of research on MBC prognosis. Furthermore, there are currently no treatment guidelines for MBC. This study analyzed the clinicopathological characteristics, immunophenotype, and prognostic features of MBC. Our aim was to better characterize MBC, thereby identifying potential prognostic factors and new treatment methods. Moreover, we also describe an MBC case treated experimentally with anti-vascular targeted therapy. We retrospectively analyzed clinical pathological data on 54 female patients with MBC from Shaanxi Provincial People's Hospital and the XiJing Hospital of Air Force Medical University. These cases were diagnosed with MBC between January 1st, 2013, and October 1st, 2018. All patients were from the northwest region of China. The gross morphological, histological, and immunohistochemical features of MBC were analyzed. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to calculate the survival rate, and univariate analysis was performed to identify significant prognostic factors. In addition, the treatment of an MBC patient with anti-angiogenic therapy was described, and a relevant literature review was conducted. MBC was diagnosed in 32 left breasts and 22 right breasts from 54 women aged 21-76 years (median age of 57 years). The maximum tumor diameter ranged from 0.6 to 14 cm (average of 4.1 cm). Of the 54 patients, 47 underwent surgical treatment, with lymph node metastasis found in 17.0% (8/47). According to the World Health Organization classification criteria for breast tumors, the study cohort consisted of 15 cases of squamous cell carcinoma, ten cases of spindle cell carcinoma, nine cases of carcinoma with associated stromal differentiation, 18 cases of mixed carcinoma, and two cases of adenocarcinoma with squamous differentiation. Based on the American Joint Committee on Cancer clinical staging criteria, the patients were classified as Stage I (10 cases, 18.5%), Stage II (26 cases, 48.1%), Stage III (11 cases, 20.4%), and Stage IV (7 cases, 13.0%). Immunohistochemical analysis revealed that 94.4% of patients had triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC), 47 cases showed mutant tumor protein 53 (TP53) expression, 29 cases showed positive epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) expression, 43 cases showed positive E-cadherin expression, and 37 cases showed positive Cluster of Differentiation 24 expression. The Ki-67 index ranged from 20% to 90%. Univariate analysis showed that the Ki-67 index was not significantly associated with either progression-free survival (PFS) or overall survival (OS) in MBC patients. Patients with negative axillary lymph nodes had significantly better PFS and OS than those with positive nodes (P < 0.05), and patients with clinical stage I-II disease had better PFS and OS than those with stage III-IV disease (P < 0.05). Patients treated with anthracycline-containing chemotherapy had significantly better PFS than those who did not receive chemotherapy. Univariate analysis revealed that the high expression of EGFR correlated with worse PFS (P < 0.05). The type of surgical approach employed did not affect the prognosis of MBC patients. Following the application of anti-angiogenic therapy, a rapid partial response was observed in an MBC patient with carcinoma and associated stromal differentiation. This patient subsequently underwent surgery and radiation therapy and has now achieved over 6 years of PFS. MBC is a heterogeneous group of tumors with high malignancy and poor prognosis. The large majority is TNBC and exhibits unique immune phenotypes. The poor PFS of MBC patients may be related to EGFR expression, which could become a potential therapeutic target in these patients. Surgery remains the primary treatment method for MBC. The present study found that sentinel lymph node biopsy was feasible in appropriate patients, and that chemotherapy regimens incorporating anthracycline-class drugs did not appear to improve OS. Anti-angiogenic therapy holds promise as a potentially effective treatment approach for MBC, and the optimization of systemic treatment strategies should be a priority in the management of these patients.

623. PERIOPERATIVE THERAPY FOR LIMITED-STAGE SMALL CELL ESOPHAGEAL CARCINOMA: A RETROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY

Abstract Background The optimal treatment strategy for limited-stage small cell esophageal carcinoma (LS-SCEC) remains uncertain, we aimed to evaluate the efficacy of perioperative therapy in those patients. Methods From June 2005 to November 2022, a total of 156 patients with LS-SCEC who underwent esophagectomy were included in the current study. The primary endpoint was overall survival, and secondary endpoints included progression-free survival. Pathologic staging was determined based on the 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM staging system for esophageal carcinoma. Survival curves were created using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Prognostic factors analysis was carried out using both univariate and multivariate Cox regression models, as well as propensity score matching (PSM) analysis. Statistical significance was defined as P value &amp;lt; 0.05 in a two-tailed test. Results Among 156 LS-SCEC patients, the median age was 62 years (interquartile range [IQR], 56-67), with 120 (76.9%) being males. Thirty-three (21.2%) patients received neoadjuvant chemotherapy; and 2 (1.3%) received neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. Seventy-six (48.7%) received adjuvant chemotherapy, 2 (1.3%) received adjuvant radiotherapy, and 13 (8.3%) received adjuvant chemoradiotherapy. Only 7 (4.5%) patients achieved pathological complete remission after neoadjuvant therapy. Following surgery, 33 (21.2%) patients were categorized stage I, 40 (25.6%) as stage II, 61 (39.1%) as stage III, and 22 (14.1%) as stage IV. The median follow-up time of the entire cohort was 72 months. The median disease-free survival (mDFS) was 12.0 months (95% CI, 10.2–13.8 months), and the median overall survival (mOS) was 21.0 months (95% CI, 16.2–25.8 months). The 5-year OS rate was 25.9%, and the DFS rate was 21.9%. Univariate analysis revealed that clinical T stage (P=0.011), clinical N stage (P=0.009), pathological T stage (P=0.027), pathological N stage (P=0.001), pathological TNM stage (P=0.002), adjuvant therapy (P&amp;lt;0.001), and neural invasion (P=0.001) were significant prognostic factors for overall survival. In multivariate analysis, clinical T stage (P=0.049), neural invasion (P=0.002), N stage (P=0.006), and adjuvant therapy (P=0.001) were identified as independent prognostic factors. Furthermore, a PSM analysis was conducted to evaluate the impact of neoadjuvant chemotherapy on LS-SCEC patients. Following PSM, 64 patients were matched, with 32 in each group. Both univariate and multivariate analyses indicated that neoadjuvant chemotherapy could enhance the OS of LS-SCEC patients, with a 5-year OS rate of 37.7% compared to 0.0% in the non-neoadjuvant chemotherapy group (P&amp;lt;0.001, HR=0.319, 95% CI: 0.168-0.604). Subgroup analyses further supported the benefit of neoadjuvant chemotherapy for patients with clinical stages T3-4 and nodal positive (N+), where improved outcomes were observed (P=0.001 and 0.013 respectively). Additionally, subgroup analyses revealed that adjuvant chemoradiotherapy was identified as the optimal treatment model for patients with nodal positive status (adjuvant chemoradiotherapy vs. chemotherapy: OS P=0.01, DFS P=0.004) and those categorized as pathological stage III-IV (adjuvant chemoradiotherapy vs. chemotherapy: OS P=0.03, DFS P=0.017). Conclusions Perioperative therapy is essential for patients with LS-SCEC. Patients with clinical stage T3-4 and nodal positive should undergo neoadjuvant chemotherapy. All patients should receive adjuvant therapy, and adjuvant chemoradiotherapy is recommended for those with nodal involvement or pathologic TNM stages III-IV.

Under recognized yet a clinically relevant impact of aneurysm location in Distal Anterior Cerebral Artery (DACA) aneurysms: insights from a contemporary surgical experience.

Aneurysms of the distal anterior cerebral artery (DACA) are rare but surgically challenging. Despite a known therapeutic implication of the aneurysm location on the DACA territory, the literature is unclear about its clinical and prognostic significance. Our surgical experience over the last 5 years was reviewed to compare the clinical, operative, and outcome characteristics between aneurysms located below the mid portion of the genu of the corpus callosum (called proximal aneurysms) to those distal to this point (called distal aneurysms). A prognostic factor analysis was done using uni and multivariable analysis. A total of 34 patients were treated (M: F = 1:2.3). The distal group had a higher frequency of poor clinical grade at presentation (n = 9, 47.4%) in contrast to (n = 2, 13.3%) proximal aneurysms (p = 0.039). Despite an overall tendency for a delayed functional improvement in these patients, the results were mainly due to favorable outcomes in the proximal group (favourable functional outcomes at discharge and at last follow-up being 80% and 86.7% respectively). On the multivariable analysis, only WFNS grade (> 2) at presentation (OR = 13.75; 95CI = 1.2-157.7) (p = 0.035) and application of temporary clips (AOR = 34.32; 95CI = 2.59-454.1) (p = 0.007), both of which were more in the distal group, independently predicted a poor long term functional outcome. Thus, the aneurysm location impacts the preoperative clinical grade, the intraoperative aneurysm rupture risk rate as well as the temporary clipping requirement. A combination of these factors leads to worse short and long-term functional outcomes in the distal DACA aneurysms.

Efficacy and prognostic factors of stereotactic body radiotherapy combined with immunotherapy for pulmonary oligometastases: a preliminary retrospective cohort study.

Stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) combined immunotherapy has a synergistic effect on patients with stage IV tumors. However, the efficacy and prognostic factors analysis of SBRT combined immunotherapy for patients with pulmonary oligometastases have rarely been reported in the studies. The purpose of this study is to explore the efficacy and prognostic factors analysis of SBRT combined immunotherapy for patients with oligometastatic lung tumors. A retrospective analysis was conducted on 43 patients with advanced tumors who received SBRT combined with immunotherapy for pulmonary oligometastases from October 2018 to October 2021. Local control (LC), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate analyses of OS were performed using the Cox regression model, and the P value <0.05 was considered statistically significant. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) after SBRT was generated. Spearman correlation analysis was used to determine the relationship of planning target volume (PTV) with absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) before and after SBRT and with neutrophil count (NE) after SBRT. Additionally, linear regression was used to examine the relationship between ALC after SBRT and clinical factors. A total of 43 patients with pulmonary oligometastases receiving SBRT combined with immunotherapy were included in the study. The change in NLR after SBRT was statistically significant (P<0.001). At 1 and 2 years, respectively, the LC rates were 90.3% and 87.5%, the OS rates were 83.46% and 60.99%, and the PFS rates were 69.92% and 54.25%, with a median PFS of 27.00 (17.84-36.13) months. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that a shorter interval between radiotherapy and immunization [≤21 days; hazard ratio (HR) =1.10, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.06-0.89; P=0.02] and a low NLR after SBRT (HR =0.24, 95% CI: 1.01-1.9; P=0.03) were associated with improved OS. The ROC curve identified 4.12 as the cutoff value for predicting OS based on NLR after SBRT. NLR after SBRT ≤4.12 significantly extended OS compared to NLR after SBRT >4.12 (log-rank P=0.001). Spearman correlation analysis and linear regression analysis showed that PTV was negatively correlated with ALC after SBRT. Our preliminary research shows that SBRT combined with immunotherapy has a good effect, and NLR after SBRT is a poor prognostic factor for OS. Larger PTV volume is associated with decreased ALC after SBRT.

Multimodal imaging diagnosis and analysis of prognostic factors in patients with adult-onset Coats disease.

To describe the multimodal imaging features, treatment, and outcomes of patients diagnosed with adult-onset Coats disease. This retrospective study included patients first diagnosed with Coats disease at ≥18 years of age between September 2017 and September 2021. Some patients received anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) therapy (conbercept, 0.5 mg) as the initial treatment, which was combined with laser photocoagulation as needed. All the patients underwent best corrected visual acuity (BCVA) and intraocular pressure examinations, fundus color photography, spontaneous fluorescence tests, fundus fluorescein angiography, optical coherence tomography (OCT), OCT angiography, and other examinations. BCVA alterations and multimodal image findings in the affected eyes following treatment were compared and the prognostic factors were analyzed. The study included 15 patients who were aged 24-72 (57.33±12.61)y at presentation. Systemic hypertension was the most common associated systemic condition, occurring in 13 (86.7%) patients. Baseline BCVA ranged from 2.0 to 5.0 (4.0±1.1), which showed improvement following treatment (4.2±1.0). Multimodal imaging revealed retinal telangiectasis in 13 patients (86.7%), patchy hemorrhage in 5 patients (33.3%), and stage 2B disease (Shield's staging criteria) in 11 patients (73.3%). OCT revealed that the baseline central macular thickness (CMT) ranged from 129 to 964 µm (473.0±230.1 µm), with 13 patients (86.7%) exhibiting a baseline CMT exceeding 250 µm. Furthermore, 8 patients (53.3%) presented with an epiretinal membrane at baseline or during follow-up. Hyper-reflective scars were observed on OCT in five patients (33.3%) with poor visual prognosis. Vision deteriorated in one patient who did not receive treatment. Final vision was stable in three patients who received laser treatment, whereas improvement was observed in one of two patients who received anti-VEGF therapy alone. In addition, 8 of 9 patients (88.9%) who received laser treatment and conbercept exhibited stable or improved BCVA. Multimodal imaging can help diagnose adult-onset Coats disease. Anti-VEGF treatment combined with laser therapy can be an option for improving or maintaining BCVA and resolving macular edema. The final visual outcome depends on macular involvement and the disease stage.

Analysis of prognostic factors in uterine cervical malignancy treated with concurrent chemoradiation therapy: A retrospective study in two centers in Korea.

125 Background: Cervical cancer is prevalent in most developing countries, and immune checkpoint inhibitors are very expensive to be standard treatment in limited-resource conditions. In these circumstances, concurrent chemoradiation therapy (CCRT) remains a preferred treatment. This study aims to evaluate prognosis and identify prognostic markers in cervical cancer patients treated with CCRT in Korea. Methods: This retrospective study utilized data from two centers (KNUH and KNUCH) January 2012 to September 2023. Disease stage was determined based on the FIGO 2018 system, including patients between stages IIB to IIIC-2. PET/CT assessed lymph node status. All patients received CCRT as the first-line treatment with cisplatin (40 to 60 mg/m2) chemotherapy and EBRT with or without ICR, guided by gynecologic radiation oncologist. Pelvic MRI or CT within 5 months after CCRT was used to evaluate radiosensitivity, including the size of the residual primary cervical tumor. The primary endpoint was 5-year disease-free survival (DFS), determined via systemic imaging studies like concurrent chest and abdomen CT or PET/CT. Median DFS was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Prognostic factors were stratified and analyzed using Cox’s proportional hazard ratio regression. Multivariate analysis was conducted using only significant factors identified in the univariate analysis. Receiver operating characteristic curve and Youden’s index were used to determine the cutoff value. Results: Ninety-seven patients were enrolled. The median DFS within 5 years was not reached; mean DFS was 41.5 months (95% CI=36.2–46.8). Multivariate Cox’s proportional hazard regression identified two significant clinical factors for 5-year DFS; residual primary tumor size after CCRT and initial serum CA-125 level (p=0.001, p=0.007, respectively). The cutoff values were 1.85 cm for residual primary tumor size and 24.650 U/mL for CA-125 to predict the 5-year DFS rate (CR or NED vs. PR, SD, PD or recurrence). Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were calculated for residual tumor size (36.4%, 98.4%, 92.3%, 73.4%, respectively) and CA-125 (67.9%, 60.7%, 46.3%, and 79.1%, respectively). Conclusions: The size of the residual primary tumor or initial serum CA-125 level can be useful in predicting 5-year DFS rate after CCRT. [Table: see text]